FinalWin Prob.pScore
238%100
105
462%103
103
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
115.49186.6
DAL logo DAL
110.89398.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)105
99.5%
103
0.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot105
99.0%
103
1.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASPorter Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)105
92.5%
103
7.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASPorter Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)104
90.7%
103
9.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)103
59.3%
103
40.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki Tip Shot (28 PTS)103
59.3%
103
40.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)103
78.6%
101
21.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALMISS Nowitzki Layup103
89.4%
101
10.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALMISS Nash Layup103
89.3%
101
10.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
77.1%
101
22.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASMISS Porter 23' Jump Shot103
81.4%
101
18.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0DALNajera Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)103
87.1%
101
12.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T13)103
89.5%
99
10.5%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Hardaway 6 AST)103
92.9%
99
7.1%
Q4 - 1:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)103
94.2%
97
5.8%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2103
94.6%
97
5.4%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2103
96.1%
97
3.9%
Q4 - 1:14SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)103
96.9%
97
3.1%
Q4 - 1:16DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
96.1%
97
3.9%
Q4 - 1:22DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
93.4%
97
6.6%
Q4 - 1:24DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot103
95.5%
97
4.5%
Q4 - 1:28SASNash STEAL (1 STL)103
92.8%
97
7.2%
Q4 - 1:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)103
94.4%
97
5.6%
Q4 - 1:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)103
94.8%
96
5.2%
Q4 - 2:01SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (29 PTS)103
95.8%
95
4.2%
Q4 - 2:20DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)101
94.5%
95
5.5%
Q4 - 2:20DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)101
94.8%
94
5.2%
Q4 - 2:22DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
95.6%
93
4.4%
Q4 - 2:24SASNowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)101
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 2:33SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
97.8%
93
2.2%
Q4 - 2:34DALMISS Zhi-zhi Layup101
97.3%
93
2.7%
Q4 - 2:47DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
95.5%
93
4.5%
Q4 - 2:48SASMISS Duncan Layup101
96.4%
93
3.6%
Q4 - 3:06DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)101
96.7%
93
3.3%
Q4 - 3:06DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)101
97.1%
92
2.9%
Q4 - 3:18SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Porter 6 AST)101
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 3:24SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
95.2%
91
4.8%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Zhi-zhi 9' Running Jump Shot98
94.3%
91
5.7%
Q4 - 3:44SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Porter 5 AST)98
88.4%
91
11.6%
Q4 - 3:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)96
84.7%
91
15.3%
Q4 - 3:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)96
85.4%
90
14.6%
Q4 - 4:10SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)96
88.9%
89
11.1%
Q4 - 4:31DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
92.4%
89
7.6%
Q4 - 4:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 296
92.8%
88
7.2%
Q4 - 4:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)96
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 4:32DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot96
94.0%
88
6.0%
Q4 - 4:35DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)96
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 4:36DALMISS Nash Layup96
94.0%
88
6.0%
Q4 - 4:42DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
92.3%
88
7.7%
Q4 - 4:45SASMISS Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
93.1%
88
6.9%
Q4 - 5:01SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
92.0%
88
8.0%
Q4 - 5:02SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
90.1%
88
9.9%
Q4 - 5:24DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)96
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 5:39SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
89.3%
88
10.7%
Q4 - 5:39SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
88.7%
88
11.3%
Q4 - 5:40SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)94
85.9%
88
14.1%
Q4 - 5:43DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot94
84.6%
88
15.4%
Q4 - 5:59DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
81.2%
88
18.8%
Q4 - 5:59SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 294
81.9%
88
18.1%
Q4 - 5:59SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
84.7%
88
15.3%
Q4 - 5:59SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
81.4%
88
18.6%
Q4 - 6:00SASMISS Robinson Layup93
77.5%
88
22.5%
Q4 - 6:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
78.3%
88
21.7%
Q4 - 6:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
79.0%
87
21.0%
Q4 - 6:32SASSmith Driving Layup (15 PTS)93
82.4%
86
17.6%
Q4 - 6:53DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 191
77.6%
86
22.4%
Q4 - 6:53DALNajera Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)91
78.4%
86
21.6%
Q4 - 7:04DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
79.6%
84
20.4%
Q4 - 7:06SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot91
81.1%
84
18.9%
Q4 - 7:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)91
84.2%
84
15.8%
Q4 - 7:11SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot91
81.1%
84
18.9%
Q4 - 7:28SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
84.3%
84
15.7%
Q4 - 7:29SASMISS Porter 18' Jump Shot91
81.2%
84
18.8%
Q4 - 7:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)91
84.4%
84
15.6%
Q4 - 7:44SASNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)91
81.3%
84
18.7%
Q4 - 7:45SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
84.4%
84
15.6%
Q4 - 7:47SASMISS Daniels 21' Jump Shot91
81.3%
84
18.7%
Q4 - 8:12DALNash 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)91
81.7%
84
18.3%
Q4 - 8:22SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)91
85.2%
82
14.8%
Q4 - 8:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)90
84.6%
82
15.4%
Q4 - 8:36DALFinley Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)89
81.8%
82
18.2%
Q4 - 8:52SASDaniels Layup (11 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)89
77.7%
82
22.3%
Q4 - 9:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)87
71.0%
82
29.0%
Q4 - 9:08DALMISS Najera Layup87
69.4%
82
30.6%
Q4 - 9:25SASPorter 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)87
65.7%
82
34.3%
Q4 - 9:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)84
54.5%
82
45.5%
Q4 - 9:31SASMISS Porter 8' Jump Shot84
50.1%
82
49.9%
Q4 - 9:47DALHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)84
54.5%
82
45.5%
Q4 - 10:02SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P4.T10)84
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q4 - 10:15SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
69.4%
79
30.6%
Q4 - 10:15DALMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
67.8%
79
32.2%
Q4 - 10:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
64.0%
79
36.0%
Q4 - 10:23SASMISS Rose Layup84
65.7%
79
34.3%
Q4 - 10:33DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)84
69.5%
79
30.5%
Q4 - 10:33DALNajera Layup (5 PTS)84
74.1%
78
25.9%
Q4 - 10:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
77.9%
76
22.1%
Q4 - 10:36DALMISS Hardaway Driving Layup84
80.7%
76
19.3%
Q4 - 10:48SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)84
78.0%
76
22.0%
Q4 - 10:51DALNowitzki 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
81.9%
76
18.1%
Q4 - 11:09SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)84
83.4%
74
16.6%
Q4 - 11:37DALHardaway 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
86.4%
74
13.6%
Q4 - 11:42DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
88.6%
72
11.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)84
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL84
90.7%
72
9.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
88.6%
72
11.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Hardaway 14' Running Jump Shot84
90.1%
72
9.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0SASPorter 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
87.2%
72
12.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALHardaway Driving Layup (6 PTS)82
84.8%
72
15.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASSmith Driving Layup (13 PTS)82
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0DALNowitzki 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)80
84.8%
70
15.2%
Q3 - 1:10SASPorter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)80
85.6%
68
14.4%
Q3 - 1:10SASPorter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
85.2%
68
14.8%
Q3 - 1:14DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
83.2%
68
16.8%
Q3 - 1:27SASPorter 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
80.2%
68
19.8%
Q3 - 1:50DALZhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)76
77.1%
68
22.9%
Q3 - 1:50DALZhi-zhi Layup (7 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)76
80.4%
67
19.6%
Q3 - 2:02SASBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)76
81.2%
65
18.8%
Q3 - 2:24SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
78.6%
65
21.4%
Q3 - 2:26DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
77.5%
65
22.5%
Q3 - 2:34DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
75.0%
65
25.0%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot74
76.1%
65
23.9%
Q3 - 2:54SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
78.6%
65
21.4%
Q3 - 2:56DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot74
77.6%
65
22.4%
Q3 - 3:14DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
74.0%
65
26.0%
Q3 - 3:15SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot74
75.1%
65
24.9%
Q3 - 3:38DALZhi-zhi 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)74
77.5%
65
22.5%
Q3 - 3:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q3 - 3:50SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot74
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 4:15DALNash Layup (15 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)74
84.3%
62
15.7%
Q3 - 4:26SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (23 PTS)74
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 4:52DALNash 10' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)72
84.4%
60
15.6%
Q3 - 5:12SASParker Driving Layup (7 PTS)72
85.2%
58
14.8%
Q3 - 5:25DALNash 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
83.1%
58
16.9%
Q3 - 5:44SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS)70
85.2%
56
14.8%
Q3 - 5:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)68
83.2%
56
16.8%
Q3 - 5:47SASMISS Duncan Layup68
81.3%
56
18.7%
Q3 - 6:03DALZhi-zhi 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)68
81.7%
56
18.3%
Q3 - 6:27SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)68
83.9%
54
16.1%
Q3 - 6:42SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
81.8%
54
18.2%
Q3 - 6:43DALMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 266
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q3 - 6:43DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
79.6%
54
20.4%
Q3 - 6:58SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
81.7%
53
18.3%
Q3 - 6:58SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 265
81.0%
53
19.0%
Q3 - 7:16DALNash Driving Layup (8 PTS)65
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 7:31SASSmith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)65
82.6%
51
17.4%
Q3 - 7:43SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 7:45DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot63
79.8%
51
20.2%
Q3 - 7:50SASRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)63
77.7%
51
22.3%
Q3 - 7:50SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
80.7%
51
19.3%
Q3 - 7:50DALMISS Howard Layup63
79.8%
51
20.2%
Q3 - 7:53DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
77.8%
51
22.2%
Q3 - 7:56DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot63
79.8%
51
20.2%
Q3 - 8:06DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
77.0%
51
23.0%
Q3 - 8:10SASMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot63
77.9%
51
22.1%
Q3 - 8:25DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
79.9%
51
20.1%
Q3 - 8:25DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 263
80.4%
50
19.6%
Q3 - 8:38SASParker 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
79.6%
50
20.4%
Q3 - 8:59DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)61
77.4%
50
22.6%
Q3 - 9:07SASSmith 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)61
80.7%
47
19.3%
Q3 - 9:27DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
78.5%
47
21.5%
Q3 - 9:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
80.8%
45
19.2%
Q3 - 9:33DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot59
82.4%
45
17.6%
Q3 - 9:51DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
80.8%
45
19.2%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Bowen 16' Jump Shot59
81.5%
45
18.5%
Q3 - 10:17DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
82.0%
45
18.0%
Q3 - 10:17DALMISS Hardaway Free Throw 1 of 259
82.3%
44
17.7%
Q3 - 10:34SASDuncan Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)59
81.8%
44
18.2%
Q3 - 10:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)57
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 10:52DALMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot57
79.1%
44
20.9%
Q3 - 10:59DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
77.2%
44
22.8%
Q3 - 11:02DALMISS Nash Layup57
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q3 - 11:10DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)57
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q3 - 11:11DALMISS Nash Layup57
77.9%
44
22.1%
Q3 - 11:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q3 - 11:18SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot57
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q3 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)57
78.7%
44
21.3%
Q3 - 11:38DALMISS Nowitzki Layup57
78.0%
44
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS57
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound57
78.8%
44
21.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot57
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
77.0%
44
23.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0DALMISS Hardaway Layup57
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0SASParker Driving Layup (3 PTS)57
75.4%
44
24.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALNash Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)55
75.4%
42
24.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 254
74.8%
42
25.2%
Q2 - 1:01DALNajera Reverse Layup (3 PTS)54
73.5%
42
26.5%
Q2 - 1:11DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 1:13DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot54
77.9%
40
22.1%
Q2 - 1:18DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 1:20DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
77.9%
40
22.1%
Q2 - 1:25DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
77.1%
40
22.9%
Q2 - 1:26SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot54
77.4%
40
22.6%
Q2 - 1:51DALHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)54
78.3%
40
21.7%
Q2 - 2:10SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)54
81.7%
37
18.3%
Q2 - 2:10SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
81.3%
37
18.7%
Q2 - 2:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
79.7%
37
20.3%
Q2 - 2:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 252
78.0%
37
22.0%
Q2 - 2:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
79.4%
37
20.6%
Q2 - 2:29DALBuckner Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)51
77.6%
37
22.4%
Q2 - 2:48SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)51
79.9%
35
20.1%
Q2 - 2:51DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)51
81.7%
35
18.3%
Q2 - 3:22SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)51
78.1%
35
21.9%
Q2 - 3:40DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T6)51
80.4%
35
19.6%
Q2 - 3:57SASDaniels 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Porter 4 AST)51
78.2%
35
21.8%
Q2 - 4:12DALHoward 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)48
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 4:19SASPorter Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
74.8%
33
25.2%
Q2 - 4:19SASPorter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)47
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 4:19SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
72.5%
33
27.5%
Q2 - 4:21DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot46
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 4:26DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 4:27DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot46
71.9%
33
28.1%
Q2 - 4:32DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 4:35SASMISS Porter 17' Jump Shot46
71.0%
33
29.0%
Q2 - 4:47DALNash 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)46
72.6%
33
27.4%
Q2 - 5:05SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)46
74.0%
31
26.0%
Q2 - 5:27DALHoward 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)43
69.6%
31
30.4%
Q2 - 5:50SASDaniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)43
71.8%
29
28.2%
Q2 - 6:11DALNowitzki 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)40
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 6:33SASPorter 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
68.4%
27
31.6%
Q2 - 6:39DALNajera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)38
66.5%
27
33.5%
Q2 - 6:50SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 138
63.9%
27
36.1%
Q2 - 6:50SASDuncan Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)38
63.5%
27
36.5%
Q2 - 7:23DALZhi-zhi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
60.2%
27
39.8%
Q2 - 7:41SASRobinson Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)36
57.5%
27
42.5%
Q2 - 7:58DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
55.1%
27
44.9%
Q2 - 7:58DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
55.5%
26
44.5%
Q2 - 8:06DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
56.8%
25
43.2%
Q2 - 8:08SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
57.7%
25
42.3%
Q2 - 8:30SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
59.7%
25
40.3%
Q2 - 8:32DALMISS Hardaway 19' Jump Shot34
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q2 - 8:42SASDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)34
56.9%
25
43.1%
Q2 - 9:05DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)31
51.3%
25
48.7%
Q2 - 9:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
56.1%
22
43.9%
Q2 - 9:14SASMISS Bowen Slam Dunk31
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q2 - 9:27DALFinley 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
58.9%
22
41.1%
Q2 - 9:43DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 231
61.4%
20
38.6%
Q2 - 9:43SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q2 - 10:00DALHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)30
61.4%
20
38.6%
Q2 - 10:13SASPorter Foul Turnover (P3.T4)30
58.2%
20
41.8%
Q2 - 10:26DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
60.9%
20
39.1%
Q2 - 10:26DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
61.3%
19
38.7%
Q2 - 10:31DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q2 - 10:33DALMISS Manning Driving Layup30
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q2 - 10:47SASPorter 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)30
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q2 - 11:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)27
57.4%
18
42.6%
Q2 - 11:03DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 227
57.1%
18
42.9%
Q2 - 11:03DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q2 - 11:17SASPorter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)27
57.5%
17
42.5%
Q2 - 11:19SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
59.8%
17
40.2%
Q2 - 11:20DALMISS Manning 18' Jump Shot27
59.1%
17
40.9%
Q2 - 11:33SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS)27
57.5%
17
42.5%
Q2 - 11:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)25
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q2 - 11:47DALManning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q2 - 11:47DALMISS Manning Layup25
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q2 - 11:49DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot25
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL25
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound25
52.7%
17
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 17' Turnaround Jump Shot25
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0SASRose Layup (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)25
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 223
47.9%
17
52.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)23
49.5%
17
50.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
47.1%
17
52.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALMISS Manning 20' Jump Shot22
46.5%
17
53.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound22
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot22
46.5%
17
53.5%
Q1 - 1:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)22
45.2%
17
54.8%
Q1 - 1:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)21
44.8%
17
55.2%
Q1 - 1:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)20
42.4%
17
57.6%
Q1 - 1:26DALMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot20
41.8%
17
58.2%
Q1 - 1:46SASPorter 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 2:05DALHoward 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)18
38.1%
17
61.9%
Q1 - 2:10DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 2:14SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 2:32DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)18
42.5%
15
57.5%
Q1 - 2:44SASPorter Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
47.3%
12
52.7%
Q1 - 3:00DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
44.8%
12
55.2%
Q1 - 3:22SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 3:31SASSpurs Rebound14
44.5%
10
55.5%
Q1 - 3:33SASMISS Porter 21' Jump Shot14
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 3:58DALNash Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
44.5%
10
55.5%
Q1 - 4:07SASBowen 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)14
45.8%
8
54.2%
Q1 - 4:21DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)12
44.1%
8
55.9%
Q1 - 4:21DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 4:22DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 4:45SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 4:45SASRobinson Tip Shot (3 PTS)12
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 4:48SASMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot10
38.0%
8
62.0%
Q1 - 5:08DALHoward 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)10
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 5:21SASPorter Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 5:33DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
43.2%
6
56.8%
Q1 - 5:40SASBuckner STEAL (1 STL)10
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 5:58DALBuckner Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 5:58DALBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
43.9%
5
56.1%
Q1 - 6:16SASSmith 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
44.5%
4
55.5%
Q1 - 6:34DALBuckner Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)8
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 6:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 6:42SASMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot8
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 6:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)8
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 6:48DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 6:57SASSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 7:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)6
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 7:12DALMISS Buckner 9' Jump Shot6
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 7:25DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot6
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 7:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
41.9%
2
58.1%
Q1 - 7:40DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup6
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 7:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 7:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)5
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 8:04SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 8:07DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 8:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)4
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 8:20SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 23
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 8:37DALMISS Finley Layup3
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 8:38DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 8:40DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 8:47DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 8:49SASMISS Duncan Driving Layup3
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 9:08SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:10DALMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot3
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:32SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)3
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)1
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:54DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot1
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 10:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)1
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:02SASMISS Bowen 5' Jump Shot1
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:13SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 10:17DALMISS Buckner 16' Jump Shot1
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 10:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)1
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:36SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 10:45SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot1
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 11:01DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot1
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:16SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 21
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:16SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:29DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 11:43DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 11:46SASMISS Parker 12' Jump Shot0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Robinson: Tip to Duncan0
34.2%
0
65.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.9%
DAL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
26
62%
DAL
14
29
48%
Midrange
SAS
14
34
41%
DAL
17
43
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
DAL
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
24
35
69%
DAL
23
29
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2958%14.5 / 25
T. Porter2265%11.0 / 17
S. Smith1860%9.0 / 15
A. Daniels1393%6.5 / 7
D. Robinson844%4.0 / 9
T. Parker750%3.5 / 7
B. Bowen433%2.0 / 6
M. Rose440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2861%14.0 / 23
S. Nash1743%8.5 / 20
T. Hardaway1354%6.5 / 12
M. Finley1042%5.0 / 12
E. Najera1063%5.0 / 8
W. Zhi-zhi1071%5.0 / 7
J. Howard941%4.5 / 11
G. Buckner660%3.0 / 5
D. Manning0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+14
-12
93
DAL
84
+20
-9
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.9%
DAL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
109.4
SAS 115.4 +4.6
DAL 110.8
Pace
92.4
95.4
SAS 86.6
DAL 98.0 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.9
SAS 16.6
DAL 14.7 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.7%
SAS 55.5% +9.0%
DAL 46.5%
TO %
14.8%
12.1%
SAS 12.8%
DAL 9.2% +3.6%
ORB %
27.2%
26.2%
SAS 29.3%
DAL 33.3% +4.0%
FTrt
35.3
28.8
SAS 47.9 +14.2
DAL 33.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.6%
SAS 43.2%
DAL 64.9% +21.7%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
SAS 6.6% +4.4%
DAL 2.2%
BLK %
9.5%
7.1%
SAS 2.8%
DAL 5.0% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
53.0%
SAS 55.9% +6.9%
DAL 49.0%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.9%
SAS 61.5% +13.2%
DAL 48.3%
Mid FG%
37.6%
42.0%
SAS 41.2% +1.7%
DAL 39.5%
3P %
36.2%
37.8%
SAS 53.8% +10.9%
DAL 42.9%
FT %
74.2%
80.6%
SAS 68.6%
DAL 79.3% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
30.7%
SAS 35.6% +1.9%
DAL 33.7%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
45.6%
SAS 46.6% +3.4%
DAL 50.0%
3P Att. %
19.0%
23.7%
SAS 17.8% +1.5%
DAL 16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points105103
Rebounds4445
Assists1624
Steals62
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)16 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)29 (0)
Field Goals37-7337-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2614-29
Midrange FG14-3417-43
2-Point FG30-6031-72
3-Point FG7-136-14
Free Throws24-3523-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 221 · 33
41.0
18
60%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
39.5
29
58%
17
2
1
0
4
6
5
12
9-13
69%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
F · 7'1" 250 · 36
34.1
8
44%
7
0
1
1
2
3
2
5
4-10
40%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 31
29.9
4
33%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 20
18.2
7
50%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
29.8
22
65%
7
6
2
1
3
4
1
6
6-6
100%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
25.2
13
93%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
22.3
4
40%
7
1
1
0
3
2
4
3
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
F · 6'9" 250 · 37
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29
C · 6'11" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
56%
44
16
6
2
12
0
12
32
24-35
69%
30-60
50%
7-13
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.