for complete access.
All Games Friday, January 4, 2002
FinalWin Prob.pScore
28
Heat
21%84
89
7
Celtics
79%94
66
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.79379.4
BOS logo BOS
73.390108.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
100%
66
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSBlount 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)89
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)89
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)89
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0BOSMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 289
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0BOSMISS Potapenko 20' Jump Shot89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22BOSJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAStepania 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)89
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41BOSMISS Potapenko 2' Reverse Layup87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21BOSMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 287
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21BOSMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 287
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 6 AST)87
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53BOSMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57BOSCELTICS Rebound85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58BOSMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)85
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMourning 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)84
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24BOSPalacio Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:36BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 3:39BOSMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55BOSBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14BOSMISS Potapenko 12' Jump Shot82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 4:31BOSMISS Brown 2' Driving Layup80
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 4:52MIAJones 17' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Grant 5 AST)80
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 5:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot78
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 5:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q4 - 5:30BOSMISS Palacio 3' Running Layup78
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS House Free Throw 1 of 277
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q4 - 5:45BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)77
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q4 - 5:45BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)77
99.0%
60
1.0%
Q4 - 5:56MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)77
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q4 - 6:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
98.9%
59
1.1%
Q4 - 6:11BOSMISS Brown 3PT Jump Shot77
98.8%
59
1.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)77
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 6:32MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)76
98.5%
59
1.5%
Q4 - 6:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)75
98.4%
59
1.6%
Q4 - 6:48BOSPotapenko 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)74
97.5%
59
2.5%
Q4 - 6:58BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)74
98.1%
57
1.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMISS Gill 23' Jump Shot74
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q4 - 7:15MIAHeat Rebound74
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q4 - 7:16BOSMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot74
97.4%
57
2.6%
Q4 - 7:41MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (House 3 AST)74
96.9%
57
3.1%
Q4 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q4 - 7:59BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
95.8%
57
4.2%
Q4 - 8:06BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)72
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot72
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q4 - 8:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
94.6%
57
5.4%
Q4 - 8:28BOSMISS Strickland 2' Driving Layup72
94.2%
57
5.8%
Q4 - 8:39MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)72
93.1%
57
6.9%
Q4 - 8:39MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)71
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q4 - 8:53BOSWalker 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)69
89.1%
57
10.9%
Q4 - 8:58BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
91.3%
55
8.7%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
89.7%
55
10.3%
Q4 - 9:16BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
91.3%
55
8.7%
Q4 - 9:16BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
91.6%
54
8.4%
Q4 - 9:21BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot69
93.4%
53
6.6%
Q4 - 9:44MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
94.5%
53
5.5%
Q4 - 9:48BOSMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
94.1%
53
5.9%
Q4 - 10:06MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)69
91.3%
53
8.7%
Q4 - 10:28BOSPierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)67
89.6%
53
10.4%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJackson 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)67
93.1%
50
6.9%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)65
91.6%
50
8.4%
Q4 - 10:53MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot65
90.2%
50
9.8%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)65
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q4 - 11:14BOSMISS Walker 4' Running Jump Shot65
89.6%
50
10.4%
Q4 - 11:41MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)65
88.1%
50
11.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS62
83.0%
50
17.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
79.5%
50
20.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS House 39' 3PT Jump Shot62
77.8%
50
22.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0BOSAnderson 3' Layup (10 PTS)62
80.2%
50
19.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAPierce STEAL (5 STL)62
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0BOSAnderson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pierce 3 AST)62
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
88.4%
46
11.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Jackson 8' Hook Shot62
89.1%
46
10.9%
Q3 - 1:06BOSPotapenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)62
88.3%
46
11.7%
Q3 - 1:06BOSPotapenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)62
88.8%
45
11.2%
Q3 - 1:11BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
90.2%
44
9.8%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup62
90.7%
44
9.3%
Q3 - 1:37MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
91.9%
44
8.1%
Q3 - 1:38BOSMISS Pierce 18' Jump Shot62
91.4%
44
8.6%
Q3 - 1:53MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
90.3%
44
9.7%
Q3 - 2:00BOSWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)60
88.5%
44
11.5%
Q3 - 2:04BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
83.7%
44
16.3%
Q3 - 2:05BOSMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot60
85.6%
44
14.4%
Q3 - 2:25BOSCELTICS Rebound60
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot60
84.7%
44
15.3%
Q3 - 2:40BOSPotapenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)60
86.5%
44
13.5%
Q3 - 2:40BOSPotapenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)60
87.0%
43
13.0%
Q3 - 2:41BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
88.3%
42
11.7%
Q3 - 2:42BOSMISS Palacio 2' Driving Layup60
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q3 - 3:00MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q3 - 3:00MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
87.9%
42
12.1%
Q3 - 3:18BOSStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)58
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q3 - 3:22BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
82.4%
42
17.6%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Ellis 3' Layup58
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q3 - 3:49BOSWilliams 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)58
85.0%
42
15.0%
Q3 - 4:07MIAGrant 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS)58
85.0%
40
15.0%
Q3 - 4:27BOSStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
83.2%
40
16.8%
Q3 - 4:27BOSMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 256
83.6%
39
16.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)56
82.8%
39
17.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIAJones 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)55
80.2%
39
19.8%
Q3 - 4:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
77.8%
39
22.2%
Q3 - 4:53BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
76.8%
39
23.2%
Q3 - 5:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
72.4%
39
27.6%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot53
73.4%
39
26.6%
Q3 - 5:28BOSWalker 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Pierce 2 AST)53
75.9%
39
24.1%
Q3 - 5:47MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)53
78.6%
37
21.4%
Q3 - 6:07BOSStrickland 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)51
73.5%
37
26.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAPierce STEAL (4 STL)51
76.3%
35
23.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
79.3%
35
20.7%
Q3 - 6:28BOSMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot51
78.5%
35
21.5%
Q3 - 6:32BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
76.4%
35
23.6%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot51
77.4%
35
22.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q3 - 6:45BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.5%
35
21.5%
Q3 - 6:52BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
76.5%
35
23.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot51
77.4%
35
22.6%
Q3 - 7:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot51
75.5%
35
24.5%
Q3 - 7:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
77.8%
35
22.2%
Q3 - 7:36BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
76.8%
35
23.2%
Q3 - 7:43MIAStrickland STEAL (1 STL)51
74.6%
35
25.4%
Q3 - 7:55MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
77.8%
35
22.2%
Q3 - 7:57BOSMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot51
76.8%
35
23.2%
Q3 - 8:03BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot51
74.1%
35
25.9%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
76.4%
35
23.6%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot51
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q3 - 8:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
76.5%
35
23.5%
Q3 - 8:40BOSMISS Anderson Free Throw 2 of 251
76.1%
35
23.9%
Q3 - 8:40BOSMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 251
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q3 - 8:41BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
73.2%
35
26.8%
Q3 - 8:42BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot51
75.5%
35
24.5%
Q3 - 8:57MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)51
73.3%
35
26.7%
Q3 - 9:20BOSPierce 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
68.0%
35
32.0%
Q3 - 9:35MIAAnderson STEAL (3 STL)49
71.1%
33
28.9%
Q3 - 9:52BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)49
74.2%
33
25.8%
Q3 - 10:08MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)49
77.0%
30
23.0%
Q3 - 10:15BOSStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
72.0%
30
28.0%
Q3 - 10:22MIAAnderson STEAL (2 STL)46
68.8%
30
31.2%
Q3 - 10:39BOSStrickland 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)46
72.1%
30
27.9%
Q3 - 10:59MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)46
77.2%
27
22.8%
Q3 - 11:15MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot44
70.7%
27
29.3%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
72.8%
27
27.2%
Q3 - 11:42BOSMISS Pierce 5' Jump Shot44
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS44
69.9%
27
30.1%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAJones 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)44
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
64.4%
27
35.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot42
62.9%
27
37.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
64.5%
27
35.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0BOSMISS Pierce 15' Jump Shot42
63.8%
27
36.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Strickland 12' Running Jump Shot42
63.0%
27
37.0%
Q2 - 1:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
62.8%
27
37.2%
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Walker 2' Layup42
62.3%
27
37.7%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
61.3%
27
38.7%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 241
60.2%
27
39.8%
Q2 - 1:45BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 1:45BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
60.4%
26
39.6%
Q2 - 2:05MIAGrant 3' Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)41
61.9%
25
38.1%
Q2 - 2:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q2 - 2:23BOSMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot39
57.9%
25
42.1%
Q2 - 2:36BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
56.0%
25
44.0%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 239
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q2 - 2:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
58.6%
25
41.4%
Q2 - 2:54BOSWalker 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)38
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMourning 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)38
56.1%
23
43.9%
Q2 - 3:26MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
53.6%
23
46.4%
Q2 - 3:29BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
52.6%
23
47.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P2.T7)36
50.3%
23
49.7%
Q2 - 3:56BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)36
53.7%
23
46.3%
Q2 - 4:10MIAJackson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)36
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q2 - 4:17BOSMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot34
50.4%
21
49.6%
Q2 - 4:28MIAPierce STEAL (3 STL)34
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
51.4%
21
48.6%
Q2 - 4:51BOSMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
50.5%
21
49.5%
Q2 - 4:58BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot34
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q2 - 5:15MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot34
48.1%
21
51.9%
Q2 - 5:30MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
50.3%
21
49.7%
Q2 - 5:31BOSMISS Pierce 3' Driving Layup34
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAGrant 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS)34
47.3%
21
52.7%
Q2 - 5:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot32
42.6%
21
57.4%
Q2 - 6:13BOSAnderson 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
43.6%
21
56.4%
Q2 - 6:26MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q2 - 6:40BOSAnderson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
43.7%
19
56.3%
Q2 - 6:49BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
45.9%
17
54.1%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot30
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q2 - 7:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
47.2%
17
52.8%
Q2 - 7:14BOSMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot30
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q2 - 7:32MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)30
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q2 - 7:39BOSMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot30
46.4%
17
53.6%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMourning 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)30
43.6%
17
56.4%
Q2 - 8:24BOSWalker 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
43.7%
15
56.3%
Q2 - 8:55MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q2 - 8:58BOSMISS Walker 14' Fadeaway Jumper26
40.6%
15
59.4%
Q2 - 9:14BOSCELTICS Rebound26
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
38.4%
15
61.6%
Q2 - 9:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
40.3%
15
59.7%
Q2 - 9:38BOSMISS Pierce 4' Jump Shot26
39.5%
15
60.5%
Q2 - 9:52MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)26
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q2 - 10:12BOSMISS Blount 8' Jump Shot23
32.3%
15
67.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAPierce STEAL (2 STL)23
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q2 - 10:36MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q2 - 10:39BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
32.3%
15
67.7%
Q2 - 10:52BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 223
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 223
32.1%
15
67.9%
Q2 - 11:08BOSWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)23
31.8%
15
68.2%
Q2 - 11:21BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot23
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q2 - 11:38BOSAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
31.9%
15
68.1%
Q2 - 11:38BOSAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q2 - 11:40BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q2 - 11:41BOSMISS Potapenko 1' Layup23
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q2 - 11:42BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q2 - 11:43BOSMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot23
35.6%
13
64.4%
Q2 - 11:45BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q2 - 11:48BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
34.1%
13
65.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Potapenko 3' Tip Shot23
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot23
34.8%
13
65.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
33.7%
13
66.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot23
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 223
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
35.8%
12
64.2%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot23
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 1:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 1:12BOSMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot23
36.8%
12
63.2%
Q1 - 1:23MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)23
35.6%
12
64.4%
Q1 - 1:39BOSStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)23
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 2:06MIAEllis 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 2:26MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 2:28BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot21
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 2:48MIAGrant 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (House 2 AST)21
37.4%
9
62.6%
Q1 - 2:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 2:57MIAPierce BLOCK (1 BLK)19
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 3:10BOSPotapenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 3:10BOSMISS Potapenko Free Throw 1 of 219
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 3:14BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 3:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 3:26BOSMISS Pierce 2' Driving Layup19
35.4%
8
64.6%
Q1 - 3:44MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)19
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 4:03BOSWilliams 2' Layup (2 PTS)17
31.2%
8
68.8%
Q1 - 4:19MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 4:24MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 4:27BOSMISS Anderson 2' Driving Layup15
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 4:37MIAEllis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)15
29.0%
6
71.0%
Q1 - 4:42BOSWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 4:51BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.5%
6
74.5%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot13
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 5:17BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 5:17BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
26.5%
5
73.5%
Q1 - 5:30BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Grant 1' Layup13
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 5:42BOSMISS Anderson 3' Driving Layup13
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 5:48BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 6:13MIAHeat Rebound13
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 6:14BOSMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot13
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMourning 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)13
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 6:32MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 6:34BOSMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot11
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 6:40MIAPierce STEAL (1 STL)11
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 6:56BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot11
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 7:09MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)11
22.9%
4
77.1%
Q1 - 7:14MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 7:16BOSMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot8
20.1%
4
79.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAAnderson STEAL (1 STL)8
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 7:27MIAHeat Rebound8
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS Jackson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot8
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 7:57BOSPierce 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 8:20MIAJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
21.3%
2
78.7%
Q1 - 8:41MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 8:43BOSMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot6
19.8%
2
80.2%
Q1 - 8:57MIAMourning 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)6
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 9:17BOSWalker 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 9:23BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Mourning 12' Fadeaway Jumper4
19.1%
0
80.9%
Q1 - 9:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.2%
0
79.8%
Q1 - 9:49BOSMISS Anderson 9' Jump Shot4
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 10:11MIAGrant 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
18.6%
0
81.4%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 10:25BOSMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 10:47BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot2
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:00BOSWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:05BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot2
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.4%
0
82.6%
Q1 - 11:16BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:45MIAGrant 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
16.4%
0
83.6%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Battie vs. Grant: Tip to Strickland0
15.4%
0
84.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
BOS
0.72 35.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
19
84%
BOS
10
26
38%
Midrange
MIA
16
45
36%
BOS
8
34
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
BOS
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
BOS
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2368%11.5 / 17
B. Grant1875%9.0 / 12
A. Mourning1447%7.0 / 15
L. Ellis956%4.5 / 8
R. Strickland744%3.5 / 8
J. Jackson627%3.0 / 11
E. House643%3.0 / 7
K. Gill440%2.0 / 5
V. Stepania2100%1.0 / 1
C. Gatling0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce2043%10.0 / 23
A. Walker1033%5.0 / 15
K. Anderson1036%5.0 / 14
E. Strickland964%4.5 / 7
V. Potapenko739%3.5 / 9
E. Williams536%2.5 / 7
J. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
M. Blount250%1.0 / 2
K. Brown18%0.5 / 6
T. Battie0-0.0 / 1
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+10
-15
88
BOS
83
+9
-7
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.6%
BOS
0.72 35.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.7
MIA 95.7 +22.4
BOS 73.3
Pace
89.7
95.1
MIA 79.4
BOS 108.5 +29.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
14.6
MIA 18.1
BOS 13.3 +4.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.6%
MIA 50.0% +18.8%
BOS 31.2%
TO %
15.5%
13.8%
MIA 15.2%
BOS 7.3% +7.9%
ORB %
26.7%
24.1%
MIA 23.1% +8.3%
BOS 14.8%
FTrt
26.8
29.1
MIA 23.7
BOS 33.8 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.4%
MIA 72.2% +17.7%
BOS 54.5%
STL %
7.4%
10.1%
MIA 5.4%
BOS 11.1% +5.7%
BLK %
8.7%
5.8%
MIA 13.3% +11.7%
BOS 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.7%
MIA 50.6% +14.7%
BOS 35.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
53.9%
MIA 84.2% +45.7%
BOS 38.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
36.6%
MIA 35.6% +12.1%
BOS 23.5%
3P %
34.7%
35.9%
MIA 33.3% +9.8%
BOS 23.5%
FT %
72.4%
76.4%
MIA 72.2% +3.0%
BOS 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.5%
MIA 25.0%
BOS 33.8% +8.8%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
36.6%
MIA 59.2%
BOS 44.2% +15.1%
3P Att. %
14.1%
28.9%
MIA 15.8%
BOS 22.1% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9390
Possession Minutes28.119.9
Points8966
Rebounds5538
Assists2612
Steals510
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)46 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals36-7622-77
At-the-Rim FG16-1910-26
Midrange FG16-458-34
2-Point FG32-6418-60
3-Point FG4-124-17
Free Throws13-1818-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jim Jackson
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
38.3
6
27%
7
4
2
0
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
Eddie Jones
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
37.1
23
68%
4
4
0
0
4
2
1
3
5-6
83%
6-11
55%
2-3
67%
Brian Grant
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
35.9
18
75%
12
6
1
1
0
3
3
9
0-0
-
9-12
75%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
30.8
14
47%
11
1
0
4
2
2
1
10
4-7
57%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
30.7
7
44%
6
6
1
1
3
1
1
5
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
20.6
4
40%
5
2
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
19.7
9
56%
2
0
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
17.3
6
43%
3
3
0
0
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Gatling
F · 6'10" · 34
7.3
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
2.4
2
100%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
55
26
5
8
15
0
9
46
13-18
72%
32-64
50%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.