FinalWin Prob.pScore
2818%85
89
1382%96
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.796104.3
IND logo IND
91.69588.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)89
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)89
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 288
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDRose 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 287
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)87
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDMISS Rose 1' Layup87
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)87
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)86
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDMISS Tinsley 12' Jump Shot85
96.8%
81
3.2%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
89.5%
81
10.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
87.9%
81
12.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
80.6%
81
19.4%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
74.2%
81
25.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)83
56.5%
81
43.5%
Q4 - 1:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)81
39.0%
81
61.0%
Q4 - 1:08INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot81
33.9%
81
66.1%
Q4 - 1:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
24.2%
81
75.8%
Q4 - 1:12INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot81
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q4 - 1:34MIAJones 3' Driving Layup (27 PTS)81
22.7%
81
77.3%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHeat Rebound79
16.2%
81
83.8%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot79
11.8%
81
88.2%
Q4 - 2:00INDO'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMourning 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)79
21.2%
79
78.8%
Q4 - 2:45INDRose 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)77
17.2%
79
82.8%
Q4 - 2:53INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
22.3%
77
77.7%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Strickland 2' Layup77
25.3%
77
74.7%
Q4 - 2:59MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
33.8%
77
66.2%
Q4 - 3:01INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot77
29.8%
77
70.2%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
21.7%
77
78.3%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 276
19.5%
77
80.5%
Q4 - 3:31MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
23.4%
77
76.6%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot76
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q4 - 3:47MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)76
23.6%
77
76.4%
Q4 - 3:47INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 276
22.6%
77
77.4%
Q4 - 3:47INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 276
18.6%
77
81.4%
Q4 - 3:51MIAMiller STEAL (2 STL)76
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q4 - 4:09INDMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot76
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)76
17.2%
77
82.8%
Q4 - 4:45MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
12.7%
77
87.3%
Q4 - 4:46INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot74
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q4 - 5:06MIAGatling 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 9 AST)74
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q4 - 5:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q4 - 5:23INDMISS Best 22' Jump Shot72
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 5:39INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot72
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 6:01INDBest 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)72
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 6:13MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 8 AST)72
9.7%
75
90.3%
Q4 - 6:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot70
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 6:49INDO'Neal 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Best 7 AST)70
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAJones 4' Driving Layup (25 PTS)70
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 7:17INDO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)68
10.2%
71
89.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q4 - 7:53INDBender 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)66
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q4 - 8:03MIAHarrington STEAL (7 STL)66
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q4 - 8:17INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)66
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q4 - 8:30MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P3.T19)66
13.8%
68
86.2%
Q4 - 8:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q4 - 8:49INDMISS Harrington 4' Jump Shot66
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q4 - 9:05MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (James 1 AST)66
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q4 - 9:17INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)64
11.3%
68
88.7%
Q4 - 9:17INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)64
11.7%
67
88.3%
Q4 - 9:20MIABest STEAL (3 STL)64
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q4 - 9:39MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q4 - 9:41INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot64
16.0%
66
84.0%
Q4 - 9:48INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot64
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
17.0%
66
83.0%
Q4 - 9:56INDMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot64
16.0%
66
84.0%
Q4 - 10:22MIAGrant 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)64
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHeat Rebound62
11.6%
66
88.4%
Q4 - 10:44INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot62
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q4 - 10:47INDPACERS Rebound62
9.3%
66
90.7%
Q4 - 10:47INDMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot62
10.9%
66
89.1%
Q4 - 11:01INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 262
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 262
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q4 - 11:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q4 - 11:10MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q4 - 11:29INDRose 5' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Best 6 AST)62
12.1%
66
87.9%
Q4 - 11:46INDPACERS Rebound62
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot62
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND62
17.5%
64
82.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound62
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Rose 41' 3PT Jump Shot62
16.6%
64
83.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
14.5%
64
85.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot62
15.3%
64
84.7%
Q3 - 0:13.0INDBest Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)62
17.3%
64
82.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0INDRogers 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Best 5 AST)62
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
24.0%
61
76.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0INDBest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)60
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 1:07MIARose STEAL (1 STL)60
23.2%
59
76.8%
Q3 - 1:14MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
27.0%
59
73.0%
Q3 - 1:15INDMISS Croshere 19' Jump Shot60
25.8%
59
74.2%
Q3 - 1:25INDPACERS Rebound60
23.3%
59
76.7%
Q3 - 1:26INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
25.8%
59
74.2%
Q3 - 1:38INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
23.3%
59
76.7%
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot60
24.4%
59
75.6%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
27.1%
59
72.9%
Q3 - 1:52INDMISS Bender Free Throw 2 of 260
26.5%
59
73.5%
Q3 - 1:52INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)60
24.3%
59
75.7%
Q3 - 1:55INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
27.0%
58
73.0%
Q3 - 1:57INDMISS Bender 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
29.8%
58
70.2%
Q3 - 2:13INDBender REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 2:15INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
28.6%
58
71.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)60
25.8%
58
74.2%
Q3 - 2:54INDBender 4' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)57
19.6%
58
80.4%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)57
22.4%
56
77.6%
Q3 - 3:40INDBender 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)55
19.6%
56
80.4%
Q3 - 3:47INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
25.6%
53
74.4%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot55
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q3 - 3:55MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q3 - 3:57INDMISS Tinsley 6' Jump Shot55
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning 4' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)55
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 4:36INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
22.0%
53
78.0%
Q3 - 4:36INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q3 - 4:52MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)53
24.7%
51
75.3%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q3 - 5:14INDMISS Harrington 3' Jump Shot51
20.7%
51
79.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q3 - 5:31MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
18.2%
51
81.8%
Q3 - 5:47INDTinsley 2' Layup (4 PTS)49
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q3 - 5:51MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)49
18.7%
49
81.3%
Q3 - 6:03INDMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T12)49
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q3 - 6:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 6:10INDMISS Harrington 5' Jump Shot49
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 6:24INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
18.4%
49
81.6%
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Jackson 2' Layup49
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIAHeat Rebound49
21.1%
49
78.9%
Q3 - 6:41INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.3%
49
79.7%
Q3 - 7:03INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
18.1%
49
81.9%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot49
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q3 - 7:13INDMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot49
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q3 - 7:33MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)49
18.1%
49
81.9%
Q3 - 7:33MIAStrickland 2' Layup (7 PTS)48
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q3 - 7:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 246
12.5%
49
87.5%
Q3 - 7:36MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
13.6%
49
86.4%
Q3 - 7:36MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
12.4%
49
87.6%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot45
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q3 - 7:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
12.4%
49
87.6%
Q3 - 7:57INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup45
11.9%
49
88.1%
Q3 - 8:09INDMiller Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)45
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q3 - 8:23MIAJones 5' Finger Roll (19 PTS)45
12.2%
48
87.8%
Q3 - 8:45INDBender 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)43
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q3 - 8:51MIAHarrington STEAL (6 STL)43
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q3 - 9:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q3 - 9:05INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot43
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q3 - 9:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q3 - 9:16INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot43
13.1%
46
86.9%
Q3 - 9:20MIAHarrington STEAL (5 STL)43
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q3 - 9:34INDMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot43
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q3 - 9:50MIAJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)43
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q3 - 10:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q3 - 10:08INDMISS Tinsley 11' Jump Shot43
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q3 - 10:26MIAJones 1' Slam Dunk (17 PTS)43
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q3 - 10:29INDRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)41
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q3 - 10:51MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)41
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q3 - 10:58MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q3 - 11:01INDMISS Rose 1' Layup39
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q3 - 11:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)39
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q3 - 11:13MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)38
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q3 - 11:17MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q3 - 11:19INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot36
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q3 - 11:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
4.7%
46
95.3%
Q3 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 2' Layup36
4.9%
46
95.1%
Q3 - 11:39INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)36
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA36
4.7%
46
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot36
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
5.1%
46
94.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHarrington BLOCK (3 BLK)36
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDRose 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)36
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHarrington STEAL (4 STL)36
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
7.1%
44
92.9%
Q2 - 1:01INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 236
7.2%
44
92.8%
Q2 - 1:01INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 1:04INDPACERS Rebound36
7.7%
43
92.3%
Q2 - 1:06INDMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot36
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 1:07INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 1:09INDMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot36
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 1:13INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
7.6%
43
92.4%
Q2 - 1:15MIACroshere BLOCK (2 BLK)36
7.8%
43
92.2%
Q2 - 1:32INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)36
8.1%
43
91.9%
Q2 - 1:38INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot36
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 1:57INDHarrington 8' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)36
10.3%
41
89.7%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
11.9%
39
88.1%
Q2 - 2:15MIAJackson 2' Layup (4 PTS)35
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 2:15INDHarrington 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
9.5%
39
90.5%
Q2 - 2:17INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 2:18INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup33
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 2:31INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 2:35INDMISS Croshere 3' Jump Shot33
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 2:40INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 2:42MIACroshere BLOCK (1 BLK)33
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 3:02MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
11.9%
37
88.1%
Q2 - 3:05INDMISS Tinsley 4' Jump Shot33
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q2 - 3:18MIAStrickland 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 3:41MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 3:43INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot31
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P3.T11)31
8.6%
37
91.4%
Q2 - 4:15INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)31
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 4:32MIAGatling 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)31
11.7%
34
88.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 4:37MIAHarrington BLOCK (2 BLK)29
9.8%
34
90.2%
Q2 - 4:51INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 4:51INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q2 - 4:53INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMISS Gatling 2' Layup29
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 4:57MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot29
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 5:18INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
12.8%
32
87.2%
Q2 - 5:18INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q2 - 5:34INDPACERS Rebound29
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot29
14.5%
30
85.5%
Q2 - 6:01INDHarrington 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Best 4 AST)29
15.5%
30
84.5%
Q2 - 6:16MIAJackson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
16.7%
28
83.3%
Q2 - 6:43INDCroshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 3 AST)27
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 7:05MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)27
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q2 - 7:09INDBest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)25
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q2 - 7:14MIABest STEAL (2 STL)25
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q2 - 7:37INDBender 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)25
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q2 - 7:49INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot25
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q2 - 7:59INDMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot25
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 8:17INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 8:19MIAHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)25
20.2%
22
79.8%
Q2 - 8:37INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T8)25
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q2 - 8:46MIAHarrington STEAL (3 STL)25
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
21.0%
22
79.0%
Q2 - 9:07INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot25
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q2 - 9:22MIABest STEAL (1 STL)25
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q2 - 9:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot25
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q2 - 9:40INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)25
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 10:04MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T7)25
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q2 - 10:18INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)25
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 10:25MIAHarrington STEAL (2 STL)25
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q2 - 10:40INDBender 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)25
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q2 - 10:59INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q2 - 11:00MIABender BLOCK (1 BLK)25
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q2 - 11:16INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)25
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q2 - 11:30MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q2 - 11:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.7%
20
76.3%
Q2 - 11:40INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot25
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND25
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound25
22.0%
20
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Harrington 22' Jump Shot25
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMourning 2' Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)25
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0INDMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot23
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAJones 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)23
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0INDRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 1:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot21
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 1:29INDRose 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 1 AST)21
17.0%
20
83.0%
Q1 - 1:34MIAHarrington STEAL (1 STL)21
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 1:48INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
19.9%
18
80.1%
Q1 - 1:48INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
20.1%
17
79.9%
Q1 - 2:06MIAJones 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)21
21.5%
16
78.5%
Q1 - 2:17INDBender Illegal Pick Turnover (P1.T3)19
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
18.5%
16
81.5%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
18.3%
16
81.7%
Q1 - 2:33INDBender 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)17
17.1%
16
82.9%
Q1 - 2:39INDRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 217
18.7%
14
81.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHeat Rebound16
18.4%
14
81.6%
Q1 - 2:39INDMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot16
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 2:57MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 3:11INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot16
17.7%
14
82.3%
Q1 - 3:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot16
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 3:43INDRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 3:43INDRose 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)16
19.6%
13
80.4%
Q1 - 4:03MIAFoster STEAL (1 STL)16
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 4:18MIAHeat Rebound16
22.0%
11
78.0%
Q1 - 4:20INDMISS Miller 2' Layup16
21.4%
11
78.6%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMourning 2' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)16
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 4:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
19.1%
11
80.9%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot14
18.0%
11
82.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.1%
11
80.9%
Q1 - 4:56INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot14
18.6%
11
81.4%
Q1 - 5:08MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
17.0%
11
83.0%
Q1 - 5:08MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 5:17INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot12
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 5:36MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)12
14.7%
11
85.3%
Q1 - 5:58MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 6:00INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot10
13.5%
11
86.5%
Q1 - 6:26MIAJones 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)10
12.7%
11
87.3%
Q1 - 6:30INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
11.8%
11
88.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAJones 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)8
11.0%
11
89.0%
Q1 - 7:07INDTinsley 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 7:12INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot6
11.2%
9
88.8%
Q1 - 7:27INDMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
11.8%
9
88.2%
Q1 - 7:33INDMISS Miller Free Throw Technical6
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 7:33INDPACERS Rebound6
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 7:34INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot6
11.5%
9
88.5%
Q1 - 7:58MIAMourning 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)6
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 8:16MIAHeat Rebound4
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 8:17INDMISS Foster 8' Jump Shot4
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 8:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot4
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 8:58INDRose 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)4
10.1%
9
89.9%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)4
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:13INDMiller 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMourning 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 9:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
11.5%
5
88.5%
Q1 - 9:50INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 9:58INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.1%
3
87.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot2
12.4%
3
87.6%
Q1 - 10:25INDFoster 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
13.0%
3
87.0%
Q1 - 10:42MIAGrant 1' Dunk (2 PTS)2
13.8%
1
86.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.0%
1
87.0%
Q1 - 10:47MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
12.4%
1
87.6%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.9%
1
87.1%
Q1 - 11:04INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot0
12.7%
1
87.3%
Q1 - 11:14INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
12.1%
1
87.9%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot0
12.4%
1
87.6%
Q1 - 11:38INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
12.9%
1
87.1%
Q1 - 11:38INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 20
13.1%
0
86.9%
Q1 - 11:42INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.9%
0
87.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIARose BLOCK (1 BLK)0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
13.7%
0
86.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
IND
0.90 44.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
29
66%
IND
11
25
44%
Midrange
MIA
13
37
35%
IND
13
44
30%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
3
33%
50%
IND
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
22
29
76%
IND
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2969%14.5 / 21
A. Mourning1959%9.5 / 16
R. Strickland1458%7.0 / 12
J. Jackson1255%6.0 / 11
B. Grant836%4.0 / 11
C. Gatling429%2.0 / 7
L. Ellis250%1.0 / 2
M. James113%0.5 / 4
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2048%10.0 / 21
J. Bender20100%10.0 / 10
R. Miller1393%6.5 / 7
J. O'Neal829%4.0 / 14
A. Harrington824%4.0 / 17
T. Best583%2.5 / 3
J. Tinsley418%2.0 / 11
A. Croshere440%2.0 / 5
J. Foster338%1.5 / 4
C. Rogers2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+11
-21
86
IND
83
+14
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
IND
0.90 44.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
101.3
MIA 92.7 +1.1
IND 91.6
Pace
89.7
94.6
MIA 104.3 +16.2
IND 88.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.1
MIA 13.8 +2.5
IND 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.7%
MIA 48.6% +7.0%
IND 41.6%
TO %
15.5%
15.2%
MIA 20.4%
IND 12.2% +8.2%
ORB %
26.7%
27.0%
MIA 27.8% +9.6%
IND 18.2%
FTrt
26.8
32.8
MIA 42.0 +13.1
IND 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
64.2%
MIA 66.7%
IND 71.0% +4.3%
STL %
7.4%
8.4%
MIA 5.2%
IND 15.8% +10.6%
BLK %
8.7%
7.8%
MIA 8.7%
IND 12.1% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
50.1%
MIA 51.1% +6.3%
IND 44.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.6%
MIA 65.5% +21.5%
IND 44.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
40.1%
MIA 35.1% +5.6%
IND 29.5%
3P %
34.7%
33.9%
MIA 33.3%
IND 50.0% +16.7%
FT %
72.4%
77.2%
MIA 75.9% +0.9%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
30.5%
MIA 42.0% +11.9%
IND 30.1%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
51.4%
MIA 53.6%
IND 53.0% +0.6%
3P Att. %
14.1%
18.2%
MIA 4.3%
IND 16.9% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points8987
Rebounds4634
Assists2222
Steals515
Blocks68
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (5)26 (2)
Field Goals33-6931-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2911-25
Midrange FG13-3713-44
2-Point FG32-6624-69
3-Point FG1-37-14
Free Throws22-2918-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
42.3
29
69%
1
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
7-7
100%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
35.9
14
58%
10
9
1
0
5
2
3
7
6-7
86%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
34.2
12
55%
10
2
1
1
4
2
0
10
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
34.2
19
59%
7
2
0
5
2
5
0
7
3-6
50%
8-13
62%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
26.5
8
36%
5
2
0
0
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
25.3
2
50%
3
1
1
0
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 34
14.9
4
29%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
12.6
1
13%
1
1
0
0
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
8.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
5.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
46
22
5
6
21
0
10
36
22-29
76%
32-66
48%
1-3
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.