FinalWin Prob.pScore
2822%84
80
1478%93
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
86.09393.9
DET logo DET
92.59392.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DETStackhouse Layup (24 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)80
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)80
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 280
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAEllis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 6 AST)80
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)77
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)77
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (House 5 AST)77
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAHeat Rebound74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS House 28' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T22)74
0.2%
81
99.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 2 of 274
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 1:18MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)72
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 1:22DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)70
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 1:42DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.6%
78
99.4%
Q4 - 1:43DETMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot70
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T17)70
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 2:22DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P2.T20)70
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 2:33MIAJones Foul Turnover (P3.T16)70
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 2:55DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)70
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 3:11DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 3:12DETMISS Stackhouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
5.1%
75
94.9%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q4 - 3:56DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 2 of 268
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q4 - 3:56DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 4:06DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q4 - 4:08DETMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 4:41MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)68
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q4 - 4:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 4:52DETMISS Rebraca 8' Hook Shot66
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q4 - 5:01DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q4 - 5:04MIAWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)66
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 5:16MIAHeat Rebound66
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q4 - 5:19DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q4 - 5:44MIAJackson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)66
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q4 - 6:08DETRebraca Dunk (10 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)64
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 6:27MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)64
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q4 - 6:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q4 - 6:36DETMISS Robinson 13' Running Jump Shot62
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q4 - 6:48MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T15)62
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q4 - 6:53MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q4 - 6:55DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot62
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q4 - 7:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)62
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 262
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q4 - 7:11MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q4 - 7:28DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q4 - 7:28DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q4 - 7:37DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q4 - 7:40MIABarros BLOCK (1 BLK)61
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q4 - 7:54DETBarros Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)61
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q4 - 8:18MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)61
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q4 - 8:33DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q4 - 8:33DETRebraca Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q4 - 8:50MIABarros STEAL (1 STL)58
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q4 - 9:09DETMISS Rebraca 10' Hook Shot58
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 257
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIAWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)57
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q4 - 9:49DETMISS Barros 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q4 - 9:59MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T13)57
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q4 - 10:16DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 10:16DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q4 - 10:21MIAGrant 10' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)57
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q4 - 10:37DETRebraca 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)55
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q4 - 10:50DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q4 - 11:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q4 - 11:11DETMISS Barros 18' Jump Shot55
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q4 - 11:35DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q4 - 11:37MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot55
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAHeat Rebound55
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot55
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETAtkins Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)55
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot55
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot55
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)55
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 1:10MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 1:12DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot53
3.7%
64
96.3%
Q3 - 1:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)53
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS House 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 1:56DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
3.9%
64
96.1%
Q3 - 1:56DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 253
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWilliamson STEAL (1 STL)53
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 2:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 2:06MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)53
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 2:24DETWilliamson Dunk (12 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)53
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 2:30DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)53
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q3 - 2:40DETMISS Atkins 29' 3PT Jump Shot53
6.6%
61
93.4%
Q3 - 2:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)53
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot53
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 3:20DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)53
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q3 - 3:24DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Strickland 15' Running Jump Shot53
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 3:56DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)53
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q3 - 4:06DETPISTONS Rebound53
8.6%
59
91.4%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMISS Strickland 14' Running Jump Shot53
9.1%
59
90.9%
Q3 - 4:26DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)53
10.3%
59
89.7%
Q3 - 5:00MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)53
13.7%
56
86.3%
Q3 - 5:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
12.2%
56
87.8%
Q3 - 5:11DETMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q3 - 5:27MIAEllis Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)51
10.4%
56
89.6%
Q3 - 5:40DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P5.T16)51
12.1%
56
87.9%
Q3 - 5:47MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)51
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q3 - 6:04DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)49
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q3 - 6:04DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 1 of 249
9.6%
55
90.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)49
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 6:25DETWilliamson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)46
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)46
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q3 - 7:07DETRobinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)44
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q3 - 7:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)44
6.9%
52
93.1%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot44
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
8.1%
52
91.9%
Q3 - 7:43DETMISS Williamson 18' Jump Shot44
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q3 - 8:05MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T10)44
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q3 - 8:26DETWilliamson Layup (10 PTS)44
8.2%
52
91.8%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T9)44
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Williamson 16' Jump Shot44
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAAtkins STEAL (1 STL)44
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q3 - 8:59MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot44
9.7%
50
90.3%
Q3 - 9:22DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P3.T14)44
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q3 - 9:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)44
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q3 - 9:27DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)44
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q3 - 9:53DETWilliamson Layup (8 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)44
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q3 - 10:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)44
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot44
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q3 - 10:31DETStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)44
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q3 - 10:53DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot44
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q3 - 11:12MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q3 - 11:13DETMISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot44
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)44
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q3 - 11:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q3 - 11:50DETMISS Wallace 6' Hook Shot42
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMISS Atkins Layup42
12.9%
46
87.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (House 4 AST)42
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0DETAtkins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)40
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot40
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHeat Rebound40
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 1:05DETMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot40
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 1:11DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot40
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 1:26DETWallace Dunk (4 PTS)40
10.6%
46
89.4%
Q2 - 1:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Atkins Layup40
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)40
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 1:54DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)38
10.6%
44
89.4%
Q2 - 2:07MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 2:07MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
9.7%
44
90.3%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q2 - 2:21DETMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot36
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 2:35MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 235
7.7%
44
92.3%
Q2 - 2:45DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)35
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 2:45DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)35
7.9%
43
92.1%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)35
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q2 - 3:10DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)33
8.0%
42
92.0%
Q2 - 3:10DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)33
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 3:12MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)33
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAHeat Rebound33
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 3:31DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot33
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 3:49MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P2.T5)33
8.9%
40
91.1%
Q2 - 4:15DETRobinson 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barros 2 AST)33
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIAGrant Dunk (12 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)33
11.0%
38
89.0%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 4:54DETMISS Barros 3PT Jump Shot31
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 5:04DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)31
9.3%
38
90.7%
Q2 - 5:35DETStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)31
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 5:46DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS House 11' Jump Shot31
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 6:01DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)31
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 6:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 6:04DETMISS Stackhouse 11' Jump Shot31
11.9%
36
88.1%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)31
11.0%
36
89.0%
Q2 - 6:37DETRebraca Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)29
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 6:55DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 6:58DETMISS Barros 16' Jump Shot29
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
9.3%
36
90.7%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 228
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 7:27MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 7:43DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot28
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 7:52DETMISS Barry 16' Fadeaway Jumper28
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 8:13MIAJones Dunk (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)28
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 8:16DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)26
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 8:30MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 8:53DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)24
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 8:53DETBarry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
7.1%
35
92.9%
Q2 - 8:56DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Jones Layup24
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 9:22DETBarros 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)24
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 9:46MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 3 AST)24
10.3%
30
89.7%
Q2 - 10:11DETRobinson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barros 1 AST)22
9.6%
30
90.4%
Q2 - 10:23DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot22
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 10:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.5%
28
88.5%
Q2 - 10:34DETMISS Rebraca 7' Hook Shot22
11.1%
28
88.9%
Q2 - 10:48DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q2 - 10:49MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot22
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 11:11DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
11.3%
28
88.7%
Q2 - 11:11DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 222
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q2 - 11:14DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Gill 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q2 - 11:42DETBarros Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)22
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 32' 3PT Jump Shot22
11.6%
27
88.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETStackhouse 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
12.2%
27
87.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
13.5%
25
86.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot22
13.7%
25
86.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETWilliamson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)22
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)22
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q1 - 1:07DETWilliamson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 1:26MIAJackson 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 1:48DETStackhouse Dunk (8 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)18
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 1:52DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Gill 15' Jump Shot18
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 2:11DETStackhouse 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)18
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 2:24MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 2:42MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 2:44DETMISS Rebraca 16' Jump Shot18
19.3%
17
80.7%
Q1 - 3:01MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)18
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 3:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot16
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 3:31DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 3:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot16
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 4:00DETStackhouse Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)16
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 4:07DETJump Ball Williamson vs. Grant: Tip to Atkins16
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 4:31DETRebraca 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)16
19.2%
15
80.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAGrant 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)16
20.3%
13
79.7%
Q1 - 5:12DETWilliamson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)14
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 5:18DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot14
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 5:28DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)14
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 5:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
19.8%
11
80.2%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 5:44DETWallace Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 5:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 5:48DETMISS Atkins 11' Running Jump Shot14
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 6:11DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot14
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 6:33DETRebraca Layup (2 PTS)14
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 6:35DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 6:37DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot14
26.1%
7
73.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
24.5%
7
75.5%
Q1 - 7:00DETPISTONS Turnover: Isolation Violation (T#5)12
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS)12
21.3%
7
78.7%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 7:22DETMISS Atkins 16' Jump Shot10
19.8%
7
80.2%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T2)10
18.9%
7
81.1%
Q1 - 7:39DETRobinson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
20.3%
7
79.7%
Q1 - 7:54MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
20.0%
5
80.0%
Q1 - 8:12DETMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.6%
5
80.4%
Q1 - 8:19DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot8
19.1%
5
80.9%
Q1 - 8:35DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)8
20.0%
5
80.0%
Q1 - 8:55MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)8
18.7%
5
81.3%
Q1 - 9:08DETWilliamson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 9:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
16.2%
5
83.8%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Grant 8' Hook Shot6
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 9:35DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
17.6%
5
82.4%
Q1 - 9:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
16.3%
5
83.7%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup6
16.7%
5
83.3%
Q1 - 10:08DETAtkins 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)6
17.4%
5
82.6%
Q1 - 10:13MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)6
18.4%
3
81.6%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
19.7%
3
80.3%
Q1 - 10:22DETMISS Atkins Free Throw 2 of 26
19.5%
3
80.5%
Q1 - 10:22DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
18.9%
3
81.1%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)6
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:01DETStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.3%
2
81.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
19.5%
0
80.5%
Q1 - 11:30DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
18.3%
0
81.7%
Q1 - 11:47MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
16.2%
0
83.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.6%
DET
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
9
67%
DET
11
13
85%
Midrange
MIA
22
48
46%
DET
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
15
27%
40%
DET
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
DET
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant2292%11.0 / 12
A. Mourning1882%9.0 / 11
E. Jones1544%7.5 / 17
R. Strickland840%4.0 / 10
J. Jackson857%4.0 / 7
L. Ellis536%2.5 / 7
E. House314%1.5 / 11
C. Gatling117%0.5 / 3
K. Gill0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2460%12.0 / 20
C. Williamson1464%7.0 / 11
C. Atkins1246%6.0 / 13
Z. Rebraca1056%5.0 / 9
C. Robinson956%4.5 / 8
B. Wallace750%3.5 / 7
J. Barry550%2.5 / 5
D. Barros330%1.5 / 5
M. Curry250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+8
-18
83
DET
73
+9
-20
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.6%
DET
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
102.0
MIA 86.0
DET 92.5 +6.5
Pace
89.7
92.6
MIA 93.9 +1.8
DET 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.7
MIA 15.3 +0.3
DET 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.7%
MIA 47.2%
DET 49.2% +2.0%
TO %
15.5%
15.0%
MIA 18.5% +3.6%
DET 22.1%
ORB %
26.7%
24.5%
MIA 11.1%
DET 25.7% +14.6%
FTrt
26.8
31.0
MIA 22.2
DET 44.6 +22.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
62.0%
MIA 75.0% +15.0%
DET 60.0%
STL %
7.4%
8.5%
MIA 12.9% +6.4%
DET 6.5%
BLK %
8.7%
10.2%
MIA 4.1%
DET 10.5% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.3%
MIA 47.6%
DET 52.4% +4.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.4%
MIA 66.7%
DET 84.6% +17.9%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.1%
MIA 45.8% +4.1%
DET 41.7%
3P %
34.7%
37.6%
MIA 26.7% +1.7%
DET 25.0%
FT %
72.4%
75.6%
MIA 75.0%
DET 75.9% +0.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
31.6%
MIA 12.5%
DET 20.0% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
44.4%
MIA 66.7%
DET 55.4% +11.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
23.9%
MIA 20.8%
DET 24.6% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points8086
Rebounds3041
Assists2418
Steals126
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)20 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals32-7230-65
At-the-Rim FG6-911-13
Midrange FG22-4815-36
2-Point FG28-5726-49
3-Point FG4-154-16
Free Throws12-1622-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
42.0
22
92%
6
3
1
0
2
6
1
5
2-2
100%
10-11
91%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
38.4
15
44%
4
5
6
1
3
4
1
3
1-2
50%
4-12
33%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
36.8
18
82%
10
0
0
1
3
6
1
9
4-6
67%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
29.7
8
40%
2
7
4
0
4
5
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
26.9
8
57%
4
2
0
0
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
22.3
3
14%
2
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-5
20%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
17.6
5
36%
1
0
0
0
3
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
14.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 34
8.2
1
17%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
48%
30
24
12
2
18
0
4
26
12-16
75%
28-57
49%
4-15
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.