FinalWin Prob.pScore
158%99
99
842%96
102
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
92.5107101.2
MIL logo MIL
96.210693.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

BucksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIL
OT1 - 0:00.0MIL99
0%
102
100%
OT1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Duncan 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.7%
102
99.3%
OT1 - 0:05.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)99
1.4%
102
98.6%
OT1 - 0:05.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)99
1.6%
101
98.4%
OT1 - 0:05.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
3.0%
100
97.0%
OT1 - 0:06.0SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
20.3%
100
79.7%
OT1 - 0:28.0MILThomas 7' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)99
46.8%
100
53.2%
OT1 - 0:34.0MILBUCKS Rebound99
62.7%
98
37.3%
OT1 - 0:35.0MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot99
77.4%
98
22.6%
OT1 - 0:55.0SASMason STEAL (1 STL)99
62.2%
98
37.8%
OT1 - 1:13MILThomas Driving Layup (22 PTS)99
75.0%
98
25.0%
OT1 - 1:27SASDuncan 6' Running Jump Shot (38 PTS)99
82.4%
96
17.6%
OT1 - 1:46MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)97
73.6%
96
26.4%
OT1 - 1:46MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Mason 8 AST)97
82.0%
95
18.0%
OT1 - 1:50MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)97
87.5%
93
12.5%
OT1 - 1:51SASMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot97
89.1%
93
10.9%
OT1 - 2:09SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)97
92.6%
93
7.4%
OT1 - 2:12MILMISS Redd Layup97
91.2%
93
8.8%
OT1 - 2:27SASRedd STEAL (3 STL)97
86.5%
93
13.5%
OT1 - 2:40SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)97
92.8%
93
7.2%
OT1 - 2:42SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot97
88.8%
93
11.2%
OT1 - 3:04SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
90.8%
93
9.2%
OT1 - 3:06MILMISS Mason Layup97
89.3%
93
10.7%
OT1 - 3:24SASSmith Layup (13 PTS)97
84.7%
93
15.3%
OT1 - 3:36SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
77.1%
93
22.9%
OT1 - 3:38MILMISS Thomas Layup95
75.0%
93
25.0%
OT1 - 3:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)95
69.7%
93
30.3%
OT1 - 3:55SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)94
68.3%
93
31.7%
OT1 - 4:12SASSpurs Rebound93
61.7%
93
38.3%
OT1 - 4:13MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
58.8%
93
41.2%
OT1 - 4:31SASRedd STEAL (2 STL)93
51.9%
93
48.1%
OT1 - 4:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)93
61.7%
93
38.3%
OT1 - 4:45SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot93
54.9%
93
45.1%
OT1 - 5:00MILJump Ball Thomas vs. Duncan: Tip to Porter93
61.7%
93
38.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)93
41.9%
93
58.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)92
37.5%
93
62.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASSpurs Rebound91
22.9%
93
77.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot91
18.3%
93
81.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASDuncan Layup (32 PTS)91
12.0%
93
88.0%
Q4 - 0:44.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)89
10.2%
93
89.8%
Q4 - 0:45.0MILMISS Redd Layup89
8.4%
93
91.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
6.1%
93
93.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASMISS Porter 3PT Jump Shot89
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 1:03SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
12.9%
93
87.1%
Q4 - 1:04MILMISS Cassell Layup89
10.9%
93
89.1%
Q4 - 1:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
8.8%
93
91.2%
Q4 - 1:20SASMISS Duncan Layup89
10.8%
93
89.2%
Q4 - 1:24SASSpurs Rebound89
16.7%
93
83.3%
Q4 - 1:25SASMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot89
11.6%
93
88.4%
Q4 - 1:42MILMason 7' Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
19.2%
93
80.8%
Q4 - 2:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)89
28.0%
91
72.0%
Q4 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 288
26.4%
91
73.6%
Q4 - 2:21MILCassell 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mason 7 AST)88
32.6%
91
67.4%
Q4 - 2:42SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
38.1%
89
61.9%
Q4 - 2:42SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)87
35.8%
89
64.2%
Q4 - 2:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
33.1%
89
66.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASMISS Porter 29' 3PT Jump Shot86
23.1%
89
76.9%
Q4 - 3:03MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
33.2%
89
66.8%
Q4 - 3:03MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 286
34.3%
88
65.7%
Q4 - 3:06MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
29.4%
88
70.6%
Q4 - 3:08SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
33.4%
88
66.6%
Q4 - 3:34MILThomas Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)86
43.9%
88
56.1%
Q4 - 3:52SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 186
53.5%
86
46.5%
Q4 - 3:52SASDaniels Layup (8 PTS)86
52.2%
86
47.8%
Q4 - 3:54SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
43.3%
86
56.7%
Q4 - 3:57MILMISS Cassell 10' Jump Shot84
40.4%
86
59.6%
Q4 - 4:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
33.8%
86
66.2%
Q4 - 4:12SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
36.5%
86
63.5%
Q4 - 4:25SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
43.0%
86
57.0%
Q4 - 4:27MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot84
40.0%
86
60.0%
Q4 - 4:46MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
33.4%
86
66.6%
Q4 - 4:48SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot84
36.2%
86
63.8%
Q4 - 5:03SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
45.2%
86
54.8%
Q4 - 5:05MILMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot84
42.6%
86
57.4%
Q4 - 5:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
36.7%
86
63.3%
Q4 - 5:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)83
35.3%
86
64.7%
Q4 - 5:34MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T17)82
29.5%
86
70.5%
Q4 - 5:53MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
22.7%
86
77.3%
Q4 - 5:55SASJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)82
24.7%
86
75.3%
Q4 - 6:09SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
32.8%
86
67.2%
Q4 - 6:10MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot82
30.5%
86
69.5%
Q4 - 6:33SASDaniels Layup (6 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)82
25.5%
86
74.5%
Q4 - 6:35SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
20.9%
86
79.1%
Q4 - 6:37MILMISS Alston Layup80
19.2%
86
80.8%
Q4 - 6:55SASDuncan Dunk (27 PTS)80
15.6%
86
84.4%
Q4 - 7:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)78
15.4%
86
84.6%
Q4 - 7:16MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 278
14.9%
86
85.1%
Q4 - 7:16MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)78
12.6%
86
87.4%
Q4 - 7:34SASJohnson STEAL (2 STL)78
14.8%
85
85.2%
Q4 - 7:40SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
19.2%
85
80.8%
Q4 - 7:42MILMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
17.8%
85
82.2%
Q4 - 8:08SASPorter 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)78
17.2%
85
82.8%
Q4 - 8:14SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q4 - 8:17MILMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot75
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q4 - 8:36MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 8:38SASMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot75
9.4%
85
90.6%
Q4 - 8:44SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q4 - 8:46MILMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot75
10.3%
85
89.8%
Q4 - 8:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
8.7%
85
91.3%
Q4 - 9:00SASMISS Smith Reverse Layup75
9.3%
85
90.7%
Q4 - 9:16SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
12.8%
85
87.2%
Q4 - 9:17MILMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 275
12.4%
85
87.6%
Q4 - 9:17MILMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 275
10.7%
85
89.3%
Q4 - 9:26MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q4 - 9:28SASMISS Daniels Layup75
10.9%
85
89.1%
Q4 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)75
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 9:34MILMISS Ham 7' Hook Shot75
11.9%
85
88.1%
Q4 - 9:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)75
10.2%
85
89.8%
Q4 - 9:51SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)74
9.8%
85
90.2%
Q4 - 10:08MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q4 - 10:08MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)73
10.0%
84
90.0%
Q4 - 10:09MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
11.5%
83
88.5%
Q4 - 10:11MILMISS Thomas Layup73
13.3%
83
86.7%
Q4 - 10:27SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (23 PTS)73
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 10:45MILJohnson 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ham 2 AST)71
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q4 - 11:08SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)71
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q4 - 11:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
10.4%
81
89.6%
Q4 - 11:13MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q4 - 11:33SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)69
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q4 - 11:41MILCassell Layup (10 PTS)66
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q4 - 11:45SASCassell STEAL (2 STL)66
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL66
8.5%
79
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound66
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Cassell 72' 3PT Jump Shot66
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASRobinson STEAL (1 STL)66
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MILMason 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)66
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 265
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASSpurs Rebound65
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Duncan 8' Running Jump Shot65
10.3%
77
89.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILJohnson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16)65
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
9.7%
77
90.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MILMISS Thomas 12' Jump Shot65
11.0%
77
89.0%
Q3 - 1:06MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q3 - 1:07SASMISS Smith Layup65
11.7%
77
88.3%
Q3 - 1:27MILThomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)65
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q3 - 1:39MILHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
18.2%
74
81.8%
Q3 - 1:40MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot65
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q3 - 1:51MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
18.2%
74
81.8%
Q3 - 1:54SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
19.1%
74
80.9%
Q3 - 2:05MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)65
22.7%
74
77.3%
Q3 - 2:05MILBUCKS Rebound65
19.4%
74
80.6%
Q3 - 2:05MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot65
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q3 - 2:38SASDuncan Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)65
19.3%
74
80.7%
Q3 - 2:55MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)63
16.8%
74
83.2%
Q3 - 3:15SASBryant Layup (2 PTS)63
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 3:17SASBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
13.3%
74
86.7%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 261
11.5%
74
88.5%
Q3 - 3:18SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 261
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q3 - 3:33MILCassell 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q3 - 3:49SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)61
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q3 - 3:51MILJohnson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)59
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 3:52SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)59
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)59
13.2%
72
86.8%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q3 - 4:14MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q3 - 4:14MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 4:19MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 4:21SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot59
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q3 - 4:43MILMason 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)59
19.1%
70
80.9%
Q3 - 5:00SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
21.5%
68
78.5%
Q3 - 5:00SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
20.7%
68
79.3%
Q3 - 5:17MILRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)57
20.2%
68
79.8%
Q3 - 5:20MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
25.8%
65
74.2%
Q3 - 5:22MILMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot57
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q3 - 5:32MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
25.8%
65
74.2%
Q3 - 5:34SASMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot57
26.9%
65
73.1%
Q3 - 5:52MILRobinson 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)57
29.4%
65
70.6%
Q3 - 6:11SASSmith 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
33.7%
63
66.3%
Q3 - 6:27MILThomas Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)55
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 6:41SASSmith 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
26.9%
63
73.1%
Q3 - 6:55MILPrzybilla Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)53
24.1%
63
75.9%
Q3 - 7:15MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Bowen 4' Running Jump Shot53
22.6%
63
77.4%
Q3 - 7:41SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q3 - 7:42MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot53
23.9%
63
76.1%
Q3 - 8:04SASParker Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)53
22.7%
63
77.3%
Q3 - 8:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)51
20.5%
63
79.5%
Q3 - 8:09MILMISS Redd Layup51
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 8:28MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
17.8%
63
82.2%
Q3 - 8:30SASMISS Robinson Layup51
18.5%
63
81.5%
Q3 - 8:46MILPrzybilla Layup (4 PTS) (Mason 6 AST)51
20.4%
63
79.6%
Q3 - 8:57MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
22.6%
61
77.4%
Q3 - 8:59SASMISS Bowen 13' Jump Shot51
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 9:23MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)51
26.6%
61
73.4%
Q3 - 9:39SASSmith Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)51
29.4%
59
70.6%
Q3 - 9:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)49
26.5%
59
73.5%
Q3 - 9:53MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot49
25.6%
59
74.4%
Q3 - 10:10SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)49
24.8%
59
75.2%
Q3 - 10:22SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 10:24MILMISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot49
26.9%
59
73.1%
Q3 - 10:32SASRedd STEAL (1 STL)49
24.7%
59
75.3%
Q3 - 10:43MILCassell 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 5 AST)49
27.8%
59
72.2%
Q3 - 11:00MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 249
32.2%
57
67.8%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 249
34.3%
57
65.7%
Q3 - 11:13SASSpurs Rebound49
34.9%
57
65.1%
Q3 - 11:15MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot49
33.9%
57
66.1%
Q3 - 11:29SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q3 - 11:45MILRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T10)47
28.9%
57
71.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound47
28.8%
57
71.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Rose 37' 3PT Jump Shot47
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot47
29.1%
57
70.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot47
29.1%
57
70.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
27.7%
57
72.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILRobinson Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)47
29.6%
57
70.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)47
32.5%
56
67.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot47
31.0%
56
69.0%
Q2 - 1:01MILHam Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)47
33.0%
56
67.0%
Q2 - 1:01MILHam Layup (4 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)47
35.9%
55
64.1%
Q2 - 1:22SASDuncan Layup (13 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)47
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 1:38MILMason 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)45
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q2 - 1:56MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q2 - 1:58SASMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot45
40.8%
51
59.2%
Q2 - 2:11MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)45
43.2%
51
56.8%
Q2 - 2:24MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q2 - 2:25SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot45
41.2%
51
58.8%
Q2 - 2:35SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
43.1%
51
56.9%
Q2 - 2:37MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot45
42.3%
51
57.7%
Q2 - 2:49MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q2 - 2:51SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot45
41.2%
51
58.8%
Q2 - 3:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
44.5%
51
55.5%
Q2 - 3:08MILMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot45
43.4%
51
56.6%
Q2 - 3:22MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
41.1%
51
58.9%
Q2 - 3:23SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot45
42.1%
51
57.9%
Q2 - 3:41MILRobinson 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)45
44.4%
51
55.6%
Q2 - 3:47MILAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
47.0%
49
53.0%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Bowen Hook Shot45
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q2 - 3:50SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 3:53SASMISS Bowen Layup45
48.0%
49
52.0%
Q2 - 4:13MILRobinson 3' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)45
50.7%
49
49.3%
Q2 - 4:25SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)45
53.6%
47
46.4%
Q2 - 4:42MILAlston 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)43
50.7%
47
49.3%
Q2 - 4:44MILAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
56.4%
44
43.6%
Q2 - 4:45MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q2 - 4:53SASAlston STEAL (1 STL)43
56.4%
44
43.6%
Q2 - 5:04MILRedd 27' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)43
59.6%
44
40.4%
Q2 - 5:18MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
64.7%
41
35.3%
Q2 - 5:20SASRedd BLOCK (1 BLK)43
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 5:43MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)43
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q2 - 5:59SASDaniels 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
69.7%
39
30.3%
Q2 - 6:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
67.6%
39
32.4%
Q2 - 6:06MILMISS Alston Layup41
66.7%
39
33.3%
Q2 - 6:19MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 6:22SASMason BLOCK (1 BLK)41
65.5%
39
34.5%
Q2 - 6:31MILHam Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)41
67.6%
39
32.4%
Q2 - 6:32SASHam STEAL (1 STL)41
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 6:49MILRobinson 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)41
67.6%
39
32.4%
Q2 - 7:05MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
69.4%
37
30.6%
Q2 - 7:05SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 241
69.8%
37
30.2%
Q2 - 7:05SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)41
71.1%
37
28.9%
Q2 - 7:15MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
69.6%
37
30.4%
Q2 - 7:15MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)40
71.8%
36
28.2%
Q2 - 7:33SASDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)40
73.7%
34
26.3%
Q2 - 7:37MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
71.8%
34
28.2%
Q2 - 8:01MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
69.8%
34
30.2%
Q2 - 8:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
71.5%
34
28.5%
Q2 - 8:13MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
70.8%
34
29.2%
Q2 - 8:26MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 8:29SASHam BLOCK (1 BLK)38
69.8%
34
30.2%
Q2 - 8:35MILAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
71.5%
34
28.5%
Q2 - 8:47SASRobinson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)38
69.1%
34
30.9%
Q2 - 9:01MILThomas 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)36
67.0%
34
33.0%
Q2 - 9:17MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
68.9%
32
31.1%
Q2 - 9:19SASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)36
69.7%
32
30.3%
Q2 - 9:34MILHam Layup (2 PTS)36
71.3%
32
28.7%
Q2 - 9:55SASSmith Running Layup (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)36
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 10:13MILThomas 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)34
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 10:25MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
74.7%
27
25.3%
Q2 - 10:27SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot34
75.3%
27
24.7%
Q2 - 10:48MILMason 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)34
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 11:09SASSmith Layup (2 PTS)34
78.0%
25
22.0%
Q2 - 11:11MILThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q2 - 11:13MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
74.5%
25
25.5%
Q2 - 11:15SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot32
75.1%
25
24.9%
Q2 - 11:40MILMason 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)32
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS32
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound32
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
79.2%
23
20.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)30
74.4%
23
25.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 130
74.5%
23
25.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASParker Layup (8 PTS)30
74.4%
23
25.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0MILCassell Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T4)28
72.1%
23
27.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASParker Running Layup (6 PTS)28
70.6%
23
29.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot26
67.6%
23
32.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASParker Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)26
66.5%
23
33.5%
Q1 - 1:17MILThomas 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)24
63.9%
23
36.1%
Q1 - 1:22SASCassell STEAL (1 STL)24
68.6%
20
31.4%
Q1 - 1:44MILThomas Layup (5 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)24
70.1%
20
29.9%
Q1 - 1:47MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
72.5%
18
27.5%
Q1 - 1:49SASMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot24
72.9%
18
27.1%
Q1 - 2:14MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)24
74.2%
18
25.8%
Q1 - 2:38SASRose Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)24
77.7%
15
22.3%
Q1 - 2:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
75.9%
15
24.1%
Q1 - 2:45MILMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
75.5%
15
24.5%
Q1 - 2:52MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 2:54SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot22
74.8%
15
25.2%
Q1 - 3:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
75.9%
15
24.1%
Q1 - 3:02MILMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot22
75.0%
15
25.0%
Q1 - 3:14SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)22
73.7%
15
26.3%
Q1 - 3:32MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)22
75.6%
15
24.4%
Q1 - 3:50SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
77.1%
13
22.9%
Q1 - 3:50SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 221
76.7%
13
23.3%
Q1 - 3:55SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
77.3%
13
22.7%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
76.0%
13
24.0%
Q1 - 4:26MILMason 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)21
77.1%
13
22.9%
Q1 - 4:51SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)21
78.3%
11
21.7%
Q1 - 4:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
75.5%
11
24.5%
Q1 - 5:02MILMISS Mason Layup18
74.4%
11
25.6%
Q1 - 5:10MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 5:12SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot18
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 5:20MILMISS Thomas Layup18
74.4%
11
25.6%
Q1 - 5:27MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 5:30SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot18
73.7%
11
26.3%
Q1 - 5:42MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 5:42MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
75.5%
10
24.5%
Q1 - 5:56SASSmith Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)18
76.4%
9
23.6%
Q1 - 6:21MILRobinson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
74.4%
9
25.6%
Q1 - 6:32MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
75.8%
7
24.2%
Q1 - 6:35SASMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot16
76.3%
7
23.7%
Q1 - 6:47MILCassell Foul Turnover (P2.T3)16
77.4%
7
22.6%
Q1 - 7:03SASRose Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
75.1%
7
24.9%
Q1 - 7:15MILCassell 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
73.8%
7
26.2%
Q1 - 7:26MILBUCKS Rebound14
75.1%
5
24.9%
Q1 - 7:27MILMISS Cassell Layup14
76.2%
5
23.8%
Q1 - 7:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
75.2%
5
24.8%
Q1 - 7:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
74.9%
5
25.1%
Q1 - 7:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
73.9%
5
26.1%
Q1 - 7:39SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot12
72.7%
5
27.3%
Q1 - 7:55MILJump Ball Cassell vs. Parker: Tip to Smith12
73.9%
5
26.1%
Q1 - 8:24SASRobinson Dunk (2 PTS)12
72.5%
5
27.5%
Q1 - 8:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
71.2%
5
28.8%
Q1 - 8:26SASPrzybilla BLOCK (1 BLK)10
70.0%
5
30.0%
Q1 - 8:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
71.2%
5
28.8%
Q1 - 8:32MILMISS Robinson Layup10
70.6%
5
29.4%
Q1 - 8:53SASPrzybilla STEAL (1 STL)10
69.4%
5
30.6%
Q1 - 9:09MILPrzybilla Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)10
71.2%
5
28.8%
Q1 - 9:22MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
72.3%
3
27.7%
Q1 - 9:26SASMISS Smith Layup10
72.9%
3
27.1%
Q1 - 9:36SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
74.2%
3
25.8%
Q1 - 9:39MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot10
73.6%
3
26.4%
Q1 - 9:54SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)10
72.3%
3
27.7%
Q1 - 10:15MILMason 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)7
69.4%
3
30.6%
Q1 - 10:32SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
70.7%
1
29.3%
Q1 - 10:51MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
69.4%
1
30.6%
Q1 - 10:51MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 25
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 11:05SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 11:09MILRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:19MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot3
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:30MILMISS Przybilla Layup3
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:32MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 11:34MILMISS Robinson 8' Jump Shot3
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 11:46SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS)2
64.3%
0
35.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Przybilla vs. Robinson: Tip to Parker0
62.5%
0
37.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
23
37
62%
MIL
11
25
44%
Midrange
SAS
11
34
32%
MIL
22
46
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
SAS
19
29
66%
MIL
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3858%19.0 / 33
S. Smith1350%6.5 / 13
T. Parker1050%5.0 / 10
M. Rose844%4.0 / 9
A. Daniels844%4.0 / 9
C. Smith732%3.5 / 11
D. Robinson650%3.0 / 6
B. Bowen319%1.5 / 8
T. Porter350%1.5 / 3
M. Bryant375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Robinson2463%12.0 / 19
T. Thomas2460%12.0 / 20
A. Mason1860%9.0 / 15
S. Cassell1534%7.5 / 22
M. Redd739%3.5 / 9
D. Ham563%2.5 / 3
J. Przybilla467%2.0 / 3
R. Alston330%1.5 / 5
E. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
92
+14
-15
106
MIL
90
+12
-16
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.7%
MIL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
104.4
SAS 92.5
MIL 96.2 +3.7
Pace
92.4
92.5
SAS 101.2 +7.9
MIL 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.4
SAS 14.2 +1.2
MIL 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
50.7%
SAS 45.5%
MIL 50.0% +4.5%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
SAS 13.0% +2.1%
MIL 15.1%
ORB %
27.2%
25.6%
SAS 21.2% +4.1%
MIL 17.1%
FTrt
35.3
26.9
SAS 33.0 +10.0
MIL 23.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
60.7%
SAS 52.6%
MIL 75.0% +22.4%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
SAS 5.6%
MIL 11.3% +5.7%
BLK %
9.5%
7.1%
SAS 9.9% +1.4%
MIL 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
51.7%
SAS 46.7%
MIL 50.0% +3.3%
Rim FG%
60.3%
56.1%
SAS 62.2% +18.2%
MIL 44.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
45.1%
SAS 32.4%
MIL 47.8% +15.4%
3P %
36.2%
37.5%
SAS 23.5%
MIL 43.8% +20.3%
FT %
74.2%
74.8%
SAS 65.5%
MIL 75.0% +9.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
27.2%
SAS 42.0% +13.3%
MIL 28.7%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
48.8%
SAS 38.6% +14.2%
MIL 52.9%
3P Att. %
19.0%
24.1%
SAS 19.3% +0.9%
MIL 18.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsSASMIL
Possessions107106
Possession Minutes25.427.3
Points99102
Rebounds4548
Assists2030
Steals612
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)41 (0)
Field Goals38-8840-87
At-the-Rim FG23-3711-25
Midrange FG11-3422-46
2-Point FG34-7133-71
3-Point FG4-177-16
Free Throws19-2915-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
50.4
38
58%
16
3
0
3
6
1
4
12
12-15
80%
13-24
54%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 20
33.1
10
50%
2
7
1
0
3
4
0
2
0-3
0%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
G · 6'8" 221 · 33
30.4
13
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 200 · 31
26.5
3
19%
1
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-6
0%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 250 · 36
20.5
6
50%
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
29.0
8
44%
11
0
0
0
1
2
3
8
4-6
67%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
27.2
7
32%
4
2
1
3
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
21.9
8
44%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
19.9
3
50%
3
3
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 37
6.1
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29
C · 6'11" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
99
47%
45
20
6
7
15
0
11
34
19-29
66%
34-71
48%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.