FinalWin Prob.pScore
2747%88
91
2853%89
86
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
95.89599.1
MIA logo MIA
86.99995.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MEM91
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 290
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)90
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 290
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 290
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)90
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)90
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 0:17.0MEMWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMourning Layup (18 PTS)88
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)88
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot88
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Williams: Tip to88
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)88
98.7%
82
1.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MEMGasol Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)88
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 1:07MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)86
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Gill 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
98.5%
79
1.5%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
98.3%
79
1.7%
Q4 - 1:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
96.8%
79
3.2%
Q4 - 1:25MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot86
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 1:41MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
97.6%
79
2.4%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot86
97.1%
79
2.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)86
94.9%
79
5.1%
Q4 - 2:06MEMMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot86
95.8%
79
4.2%
Q4 - 2:19MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 4 AST)86
97.3%
79
2.7%
Q4 - 2:32MEMWilliams 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q4 - 2:51MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
97.4%
76
2.6%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
96.9%
76
3.1%
Q4 - 2:59MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
95.6%
76
4.4%
Q4 - 3:01MEMMISS Gasol Dunk84
96.3%
76
3.7%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (16 PTS)84
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 3:38MEMBattier Layup (15 PTS) (Long 4 AST)84
96.7%
74
3.3%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P6.T20)82
95.7%
74
4.3%
Q4 - 4:10MEMGrizzlies Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)82
93.9%
74
6.1%
Q4 - 4:34MEMGrizzlies Rebound82
95.9%
74
4.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMISS House 23' Jump Shot82
95.4%
74
4.6%
Q4 - 4:52MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T17)82
94.0%
74
6.0%
Q4 - 5:11MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
94.0%
74
6.0%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Mourning Dunk82
93.4%
74
6.6%
Q4 - 5:25MEMGill STEAL (1 STL)82
91.8%
74
8.2%
Q4 - 5:39MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)82
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 282
94.6%
73
5.4%
Q4 - 6:06MEMLong 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)82
92.0%
73
8.0%
Q4 - 6:12MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
90.0%
73
10.0%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot80
89.0%
73
11.0%
Q4 - 6:31MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
86.5%
73
13.5%
Q4 - 6:33MEMMISS Long 19' Jump Shot80
87.7%
73
12.3%
Q4 - 6:58MIAJackson Layup (14 PTS) (House 3 AST)80
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q4 - 7:03MEMGatling STEAL (2 STL)80
90.4%
71
9.6%
Q4 - 7:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
92.8%
71
7.2%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot80
92.2%
71
7.8%
Q4 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
90.5%
71
9.5%
Q4 - 7:34MEMMISS Buford 20' Jump Shot80
91.3%
71
8.7%
Q4 - 8:13MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
94.5%
69
5.5%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS Gatling 9' Hook Shot78
90.6%
69
9.4%
Q4 - 8:53MEMBuford 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)78
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q4 - 9:09MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)76
84.8%
69
15.2%
Q4 - 9:33MEMMassenburg Dunk (10 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)76
81.3%
69
18.7%
Q4 - 9:51MIAHouse 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)74
77.6%
69
22.4%
Q4 - 10:06MEMMassenburg Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)74
79.7%
67
20.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAGill Driving Layup (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)72
76.2%
67
23.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
79.8%
65
20.2%
Q4 - 10:31MEMMISS Gasol 6' Running Jump Shot72
81.0%
65
19.0%
Q4 - 10:54MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)72
83.5%
65
16.4%
Q4 - 10:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
79.9%
65
20.1%
Q4 - 10:59MEMMISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot72
81.1%
65
18.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJackson 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
82.1%
65
17.9%
Q4 - 11:27MEMGatling STEAL (1 STL)72
85.0%
63
15.0%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)72
87.7%
63
12.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEM72
85.1%
63
14.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
87.7%
63
12.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Solomon 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
84.7%
63
15.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAGill Layup (4 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)72
86.5%
63
13.5%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
88.7%
61
11.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MEMMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)72
89.3%
61
10.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)72
90.6%
61
9.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0MEMMISS Solomon Free Throw 2 of 272
92.5%
59
7.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0MEMSolomon Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)72
93.3%
59
6.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)71
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 1:10MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)71
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q3 - 1:10MEMBattier 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
91.2%
57
8.8%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P4.T16)68
89.6%
57
10.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
87.6%
57
12.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAMISS Mourning 3' Hook Shot68
89.0%
57
11.0%
Q3 - 1:38MEMSolomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)68
87.6%
57
12.4%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (House 1 AST)65
81.3%
57
18.7%
Q3 - 2:17MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
83.8%
55
16.2%
Q3 - 2:17MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
83.2%
55
16.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
81.4%
55
18.6%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 263
82.3%
54
17.7%
Q3 - 2:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)63
81.1%
54
18.9%
Q3 - 2:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
83.8%
53
16.2%
Q3 - 2:44MEMMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot63
84.7%
53
15.3%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
86.4%
53
13.6%
Q3 - 2:57MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 263
87.1%
52
12.9%
Q3 - 3:11MEMHouse STEAL (1 STL)63
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 3:24MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
87.6%
52
12.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Gatling 7' Hook Shot63
87.0%
52
13.0%
Q3 - 3:28MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot63
87.0%
52
13.0%
Q3 - 3:36MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 3:38MIAMISS Jackson Reverse Layup63
87.0%
52
13.0%
Q3 - 3:53MEMMassenburg Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)63
85.4%
52
14.6%
Q3 - 4:14MIAJackson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
86.7%
52
13.3%
Q3 - 4:34MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
88.4%
50
11.6%
Q3 - 4:35MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 2 of 263
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 4:35MEMMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 263
89.7%
50
10.3%
Q3 - 4:56MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)63
90.3%
50
9.7%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 263
90.1%
50
9.9%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 263
89.1%
50
10.9%
Q3 - 5:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
87.6%
50
12.4%
Q3 - 5:04MEMMISS Long 19' Jump Shot63
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 5:17MIAGatling 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)63
89.4%
50
10.6%
Q3 - 5:35MEMBattier 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Long 3 AST)63
90.8%
48
9.2%
Q3 - 5:42MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
89.5%
48
10.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup61
88.9%
48
11.1%
Q3 - 6:04MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
86.6%
48
13.4%
Q3 - 6:04MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)60
86.1%
48
13.9%
Q3 - 6:04MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
84.8%
48
15.2%
Q3 - 6:05MEMMISS Battier Tip Shot59
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q3 - 6:06MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
84.8%
48
15.2%
Q3 - 6:07MEMMISS Gasol 4' Hook Shot59
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q3 - 6:10MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
84.8%
48
15.2%
Q3 - 6:12MEMMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot59
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q3 - 6:23MEMGrizzlies Rebound59
84.8%
48
15.2%
Q3 - 6:23MEMMISS Long 21' Jump Shot59
83.2%
48
16.8%
Q3 - 6:36MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P2.T15)59
84.9%
48
15.1%
Q3 - 6:48MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
82.6%
48
17.4%
Q3 - 6:48MEMMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 258
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q3 - 6:51MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
82.7%
48
17.3%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot58
82.0%
48
18.0%
Q3 - 7:08MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 7:10MEMMISS Battier 22' Jump Shot58
79.8%
48
20.2%
Q3 - 7:27MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
81.7%
48
18.3%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot58
80.9%
48
19.1%
Q3 - 7:36MEMGrant STEAL (2 STL)58
78.9%
48
21.1%
Q3 - 7:52MIAStrickland Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)58
81.8%
48
18.2%
Q3 - 8:14MEMLong 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)58
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 8:19MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)56
81.2%
46
18.8%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot56
80.4%
46
19.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
78.5%
46
21.5%
Q3 - 8:35MEMMISS Gasol 10' Jump Shot56
79.3%
46
20.7%
Q3 - 8:47MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
81.3%
46
18.7%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot56
80.4%
46
19.6%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
78.5%
46
21.5%
Q3 - 8:59MEMMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot56
79.4%
46
20.6%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)56
80.2%
46
19.8%
Q3 - 9:33MEMWilliams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)56
82.4%
44
17.6%
Q3 - 9:36MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
80.2%
44
19.8%
Q3 - 9:40MEMGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)54
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS)54
80.3%
44
19.7%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
82.4%
42
17.6%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot54
83.9%
42
16.1%
Q3 - 10:12MEMSwift Foul Turnover (P1.T10)54
81.5%
42
18.5%
Q3 - 10:27MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)54
83.8%
42
16.2%
Q3 - 10:37MEMBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Long 2 AST)54
81.5%
42
18.5%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T13)51
77.1%
42
22.9%
Q3 - 11:09MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
73.7%
42
26.3%
Q3 - 11:09MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 250
73.1%
42
26.9%
Q3 - 11:17MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
73.8%
42
26.2%
Q3 - 11:19MIAMISS Mourning Dunk50
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q3 - 11:39MEMBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)50
71.0%
42
29.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM47
65.1%
42
34.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGill 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)47
65.1%
42
34.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
67.8%
40
32.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0MEMMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot47
68.5%
40
31.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAGatling 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)47
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
73.4%
38
26.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
74.6%
38
25.4%
Q2 - 1:02MEMGasol 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Long 1 AST)47
72.9%
38
27.1%
Q2 - 1:18MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)45
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q2 - 1:19MEMMISS Swift 5' Jump Shot45
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q2 - 1:24MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q2 - 1:25MEMMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot45
68.0%
38
32.0%
Q2 - 1:39MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 145
68.9%
38
31.1%
Q2 - 1:39MIAGatling 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
69.0%
38
31.0%
Q2 - 1:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
73.0%
36
27.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Jones 12' Fadeaway Jumper45
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 1:54MEMWilliams Double Dribble Turnover (P5.T9)45
73.0%
36
27.0%
Q2 - 1:57MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot45
73.9%
36
26.1%
Q2 - 2:09MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
71.7%
36
28.3%
Q2 - 2:11MEMMISS Battier 18' Jump Shot45
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 2:27MEMGrizzlies Rebound45
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot45
73.3%
36
26.7%
Q2 - 2:45MEMWilliams 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
71.8%
36
28.2%
Q2 - 2:55MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)43
68.9%
36
31.1%
Q2 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound43
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot43
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q2 - 3:14MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
65.2%
36
34.8%
Q2 - 3:14MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 1 of 242
64.6%
36
35.4%
Q2 - 3:24MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)42
65.6%
36
34.4%
Q2 - 3:44MEMLong 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)42
68.0%
34
32.0%
Q2 - 3:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
65.6%
34
34.4%
Q2 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot40
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot40
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 3:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Mourning 3' Hook Shot40
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
62.5%
34
37.5%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot40
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 4:12MEMGasol Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)40
62.0%
34
38.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)38
59.3%
34
40.7%
Q2 - 4:46MEMGasol Layup (4 PTS)38
56.5%
34
43.5%
Q2 - 4:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q2 - 4:50MEMMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
51.6%
34
48.4%
Q2 - 4:55MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
53.7%
34
46.3%
Q2 - 4:57MIAMISS Grant Layup36
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 5:16MEMLong 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)36
50.5%
34
49.5%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)34
48.0%
34
52.0%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)34
50.8%
33
49.2%
Q2 - 5:42MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
53.4%
31
46.6%
Q2 - 5:44MEMMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)34
54.3%
31
45.7%
Q2 - 5:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
56.4%
31
43.6%
Q2 - 5:56MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)34
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q2 - 6:16MEMLong Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)34
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 6:19MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)32
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q2 - 6:27MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
55.8%
28
44.2%
Q2 - 6:29MEMMISS Gasol 14' Jump Shot32
56.8%
28
43.2%
Q2 - 6:49MIAJackson Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)32
59.1%
28
40.9%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q2 - 6:55MEMMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot32
62.1%
26
37.9%
Q2 - 7:07MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
63.4%
26
36.6%
Q2 - 7:22MEMGasol Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)32
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q2 - 7:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
68.2%
24
31.8%
Q2 - 7:32MEMMISS Swift Free Throw 2 of 232
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q2 - 7:32MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)31
65.9%
24
34.1%
Q2 - 8:01MEMBuford 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)31
62.7%
24
37.3%
Q2 - 8:05MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot29
59.8%
24
40.2%
Q2 - 8:12MIAHEAT Rebound29
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Jackson Reverse Layup29
59.8%
24
40.2%
Q2 - 8:31MEMWilliams 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)29
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P1.T8)27
55.6%
24
44.4%
Q2 - 8:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
52.7%
24
47.3%
Q2 - 8:54MEMMISS Gasol 7' Jump Shot27
53.6%
24
46.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAJackson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 9:36MEMGrant STEAL (1 STL)27
57.5%
22
42.5%
Q2 - 9:59MIAGatling 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
60.2%
22
39.8%
Q2 - 10:21MEMSwift 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q2 - 10:37MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
59.9%
20
40.1%
Q2 - 10:39MEMMISS Knight 14' Jump Shot25
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q2 - 10:55MIAGatling Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)25
59.9%
20
40.1%
Q2 - 11:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
61.6%
18
38.4%
Q2 - 11:06MEMMISS Buford 7' Running Jump Shot25
62.2%
18
37.8%
Q2 - 11:24MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
63.2%
18
36.8%
Q2 - 11:47MEMBuford 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
61.6%
18
38.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
59.3%
18
40.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
56.8%
18
43.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MEMMISS Massenburg 19' Jump Shot23
57.3%
18
42.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)23
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0MEMLong Dunk (6 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)23
61.4%
16
38.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)21
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0MEMLong Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
56.8%
16
43.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0MEMLong Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0MEMMISS Knight Free Throw Technical19
53.9%
16
46.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
53.9%
16
46.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot19
53.3%
16
46.7%
Q1 - 1:16MEMMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 1:16MEMMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
51.5%
16
48.5%
Q1 - 1:21MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot17
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 1:30MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 1:31MEMStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)17
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 1:42MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)17
49.2%
16
50.8%
Q1 - 2:05MEMLong Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
47.3%
16
52.7%
Q1 - 2:24MIAStepania 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)15
44.8%
16
55.2%
Q1 - 2:40MEMBattier Foul Turnover (P1.T6)15
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 115
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 2:53MIAStrickland 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
49.5%
14
50.5%
Q1 - 2:58MIAHEAT Rebound15
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot15
53.5%
12
46.5%
Q1 - 3:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 3:16MEMMISS Massenburg Reverse Layup15
52.2%
12
47.8%
Q1 - 3:26MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot15
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 3:42MEMWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)15
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 3:55MIAStrickland 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
49.5%
12
50.5%
Q1 - 4:17MEMWilliams 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
51.1%
10
48.9%
Q1 - 4:21MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot11
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
46.7%
10
53.3%
Q1 - 4:34MEMMISS Massenburg 8' Hook Shot11
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 4:42MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot11
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 5:04MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
46.7%
10
53.3%
Q1 - 5:04MEMMassenburg Tip Shot (4 PTS)11
46.7%
10
53.3%
Q1 - 5:06MEMMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot9
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 5:15MEMWilliams Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 5:24MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot8
42.0%
10
58.0%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 5:47MEMMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot8
41.1%
10
58.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMourning Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)8
42.7%
10
57.3%
Q1 - 6:05MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 6:07MEMMISS Massenburg 11' Jump Shot8
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:39MEMMassenburg Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 6:58MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.6%
6
53.4%
Q1 - 7:04MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
48.2%
4
51.8%
Q1 - 7:06MEMMISS Long 19' Jump Shot6
48.9%
4
51.1%
Q1 - 7:10MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot6
49.7%
4
50.3%
Q1 - 7:19MEMJones STEAL (1 STL)6
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 7:29MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)6
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 7:39MEMWilliams Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T4)6
48.3%
4
51.7%
Q1 - 7:45MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)6
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 7:58MEMGasol 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)4
50.6%
2
49.4%
Q1 - 8:25MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)4
52.3%
0
47.7%
Q1 - 8:35MEMGrizzlies Rebound4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 8:37MEMMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)4
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 8:40MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot4
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 8:51MEMMISS Swift Layup4
52.9%
0
47.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T4)4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 9:19MEMMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
52.6%
0
47.4%
Q1 - 9:32MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T3)4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 9:44MEMWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 9:48MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Grant Layup4
53.6%
0
46.4%
Q1 - 10:14MEMWilliams Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 10:25MEMWilliams Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)4
54.0%
0
46.0%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)3
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot3
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup3
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 10:56MEMGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)3
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 11:12MEMWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 11:25MEMSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:25MEMSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
47.8%
0
52.2%
Q1 - 11:35MEMSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:36MEMMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)0
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 11:41MEMWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Swift: Tip to Strickland0
44.6%
0
55.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.97 48.4%
MIA
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
14
27
52%
MIA
17
32
53%
Midrange
MEM
16
41
39%
MIA
20
47
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
MIA
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
Free Throws
MEM
22
31
71%
MIA
6
15
40%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams1959%9.5 / 16
G. Long1667%8.0 / 12
S. Battier1547%7.5 / 16
P. Gasol1137%5.5 / 15
S. Swift1042%5.0 / 12
T. Massenburg1050%5.0 / 10
R. Buford660%3.0 / 5
W. Solomon467%2.0 / 3
B. Knight0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2050%10.0 / 20
J. Jackson1454%7.0 / 13
E. Jones1233%6.0 / 18
C. Gatling1260%6.0 / 10
R. Strickland844%4.0 / 9
E. House739%3.5 / 9
K. Gill758%3.5 / 6
B. Grant213%1.0 / 8
L. Ellis225%1.0 / 4
V. Stepania2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
78
+14
-17
92
MIA
79
+19
-20
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.97 48.4%
MIA
0.87 43.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
95.6
96.1
MEM 95.8 +8.9
MIA 86.9
Pace
93.7
89.7
MEM 99.1 +4.0
MIA 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.7
MEM 14.5 +0.6
MIA 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.2%
46.3%
MEM 45.4% +0.5%
MIA 44.9%
TO %
16.7%
15.5%
MEM 16.7% +0.6%
MIA 17.3%
ORB %
27.8%
26.7%
MEM 27.3%
MIA 32.7% +5.4%
FTrt
28.8
26.8
MEM 40.8 +23.9
MIA 16.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
59.4%
MEM 60.6% +4.2%
MIA 56.4%
STL %
8.4%
7.4%
MEM 5.3%
MIA 7.1% +1.8%
BLK %
8.5%
8.7%
MEM 5.1%
MIA 10.3% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.7%
MEM 48.4% +5.0%
MIA 43.4%
Rim FG%
57.1%
60.6%
MEM 51.9%
MIA 53.1% +1.2%
Mid FG%
38.6%
38.0%
MEM 39.0%
MIA 42.6% +3.6%
3P %
30.7%
34.7%
MEM 37.5% +17.5%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
70.8%
72.4%
MEM 71.0% +31.0%
MIA 40.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
28.1%
MEM 35.5%
MIA 36.0% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
48.9%
57.8%
MEM 53.9%
MIA 52.8% +1.1%
3P Att. %
16.8%
14.1%
MEM 10.5%
MIA 11.2% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9599
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points9186
Rebounds4548
Assists2022
Steals57
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)32 (0)
Field Goals33-7639-89
At-the-Rim FG14-2717-32
Midrange FG16-4120-47
2-Point FG30-6837-79
3-Point FG3-82-10
Free Throws22-316-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
43.8
16
67%
6
4
1
0
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 21
39.9
11
37%
10
0
0
2
4
2
4
6
1-2
50%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 26
37.9
19
59%
9
12
1
0
6
3
1
8
5-5
100%
7-14
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 22
36.0
10
42%
10
0
1
1
2
2
4
6
8-12
67%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 23
34.8
15
47%
4
2
0
1
2
2
2
2
3-5
60%
3-8
38%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34
19.9
10
50%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 195 · 24
17.6
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 166 · 26
6.2
0
0%
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 23
3.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 288 · 32
F-G · 6'6" 228 · 34
F · 6'10" 219 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
45
20
5
4
17
0
12
33
22-31
71%
30-68
44%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.