FinalWin Prob.pScore
2839%89
96
2561%92
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09686.5
ATL logo ATL
107.593104.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Glover Free Throw 2 of 296
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)96
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
1.8%
99
98.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLTerry 12' Running Jump Shot (32 PTS)96
6.6%
99
93.4%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)96
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
37.3%
97
62.7%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
32.3%
97
67.7%
Q4 - 1:16MIAStrickland Driving Layup (14 PTS)96
23.3%
97
76.7%
Q4 - 1:36ATLGlover 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)94
17.7%
97
82.3%
Q4 - 1:55ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
36.4%
94
63.6%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot94
40.1%
94
59.9%
Q4 - 2:12ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)94
51.0%
94
49.0%
Q4 - 2:12ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 294
53.1%
93
46.9%
Q4 - 2:28ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)94
45.7%
93
54.3%
Q4 - 2:30MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)94
51.0%
93
49.0%
Q4 - 2:53ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Glover 4 AST)94
59.9%
93
40.1%
Q4 - 3:07ATLHAWKS Rebound94
75.1%
90
24.9%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot94
78.4%
90
21.6%
Q4 - 3:27ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)94
84.8%
90
15.2%
Q4 - 3:27ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)94
85.8%
89
14.2%
Q4 - 3:45MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)94
84.5%
88
15.5%
Q4 - 4:03ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)92
79.7%
88
20.3%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
84.9%
86
15.1%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot92
86.4%
86
13.6%
Q4 - 4:27ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)92
89.5%
86
10.5%
Q4 - 4:27ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)92
89.9%
85
10.1%
Q4 - 4:35MIAMohammed STEAL (1 STL)92
92.4%
84
7.6%
Q4 - 4:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
94.8%
84
5.2%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot92
93.3%
84
6.7%
Q4 - 5:09ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
92.3%
84
7.7%
Q4 - 5:09ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
92.7%
83
7.3%
Q4 - 5:22ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
94.3%
82
5.7%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot92
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)92
95.9%
82
4.1%
Q4 - 5:37ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Layup92
95.5%
82
4.5%
Q4 - 5:52ATLHAWKS Rebound92
94.4%
82
5.6%
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot92
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 6:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
94.3%
82
5.7%
Q4 - 6:16ATLMISS Terry Layup92
93.8%
82
6.2%
Q4 - 6:23MIAGrant Layup (16 PTS)92
92.2%
82
7.8%
Q4 - 6:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)90
90.2%
82
9.8%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMohammed BLOCK (1 BLK)90
87.8%
82
12.2%
Q4 - 6:43ATLTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)90
90.3%
82
9.7%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJones 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)90
84.1%
82
15.9%
Q4 - 7:31MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
80.8%
82
19.2%
Q4 - 7:32ATLMISS Terry Layup88
79.2%
82
20.8%
Q4 - 7:38ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
75.5%
82
24.5%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot88
77.2%
82
22.8%
Q4 - 8:01ATLTerry 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)88
78.0%
82
22.0%
Q4 - 8:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)88
82.0%
80
18.0%
Q4 - 8:05ATLMISS Terry Layup88
84.5%
80
15.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMottola STEAL (1 STL)88
82.1%
80
17.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
85.7%
80
14.3%
Q4 - 8:32ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot88
84.7%
80
15.3%
Q4 - 8:45MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T12)88
82.2%
80
17.8%
Q4 - 8:54ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
85.7%
80
14.3%
Q4 - 8:54ATLMohammed Tip Shot (6 PTS)88
85.7%
80
14.3%
Q4 - 8:56ATLMISS Glover 8' Jump Shot88
90.3%
78
9.7%
Q4 - 9:14ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
86.7%
78
13.3%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot88
87.6%
78
12.4%
Q4 - 9:34ATLMohammed Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
89.4%
78
10.6%
Q4 - 9:34ATLMohammed Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
90.0%
77
10.0%
Q4 - 9:50MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
91.4%
76
8.6%
Q4 - 9:50MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
90.8%
76
9.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
89.5%
76
10.5%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot86
87.7%
76
12.3%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMohammed 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mottola 3 AST)86
87.9%
76
12.1%
Q4 - 10:27MIAJackson Running Layup (14 PTS)86
90.0%
74
10.0%
Q4 - 10:52ATLMottola Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)84
88.0%
74
12.0%
Q4 - 10:52ATLMottola Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
88.6%
73
11.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)84
88.8%
72
11.2%
Q4 - 11:28ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mottola 2 AST)82
86.7%
72
13.3%
Q4 - 11:45MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)82
90.9%
69
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA80
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLAbdur-Rahim 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)80
89.0%
69
11.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
91.3%
66
8.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
92.9%
66
7.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot80
92.5%
66
7.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAGill Foul Turnover (P1.T10)80
91.4%
66
8.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
92.9%
66
7.1%
Q3 - 1:02ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
93.0%
64
7.0%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Gatling Layup80
93.4%
64
6.6%
Q3 - 1:17MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
94.3%
64
5.7%
Q3 - 1:18ATLMISS Glover 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
93.9%
64
6.1%
Q3 - 1:25ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
93.1%
64
6.9%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot80
93.5%
64
6.5%
Q3 - 1:37ATLMottola Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)80
94.3%
64
5.7%
Q3 - 1:37ATLMottola Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q3 - 1:49MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
95.3%
62
4.7%
Q3 - 1:49MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
95.0%
62
5.0%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q3 - 1:58ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
94.0%
62
6.0%
Q3 - 2:09ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
91.9%
62
8.1%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
92.3%
62
7.7%
Q3 - 2:32ATLVaughn 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)78
93.3%
62
6.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIAGatling 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMottola 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 3 AST)76
93.4%
60
6.6%
Q3 - 3:12MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)76
93.6%
58
6.4%
Q3 - 3:12MIAGatling Driving Layup (7 PTS)75
92.5%
58
7.5%
Q3 - 3:26MIAHeat Rebound73
91.3%
58
8.7%
Q3 - 3:27ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot73
90.8%
58
9.2%
Q3 - 3:35ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
89.6%
58
10.4%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Jones Layup73
90.1%
58
9.9%
Q3 - 4:00ATLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)73
91.3%
58
8.7%
Q3 - 4:00ATLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
91.5%
57
8.5%
Q3 - 4:07MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)73
91.5%
56
8.5%
Q3 - 4:20ATLTerry 10' Running Jump Shot (26 PTS)73
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 4:39ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 273
94.0%
54
6.0%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 273
94.7%
54
5.3%
Q3 - 4:45ATLGlover Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)73
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 4:53MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)73
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 4:53MIAHeat Rebound73
94.9%
54
5.1%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
94.2%
54
5.8%
Q3 - 5:14MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
94.2%
54
5.8%
Q3 - 5:19ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 5:21ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
93.2%
54
6.8%
Q3 - 5:24ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 9' Jump Shot73
93.9%
54
6.1%
Q3 - 5:37MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)73
93.2%
54
6.8%
Q3 - 6:02ATLAbdur-Rahim Dunk (12 PTS) (Glover 2 AST)71
91.1%
54
8.9%
Q3 - 6:05ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
92.2%
52
7.8%
Q3 - 6:07MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot71
92.6%
52
7.4%
Q3 - 6:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q3 - 6:27ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Dunk71
93.1%
52
6.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
92.3%
52
7.7%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
91.2%
52
8.8%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot69
90.2%
52
9.8%
Q3 - 6:57MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
91.2%
52
8.8%
Q3 - 6:59ATLMISS Glover 16' Jump Shot69
90.8%
52
9.2%
Q3 - 7:11MIAGrant Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)69
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
90.3%
52
9.7%
Q3 - 7:25ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
89.9%
52
10.1%
Q3 - 7:45ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
88.7%
52
11.3%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 269
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 7:46MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 269
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 7:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
90.4%
52
9.6%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Mourning Layup69
89.2%
52
10.8%
Q3 - 8:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
89.7%
52
10.3%
Q3 - 8:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
90.0%
51
10.0%
Q3 - 8:08ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
90.9%
50
9.1%
Q3 - 8:11ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot69
91.8%
50
8.2%
Q3 - 8:29MIAStrickland Layup (10 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)69
90.9%
50
9.1%
Q3 - 8:43ATLMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)67
89.8%
50
10.2%
Q3 - 8:56ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
88.1%
50
11.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot67
88.6%
50
11.4%
Q3 - 9:15ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 9:40MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)67
87.1%
50
12.9%
Q3 - 9:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
85.5%
50
14.5%
Q3 - 9:56ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Hook Shot65
84.9%
50
15.1%
Q3 - 10:20MIAMourning 6' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS)65
82.3%
50
17.7%
Q3 - 10:44ATLAbdur-Rahim 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
80.4%
50
19.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)63
82.3%
48
17.7%
Q3 - 10:54MIAStrickland Layup (7 PTS)62
80.2%
48
19.8%
Q3 - 10:56MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
78.1%
48
21.9%
Q3 - 10:58ATLMISS Glover 13' Jump Shot60
77.2%
48
22.8%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMourning 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)60
74.3%
48
25.7%
Q3 - 11:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
71.7%
48
28.3%
Q3 - 11:42ATLMISS Mohammed 12' Jump Shot58
70.8%
48
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL58
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLSlater REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Jones Layup58
68.6%
48
31.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)58
70.0%
48
30.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)58
70.4%
47
29.6%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIATerry STEAL (3 STL)58
73.6%
46
26.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLStrickland Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)58
75.4%
46
24.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIATerry STEAL (2 STL)58
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
80.0%
44
20.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q2 - 1:04ATLHAWKS Rebound58
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIASlater BLOCK (1 BLK)58
82.1%
42
17.9%
Q2 - 1:22ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)58
82.9%
42
17.1%
Q2 - 1:22ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)58
83.1%
41
16.9%
Q2 - 1:33MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
85.4%
40
14.6%
Q2 - 1:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)57
85.1%
40
14.9%
Q2 - 1:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
82.9%
40
17.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot56
82.2%
40
17.8%
Q2 - 2:02ATLTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)56
82.2%
40
17.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAStrickland STEAL (1 STL)56
85.6%
37
14.4%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
87.0%
37
13.0%
Q2 - 2:13ATLMISS Mohammed 11' Jump Shot56
86.6%
37
13.4%
Q2 - 2:31MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)56
85.7%
37
14.3%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
82.2%
37
17.8%
Q2 - 2:33ATLMISS Mohammed 11' Jump Shot53
81.7%
37
18.3%
Q2 - 2:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
80.5%
37
19.5%
Q2 - 2:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
80.2%
37
19.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
78.3%
37
21.7%
Q2 - 2:54ATLMISS Slater Layup51
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)51
74.5%
37
25.5%
Q2 - 3:41ATLTerry Layup (17 PTS) (Slater 1 AST)48
70.0%
37
30.0%
Q2 - 3:58ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
72.2%
35
27.8%
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 248
72.6%
35
27.4%
Q2 - 3:59MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)48
74.0%
35
26.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAHeat Rebound47
71.0%
35
29.0%
Q2 - 4:16ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot47
70.3%
35
29.7%
Q2 - 4:36ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
68.6%
35
31.4%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot47
69.4%
35
30.6%
Q2 - 4:57MIAHeat Rebound47
71.1%
35
28.9%
Q2 - 4:59ATLMISS Glover 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
70.3%
35
29.7%
Q2 - 5:22ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
67.8%
35
32.2%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 247
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 247
69.7%
35
30.3%
Q2 - 5:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
70.4%
35
29.6%
Q2 - 5:42ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Layup47
69.7%
35
30.3%
Q2 - 6:07MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)47
66.8%
35
33.2%
Q2 - 6:20ATLTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)45
64.9%
35
35.1%
Q2 - 6:44MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
69.3%
32
30.7%
Q2 - 6:54ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)43
67.4%
32
32.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
63.4%
32
36.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
63.0%
32
37.0%
Q2 - 7:26ATLGlover 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
61.2%
32
38.8%
Q2 - 7:44MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q2 - 7:44MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
63.1%
30
36.9%
Q2 - 8:00ATLGlover Dunk (8 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)39
61.2%
30
38.8%
Q2 - 8:03ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Gatling 16' Jump Shot39
63.6%
28
36.4%
Q2 - 8:24ATLBowdler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)39
65.5%
28
34.5%
Q2 - 8:30ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
67.5%
26
32.5%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot39
68.3%
26
31.7%
Q2 - 8:38MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot39
68.3%
26
31.7%
Q2 - 8:56ATLTerry Layup (12 PTS)39
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q2 - 9:00ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
71.9%
24
28.1%
Q2 - 9:02MIABowdler BLOCK (2 BLK)39
71.6%
24
28.4%
Q2 - 9:21ATLGlover 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)39
73.2%
24
26.8%
Q2 - 9:45MIAJackson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
75.0%
22
25.0%
Q2 - 10:06ATLGlover Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
72.7%
22
27.3%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMourning 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)37
74.4%
20
25.6%
Q2 - 10:31MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 10:34ATLMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot35
72.0%
20
28.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
70.4%
20
29.6%
Q2 - 10:56ATLGlover Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)35
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 11:08ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
73.5%
18
26.5%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 235
73.7%
18
26.3%
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 235
74.8%
18
25.2%
Q2 - 11:25MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
75.4%
18
24.6%
Q2 - 11:28ATLMISS Terry Layup35
74.8%
18
25.2%
Q2 - 11:41MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)35
73.6%
18
26.4%
Q2 - 11:47ATLBowdler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
75.4%
18
24.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL35
73.6%
18
26.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound35
73.6%
18
26.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAGlover BLOCK (1 BLK)35
74.2%
18
25.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
74.3%
18
25.7%
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
74.3%
18
25.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0ATLMISS Glover 7' Jump Shot35
77.4%
16
22.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
76.5%
16
23.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 235
76.7%
16
23.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 235
77.7%
16
22.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
77.8%
16
22.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 23' Jump Shot35
77.4%
16
22.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMourning 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)35
76.5%
16
23.5%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound33
74.2%
16
25.8%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot33
73.2%
16
26.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
74.2%
16
25.8%
Q1 - 1:19ATLMISS Bowdler 20' Jump Shot33
73.8%
16
26.2%
Q1 - 1:29ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
72.8%
16
27.2%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
73.2%
16
26.8%
Q1 - 1:52MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
74.2%
16
25.8%
Q1 - 1:53ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 233
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q1 - 1:53ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
72.7%
16
27.3%
Q1 - 2:08MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
74.2%
15
25.8%
Q1 - 2:08MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
73.8%
15
26.2%
Q1 - 2:08MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Gatling Layup31
71.0%
15
29.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 2:21ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 3PT Jump Shot31
71.7%
15
28.3%
Q1 - 2:24ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 2:26ATLMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
71.7%
15
28.3%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJackson Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)31
70.5%
15
29.5%
Q1 - 2:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
68.4%
15
31.6%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMISS Glover Layup29
67.8%
15
32.2%
Q1 - 3:02ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
64.9%
15
35.1%
Q1 - 3:06MIABowdler BLOCK (1 BLK)29
65.6%
15
34.4%
Q1 - 3:22ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)29
67.2%
15
32.8%
Q1 - 3:22ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)29
67.5%
14
32.5%
Q1 - 3:30MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)29
69.0%
13
31.0%
Q1 - 3:30MIAStrickland Layup (4 PTS)28
67.0%
13
33.0%
Q1 - 3:33ATLMottola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
65.3%
13
34.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAGatling Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)26
63.0%
13
37.0%
Q1 - 4:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
60.4%
13
39.6%
Q1 - 4:04ATLMISS Mottola 16' Jump Shot24
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)24
57.8%
13
42.2%
Q1 - 4:37ATLVaughn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)21
54.0%
13
46.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 4:55MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS)21
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot19
52.1%
11
47.9%
Q1 - 5:10ATLAbdur-Rahim 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
54.2%
9
45.8%
Q1 - 5:33ATLAbdur-Rahim Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)17
52.7%
9
47.3%
Q1 - 5:45ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
50.4%
9
49.6%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot17
51.1%
9
48.9%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHeat Rebound17
52.7%
9
47.3%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot17
51.1%
9
48.9%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHeat Rebound17
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 6:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 14' Jump Shot17
51.0%
9
49.0%
Q1 - 6:31MIAGrant 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)17
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 6:47ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mottola 1 AST)15
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 7:31ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
48.6%
6
51.4%
Q1 - 7:31ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
48.9%
5
51.1%
Q1 - 7:49MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)13
50.4%
4
49.6%
Q1 - 8:02ATLMohammed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAJones Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)10
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 8:18MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 8:20ATLMISS Mottola 13' Jump Shot8
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 8:26MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)8
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 8:44ATLAbdur-Rahim Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 8:46ATLHAWKS Rebound8
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 8:47ATLMISS Terry Layup8
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 9:05MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 9:08ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Strickland 10' Jump Shot4
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 9:44MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:46ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 17' Jump Shot4
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 9:54ATLHAWKS Rebound4
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 9:57ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Layup4
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:11MIAGrant 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
33.6%
4
66.4%
Q1 - 10:26ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)2
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 10:44MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
35.2%
1
64.8%
Q1 - 10:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
33.8%
1
66.2%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Grant Layup0
32.5%
1
67.5%
Q1 - 11:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
33.6%
1
66.4%
Q1 - 11:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 20
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 11:19ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 11:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.2%
0
64.8%
Q1 - 11:30ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot0
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:46ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Mohammed vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
35.2%
0
64.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
ATL
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
25
60%
ATL
10
21
48%
Midrange
MIA
17
41
41%
ATL
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
ATL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
20
31
65%
ATL
30
34
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2455%12.0 / 22
B. Grant1650%8.0 / 16
J. Jackson1454%7.0 / 13
A. Mourning1454%7.0 / 13
R. Strickland1458%7.0 / 12
C. Gatling1042%5.0 / 12
L. Ellis440%2.0 / 5
K. Gill0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry3264%16.0 / 25
S. Abdur-Rahim2244%11.0 / 25
D. Glover1653%8.0 / 15
D. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
N. Mohammed650%3.0 / 6
J. Vaughn6100%3.0 / 3
H. Mottola660%3.0 / 5
C. Bowdler250%1.0 / 2
M. Strickland2100%1.0 / 1
R. Slater0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+14
-14
96
ATL
82
+8
-11
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
ATL
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.1
MIA 100.0
ATL 107.5 +7.5
Pace
89.7
93.6
MIA 86.5
ATL 104.5 +18.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.2
MIA 16.7
ATL 13.8 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.1%
MIA 49.4% +0.8%
ATL 48.6%
TO %
15.5%
15.6%
MIA 14.2%
ATL 11.2% +3.0%
ORB %
26.7%
27.5%
MIA 27.5% +11.3%
ATL 16.2%
FTrt
26.8
29.4
MIA 40.3
ATL 47.2 +6.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
57.0%
MIA 58.3%
ATL 61.3% +3.0%
STL %
7.4%
8.5%
MIA 7.3%
ATL 7.5% +0.2%
BLK %
8.7%
6.5%
MIA 18.9% +9.8%
ATL 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.2%
MIA 49.5%
ATL 54.9% +5.4%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.2%
MIA 60.0% +12.4%
ATL 47.6%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.6%
MIA 41.5% +0.9%
ATL 40.6%
3P %
34.7%
35.4%
MIA 36.4%
ATL 42.1% +5.7%
FT %
72.4%
76.5%
MIA 64.5%
ATL 88.2% +23.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
37.9%
MIA 32.5% +3.3%
ATL 29.2%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
44.1%
MIA 53.2%
ATL 44.4% +8.8%
3P Att. %
14.1%
18.1%
MIA 14.3%
ATL 26.4% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9693
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points96100
Rebounds4235
Assists2119
Steals77
Blocks106
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)29 (4)
Field Goals36-7731-72
At-the-Rim FG15-2510-21
Midrange FG17-4113-32
2-Point FG32-6623-53
3-Point FG4-118-19
Free Throws20-3130-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
45.6
14
54%
2
4
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
41.2
24
55%
2
2
3
2
2
2
0
2
6-8
75%
6-13
46%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
38.8
16
50%
11
2
2
3
3
4
3
8
4-4
100%
6-14
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
34.5
14
54%
8
3
0
5
3
5
3
5
0-6
0%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
33.9
14
58%
5
7
1
0
1
5
1
4
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
16.5
4
40%
5
2
0
0
0
4
2
3
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 34
15.4
10
42%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
4-7
57%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
14.2
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
50%
42
21
7
10
14
0
11
31
20-31
65%
32-66
48%
4-11
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.