FinalWin Prob.pScore
1115%91
101
185%104
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
107.49495.3
SAS logo SAS
96.89492.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL101
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)101
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.7%
91
0.3%
Q4 - 1:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)101
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 1:04MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot101
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 1:22SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)101
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 1:30MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS)101
98.1%
91
1.9%
Q4 - 1:42MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)98
93.8%
91
6.2%
Q4 - 1:45SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot98
92.5%
91
7.5%
Q4 - 1:56MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
89.4%
91
10.6%
Q4 - 1:56MILJohnson 1' Layup (6 PTS)98
89.4%
91
10.6%
Q4 - 1:58MILSmith BLOCK (4 BLK)96
79.0%
91
21.0%
Q4 - 2:14SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)96
83.3%
91
16.7%
Q4 - 2:14SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS)96
88.9%
90
11.1%
Q4 - 2:17MILBowen STEAL (1 STL)96
90.9%
88
9.1%
Q4 - 2:35MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 2:37SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot96
94.2%
88
5.8%
Q4 - 2:48MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)96
90.5%
88
9.5%
Q4 - 2:48MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)95
90.1%
88
9.9%
Q4 - 2:56MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
85.8%
88
14.2%
Q4 - 2:58SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup94
83.5%
88
16.5%
Q4 - 3:19MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
76.7%
88
23.3%
Q4 - 3:41SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)92
63.7%
88
36.3%
Q4 - 3:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)92
78.5%
85
21.5%
Q4 - 3:50MILMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot92
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 4:04SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
84.8%
85
15.2%
Q4 - 4:04SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)92
85.6%
84
14.4%
Q4 - 4:16MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (30 PTS)92
89.0%
83
11.0%
Q4 - 4:30SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)90
85.3%
83
14.7%
Q4 - 4:30SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)90
86.1%
82
13.9%
Q4 - 4:45MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)90
89.3%
81
10.7%
Q4 - 5:18SASParker 1' Layup (13 PTS)88
79.1%
81
20.9%
Q4 - 5:42MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)88
84.1%
79
15.9%
Q4 - 5:58MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
79.5%
79
20.5%
Q4 - 5:59SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 286
78.7%
79
21.3%
Q4 - 5:59SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)86
75.3%
79
24.7%
Q4 - 6:21MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS)86
72.9%
78
27.1%
Q4 - 6:35MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
67.7%
78
32.3%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 284
66.7%
78
33.3%
Q4 - 6:36SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 284
62.1%
78
37.9%
Q4 - 6:54MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
59.9%
78
40.1%
Q4 - 7:09MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
48.9%
78
51.1%
Q4 - 7:12SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot82
46.6%
78
53.4%
Q4 - 7:33MILRobinson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)82
41.4%
78
58.6%
Q4 - 7:48SASRobinson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)80
35.7%
78
64.3%
Q4 - 8:17MILCassell 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
39.7%
76
60.3%
Q4 - 8:43MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q4 - 8:46SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q4 - 8:58SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)78
28.4%
76
71.6%
Q4 - 9:00MILMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot78
30.0%
76
70.0%
Q4 - 9:20SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)78
32.2%
76
67.8%
Q4 - 9:20SASRobinson Layup (17 PTS)78
37.7%
75
62.3%
Q4 - 9:33MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)78
43.3%
73
56.7%
Q4 - 9:44MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
32.3%
73
67.7%
Q4 - 9:46SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot75
30.7%
73
69.3%
Q4 - 10:03MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)75
26.3%
73
73.7%
Q4 - 10:17MILBucks Rebound72
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q4 - 10:18MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 10:25SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)72
18.7%
73
81.3%
Q4 - 10:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)72
15.3%
73
84.7%
Q4 - 10:48MILRose BLOCK (1 BLK)72
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q4 - 11:10SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)72
19.0%
73
81.0%
Q4 - 11:22MILRedd 8' Jump Shot (13 PTS)72
15.8%
73
84.2%
Q4 - 11:30MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q4 - 11:34SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 11:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)70
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q4 - 11:41SASMISS Daniels 5' Jump Shot70
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q4 - 11:49SASMISS Porter Free Throw Technical70
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL70
10.8%
73
89.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASMISS Porter 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASSPURS Rebound70
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0MILMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot70
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 270
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)70
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 170
13.4%
72
86.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILRobinson Dunk (24 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)70
13.1%
72
86.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0SASDaniels 5' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)68
10.9%
72
89.1%
Q3 - 1:15MILThomas 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)68
12.9%
70
87.1%
Q3 - 1:34SASParker 2' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)66
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q3 - 1:43SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
12.9%
68
87.1%
Q3 - 1:46MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)66
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 2:01MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 2:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)66
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 2:03SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup66
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot66
14.3%
68
85.7%
Q3 - 2:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)66
12.7%
68
87.3%
Q3 - 2:17MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)66
13.4%
68
86.6%
Q3 - 2:33SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS)66
15.1%
68
84.9%
Q3 - 2:53MILPrzybilla Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 2:53MILPrzybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 3:15SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
15.2%
66
84.8%
Q3 - 3:15SASRobinson 1' Layup (15 PTS)64
15.2%
66
84.8%
Q3 - 3:19SASMISS Smith 2' Layup64
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 3:27SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 3:30MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)64
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 3:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)64
20.4%
64
79.6%
Q3 - 3:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)64
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot64
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 4:10SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 4:10SASSmith 2' Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)64
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 4:13SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell Foul Turnover (P3.T9)64
22.2%
62
77.8%
Q3 - 4:34MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
25.9%
62
74.1%
Q3 - 4:34SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup64
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 4:50MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
22.3%
62
77.7%
Q3 - 5:08MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 5:11SASMISS Parker 1' Layup62
18.6%
62
81.4%
Q3 - 5:15SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
16.8%
62
83.2%
Q3 - 5:17MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot62
17.6%
62
82.4%
Q3 - 5:30SASRobinson 1' Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)62
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 5:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)62
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 5:35SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
24.2%
60
75.8%
Q3 - 5:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q3 - 5:48MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)62
22.9%
60
77.1%
Q3 - 6:07SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)62
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q3 - 6:23SASSPURS Rebound62
21.3%
60
78.7%
Q3 - 6:24MILMISS Cassell 18' Jump Shot62
22.2%
60
77.8%
Q3 - 6:32MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
24.4%
60
75.6%
Q3 - 6:36SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot62
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)62
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot62
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q3 - 7:10MILPrzybilla Dunk (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)62
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 7:19MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 7:21SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot60
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
16.2%
60
83.8%
Q3 - 7:36MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot60
16.9%
60
83.1%
Q3 - 7:48MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
18.7%
60
81.3%
Q3 - 7:53SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot60
17.9%
60
82.1%
Q3 - 8:07MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)60
16.0%
60
84.0%
Q3 - 8:18MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 258
14.0%
60
86.0%
Q3 - 8:19SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
12.8%
60
87.2%
Q3 - 8:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
14.1%
59
85.9%
Q3 - 8:32MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot58
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 8:40MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 258
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 8:40MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 258
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 8:40SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)58
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 8:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
14.1%
59
85.9%
Q3 - 8:41MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot58
14.7%
59
85.3%
Q3 - 8:51SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)58
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q3 - 9:13MILRobinson 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 9:21SASDuncan 2' Layup (17 PTS)56
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 9:39MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)56
19.8%
54
80.2%
Q3 - 9:39MILCassell 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
17.6%
54
82.4%
Q3 - 9:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 9:49SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 9:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
13.7%
54
86.3%
Q3 - 9:53SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot53
15.0%
54
85.0%
Q3 - 10:02SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q3 - 10:04MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot53
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 10:06MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 10:11MILBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)53
13.8%
54
86.2%
Q3 - 10:19SASParker 1' Layup (9 PTS)53
15.1%
54
84.9%
Q3 - 10:30MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q3 - 10:56SASParker 2' Finger Roll (7 PTS)50
13.4%
52
86.6%
Q3 - 11:18MILCassell Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)50
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q3 - 11:18SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
16.4%
50
83.6%
Q3 - 11:38MILCassell 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)50
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot47
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
10.4%
50
89.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASDuncan 2' Layup (15 PTS)45
8.9%
50
91.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MILRobinson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)45
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
8.9%
48
91.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 243
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 1:07MILRobinson 2' Layup (16 PTS)43
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 1:26SASRobinson 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)41
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 1:49MILThomas 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS)41
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 2:07SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
8.3%
45
91.7%
Q2 - 2:07SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 2:19MILCassell 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 2:25MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)37
8.2%
43
91.8%
Q2 - 2:28SASMISS Bowen 4' Jump Shot37
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 2:38SASSPURS Rebound37
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 2:38SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Robinson Follow Up Dunk37
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 2:40SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 3:02MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 3:20SASParker 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)35
6.7%
43
93.3%
Q2 - 3:24SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 3:26MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot35
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 3:39MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
8.3%
41
91.7%
Q2 - 3:41SASMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot35
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 3:58MILRedd 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)35
7.4%
41
92.6%
Q2 - 4:09SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 4:21MILJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)33
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 4:36MILBucks Rebound33
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 4:36MILRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)33
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 4:43SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)33
6.6%
41
93.4%
Q2 - 5:04MILCassell 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 5:09MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 5:11SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)31
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:19MILMISS Thomas 3PT Jump Shot31
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 5:36MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 5:39SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 5:56MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:56MILRedd 2' Layup (4 PTS)31
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 5:59MILMISS Mason 1' Layup29
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 6:13SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 6:13SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
5.6%
38
94.4%
Q2 - 6:30MILJohnson 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)29
6.0%
37
94.0%
Q2 - 6:50SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)27
5.5%
37
94.5%
Q2 - 7:07MILHam 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)27
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 7:35SASSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)25
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q2 - 7:40SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 7:44MILMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot25
7.8%
31
92.2%
Q2 - 7:52MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot25
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 8:14MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)25
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 8:30MILBucks Rebound25
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 8:31MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)25
7.8%
31
92.2%
Q2 - 8:35MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 8:38SASMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot25
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 8:40SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 8:43MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)25
7.8%
31
92.2%
Q2 - 8:58SASPorter Layup (2 PTS)25
8.4%
31
91.6%
Q2 - 9:03MILPorter STEAL (1 STL)25
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 9:13SASDaniels Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)25
10.0%
29
90.0%
Q2 - 9:13MILDaniels STEAL (1 STL)25
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 9:31SASRose 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS)25
10.0%
29
90.0%
Q2 - 9:33SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q2 - 9:35SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot25
11.7%
27
88.3%
Q2 - 9:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
10.9%
27
89.1%
Q2 - 9:59MILMISS Robinson 1' Layup25
11.2%
27
88.8%
Q2 - 10:22SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q2 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q2 - 10:37SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q2 - 10:57MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)25
13.1%
25
86.9%
Q2 - 11:05MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 11:09SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot23
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q2 - 11:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q2 - 11:13SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q2 - 11:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q2 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot23
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q2 - 11:37SASSPURS Rebound23
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q2 - 11:39MILMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
11.1%
25
88.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS23
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound23
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 1' Layup23
11.5%
25
88.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0MILRobinson 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)23
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MILMISS Alston 2' Layup21
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 1:06SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 1:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.1%
25
90.9%
Q1 - 1:13MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 1:16MILAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.8%
25
90.2%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot21
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 1:39MILJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)21
9.2%
25
90.8%
Q1 - 1:59SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)19
8.2%
25
91.8%
Q1 - 2:20MILRobinson 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
9.1%
23
90.9%
Q1 - 2:43SASRobinson 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)17
8.3%
23
91.7%
Q1 - 3:00SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
9.1%
21
90.9%
Q1 - 3:02SASMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 3:08MILParker STEAL (1 STL)17
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 3:10SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 3:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 3:15MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot17
9.2%
21
90.8%
Q1 - 3:28MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 3:30SASMISS Smith 3' Layup17
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 3:50MILRobinson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 3:55MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
8.4%
21
91.6%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot15
8.1%
21
91.9%
Q1 - 4:12SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
7.5%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 4:14MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot15
7.7%
21
92.3%
Q1 - 4:22MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8.2%
21
91.8%
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot15
8.0%
21
92.0%
Q1 - 4:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
7.5%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot15
7.7%
21
92.3%
Q1 - 4:55SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)15
8.3%
21
91.7%
Q1 - 5:11MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 5:11MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 214
9.2%
18
90.8%
Q1 - 5:34SASSmith 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)14
9.5%
18
90.5%
Q1 - 5:46MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)14
10.9%
16
89.1%
Q1 - 6:02SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 6:21MILCassell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
12.5%
13
87.5%
Q1 - 6:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.7%
13
88.3%
Q1 - 6:34SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot12
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 6:56MILRobinson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
10.9%
13
89.1%
Q1 - 7:09SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
10.0%
13
90.0%
Q1 - 7:09SASRobinson 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 7:22MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
11.4%
10
88.6%
Q1 - 7:22MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
11.3%
10
88.7%
Q1 - 7:25SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 7:47SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 7:49MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot8
10.2%
10
89.8%
Q1 - 8:06SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 8:23MILRobinson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
11.2%
8
88.8%
Q1 - 8:29MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.6%
8
89.4%
Q1 - 8:33SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup6
10.3%
8
89.7%
Q1 - 8:46MILCassell 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)6
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:53SASRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
9.2%
8
90.8%
Q1 - 8:54SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 8:56SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 24
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:56SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
8.9%
8
91.1%
Q1 - 9:10MILRobinson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
9.0%
7
91.0%
Q1 - 9:32SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)2
8.6%
7
91.4%
Q1 - 9:55MILMason 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
9.6%
4
90.4%
Q1 - 10:13SASRobinson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
9.1%
4
90.9%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
9.6%
2
90.4%
Q1 - 10:32MILMISS Redd 16' Jump Shot0
9.9%
2
90.1%
Q1 - 10:36MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.4%
2
89.6%
Q1 - 10:38SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot0
10.2%
2
89.8%
Q1 - 10:58MILRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
9.6%
2
90.4%
Q1 - 11:12MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 11:15SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot0
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 11:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.7%
2
90.3%
Q1 - 11:25MILMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot0
9.9%
2
90.1%
Q1 - 11:47SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)0
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Przybilla: Tip to Parker0
11.0%
0
89.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.7%
SAS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
18
56%
SAS
18
33
55%
Midrange
MIL
28
51
55%
SAS
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
SAS
6
9.0
25
24%
36%
Free Throws
MIL
10
14
71%
SAS
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Cassell3375%16.5 / 22
G. Robinson3056%15.0 / 27
M. Redd1667%8.0 / 12
T. Thomas836%4.0 / 11
E. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
J. Przybilla4100%2.0 / 2
A. Mason220%1.0 / 5
D. Ham250%1.0 / 2
R. Alston0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2242%11.0 / 26
D. Robinson2170%10.5 / 15
S. Smith2071%10.0 / 14
T. Parker1653%8.0 / 15
C. Smith422%2.0 / 9
B. Bowen217%1.0 / 6
A. Daniels217%1.0 / 5
M. Rose225%1.0 / 4
T. Porter250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
83
+6
-11
89
SAS
81
+16
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.7%
SAS
0.93 46.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
103.9
MIL 107.4
SAS 96.8 +10.6
Pace
92.5
92.4
MIL 95.3 +2.5
SAS 92.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
15.5
MIL 15.1 +0.4
SAS 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
49.2%
MIL 57.6% +13.0%
SAS 44.6%
TO %
14.5%
14.8%
MIL 11.4% +0.7%
SAS 12.1%
ORB %
25.6%
27.2%
MIL 9.7%
SAS 26.9% +17.2%
FTrt
26.9
35.3
MIL 17.7
SAS 30.1 +12.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
56.4%
MIL 34.9%
SAS 50.0% +15.1%
STL %
7.8%
8.2%
MIL 10.6% +6.3%
SAS 4.3%
BLK %
7.1%
9.5%
MIL 12.1%
SAS 14.5% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
51.2%
MIL 56.7% +10.3%
SAS 46.4%
Rim FG%
56.1%
60.3%
MIL 55.6% +1.1%
SAS 54.5%
Mid FG%
45.1%
37.6%
MIL 54.9% +14.9%
SAS 40.0%
3P %
37.5%
36.2%
MIL 50.0% +26.0%
SAS 24.0%
FT %
74.8%
74.2%
MIL 71.4% +3.4%
SAS 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
37.2%
MIL 22.8%
SAS 39.8% +17.0%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
43.8%
MIL 64.6%
SAS 30.1% +34.4%
3P Att. %
24.1%
19.0%
MIL 12.7%
SAS 30.1% +17.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points10191
Rebounds4142
Assists1517
Steals104
Blocks710
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (0)28 (3)
Field Goals43-7934-83
At-the-Rim FG10-1818-33
Midrange FG28-5110-25
2-Point FG38-6928-58
3-Point FG5-106-25
Free Throws10-1417-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 255 · 35
39.8
2
20%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
39.3
30
56%
4
2
1
0
4
3
1
3
0-1
0%
15-26
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 32
36.3
33
75%
4
3
3
0
3
2
0
4
5-5
100%
11-17
65%
2-2
100%
G · 6'6" 215 · 22
31.1
16
67%
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 245 · 22
17.2
4
100%
2
0
0
2
0
4
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
29.0
8
36%
9
2
1
0
1
3
0
9
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
25.7
6
75%
9
0
1
4
1
3
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
11.7
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 28
9.9
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
F · 6'8" 256 · 29
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
57%
41
15
10
7
11
0
3
38
10-14
71%
38-69
55%
5-10
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.