FinalWin Prob.pScore
2819%84
76
1481%95
83
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
83.59195.2
TOR logo TOR
91.29187.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR76
0%
83
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAGill Finger Roll (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)76
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)74
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAJackson Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (James 2 AST)74
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 170
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAJackson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)70
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13TORMurray Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)68
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17TORMontross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44TORMISS Murray 13' Running Jump Shot68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAGill 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30TORClark Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T13)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 266
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)66
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20TORArroyo 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41TORClark Foul Turnover (P3.T12)63
0.2%
78
99.8%
Q4 - 4:01MIAGill Running Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)63
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07TORMISS Williams Driving Layup61
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39TORClark 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03TORArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Gatling 5' Turnaround Hook Shot59
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20TORMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot59
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIAClark STEAL (1 STL)59
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54TORWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)59
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Gatling Reverse Layup59
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)59
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 6:13TORMISS Carter 7' Driving Hook Shot59
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 6:26TORRAPTORS Rebound59
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 6:37MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 6:39TORMISS Davis 13' Turnaround Jump Shot59
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T14)59
0.3%
74
99.7%
Q4 - 7:20MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.6%
74
99.4%
Q4 - 7:22TORMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 7:44MIAGatling 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)59
0.4%
74
99.6%
Q4 - 8:01TORCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
0.5%
74
99.5%
Q4 - 8:01TORCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
0.5%
73
99.5%
Q4 - 8:10MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)57
0.6%
72
99.4%
Q4 - 8:28TORWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)57
0.7%
72
99.3%
Q4 - 8:38MIAWilliams STEAL (3 STL)57
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q4 - 8:51TORDavis Dunk (12 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)57
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q4 - 9:03MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q4 - 9:03MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q4 - 9:19TORCarter Tip Shot (27 PTS)55
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q4 - 9:21TORCarter REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)55
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q4 - 9:22TORMISS Carter 6' Running Jump Shot55
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q4 - 9:26MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)55
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
2.9%
65
97.1%
Q4 - 9:34TORMISS Williams Driving Layup55
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q4 - 9:48MIAEllis Tip Shot (5 PTS)55
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q4 - 9:50MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)53
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q4 - 9:51MIAMISS Grant Layup53
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q4 - 9:59MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q4 - 10:01TORMISS Davis 6' Running Jump Shot53
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q4 - 10:19MIAEllis Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)53
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q4 - 10:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Ellis 7' Jump Hook Shot53
1.8%
65
98.2%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
2.1%
65
97.9%
Q4 - 10:42TORMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot53
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
1.9%
65
98.1%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical51
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q4 - 11:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q4 - 11:31TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q4 - 11:46MIAPeterson STEAL (1 STL)51
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA51
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
1.5%
65
98.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Carter 14' Running Jump Shot51
1.6%
65
98.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
1.4%
65
98.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)49
1.2%
65
98.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 249
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)49
1.2%
64
98.8%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORCarter 21' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)49
1.4%
64
98.6%
Q3 - 1:12TORCarter REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)49
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 1:14TORMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot49
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 1:42MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)49
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q3 - 1:56TORClark Foul Turnover (P2.T11)47
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 2:15TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
1.4%
62
98.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 247
1.5%
62
98.5%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 247
1.6%
62
98.4%
Q3 - 2:29TORCarter 7' Running Hook Shot (23 PTS)47
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q3 - 2:43TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 247
2.1%
60
97.9%
Q3 - 2:44MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 3:01TORCarter 6' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)46
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q3 - 3:21MIAStepania 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)46
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q3 - 3:35TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q3 - 3:35TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q3 - 3:41TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot44
2.9%
56
97.1%
Q3 - 4:02TORClark Driving Layup (4 PTS)44
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q3 - 4:23TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)44
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot44
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 4:41TORCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)44
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 5:03MIAJackson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 1 AST)44
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 5:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)42
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q3 - 5:13TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 5:28MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)42
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q3 - 5:41MIAHeat Rebound40
2.6%
54
97.4%
Q3 - 5:42TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
2.5%
54
97.5%
Q3 - 6:07MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)40
2.3%
54
97.7%
Q3 - 6:28TORWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T9)38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 6:32MIAWilliams STEAL (2 STL)38
1.7%
54
98.3%
Q3 - 6:46MIAHeat Rebound38
2.0%
54
98.0%
Q3 - 6:47TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
1.9%
54
98.1%
Q3 - 7:08TORCarter Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)38
1.8%
54
98.2%
Q3 - 7:08MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
2.1%
53
97.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMontross BLOCK (2 BLK)38
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q3 - 7:29TORPeterson Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)38
2.5%
53
97.5%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)38
2.9%
51
97.1%
Q3 - 7:36MIAHeat Rebound38
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup38
3.0%
51
97.0%
Q3 - 8:00TORWilliams 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q3 - 8:06TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q3 - 8:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q3 - 8:22TORMISS Montross 10' Turnaround Hook Shot38
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q3 - 8:41TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot38
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q3 - 8:50TORCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)38
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q3 - 9:00TORCarter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)38
4.0%
49
96.0%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Mourning 6' Turnaround Jump Shot38
4.2%
49
95.8%
Q3 - 9:23MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q3 - 9:25TORMISS Peterson Driving Layup38
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q3 - 9:38MIAGrant 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)38
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q3 - 9:55TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q3 - 10:21MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)36
4.1%
47
95.9%
Q3 - 10:38TORMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 134
3.5%
47
96.5%
Q3 - 10:38TORCarter Driving Finger Roll (18 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)34
3.6%
47
96.4%
Q3 - 10:59TORCarter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)34
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot34
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q3 - 11:09TORMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot34
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q3 - 11:16TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q3 - 11:17MIAMISS Jackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot34
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q3 - 11:37TORDavis 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)34
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR34
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound34
5.4%
43
94.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Williams 42' 3PT Jump Shot34
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Ellis Finger Roll34
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 234
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 234
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0TORMISS Williams Tip Shot34
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 0:10.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 0:13.0TORMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot34
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
5.7%
43
94.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup34
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 1:02TORMontross Foul Turnover (P1.T7)34
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 1:35TORDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 1:42TORCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot34
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 2:00TORMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot34
6.3%
43
93.7%
Q2 - 2:19MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 2:41TORDavis Running Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)32
5.3%
43
94.7%
Q2 - 2:45MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)32
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 2:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 2:53TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
6.5%
41
93.5%
Q2 - 2:55TORCarter REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)32
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 2:57TORMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
6.5%
41
93.5%
Q2 - 3:17MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 231
6.0%
41
94.0%
Q2 - 3:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)31
6.2%
41
93.8%
Q2 - 3:34TORDavis Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)30
5.5%
41
94.5%
Q2 - 3:38TORCarter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)30
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 3:40TORMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot30
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 3:48TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 3:50TORMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 3:57TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)30
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot30
6.3%
39
93.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot30
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
6.9%
39
93.1%
Q2 - 4:36TORMISS Curry 3PT Jump Shot30
6.7%
39
93.3%
Q2 - 4:51TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot30
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 5:09TORCurry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
6.2%
39
93.8%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 229
6.0%
39
94.0%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
6.3%
39
93.7%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 5:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
6.3%
39
93.7%
Q2 - 6:00TORMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot29
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 6:19TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
5.7%
39
94.3%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot29
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 6:36TORCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Clark 1 AST)29
6.4%
39
93.6%
Q2 - 6:41TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
7.7%
36
92.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS Gatling 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
8.0%
36
92.0%
Q2 - 7:09TORCurry 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)29
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 7:23TORCarter Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)29
10.6%
33
89.4%
Q2 - 7:42MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)29
11.6%
32
88.4%
Q2 - 7:56TORDavis 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)27
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 8:05TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
11.6%
30
88.4%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Gatling 9' Turnaround Hook Shot27
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 8:27TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 8:27TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 227
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 8:33TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)27
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 8:34MIAMISS Jackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot27
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 8:47MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
14.1%
29
85.9%
Q2 - 8:49TORMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot27
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 9:07MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gatling 2 AST)27
12.6%
29
87.4%
Q2 - 9:30TORCurry 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
11.7%
29
88.3%
Q2 - 9:41MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)25
12.6%
27
87.4%
Q2 - 10:05TORWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q2 - 10:16MIAGatling 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)22
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 10:41TORCurry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
10.8%
25
89.2%
Q2 - 10:47TORCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q2 - 10:49MIACarter BLOCK (1 BLK)20
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q2 - 11:02TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)20
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q2 - 11:02TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)20
12.7%
22
87.3%
Q2 - 11:10TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot20
14.0%
21
86.0%
Q2 - 11:38MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q2 - 11:39TORMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot20
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIAJackson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T2)20
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q2 - 11:44TORClark Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound20
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Gill 46' 3PT Jump Shot20
14.0%
21
86.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORCarter Driving Layup (13 PTS)20
14.6%
21
85.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
16.1%
19
83.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORCarter Tip Shot (11 PTS)18
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORCarter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)18
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORMISS Williams Driving Layup18
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot18
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0TORMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot18
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 1:07TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot18
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 1:23TORMISS Davis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot18
16.8%
17
83.2%
Q1 - 1:39TORRAPTORS Rebound18
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Jackson 10' Running Jump Shot18
16.4%
17
83.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 2:04TORMISS Clark 11' Jump Shot18
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 2:26TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Grant 11' Jump Shot18
16.2%
17
83.8%
Q1 - 2:50TORClark Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)18
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 3:10MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
18.0%
15
82.0%
Q1 - 3:14TORPeterson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)16
16.9%
15
83.1%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 3:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14.5%
15
85.5%
Q1 - 3:45TORMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot14
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 4:05TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
13.0%
15
87.0%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Grant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot14
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 4:32TORPeterson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Montross 1 AST)14
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 4:45TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 4:47MIAMISS Grant 6' Turnaround Jump Shot14
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 4:54TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)14
16.6%
13
83.4%
Q1 - 4:59TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMontross BLOCK (1 BLK)14
15.1%
13
84.9%
Q1 - 5:18TORDavis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)14
16.0%
13
84.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
17.0%
11
83.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
16.7%
11
83.3%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
16.0%
11
84.0%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMISS Mourning Layup12
15.1%
11
84.9%
Q1 - 5:54TORPeterson Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
16.0%
11
84.0%
Q1 - 5:57TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
17.1%
9
82.9%
Q1 - 5:59TORMISS Peterson 21' Jump Shot12
18.0%
9
82.0%
Q1 - 6:16TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot12
17.1%
9
82.9%
Q1 - 6:34TORCarter 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
18.0%
9
82.0%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
20.4%
6
79.6%
Q1 - 7:04TORCarter 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)10
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 7:40TORCarter 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 7:57MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 8:02TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 8:16MIAJackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 8:38TORCarter Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)4
16.1%
2
83.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAJackson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)4
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 8:59TORMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 9:27MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.0%
0
84.0%
Q1 - 9:29TORMISS Montross 12' Hook Shot2
15.6%
0
84.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 10:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 10:03TORMISS Carter 5' Hook Shot0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 10:06TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 10:07TORMISS Carter Reverse Layup0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 10:14TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 10:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 10:31TORMISS Davis Dunk0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 10:40TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 10:42MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)0
13.3%
0
86.7%
Q1 - 10:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 10:59TORMISS Davis Finger Roll0
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:11TORMontross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:19TORMISS Montross Layup0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:21TORMontross REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:23TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:25TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:28TORMISS Carter 7' Running Jump Shot0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:38TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Mourning 6' Driving Hook Shot0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Montross vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
13.8%
0
86.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.7%
TOR
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
17
47%
TOR
15
25
60%
Midrange
MIA
18
43
42%
TOR
15
40
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
TOR
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
18
27
67%
TOR
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson1250%6.0 / 12
E. Jones1155%5.5 / 10
A. Mourning938%4.5 / 12
B. Grant831%4.0 / 13
K. Gill650%3.0 / 6
C. Gatling643%3.0 / 7
R. Strickland542%2.5 / 6
L. Ellis531%2.5 / 8
V. Stepania563%2.5 / 4
M. James563%2.5 / 4
E. House467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2750%13.5 / 27
A. Davis1243%6.0 / 14
D. Curry1260%6.0 / 10
A. Williams1139%5.5 / 14
M. Peterson1056%5.0 / 9
K. Clark675%3.0 / 4
C. Arroyo250%1.0 / 2
T. Murray250%1.0 / 2
J. Williams117%0.5 / 3
E. Montross0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+11
-15
87
TOR
77
+13
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.87 43.7%
TOR
0.92 46.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.1
MIA 83.5
TOR 91.2 +7.7
Pace
89.7
91.1
MIA 95.2 +8.1
TOR 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.3
MIA 15.1 +1.4
TOR 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.3%
MIA 40.3%
TOR 44.4% +4.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
MIA 15.2%
TOR 13.8% +1.4%
ORB %
26.7%
31.4%
MIA 20.5%
TOR 26.1% +5.6%
FTrt
26.8
25.5
MIA 37.5 +19.0
TOR 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.9%
MIA 60.7%
TOR 61.8% +1.1%
STL %
7.4%
9.1%
MIA 7.7%
TOR 8.8% +1.1%
BLK %
8.7%
8.6%
MIA 7.7% +1.0%
TOR 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.8%
MIA 43.7%
TOR 46.1% +2.4%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.9%
MIA 47.1%
TOR 60.0% +12.9%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.7%
MIA 41.9% +4.4%
TOR 37.5%
3P %
34.7%
34.9%
MIA 16.7%
TOR 25.0% +8.3%
FT %
72.4%
73.9%
MIA 66.7%
TOR 73.3% +6.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
30.9%
MIA 23.6%
TOR 30.9% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
52.6%
MIA 59.7%
TOR 49.4% +10.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.5%
MIA 16.7%
TOR 19.8% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points7683
Rebounds4347
Assists1721
Steals78
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals28-7234-81
At-the-Rim FG8-1715-25
Midrange FG18-4315-40
2-Point FG26-6030-65
3-Point FG2-124-16
Free Throws18-2711-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
41.9
12
50%
5
2
2
0
3
3
1
4
0-1
0%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
38.6
11
55%
5
3
1
1
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
34.0
8
31%
10
0
0
1
1
1
1
9
2-2
100%
3-12
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
23.9
9
38%
7
0
0
3
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
22.2
5
42%
1
3
3
0
2
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
18.8
6
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
17.9
5
31%
7
0
0
0
4
3
3
4
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" · 34
13.8
6
43%
4
2
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
11.8
5
63%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
7.4
4
67%
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
5.3
5
63%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 255 · 23
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
44%
43
17
7
5
15
0
9
34
18-27
67%
26-60
43%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.