FinalWin Prob.pScore
1853%91
86
2847%90
81
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
91.59484.7
MIA logo MIA
86.29485.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA86
100%
81
0%
OT1 - 0:12.0CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
99.1%
81
0.9%
OT1 - 0:12.0CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
98.9%
81
1.1%
OT1 - 0:13.0CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
97.6%
81
2.4%
OT1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Jones Dunk84
96.3%
81
3.7%
OT1 - 0:26.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
89.2%
81
10.8%
OT1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
94.1%
81
5.9%
OT1 - 0:40.0CLEMihm Tip Shot (12 PTS)84
86.4%
81
13.6%
OT1 - 0:41.0CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
77.5%
81
22.5%
OT1 - 0:42.0CLEMISS Miller Driving Layup82
65.7%
81
34.3%
OT1 - 1:03MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)82
73.8%
81
26.2%
OT1 - 1:19MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)82
88.0%
78
12.0%
OT1 - 1:21CLEMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot82
89.8%
78
10.2%
OT1 - 1:33CLEJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)82
92.3%
78
7.7%
OT1 - 1:35CLEMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
88.6%
78
11.4%
OT1 - 1:50CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
90.9%
78
9.1%
OT1 - 1:52MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot82
89.7%
78
10.3%
OT1 - 2:11MIAJump Ball Jackson vs. Miller: Tip to Strickland82
84.7%
78
15.3%
OT1 - 2:11CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
91.5%
78
8.5%
OT1 - 2:15MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot82
89.9%
78
10.1%
OT1 - 2:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
84.6%
78
15.4%
OT1 - 2:29CLEMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
87.2%
78
12.8%
OT1 - 2:48CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)82
91.7%
78
8.3%
OT1 - 2:50MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
89.9%
78
10.1%
OT1 - 3:16CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
82.6%
78
17.4%
OT1 - 3:16CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
81.6%
78
18.4%
OT1 - 3:37CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
74.2%
78
25.8%
OT1 - 3:39MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot80
71.9%
78
28.1%
OT1 - 4:01CLEMihm 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)80
66.4%
78
33.6%
OT1 - 4:22CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
58.1%
78
41.9%
OT1 - 4:24MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
55.0%
78
45.0%
OT1 - 4:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)78
48.0%
78
52.0%
OT1 - 4:39CLEMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot78
51.1%
78
48.9%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mihm: Tip to Miller78
58.1%
78
41.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0CLEMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
39.1%
78
60.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)75
16.1%
78
83.9%
Q4 - 1:12CLEJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)75
30.1%
76
69.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)72
14.2%
76
85.8%
Q4 - 1:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
23.2%
74
76.8%
Q4 - 1:36CLEMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
26.8%
74
73.2%
Q4 - 1:55MIAStrickland Driving Layup (14 PTS)72
35.8%
74
64.2%
Q4 - 2:11MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q4 - 2:13CLEJones BLOCK (4 BLK)72
51.0%
72
49.0%
Q4 - 2:26MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
62.6%
72
37.4%
Q4 - 2:26MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
64.3%
71
35.7%
Q4 - 2:48CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)72
68.1%
70
31.9%
Q4 - 2:48CLEMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 271
66.5%
70
33.5%
Q4 - 2:48CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
73.0%
70
27.0%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot71
68.7%
70
31.3%
Q4 - 3:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
56.5%
70
43.5%
Q4 - 3:12CLEMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot71
61.0%
70
39.0%
Q4 - 3:32CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
66.5%
70
33.5%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Ellis 6' Hook Shot71
63.9%
70
36.1%
Q4 - 3:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
57.6%
70
42.4%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot71
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q4 - 3:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
57.6%
70
42.4%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot71
64.0%
70
36.0%
Q4 - 3:56CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)71
57.6%
70
42.4%
Q4 - 3:56CLECavaliers Rebound71
66.8%
70
33.2%
Q4 - 3:56CLEMISS Ilgauskas 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
60.5%
70
39.5%
Q4 - 4:23MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)71
66.9%
70
33.1%
Q4 - 4:26MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)71
74.3%
68
25.7%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Jones Layup71
79.3%
68
20.7%
Q4 - 4:32MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
74.3%
68
25.7%
Q4 - 4:34MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot71
79.3%
68
20.7%
Q4 - 4:45MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
74.4%
68
25.6%
Q4 - 4:47CLEMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
76.6%
68
23.4%
Q4 - 5:09MIAJones Layup (19 PTS)71
78.7%
68
21.3%
Q4 - 5:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
83.6%
66
16.4%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot71
86.6%
66
13.4%
Q4 - 5:34CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
83.7%
66
16.3%
Q4 - 5:34CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
82.6%
66
17.4%
Q4 - 5:54CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)69
78.9%
66
21.1%
Q4 - 5:56MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot69
77.1%
66
22.9%
Q4 - 6:18MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
70.6%
66
29.4%
Q4 - 6:20CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot69
72.8%
66
27.2%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)69
77.3%
66
22.7%
Q4 - 6:50CLEMourning STEAL (2 STL)69
81.6%
64
18.4%
Q4 - 7:01CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
84.5%
64
15.5%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot69
83.2%
64
16.8%
Q4 - 7:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
80.0%
64
20.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot69
83.2%
64
16.8%
Q4 - 7:26CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
80.1%
64
19.9%
Q4 - 7:26CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
79.0%
64
21.0%
Q4 - 7:39MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)67
76.0%
64
24.0%
Q4 - 7:59CLEIlgauskas 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
84.2%
61
15.8%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
78.7%
61
21.3%
Q4 - 8:33CLEHouse STEAL (2 STL)65
82.7%
59
17.3%
Q4 - 8:34CLEColes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q4 - 8:36CLEMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)65
83.8%
59
16.2%
Q4 - 8:48CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)65
86.1%
59
13.9%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Gill Layup65
85.2%
59
14.8%
Q4 - 9:12CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)65
81.5%
59
18.5%
Q4 - 9:12CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
80.6%
59
19.4%
Q4 - 9:23CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot63
76.5%
59
23.5%
Q4 - 9:43CLEDavis Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)63
73.2%
59
26.8%
Q4 - 9:59CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
68.4%
59
31.6%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot61
65.9%
59
34.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q4 - 10:19CLEMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
63.8%
59
36.2%
Q4 - 10:28CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
67.6%
59
32.4%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Gill 8' Running Jump Shot61
66.0%
59
34.0%
Q4 - 10:52CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)61
62.1%
59
37.9%
Q4 - 10:52CLECavaliers Rebound61
67.7%
59
32.3%
Q4 - 10:53CLEMISS Ilgauskas 13' Jump Shot61
63.8%
59
36.2%
Q4 - 11:16CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
66.6%
59
33.4%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot61
65.1%
59
34.9%
Q4 - 11:44CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
61.4%
59
38.6%
Q4 - 11:44CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
60.1%
59
39.9%
Q4 - 11:48MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)59
56.4%
59
43.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE59
50.7%
59
49.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
56.4%
59
43.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot59
54.9%
59
45.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
51.4%
59
48.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0CLEMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot59
52.9%
59
47.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
56.4%
59
43.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
54.9%
59
45.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0CLEMihm Foul Turnover (P1.T13)59
51.3%
59
48.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
56.4%
59
43.6%
Q3 - 1:04CLEMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot59
53.1%
59
46.9%
Q3 - 1:10CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
56.6%
59
43.4%
Q3 - 1:15MIAMISS Strickland Layup59
55.1%
59
44.9%
Q3 - 1:19CLEMourning STEAL (1 STL)59
51.6%
59
48.4%
Q3 - 1:21CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
56.6%
59
43.4%
Q3 - 1:23CLEMISS Jones Layup59
53.1%
59
46.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
56.6%
59
43.4%
Q3 - 1:57CLEJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)59
61.2%
57
38.8%
Q3 - 2:09CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
56.2%
57
43.8%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot57
54.7%
57
45.3%
Q3 - 2:19MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 2:23CLEMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot57
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T6)57
56.2%
57
43.8%
Q3 - 2:38CLEJones STEAL (1 STL)57
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q3 - 2:59CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
56.2%
57
43.8%
Q3 - 3:01MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot57
54.9%
57
45.1%
Q3 - 3:08MIAHEAT Rebound57
51.6%
57
48.4%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Jones 3' Jump Shot57
54.8%
57
45.2%
Q3 - 3:25CLEJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
51.5%
57
48.5%
Q3 - 3:49MIAJones Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)55
47.3%
57
52.7%
Q3 - 4:06CLEJones 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
51.3%
55
48.7%
Q3 - 4:31MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)53
47.7%
55
52.3%
Q3 - 4:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
51.4%
53
48.6%
Q3 - 4:41CLEMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot53
52.9%
53
47.1%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS)53
56.1%
53
43.9%
Q3 - 5:25CLEStrickland STEAL (3 STL)53
59.9%
51
40.1%
Q3 - 5:52MIAJones 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)53
64.2%
51
35.8%
Q3 - 6:07CLEMurray Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
67.1%
49
32.9%
Q3 - 6:25MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 6:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
64.3%
48
35.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
67.1%
47
32.9%
Q3 - 6:32CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
68.3%
47
31.7%
Q3 - 6:49MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
70.8%
47
29.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 251
71.4%
46
28.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
70.6%
46
29.4%
Q3 - 6:59CLEMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot51
71.7%
46
28.3%
Q3 - 7:03CLEJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q3 - 7:05CLEJones BLOCK (3 BLK)51
70.7%
46
29.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAJones Layup (6 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)51
73.2%
46
26.8%
Q3 - 7:45CLEJones Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)51
75.8%
44
24.2%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)49
73.3%
44
26.7%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
69.6%
44
30.4%
Q3 - 7:54CLEMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot49
70.8%
44
29.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)49
73.0%
44
27.0%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
75.5%
42
24.5%
Q3 - 8:29CLEMISS Person 9' Jump Shot49
76.5%
42
23.5%
Q3 - 8:34CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
78.6%
42
21.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Jackson Layup49
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q3 - 8:55CLEJones 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)49
75.5%
42
24.5%
Q3 - 9:00CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot47
71.3%
42
28.7%
Q3 - 9:13MIAHEAT Rebound47
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot47
71.4%
42
28.6%
Q3 - 9:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q3 - 9:29CLEJones BLOCK (2 BLK)47
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q3 - 9:33CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
72.3%
42
27.7%
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot47
71.4%
42
28.6%
Q3 - 9:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
71.4%
42
28.6%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
69.2%
42
30.8%
Q3 - 9:50CLEMISS Murray 20' Jump Shot47
70.2%
42
29.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
72.1%
42
27.9%
Q3 - 10:05MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
74.6%
40
25.4%
Q3 - 10:11CLEMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot47
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q3 - 10:13CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
77.5%
40
22.5%
Q3 - 10:18CLEJones BLOCK (1 BLK)47
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q3 - 10:44MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
77.5%
40
22.5%
Q3 - 11:09MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
79.3%
38
20.7%
Q3 - 11:10CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 247
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q3 - 11:10CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 1 of 247
81.0%
38
19.0%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)47
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot47
84.8%
36
15.2%
Q3 - 11:49CLEMihm 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)47
83.5%
36
16.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE45
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLECavaliers Rebound45
81.6%
36
18.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0CLEMISS Miller 57' 3PT Jump Shot45
79.5%
36
20.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)45
80.5%
36
19.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0CLECavaliers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)45
79.0%
36
21.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0CLECavaliers Rebound45
80.5%
36
19.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0CLEMISS Murray 18' Running Jump Shot45
79.5%
36
20.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
80.6%
36
19.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
80.1%
36
19.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)45
79.0%
36
21.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
78.7%
36
21.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
76.1%
36
23.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Mourning Reverse Layup43
75.6%
36
24.4%
Q2 - 1:01CLEIlgauskas 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
74.0%
36
26.0%
Q2 - 1:03CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
70.2%
36
29.8%
Q2 - 1:05CLEMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot41
69.2%
36
30.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
70.2%
36
29.8%
Q2 - 1:23MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
70.8%
35
29.2%
Q2 - 1:29MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)41
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot41
75.0%
34
25.0%
Q2 - 1:45MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 1:47CLEMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
74.5%
34
25.5%
Q2 - 2:04CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
75.2%
34
24.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot41
74.6%
34
25.4%
Q2 - 2:26CLEMurray 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)41
73.0%
34
27.0%
Q2 - 2:41CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
70.3%
34
29.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot39
69.6%
34
30.4%
Q2 - 3:10CLEDavis Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)39
67.1%
34
32.9%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS)37
64.8%
34
35.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot37
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 3:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 3:56CLEMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot37
68.0%
32
32.0%
Q2 - 4:10CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
69.4%
32
30.6%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 237
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 237
67.6%
32
32.4%
Q2 - 4:33CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
66.9%
32
33.1%
Q2 - 4:33CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
66.3%
32
33.7%
Q2 - 4:48CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
64.3%
32
35.7%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot35
63.5%
32
36.5%
Q2 - 4:56MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
61.6%
32
38.4%
Q2 - 4:58CLEEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)35
62.4%
32
37.6%
Q2 - 5:07CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
64.3%
32
35.7%
Q2 - 5:08MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot35
63.5%
32
36.5%
Q2 - 5:28CLEIlgauskas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)35
61.5%
32
38.5%
Q2 - 5:46MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 6:01CLEIlgauskas 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
61.2%
30
38.8%
Q2 - 6:24MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
59.2%
30
40.8%
Q2 - 6:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 6:47CLEMISS Miller 13' Jump Shot31
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 6:57CLECavaliers Rebound31
64.4%
28
35.6%
Q2 - 6:58CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot31
62.2%
28
37.8%
Q2 - 7:13CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
63.9%
28
36.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
63.1%
28
36.9%
Q2 - 7:32CLEDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 7:41CLEPerson Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)29
59.0%
28
41.0%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
56.4%
28
43.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
57.1%
27
42.9%
Q2 - 8:17CLEPerson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 8:43MIAHouse 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q2 - 8:48CLEHouse STEAL (1 STL)25
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q2 - 8:51CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
58.8%
24
41.2%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot25
57.9%
24
42.1%
Q2 - 9:11CLEDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)25
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q2 - 9:29MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
58.6%
24
41.4%
Q2 - 9:49CLEIlgauskas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)25
60.8%
22
39.2%
Q2 - 9:59CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot25
62.4%
22
37.6%
Q2 - 10:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
60.5%
22
39.5%
Q2 - 10:17CLEMISS Person 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q2 - 10:22CLEColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
63.2%
22
36.8%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
62.4%
22
37.6%
Q2 - 10:49CLEIlgauskas 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
60.6%
22
39.4%
Q2 - 11:11MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
58.1%
22
41.9%
Q2 - 11:36CLEPerson Layup (9 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)23
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
58.1%
20
41.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0CLEMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
55.8%
20
44.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEDavis Foul Turnover (P1.T4)21
55.8%
20
44.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0CLECavaliers Rebound21
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0CLEJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)21
56.4%
20
43.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
57.6%
20
42.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
56.4%
20
43.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
57.7%
20
42.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 221
58.3%
19
41.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0CLEPerson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
58.2%
19
41.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 1:00MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot18
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 1:24CLEMurray 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)18
51.2%
19
48.8%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
48.3%
19
51.7%
Q1 - 2:05CLEStrickland STEAL (2 STL)16
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 2:20MIAStrickland 3' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
53.5%
17
46.5%
Q1 - 2:21MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 2:22MIAMISS Strickland Layup16
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Mourning 2' Driving Layup16
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 2:43MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 2:45CLEMISS Person 17' Jump Shot16
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 3:26CLEJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
60.0%
13
40.0%
Q1 - 3:34MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
55.9%
13
44.1%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 213
56.5%
12
43.5%
Q1 - 3:46CLEJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
55.6%
12
44.4%
Q1 - 3:52CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
58.1%
12
41.9%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Grant 4' Jump Shot13
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 4:11CLEMihm Dunk (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
55.5%
12
44.5%
Q1 - 4:17CLEColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
53.8%
12
46.2%
Q1 - 4:18MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot11
53.0%
12
47.0%
Q1 - 4:32CLEMISS Person Free Throw Technical11
51.1%
12
48.9%
Q1 - 4:36CLEMihm 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
51.1%
12
48.9%
Q1 - 5:03MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 5:19CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 5:19CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
46.9%
12
53.1%
Q1 - 5:38CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot7
44.6%
12
55.4%
Q1 - 5:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
43.0%
12
57.0%
Q1 - 5:55CLEMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot7
43.7%
12
56.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)7
45.5%
12
54.5%
Q1 - 6:31CLEPerson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 6:33CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
45.5%
10
54.5%
Q1 - 6:35CLEMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 6:46CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
45.5%
10
54.5%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot5
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 6:56MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
43.5%
10
56.5%
Q1 - 6:58CLEMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot5
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 7:18MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)5
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 7:38CLEPerson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 7:42CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Strickland Layup3
45.5%
8
54.5%
Q1 - 7:47CLEStrickland STEAL (1 STL)3
44.1%
8
55.9%
Q1 - 7:56CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
46.2%
8
53.8%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot3
45.5%
8
54.5%
Q1 - 8:10MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
44.6%
8
55.4%
Q1 - 8:12CLEMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
45.2%
8
54.8%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)3
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 8:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)3
48.3%
6
51.7%
Q1 - 8:37CLEMISS Mihm 15' Jump Shot3
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 8:59MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)3
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
51.7%
4
48.3%
Q1 - 9:13CLEMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot3
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 9:21CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot3
53.4%
4
46.6%
Q1 - 9:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 9:32CLEMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)3
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 9:35CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 9:38CLEMISS Person 18' Jump Shot3
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 9:40CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 9:43CLEMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)3
52.5%
4
47.5%
Q1 - 10:04MIAJackson 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
54.0%
4
46.0%
Q1 - 10:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
55.6%
2
44.4%
Q1 - 10:25CLEMISS Mihm 5' Hook Shot3
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 10:46MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 11:02CLEMihm 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)3
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)1
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
54.1%
1
45.9%
Q1 - 11:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot1
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:33CLEMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
55.8%
0
44.2%
Q1 - 11:33CLEMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 20
55.5%
0
44.5%
Q1 - 11:44CLEMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.6%
0
44.4%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mihm: Tip to Strickland0
53.9%
0
46.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.88 43.9%
MIA
0.79 39.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
7
13
54%
MIA
8
24
33%
Midrange
CLE
18
49
37%
MIA
22
54
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
2
3.0
13
15%
23%
Free Throws
CLE
21
26
81%
MIA
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jones1856%9.0 / 16
Z. Ilgauskas1662%8.0 / 13
W. Person1350%6.5 / 13
C. Mihm1250%6.0 / 12
A. Miller1029%5.0 / 17
R. Davis1071%5.0 / 7
L. Murray725%3.5 / 14
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2450%12.0 / 24
A. Mourning1650%8.0 / 16
R. Strickland1439%7.0 / 18
B. Grant950%4.5 / 9
J. Jackson833%4.0 / 12
L. Ellis425%2.0 / 8
E. House433%2.0 / 6
K. Gill213%1.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
79
+18
-15
97
MIA
86
+17
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.88 43.9%
MIA
0.79 39.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.3
96.1
CLE 91.5 +5.3
MIA 86.2
Pace
92.4
89.7
CLE 84.7
MIA 85.8 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.7
CLE 17.0
MIA 16.8 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.3%
CLE 40.6% +4.3%
MIA 36.3%
TO %
14.8%
15.5%
CLE 16.4%
MIA 7.4% +9.0%
ORB %
29.0%
26.7%
CLE 26.7% +2.1%
MIA 24.6%
FTrt
30.1
26.8
CLE 32.5 +10.5
MIA 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.1%
59.4%
CLE 46.7% +9.2%
MIA 37.5%
STL %
7.5%
7.4%
CLE 5.3%
MIA 9.6% +4.3%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
CLE 14.1%
MIA 14.5% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
47.7%
CLE 43.9% +4.6%
MIA 39.3%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.6%
CLE 53.8% +20.5%
MIA 33.3%
Mid FG%
41.9%
38.0%
CLE 36.7%
MIA 40.7% +4.0%
3P %
37.7%
34.7%
CLE 27.8% +12.4%
MIA 15.4%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
CLE 80.8% +5.8%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.5%
28.1%
CLE 16.3%
MIA 26.4% +10.1%
Mid Att. %
54.9%
57.8%
CLE 61.3%
MIA 59.3% +1.9%
3P Att. %
15.6%
14.1%
CLE 22.5% +8.2%
MIA 14.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes26.626.3
Points8681
Rebounds5547
Assists1412
Steals59
Blocks119
Turnovers (Team)15 (3)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (0)33 (0)
Field Goals30-8032-91
At-the-Rim FG7-138-24
Midrange FG18-4922-54
2-Point FG25-6230-78
3-Point FG5-182-13
Free Throws21-2615-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 235 · 29
44.3
7
25%
9
0
0
2
3
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
43.2
18
56%
15
3
1
0
1
5
3
12
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
2-5
40%
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
41.2
13
50%
7
0
2
0
2
3
1
6
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
38.3
10
29%
7
8
1
1
3
2
1
6
7-8
88%
0-10
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 265 · 22
29.6
12
50%
6
0
0
4
1
4
4
2
0-2
0%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 22
25.1
10
71%
3
2
1
1
3
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 27
23.3
16
62%
5
1
0
3
1
2
1
4
6-6
100%
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 182 · 34
14.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
· 6'3" · 26
C · 7'0" 280 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
86
44%
55
14
5
11
15
0
12
43
21-26
81%
25-62
40%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.