FinalWin Prob.pScore
263%101
102
2037%97
93
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
113.390103.4
DEN logo DEN
104.58978.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS102
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)102
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)101
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENLenard 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)100
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 299
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENLaFrentz Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)99
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASPorter Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)99
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0SASPorter Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)98
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)97
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0DENJump Ball Van Exel vs. Duncan: Tip to LaFrentz97
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 1:17DENLenard 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Van Exel 15 AST)97
98.3%
91
1.7%
Q4 - 1:33SASDaniels Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)97
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 1:35SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
97.8%
89
2.2%
Q4 - 1:40DENMISS Van Exel 10' Jump Shot95
97.2%
89
2.8%
Q4 - 1:58SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)95
95.7%
89
4.3%
Q4 - 2:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)93
93.8%
89
6.2%
Q4 - 2:19DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
92.5%
89
7.5%
Q4 - 2:26DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
88.5%
89
11.5%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
90.5%
89
9.5%
Q4 - 2:51DENVan Exel 8' Jump Shot (25 PTS)93
91.8%
89
8.2%
Q4 - 3:02SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)93
93.9%
87
6.1%
Q4 - 3:02SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 292
93.2%
87
6.8%
Q4 - 3:02SASSpurs Rebound92
94.6%
87
5.4%
Q4 - 3:03SASMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot92
92.3%
87
7.7%
Q4 - 3:30DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
94.8%
87
5.2%
Q4 - 3:30DENPosey Tip Shot (6 PTS)92
94.8%
87
5.2%
Q4 - 3:32DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot92
95.6%
85
4.4%
Q4 - 3:46DENNUGGETS Rebound92
94.5%
85
5.5%
Q4 - 3:47SASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
95.1%
85
4.9%
Q4 - 3:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)92
96.3%
85
3.7%
Q4 - 3:54DENMISS Scott Layup92
95.8%
85
4.2%
Q4 - 4:08SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
94.7%
85
5.3%
Q4 - 4:08SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
94.3%
85
5.7%
Q4 - 4:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)90
92.6%
85
7.4%
Q4 - 4:14DENMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot90
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 4:17DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
89.4%
85
10.6%
Q4 - 4:23DENMISS Van Exel 10' Running Jump Shot90
91.8%
85
8.2%
Q4 - 4:26DENLenard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)90
89.5%
85
10.5%
Q4 - 4:31SASScott BLOCK (1 BLK)90
90.6%
85
9.4%
Q4 - 4:53DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)90
92.7%
85
7.3%
Q4 - 5:01DENScott REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)90
95.1%
82
4.9%
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Duncan 9' Turnaround Jump Shot90
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 5:18DENLenard Foul Turnover (P3.T12)90
96.5%
82
3.5%
Q4 - 5:45SASSmith 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Porter 4 AST)90
95.2%
82
4.8%
Q4 - 5:50SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
93.5%
82
6.5%
Q4 - 5:54DENMISS McCloud 16' Jump Shot88
92.9%
82
7.1%
Q4 - 6:17SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)88
89.6%
82
10.4%
Q4 - 6:34DENLaFrentz Layup (20 PTS) (Van Exel 14 AST)85
83.1%
82
16.9%
Q4 - 6:52DENNUGGETS Rebound85
86.5%
80
13.5%
Q4 - 6:53DENMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot85
89.1%
80
10.9%
Q4 - 7:13SASSmith 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)85
85.5%
80
14.5%
Q4 - 7:35DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Van Exel 13 AST)83
82.3%
80
17.7%
Q4 - 8:03SASPorter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)83
84.4%
78
15.6%
Q4 - 8:23DENScott Layup (8 PTS) (Van Exel 12 AST)80
76.6%
78
23.4%
Q4 - 8:43SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
80.8%
76
19.2%
Q4 - 8:43SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)79
79.8%
76
20.2%
Q4 - 8:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)78
76.7%
76
23.3%
Q4 - 8:59DENMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot78
75.2%
76
24.8%
Q4 - 9:25SASDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)78
71.5%
76
28.5%
Q4 - 9:54DENJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
61.0%
76
39.0%
Q4 - 10:19SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
66.0%
74
34.0%
Q4 - 10:19SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
65.1%
74
34.9%
Q4 - 10:25DENLaFrentz 4' Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)73
61.2%
74
38.8%
Q4 - 10:40DENJump Ball Johnson vs. Smith: Tip to McCloud73
66.1%
72
33.9%
Q4 - 10:40SASJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)73
67.7%
72
32.3%
Q4 - 10:40DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)73
71.3%
72
28.7%
Q4 - 10:42DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)73
66.1%
72
33.9%
Q4 - 10:45DENMISS Posey Layup73
69.8%
72
30.2%
Q4 - 10:47DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
66.1%
72
33.9%
Q4 - 10:50DENMISS Bowen Layup73
69.8%
72
30.2%
Q4 - 11:12DENNUGGETS Rebound73
65.5%
72
34.5%
Q4 - 11:13SASMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot73
67.0%
72
33.0%
Q4 - 11:22SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
70.4%
72
29.6%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot73
68.9%
72
31.1%
Q4 - 11:40SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
65.5%
72
34.5%
Q4 - 11:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)72
64.6%
72
35.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
60.7%
72
39.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
60.7%
72
39.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Van Exel 10' Jump Shot71
59.0%
72
41.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
56.3%
72
43.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
55.0%
72
45.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENMISS Lenard 16' Fadeaway Jumper69
49.6%
72
50.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0SASSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T13)69
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 1:18SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
52.4%
72
47.6%
Q3 - 1:20DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
50.8%
72
49.2%
Q3 - 1:24DENLenard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)69
47.3%
72
52.7%
Q3 - 1:28SASMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot69
48.9%
72
51.1%
Q3 - 1:53DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
52.3%
72
47.7%
Q3 - 1:53DENMcCloud 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
52.3%
72
47.7%
Q3 - 1:58DENMISS Posey 17' Turnaround Jump Shot69
60.4%
70
39.6%
Q3 - 2:19SASDaniels Dunk (6 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)69
57.0%
70
43.0%
Q3 - 2:26DENLenard 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Van Exel 11 AST)67
52.8%
70
47.2%
Q3 - 2:34SASPorter Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)67
57.0%
68
43.0%
Q3 - 2:44SASPorter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
52.8%
68
47.2%
Q3 - 2:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 265
48.4%
68
51.6%
Q3 - 2:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
51.6%
68
48.4%
Q3 - 2:53SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
52.8%
68
47.2%
Q3 - 2:55DENMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot65
51.3%
68
48.7%
Q3 - 3:10SASPorter Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)65
48.8%
68
51.2%
Q3 - 3:29DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
53.5%
68
46.5%
Q3 - 3:29DENLaFrentz Layup (16 PTS)65
53.5%
68
46.5%
Q3 - 3:32DENMISS Posey Layup65
60.8%
66
39.2%
Q3 - 3:38SASMcCloud STEAL (1 STL)65
57.6%
66
42.4%
Q3 - 3:55DENLenard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)65
62.2%
66
37.8%
Q3 - 4:01DENLenard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
66.0%
64
34.0%
Q3 - 4:03DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
69.1%
64
30.9%
Q3 - 4:25DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
66.0%
64
34.0%
Q3 - 4:26SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 265
66.6%
64
33.4%
Q3 - 4:26SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
68.8%
64
31.2%
Q3 - 4:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)64
66.6%
64
33.4%
Q3 - 4:36SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 4:51DENLenard 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Scott 2 AST)64
66.6%
64
33.4%
Q3 - 5:07DENScott REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)64
73.3%
61
26.7%
Q3 - 5:09DENMISS LaFrentz 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
75.6%
61
24.4%
Q3 - 5:26DENScott REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)64
73.3%
61
26.7%
Q3 - 5:28DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot64
75.7%
61
24.3%
Q3 - 5:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)64
73.3%
61
26.7%
Q3 - 5:51SASDuncan Slam Dunk (20 PTS)64
73.3%
61
26.7%
Q3 - 5:55SASMISS Bowen Driving Layup62
67.5%
61
32.5%
Q3 - 6:14DENLenard 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)62
70.1%
61
29.9%
Q3 - 6:38SASDuncan Dunk (18 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)62
76.2%
58
23.8%
Q3 - 6:58DENScott Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 10 AST)60
73.3%
58
26.7%
Q3 - 7:01DENLenard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
75.4%
56
24.6%
Q3 - 7:05DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
77.6%
56
22.4%
Q3 - 7:24SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)60
75.4%
56
24.6%
Q3 - 7:49DENVan Exel 13' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)57
69.7%
56
30.3%
Q3 - 8:06SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)57
72.7%
54
27.3%
Q3 - 8:06SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
72.1%
54
27.9%
Q3 - 8:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)55
70.0%
54
30.0%
Q3 - 8:15DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 8:18DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 8:22DENScott REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)55
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 8:22DENMISS Scott Reverse Layup55
68.9%
54
31.1%
Q3 - 8:24DENScott REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)55
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 8:24DENMISS Scott Layup55
68.8%
54
31.2%
Q3 - 8:26DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
68.8%
54
31.2%
Q3 - 8:43DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
66.2%
54
33.8%
Q3 - 8:46SASLenard BLOCK (1 BLK)55
67.4%
54
32.6%
Q3 - 9:00DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)55
69.9%
54
30.1%
Q3 - 9:14DENNUGGETS Rebound55
75.6%
51
24.4%
Q3 - 9:15SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot55
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 9:26DENLenard 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)55
78.3%
51
21.7%
Q3 - 9:50SASSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)55
80.6%
49
19.4%
Q3 - 10:07DENScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)53
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q3 - 10:07DENScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)53
79.2%
48
20.8%
Q3 - 10:08DENScott REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)53
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q3 - 10:10DENMISS Lenard 15' Jump Shot53
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q3 - 10:21DENNUGGETS Rebound53
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q3 - 10:23DENMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot53
82.1%
47
17.9%
Q3 - 10:36SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)53
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q3 - 10:52DENLenard 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)51
78.4%
47
21.6%
Q3 - 11:06SASParker 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)51
80.6%
45
19.4%
Q3 - 11:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)49
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q3 - 11:17SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot49
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q3 - 11:29SASSpurs Rebound49
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q3 - 11:29SASLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)49
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q3 - 11:35SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
78.5%
45
21.5%
Q3 - 11:38DENMISS Scott 6' Hook Shot49
77.7%
45
22.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS49
75.9%
45
24.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound49
75.9%
45
24.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
77.7%
45
22.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
76.2%
45
23.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
77.8%
45
22.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENMISS Scott Tip Shot49
77.3%
45
22.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENMISS Williams 9' Hook Shot49
77.3%
45
22.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENNUGGETS Rebound49
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
76.7%
45
23.3%
Q2 - 1:02DENLenard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)49
77.3%
45
22.7%
Q2 - 1:02DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 1:03DENMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot49
77.0%
45
23.0%
Q2 - 1:11DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 1:15SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot49
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q2 - 1:32DENPosey 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)49
77.3%
45
22.7%
Q2 - 1:44DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
80.5%
43
19.5%
Q2 - 1:46DENScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
80.5%
43
19.5%
Q2 - 1:46DENMISS Scott Tip Shot49
81.2%
43
18.8%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot49
81.2%
43
18.8%
Q2 - 1:59SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
80.5%
43
19.5%
Q2 - 1:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
80.1%
43
19.9%
Q2 - 2:03SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
77.5%
43
22.5%
Q2 - 2:07DENMISS Van Exel 27' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper47
76.9%
43
23.1%
Q2 - 2:24DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q2 - 2:26SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot47
76.1%
43
23.9%
Q2 - 2:39DENLaFrentz Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)47
77.5%
43
22.5%
Q2 - 2:52DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
75.5%
43
24.5%
Q2 - 2:53SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 247
75.8%
43
24.2%
Q2 - 2:53SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)47
77.3%
43
22.7%
Q2 - 3:08DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)46
75.3%
43
24.7%
Q2 - 3:08DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)46
75.7%
42
24.3%
Q2 - 3:09SASLenard STEAL (2 STL)46
77.3%
41
22.7%
Q2 - 3:24SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
79.5%
41
20.5%
Q2 - 3:27DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
78.9%
41
21.1%
Q2 - 3:49SASSmith 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
77.3%
41
22.7%
Q2 - 4:05DENVan Exel 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)44
75.1%
41
24.9%
Q2 - 4:23SASPorter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
77.2%
39
22.8%
Q2 - 4:27SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
72.9%
39
27.1%
Q2 - 4:30DENMISS Cheaney 8' Turnaround Jump Shot41
72.2%
39
27.8%
Q2 - 4:50SASRose Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
70.6%
39
29.4%
Q2 - 5:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
68.5%
39
31.5%
Q2 - 5:08DENMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Shot39
67.6%
39
32.4%
Q2 - 5:26SASBowen Driving Layup (7 PTS)39
65.7%
39
34.3%
Q2 - 5:49DENVan Exel 22' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)37
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 6:03SASRose Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)37
65.9%
37
34.1%
Q2 - 6:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 6:13DENMISS McCloud Layup37
67.9%
37
32.1%
Q2 - 6:15DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
65.9%
37
34.1%
Q2 - 6:19SASCheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)37
66.8%
37
33.2%
Q2 - 6:35DENVan Exel 9' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)37
68.8%
37
31.2%
Q2 - 6:48DENNUGGETS Rebound37
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 6:50DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot37
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 6:54DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 6:56SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
71.5%
35
28.5%
Q2 - 7:16DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
73.1%
35
26.9%
Q2 - 7:17DENMISS Cheaney Free Throw 1 of 137
76.8%
33
23.2%
Q2 - 7:17DENCheaney Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)37
77.0%
33
23.0%
Q2 - 7:36DENNUGGETS Rebound37
78.7%
31
21.3%
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot37
79.3%
31
20.7%
Q2 - 7:57DENJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)37
80.6%
31
19.4%
Q2 - 7:59DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
82.1%
29
17.9%
Q2 - 8:03SASMISS Parker Driving Layup37
82.2%
29
17.8%
Q2 - 8:10DENJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)37
83.4%
29
16.6%
Q2 - 8:27SASRobinson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)37
81.7%
29
18.3%
Q2 - 8:44DENMcCloud 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)35
80.3%
29
19.7%
Q2 - 9:01SASSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)35
81.5%
27
18.5%
Q2 - 9:05SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
83.1%
27
16.9%
Q2 - 9:09DENMISS McCloud Reverse Layup35
82.6%
27
17.4%
Q2 - 9:23SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)35
81.5%
27
18.5%
Q2 - 9:38DENWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)32
78.4%
27
21.6%
Q2 - 9:50SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 9:50SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 9:50SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
74.8%
27
25.2%
Q2 - 9:50SASMISS Robinson Layup30
73.3%
27
26.7%
Q2 - 10:06DENWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)30
74.5%
27
25.5%
Q2 - 10:23SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
72.4%
27
27.6%
Q2 - 10:23SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
71.8%
27
28.2%
Q2 - 10:24DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)28
70.6%
27
29.4%
Q2 - 10:26DENNUGGETS Rebound28
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 10:30DENMISS McCloud 14' Turnaround Jump Shot28
69.9%
27
30.1%
Q2 - 10:49DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
68.2%
27
31.8%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 228
68.6%
27
31.4%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 228
69.6%
27
30.4%
Q2 - 11:02SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
70.5%
27
29.5%
Q2 - 11:09DENMISS Johnson 9' Running Jump Shot28
69.9%
27
30.1%
Q2 - 11:28SASDuncan Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS)28
68.4%
27
31.6%
Q2 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)26
66.3%
27
33.7%
Q2 - 11:42DENMISS Van Exel 6' Running Jump Shot26
65.6%
27
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound26
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Posey 55' 3PT Jump Shot26
65.6%
27
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
64.0%
27
36.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)26
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENVan Exel Foul Turnover (P2.T4)26
65.9%
27
34.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)26
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASDuncan Tip Shot (8 PTS)26
64.3%
27
35.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0SASMISS Rose Layup24
60.3%
27
39.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DENLaFrentz Layup (9 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)24
61.6%
27
38.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
64.3%
25
35.7%
Q1 - 1:12DENPosey Dunk (2 PTS)22
61.7%
25
38.3%
Q1 - 1:16SASPosey STEAL (3 STL)22
64.4%
23
35.6%
Q1 - 1:22DENVan Exel 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 1:44SASPorter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)22
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 1:52SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
63.9%
21
36.1%
Q1 - 1:55DENMISS Lenard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot19
63.3%
21
36.7%
Q1 - 2:10DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
62.4%
21
37.6%
Q1 - 2:13SASMISS Smith Layup19
63.0%
21
37.0%
Q1 - 2:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)19
64.4%
21
35.6%
Q1 - 2:21DENMISS Posey 20' Fadeaway Jumper19
63.8%
21
36.2%
Q1 - 2:48SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)19
62.4%
21
37.6%
Q1 - 2:57SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
60.0%
21
40.0%
Q1 - 3:01DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
59.8%
21
40.2%
Q1 - 3:13SASSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)17
58.1%
21
41.9%
Q1 - 3:28DENVan Exel 19' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)15
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 3:42DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
58.1%
19
41.9%
Q1 - 3:45SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
58.8%
19
41.2%
Q1 - 3:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)15
60.5%
19
39.5%
Q1 - 3:54SASPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)15
58.8%
19
41.2%
Q1 - 4:07DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
61.0%
19
39.0%
Q1 - 4:11SASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
58.5%
19
41.5%
Q1 - 4:11SASDaniels Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)14
56.3%
19
43.7%
Q1 - 4:16SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
54.6%
19
45.4%
Q1 - 4:20DENMISS Van Exel 7' Running Jump Shot12
53.8%
19
46.2%
Q1 - 4:28SASLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)12
51.9%
19
48.1%
Q1 - 4:46DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)12
54.5%
19
45.5%
Q1 - 4:51SASPosey STEAL (2 STL)12
58.4%
16
41.6%
Q1 - 5:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 5:06DENMISS Lenard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot12
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 5:24DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 5:27SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
59.9%
16
40.1%
Q1 - 5:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
61.5%
16
38.5%
Q1 - 5:43DENMISS Lenard 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 5:51SASPosey STEAL (1 STL)12
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 6:07DENLaFrentz Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
61.6%
16
38.4%
Q1 - 6:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
59.6%
16
40.4%
Q1 - 6:09SASDuncan Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
59.6%
16
40.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 6:11SASMISS Robinson Layup10
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 6:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 6:13SASMISS Duncan Layup10
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 6:16SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot10
56.3%
16
43.7%
Q1 - 6:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
57.7%
16
42.3%
Q1 - 6:29DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 6:35SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
55.7%
16
44.3%
Q1 - 6:54DENScott Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)8
53.7%
16
46.3%
Q1 - 6:58SASScott STEAL (1 STL)8
55.7%
14
44.3%
Q1 - 7:12DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
58.7%
14
41.3%
Q1 - 7:24DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 7:32DENLenard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
64.1%
11
35.9%
Q1 - 7:35SASLenard STEAL (1 STL)8
62.1%
11
37.9%
Q1 - 7:53DENLaFrentz Layup (7 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)8
64.0%
11
36.0%
Q1 - 7:56DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
65.6%
9
34.4%
Q1 - 8:00SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
66.2%
9
33.8%
Q1 - 8:20DENLenard 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)8
68.1%
9
31.9%
Q1 - 8:36SASRobinson Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
69.5%
7
30.5%
Q1 - 8:52DENLaFrentz 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)6
68.0%
7
32.0%
Q1 - 9:06SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
69.2%
5
30.8%
Q1 - 9:19SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
71.3%
5
28.7%
Q1 - 9:24DENMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot6
70.7%
5
29.3%
Q1 - 9:27DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
69.2%
5
30.8%
Q1 - 9:31SASLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)6
69.9%
5
30.1%
Q1 - 9:40SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
71.3%
5
28.7%
Q1 - 9:43SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
69.9%
5
30.1%
Q1 - 9:54DENLenard 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)6
71.3%
5
28.7%
Q1 - 10:04DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
72.4%
3
27.6%
Q1 - 10:06DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot6
73.6%
3
26.4%
Q1 - 10:24SASRobinson 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)6
72.4%
3
27.6%
Q1 - 10:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
71.1%
3
28.9%
Q1 - 10:41DENMISS Posey Driving Layup4
70.6%
3
29.4%
Q1 - 11:01SASRobinson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)4
69.5%
3
30.5%
Q1 - 11:12DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)2
67.8%
3
32.2%
Q1 - 11:37SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Robinson: Tip to Duncan0
69.4%
0
30.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.0%
DEN
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
14
26
54%
DEN
10
21
48%
Midrange
SAS
13
22
59%
DEN
24
50
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
DEN
7
10.5
28
25%
38%
Free Throws
SAS
27
35
77%
DEN
4
5
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2463%12.0 / 19
A. Daniels1657%8.0 / 14
D. Robinson1372%6.5 / 9
T. Porter13108%6.5 / 6
B. Bowen1063%5.0 / 8
M. Rose950%4.5 / 9
C. Smith945%4.5 / 10
S. Smith433%2.0 / 6
T. Parker429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel2548%12.5 / 26
V. Lenard2463%12.0 / 19
R. LaFrentz2071%10.0 / 14
S. Scott840%4.0 / 10
J. Posey621%3.0 / 14
G. McCloud425%2.0 / 8
A. Johnson450%2.0 / 4
C. Cheaney233%1.0 / 3
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
S. Williams0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
76
+13
-14
89
DEN
76
+26
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 56.0%
DEN
0.90 45.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
99.6
SAS 113.3 +8.8
DEN 104.5
Pace
92.4
92.1
SAS 103.4 +24.7
DEN 78.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.0
SAS 13.9 +4.4
DEN 18.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
45.5%
SAS 53.6% +8.7%
DEN 44.9%
TO %
14.8%
14.9%
SAS 14.1%
DEN 11.4% +2.7%
ORB %
27.2%
30.7%
SAS 34.4%
DEN 37.7% +3.3%
FTrt
35.3
25.6
SAS 50.0 +44.9
DEN 5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
62.3%
SAS 70.6% +12.1%
DEN 58.5%
STL %
8.2%
8.0%
SAS 5.6%
DEN 10.1% +4.5%
BLK %
9.5%
8.6%
SAS 12.7%
DEN 16.7% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
47.2%
SAS 56.0% +10.9%
DEN 45.1%
Rim FG%
60.3%
55.5%
SAS 53.8% +6.2%
DEN 47.6%
Mid FG%
37.6%
36.9%
SAS 59.1% +11.1%
DEN 48.0%
3P %
36.2%
32.9%
SAS 31.8% +6.8%
DEN 25.0%
FT %
74.2%
74.4%
SAS 77.1%
DEN 80.0% +2.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
33.7%
SAS 37.1% +15.9%
DEN 21.2%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
47.6%
SAS 31.4% +19.1%
DEN 50.5%
3P Att. %
19.0%
18.7%
SAS 31.4% +3.1%
DEN 28.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes20.927.1
Points10293
Rebounds4441
Assists2424
Steals59
Blocks98
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)20 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)21 (6)
Field Goals34-7041-99
At-the-Rim FG14-2610-21
Midrange FG13-2224-50
2-Point FG27-4834-71
3-Point FG7-227-28
Free Throws27-354-5
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
39.7
24
63%
16
5
2
5
4
3
7
9
6-8
75%
9-15
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 221 · 33
27.1
4
33%
0
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 36
26.5
13
72%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
5-6
83%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 31
23.0
10
63%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 185 · 20
19.1
4
29%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
28.9
9
50%
8
1
1
0
3
2
0
8
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
28.9
13
108%
7
4
0
0
3
1
1
6
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
25.9
16
57%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
7-9
78%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
20.9
9
45%
1
2
0
3
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29
C · 6'11" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
56%
44
24
5
9
14
0
11
33
27-35
77%
27-48
56%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.