FinalWin Prob.pScore
1553%91
95
2647%90
56
ORTG#PossPace
UTA logo UTA
110.58689.2
MIA logo MIA
65.18683.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatJazzQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventUTAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA95
100%
56
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)95
100%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)95
100%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot95
100%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0UTALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)95
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot95
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0UTACrotty Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Amaechi 1 AST)95
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T11)93
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 1:26UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)92
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 2:02UTAPadgett Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)91
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)89
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 189
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAGill 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)89
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33UTAStarks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)89
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52UTAMISS Starks 15' Jump Shot86
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)86
99.9%
52
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29UTACrotty 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ostertag 4 AST)86
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:06UTAKirilenko Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Gill Dunk83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:30UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:32MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ostertag 3 AST)83
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 6:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Gatling 16' Jump Shot80
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 6:31UTAKirilenko 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crotty 2 AST)80
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52MIAHouse 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)77
99.9%
50
0.1%
Q4 - 7:09UTAKirilenko Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14)77
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
99.9%
48
0.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
99.9%
47
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 7:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 7:38MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 7:44MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 7:46UTAMISS Starks 16' Jump Shot77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:06UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:08MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:22UTAMISS Starks 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:36UTAMarshall Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)77
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:44UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot76
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 9:01UTAMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 9:01UTAMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 9:20MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)74
99.9%
46
0.1%
Q4 - 9:33UTAStarks Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)74
99.9%
44
0.1%
Q4 - 9:36MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)72
99.9%
44
0.1%
Q4 - 9:54UTACrotty Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)72
99.9%
44
0.1%
Q4 - 10:16MIAGill Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)72
99.9%
44
0.1%
Q4 - 10:22UTACarter STEAL (2 STL)72
99.9%
42
0.1%
Q4 - 10:35MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)72
99.9%
42
0.1%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 272
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 10:39UTACarter STEAL (1 STL)72
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 10:48UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot72
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 11:11UTACrotty 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)72
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 11:22UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Gatling Layup70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q4 - 11:29MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q4 - 11:31UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)70
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 11:31UTAMISS Ostertag Tip Shot70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q4 - 11:33UTAMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q4 - 11:40UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
99.9%
41
0.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0UTACrotty 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)70
99.8%
41
0.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0UTAJazz Rebound67
99.6%
41
0.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Gatling 12' Jump Shot67
99.6%
41
0.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
99.6%
41
0.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0UTAMISS Malone Layup67
99.6%
41
0.4%
Q3 - 1:14MIAGill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)67
99.5%
41
0.5%
Q3 - 1:35UTAStevenson Layup (10 PTS) (Crotty 1 AST)67
99.7%
38
0.3%
Q3 - 1:39MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)65
99.6%
38
0.4%
Q3 - 1:58UTACrotty 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)65
99.5%
38
0.5%
Q3 - 2:18MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)63
99.3%
38
0.7%
Q3 - 2:30UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)63
99.1%
38
0.9%
Q3 - 2:30UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
99.1%
38
0.9%
Q3 - 2:42UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
99.0%
38
1.0%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Jones 12' Running Jump Shot61
98.9%
38
1.1%
Q3 - 2:58MIAHEAT Rebound61
98.7%
38
1.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMISS Jackson Layup61
98.9%
38
1.1%
Q3 - 3:12UTAStevenson Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST)61
98.5%
38
1.5%
Q3 - 3:16MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)59
98.2%
38
1.8%
Q3 - 3:35UTAJones STEAL (1 STL)59
97.9%
38
2.1%
Q3 - 3:51MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)59
98.3%
38
1.7%
Q3 - 4:11UTAMarshall 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)59
98.3%
36
1.7%
Q3 - 4:24UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
98.6%
36
1.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot59
98.5%
36
1.5%
Q3 - 4:39UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)59
98.3%
36
1.7%
Q3 - 4:39UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 258
98.2%
36
1.8%
Q3 - 5:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)58
98.0%
36
2.0%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHEAT Rebound58
98.6%
33
1.4%
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Jackson Driving Layup58
98.7%
33
1.3%
Q3 - 5:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
98.6%
33
1.4%
Q3 - 5:26UTAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)58
98.7%
33
1.3%
Q3 - 5:41MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Marshall: Tip to Malone58
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot58
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 5:49MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
98.6%
33
1.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot58
98.8%
33
1.2%
Q3 - 6:06UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stevenson 4 AST)58
98.3%
33
1.7%
Q3 - 6:14UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
98.1%
33
1.9%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot56
98.0%
33
2.0%
Q3 - 6:34UTAMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)56
97.7%
33
2.3%
Q3 - 6:34UTAMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)55
97.7%
33
2.3%
Q3 - 6:43MIAStepania 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)54
97.4%
33
2.6%
Q3 - 7:06UTAStevenson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)54
97.4%
31
2.6%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)52
97.0%
31
3.0%
Q3 - 7:38UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)52
97.4%
29
2.6%
Q3 - 7:38UTAJazz Rebound52
97.8%
29
2.2%
Q3 - 7:38UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot52
97.5%
29
2.5%
Q3 - 7:49UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
97.8%
29
2.2%
Q3 - 7:51UTAMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)52
97.5%
29
2.5%
Q3 - 8:06MIAJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)52
97.6%
29
2.4%
Q3 - 8:28UTAMalone Layup (16 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)52
98.2%
26
1.8%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)50
98.0%
26
2.0%
Q3 - 8:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
98.2%
24
1.8%
Q3 - 8:55UTAMISS Malone 7' Running Jump Shot50
98.3%
24
1.7%
Q3 - 9:17UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)50
98.3%
24
1.7%
Q3 - 9:19UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot50
98.1%
24
1.9%
Q3 - 9:43UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
98.3%
24
1.7%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot50
98.2%
24
1.8%
Q3 - 9:56MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
98.0%
24
2.0%
Q3 - 9:58UTAMISS Malone 14' Jump Shot50
98.1%
24
1.9%
Q3 - 10:12UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
98.1%
24
1.9%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot50
98.0%
24
2.0%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
97.8%
24
2.2%
Q3 - 10:38UTAMISS Marshall 8' Hook Shot50
97.9%
24
2.1%
Q3 - 10:50UTAStockton Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)50
98.1%
24
1.9%
Q3 - 11:00MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
97.8%
24
2.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
97.2%
24
2.8%
Q3 - 11:08UTAMISS Malone 16' Jump Shot49
97.3%
24
2.7%
Q3 - 11:23UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)49
97.6%
24
2.4%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 249
97.6%
24
2.4%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)49
97.4%
24
2.6%
Q3 - 11:43UTAMarshall Layup (16 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)49
97.6%
23
2.4%
Q3 - 11:46UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
97.3%
23
2.7%
Q3 - 11:48UTAMISS Malone 2' Hook Shot47
97.0%
23
3.0%
Q3 - 11:49UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
97.3%
23
2.7%
Q3 - 11:52UTAMISS Collins Driving Layup47
97.0%
23
3.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
97.3%
23
2.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound47
96.9%
23
3.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
97.2%
23
2.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
96.5%
23
3.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot47
96.7%
23
3.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
96.5%
23
3.5%
Q2 - 0:15.0UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 246
96.4%
23
3.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
96.4%
23
3.6%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
96.3%
23
3.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
96.1%
23
3.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Padgett Reverse Layup46
96.2%
23
3.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
96.4%
23
3.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0UTAMISS Malone 11' Jump Shot46
96.2%
23
3.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)46
96.4%
23
3.6%
Q2 - 1:16UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)46
95.8%
23
4.2%
Q2 - 1:16UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
96.0%
23
4.0%
Q2 - 1:17UTAEllis BLOCK (3 BLK)46
95.8%
23
4.2%
Q2 - 1:27UTAJazz Rebound46
96.0%
23
4.0%
Q2 - 1:28UTAEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)46
95.9%
23
4.1%
Q2 - 1:39UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
96.0%
23
4.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot46
96.0%
23
4.0%
Q2 - 1:56UTAPadgett Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)46
95.8%
23
4.2%
Q2 - 2:10MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
94.6%
23
5.4%
Q2 - 2:10MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)44
94.8%
22
5.2%
Q2 - 2:14MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
95.3%
21
4.7%
Q2 - 2:16UTAMISS Stevenson 13' Jump Shot44
95.4%
21
4.6%
Q2 - 2:30UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)44
95.8%
21
4.2%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot44
95.6%
21
4.4%
Q2 - 2:49UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
95.3%
21
4.7%
Q2 - 2:49UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)43
95.1%
21
4.9%
Q2 - 2:55UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
94.6%
21
5.4%
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Ellis 5' Hook Shot42
94.5%
21
5.5%
Q2 - 3:19UTAMalone 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)42
93.3%
21
6.7%
Q2 - 3:34UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
92.6%
21
7.4%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot40
92.3%
21
7.7%
Q2 - 3:38MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
91.7%
21
8.3%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
92.3%
21
7.7%
Q2 - 4:04UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)40
91.1%
21
8.9%
Q2 - 4:04UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 239
90.8%
21
9.2%
Q2 - 4:04MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
91.1%
21
8.9%
Q2 - 4:16UTAStockton Running Layup (2 PTS)39
92.0%
19
8.0%
Q2 - 4:25UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
91.1%
19
8.9%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot37
90.8%
19
9.2%
Q2 - 4:38UTAJazz Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)37
90.1%
19
9.9%
Q2 - 5:09MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)37
90.8%
19
9.2%
Q2 - 5:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
92.5%
16
7.5%
Q2 - 5:21UTAMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
92.7%
16
7.3%
Q2 - 5:43UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
93.3%
16
6.7%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Gatling 13' Jump Shot37
93.1%
16
6.9%
Q2 - 6:04UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
92.0%
16
8.0%
Q2 - 6:04UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 236
91.7%
16
8.3%
Q2 - 6:12UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)36
92.2%
16
7.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAMISS Grant Layup36
91.9%
16
8.1%
Q2 - 6:38UTAMarshall Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
91.2%
16
8.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
92.2%
16
7.8%
Q2 - 7:08UTAMarshall Finger Roll (14 PTS)36
92.2%
14
7.8%
Q2 - 7:31UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
91.5%
14
8.5%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS House 11' Running Jump Shot34
91.2%
14
8.8%
Q2 - 7:38MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
90.6%
14
9.4%
Q2 - 7:40UTAMISS Starks 21' Jump Shot34
90.9%
14
9.1%
Q2 - 7:54UTAStarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
91.5%
14
8.5%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot34
91.2%
14
8.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
90.1%
14
9.9%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot34
90.9%
14
9.1%
Q2 - 8:25UTAMarshall 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS)34
90.2%
14
9.8%
Q2 - 8:27UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
89.3%
14
10.7%
Q2 - 8:29UTAMISS Starks 20' Jump Shot32
88.5%
14
11.5%
Q2 - 8:43MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
89.3%
14
10.7%
Q2 - 8:50MIAHEAT Rebound32
90.2%
12
9.8%
Q2 - 8:53MIAMISS Mourning Reverse Layup32
90.9%
12
9.1%
Q2 - 9:09UTAMarshall Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)32
89.7%
12
10.3%
Q2 - 9:09UTAMarshall Layup (9 PTS) (Ostertag 2 AST)31
88.7%
12
11.3%
Q2 - 9:21UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
87.8%
12
12.2%
Q2 - 9:25UTAMISS Starks 22' Jump Shot29
86.9%
12
13.1%
Q2 - 9:34UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
87.8%
12
12.2%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS Carter Layup29
87.4%
12
12.6%
Q2 - 9:57UTAMarshall Layup (7 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)29
86.5%
12
13.5%
Q2 - 10:06UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
85.1%
12
14.9%
Q2 - 10:08MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot27
84.6%
12
15.4%
Q2 - 10:25UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q2 - 10:25UTAMarshall Tip Shot (5 PTS)27
83.6%
12
16.4%
Q2 - 10:26UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup25
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q2 - 10:30UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot25
81.9%
12
18.1%
Q2 - 10:50UTAMarshall Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)25
80.7%
12
19.3%
Q2 - 11:05UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
81.7%
12
18.3%
Q2 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup25
81.3%
12
18.7%
Q2 - 11:22UTACrotty Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
80.3%
12
19.7%
Q2 - 11:22UTACrotty Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
78.7%
12
21.3%
Q2 - 11:26MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
77.0%
12
23.0%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
75.3%
12
24.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Shot22
76.5%
12
23.5%
Q2 - 11:46UTAOstertag Dunk (4 PTS) (Starks 1 AST)22
75.3%
12
24.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
73.4%
12
26.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound20
71.5%
12
28.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
72.9%
12
27.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0UTAOstertag Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
71.2%
12
28.8%
Q1 - 0:07.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 0:08.0UTAMISS Kirilenko 10' Jump Shot18
67.7%
12
32.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Stepania 10' Hook Shot18
68.3%
12
31.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0UTAEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)18
67.7%
12
32.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot18
68.3%
12
31.7%
Q1 - 1:14UTAKirilenko Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)18
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 1:29MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 1:48UTAStevenson Layup (4 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)18
67.2%
12
32.8%
Q1 - 2:01UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
64.9%
12
35.1%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
64.3%
12
35.7%
Q1 - 2:21MIAHEAT Rebound16
62.9%
12
37.1%
Q1 - 2:22UTAMISS Malone 22' Jump Shot16
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 2:37UTACrotty REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
64.9%
12
35.1%
Q1 - 2:39UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 216
63.1%
12
36.9%
Q1 - 2:39UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)16
64.6%
12
35.4%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJackson Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
62.7%
12
37.3%
Q1 - 3:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 3:14UTAMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot15
65.1%
10
34.9%
Q1 - 3:34UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot15
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 3:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot15
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 4:00UTAMalone 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)15
64.4%
10
35.6%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)13
62.6%
10
37.4%
Q1 - 4:37UTAGill STEAL (1 STL)13
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 4:41MIAJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
66.6%
8
33.4%
Q1 - 5:01UTAMalone 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)13
67.6%
6
32.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIAGrant 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
66.0%
6
34.0%
Q1 - 5:23MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 5:25UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot11
68.3%
4
31.7%
Q1 - 5:33UTAMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
69.1%
4
30.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
67.7%
4
32.3%
Q1 - 5:52UTAMISS Ostertag Tip Shot11
68.3%
4
31.7%
Q1 - 5:53UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
69.7%
4
30.3%
Q1 - 5:56UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot11
68.3%
4
31.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)11
69.0%
4
31.0%
Q1 - 6:42UTAMalone 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
67.2%
4
32.8%
Q1 - 6:57UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
65.4%
4
34.6%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Strickland 9' Running Jump Shot9
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 7:03MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 7:05UTAGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)9
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 7:14UTAJazz Rebound9
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 7:15MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot9
64.3%
4
35.7%
Q1 - 7:29UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 7:29UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
62.7%
4
37.3%
Q1 - 7:40UTACollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
61.4%
4
38.6%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
60.8%
4
39.2%
Q1 - 8:01UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 8:12UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
61.7%
4
38.3%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot7
61.1%
4
38.9%
Q1 - 8:32UTAMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 8:32UTAMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 26
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 8:35UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot6
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 8:44MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Marshall: Tip to Jackson6
57.9%
4
42.1%
Q1 - 8:44UTAMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)6
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 9:04MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
57.5%
4
42.5%
Q1 - 9:12MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot6
59.2%
4
40.8%
Q1 - 9:39UTAMalone 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)6
57.6%
4
42.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)4
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 10:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 10:11UTAMISS Marshall 10' Hook Shot4
58.3%
2
41.7%
Q1 - 10:32UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
59.7%
2
40.3%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 10:50UTAStevenson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)4
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 10:56UTAJazz Rebound2
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 10:57UTAMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)2
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 11:02UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot2
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 11:27UTAMarshall Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)2
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
52.2%
2
47.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Marshall: Tip to Grant0
54.1%
0
45.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.61 30.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
UTA
18
34
53%
MIA
6
15
40%
Midrange
UTA
11
31
35%
MIA
13
54
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
UTA
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
UTA
22
28
79%
MIA
6
9
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Marshall2175%10.5 / 14
K. Malone2140%10.5 / 26
J. Crotty15107%7.5 / 7
D. Stevenson1050%5.0 / 10
A. Kirilenko857%4.0 / 7
G. Ostertag550%2.5 / 5
J. Starks531%2.5 / 8
S. Padgett450%2.0 / 4
J. Stockton3150%1.5 / 1
J. Collins330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1243%6.0 / 14
A. Mourning945%4.5 / 10
K. Gill840%4.0 / 10
E. House840%4.0 / 10
J. Jackson729%3.5 / 12
C. Gatling638%3.0 / 8
B. Grant433%2.0 / 6
V. Stepania233%1.0 / 3
R. Strickland0-0.0 / 5
A. Carter0-0.0 / 6
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

UTA
73
+18
-13
91
MIA
76
+15
-10
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA
1.02 51.1%
MIA
0.61 30.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.4
96.1
UTA 110.5
MIA 65.1 +45.3
Pace
92.3
89.7
UTA 89.2 +6.1
MIA 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.7
UTA 16.2 +1.2
MIA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
46.3%
UTA 50.0% +19.9%
MIA 30.1%
TO %
16.9%
15.5%
UTA 16.6%
MIA 12.1% +4.5%
ORB %
33.5%
26.7%
UTA 42.9% +24.4%
MIA 18.5%
FTrt
38.1
26.8
UTA 38.4 +27.6
MIA 10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
69.7%
59.4%
UTA 79.4% +22.9%
MIA 56.5%
STL %
9.8%
7.4%
UTA 5.8% +1.1%
MIA 4.7%
BLK %
10.5%
8.7%
UTA 14.5% +2.2%
MIA 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.2%
47.7%
UTA 51.1% +20.7%
MIA 30.4%
Rim FG%
54.8%
60.6%
UTA 52.9% +12.9%
MIA 40.0%
Mid FG%
39.6%
38.0%
UTA 35.5% +11.4%
MIA 24.1%
3P %
33.3%
34.7%
UTA 62.5% +33.9%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
76.3%
72.4%
UTA 78.6% +11.9%
MIA 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
41.1%
28.1%
UTA 46.6% +28.5%
MIA 18.1%
Mid Att. %
45.7%
57.8%
UTA 42.5% +22.6%
MIA 65.1%
3P Att. %
13.2%
14.1%
UTA 11.0%
MIA 16.9% +5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsUTAMIA
Possessions8686
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points9556
Rebounds5930
Assists2713
Steals54
Blocks108
Turnovers (Team)13 (4)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (3)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (3)20 (2)
Field Goals34-7323-83
At-the-Rim FG18-346-15
Midrange FG11-3113-54
2-Point FG29-6519-69
3-Point FG5-84-14
Free Throws22-286-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
34.5
21
75%
13
4
1
4
3
2
3
10
7-8
88%
7-9
78%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 218 · 21
32.2
10
50%
8
4
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 259 · 38
30.6
21
40%
8
5
1
0
2
1
1
7
7-10
70%
7-21
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 40
22.0
3
150%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 249 · 23
9.6
3
30%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 280 · 29
33.0
5
50%
7
4
0
4
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" · 32
26.0
15
107%
7
2
1
0
3
2
1
6
1-1
100%
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
23.6
8
57%
5
2
0
2
3
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 190 · 36
12.6
5
31%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 26
7.3
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 31
5.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
3.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
51%
59
27
5
10
13
0
15
44
22-28
79%
29-65
45%
5-8
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.