FinalWin Prob.pScore
2737%87
76
2663%91
73
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
89.48594.7
HOU logo HOU
84.98678.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU76
100%
73
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMobley Driving Layup (17 PTS)73
58.4%
73
41.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUROCKETS Rebound73
75.4%
71
24.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMISS Norris Layup73
87.2%
71
12.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
69.3%
71
30.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
75.6%
71
24.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0HOUThomas 20' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Norris 5 AST)73
81.0%
71
19.0%
Q4 - 1:06MIAJones Driving Layup (19 PTS)73
85.0%
69
15.0%
Q4 - 1:27MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
73.4%
69
26.6%
Q4 - 1:29HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
69.3%
69
30.7%
Q4 - 1:49HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
58.6%
69
41.4%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Jones 23' Jump Shot71
62.3%
69
37.7%
Q4 - 2:06HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
71.1%
69
28.9%
Q4 - 2:06HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q4 - 2:07HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
76.5%
67
23.5%
Q4 - 2:08HOUMISS Willis 6' Hook Shot71
83.8%
67
16.2%
Q4 - 2:32MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)71
76.0%
67
24.0%
Q4 - 2:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
68.1%
67
31.9%
Q4 - 2:55HOUMISS Thomas Layup69
64.3%
67
35.7%
Q4 - 3:07HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
54.3%
67
45.7%
Q4 - 3:09HOUMISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot69
64.5%
67
35.5%
Q4 - 3:21HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
54.1%
67
45.9%
Q4 - 3:23MIAWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)69
58.8%
67
41.2%
Q4 - 3:39HOUWillis Dunk (2 PTS) (Norris 4 AST)69
62.9%
67
37.1%
Q4 - 4:07MIAJackson Reverse Layup (12 PTS)69
71.3%
65
28.7%
Q4 - 4:22HOUThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
63.7%
65
36.3%
Q4 - 4:49MIAGill 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
54.1%
65
45.9%
Q4 - 5:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
43.6%
65
56.4%
Q4 - 5:03HOUMISS Mobley 9' Jump Shot65
41.0%
65
59.0%
Q4 - 5:28MIAJackson Driving Layup (10 PTS)65
35.3%
65
64.7%
Q4 - 5:44HOUMobley Driving Layup (13 PTS)63
28.4%
65
71.6%
Q4 - 5:58MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)63
35.3%
63
64.7%
Q4 - 6:26HOUTorres 6' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mobley 5 AST)63
42.9%
63
57.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAGill 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q4 - 6:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
42.9%
61
57.1%
Q4 - 6:56HOUMISS Thomas 15' Turnaround Jump Shot61
40.3%
61
59.7%
Q4 - 7:18MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)61
34.9%
61
65.1%
Q4 - 7:41HOUThomas 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
29.6%
61
70.4%
Q4 - 8:00MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)59
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q4 - 8:03MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
29.8%
59
70.2%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot57
26.2%
59
73.8%
Q4 - 8:23HOUThomas 6' Hook Shot (22 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)57
29.8%
59
70.2%
Q4 - 8:36MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)57
35.3%
57
64.7%
Q4 - 8:51HOUThomas Layup (20 PTS)57
41.5%
57
58.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIACarter Foul Turnover (P2.T9)57
46.7%
55
53.3%
Q4 - 9:18MIAHeat Rebound57
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q4 - 9:21HOUMISS Torres 9' Jump Shot57
51.1%
55
48.9%
Q4 - 9:28MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)57
46.7%
55
53.3%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
53.0%
55
47.0%
Q4 - 9:35HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot57
51.1%
55
48.9%
Q4 - 9:53HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
46.8%
55
53.2%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot57
48.7%
55
51.3%
Q4 - 10:08HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)57
52.0%
55
48.0%
Q4 - 10:08HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 257
53.4%
54
46.6%
Q4 - 10:23HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q4 - 10:25MIAGriffin BLOCK (3 BLK)57
53.5%
54
46.5%
Q4 - 10:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
57.7%
54
42.3%
Q4 - 10:36HOUMISS Torres 22' Jump Shot57
55.9%
54
44.1%
Q4 - 11:00HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot57
52.7%
54
47.3%
Q4 - 11:22HOUTorres Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
56.7%
54
43.3%
Q4 - 11:22HOUMISS Torres Free Throw 1 of 257
57.7%
53
42.3%
Q4 - 11:36MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
56.4%
53
43.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
51.3%
53
48.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
51.3%
53
48.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot55
47.3%
53
52.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound55
50.2%
53
49.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot55
46.7%
53
53.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)55
50.3%
53
49.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot55
48.7%
53
51.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUMobley Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)55
45.2%
53
54.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
50.3%
52
49.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)55
51.9%
52
48.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
55.5%
52
44.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0HOUMISS Mobley 18' Jump Shot55
53.9%
52
46.1%
Q3 - 1:13MIACarter Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
49.2%
52
50.8%
Q3 - 1:23HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 1 of 153
43.9%
52
56.1%
Q3 - 1:23HOUNorris Layup (6 PTS) (Mobley 4 AST)53
44.5%
52
55.5%
Q3 - 1:28MIAMobley STEAL (2 STL)53
49.3%
50
50.7%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMobley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)53
54.3%
50
45.7%
Q3 - 1:56MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
59.0%
48
41.0%
Q3 - 2:11MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
52.9%
48
47.1%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot51
49.4%
48
50.6%
Q3 - 2:20HOUTorres Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q3 - 2:40HOUROCKETS Rebound51
47.9%
48
52.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIAGriffin BLOCK (2 BLK)51
49.5%
48
50.5%
Q3 - 2:53MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
53.0%
48
47.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot51
49.5%
48
50.5%
Q3 - 3:08HOUThomas 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS)51
52.4%
48
47.6%
Q3 - 3:10HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)51
56.6%
46
43.4%
Q3 - 3:12HOUMISS Torres 15' Turnaround Jump Shot51
59.8%
46
40.2%
Q3 - 3:39MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)51
56.6%
46
43.4%
Q3 - 3:53HOUThomas Dunk (15 PTS) (Norris 3 AST)49
52.4%
46
47.6%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
55.1%
44
44.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)48
54.5%
44
45.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
51.5%
44
48.5%
Q3 - 4:24HOUMISS Norris Driving Layup47
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q3 - 4:39HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
46.6%
44
53.4%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot47
48.1%
44
51.9%
Q3 - 5:07HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
50.7%
44
49.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)47
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q3 - 5:37MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
50.8%
42
49.2%
Q3 - 5:39HOUMISS Mobley 20' Jump Shot45
49.4%
42
50.6%
Q3 - 6:04MIAJackson Layup (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)45
45.5%
42
54.5%
Q3 - 6:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
41.9%
42
58.1%
Q3 - 6:15HOUMISS Thomas 6' Fadeaway Jumper43
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q3 - 6:32MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)43
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
41.9%
42
58.1%
Q3 - 6:41HOUMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot43
40.7%
42
59.3%
Q3 - 6:53HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)43
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot43
39.1%
42
60.9%
Q3 - 7:07HOUNorris Foul Turnover (P4.T9)43
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q3 - 7:27HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
37.2%
42
62.8%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS Jackson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot43
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q3 - 7:42HOUMobley Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)43
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Thomas Dunk43
47.5%
40
52.5%
Q3 - 8:37HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
44.5%
40
55.5%
Q3 - 8:38MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot43
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q3 - 8:55HOUThomas Running Layup (13 PTS)43
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q3 - 9:08HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
51.1%
38
48.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIAMISS Mourning Dunk43
52.3%
38
47.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
55.0%
38
45.0%
Q3 - 9:29HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
53.8%
38
46.2%
Q3 - 9:50MIAJackson Layup (6 PTS)43
51.2%
38
48.8%
Q3 - 9:54HOUNorris Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)41
47.7%
38
52.3%
Q3 - 10:11MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
43.1%
38
56.9%
Q3 - 10:39HOUThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
40.1%
38
59.9%
Q3 - 10:39HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 239
41.0%
37
59.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMourning 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
39.7%
37
60.3%
Q3 - 11:01MIAHeat Rebound37
36.3%
37
63.7%
Q3 - 11:04MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot37
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q3 - 11:11HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)37
36.3%
37
63.7%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMobley STEAL (1 STL)37
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q3 - 11:42HOUTorres 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)37
36.3%
37
63.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU37
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWillis STEAL (1 STL)37
39.4%
35
60.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
42.0%
35
58.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Norris 23' Jump Shot37
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Torres 8' Jump Shot37
41.4%
35
58.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot37
40.5%
35
59.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
42.1%
35
57.9%
Q2 - 0:59.0HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup37
41.4%
35
58.6%
Q2 - 1:16HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot37
40.4%
35
59.6%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
41.6%
35
58.4%
Q2 - 1:28HOUMISS Norris 9' Jump Shot37
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 1:38HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 1:39HOUMISS Willis 16' Jump Shot37
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJones Dunk (11 PTS)37
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 2:11HOUTorres Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 2:11HOUTorres Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)35
36.5%
34
63.5%
Q2 - 2:12HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
39.0%
33
61.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Grant 4' Running Jump Shot35
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 2:33HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup35
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q2 - 2:58MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
39.1%
33
60.9%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
35.9%
33
64.1%
Q2 - 3:09HOUMISS Torres 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
34.9%
33
65.1%
Q2 - 3:18HOUMISS Torres Free Throw Technical33
32.9%
33
67.1%
Q2 - 3:29HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
32.9%
33
67.1%
Q2 - 3:31HOUMISS Thomas 8' Hook Shot33
34.9%
33
65.1%
Q2 - 3:44HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
32.9%
33
67.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot33
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 4:03HOUNorris 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 4:25MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q2 - 4:44HOUGriffin 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)31
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 5:06MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)31
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 5:12HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)29
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 5:16HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot29
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 5:23MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 5:25HOUMISS Griffin 19' Turnaround Jump Shot29
34.5%
29
65.5%
Q2 - 5:54MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 6:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 6:10HOUMISS Norris 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJones Layup (7 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)27
27.8%
29
72.2%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 6:41HOUMISS Mobley 12' Fadeaway Jumper25
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q2 - 6:50HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 6:51MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot25
24.3%
29
75.7%
Q2 - 6:58HOUBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 7:03HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
24.1%
29
75.9%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot25
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 7:11HOUMISS Griffin 12' Jump Shot25
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 7:21HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
24.1%
29
75.9%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot25
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q2 - 7:42HOUMorris 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)25
26.2%
29
73.8%
Q2 - 7:57MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)25
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q2 - 8:22HOUBrown 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q2 - 8:41MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)23
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 222
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q2 - 8:43MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot22
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 8:55HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)22
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q2 - 9:17HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
26.1%
25
73.9%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot22
26.7%
25
73.3%
Q2 - 9:38HOUMorris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)22
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q2 - 9:45HOUBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q2 - 9:46HOUMISS Mobley 12' Fadeaway Jumper22
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q2 - 9:52HOUROCKETS Rebound22
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q2 - 9:53HOUMISS Morris Driving Layup22
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q2 - 10:02HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Gill 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)22
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q2 - 10:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 10:24HOUMISS Mobley 21' Jump Shot22
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q2 - 10:35HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Stepania 12' Turnaround Jump Shot22
30.9%
23
69.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 10:53HOUMISS Brown Driving Layup22
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q2 - 11:20MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
30.0%
23
70.0%
Q2 - 11:35MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q2 - 11:38HOUMISS Mobley 7' Running Jump Shot22
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound22
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 32' 3PT Running Jump Shot22
30.7%
23
69.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUGriffin 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)22
31.7%
23
68.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIACarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
34.3%
21
65.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 120
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0HOUThomas Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
31.7%
21
68.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
34.3%
19
65.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAJackson Layup (4 PTS)20
34.3%
19
65.7%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Jackson Dunk18
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 1:18HOUMobley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
31.8%
19
68.2%
Q1 - 1:38MIACarter 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
34.3%
17
65.7%
Q1 - 1:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)16
31.8%
17
68.2%
Q1 - 1:49HOUMISS Willis 6' Hook Shot16
31.3%
17
68.7%
Q1 - 1:59HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
30.2%
17
69.8%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot16
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 2:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
32.0%
17
68.0%
Q1 - 2:22HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
31.4%
17
68.6%
Q1 - 2:27HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
30.1%
17
69.9%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot16
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 2:46HOUThomas Layup (8 PTS)16
32.0%
17
68.0%
Q1 - 2:47HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 2:49HOUMISS Norris 11' Running Jump Shot16
35.6%
15
64.4%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
33.8%
15
66.2%
Q1 - 3:33HOUTorres 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 3:58HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 3:59MIAMISS Grant Layup16
38.7%
13
61.3%
Q1 - 4:06HOUNorris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 4:28MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)16
37.5%
13
62.5%
Q1 - 4:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
35.8%
13
64.2%
Q1 - 4:42HOUMISS Norris 19' Jump Shot14
35.1%
13
64.9%
Q1 - 4:48HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot14
34.2%
13
65.8%
Q1 - 5:09HOUThomas Layup (6 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)14
35.2%
13
64.8%
Q1 - 5:17HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 5:19HOUMISS Torres 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
38.5%
11
61.5%
Q1 - 5:39HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 214
37.3%
11
62.7%
Q1 - 5:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 214
38.4%
11
61.6%
Q1 - 6:02HOUTorres 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)14
38.6%
11
61.4%
Q1 - 6:08HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
42.4%
8
57.6%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot14
43.1%
8
56.9%
Q1 - 6:28HOUNorris 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
44.5%
8
55.5%
Q1 - 6:53MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)14
46.5%
6
53.5%
Q1 - 7:14HOUTorres Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 7:32MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 7:42HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
39.9%
6
60.1%
Q1 - 7:46HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 7:47MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot10
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 8:04HOUMobley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
39.8%
6
60.2%
Q1 - 8:11HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.5%
4
58.5%
Q1 - 8:13MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot10
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 8:23HOUMISS Thomas Driving Layup10
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 8:36HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot10
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:51HOUThomas Layup (4 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)10
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 9:19MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 9:35HOUThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)8
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)8
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 9:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 9:59HOUMISS Thomas 6' Running Jump Shot6
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 10:10HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot6
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 10:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 10:24HOUMISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot6
42.4%
0
57.6%
Q1 - 10:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
41.0%
0
59.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 10:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.5%
0
60.5%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMISS Willis 5' Hook Shot4
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:08MIAJackson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
0
64.4%
Q1 - 11:19HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:24HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 11:26HOUMISS Thomas 7' Turnaround Jump Shot2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Willis vs. Mourning: Tip to Jackson0
32.3%
0
67.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
HOU
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
23
65%
HOU
13
23
57%
Midrange
MIA
18
50
36%
HOU
18
48
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
4
25%
38%
HOU
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
Free Throws
MIA
7
10
70%
HOU
8
14
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1943%9.5 / 22
J. Jackson1554%7.5 / 14
R. Strickland1267%6.0 / 9
A. Carter1267%6.0 / 9
B. Grant627%3.0 / 11
A. Mourning643%3.0 / 7
K. Gill638%3.0 / 8
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Thomas2648%13.0 / 27
C. Mobley1745%8.5 / 19
O. Torres1243%6.0 / 14
M. Norris625%3.0 / 12
E. Griffin440%2.0 / 5
T. Morris467%2.0 / 3
K. Willis220%1.0 / 5
T. Brown250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+10
-10
85
HOU
75
+13
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.7%
HOU
0.82 41.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
100.7
MIA 89.4 +4.5
HOU 84.9
Pace
89.7
90.5
MIA 94.7 +16.8
HOU 78.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.3
MIA 15.2 +3.3
HOU 18.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.5%
MIA 44.8% +4.2%
HOU 40.6%
TO %
15.5%
14.3%
MIA 11.9%
HOU 11.3% +0.6%
ORB %
26.7%
29.0%
MIA 15.4%
HOU 21.7% +6.3%
FTrt
26.8
28.6
MIA 13.0
HOU 17.5 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
52.2%
MIA 50.0% +3.1%
HOU 46.9%
STL %
7.4%
7.1%
MIA 9.4% +3.6%
HOU 5.8%
BLK %
8.7%
7.6%
MIA 7.0% +0.2%
HOU 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
48.2%
MIA 44.7% +3.7%
HOU 41.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.6%
MIA 65.2% +8.7%
HOU 56.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.6%
MIA 36.0%
HOU 37.5% +1.5%
3P %
34.7%
33.5%
MIA 25.0% +13.9%
HOU 11.1%
FT %
72.4%
74.1%
MIA 70.0% +12.9%
HOU 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
32.3%
MIA 29.9% +1.1%
HOU 28.7%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
45.4%
MIA 64.9%
HOU 60.0% +4.9%
3P Att. %
14.1%
22.3%
MIA 5.2%
HOU 11.3% +6.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points7673
Rebounds4243
Assists1715
Steals85
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals34-7732-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2313-23
Midrange FG18-5018-48
2-Point FG33-7331-71
3-Point FG1-41-9
Free Throws7-108-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
39.0
19
43%
6
4
1
1
1
2
1
5
3-4
75%
8-19
42%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 220 · 31
38.2
15
54%
5
3
1
0
3
4
2
3
0-0
-
6-13
46%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
33.0
6
27%
7
1
1
1
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
31.7
6
43%
9
1
0
2
1
0
0
9
0-2
0%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
25.9
12
67%
3
5
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
28.5
0
0%
6
1
3
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
22.0
12
67%
3
2
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 216 · 34
18.9
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
45%
42
17
8
5
10
0
6
36
7-10
70%
33-73
45%
1-4
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.