FinalWin Prob.pScore
240%101
117
860%105
125
ORTG#PossPace
MIN logo MIN
113.610396.8
DAL logo DAL
123.8101108.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksTimberwolvesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMINDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL117
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MINBrandon Driving Layup (8 PTS)117
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)115
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MINMISS Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)115
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALMISS Hardaway Free Throw 1 of 2115
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)115
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MINMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2115
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)115
0.2%
124
99.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)114
0.2%
124
99.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)114
0.4%
122
99.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0MINMISS Brandon Layup114
0.5%
122
99.5%
Q4 - 1:05DALHoward 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)114
0.9%
122
99.1%
Q4 - 1:27MINSzczerbiak Layup (27 PTS)114
2.2%
120
97.8%
Q4 - 1:27MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)112
1.4%
120
98.6%
Q4 - 1:29MINMISS Brandon 16' Jump Shot112
1.0%
120
99.0%
Q4 - 1:36MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)112
1.7%
120
98.3%
Q4 - 1:40DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot112
1.5%
120
98.5%
Q4 - 2:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)112
1.1%
120
98.9%
Q4 - 2:04MINMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot112
1.5%
120
98.5%
Q4 - 2:20DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)112
2.5%
120
97.5%
Q4 - 2:20DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)112
2.7%
119
97.3%
Q4 - 2:39MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)112
3.1%
118
96.9%
Q4 - 2:39MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)111
2.8%
118
97.2%
Q4 - 2:42MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)110
2.5%
118
97.5%
Q4 - 2:45DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot110
2.0%
118
98.0%
Q4 - 3:06MINPeeler Dunk (11 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)110
1.7%
118
98.3%
Q4 - 3:16DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)108
1.3%
118
98.7%
Q4 - 3:16DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)108
1.4%
117
98.6%
Q4 - 3:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)108
1.7%
116
98.3%
Q4 - 3:18DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot108
2.6%
116
97.4%
Q4 - 3:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)108
3.2%
116
96.8%
Q4 - 3:33MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2108
3.4%
116
96.6%
Q4 - 3:33MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)108
4.2%
116
95.8%
Q4 - 3:39MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)107
3.2%
116
96.8%
Q4 - 3:42DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
2.8%
116
97.2%
Q4 - 4:05MINSzczerbiak 7' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)107
2.0%
116
98.0%
Q4 - 4:17DALNash 11' Jump Shot (25 PTS)105
1.4%
116
98.6%
Q4 - 4:33MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)105
2.0%
114
98.0%
Q4 - 4:33MINGarnett Layup (22 PTS) (Brandon 8 AST)104
1.4%
114
98.6%
Q4 - 4:43MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
1.0%
114
99.0%
Q4 - 4:44DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2102
0.9%
114
99.1%
Q4 - 4:44DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)102
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 4:57MINBrandon 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)102
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 5:07DALNash 14' Jump Shot (23 PTS)100
1.1%
113
98.9%
Q4 - 5:26MINGarnett 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Brandon 7 AST)100
1.5%
111
98.5%
Q4 - 5:44DALHardaway 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)98
1.1%
111
98.9%
Q4 - 6:04MINPeeler Driving Layup (9 PTS)98
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 6:22DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)96
2.1%
108
97.9%
Q4 - 6:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
3.6%
105
96.4%
Q4 - 6:48MINMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
4.0%
105
96.0%
Q4 - 7:00DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
5.1%
105
94.9%
Q4 - 7:00DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)96
5.2%
104
94.8%
Q4 - 7:10MINBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)96
7.9%
103
92.1%
Q4 - 7:23DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 193
4.7%
103
95.3%
Q4 - 7:23DALNowitzki Layup (18 PTS) (Hardaway 6 AST)93
4.9%
103
95.1%
Q4 - 7:43MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 193
6.3%
101
93.7%
Q4 - 7:43MINGarnett Dunk (18 PTS) (Szczerbiak 5 AST)93
6.1%
101
93.9%
Q4 - 7:48MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
4.8%
101
95.2%
Q4 - 7:52DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 8:16MINPeeler 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)91
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 8:22MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 8:24DALMISS Howard 19' Turnaround Jump Shot89
3.3%
101
96.7%
Q4 - 8:47DALNash Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)89
2.7%
101
97.3%
Q4 - 8:47MINPeeler Foul Turnover (P1.T11)89
3.5%
100
96.5%
Q4 - 9:07DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)89
5.2%
100
94.8%
Q4 - 9:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)89
8.1%
97
91.9%
Q4 - 9:25MINMISS Peeler 20' Jump Shot89
8.7%
97
91.3%
Q4 - 9:44MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
10.1%
97
89.9%
Q4 - 9:44DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 289
9.8%
97
90.2%
Q4 - 9:44DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)89
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 10:03MINSzczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)89
10.9%
96
89.1%
Q4 - 10:13MINBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)87
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 10:13DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 10:13DALNajera Dunk (10 PTS)86
7.3%
96
92.7%
Q4 - 10:17DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Turnaround Jump Shot86
10.3%
94
89.7%
Q4 - 10:30MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
8.8%
94
91.2%
Q4 - 10:30MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
8.5%
94
91.5%
Q4 - 10:32MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
7.3%
94
92.7%
Q4 - 10:33MINMISS Garnett Layup84
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q4 - 10:54DALHardaway 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)84
7.3%
94
92.7%
Q4 - 11:14MINSzczerbiak 23' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)84
9.6%
92
90.4%
Q4 - 11:38DALHoward 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)82
7.9%
92
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN82
9.6%
90
90.4%
Q3 - 0:10.0DALHoward 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)82
12.6%
90
87.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)82
15.0%
88
85.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0MINSmith Layup (13 PTS)81
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)79
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MINMISS Brandon 21' Jump Shot79
9.2%
88
90.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)79
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
14.9%
85
85.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MINMISS Trent 17' Jump Shot79
15.8%
85
84.2%
Q3 - 1:15DALFinley Layup (23 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)79
18.6%
85
81.4%
Q3 - 1:26MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)79
21.6%
83
78.4%
Q3 - 1:26MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 278
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q3 - 1:41MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
21.7%
83
78.3%
Q3 - 1:44DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot78
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q3 - 2:03MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)78
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q3 - 2:03MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
18.3%
83
81.7%
Q3 - 2:16DALHoward Layup (9 PTS) (Finley 6 AST)76
16.3%
83
83.7%
Q3 - 2:36MINBrandon 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
18.8%
81
81.2%
Q3 - 2:40MINSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)74
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q3 - 2:42DALMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot74
15.5%
81
84.5%
Q3 - 3:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
14.5%
81
85.5%
Q3 - 3:14MINMISS Trent 13' Jump Shot74
15.2%
81
84.8%
Q3 - 3:37MINTimberwolves Rebound74
16.9%
81
83.1%
Q3 - 3:38DALMISS Eschmeyer Layup74
16.1%
81
83.9%
Q3 - 4:00MINTrent Layup (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)74
14.4%
81
85.6%
Q3 - 4:15MINSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
13.0%
81
87.0%
Q3 - 4:18DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.3%
81
87.7%
Q3 - 4:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)72
10.9%
81
89.1%
Q3 - 4:32DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot72
12.3%
81
87.7%
Q3 - 4:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)72
10.9%
81
89.1%
Q3 - 4:53MINMISS Brandon 8' Jump Shot72
11.5%
81
88.5%
Q3 - 5:12MINTimberwolves Rebound72
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q3 - 5:14DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
12.9%
81
87.1%
Q3 - 5:18DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
11.6%
81
88.4%
Q3 - 5:20MINMISS Smith 13' Jump Shot72
12.1%
81
87.9%
Q3 - 5:34DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)72
13.5%
81
86.5%
Q3 - 5:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)72
17.7%
78
82.3%
Q3 - 5:48MINMISS Brandon 22' Jump Shot72
18.5%
78
81.5%
Q3 - 6:06DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)72
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q3 - 6:06DALFinley Layup (20 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)72
23.7%
77
76.3%
Q3 - 6:12MINTrent Layup (11 PTS)72
26.5%
75
73.5%
Q3 - 6:31DALFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)70
23.7%
75
76.3%
Q3 - 6:58MINSmith Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Trent 1 AST)70
29.7%
72
70.3%
Q3 - 7:09DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)68
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q3 - 7:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
27.5%
71
72.5%
Q3 - 7:14MINNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)68
29.5%
70
70.5%
Q3 - 7:21DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)68
33.4%
70
66.6%
Q3 - 7:36MINNesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)68
29.5%
70
70.5%
Q3 - 7:46DALNash 13' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)66
26.8%
70
73.2%
Q3 - 7:56DALMAVERICKS Rebound66
29.5%
68
70.5%
Q3 - 7:57MINMISS Garnett 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
30.7%
68
69.3%
Q3 - 8:14DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)66
33.5%
68
66.5%
Q3 - 8:26MINNesterovic Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)66
29.8%
68
70.2%
Q3 - 8:39DALNash 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
33.5%
68
66.5%
Q3 - 8:43MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
36.4%
66
63.6%
Q3 - 8:43MINNesterovic Tip Shot (10 PTS)66
36.4%
66
63.6%
Q3 - 8:44MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 8:44MINMISS Szczerbiak Layup64
30.9%
66
69.1%
Q3 - 8:47MINMISS Smith Reverse Layup64
30.9%
66
69.1%
Q3 - 8:59DALFinley Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)64
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 9:10MINNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)64
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 9:30DALFinley Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)64
39.9%
64
60.1%
Q3 - 9:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
43.3%
62
56.7%
Q3 - 9:37MINMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot64
44.5%
62
55.5%
Q3 - 9:59DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Eschmeyer 1 AST)64
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 10:03DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
53.3%
59
46.7%
Q3 - 10:06DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
56.1%
59
43.9%
Q3 - 10:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
53.4%
59
46.6%
Q3 - 10:16MINMISS Szczerbiak 15' Jump Shot64
54.6%
59
45.4%
Q3 - 10:41DALNowitzki Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)64
57.3%
59
42.7%
Q3 - 10:44DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
60.4%
57
39.6%
Q3 - 10:48MINMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot64
61.5%
57
38.5%
Q3 - 10:54MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
64.1%
57
35.9%
Q3 - 10:56DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot64
63.0%
57
37.0%
Q3 - 11:14MINGarnett Layup (12 PTS)64
59.7%
57
40.3%
Q3 - 11:15MINSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)62
56.4%
57
43.6%
Q3 - 11:18MINMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot62
54.0%
57
46.0%
Q3 - 11:35DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)62
56.5%
57
43.5%
Q3 - 11:45MINNesterovic Layup (8 PTS)62
52.9%
57
47.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN60
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)60
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0MINSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)60
46.2%
57
53.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALNash Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)57
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0MINGriffin STEAL (2 STL)57
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q2 - 1:00DALNajera Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)57
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q2 - 1:14MINNesterovic 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)57
49.5%
53
50.5%
Q2 - 1:26DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
44.8%
53
55.2%
Q2 - 1:26DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
45.5%
52
54.5%
Q2 - 1:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
46.3%
52
53.7%
Q2 - 1:33MINGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)55
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q2 - 1:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
48.0%
52
52.0%
Q2 - 1:55DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
48.6%
51
51.4%
Q2 - 2:12MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)55
51.5%
50
48.5%
Q2 - 2:12MINSzczerbiak Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Brandon 6 AST)54
48.4%
50
51.6%
Q2 - 2:15MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
45.1%
50
54.9%
Q2 - 2:17DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
44.2%
50
55.8%
Q2 - 2:35MINSmith 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
42.3%
50
57.7%
Q2 - 2:40MINSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)50
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q2 - 2:42MINMISS Szczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
37.1%
50
62.9%
Q2 - 2:48DALNash Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)50
39.0%
50
61.0%
Q2 - 2:48DALNash Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)50
42.0%
49
58.0%
Q2 - 2:50DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q2 - 2:53MINMISS Brandon 19' Jump Shot50
46.2%
47
53.8%
Q2 - 3:09DALFinley Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)50
47.8%
47
52.2%
Q2 - 3:14MINTrent Layup (9 PTS) (Brandon 5 AST)50
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 3:24MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 3:26DALMISS Hardaway Layup48
46.8%
45
53.2%
Q2 - 3:49MINPeeler 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brandon 4 AST)48
44.5%
45
55.5%
Q2 - 3:52MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
41.9%
45
58.1%
Q2 - 3:53MINMISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot46
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q2 - 4:21DALHoward Dunk (4 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)46
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 4:29MINTimberwolves Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)46
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q2 - 4:32MINTimberwolves Rebound46
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 4:32MINMISS Trent 12' Jump Shot46
45.0%
43
55.0%
Q2 - 4:56DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)46
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 4:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound46
44.2%
43
55.8%
Q2 - 5:00DALMISS Nash Driving Layup46
46.2%
43
53.8%
Q2 - 5:13MINTrent Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)46
43.8%
43
56.2%
Q2 - 5:13MINTrent Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Brandon 3 AST)45
41.0%
43
59.0%
Q2 - 5:27DALHardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)43
38.5%
43
61.5%
Q2 - 5:38MINGriffin STEAL (1 STL)43
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 5:41MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
46.8%
40
53.2%
Q2 - 5:44DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
45.9%
40
54.1%
Q2 - 5:49DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 5:51MINMISS Brandon Driving Layup43
44.7%
40
55.3%
Q2 - 5:55DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)43
46.8%
40
53.2%
Q2 - 6:11MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
43.4%
40
56.6%
Q2 - 6:11MINSmith Layup (6 PTS)42
40.7%
40
59.3%
Q2 - 6:11MINSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 6:11MINNajera BLOCK (1 BLK)40
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q2 - 6:22MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 6:24DALMISS Hardaway 22' Jump Shot40
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 6:27DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
35.5%
40
64.5%
Q2 - 6:30MINMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot40
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q2 - 6:45DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 6:45DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
39.4%
39
60.6%
Q2 - 6:45DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
40.7%
38
59.3%
Q2 - 6:46MINMISS Billups Layup40
41.7%
38
58.3%
Q2 - 7:04MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 7:08DALMISS Griffin 8' Jump Shot40
42.7%
38
57.3%
Q2 - 7:11DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
40.8%
38
59.2%
Q2 - 7:12DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot40
42.7%
38
57.3%
Q2 - 7:29MINSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS)40
40.8%
38
59.2%
Q2 - 7:32MINSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
38.4%
38
61.6%
Q2 - 7:34MINMISS Trent 5' Jump Shot38
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 7:56DALGriffin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)38
38.4%
38
61.6%
Q2 - 8:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)38
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 8:06MINMISS Peeler 21' Jump Shot38
41.3%
36
58.7%
Q2 - 8:12MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
43.3%
36
56.7%
Q2 - 8:14DALMISS Najera 7' Jump Shot38
42.4%
36
57.6%
Q2 - 8:34MINPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)38
40.5%
36
59.5%
Q2 - 8:47DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
35.9%
36
64.1%
Q2 - 8:47DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)35
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 9:05MINMitchell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)35
37.8%
34
62.2%
Q2 - 9:13DALFinley Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)33
35.7%
34
64.3%
Q2 - 9:30MINBillups 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
33.2%
34
66.8%
Q2 - 9:47DALHardaway Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
31.2%
34
68.8%
Q2 - 10:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 10:03MINMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot31
34.0%
32
66.0%
Q2 - 10:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)31
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 10:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)31
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 10:30MINSzczerbiak 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q2 - 10:44DALHardaway 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)29
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q2 - 10:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
37.8%
28
62.2%
Q2 - 11:00MINMISS Trent 7' Jump Shot29
38.6%
28
61.4%
Q2 - 11:15DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)29
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 11:15DALFinley 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)29
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q2 - 11:43MINGarnett 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
44.6%
25
55.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN27
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
42.2%
25
57.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot27
41.5%
25
58.5%
Q1 - 0:18.0MINTrent Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)27
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALNajera Layup (4 PTS)25
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
41.1%
23
58.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0MINGarnett Layup (8 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)25
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q1 - 1:03DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
37.1%
23
62.9%
Q1 - 1:03DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 1:05MINNajera STEAL (1 STL)23
39.8%
21
60.2%
Q1 - 1:24MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.6%
21
58.4%
Q1 - 1:28DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot23
41.1%
21
58.9%
Q1 - 1:40MINGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
39.9%
21
60.1%
Q1 - 1:56DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)21
37.1%
21
62.9%
Q1 - 2:12MINTrent Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)21
39.7%
19
60.3%
Q1 - 2:29DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 2:29DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
37.7%
18
62.3%
Q1 - 2:35DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
39.7%
17
60.3%
Q1 - 2:38MINMISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot19
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 2:45MINBrandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
41.8%
17
58.2%
Q1 - 2:49DALMISS Nash 3PT Jump Shot19
41.2%
17
58.8%
Q1 - 3:03MINBrandon Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 3:16MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 3:19DALMISS Nash 23' Jump Shot17
36.6%
17
63.4%
Q1 - 3:29DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
35.0%
17
65.0%
Q1 - 3:31MINMISS Brandon 15' Jump Shot17
35.7%
17
64.3%
Q1 - 3:38DALNowitzki Driving Layup (5 PTS)17
37.3%
17
62.7%
Q1 - 3:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 3:47MINMISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot17
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 4:02DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)17
41.4%
15
58.6%
Q1 - 4:15MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 4:15MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
44.9%
12
55.1%
Q1 - 4:26DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T5)15
43.6%
12
56.4%
Q1 - 4:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
41.0%
12
59.0%
Q1 - 4:47MINMISS Nesterovic 10' Jump Shot15
41.8%
12
58.2%
Q1 - 4:58DALHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T4)15
43.6%
12
56.4%
Q1 - 5:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 5:10MINMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot15
41.2%
12
58.8%
Q1 - 5:25MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
42.8%
12
57.2%
Q1 - 5:27DALMISS Eschmeyer Layup15
42.1%
12
57.9%
Q1 - 5:37MINSzczerbiak 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)15
40.6%
12
59.4%
Q1 - 5:53DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 6:09MINSzczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brandon 2 AST)13
36.4%
12
63.6%
Q1 - 6:14MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:16DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot10
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 6:28DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:30DALMISS Eschmeyer Layup10
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 6:31DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:34DALMISS Nash 6' Running Jump Shot10
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 6:47DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
31.0%
12
69.0%
Q1 - 6:50MINMISS Brandon 14' Jump Shot10
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:07DALHoward Slam Dunk (2 PTS)10
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 7:29MINSzczerbiak 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brandon 1 AST)10
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 7:42MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 7:43DALMISS Finley Driving Layup8
32.3%
10
67.7%
Q1 - 7:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.0%
10
69.0%
Q1 - 7:52MINMISS Brandon 19' Jump Shot8
31.6%
10
68.4%
Q1 - 7:59DALFinley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
32.9%
10
67.1%
Q1 - 8:22MINGarnett Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 8:32DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 8:42MINSzczerbiak 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)8
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 8:53DALEschmeyer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 8:53DALEschmeyer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 8:54DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
43.4%
3
56.6%
Q1 - 8:56DALMISS Finley Driving Layup8
44.8%
3
55.2%
Q1 - 9:11MINNesterovic 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)8
43.0%
3
57.0%
Q1 - 9:18MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
41.7%
3
58.3%
Q1 - 9:18MINMISS Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot6
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 9:31DALNash 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)6
41.7%
3
58.3%
Q1 - 9:45MINSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
44.9%
0
55.1%
Q1 - 9:54MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 9:55DALMISS Eschmeyer Layup4
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 10:02MINSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 10:02MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 10:04MINMISS Brandon 19' Jump Shot4
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 10:20DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
43.2%
0
56.8%
Q1 - 10:34MINNesterovic 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)4
41.1%
0
58.9%
Q1 - 10:52MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.6%
0
60.4%
Q1 - 10:54DALMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound2
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:02DALMISS Howard Slam Dunk2
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:05DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:08MINMISS Szczerbiak 3PT Jump Shot2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:13MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:17DALMISS Finley 23' Jump Shot2
38.8%
0
61.2%
Q1 - 11:35MINGarnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)2
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 11:49DALEschmeyer Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Howard vs. Garnett: Tip to Eschmeyer0
34.3%
0
65.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.08 54.2%
DAL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
25
33
76%
DAL
18
28
64%
Midrange
MIN
19
49
39%
DAL
13
31
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
DAL
11
16.5
21
52%
79%
Free Throws
MIN
17
21
81%
DAL
30
35
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Szczerbiak2771%13.5 / 19
K. Garnett2364%11.5 / 18
J. Smith1563%7.5 / 12
G. Trent1354%6.5 / 12
R. Nesterovic1255%6.0 / 11
A. Peeler1161%5.5 / 9
T. Brandon825%4.0 / 16
C. Billups660%3.0 / 5
S. Mitchell2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley3065%15.0 / 23
S. Nash2566%12.5 / 19
D. Nowitzki2155%10.5 / 19
J. Howard1968%9.5 / 14
T. Hardaway1680%8.0 / 10
E. Najera1083%5.0 / 6
E. Eschmeyer220%1.0 / 5
A. Griffin250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIN
93
+14
-10
107
DAL
89
+11
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIN
1.08 54.2%
DAL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
109.4
MIN 113.6
DAL 123.8 +10.2
Pace
92.8
95.4
MIN 96.8
DAL 108.0 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.9
MIN 14.9
DAL 13.3 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.0%
50.7%
MIN 54.9%
DAL 59.4% +4.5%
TO %
14.0%
12.1%
MIN 9.9% +1.3%
DAL 11.2%
ORB %
31.3%
26.2%
MIN 29.5% +5.2%
DAL 24.3%
FTrt
25.5
28.8
MIN 23.1
DAL 43.8 +20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
56.6%
MIN 58.3%
DAL 66.7% +8.4%
STL %
6.9%
7.4%
MIN 4.9% +0.9%
DAL 4.0%
BLK %
8.0%
7.1%
MIN 6.8% +4.4%
DAL 2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
53.0%
MIN 54.2%
DAL 62.5% +8.3%
Rim FG%
59.4%
58.9%
MIN 75.8% +11.5%
DAL 64.3%
Mid FG%
42.1%
42.0%
MIN 38.8%
DAL 41.9% +3.1%
3P %
37.8%
37.8%
MIN 44.4%
DAL 52.4% +8.0%
FT %
79.8%
80.6%
MIN 81.0%
DAL 85.7% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.8%
30.7%
MIN 36.3% +1.3%
DAL 35.0%
Mid Att. %
58.0%
45.6%
MIN 53.8%
DAL 38.8% +15.1%
3P Att. %
15.2%
23.7%
MIN 9.9%
DAL 26.3% +16.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsMINDAL
Possessions103101
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points117125
Rebounds4140
Assists2828
Steals54
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals48-9142-80
At-the-Rim FG25-3318-28
Midrange FG19-4913-31
2-Point FG44-8231-59
3-Point FG4-911-21
Free Throws17-2130-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 25
44.4
27
71%
5
5
1
0
1
5
2
3
5-7
71%
8-11
73%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 240 · 26
40.1
23
64%
5
5
0
2
2
3
1
4
7-8
88%
8-12
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 26
34.1
15
63%
13
1
2
1
1
2
6
7
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 173 · 32
33.9
8
25%
5
8
2
0
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-16
25%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 26
21.9
12
55%
6
1
0
1
2
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 27
25.2
13
54%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 32
21.0
11
61%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 210 · 25
14.1
6
60%
1
6
0
0
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 215 · 38
5.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 260 · 23
G · 6'2" 180 · 22
C · 6'11" 250 · 35
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
54%
41
28
5
4
10
0
13
28
17-21
81%
44-82
54%
4-9
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.