FinalWin Prob.pScore
2728%94
86
1972%101
89
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
87.89896.1
DEN logo DEN
91.89798.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN86
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)86
4.6%
89
95.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 286
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0MEMLong Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)86
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0MEMLong Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENLenard Driving Layup (25 PTS)84
2.0%
88
98.0%
Q4 - 0:35.0MEMBowen STEAL (5 STL)84
6.1%
86
93.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0DENLenard Layup (23 PTS) (Van Exel 14 AST)84
19.0%
86
81.0%
Q4 - 1:02DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
29.2%
84
70.8%
Q4 - 1:04MEMMISS Battier 10' Jump Shot84
33.6%
84
66.4%
Q4 - 1:24DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)84
42.4%
84
57.6%
Q4 - 1:30DENNUGGETS Rebound84
65.2%
81
34.8%
Q4 - 1:31DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot84
73.7%
81
26.3%
Q4 - 1:48MEMLong Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
63.6%
81
36.4%
Q4 - 1:48MEMLong Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
61.2%
81
38.8%
Q4 - 2:06DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T17)82
53.3%
81
46.7%
Q4 - 2:12MEMLaFrentz STEAL (2 STL)82
37.1%
81
62.9%
Q4 - 2:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)82
53.6%
81
46.4%
Q4 - 2:32DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
48.3%
81
51.7%
Q4 - 2:46DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
36.5%
81
63.5%
Q4 - 2:50DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
48.3%
81
51.7%
Q4 - 3:14MEMGasol Dunk (15 PTS) (Long 2 AST)82
36.5%
81
63.5%
Q4 - 3:19DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)80
31.1%
81
68.9%
Q4 - 3:39MEMLong Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 3:39MEMLong Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)79
20.8%
81
79.2%
Q4 - 3:39MEMLong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
16.7%
81
83.3%
Q4 - 3:39MEMLong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
16.7%
81
83.3%
Q4 - 3:39MEMMISS Long Tip Shot78
13.3%
81
86.7%
Q4 - 3:41MEMMISS Buford Layup78
13.3%
81
86.7%
Q4 - 3:45MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)78
16.6%
81
83.4%
Q4 - 3:48DENMISS Lenard Reverse Layup78
15.0%
81
85.0%
Q4 - 4:09MEMMcCloud STEAL (1 STL)78
11.7%
81
88.3%
Q4 - 4:25MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
16.4%
81
83.6%
Q4 - 4:29DENMISS McCloud Reverse Layup78
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q4 - 4:30DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
11.6%
81
88.4%
Q4 - 4:35DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot78
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q4 - 4:50MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)78
11.6%
81
88.4%
Q4 - 4:50MEMBattier 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q4 - 5:04DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q4 - 5:04DENMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 275
7.6%
80
92.4%
Q4 - 5:13MEMBowen STEAL (4 STL)75
7.0%
80
93.0%
Q4 - 5:25MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
9.6%
80
90.4%
Q4 - 5:28DENMISS LaFrentz Layup75
8.7%
80
91.3%
Q4 - 5:42MEMSolomon Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)75
6.9%
80
93.1%
Q4 - 5:51DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Van Exel 13 AST)75
9.5%
80
90.5%
Q4 - 6:07MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
17.1%
77
82.9%
Q4 - 6:07MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q4 - 6:12MEMSolomon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
13.8%
77
86.2%
Q4 - 6:14DENMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot73
12.5%
77
87.5%
Q4 - 6:21DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q4 - 6:24MEMLaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)73
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q4 - 6:37MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
13.7%
77
86.3%
Q4 - 6:38DENMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 273
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q4 - 6:38DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
11.2%
77
88.8%
Q4 - 6:43MEMAustin 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)73
13.2%
76
86.8%
Q4 - 7:05DENWilliams Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T15)71
11.5%
76
88.5%
Q4 - 7:19DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q4 - 7:22MEMMISS Austin 14' Running Jump Shot71
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 7:48DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)71
11.4%
76
88.6%
Q4 - 7:53DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:9 Def:4)71
8.6%
76
91.4%
Q4 - 7:55MEMMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.4%
76
90.6%
Q4 - 8:17DENWilliams 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 12 AST)71
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q4 - 8:38DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q4 - 8:40MEMMISS Long 20' Jump Shot71
16.2%
74
83.8%
Q4 - 8:47MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
18.8%
74
81.2%
Q4 - 8:49DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot71
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q4 - 8:57DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:9 Def:3)71
15.1%
74
84.9%
Q4 - 9:00MEMMISS Solomon 18' Jump Shot71
16.1%
74
83.9%
Q4 - 9:13MEMSolomon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
19.1%
74
80.9%
Q4 - 9:16DENMISS Williams 8' Hook Shot71
17.9%
74
82.1%
Q4 - 9:25MEMLong 7' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Solomon 3 AST)71
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 9:47DENLenard Layup (18 PTS) (Van Exel 11 AST)69
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q4 - 9:59DENNUGGETS Rebound69
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q4 - 10:00MEMMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q4 - 10:21DENLenard 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Van Exel 10 AST)69
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q4 - 10:28DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:9 Def:2)69
22.9%
70
77.1%
Q4 - 10:30DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot69
26.1%
70
73.9%
Q4 - 10:40MEMLenard STEAL (1 STL)69
22.9%
70
77.1%
Q4 - 11:01DENLenard 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
27.7%
70
72.3%
Q4 - 11:22MEMMassenburg Layup (12 PTS) (Long 1 AST)69
32.1%
68
67.9%
Q4 - 11:39DENVan Exel 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)67
27.7%
68
72.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
32.0%
66
68.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
31.6%
66
68.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
30.3%
66
69.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
27.3%
66
72.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MEMMISS Solomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
24.6%
66
75.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:8 Def:2)65
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0DENWilliams Layup (5 PTS)65
27.4%
66
72.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)65
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENMISS Williams Layup65
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)65
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 0:20.0DENMISS Williams Tip Shot65
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)65
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Williams Tip Shot65
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
34.8%
64
65.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0MEMBowen STEAL (3 STL)65
31.7%
64
68.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 265
35.7%
64
64.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)65
32.4%
64
67.6%
Q3 - 1:07MEMBuford Foul Turnover (P1.T10)65
35.3%
63
64.7%
Q3 - 1:19DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 1:19DENBowen Tip Shot (4 PTS)65
40.0%
63
60.0%
Q3 - 1:24DENMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Hook Shot65
48.2%
61
51.8%
Q3 - 1:32DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)65
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot65
48.2%
61
51.8%
Q3 - 1:53DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 1:55MEMMISS Solomon 18' Jump Shot65
46.3%
61
53.7%
Q3 - 2:20DENVan Exel 8' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)65
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 2:37MEMSolomon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)65
52.3%
59
47.7%
Q3 - 2:52DENHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)62
43.4%
59
56.6%
Q3 - 2:53DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
38.5%
59
61.5%
Q3 - 2:56DENMISS Bowen 8' Running Jump Shot62
41.9%
59
58.1%
Q3 - 3:23MEMSolomon 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Buford 4 AST)62
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 3:34DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)60
34.3%
59
65.7%
Q3 - 3:51DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
30.1%
59
69.9%
Q3 - 3:53MEMMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot60
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q3 - 4:09DENVan Exel 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)60
33.5%
59
66.5%
Q3 - 4:22MEMBuford 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)60
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 4:33DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
33.6%
57
66.4%
Q3 - 4:33DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
34.2%
56
65.8%
Q3 - 4:36DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
37.0%
55
63.0%
Q3 - 4:39MEMBowen BLOCK (3 BLK)58
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q3 - 4:48MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
41.7%
55
58.3%
Q3 - 4:50DENMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot58
40.3%
55
59.7%
Q3 - 5:03DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
36.6%
55
63.4%
Q3 - 5:08MEMMISS Gasol 5' Running Hook Shot58
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 5:19DENLenard Finger Roll (12 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)58
40.8%
55
59.2%
Q3 - 5:31MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)58
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q3 - 5:31MEMBattier 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q3 - 5:51DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
36.9%
53
63.1%
Q3 - 5:58DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
44.6%
50
55.4%
Q3 - 6:00MEMMISS Buford 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
45.9%
50
54.1%
Q3 - 6:17DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
47.6%
50
52.4%
Q3 - 6:23DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
55.4%
47
44.6%
Q3 - 6:25MEMBowen BLOCK (2 BLK)55
56.7%
47
43.3%
Q3 - 6:40DENVan Exel 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)55
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q3 - 6:54DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
63.2%
45
36.8%
Q3 - 7:00MEMBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)55
64.4%
45
35.6%
Q3 - 7:14DENLaFrentz Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)55
65.5%
45
34.5%
Q3 - 7:20DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)55
68.5%
43
31.5%
Q3 - 7:22MEMMISS Austin 19' Jump Shot55
69.6%
43
30.4%
Q3 - 7:49DENPosey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)55
72.2%
43
27.8%
Q3 - 7:55DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
74.8%
41
25.2%
Q3 - 7:57MEMMISS Battier 20' Jump Shot55
75.8%
41
24.2%
Q3 - 8:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)55
76.9%
41
23.1%
Q3 - 8:14MEMMISS Knight 17' Jump Shot55
74.7%
41
25.3%
Q3 - 8:18DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)55
76.9%
41
23.1%
Q3 - 8:38MEMBuford Layup (9 PTS)55
73.7%
41
26.3%
Q3 - 8:43DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
71.1%
41
28.9%
Q3 - 8:45DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q3 - 8:48DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
70.0%
41
30.0%
Q3 - 8:54DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q3 - 8:59MEMMISS Gasol 8' Hook Shot53
68.6%
41
31.4%
Q3 - 9:22DENLenard Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)53
69.0%
41
31.0%
Q3 - 9:28MEMPosey STEAL (2 STL)53
72.0%
39
28.0%
Q3 - 9:42DENLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P1.T9)53
75.0%
39
25.0%
Q3 - 9:52MEMKnight 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
72.0%
39
28.0%
Q3 - 9:59MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
69.1%
39
30.9%
Q3 - 10:03DENMISS Van Exel 10' Turnaround Jump Shot51
66.2%
39
33.8%
Q3 - 10:11DENScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q3 - 10:13MEMMISS Gasol Layup51
64.9%
39
35.1%
Q3 - 10:27MEMGrizzlies Rebound51
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q3 - 10:29DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot51
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q3 - 10:39DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
63.8%
39
36.2%
Q3 - 10:44DENMISS Posey Driving Finger Roll51
66.3%
39
33.7%
Q3 - 10:59MEMKnight 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Austin 2 AST)51
63.9%
39
36.1%
Q3 - 11:18DENLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)49
59.1%
39
40.9%
Q3 - 11:25DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q3 - 11:27DENMISS Lenard 14' Jump Shot49
64.6%
37
35.4%
Q3 - 11:42MEMBattier 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)49
62.3%
37
37.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM47
59.3%
37
40.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
59.3%
37
40.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot47
58.2%
37
41.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0MEMSolomon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)47
54.8%
37
45.2%
Q2 - 0:26.0MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0MEMCheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)44
45.7%
37
54.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
47.3%
37
52.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0DENMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot44
46.6%
37
53.4%
Q2 - 1:01MEMLong Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)44
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:14MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 1:18DENMISS Lenard 15' Fadeaway Jumper44
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 1:26MEMKnight Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T7)44
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:26MEMKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 1:30DENMISS Van Exel 8' Turnaround Jump Shot44
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 1:38DENScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:42MEMMISS Austin Layup44
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 1:54DENBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)44
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 1:56DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
44.6%
37
55.4%
Q2 - 1:58DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 2:10DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
43.1%
37
56.9%
Q2 - 2:13MEMLenard BLOCK (1 BLK)44
44.0%
37
56.0%
Q2 - 2:35DENBowen 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)44
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 2:46DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
49.5%
35
50.5%
Q2 - 2:49MEMMISS Austin 19' Jump Shot44
50.3%
35
49.7%
Q2 - 3:09MEMGrizzlies Rebound44
50.7%
35
49.3%
Q2 - 3:11MEMMISS Austin 17' Jump Shot44
48.4%
35
51.6%
Q2 - 3:27DENMISS Scott Free Throw 1 of 144
50.4%
35
49.6%
Q2 - 3:27DENScott Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)44
50.8%
35
49.2%
Q2 - 3:45MEMBattier Dunk (12 PTS) (Buford 3 AST)44
53.5%
33
46.5%
Q2 - 3:47MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
50.9%
33
49.1%
Q2 - 3:51DENMISS Cheaney 7' Hook Shot42
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 3:53DENNUGGETS Rebound42
47.5%
33
52.5%
Q2 - 3:55DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 4:03MEMBowen STEAL (2 STL)42
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q2 - 4:08DENBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)42
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 4:11DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
46.2%
33
53.8%
Q2 - 4:14DENMISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot42
48.2%
33
51.8%
Q2 - 4:36MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
46.3%
33
53.7%
Q2 - 4:36MEMMassenburg 4' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)42
46.3%
33
53.7%
Q2 - 4:39MEMMISS Gasol 6' Hook Shot40
41.4%
33
58.6%
Q2 - 5:01DENCheaney Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)40
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 5:06MEMBowen STEAL (1 STL)40
45.3%
31
54.7%
Q2 - 5:07MEMLong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
48.4%
31
51.6%
Q2 - 5:11DENMISS Lenard 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
47.5%
31
52.5%
Q2 - 5:24DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
45.4%
31
54.6%
Q2 - 5:29MEMMISS Long Free Throw 2 of 240
45.8%
31
54.2%
Q2 - 5:29MEMLong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
47.6%
31
52.4%
Q2 - 5:29MEMGrizzlies Rebound39
45.6%
31
54.4%
Q2 - 5:29DENMISS LaFrentz 5' Layup39
44.7%
31
55.3%
Q2 - 5:41MEMKnight 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
42.6%
31
57.4%
Q2 - 5:50DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)37
40.1%
31
59.9%
Q2 - 5:52DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 5:57MEMVan Exel BLOCK (1 BLK)37
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 6:08MEMBuford Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)37
44.9%
29
55.1%
Q2 - 6:08MEMGrizzlies Rebound36
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 6:09MEMMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot36
40.0%
29
60.0%
Q2 - 6:21MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot36
41.2%
29
58.8%
Q2 - 6:35MEMBuford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 6:35MEMBuford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 6:53DENBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 7:05MEMKnight Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)34
33.6%
29
66.4%
Q2 - 7:23DENJohnson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)34
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 7:49MEMGasol Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)34
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q2 - 8:00MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q2 - 8:02DENMISS McCloud 16' Jump Shot32
35.0%
27
65.0%
Q2 - 8:19MEMBuford Layup (4 PTS) (Solomon 2 AST)32
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q2 - 8:25DENJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)30
31.2%
27
68.8%
Q2 - 8:43MEMBuford 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Solomon 1 AST)30
28.7%
27
71.3%
Q2 - 8:55DENLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q2 - 9:07MEMMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)28
28.3%
25
71.7%
Q2 - 9:07MEMMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)27
27.7%
25
72.3%
Q2 - 9:07MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q2 - 9:07MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q2 - 9:07MEMMISS Buford Tip Shot26
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q2 - 9:08MEMMISS Massenburg 8' Hook Shot26
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q2 - 9:19DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q2 - 9:24DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)26
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 9:27MEMMISS Buford 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q2 - 9:47DENJohnson 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q2 - 10:02MEMBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
28.3%
23
71.7%
Q2 - 10:26DENCheaney Dunk (2 PTS)23
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q2 - 10:29MEMPosey STEAL (1 STL)23
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q2 - 10:49DENWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q2 - 10:49DENMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 223
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q2 - 11:13MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q2 - 11:13MEMMassenburg Slam Dunk (4 PTS)23
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q2 - 11:15MEMMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot21
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q2 - 11:33MEMMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q2 - 11:44MEMWilliams STEAL (1 STL)21
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN21
26.0%
20
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)21
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MEMMISS Battier 17' Jump Shot21
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)21
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 0:22.0DENMISS Lenard 20' Running Jump Shot21
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0MEMMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MEMMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0DENLenard 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)19
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MEMMISS Massenburg 18' Turnaround Jump Shot19
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 1:15DENWilliams 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)19
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 1:21DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 1:24MEMMISS Battier 7' Fadeaway Jumper19
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 1:38DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
25.5%
18
74.5%
Q1 - 1:38DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 1:46DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)19
27.8%
16
72.2%
Q1 - 1:49MEMMISS Long 20' Jump Shot19
28.2%
16
71.8%
Q1 - 2:02MEMBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 2:04DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 2:24MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 2:24MEMBattier Layup (6 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)18
25.7%
16
74.3%
Q1 - 2:28MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
23.9%
16
76.1%
Q1 - 2:29DENMISS Van Exel 6' Jump Shot16
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 2:37DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)16
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 2:39DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 2:58MEMAustin 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)16
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 3:13MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)14
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 3:15DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q1 - 3:15DENMISS Williams Tip Shot14
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 3:19DENMISS Van Exel 13' Running Jump Shot14
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 3:28DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
19.1%
16
80.9%
Q1 - 3:31MEMMISS Buford 18' Jump Shot14
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q1 - 3:47MEMGrizzlies Rebound14
20.7%
16
79.3%
Q1 - 3:49DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.2%
16
79.8%
Q1 - 4:02MEMBattier 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Buford 2 AST)14
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 4:22DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 4:22DENWilliams Layup (2 PTS)12
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 4:24DENMISS Cheaney 8' Jump Shot12
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 4:35DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
18.8%
14
81.2%
Q1 - 4:38MEMMISS Battier 16' Jump Shot12
19.3%
14
80.7%
Q1 - 4:52DENVan Exel 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 5:11MEMBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 5:11MEMBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 5:23MEMMISS Knight Free Throw Technical10
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:38DENLenard 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)10
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:43DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 5:48MEMMISS Buford 8' Jump Hook Shot10
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 6:01DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 110
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 6:01DENLaFrentz Dunk (4 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)10
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 6:03MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)10
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 6:03MEMGasol Dunk (8 PTS)10
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 6:06MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 6:06MEMLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)8
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 6:10MEMMISS Buford 8' Jump Shot8
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 6:11MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 6:14MEMMISS Austin 19' Jump Shot8
21.7%
8
78.3%
Q1 - 6:26DENLenard Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)8
22.7%
8
77.3%
Q1 - 6:41MEMGasol 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)8
24.1%
6
75.9%
Q1 - 6:49MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 6:51DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot6
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 6:55DENScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 6:58MEMLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)6
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 7:17DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 7:17DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
22.8%
5
77.2%
Q1 - 7:34MEMGasol 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Austin 1 AST)6
23.6%
4
76.4%
Q1 - 7:48DENScott 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)4
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 8:01DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 8:04MEMMISS Buford 10' Jump Shot4
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 8:11DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 8:17MEMLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)4
23.4%
2
76.6%
Q1 - 8:36DENScott Layup (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)4
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 8:51DENScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 8:54MEMMISS Battier 18' Turnaround Jump Shot4
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 9:14MEMAustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 9:18DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 9:24DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 9:26MEMMISS Knight Layup4
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 9:32DENVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 9:44DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 9:46MEMMISS Austin 19' Jump Shot4
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 9:57MEMBuford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 10:02DENMISS LaFrentz Reverse Layup4
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 10:10DENScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 10:13MEMMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot4
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 10:31MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
27.6%
0
72.4%
Q1 - 10:33DENMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot4
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 10:54MEMKnight 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buford 1 AST)4
25.9%
0
74.1%
Q1 - 11:12MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:15DENMISS Lenard 10' Fadeaway Jumper2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:34MEMGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
23.1%
0
76.9%
Q1 - 11:34MEMGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:34MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:35DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.6%
0
79.4%
Q1 - 11:35DENMISS LaFrentz Tip Shot0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 11:39DENMISS Posey Reverse Layup0
21.4%
0
78.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Gasol: Tip to Scott0
20.6%
0
79.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.91 45.3%
DEN
0.86 42.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
10
23
43%
DEN
15
27
56%
Midrange
MEM
16
48
33%
DEN
18
43
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
DEN
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
Free Throws
MEM
25
27
93%
DEN
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Battier1956%9.5 / 17
P. Gasol1544%7.5 / 17
T. Massenburg1275%6.0 / 8
R. Buford1137%5.5 / 15
G. Long956%4.5 / 8
B. Knight840%4.0 / 10
W. Solomon844%4.0 / 9
I. Austin420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Lenard2554%12.5 / 23
N. Van Exel2043%10.0 / 23
R. LaFrentz1350%6.5 / 13
S. Williams739%3.5 / 9
S. Scott675%3.0 / 4
R. Bowen638%3.0 / 8
A. Johnson6100%3.0 / 3
C. Cheaney440%2.0 / 5
J. Posey214%1.0 / 7
G. McCloud0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
81
+13
-17
94
DEN
80
+22
-17
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
0.91 45.3%
DEN
0.86 42.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
95.6
99.6
MEM 87.8
DEN 91.8 +4.0
Pace
93.7
92.1
MEM 96.1
DEN 98.9 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.0
MEM 15.0
DEN 14.6 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.2%
45.5%
MEM 38.1%
DEN 42.9% +4.8%
TO %
16.7%
14.9%
MEM 15.6%
DEN 14.7% +0.9%
ORB %
27.8%
30.7%
MEM 22.4%
DEN 35.8% +13.4%
FTrt
28.8
25.6
MEM 33.8 +14.0
DEN 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
62.3%
MEM 69.0% +9.5%
DEN 59.5%
STL %
8.4%
8.0%
MEM 11.2%
DEN 12.4% +1.2%
BLK %
8.5%
8.6%
MEM 7.1%
DEN 12.7% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.2%
MEM 45.3% +2.5%
DEN 42.8%
Rim FG%
57.1%
55.5%
MEM 43.5%
DEN 55.6% +12.1%
Mid FG%
38.6%
36.9%
MEM 33.3%
DEN 41.9% +8.6%
3P %
30.7%
32.9%
MEM 33.3% +14.3%
DEN 19.0%
FT %
70.8%
74.4%
MEM 92.6% +31.5%
DEN 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
33.7%
MEM 28.7%
DEN 29.7% +0.9%
Mid Att. %
48.9%
47.6%
MEM 60.0%
DEN 47.3% +12.7%
3P Att. %
16.8%
18.7%
MEM 11.3%
DEN 23.1% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.
Game TotalsMEMDEN
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points8689
Rebounds4557
Assists2022
Steals1112
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)38 (1)
Field Goals29-8037-91
At-the-Rim FG10-2315-27
Midrange FG16-4818-43
2-Point FG26-7133-70
3-Point FG3-94-21
Free Throws25-2711-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 23
43.8
19
56%
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
3
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
1-1
100%
F · 6'5" 195 · 24
40.3
11
37%
5
4
2
0
1
3
2
3
3-3
100%
4-12
33%
0-2
0%
G · 5'10" 166 · 26
35.1
8
40%
2
7
4
0
5
3
0
2
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 250 · 21
33.8
15
44%
13
1
0
4
2
3
3
10
5-5
100%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 288 · 32
24.7
4
20%
7
2
1
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 240 · 36
27.9
9
56%
6
2
2
1
3
3
2
4
7-8
88%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 185 · 23
17.3
8
44%
2
3
2
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 34
17.0
12
75%
7
0
0
0
1
1
4
3
6-6
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 26
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 22
F-G · 6'6" 228 · 34
F · 6'10" 219 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
45%
45
20
11
5
17
0
11
34
25-27
93%
26-71
37%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.