FinalWin Prob.pScore
1557%90
97
2743%88
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
103.29494.4
MIA logo MIA
107.69291.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)97
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Mason Layup97
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)97
21.4%
99
78.6%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)97
41.6%
97
58.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)96
38.9%
97
61.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
27.7%
97
72.3%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot95
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
19.3%
97
80.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 294
15.6%
97
84.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
20.4%
97
79.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILMISS Cassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
13.9%
97
86.1%
Q4 - 1:07MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
21.6%
97
78.4%
Q4 - 1:09MILMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot94
14.8%
97
85.2%
Q4 - 1:17MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
23.6%
97
76.4%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Jackson Driving Layup94
20.9%
97
79.1%
Q4 - 1:38MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)94
17.5%
97
82.5%
Q4 - 1:38MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)93
16.5%
97
83.5%
Q4 - 1:39MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)92
12.1%
97
87.9%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)92
7.5%
97
92.5%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Ellis 12' Jump Shot92
10.8%
97
89.2%
Q4 - 2:05MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)92
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 2:11MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)92
15.5%
97
84.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
8.4%
97
91.6%
Q4 - 2:28MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
10.2%
97
89.8%
Q4 - 2:45MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
16.0%
97
84.0%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 292
17.8%
96
82.2%
Q4 - 2:58MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)92
14.7%
96
85.3%
Q4 - 2:58MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)91
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q4 - 3:04MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
11.8%
96
88.2%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Shot90
10.0%
96
90.0%
Q4 - 3:29MILRobinson 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)90
6.7%
96
93.3%
Q4 - 3:38MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
7.8%
96
92.2%
Q4 - 3:41MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot88
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 4:00MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot88
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 4:16MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 288
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 4:17MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 4:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 4:38MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot88
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 4:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
9.9%
95
90.1%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot88
8.9%
95
91.1%
Q4 - 5:16MILRobinson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)88
9.6%
95
90.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)86
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 5:30MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
7.8%
94
92.2%
Q4 - 5:50MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 5:50MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
9.1%
93
90.9%
Q4 - 6:04MIACarter 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)84
9.5%
93
90.5%
Q4 - 6:25MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
11.8%
91
88.2%
Q4 - 6:36MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)82
9.3%
91
90.7%
Q4 - 6:51MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
11.7%
89
88.3%
Q4 - 6:51MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 281
10.8%
89
89.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)81
15.0%
89
85.0%
Q4 - 7:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
18.3%
87
81.7%
Q4 - 7:23MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
19.7%
87
80.3%
Q4 - 7:27MILBucks Rebound81
23.3%
87
76.7%
Q4 - 7:27MILEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)81
19.7%
87
80.3%
Q4 - 7:34MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
23.3%
87
76.7%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
21.6%
87
78.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
18.1%
87
81.9%
Q4 - 7:57MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
19.6%
87
80.4%
Q4 - 8:17MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
25.1%
87
74.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 281
24.4%
87
75.6%
Q4 - 8:18MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
21.3%
87
78.7%
Q4 - 8:38MILAllen 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)81
24.9%
86
75.1%
Q4 - 9:01MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)78
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 9:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
26.9%
83
73.1%
Q4 - 9:10MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
28.4%
83
71.6%
Q4 - 9:16MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
32.1%
83
67.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS Carter Layup78
30.4%
83
69.6%
Q4 - 9:21MILCarter STEAL (1 STL)78
26.8%
83
73.2%
Q4 - 9:30MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
32.0%
83
68.0%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot78
30.4%
83
69.6%
Q4 - 9:46MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 178
27.4%
83
72.6%
Q4 - 9:46MILThomas Layup (16 PTS) (Robinson 6 AST)78
26.7%
83
73.3%
Q4 - 9:59MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMISS Jackson 11' Fadeaway Jumper76
22.7%
83
77.3%
Q4 - 10:15MILHam Foul Turnover (P1.T10)76
19.8%
83
80.2%
Q4 - 10:16MILHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 10:18MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 10:40MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
24.8%
82
75.2%
Q4 - 10:56MILRobinson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
28.0%
81
72.0%
Q4 - 11:18MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)74
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q4 - 11:42MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)74
28.9%
79
71.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot74
32.2%
79
67.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
28.9%
79
71.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
28.9%
79
71.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 55' 3PT Jump Shot74
32.2%
79
67.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
30.8%
79
69.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Cassell 21' Jump Shot74
32.1%
79
67.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)74
35.2%
79
64.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
36.4%
78
63.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MILGatling STEAL (1 STL)74
40.0%
77
60.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
45.0%
77
55.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot74
43.4%
77
56.6%
Q3 - 1:19MILMason Layup (10 PTS)74
41.1%
77
58.9%
Q3 - 1:37MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)72
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q3 - 1:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
32.1%
77
67.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 272
36.0%
77
64.0%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 272
33.3%
77
66.7%
Q3 - 1:41MIAHEAT Rebound72
32.1%
77
67.9%
Q3 - 1:42MILMISS Thomas 7' Running Jump Shot72
33.4%
77
66.6%
Q3 - 1:48MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot72
35.2%
77
64.8%
Q3 - 2:06MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
32.8%
77
67.2%
Q3 - 2:06MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
31.9%
77
68.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAJones Dunk (18 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)70
29.2%
77
70.8%
Q3 - 2:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
32.8%
75
67.2%
Q3 - 2:37MILMISS Ham Free Throw 2 of 270
33.4%
75
66.6%
Q3 - 2:37MILHam Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
35.6%
75
64.4%
Q3 - 2:41MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)69
33.1%
75
66.9%
Q3 - 2:59MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 169
29.3%
75
70.7%
Q3 - 2:59MILMason Layup (8 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)69
28.8%
75
71.2%
Q3 - 3:20MIAGatling Layup (6 PTS)67
26.6%
75
73.4%
Q3 - 3:22MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup67
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q3 - 3:26MILJackson STEAL (1 STL)67
30.0%
73
70.0%
Q3 - 3:37MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
34.1%
73
65.9%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot67
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q3 - 3:59MILThomas Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)67
29.9%
73
70.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)65
27.8%
73
72.2%
Q3 - 4:22MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
30.8%
71
69.2%
Q3 - 4:24MILGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)65
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q3 - 4:34MIAJones Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)65
35.2%
71
64.8%
Q3 - 4:47MILCassell Layup (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)65
38.6%
69
61.4%
Q3 - 4:52MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
35.1%
69
64.9%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Jones 9' Running Jump Shot63
33.8%
69
66.2%
Q3 - 5:12MILRobinson Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)63
31.9%
69
68.1%
Q3 - 5:25MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
35.9%
69
64.1%
Q3 - 5:25MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
36.9%
68
63.1%
Q3 - 5:38MILCassell Foul Turnover (P3.T6)63
39.5%
67
60.5%
Q3 - 5:42MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
43.9%
67
56.1%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
42.5%
67
57.5%
Q3 - 6:07MILAllen 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)63
40.3%
67
59.7%
Q3 - 6:09MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
36.8%
67
63.2%
Q3 - 6:11MILMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)61
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 6:26MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)61
36.8%
67
63.2%
Q3 - 6:44MILMason 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)61
44.2%
64
55.8%
Q3 - 7:08MIAMourning Slam Dunk (17 PTS)59
40.9%
64
59.1%
Q3 - 7:25MILRobinson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)59
44.2%
62
55.8%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMourning 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
40.9%
62
59.1%
Q3 - 8:06MILAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)57
44.9%
60
55.1%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
38.0%
60
62.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
38.6%
59
61.4%
Q3 - 8:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup54
44.0%
58
56.0%
Q3 - 8:47MIAHEAT Rebound54
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 8:48MILMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot54
42.4%
58
57.6%
Q3 - 9:00MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
45.3%
58
54.7%
Q3 - 9:00MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
46.1%
57
53.9%
Q3 - 9:15MILCassell 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)54
49.2%
56
50.8%
Q3 - 9:18MILBucks Rebound52
45.6%
56
54.4%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 252
42.4%
56
57.6%
Q3 - 9:20MILMISS Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 252
44.6%
56
55.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)52
45.6%
56
54.4%
Q3 - 9:38MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 9:41MILMISS Robinson Reverse Layup52
43.0%
56
57.0%
Q3 - 9:46MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
45.6%
56
54.4%
Q3 - 9:48MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
44.5%
56
55.5%
Q3 - 9:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 10:00MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
43.0%
56
57.0%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)52
46.5%
56
53.5%
Q3 - 10:31MILAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)52
42.6%
56
57.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)49
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q3 - 11:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
40.3%
54
59.7%
Q3 - 11:05MILMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot49
41.4%
54
58.6%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMourning 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
43.8%
54
56.2%
Q3 - 11:44MILGrant STEAL (1 STL)49
47.0%
52
53.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILAllen Dunk (15 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)49
47.0%
52
53.0%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
44.0%
52
56.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
41.7%
52
58.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
42.4%
52
57.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAJackson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
44.0%
52
56.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
48.2%
50
51.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
47.7%
50
52.3%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJackson Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)45
44.0%
50
56.0%
Q2 - 1:10MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q2 - 1:10MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
48.4%
48
51.6%
Q2 - 1:13MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)43
44.2%
48
55.8%
Q2 - 1:47MILCassell 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
42.5%
48
57.5%
Q2 - 1:52MILCassell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q2 - 1:54MILMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
36.8%
48
63.2%
Q2 - 2:04MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
39.2%
48
60.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot41
38.4%
48
61.6%
Q2 - 2:24MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
36.5%
48
63.5%
Q2 - 2:24MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q2 - 2:28MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
33.4%
48
66.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot39
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
30.9%
48
69.1%
Q2 - 2:37MILMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)39
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q2 - 3:05MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)39
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Ellis Layup39
39.5%
46
60.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 3:23MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot39
38.2%
46
61.8%
Q2 - 3:44MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)39
40.4%
46
59.6%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
43.0%
44
57.0%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot39
44.0%
44
56.0%
Q2 - 4:08MIAJones Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)39
46.8%
44
53.2%
Q2 - 4:28MILAllen 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)39
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q2 - 4:42MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)37
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 4:50MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot37
45.9%
42
54.1%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 5:00MILMISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot37
44.8%
42
55.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
47.3%
42
52.7%
Q2 - 5:30MILMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 137
50.3%
40
49.7%
Q2 - 5:30MILHam Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)37
49.9%
40
50.1%
Q2 - 5:37MILBucks Rebound35
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 5:40MILMISS Thomas 16' Jump Shot35
45.2%
40
54.8%
Q2 - 5:59MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)35
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 5:59MIAEllis Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)35
50.1%
39
49.9%
Q2 - 6:11MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
53.0%
37
47.0%
Q2 - 6:11MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
52.4%
37
47.6%
Q2 - 6:30MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)33
50.7%
37
49.3%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
52.9%
35
47.1%
Q2 - 6:36MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
53.9%
35
46.1%
Q2 - 7:05MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)33
56.4%
35
43.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
58.8%
33
41.2%
Q2 - 7:11MILMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot33
59.6%
33
40.4%
Q2 - 7:21MILHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot33
60.7%
33
39.3%
Q2 - 7:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
58.8%
33
41.2%
Q2 - 7:38MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
59.6%
33
40.4%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 7:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
63.8%
31
36.2%
Q2 - 8:01MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot33
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q2 - 8:23MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)33
66.1%
31
33.9%
Q2 - 8:41MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)33
63.5%
31
36.5%
Q2 - 8:41MILAllen Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
61.1%
31
38.9%
Q2 - 9:00MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
58.9%
31
41.1%
Q2 - 9:12MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)30
56.2%
31
43.8%
Q2 - 9:31MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)30
58.9%
31
41.1%
Q2 - 9:48MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
61.0%
29
39.0%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot30
62.9%
29
37.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
60.8%
29
39.2%
Q2 - 10:10MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot30
61.7%
29
38.3%
Q2 - 10:32MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
63.5%
29
36.5%
Q2 - 10:53MILThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)30
65.5%
27
34.5%
Q2 - 10:58MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
61.2%
27
38.8%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot27
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q2 - 11:23MILThomas 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)27
58.6%
27
41.4%
Q2 - 11:36MILBucks Rebound25
56.3%
27
43.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot25
55.5%
27
44.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q2 - 11:45MILMISS Robinson Driving Layup25
54.6%
27
45.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
56.3%
27
43.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound25
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 41' 3PT Jump Shot25
55.5%
27
44.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
53.8%
27
46.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)25
54.7%
27
45.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
55.9%
27
44.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot25
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T3)25
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)25
55.9%
27
44.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)25
54.1%
27
45.9%
Q1 - 1:14MIAStepania 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
51.9%
25
48.1%
Q1 - 1:26MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot22
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q1 - 1:38MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q1 - 1:40MILEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)22
52.4%
25
47.6%
Q1 - 1:46MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
53.7%
25
46.3%
Q1 - 2:05MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)22
52.0%
25
48.0%
Q1 - 2:22MIAGatling Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)22
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q1 - 2:29MILMISS Cassell 19' Jump Shot22
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q1 - 2:36MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
58.8%
23
41.2%
Q1 - 2:38MILMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot22
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q1 - 2:53MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.8%
23
41.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Gatling 8' Hook Shot22
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q1 - 3:08MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
56.5%
23
43.5%
Q1 - 3:09MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot22
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
59.0%
23
41.0%
Q1 - 3:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 222
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot22
60.5%
22
39.5%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 222
60.9%
22
39.1%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 222
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHEAT Rebound22
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot22
60.6%
22
39.4%
Q1 - 4:21MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 4:42MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q1 - 4:48MILMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot22
59.6%
22
40.4%
Q1 - 5:06MIAJackson 10' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
61.3%
22
38.7%
Q1 - 5:25MILCassell Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)22
63.1%
20
36.9%
Q1 - 5:47MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q1 - 6:06MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 6:06MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
62.3%
18
37.7%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q1 - 6:39MILRobinson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
62.9%
16
37.1%
Q1 - 6:57MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)16
61.1%
16
38.9%
Q1 - 7:20MILAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)16
62.8%
14
37.2%
Q1 - 7:26MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
59.4%
14
40.6%
Q1 - 7:35MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 7:36MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot13
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
59.4%
14
40.6%
Q1 - 7:59MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
62.8%
11
37.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS Grant Driving Layup13
64.7%
11
35.3%
Q1 - 8:16MILAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)13
63.3%
11
36.7%
Q1 - 8:26MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
59.9%
11
40.1%
Q1 - 8:26MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
60.3%
10
39.7%
Q1 - 8:42MILPrzybilla Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)10
61.5%
9
38.5%
Q1 - 9:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)8
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 9:22MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
63.0%
6
37.0%
Q1 - 9:22MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
62.4%
6
37.6%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)6
61.7%
6
38.3%
Q1 - 9:44MILPrzybilla 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)6
63.0%
4
37.0%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)4
61.5%
4
38.5%
Q1 - 10:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 10:14MILMISS Cassell 17' Jump Shot4
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:23MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
65.0%
2
35.0%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup4
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 10:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot4
64.4%
2
35.6%
Q1 - 10:47MILAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)4
63.0%
2
37.0%
Q1 - 11:01MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 11:01MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
61.6%
1
38.4%
Q1 - 11:22MILRobinson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
63.2%
0
36.8%
Q1 - 11:41MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Mourning Driving Layup0
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Przybilla: Tip to Strickland0
59.7%
0
40.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
12
20
60%
MIA
13
21
62%
Midrange
MIL
13
35
37%
MIA
19
43
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIA
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIL
26
34
76%
MIA
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen3088%15.0 / 17
S. Cassell1843%9.0 / 21
T. Thomas1853%9.0 / 17
G. Robinson1238%6.0 / 16
A. Mason1150%5.5 / 11
J. Przybilla467%2.0 / 3
D. Ham350%1.5 / 3
E. Johnson125%0.5 / 2
M. Redd0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2357%11.5 / 20
A. Mourning2162%10.5 / 17
J. Jackson1653%8.0 / 15
L. Ellis1359%6.5 / 11
A. Carter840%4.0 / 10
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
C. Gatling650%3.0 / 6
R. Strickland4100%2.0 / 2
V. Stepania2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
82
+10
-12
92
MIA
77
+15
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
96.1
MIL 103.2
MIA 107.6 +4.4
Pace
92.5
89.7
MIL 94.4 +2.8
MIA 91.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
16.7
MIL 15.3 +0.5
MIA 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
46.3%
MIL 48.6%
MIA 52.1% +3.5%
TO %
14.5%
15.5%
MIL 12.0% +2.8%
MIA 14.8%
ORB %
25.6%
26.7%
MIL 17.9%
MIA 32.4% +14.5%
FTrt
26.9
26.8
MIL 46.6 +4.1
MIA 42.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
59.4%
MIL 68.8% +10.5%
MIA 58.3%
STL %
7.8%
7.4%
MIL 10.6% +6.3%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
7.1%
8.7%
MIL 7.8%
MIA 10.9% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.7%
47.7%
MIL 52.7%
MIA 53.2% +0.5%
Rim FG%
56.1%
60.6%
MIL 60.0%
MIA 61.9% +1.9%
Mid FG%
45.1%
38.0%
MIL 37.1%
MIA 44.2% +7.1%
3P %
37.5%
34.7%
MIL 38.9%
MIA 44.4% +5.5%
FT %
74.8%
72.4%
MIL 76.5% +2.3%
MIA 74.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.2%
28.1%
MIL 27.4%
MIA 28.8% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
57.8%
MIL 47.9% +11.0%
MIA 58.9%
3P Att. %
24.1%
14.1%
MIL 24.7% +12.3%
MIA 12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9799
Rebounds3244
Assists2221
Steals104
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)32 (4)
Field Goals32-7336-73
At-the-Rim FG12-2013-21
Midrange FG13-3519-43
2-Point FG25-5532-64
3-Point FG7-184-9
Free Throws26-3423-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 255 · 35
41.1
11
50%
6
4
1
0
1
3
1
5
5-7
71%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 240 · 29
40.9
12
38%
4
6
4
0
4
4
0
4
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 32
40.6
18
43%
9
8
3
0
4
2
2
7
8-8
100%
5-12
42%
0-5
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
39.7
30
88%
5
1
1
0
1
4
1
4
5-5
100%
5-7
71%
5-7
71%
C · 7'1" 245 · 22
10.9
4
67%
0
0
1
3
0
5
0
0
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 25
27.8
18
53%
2
1
0
0
1
4
0
2
6-7
86%
3-8
38%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 245 · 34
17.4
1
25%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 28
13.6
3
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 22
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 256 · 28
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
53%
32
22
10
5
12
0
7
25
26-34
76%
25-55
45%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.