FinalWin Prob.pScore
2810%84
88
490%99
95
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.79282.5
SAC logo SAC
108.08899.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)88
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SACPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot85
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)85
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21MIAWebber STEAL (2 STL)85
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 1:27SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)85
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 1:27SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)85
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 1:54SACChristie Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 1:54SACChristie Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)83
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWebber STEAL (1 STL)83
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 2:07MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 2:09SACMISS Webber 19' Jump Shot83
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 2:27SACPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 283
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 2:28MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 2:29MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Mourning 9' Jump Hook Shot82
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 2:36SACStojakovic Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)82
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 2:44MIAStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)82
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 2:56SACWebber Foul Turnover (P4.T12)82
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 3:03SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot82
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 3:25SACWebber 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 4:00SACWebber 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Pollard 1 AST)80
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)80
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 4:44SACWebber 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)78
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 5:09MIAGrant 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)78
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 5:29SACMISS Pollard 5' Hook Shot76
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 5:33SACWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 5:34SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAPollard STEAL (1 STL)76
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q4 - 5:54SACStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)76
2.8%
83
97.2%
Q4 - 6:01SACPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIAMISS Mourning 13' Jump Shot76
6.1%
80
93.9%
Q4 - 6:24SACTurkoglu Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)76
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 7:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot74
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q4 - 7:21MIAHeat Rebound74
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 7:23SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot74
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 7:29SACWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot74
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)74
4.7%
80
95.3%
Q4 - 8:00SACMISS Webber 14' Jump Shot74
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)74
4.0%
80
96.0%
Q4 - 8:53SACChristie 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)74
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
6.6%
78
93.4%
Q4 - 9:14MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 9:28SACBibby Driving Layup (4 PTS)72
5.3%
78
94.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIAStepania 9' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS)72
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q4 - 9:51MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 9:53SACMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot70
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q4 - 10:09MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)70
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q4 - 10:23MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q4 - 10:24SACMISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot70
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 10:42SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot70
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q4 - 11:00SACTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)70
5.6%
76
94.4%
Q4 - 11:18SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)70
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot70
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 11:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Strickland 10' Jump Shot70
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q4 - 11:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot70
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAPollard BLOCK (4 BLK)70
5.2%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)70
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Stepania 5' Jump Hook Shot70
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Rebound70
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0SACMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot70
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAPollard BLOCK (3 BLK)70
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0SACTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Christie 2 AST)70
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 1:02MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)70
9.0%
73
91.0%
Q3 - 1:02MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)69
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q3 - 1:22SACTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)67
6.3%
73
93.7%
Q3 - 1:24SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 1:26SACMISS Stojakovic 4' Jump Shot67
8.5%
71
91.5%
Q3 - 1:51MIAStepania Layup (8 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)67
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 1:59MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)65
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 2:01SACMISS Stojakovic 7' Jump Shot65
6.0%
71
94.0%
Q3 - 2:32MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)65
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 2:49MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 2:51SACMISS Webber 15' Jump Shot63
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 2:58SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)63
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot63
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 3:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 3:08SACPollard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 3:08SACMISS Pollard Tip Shot63
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 3:10SACMISS Webber 21' Jump Shot63
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 3:33SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot63
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 3:52SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 3:52SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 3:55SACWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 3:56SACMISS Pollard 9' Jump Shot63
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 4:09MIAStepania Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)63
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 4:13MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 4:14SACMISS Webber 17' Jump Shot61
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)61
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 4:54SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 5:02SACPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot61
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 5:26SACMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot61
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 5:43SACKINGS Rebound61
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 5:45MIAMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot61
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound61
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot61
4.3%
69
95.7%
Q3 - 6:16SACDivac Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)61
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 6:32SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 6:34MIADivac BLOCK (1 BLK)61
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q3 - 6:51SACStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q3 - 7:18MIAJackson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)61
5.7%
67
94.3%
Q3 - 7:25MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 7:26SACMISS Webber 6' Jump Shot59
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 7:34SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot59
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 7:53MIAHeat Rebound59
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot59
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 7:57MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)59
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot59
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q3 - 8:06SACMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot59
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q3 - 8:21MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 8:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot57
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 8:47SACWebber Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 8:47SACWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
3.8%
67
96.2%
Q3 - 8:47SACChristie Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)57
4.3%
65
95.7%
Q3 - 8:47SACChristie Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)57
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 8:52MIAEllis Reverse Layup (12 PTS)57
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q3 - 8:56MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 8:57MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot55
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:18SACWebber Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)55
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIAGrant 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)55
5.6%
61
94.4%
Q3 - 9:47SACStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)53
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q3 - 9:59MIAJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)53
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 10:20SACWebber 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)51
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 10:28SACBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot51
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 10:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 10:43SACMISS Webber 14' Jump Shot51
7.0%
56
93.0%
Q3 - 11:00MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
6.3%
56
93.7%
Q3 - 11:19SACDivac 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)49
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q3 - 11:35MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)49
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q3 - 11:49SACDivac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jackson 41' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot47
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)47
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 0:24.0SACMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAEllis Dunk (10 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)47
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 1:00SACMISS Stojakovic 14' Jump Shot45
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)45
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHeat Rebound45
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot45
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 1:38SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
4.3%
54
95.7%
Q2 - 1:38SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
5.2%
52
94.8%
Q2 - 1:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 244
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q2 - 2:02SACTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)44
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 2:09SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot44
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot44
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 2:30SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 2:30SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
7.4%
48
92.6%
Q2 - 2:46MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)44
8.3%
47
91.7%
Q2 - 2:46MIAJackson 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 3:01SACTurkoglu 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIAJackson 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
7.2%
45
92.8%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 3:37SACMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 239
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 3:37SACMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 1 of 239
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 3:44SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Hook Shot39
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 4:12SACTurkoglu 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)39
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 4:18SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
7.1%
43
92.9%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 4:38SACPollard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 4:38SACPollard Tip Shot (9 PTS)39
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 4:41SACMISS Jackson 7' Running Jump Shot39
9.5%
41
90.5%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJackson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)39
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 5:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 5:14SACMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot39
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 5:22SACChristie Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)39
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 5:33MIAJackson 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)39
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 5:52SACPollard 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)37
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)37
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 6:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 6:20SACMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot35
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 6:41MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)35
7.7%
38
92.3%
Q2 - 6:53MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 6:54SACMISS Jackson Driving Layup35
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 7:29SACJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
7.1%
38
92.9%
Q2 - 7:42SACTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
7.8%
36
92.2%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS Gatling 5' Running Jump Shot33
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 8:04SACTurkoglu 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 8:20MIAMourning 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)33
9.4%
34
90.6%
Q2 - 8:41MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
8.7%
34
91.3%
Q2 - 8:42SACMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 231
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q2 - 8:42SACTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q2 - 8:59MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 230
8.4%
33
91.6%
Q2 - 9:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 9:19SACMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 230
8.4%
33
91.6%
Q2 - 9:19SACMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 230
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 9:28SACPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
7.7%
33
92.3%
Q2 - 9:30MIAPollard BLOCK (2 BLK)30
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)30
8.0%
33
92.0%
Q2 - 9:51SACPollard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
8.6%
33
91.4%
Q2 - 9:51SACPollard Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
8.8%
32
91.2%
Q2 - 10:05MIATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)30
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 10:06SACStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)30
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q2 - 10:24MIAJackson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)30
9.4%
31
90.6%
Q2 - 10:39SACPollard Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q2 - 10:39SACPollard 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)28
9.5%
30
90.5%
Q2 - 10:53MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)28
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q2 - 11:08SACWebber Foul Turnover (P3.T5)26
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q2 - 11:28MIAGatling Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)26
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q2 - 11:39SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)24
7.7%
28
92.3%
Q2 - 11:39SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)24
7.8%
27
92.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 65' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SACChristie Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)24
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAStepania 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0SACMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
8.8%
24
91.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAPollard BLOCK (1 BLK)22
8.6%
24
91.4%
Q1 - 1:09SACDivac 4' Layup (4 PTS)22
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 1:28MIAStepania 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)22
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 1:52SACChristie 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)20
9.0%
22
91.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAEllis 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
9.9%
20
90.1%
Q1 - 2:28SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)18
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 2:28SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 2:42SACPollard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 218
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 218
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.7%
18
89.3%
Q1 - 2:53SACDivac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 2:53SACMISS Divac Tip Shot18
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 2:54SACMISS Stojakovic 12' Jump Shot18
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 3:09MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 3:18SACStojakovic Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
10.5%
18
89.5%
Q1 - 3:26SACStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 3:27MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot18
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 3:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.6%
18
89.4%
Q1 - 3:49SACMISS Christie Free Throw 2 of 218
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 3:49SACChristie Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
9.8%
18
90.2%
Q1 - 3:52SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
10.5%
17
89.5%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
10.7%
17
89.3%
Q1 - 4:11MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 4:12SACMISS Christie 3PT Jump Shot18
10.8%
17
89.2%
Q1 - 4:32SACDivac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Gatling 11' Jump Shot18
10.4%
17
89.6%
Q1 - 4:50SACWebber 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 4:51SACWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 4:53SACMISS Webber Dunk18
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 5:21MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:24SACMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot16
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 5:33MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 5:39SACChristie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAEllis 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
8.4%
15
91.6%
Q1 - 6:12SACStojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)12
7.8%
15
92.2%
Q1 - 6:21SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 6:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot12
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot12
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:35SACChristie Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Divac 2 AST)12
9.7%
12
90.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)12
10.4%
10
89.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
9.7%
10
90.3%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot10
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 7:02MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 7:05SACMISS Stojakovic 16' Jump Shot10
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 7:18SACKINGS Rebound10
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot10
8.9%
10
91.1%
Q1 - 7:33SACWebber Foul Turnover (P2.T2)10
9.4%
10
90.6%
Q1 - 7:38SACChristie Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)10
8.7%
10
91.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMourning 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)10
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 8:03SACWebber 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Divac 1 AST)8
8.6%
9
91.4%
Q1 - 8:14SACChristie Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)8
9.1%
7
90.9%
Q1 - 8:29MIAEllis 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
9.8%
6
90.2%
Q1 - 8:43SACStojakovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
9.2%
6
90.8%
Q1 - 8:43SACStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
9.3%
5
90.7%
Q1 - 8:57MIAJones Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)6
9.8%
4
90.2%
Q1 - 9:02MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.2%
4
90.8%
Q1 - 9:05SACMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot4
8.9%
4
91.1%
Q1 - 9:29MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)4
8.4%
4
91.6%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.0%
4
92.0%
Q1 - 9:42SACMISS Webber 18' Jump Shot2
7.8%
4
92.2%
Q1 - 9:49SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
7.3%
4
92.7%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot2
7.5%
4
92.5%
Q1 - 10:08SACBibby 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)2
7.9%
4
92.1%
Q1 - 10:19SACWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
8.4%
2
91.6%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot2
8.6%
2
91.4%
Q1 - 10:40SACDivac Layup (2 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)2
9.1%
2
90.9%
Q1 - 10:46SACChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.6%
0
90.4%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Mourning 17' Jump Shot2
9.8%
0
90.2%
Q1 - 10:58SACWebber Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
10.4%
0
89.6%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 12
9.7%
0
90.3%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMourning 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)2
9.6%
0
90.4%
Q1 - 11:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
0
91.1%
Q1 - 11:27SACMISS Divac 17' Jump Shot0
8.8%
0
91.2%
Q1 - 11:46MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
8.4%
0
91.6%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Divac vs. Mourning: Tip to Carter0
8.9%
0
91.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.4%
SAC
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
SAC
12
18
67%
Midrange
MIA
24
59
41%
SAC
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
SAC
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
13
19
68%
SAC
30
36
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Jackson1765%8.5 / 13
E. Jones1439%7.0 / 18
L. Ellis1454%7.0 / 13
A. Mourning1336%6.5 / 18
V. Stepania1050%5.0 / 10
B. Grant880%4.0 / 5
R. Strickland750%3.5 / 7
C. Gatling542%2.5 / 6
A. Carter0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2350%11.5 / 23
D. Christie18113%9.0 / 8
C. Webber1850%9.0 / 18
H. Turkoglu1594%7.5 / 8
S. Pollard956%4.5 / 8
V. Divac660%3.0 / 5
M. Bibby433%2.0 / 6
B. Jackson217%1.0 / 6
J. Smith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+18
-13
97
SAC
74
+7
-14
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.89 44.4%
SAC
1.14 57.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
106.5
MIA 95.7 +12.3
SAC 108.0
Pace
89.7
97.9
MIA 82.5
SAC 99.4 +16.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
13.9
MIA 17.4
SAC 14.5 +3.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
49.7%
MIA 45.2%
SAC 48.5% +3.3%
TO %
15.5%
13.6%
MIA 13.3% +1.2%
SAC 14.5%
ORB %
26.7%
28.0%
MIA 29.3% +11.4%
SAC 17.9%
FTrt
26.8
30.8
MIA 22.9
SAC 53.7 +30.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.0%
MIA 64.9% +1.6%
SAC 63.3%
STL %
7.4%
9.2%
MIA 7.6% +0.8%
SAC 6.8%
BLK %
8.7%
6.3%
MIA 7.1%
SAC 7.7% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.65 and 2.65.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.6%
MIA 44.4%
SAC 57.2% +12.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.4%
MIA 63.2%
SAC 66.7% +3.5%
Mid FG%
38.0%
40.2%
MIA 40.7% +6.5%
SAC 34.2%
3P %
34.7%
36.7%
MIA 20.0%
SAC 45.5% +25.5%
FT %
72.4%
75.1%
MIA 68.4%
SAC 83.3% +14.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
36.6%
MIA 22.9%
SAC 26.9% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
46.9%
MIA 71.1%
SAC 56.7% +14.4%
3P Att. %
14.1%
16.6%
MIA 6.0%
SAC 16.4% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions9288
Possession Minutes26.821.3
Points8895
Rebounds4436
Assists2419
Steals76
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)29 (2)
Field Goals37-8330-67
At-the-Rim FG12-1912-18
Midrange FG24-5913-38
2-Point FG36-7825-56
3-Point FG1-55-11
Free Throws13-1930-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
42.4
14
39%
6
5
3
0
1
4
2
4
4-4
100%
5-15
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
34.3
14
54%
4
1
0
0
2
2
4
0
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
32.2
0
0%
6
8
1
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
29.4
13
36%
2
1
1
3
1
3
0
2
3-5
60%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
13.8
8
80%
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
36.6
17
65%
11
3
0
1
3
3
1
10
2-3
67%
6-9
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
19.1
7
50%
3
4
0
0
2
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
18.6
10
50%
5
1
1
0
2
2
2
3
0-2
0%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
13.6
5
42%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
G · 6'7" · 32
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
44%
44
24
7
4
13
0
12
32
13-19
68%
36-78
46%
1-5
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.