FinalWin Prob.pScore
2825%88
98
2075%97
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.010096.1
SEA
96.99783.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SuperSonicsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

SuperSonicsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASEA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
94
0%
OT1 - 0:02.0SEAMISS Payton Running Layup98
99.8%
94
0.2%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
96.0%
94
4.0%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 297
95.2%
94
4.8%
OT1 - 0:09.0SEARadmanovic Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Barry 6 AST)97
96.4%
94
3.6%
OT1 - 0:12.0SEASUPERSONICS Rebound97
98.3%
92
1.7%
OT1 - 0:13.0SEAMISS Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.1%
92
0.9%
OT1 - 0:18.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)97
97.6%
92
2.4%
OT1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 296
97.1%
92
2.9%
OT1 - 0:18.0SEAPayton Layup (25 PTS)96
98.0%
92
2.0%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)96
98.2%
90
1.8%
OT1 - 0:25.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)95
97.9%
90
2.1%
OT1 - 0:36.0SEAPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)94
96.3%
90
3.7%
OT1 - 0:48.0SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)94
85.5%
90
14.5%
OT1 - 0:52.0SEAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
89.8%
90
10.2%
OT1 - 0:53.0SEABarry REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)94
84.0%
90
16.0%
OT1 - 0:55.0SEAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot94
89.2%
90
10.8%
OT1 - 1:00SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
82.4%
90
17.6%
OT1 - 1:03MIARadmanovic BLOCK (4 BLK)94
84.6%
90
15.4%
OT1 - 1:23SEABarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
85.9%
90
14.1%
OT1 - 1:23SEABarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
86.9%
89
13.1%
OT1 - 1:37MIAMourning Driving Layup (21 PTS)94
88.5%
88
11.5%
OT1 - 1:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
81.6%
88
18.4%
OT1 - 1:56SEAMISS Lewis 10' Jump Shot92
79.3%
88
20.7%
OT1 - 2:08SEAOyedeji REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
69.0%
88
31.0%
OT1 - 2:10SEAMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
78.0%
88
22.0%
OT1 - 2:27SEASUPERSONICS Rebound92
68.3%
88
31.7%
OT1 - 2:29MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot92
72.8%
88
27.2%
OT1 - 2:49MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
81.3%
88
18.7%
OT1 - 2:51SEAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot92
74.6%
88
25.4%
OT1 - 3:09SEABarry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
66.0%
88
34.0%
OT1 - 3:11SEAMISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
74.8%
88
25.2%
OT1 - 3:27SEALewis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)92
65.8%
88
34.2%
OT1 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
70.0%
88
30.0%
OT1 - 3:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)92
71.1%
88
28.9%
OT1 - 3:49SEAMISS Radmanovic Running Layup92
68.8%
88
31.2%
OT1 - 4:04MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)92
63.1%
88
36.9%
OT1 - 4:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)90
54.8%
88
45.2%
OT1 - 4:22SEAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot90
51.8%
88
48.2%
OT1 - 4:41MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)90
44.9%
88
55.1%
OT1 - 5:00SEAJump Ball Lewis vs. Mourning: Tip to Carter88
36.4%
88
63.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0SEAMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 286
10.1%
88
89.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0SEALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)86
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0SEALewis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)86
10.7%
87
89.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot86
15.0%
87
85.0%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHeat Rebound86
28.6%
87
71.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Carter 7' Fadeaway Jumper86
15.9%
87
84.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0SEAPayton 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Barry 5 AST)86
28.4%
87
71.6%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)86
43.2%
85
56.8%
Q4 - 1:12SEARadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
56.5%
85
43.5%
Q4 - 1:12SEARadmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
60.7%
84
39.3%
Q4 - 1:23MIAEllis Layup (8 PTS) (Mourning 4 AST)86
65.3%
83
34.7%
Q4 - 1:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
51.4%
83
48.6%
Q4 - 1:46SEAMISS Payton Layup84
47.0%
83
53.0%
Q4 - 1:58SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
38.1%
83
61.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIARadmanovic BLOCK (3 BLK)84
40.4%
83
59.6%
Q4 - 2:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
51.4%
83
48.6%
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot84
40.1%
83
59.9%
Q4 - 2:09MIAHeat Rebound84
51.4%
83
48.6%
Q4 - 2:10MIARadmanovic BLOCK (2 BLK)84
40.0%
83
60.0%
Q4 - 2:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
51.6%
83
48.4%
Q4 - 2:27SEAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
46.3%
83
53.7%
Q4 - 2:51SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
35.4%
83
64.6%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 284
37.1%
83
62.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
43.1%
83
56.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)83
39.1%
83
60.9%
Q4 - 3:11SEAMISS Baker 11' Jump Shot83
34.7%
83
65.3%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 282
23.7%
83
76.3%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)82
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot82
21.2%
83
78.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAHeat Rebound82
27.9%
83
72.1%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot82
22.8%
83
77.2%
Q4 - 4:04SEABarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
28.0%
83
72.0%
Q4 - 4:04SEABarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
29.2%
82
70.8%
Q4 - 4:06SEAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
35.7%
81
64.3%
Q4 - 4:08MIABaker BLOCK (1 BLK)82
38.5%
81
61.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
45.4%
81
54.6%
Q4 - 4:23SEAMISS Payton 13' Fadeaway Jumper82
42.4%
81
57.6%
Q4 - 4:40SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot82
38.7%
81
61.3%
Q4 - 4:58SEALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Payton 11 AST)82
45.6%
81
54.4%
Q4 - 5:19MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
58.3%
78
41.7%
Q4 - 5:30MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
50.5%
78
49.5%
Q4 - 5:32SEAMISS Payton 6' Jump Shot80
47.8%
78
52.2%
Q4 - 5:52MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)80
41.9%
78
58.1%
Q4 - 5:56MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
50.6%
78
49.4%
Q4 - 5:58SEAMISS Lewis 12' Jump Shot80
47.9%
78
52.1%
Q4 - 6:13MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T14)80
38.8%
78
61.2%
Q4 - 6:31SEAWatson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 10 AST)80
47.4%
78
52.6%
Q4 - 6:45MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)80
54.0%
76
46.0%
Q4 - 7:05SEABarry 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)78
44.8%
76
55.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)78
57.7%
73
42.3%
Q4 - 7:30MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
51.9%
73
48.1%
Q4 - 7:32SEAMISS Lewis 5' Jump Shot76
49.5%
73
50.5%
Q4 - 7:52MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)76
44.1%
73
55.9%
Q4 - 7:57MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
38.3%
73
61.7%
Q4 - 7:59SEAMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot74
36.1%
73
63.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAJackson 4' Finger Roll (6 PTS)74
31.1%
73
68.9%
Q4 - 8:37SEABarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)72
26.0%
73
74.0%
Q4 - 8:59SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
21.3%
73
78.7%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot72
22.7%
73
77.3%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q4 - 9:12SEAMISS Radmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
24.2%
73
75.8%
Q4 - 9:29MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q4 - 9:29MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
20.2%
73
79.8%
Q4 - 9:40SEALewis Layup (18 PTS)70
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q4 - 9:41SEALewis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)70
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 9:45SEAMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
24.3%
71
75.7%
Q4 - 9:52MIALewis STEAL (2 STL)70
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 10:09SEASUPERSONICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)70
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q4 - 10:35MIAGatling Layup (5 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)70
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 10:50SEAWatson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)68
17.9%
71
82.1%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T12)68
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q4 - 11:20SEASUPERSONICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)68
25.9%
69
74.1%
Q4 - 11:21SEALewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)68
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q4 - 11:23SEAMISS Lewis Jump Shot68
24.6%
69
75.4%
Q4 - 11:44SEAOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
21.7%
69
78.3%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 268
22.3%
69
77.7%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 268
24.7%
69
75.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
25.8%
69
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEABarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)68
25.8%
69
74.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
34.0%
66
66.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
33.1%
66
66.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0SEALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
29.6%
66
70.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0SEAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 266
30.5%
65
69.5%
Q3 - 0:16.0SEALewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 0:17.0SEAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
32.6%
65
67.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0SEASUPERSONICS Rebound66
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0SEAMISS Radmanovic 7' Jump Shot66
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)66
29.6%
65
70.4%
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAHeat Rebound66
34.1%
65
65.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot66
31.0%
65
69.0%
Q3 - 1:23SEAPayton 12' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)66
33.2%
65
66.8%
Q3 - 1:29SEABarry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q3 - 1:33SEAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot66
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 1:38SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot66
39.0%
63
61.0%
Q3 - 2:02SEALewis 8' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)66
40.8%
63
59.2%
Q3 - 2:21MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)66
45.0%
61
55.0%
Q3 - 2:36SEAPayton Reverse Layup (19 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)64
40.9%
61
59.1%
Q3 - 2:41MIALewis STEAL (1 STL)64
45.1%
59
54.9%
Q3 - 2:46MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 2:48SEAMISS Payton 5' Running Jump Shot64
48.6%
59
51.4%
Q3 - 3:09MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
44.4%
59
55.6%
Q3 - 3:09MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 3:16SEAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
40.2%
59
59.8%
Q3 - 3:16SEAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
40.9%
58
59.1%
Q3 - 3:17MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
44.4%
57
55.6%
Q3 - 3:17SEALong Illegal Pick Turnover (P1.T7)62
49.1%
57
50.9%
Q3 - 3:29MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
44.4%
57
55.6%
Q3 - 3:29MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
43.5%
57
56.5%
Q3 - 3:29MIAHeat Rebound60
40.2%
57
59.8%
Q3 - 3:31SEAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
38.8%
57
61.2%
Q3 - 3:51SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 260
36.3%
57
63.7%
Q3 - 3:51MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
39.1%
57
60.9%
Q3 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
36.0%
57
64.0%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMISS Ellis 5' Hook Shot59
33.0%
57
67.0%
Q3 - 4:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)59
35.1%
57
64.9%
Q3 - 4:18SEAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot59
33.7%
57
66.3%
Q3 - 4:26MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)59
30.7%
57
69.3%
Q3 - 4:43SEAPayton Driving Layup (15 PTS)59
35.1%
57
64.9%
Q3 - 4:56MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAEllis Tip Shot (6 PTS)59
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Strickland 6' Jump Shot57
32.1%
55
67.9%
Q3 - 5:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q3 - 5:04MIALewis BLOCK (2 BLK)57
31.7%
55
68.3%
Q3 - 5:22SEALewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)57
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q3 - 5:29SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
42.0%
52
58.0%
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot57
43.3%
52
56.7%
Q3 - 5:49SEARadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
46.4%
52
53.6%
Q3 - 5:49SEAMISS Radmanovic Free Throw 1 of 257
47.7%
51
52.3%
Q3 - 6:05MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)57
44.6%
51
55.4%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
41.0%
51
59.0%
Q3 - 6:17SEAMISS Booth 16' Jump Shot55
39.8%
51
60.2%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 155
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q3 - 6:38MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS)55
37.0%
51
63.0%
Q3 - 6:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot53
31.0%
51
69.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 7:02SEAMISS Booth 14' Jump Shot53
31.8%
51
68.2%
Q3 - 7:15MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)53
29.2%
51
70.8%
Q3 - 7:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
33.1%
51
66.9%
Q3 - 7:28SEAMISS Baker Free Throw 2 of 253
32.5%
51
67.5%
Q3 - 7:28SEABaker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
30.5%
51
69.5%
Q3 - 7:30SEABarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
32.6%
50
67.4%
Q3 - 7:32SEAMISS Booth 12' Jump Shot53
35.3%
50
64.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMourning 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)53
32.6%
50
67.4%
Q3 - 8:23SEALewis 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)51
29.4%
50
70.6%
Q3 - 8:29SEABarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
33.3%
48
66.7%
Q3 - 8:47SEABarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q3 - 8:47SEABarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)51
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q3 - 9:05SEABooth REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
37.9%
46
62.1%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot51
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q3 - 9:25SEABarry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)51
41.6%
46
58.4%
Q3 - 9:29SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
38.0%
46
62.0%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q3 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
41.7%
46
58.3%
Q3 - 9:48SEAMISS Baker 6' Jump Shot51
40.5%
46
59.5%
Q3 - 9:55SEASUPERSONICS Rebound51
38.0%
46
62.0%
Q3 - 9:56SEAMISS Baker Layup51
40.6%
46
59.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)51
36.7%
46
63.3%
Q3 - 10:34SEABooth 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
33.8%
46
66.2%
Q3 - 10:45SEABaker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
36.7%
44
63.3%
Q3 - 10:48MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot49
37.9%
44
62.1%
Q3 - 10:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
40.5%
44
59.5%
Q3 - 10:56SEAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
39.3%
44
60.7%
Q3 - 11:05SEALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
35.7%
44
64.3%
Q3 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot49
36.8%
44
63.2%
Q3 - 11:31SEABaker 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)49
39.2%
44
60.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
42.4%
42
57.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
46.0%
42
54.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Carter 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
42.6%
42
57.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0SEAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot49
43.5%
42
56.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0SEAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
42.0%
42
58.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0SEAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
43.6%
42
56.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
42.0%
42
58.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
41.4%
42
58.6%
Q2 - 1:07SEABarry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)47
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMourning 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)47
44.9%
39
55.1%
Q2 - 1:51SEAPayton 7' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
40.2%
39
59.8%
Q2 - 1:56SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 2:13SEAMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot45
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 2:19SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 2:21SEAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
45.2%
37
54.8%
Q2 - 2:29SEAOyedeji REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
43.3%
37
56.7%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMISS Carter Driving Layup45
44.2%
37
55.8%
Q2 - 2:35SEALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)45
46.1%
37
53.9%
Q2 - 2:50MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
43.4%
37
56.6%
Q2 - 2:50MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 244
42.3%
37
57.7%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
41.7%
37
58.3%
Q2 - 3:03SEAMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot44
40.7%
37
59.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAEllis Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)44
38.6%
37
61.4%
Q2 - 3:44SEAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Long 2 AST)44
41.9%
37
58.1%
Q2 - 4:02SEAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
45.9%
34
54.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot44
46.8%
34
53.2%
Q2 - 4:29SEAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)44
48.9%
34
51.1%
Q2 - 4:57MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)44
54.7%
31
45.3%
Q2 - 5:03SEAWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 5:15MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)42
47.8%
31
52.2%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 5:38SEAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot42
50.0%
31
50.0%
Q2 - 6:06MIAJackson 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
46.6%
31
53.4%
Q2 - 6:23SEAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)40
44.5%
31
55.5%
Q2 - 6:43MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)40
41.3%
31
58.7%
Q2 - 7:00SEARadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 7:00SEARadmanovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
40.0%
30
60.0%
Q2 - 7:00SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
41.3%
29
58.7%
Q2 - 7:00SEAMISS Radmanovic Layup38
43.5%
29
56.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIAJackson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)38
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 7:16SEARadmanovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)36
38.0%
29
62.0%
Q2 - 7:17SEARadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
35.4%
29
64.6%
Q2 - 7:20MIARadmanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)36
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 7:45MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 7:48SEAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot36
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)36
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS)35
32.6%
29
67.4%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 233
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 233
29.7%
29
70.3%
Q2 - 8:34SEALewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 8:35SEAMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 133
34.9%
27
65.1%
Q2 - 8:35SEALewis Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Drobnjak 1 AST)33
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 9:02MIAStrickland Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
36.5%
25
63.5%
Q2 - 9:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
34.4%
25
65.6%
Q2 - 9:08SEAMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot31
33.7%
25
66.3%
Q2 - 9:14SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIALewis BLOCK (1 BLK)31
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
34.5%
25
65.5%
Q2 - 9:23SEAMISS Drobnjak 5' Jump Shot31
33.7%
25
66.3%
Q2 - 9:44MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)31
32.0%
25
68.0%
Q2 - 10:03SEAPayton 3' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
28.0%
25
72.0%
Q2 - 10:09SEADrobnjak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
29.8%
23
70.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot28
30.5%
23
69.5%
Q2 - 10:40SEADrobnjak 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)28
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
34.1%
21
65.9%
Q2 - 10:53MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
33.5%
21
66.5%
Q2 - 11:16SEALewis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)26
31.2%
21
68.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAStrickland 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
33.4%
19
66.6%
Q2 - 11:47SEARadmanovic 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)24
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
35.6%
16
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Grant 79' 3PT Jump Shot24
36.3%
16
63.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
37.9%
16
62.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SEAMISS Radmanovic 7' Jump Shot24
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 0:11.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0SEALewis 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)21
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot21
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 1:05SEAMISS Drobnjak 6' Jump Shot21
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 1:29MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 1:42SEABaker Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)19
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 2:00MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS)19
33.0%
12
67.0%
Q1 - 2:13SEALewis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 2:32MIAGatling 8' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)17
28.7%
12
71.3%
Q1 - 2:51SEAPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
26.7%
12
73.3%
Q1 - 2:58MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)15
28.7%
10
71.3%
Q1 - 3:14SEABarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
30.0%
10
70.0%
Q1 - 3:14SEAMISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 215
30.3%
9
69.7%
Q1 - 3:23MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
29.8%
9
70.2%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 214
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 3:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 3:28SEAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot14
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 3:45MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)14
27.9%
9
72.1%
Q1 - 4:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
29.4%
9
70.6%
Q1 - 4:11SEAMISS Long Free Throw 2 of 214
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 4:11SEALong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
28.2%
9
71.8%
Q1 - 4:11SEALong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
29.0%
8
71.0%
Q1 - 4:13SEAMISS Barry 3' Running Layup14
30.6%
8
69.4%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
29.1%
8
70.9%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 213
28.6%
8
71.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Strickland 6' Jump Shot13
27.9%
8
72.1%
Q1 - 4:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
29.5%
8
70.5%
Q1 - 4:58SEAMISS Baker Layup13
28.8%
8
71.2%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMourning 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
26.5%
8
73.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
25.1%
8
74.9%
Q1 - 5:29SEAMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot11
24.6%
8
75.4%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 5:45MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 5:59SEABarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
22.1%
8
77.9%
Q1 - 5:59SEABarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
22.3%
7
77.7%
Q1 - 6:02MIABarry STEAL (2 STL)9
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 6:19SEALewis 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)9
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 6:25SEABarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot9
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 6:44SEAMISS Baker Free Throw 2 of 29
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 6:44SEAMISS Baker Free Throw 1 of 29
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 6:56SEASUPERSONICS Rebound9
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 7:19MIAHeat Rebound9
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 7:21SEAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot9
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 7:31SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
25.3%
4
74.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Mourning 13' Turnaround Jump Shot9
25.8%
4
74.2%
Q1 - 8:04SEAPayton 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Long 1 AST)9
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMourning Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)9
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound7
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 8:36SEAMISS Barry Driving Layup7
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 8:40MIABarry STEAL (1 STL)7
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 8:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 8:46SEAMISS Long 5' Jump Shot7
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 8:48SEALong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 8:49SEAMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot7
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 9:06MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 9:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 9:21SEAMISS Baker 6' Jump Shot5
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 9:44SEALong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 25
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 10:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:08SEAMISS Booth 18' Jump Shot4
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:20SEABaker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot4
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 10:35MIAHeat Rebound4
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 10:35SEAMISS Lewis Layup4
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:36SEALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:39SEAMISS Barry 19' Jump Shot4
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAEllis 24' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)4
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 11:23SEAPayton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Baker 1 AST)2
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 11:41MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
20.7%
0
79.3%
Q1 - 12:00SEAJump Ball Booth vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
19.4%
0
80.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
SEA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
20
65%
SEA
10
24
42%
Midrange
MIA
19
41
46%
SEA
15
42
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
SEA
8
12.0
24
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
28
42
67%
SEA
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2170%10.5 / 15
E. Jones1747%8.5 / 18
B. Grant1558%7.5 / 13
R. Strickland1563%7.5 / 12
L. Ellis840%4.0 / 10
J. Jackson840%4.0 / 10
A. Carter735%3.5 / 10
C. Gatling758%3.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SuperSonics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Payton2543%12.5 / 29
R. Lewis2252%11.0 / 21
B. Barry1864%9.0 / 14
V. Radmanovic1243%6.0 / 14
V. Baker528%2.5 / 9
E. Watson4100%2.0 / 2
S. Williams325%1.5 / 6
C. Booth220%1.0 / 5
P. Drobnjak233%1.0 / 3
A. Long125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+14
-14
100
SEA
88
+19
-9
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.97 48.5%
SEA
0.87 43.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
106.3
MIA 98.0 +1.1
SEA 96.9
Pace
89.7
91.4
MIA 96.1 +13.0
SEA 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.9
MIA 15.0 +2.3
SEA 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.5%
MIA 47.9% +6.8%
SEA 41.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.4%
MIA 14.9%
SEA 9.7% +5.2%
ORB %
26.7%
29.4%
MIA 21.6%
SEA 29.1% +7.5%
FTrt
26.8
25.0
MIA 57.5 +25.3
SEA 32.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
61.5%
MIA 55.9%
SEA 75.8% +19.9%
STL %
7.4%
9.2%
MIA 6.0% +0.8%
SEA 5.2%
BLK %
8.7%
7.0%
MIA 13.6% +2.1%
SEA 11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.6%
MIA 48.5% +5.0%
SEA 43.5%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.9%
MIA 65.0% +23.3%
SEA 41.7%
Mid FG%
38.0%
41.9%
MIA 46.3% +10.6%
SEA 35.7%
3P %
34.7%
37.8%
MIA 16.7%
SEA 33.3% +16.6%
FT %
72.4%
75.5%
MIA 66.7%
SEA 69.0% +2.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
34.0%
MIA 27.4% +0.7%
SEA 26.7%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
46.7%
MIA 56.2%
SEA 46.7% +9.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
19.3%
MIA 16.4%
SEA 26.7% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIASEA
Possessions10097
Possession Minutes25.028.0
Points9894
Rebounds4745
Assists1925
Steals65
Blocks97
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (4)29 (2)
Field Goals34-7333-90
At-the-Rim FG13-2010-24
Midrange FG19-4115-42
2-Point FG32-6125-66
3-Point FG2-128-24
Free Throws28-4220-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
45.4
17
47%
9
4
0
1
1
2
0
9
7-8
88%
2-7
29%
2-7
29%
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
41.6
21
70%
12
4
1
5
2
4
3
9
7-11
64%
7-9
78%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
34.6
7
35%
2
2
2
0
2
4
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
34.5
8
40%
5
0
0
3
2
6
2
3
0-2
0%
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
29.9
15
58%
10
1
0
0
1
2
3
7
5-7
71%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
36.1
8
40%
4
4
2
0
4
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
29.0
15
63%
2
3
1
0
2
0
0
2
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
13.8
7
58%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
G · 6'7" · 32
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
98
49%
47
19
6
9
14
0
8
39
28-42
67%
32-61
52%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.