FinalWin Prob.pScore
2817%84
83
1183%96
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
94.38895.2
LAC logo LAC
97.88982.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
Q4 - 0:00.0LAC83
0%
87
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)83
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)83
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0LACBrand REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)83
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Jackson 7' Jump Shot83
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAHeat Rebound83
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0LACMISS Odom 18' Jump Shot83
8.3%
85
91.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)83
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 282
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 0:52.0LACRichardson Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)82
8.8%
85
91.2%
Q4 - 1:11LACBrand REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)82
14.6%
83
85.4%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot82
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 1:24LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)82
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 1:24LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
14.4%
83
85.6%
Q4 - 1:25LACMISS Olowokandi Layup82
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q4 - 1:49MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)82
15.5%
83
84.5%
Q4 - 1:49MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)81
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 2:07LACOdom Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)80
11.0%
83
89.0%
Q4 - 2:07LACOdom Driving Layup (12 PTS) (McInnis 9 AST)80
16.5%
82
83.5%
Q4 - 2:10LACBrand REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)80
20.8%
80
79.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot80
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q4 - 2:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
33.6%
80
66.4%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q4 - 2:39LACOdom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
33.7%
80
66.3%
Q4 - 2:39LACOdom Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)80
33.7%
80
66.3%
Q4 - 2:43LACMISS McInnis Driving Layup80
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q4 - 2:50LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
39.1%
78
60.9%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Gatling 3PT Jump Shot80
43.5%
78
56.5%
Q4 - 3:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
53.7%
78
46.3%
Q4 - 3:05LACMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
49.2%
78
50.8%
Q4 - 3:24MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)80
38.5%
78
61.5%
Q4 - 3:42MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q4 - 3:44LACMISS Odom 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
27.6%
78
72.4%
Q4 - 3:55LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
22.6%
78
77.4%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot78
24.8%
78
75.2%
Q4 - 4:05MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
30.3%
78
69.7%
Q4 - 4:06MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot78
24.8%
78
75.2%
Q4 - 4:22LACOdom 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McInnis 8 AST)78
30.5%
78
69.5%
Q4 - 4:30LACBrand REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)78
38.5%
76
61.5%
Q4 - 4:31LACMISS Odom 8' Jump Shot78
45.4%
76
54.6%
Q4 - 4:47MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T8)78
38.6%
76
61.4%
Q4 - 4:48MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)78
48.6%
76
51.4%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot78
41.6%
76
58.4%
Q4 - 5:04LACBrand Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T16)78
43.2%
76
56.8%
Q4 - 5:21LACBrand REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)78
35.1%
76
64.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot78
37.5%
76
62.5%
Q4 - 5:39LACBrand 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)78
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q4 - 5:51MIAGatling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)78
51.6%
74
48.4%
Q4 - 6:08MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
54.8%
74
45.2%
Q4 - 6:10LACMISS Rooks 19' Jump Shot78
52.2%
74
47.8%
Q4 - 6:28MIACarter 17' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
46.4%
74
53.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAHeat Rebound76
40.0%
74
60.0%
Q4 - 6:39MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot76
34.4%
74
65.6%
Q4 - 6:57LACMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)76
40.1%
74
59.9%
Q4 - 7:08LACBrand REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)76
30.3%
74
69.7%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 276
31.2%
74
68.8%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)76
34.9%
74
65.1%
Q4 - 7:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
31.0%
74
69.0%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot75
26.6%
74
73.4%
Q4 - 7:34LACBrand Layup (19 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)75
31.1%
74
68.9%
Q4 - 7:38LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
36.5%
72
63.5%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)75
38.8%
72
61.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
44.1%
72
55.9%
Q4 - 7:59LACMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
41.8%
72
58.2%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
35.5%
72
64.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 274
34.0%
72
66.0%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
35.6%
72
64.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup74
31.5%
72
68.5%
Q4 - 8:49LACBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)74
35.6%
72
64.4%
Q4 - 9:03LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
28.4%
72
71.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIAMISS Gatling 9' Hook Shot74
30.0%
72
70.0%
Q4 - 9:27LACRichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Olowokandi 2 AST)74
33.9%
72
66.1%
Q4 - 9:28LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
45.1%
69
54.9%
Q4 - 9:31LACMISS Brand 5' Jump Shot74
49.5%
69
50.5%
Q4 - 9:44MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)74
45.2%
69
54.8%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 273
44.0%
69
56.0%
Q4 - 10:04LACBrand 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
43.6%
69
56.4%
Q4 - 10:23MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)73
48.9%
67
51.1%
Q4 - 10:36LACBrand Foul Turnover (P4.T13)71
43.7%
67
56.3%
Q4 - 10:42LACOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
37.8%
67
62.2%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Gatling 14' Jump Shot71
39.6%
67
60.4%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
43.7%
67
56.3%
Q4 - 11:00LACMISS Olowokandi 10' Jump Shot71
41.9%
67
58.1%
Q4 - 11:13LACCLIPPERS Rebound71
37.4%
67
62.6%
Q4 - 11:14LACMISS Brand 8' Hook Shot71
41.1%
67
58.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)71
37.4%
67
62.6%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 270
35.6%
67
64.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAC70
37.6%
67
62.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMack 29' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
32.4%
67
67.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
23.1%
67
76.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0LACMISS McInnis 11' Jump Shot67
22.0%
67
78.0%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMack Lane Violation Turnover (P1.T6)67
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
22.3%
67
77.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0LACMcInnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)66
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0LACMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
16.7%
67
83.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot66
17.6%
67
82.4%
Q3 - 1:07MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 1:10LACMISS Maggette 7' Running Jump Shot66
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 1:26MIAStrickland 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)66
16.3%
67
83.7%
Q3 - 1:43LACMcInnis 14' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)64
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 2:02LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
15.9%
65
84.1%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 264
16.3%
65
83.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
17.9%
65
82.1%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Mourning Reverse Layup63
14.3%
65
85.7%
Q3 - 2:21LACRichardson Driving Layup (14 PTS)63
16.1%
65
83.9%
Q3 - 2:33LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
18.6%
63
81.4%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 263
19.0%
63
81.0%
Q3 - 2:34MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 2:51LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
18.9%
63
81.1%
Q3 - 2:51LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)62
21.5%
61
78.5%
Q3 - 3:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 3:26LACMISS Richardson 8' Jump Shot60
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 3:38LACMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
16.1%
61
83.9%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 260
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 3:41MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)60
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 3:48LACBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)59
16.2%
61
83.8%
Q3 - 4:03MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)59
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 4:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 4:20LACMISS McInnis 14' Jump Shot59
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q3 - 4:25LACBrand REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)59
13.4%
61
86.6%
Q3 - 4:28MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot59
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q3 - 4:48LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 4:48LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
16.4%
60
83.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAGrant 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)59
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q3 - 5:25LACRichardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McInnis 7 AST)57
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 5:43LACCLIPPERS Rebound57
20.5%
56
79.5%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Gatling 12' Jump Shot57
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q3 - 5:52MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
23.7%
56
76.3%
Q3 - 5:54LACMISS Maggette 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
22.7%
56
77.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIAJackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)57
20.1%
56
79.9%
Q3 - 6:38LACOlowokandi Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q3 - 6:38LACOlowokandi Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
16.2%
55
83.8%
Q3 - 6:53LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
17.7%
54
82.3%
Q3 - 6:56MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (6 BLK)54
18.4%
54
81.6%
Q3 - 7:15LACMaggette Reverse Layup (6 PTS)54
20.1%
54
79.9%
Q3 - 7:18LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
22.3%
52
77.7%
Q3 - 7:22MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (5 BLK)54
23.2%
52
76.8%
Q3 - 7:53LACOlowokandi Dunk (9 PTS)54
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q3 - 7:53LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
28.1%
50
71.9%
Q3 - 7:55LACMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q3 - 8:20MIAEllis 5' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)54
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q3 - 8:39LACOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
25.0%
50
75.0%
Q3 - 8:39LACOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q3 - 8:42LACCLIPPERS Rebound52
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q3 - 8:43LACMISS Odom Driving Dunk52
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMourning 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)52
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q3 - 9:14LACOdom 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
23.8%
48
76.2%
Q3 - 9:34MIAJackson Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)50
26.5%
46
73.5%
Q3 - 9:38LACOdom Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)48
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q3 - 9:54LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot48
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q3 - 10:21LACOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)48
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q3 - 10:26LACBrand REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)48
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q3 - 10:28LACMISS McInnis 8' Jump Shot48
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q3 - 10:30LACBrand REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)48
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q3 - 10:33LACMISS Odom 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
22.2%
46
77.8%
Q3 - 10:46LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)48
20.4%
46
79.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot48
21.2%
46
78.8%
Q3 - 11:11LACOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)48
22.1%
46
77.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)48
19.7%
46
80.3%
Q3 - 11:37LACOlowokandi 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)46
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAC46
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LACCLIPPERS Rebound46
15.7%
46
84.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0LACMISS Brand Jump Shot46
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0LACBrand REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)46
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0LACMISS McInnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0LACMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Mack 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0LACRichardson Driving Layup (9 PTS) (McInnis 6 AST)46
17.3%
46
82.7%
Q2 - 0:41.0LACMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot46
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0LACRooks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)46
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 1:15MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)46
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 1:19MIAMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q2 - 1:22LACMISS Brand 14' Jump Shot44
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
16.2%
44
83.8%
Q2 - 1:29MIAMack Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q2 - 1:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
13.7%
44
86.3%
Q2 - 1:37LACMISS Rooks 17' Jump Shot42
13.5%
44
86.5%
Q2 - 1:51MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
13.0%
44
87.0%
Q2 - 2:02LACRooks Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 2:02LACMISS Rooks Free Throw 1 of 242
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 2:16LACBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
14.1%
43
85.9%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS Grant 8' Hook Shot42
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 2:38LACRichardson 7' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)42
15.6%
43
84.4%
Q2 - 2:56MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)42
17.5%
41
82.5%
Q2 - 2:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot40
14.6%
41
85.4%
Q2 - 3:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)40
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIABrand BLOCK (2 BLK)40
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 3:13MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIAMISS Mack 15' Jump Shot40
14.2%
41
85.8%
Q2 - 3:31LACMcInnis 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
15.4%
41
84.6%
Q2 - 3:58MIAJackson 16' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)40
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 4:12LACBrand Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (McInnis 5 AST)38
14.9%
39
85.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMack Tip Shot (2 PTS)38
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 236
13.7%
37
86.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 236
14.6%
37
85.4%
Q2 - 4:49LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)36
15.0%
37
85.0%
Q2 - 4:49LACBrand Layup (10 PTS)36
16.5%
36
83.5%
Q2 - 4:50LACBrand REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
18.1%
34
81.9%
Q2 - 4:52LACMISS Richardson 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
19.4%
34
80.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJackson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
17.7%
34
82.3%
Q2 - 5:36LACRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Olowokandi 1 AST)34
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 5:52LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot34
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
21.1%
31
78.9%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Mack 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 6:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 6:16LACMISS Olowokandi 10' Jump Shot34
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 6:32MIAJackson 8' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)34
19.0%
31
81.0%
Q2 - 6:43LACOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)32
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 6:58LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot32
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 7:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
17.4%
31
82.6%
Q2 - 7:18LACMISS Brand 6' Jump Shot32
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q2 - 7:37MIAGatling Layup (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)32
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 7:56LACBrand Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 8:10LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Gatling Layup30
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 8:36LACRichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 8:36LACRichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
14.8%
30
85.2%
Q2 - 8:37LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
15.7%
29
84.3%
Q2 - 8:39LACMISS Boykins 21' Jump Shot30
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q2 - 9:02MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)30
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q2 - 9:02MIAGatling Layup (7 PTS)29
14.2%
29
85.8%
Q2 - 9:02MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot27
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 9:21LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 227
13.0%
29
87.0%
Q2 - 9:21LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 227
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMiles STEAL (1 STL)27
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q2 - 9:44LACRooks 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McInnis 4 AST)27
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)27
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)26
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q2 - 10:13MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q2 - 10:15LACMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot25
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 10:30LACRooks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.0%
27
88.0%
Q2 - 10:33MIAMISS Gatling 8' Jump Shot25
12.4%
27
87.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.2%
27
86.8%
Q2 - 10:46LACMISS McInnis 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMourning Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)25
11.8%
27
88.2%
Q2 - 11:20LACMiles Layup (2 PTS)23
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q2 - 11:29LACCLIPPERS Rebound23
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q2 - 11:30LACMISS Miles 10' Jump Shot23
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q2 - 11:35LACRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot23
12.1%
25
87.9%
Q2 - 11:47MIAHeat Rebound23
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q2 - 11:47LACMISS Rooks 20' Jump Shot23
12.6%
25
87.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
11.8%
25
88.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
12.9%
25
87.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0LACMISS Richardson 10' Jump Shot23
12.4%
25
87.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
11.9%
25
88.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 222
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
11.6%
25
88.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0LACMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot22
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 221
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 1:06LACOlowokandi Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 1:06LACMISS Olowokandi Free Throw 1 of 221
11.0%
24
89.0%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)21
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q1 - 1:39LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 118
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 1:39LACMaggette Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (McInnis 3 AST)18
9.0%
24
91.0%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMaggette STEAL (1 STL)18
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q1 - 2:06LACOlowokandi 3' Layup (6 PTS) (McInnis 2 AST)18
10.8%
22
89.2%
Q1 - 2:18LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
11.8%
20
88.2%
Q1 - 2:20LACMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 2:36LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
11.8%
20
88.2%
Q1 - 2:39LACMISS Brand 5' Jump Shot18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q1 - 2:43LACOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
11.8%
20
88.2%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Gatling 6' Jump Shot18
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 3:04LACMcInnis Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)18
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q1 - 3:06LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 3:08MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (4 BLK)18
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 3:26LACBrand Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (McInnis 1 AST)18
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 3:28LACMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
15.8%
16
84.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (3 BLK)18
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 3:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 3:32MIAMISS Ellis 4' Jump Shot18
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 3:44MIAHeat Rebound18
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Grant Layup18
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 3:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 3:51MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (2 BLK)18
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 4:18LACOlowokandi 5' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)18
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 4:40MIAGatling 9' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)18
17.8%
14
82.2%
Q1 - 4:56LACBrand Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 5:11MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 5:29LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
14.0%
14
86.0%
Q1 - 5:29LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 5:43MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
15.0%
12
85.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
14.7%
12
85.3%
Q1 - 5:44MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Ellis 7' Hook Shot12
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 5:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 5:58LACMISS Olowokandi 10' Jump Shot12
13.7%
12
86.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 3 AST)12
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 6:33LACMaggette Layup (2 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)9
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMcInnis STEAL (1 STL)9
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 6:57LACMaggette Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 7:06MIAEllis Driving Dunk (2 PTS)9
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 7:09MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot7
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 7:33LACOdom Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 7:40LACOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot7
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 7:52MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
11.1%
10
88.9%
Q1 - 7:54LACMISS Maggette 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
10.8%
10
89.2%
Q1 - 8:05LACOlowokandi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10.1%
10
89.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot7
10.3%
10
89.7%
Q1 - 8:28LACBrand 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)7
10.9%
10
89.1%
Q1 - 8:40LACOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
11.6%
8
88.4%
Q1 - 8:42MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)7
11.8%
8
88.2%
Q1 - 9:03LACBrand 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
12.4%
8
87.6%
Q1 - 9:15LACOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot7
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:22MIAHeat Rebound7
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 9:22MIAOlowokandi BLOCK (1 BLK)7
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:40LACMcInnis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)7
14.1%
6
85.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 2 AST)7
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:13LACOdom Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)5
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 10:24LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 10:28LACMISS Maggette Layup5
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMourning Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)5
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 10:45LACMISS McInnis 13' Jump Shot3
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:47LACMcInnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Mourning Reverse Layup3
13.3%
2
86.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:04LACMISS Olowokandi 7' Jump Shot3
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 11:14LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMISS Carter 9' Jump Shot3
13.2%
2
86.8%
Q1 - 11:27LACOlowokandi 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMourning Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Olowokandi vs. Mourning: Tip to Grant0
12.9%
0
87.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 41.9%
LAC
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
21
52%
LAC
18
25
72%
Midrange
MIA
14
50
28%
LAC
12
35
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
LAC
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
21
33
64%
LAC
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2153%10.5 / 20
J. Jackson1450%7.0 / 14
C. Gatling1341%6.5 / 16
L. Ellis829%4.0 / 14
B. Grant836%4.0 / 11
R. Strickland744%3.5 / 8
S. Mack758%3.5 / 6
A. Carter325%1.5 / 6
E. House233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Brand2364%11.5 / 18
Q. Richardson1968%9.5 / 14
L. Odom1346%6.5 / 14
M. Olowokandi1150%5.5 / 11
J. McInnis836%4.0 / 11
C. Maggette840%4.0 / 10
S. Rooks330%1.5 / 5
D. Miles250%1.0 / 2
E. Boykins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+19
-8
99
LAC
73
+17
-16
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 41.9%
LAC
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
103.0
MIA 94.3
LAC 97.8 +3.4
Pace
89.7
92.4
MIA 95.2 +12.5
LAC 82.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.8
MIA 15.1 +2.3
LAC 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.6%
MIA 38.3%
LAC 46.6% +8.3%
TO %
15.5%
15.1%
MIA 7.7% +9.1%
LAC 16.8%
ORB %
26.7%
31.3%
MIA 30.2%
LAC 35.1% +4.9%
FTrt
26.8
30.4
MIA 40.7 +9.6
LAC 31.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
57.7%
MIA 62.1%
LAC 63.6% +1.5%
STL %
7.4%
6.7%
MIA 6.8% +3.4%
LAC 3.4%
BLK %
8.7%
9.4%
MIA 3.3%
LAC 12.7% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.5%
MIA 41.9%
LAC 47.8% +5.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
59.3%
MIA 52.4%
LAC 72.0% +19.6%
Mid FG%
38.0%
38.7%
MIA 28.0%
LAC 34.3% +6.3%
3P %
34.7%
35.6%
MIA 40.0% +18.6%
LAC 21.4%
FT %
72.4%
73.9%
MIA 63.6%
LAC 78.3% +14.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
31.0%
MIA 25.9%
LAC 33.8% +7.9%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
51.8%
MIA 61.7%
LAC 47.3% +14.4%
3P Att. %
14.1%
17.2%
MIA 12.3%
LAC 18.9% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points8387
Rebounds4050
Assists1821
Steals63
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)37 (1)
Field Goals29-8133-74
At-the-Rim FG11-2118-25
Midrange FG14-5012-35
2-Point FG25-7130-60
3-Point FG4-103-14
Free Throws21-3318-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
33.0
8
29%
7
2
0
0
1
6
5
2
1-4
25%
2-10
20%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
32.9
8
36%
9
1
0
0
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
30.3
21
53%
7
0
0
2
0
3
3
4
7-11
64%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
22.3
3
25%
4
3
2
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
8.9
2
33%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
40.9
14
50%
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
33%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" · 34
27.6
13
41%
5
1
1
0
2
4
2
3
7-10
70%
3-10
30%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
25.0
7
44%
0
5
0
0
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" · 32
19.1
7
58%
4
1
2
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 30
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
42%
40
18
6
2
8
0
16
24
21-33
64%
25-71
35%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.