FinalWin Prob.pScore
1634%97
96
1566%102
104
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
99.09795.7
IND logo IND
100.0104105.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND96
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)96
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMiller STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 295
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENVan Exel 7' Running Jump Shot (29 PTS)95
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0INDRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)93
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDFoster 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)93
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup93
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 1:22INDRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)93
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 1:22DENMISS Lenard Free Throw 2 of 293
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 1:22DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)93
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 1:32INDTinsley Foul Turnover (P5.T14)92
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 1:55INDPACERS Rebound92
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 1:55DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.2%
100
98.8%
Q4 - 2:09DENNuggets Rebound92
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q4 - 2:11INDMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot92
1.7%
100
98.3%
Q4 - 2:28DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)92
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 2:28DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)91
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 2:35DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 2:36INDMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 2:51DENLenard 4' Finger Roll (19 PTS)90
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 3:10INDO'Neal 3' Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Tinsley 16 AST)88
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 3:13INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 3:15DENTinsley BLOCK (1 BLK)88
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 3:30DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)88
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 3:31INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 288
1.9%
98
98.1%
Q4 - 3:31INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 288
1.5%
98
98.5%
Q4 - 3:47DENVan Exel 10' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Scott 2 AST)88
1.3%
98
98.7%
Q4 - 4:12INDRose 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS) (Tinsley 15 AST)86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 4:24DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 4:24DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:42INDRose 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)84
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:59INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)84
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 4:59INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 284
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 4:59INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)84
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 5:07INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)84
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 5:10DENMISS Van Exel 10' Jump Shot84
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q4 - 5:18INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)84
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 5:41DENLaFrentz 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Van Exel 10 AST)84
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 5:56INDMiller 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Tinsley 14 AST)82
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 6:16DENLenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 6:32DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 6:33INDMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot79
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 6:47INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot79
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 7:08DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 7:08DENLaFrentz 2' Tip Shot (11 PTS)79
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 7:10DENMISS LaFrentz Jump Shot77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 7:11DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)77
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 7:13DENMISS Van Exel 8' Jump Shot77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 7:19INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)77
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 7:23DENHarrington STEAL (1 STL)77
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:42DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 7:44INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot77
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 7:49INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:52DENMISS Van Exel 10' Jump Shot77
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 8:03DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 8:06INDMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 8:13INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 8:15DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot77
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 8:30INDBender 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tinsley 13 AST)77
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 8:51DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)77
2.2%
89
97.8%
Q4 - 9:07INDHarrington Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)75
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:15INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 9:17DENMISS Scott 5' Jump Shot75
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 9:35INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)75
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 9:39INDRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 9:41INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot75
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 10:04DENLenard 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)75
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 10:27INDCroshere 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)73
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:33INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 10:36DENMISS Van Exel 4' Jump Shot73
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 10:44DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 10:45INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 11:02DENLenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)73
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 11:25INDBender 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 11:41DENBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)70
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 11:44DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 11:46INDMISS Croshere 6' Jump Shot70
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot70
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)70
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENScott 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)69
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDBender 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)67
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 1:01DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot67
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 1:21INDRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)67
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:24INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 1:26DENCroshere BLOCK (1 BLK)67
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 1:45INDHarrington 2' Reverse Dunk (18 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)67
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:48INDRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:50DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 2:08INDRose 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)67
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 2:24INDPACERS Rebound67
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 2:26DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot67
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 2:44INDO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)67
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 2:52INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q3 - 2:55DENO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)67
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q3 - 3:19DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 3:23DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot67
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q3 - 3:26DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 3:28DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q3 - 3:31DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 3:34INDMISS O'Neal 5' Jump Shot67
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 3:53DENVan Exel 10' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)67
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 4:03INDMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)65
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 4:03DENHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)65
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 4:24INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 12 AST)65
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 4:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 4:28INDMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot65
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 4:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q3 - 4:35DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 4:46DENNuggets Rebound65
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 4:47DENO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)65
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 4:57DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
10.6%
74
89.4%
Q3 - 4:59INDMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot65
10.1%
74
89.9%
Q3 - 5:12DENMcCloud 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)65
9.4%
74
90.6%
Q3 - 5:31INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)63
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 5:40DENFoster STEAL (1 STL)63
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 5:48DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 5:50INDMISS Foster 15' Jump Shot63
7.8%
74
92.2%
Q3 - 6:01INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 6:03DENMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot63
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 6:11DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 6:13INDMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot63
8.2%
74
91.8%
Q3 - 6:18INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 6:20DENMISS LaFrentz 12' Jump Shot63
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 6:37INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q3 - 6:37INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 6:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 6:42DENO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)63
10.3%
72
89.7%
Q3 - 7:01DENNuggets Rebound63
11.8%
72
88.2%
Q3 - 7:02INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot63
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 7:20DENLaFrentz 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)63
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q3 - 7:40INDO'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 7:48INDRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot61
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 7:52DENNuggets Rebound61
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 7:54DENMISS McCloud 19' Jump Shot61
10.6%
70
89.4%
Q3 - 8:16INDO'Neal 1' Follow Up Dunk (16 PTS)61
12.1%
70
87.9%
Q3 - 8:17INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)61
13.6%
68
86.4%
Q3 - 8:19INDMISS Foster 14' Jump Shot61
15.0%
68
85.0%
Q3 - 8:48DENVan Exel 7' Jump Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)61
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 9:17INDFoster 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)59
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 9:35DENVan Exel 12' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)59
13.8%
66
86.2%
Q3 - 9:53DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 9:54INDMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 257
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 9:54INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
10.8%
66
89.2%
Q3 - 10:09DENVan Exel 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
12.3%
65
87.7%
Q3 - 10:14DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 10:16INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot55
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 10:17INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 10:19INDMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot55
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 10:31INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Williams 4' Jump Shot55
10.0%
65
90.0%
Q3 - 10:46DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 10:48INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot55
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 11:12DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 11:12DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
9.5%
65
90.5%
Q3 - 11:26INDO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Tinsley 11 AST)53
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 11:45DENVan Exel 4' Layup (15 PTS)53
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND51
8.7%
63
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
7.6%
63
92.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
8.8%
63
91.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
8.3%
63
91.7%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 251
8.4%
63
91.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
9.1%
63
90.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)50
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0INDRose 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)50
9.0%
62
91.0%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)50
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
11.5%
60
88.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot50
11.2%
60
88.8%
Q2 - 1:02DENBowen 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)50
11.1%
60
88.9%
Q2 - 1:22INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)48
9.3%
60
90.7%
Q2 - 1:47DENLaFrentz 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)48
12.4%
57
87.6%
Q2 - 2:02INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P2.T6)46
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q2 - 2:14INDPACERS Rebound46
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q2 - 2:14DENO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)46
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q2 - 2:16DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q2 - 2:18DENMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot46
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q2 - 2:29INDO'Neal 2' Layup (12 PTS)46
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q2 - 2:31INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 2:33INDMISS Tinsley 20' Jump Shot46
13.4%
55
86.6%
Q2 - 2:51DENVan Exel 12' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)46
12.5%
55
87.5%
Q2 - 3:04DENNuggets Rebound44
11.6%
55
88.4%
Q2 - 3:05INDMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot44
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q2 - 3:21DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
10.3%
55
89.7%
Q2 - 3:21DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
10.2%
55
89.8%
Q2 - 3:29DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 3:30INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot42
9.0%
55
91.0%
Q2 - 3:39INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q2 - 3:41DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot42
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q2 - 3:58INDMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)42
9.4%
55
90.6%
Q2 - 4:10DENMcCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)42
10.7%
53
89.3%
Q2 - 4:28DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 4:29INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot39
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q2 - 4:38INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot39
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 5:00INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)39
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q2 - 5:15DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
9.8%
51
90.2%
Q2 - 5:15DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 5:25INDBender Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)37
8.9%
51
91.1%
Q2 - 5:25INDBender 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)37
9.9%
50
90.1%
Q2 - 5:43DENMcCloud Free Throw 3 of 3 (4 PTS)37
10.8%
48
89.2%
Q2 - 5:43DENMISS McCloud Free Throw 2 of 336
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 5:43DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)36
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 5:59INDCroshere 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)35
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 6:03INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 6:05DENHarrington BLOCK (2 BLK)35
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 6:06DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 6:07DENMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot35
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 6:28INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)35
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q2 - 6:28INDHarrington 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)35
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 6:43INDPACERS Rebound35
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 6:44DENMISS Scott 3' Layup35
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 7:07INDHarrington 5' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)35
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 7:08INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 7:10INDMISS Croshere 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
19.5%
41
80.5%
Q2 - 7:21DENLaFrentz 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)35
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 7:39INDTinsley 10' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)33
16.9%
41
83.1%
Q2 - 7:58DENVan Exel 3' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)33
18.3%
39
81.7%
Q2 - 8:13INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)31
17.0%
39
83.0%
Q2 - 8:24DENJohnson 3' Running Layup (2 PTS)31
15.4%
39
84.6%
Q2 - 8:42INDTinsley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 8:47INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
15.4%
37
84.6%
Q2 - 8:50DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 9:02INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
17.2%
37
82.8%
Q2 - 9:02INDCroshere 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)29
18.6%
36
81.4%
Q2 - 9:20DENScott 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)29
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q2 - 9:30INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)27
18.6%
34
81.4%
Q2 - 9:30INDHarrington 2' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)27
20.2%
33
79.8%
Q2 - 9:33INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 9:34DENMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot27
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 9:50INDHarrington 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)27
23.7%
31
76.3%
Q2 - 9:59DENLenard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
25.3%
29
74.7%
Q2 - 9:59DENLenard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
24.8%
29
75.2%
Q2 - 10:18INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q2 - 10:22INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
21.8%
29
78.2%
Q2 - 10:24DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot25
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q2 - 10:41INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)25
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q2 - 10:41INDHarrington 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)25
25.6%
28
74.4%
Q2 - 10:51DENLenard Backcourt Turnover (P1.T4)25
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 11:04DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29.1%
26
70.9%
Q2 - 11:06INDMISS Brewer 5' Jump Shot25
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q2 - 11:22DENScott 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)25
27.2%
26
72.8%
Q2 - 11:35DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q2 - 11:37INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot23
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q2 - 11:53DENJohnson Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)23
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound23
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Bender 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
24.8%
26
75.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)23
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENBender BLOCK (1 BLK)23
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot23
24.6%
26
75.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0INDBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 0:33.0DENMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot23
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENNuggets Rebound23
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)23
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDRose 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)23
25.0%
26
75.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
27.3%
24
72.7%
Q1 - 1:02DENMISS Hamilton 4' Jump Shot23
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 1:09DENNuggets Rebound23
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 1:10DENMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot23
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 1:28INDO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)23
28.8%
24
71.2%
Q1 - 1:30INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 1:33INDMISS Bender 7' Jump Shot23
32.3%
22
67.7%
Q1 - 1:46INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 1:47DENMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot23
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 2:00INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 2:00INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 223
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 2:19DENVan Exel 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)23
33.1%
21
66.9%
Q1 - 2:26DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 2:27INDMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot21
30.4%
21
69.6%
Q1 - 2:40DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q1 - 2:40DENWilliams 2' Layup (5 PTS)21
29.1%
21
70.9%
Q1 - 2:42DENMISS Lenard 5' Jump Shot19
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q1 - 2:58INDRose 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)19
27.1%
21
72.9%
Q1 - 3:17DENLenard 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)19
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 3:28INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:28INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
27.6%
18
72.4%
Q1 - 3:36DENWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
28.8%
17
71.2%
Q1 - 3:36DENWilliams 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)16
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 3:52INDO'Neal 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)14
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 3:58INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
27.0%
15
73.0%
Q1 - 4:00DENMISS McCloud 19' Jump Shot14
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 4:14DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 4:15INDMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot14
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 4:31INDRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
26.7%
15
73.3%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot14
27.3%
15
72.7%
Q1 - 4:52INDO'Neal 2' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
28.8%
15
71.2%
Q1 - 4:53INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 4:55INDMISS O'Neal 3' Dunk14
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 4:59INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 5:03DENMISS McCloud 3' Layup14
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 5:04DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 5:06DENMISS McCloud 16' Jump Shot14
30.6%
13
69.4%
Q1 - 5:09INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
31.9%
13
68.1%
Q1 - 5:12INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 5:14INDMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot14
31.4%
13
68.6%
Q1 - 5:29DENLenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 5:42INDRose 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)11
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 6:01DENVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
28.1%
11
71.9%
Q1 - 6:12INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 6:12INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
27.0%
10
73.0%
Q1 - 6:17INDPACERS Rebound9
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 6:17INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot9
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 6:33DENMcCloud 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)9
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 6:50INDRose 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
26.6%
9
73.4%
Q1 - 6:53INDRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
28.1%
7
71.9%
Q1 - 6:56INDMISS Miller Layup7
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 7:03DENScott 1' Layup (2 PTS)7
27.9%
7
72.1%
Q1 - 7:05DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 7:07DENMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot5
25.4%
7
74.6%
Q1 - 7:19INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)5
26.6%
7
73.4%
Q1 - 7:19INDPACERS Rebound5
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 7:19INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
26.1%
7
73.9%
Q1 - 7:48DENPosey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)5
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 8:12DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:14INDMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot3
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 8:33INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 8:37DENMISS McCloud 20' Jump Shot3
22.6%
7
77.4%
Q1 - 8:45DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 8:48INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot3
23.2%
7
76.8%
Q1 - 8:55INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
22.2%
7
77.8%
Q1 - 8:57DENMISS Posey 16' Jump Shot3
22.7%
7
77.3%
Q1 - 9:17INDRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
23.6%
7
76.4%
Q1 - 9:17INDRose 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 9:22INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 9:25DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
26.6%
4
73.4%
Q1 - 9:42INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
28.0%
4
72.0%
Q1 - 9:45INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 9:47DENMISS LaFrentz 19' Jump Shot3
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 10:06INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 10:06INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
28.2%
3
71.8%
Q1 - 10:21INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 10:23DENMISS Posey 17' Jump Shot3
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 10:40INDMiller 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)3
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:42DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 10:47DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 10:48INDMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot3
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 10:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 10:59DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 23
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 10:59DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
33.7%
0
66.3%
Q1 - 11:06DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:08INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot2
31.7%
0
68.3%
Q1 - 11:22DENVan Exel 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
30.7%
0
69.3%
Q1 - 11:37DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 11:39INDMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Tinsley0
27.7%
0
72.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.93 46.6%
IND
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
32
59%
IND
23
30
77%
Midrange
DEN
13
42
31%
IND
16
47
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
IND
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
DEN
20
25
80%
IND
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel3050%15.0 / 30
V. Lenard2067%10.0 / 15
R. LaFrentz1343%6.5 / 15
G. McCloud1142%5.5 / 13
S. Scott964%4.5 / 7
S. Williams528%2.5 / 9
J. Posey429%2.0 / 7
R. Bowen2100%1.0 / 1
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
Z. Hamilton0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose2550%12.5 / 25
J. O'Neal2357%11.5 / 20
A. Harrington1856%9.0 / 16
R. Miller1139%5.5 / 14
J. Bender964%4.5 / 7
J. Tinsley750%3.5 / 7
A. Croshere744%3.5 / 8
J. Foster440%2.0 / 5
J. Brewer0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
88
+14
-9
102
IND
90
+17
-14
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.93 46.6%
IND
0.97 48.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
101.3
DEN 99.0 +1.0
IND 100.0
Pace
92.1
94.6
DEN 95.7
IND 105.4 +9.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.1
DEN 15.0
IND 13.7 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
47.7%
DEN 43.2%
IND 48.8% +5.6%
TO %
14.9%
15.2%
DEN 9.2% +4.1%
IND 13.3%
ORB %
30.7%
27.0%
DEN 20.8%
IND 32.6% +11.8%
FTrt
25.6
32.8
DEN 28.4
IND 31.4 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
64.2%
DEN 55.6%
IND 73.2% +17.6%
STL %
8.0%
8.4%
DEN 6.2% +3.3%
IND 2.9%
BLK %
8.6%
7.8%
DEN 6.5%
IND 12.2% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
50.1%
DEN 46.6%
IND 48.6% +2.0%
Rim FG%
55.5%
58.6%
DEN 59.4%
IND 76.7% +17.3%
Mid FG%
36.9%
40.1%
DEN 31.0%
IND 34.0% +3.0%
3P %
32.9%
33.9%
DEN 28.6% +6.4%
IND 22.2%
FT %
74.4%
77.2%
DEN 80.0% +5.9%
IND 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
30.5%
DEN 36.4% +1.5%
IND 34.9%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
51.4%
DEN 47.7% +6.9%
IND 54.7%
3P Att. %
18.7%
18.2%
DEN 15.9% +5.4%
IND 10.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENIND
Possessions97104
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points96104
Rebounds3952
Assists2030
Steals63
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)38 (4)
Field Goals36-8841-86
At-the-Rim FG19-3223-30
Midrange FG13-4216-47
2-Point FG32-7439-77
3-Point FG4-142-9
Free Throws20-2520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
43.5
30
50%
0
10
1
0
0
3
0
0
6-8
75%
12-22
55%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 35
38.1
11
42%
9
2
2
0
2
2
1
8
4-5
80%
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 240 · 26
35.6
13
43%
12
1
1
3
0
3
4
8
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" · 29
23.5
9
64%
4
2
0
0
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
22.6
4
29%
3
1
0
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 29
22.4
20
67%
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
14.4
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 34
14.4
5
28%
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30
10.0
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
7.5
2
100%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 170 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
47%
39
20
6
5
9
0
10
29
20-25
80%
32-74
43%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.