FinalWin Prob.pScore
2862%89
72
2938%86
78
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
83.78678.9
CHI logo CHI
87.68997.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI72
0%
78
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)72
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHIMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)72
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIBULLS Rebound72
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot72
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)72
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)72
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0CHIMISS Anthony 19' Jump Shot72
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q4 - 0:37.0CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
2.7%
76
97.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup72
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot72
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 1:05CHIMercer Layup (17 PTS) (Anthony 5 AST)72
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q4 - 1:21CHIJump Ball Miller vs. Strickland: Tip to Mercer72
25.4%
74
74.6%
Q4 - 1:42CHIMercer 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)72
41.9%
74
58.1%
Q4 - 1:57CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)72
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot72
57.3%
72
42.7%
Q4 - 2:23CHIMercer 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hassell 3 AST)72
69.1%
72
30.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)72
74.2%
70
25.8%
Q4 - 2:57CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
66.8%
70
33.2%
Q4 - 2:57CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 270
69.5%
69
30.5%
Q4 - 2:57CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)70
75.4%
69
24.6%
Q4 - 2:57CHIMISS Miller Layup70
72.1%
69
27.9%
Q4 - 3:07CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)70
75.8%
69
24.2%
Q4 - 3:12CHIMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 170
74.4%
69
25.6%
Q4 - 3:12CHIAnthony Driving Layup (11 PTS)70
75.9%
69
24.1%
Q4 - 3:15MIAAnthony STEAL (6 STL)70
80.3%
67
19.7%
Q4 - 3:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
84.6%
67
15.4%
Q4 - 3:37CHIMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot70
83.1%
67
16.9%
Q4 - 4:03MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
79.2%
67
20.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAGatling Tip Shot (9 PTS)70
79.2%
67
20.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q4 - 4:20MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
72.8%
67
27.2%
Q4 - 4:23CHIMISS Miller Layup68
70.4%
67
29.6%
Q4 - 4:42MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)68
64.2%
67
35.8%
Q4 - 4:59CHIHoiberg 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)66
55.5%
67
44.5%
Q4 - 5:05MIAHassell STEAL (1 STL)66
64.5%
65
35.5%
Q4 - 5:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)66
72.1%
65
27.9%
Q4 - 5:15CHIMISS Miller 11' Jump Shot66
69.9%
65
30.1%
Q4 - 5:39MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P3.T18)66
64.5%
65
35.5%
Q4 - 5:55CHIHoiberg 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)66
72.1%
65
27.9%
Q4 - 6:11CHIAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
76.9%
63
23.1%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot66
78.7%
63
21.3%
Q4 - 6:46CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
82.5%
63
17.5%
Q4 - 6:46CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 266
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q4 - 7:00CHIBULLS Rebound66
81.9%
62
18.1%
Q4 - 7:00MIAMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)66
83.4%
62
16.6%
Q4 - 7:19MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
85.4%
62
14.6%
Q4 - 7:21CHIMISS Oakley 21' Jump Shot66
84.2%
62
15.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)66
81.1%
62
18.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAStrickland Driving Layup (12 PTS)65
76.4%
62
23.6%
Q4 - 7:49CHIHoiberg Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)63
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q4 - 7:49CHIMISS Hoiberg Free Throw 1 of 263
73.0%
61
27.0%
Q4 - 7:55MIACarter Layup (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)63
71.1%
61
28.9%
Q4 - 8:16CHIMercer Layup (11 PTS) (Fizer 3 AST)61
65.2%
61
34.8%
Q4 - 8:38MIAStepania Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)61
70.7%
59
29.3%
Q4 - 8:59CHIMiller Layup (10 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)59
65.3%
59
34.7%
Q4 - 9:09MIAGatling Foul Turnover (P2.T17)59
70.6%
57
29.4%
Q4 - 9:13MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
75.5%
57
24.5%
Q4 - 9:16CHIMISS Fizer Layup59
74.1%
57
25.9%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T16)59
70.6%
57
29.4%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
75.5%
57
24.5%
Q4 - 9:48CHIMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
74.1%
57
25.9%
Q4 - 10:02CHIBULLS Rebound59
69.9%
57
30.1%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot59
71.4%
57
28.6%
Q4 - 10:18MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
74.8%
57
25.2%
Q4 - 10:20CHIMISS Mercer 16' Jump Shot59
73.4%
57
26.6%
Q4 - 10:40MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
70.0%
57
30.0%
Q4 - 10:40MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q4 - 10:54MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
65.4%
57
34.6%
Q4 - 10:55CHIMISS Fizer Free Throw 2 of 257
64.7%
57
35.3%
Q4 - 10:55CHIMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 257
61.3%
57
38.7%
Q4 - 11:13MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
59.3%
57
40.7%
Q4 - 11:29CHICurry Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)55
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q4 - 11:36CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
48.5%
57
51.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot55
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHIHassell Dunk (13 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)55
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
60.1%
55
39.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Stepania 21' Jump Shot55
61.6%
55
38.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
64.9%
55
35.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHIMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot55
63.5%
55
36.5%
Q3 - 1:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
60.6%
55
39.4%
Q3 - 1:04MIACarter Layup (8 PTS)55
60.6%
55
39.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIACurry BLOCK (1 BLK)53
52.6%
55
47.4%
Q3 - 1:30CHIMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
56.0%
55
44.0%
Q3 - 1:30CHIMISS Mercer Free Throw 1 of 253
57.4%
54
42.6%
Q3 - 1:49MIAGatling 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)53
55.8%
54
44.2%
Q3 - 2:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q3 - 2:11CHIMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot51
50.1%
54
49.9%
Q3 - 2:32MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)51
46.5%
54
53.5%
Q3 - 2:32MIAHeat Rebound51
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q3 - 2:32MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot51
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
51.6%
54
48.4%
Q3 - 2:59CHIMISS Mercer 21' Jump Shot51
50.0%
54
50.0%
Q3 - 3:19CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
47.5%
54
52.5%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 251
48.1%
54
51.9%
Q3 - 3:19MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
50.9%
54
49.1%
Q3 - 3:32CHIHassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)50
47.7%
54
52.3%
Q3 - 3:32CHIHassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)50
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q3 - 3:34CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
51.9%
52
48.1%
Q3 - 3:36CHIMISS Hassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
55.2%
52
44.8%
Q3 - 3:57CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
51.9%
52
48.1%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
53.3%
52
46.7%
Q3 - 4:10MIAJones Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)50
57.3%
52
42.7%
Q3 - 4:31CHIHassell 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ollie 3 AST)49
53.0%
52
47.0%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMarks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)49
56.6%
50
43.4%
Q3 - 4:53CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
61.4%
50
38.6%
Q3 - 5:16CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Marks Layup49
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q3 - 5:34CHIFizer Foul Turnover (P1.T9)49
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q3 - 5:39MIAOakley STEAL (1 STL)49
57.2%
50
42.8%
Q3 - 5:43MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q3 - 5:45CHIMISS Ollie 14' Jump Shot49
60.2%
50
39.8%
Q3 - 6:00CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
57.1%
50
42.9%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Marks 14' Jump Shot49
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 6:21MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 6:23CHIMISS Fizer 15' Jump Shot49
60.5%
50
39.5%
Q3 - 6:26CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q3 - 6:28MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot49
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 6:49CHIMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T8)49
61.7%
50
38.3%
Q3 - 6:56CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
61.5%
50
38.5%
Q3 - 7:18CHIMISS Mercer 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
60.3%
50
39.7%
Q3 - 7:30CHIOllie Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)49
57.3%
50
42.7%
Q3 - 7:46MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)49
61.0%
49
39.0%
Q3 - 7:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
57.8%
49
42.2%
Q3 - 7:53CHIMISS Mercer 14' Jump Shot47
56.5%
49
43.5%
Q3 - 8:12CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
54.2%
49
45.8%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 247
54.7%
49
45.3%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
57.0%
49
43.0%
Q3 - 8:22MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
54.6%
49
45.4%
Q3 - 8:24CHIMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot46
53.3%
49
46.7%
Q3 - 8:57MIACarter Foul Turnover (P3.T12)46
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q3 - 9:08CHIJump Ball Miller vs. Marks: Tip to Carter46
54.9%
49
45.1%
Q3 - 9:09CHIMISS Miller Layup46
53.8%
49
46.2%
Q3 - 9:12CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q3 - 9:14CHIMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot46
53.8%
49
46.2%
Q3 - 9:40MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)46
51.2%
49
48.8%
Q3 - 9:54CHIMercer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
47.6%
49
52.4%
Q3 - 10:14MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
44.9%
49
55.1%
Q3 - 10:14MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
43.7%
49
56.3%
Q3 - 10:21CHIAnthony 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q3 - 10:29MIAJones Layup (8 PTS)42
44.8%
47
55.2%
Q3 - 10:53MIAHeat Rebound40
41.7%
47
58.3%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot40
39.0%
47
61.0%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)40
41.7%
47
58.3%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot40
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q3 - 11:22MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
42.9%
47
57.1%
Q3 - 11:25CHIMISS Miller 7' Jump Shot40
41.8%
47
58.2%
Q3 - 11:33CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot40
40.4%
47
59.6%
Q3 - 11:51MIAHeat Rebound40
42.8%
47
57.2%
Q3 - 11:51CHIMISS Hassell 7' Jump Shot40
41.8%
47
58.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA40
39.3%
47
60.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound40
42.8%
47
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Strickland 42' 3PT Jump Shot40
40.4%
47
59.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
43.4%
47
56.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0CHIMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot40
42.7%
47
57.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot40
41.8%
47
58.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIHassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
43.4%
47
56.6%
Q2 - 0:40.0CHIMISS Hassell Free Throw 1 of 240
44.3%
46
55.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (House 2 AST)40
44.3%
46
55.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 1:02CHIMISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
40.1%
46
59.9%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)38
39.0%
46
61.0%
Q2 - 1:18CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
40.6%
46
59.4%
Q2 - 1:18CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
41.6%
45
58.4%
Q2 - 1:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)38
45.3%
44
54.7%
Q2 - 1:37MIAHeat Rebound38
46.9%
44
53.1%
Q2 - 1:37MIAMercer BLOCK (1 BLK)38
45.8%
44
54.2%
Q2 - 2:07CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
48.3%
44
51.7%
Q2 - 2:07CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
49.2%
43
50.8%
Q2 - 2:14MIAAnthony STEAL (5 STL)38
51.6%
42
48.4%
Q2 - 2:32CHIFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
54.4%
42
45.6%
Q2 - 2:32CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
55.1%
41
44.9%
Q2 - 2:46MIAStrickland Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
57.8%
40
42.2%
Q2 - 3:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
54.3%
40
45.7%
Q2 - 3:01CHIMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 236
55.1%
40
44.9%
Q2 - 3:01CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)36
53.5%
40
46.5%
Q2 - 3:05CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot36
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 3:28CHIHassell Dunk (6 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)36
58.4%
39
41.6%
Q2 - 3:35CHIAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
60.9%
37
39.1%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMISS Strickland Layup36
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 3:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
64.1%
37
35.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Jones Layup36
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 3:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
64.1%
37
35.9%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot36
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q2 - 4:15CHIMISS Hassell Free Throw 1 of 136
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 4:15CHIHassell Layup (4 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)36
64.2%
37
35.8%
Q2 - 4:37MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)36
66.8%
35
33.2%
Q2 - 4:50CHIMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)33
61.5%
35
38.5%
Q2 - 4:54MIAFizer STEAL (1 STL)33
58.7%
35
41.3%
Q2 - 5:14CHIHoiberg Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)33
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)33
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 5:39MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
61.9%
35
38.1%
Q2 - 5:41CHIMISS Curry 13' Jump Shot33
61.0%
35
39.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (House 1 AST)33
59.0%
35
41.0%
Q2 - 6:19CHIFizer 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)31
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q2 - 6:34MIAStrickland Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)31
59.3%
33
40.7%
Q2 - 6:53CHICurry Layup (4 PTS) (Hoiberg 2 AST)31
62.4%
33
37.6%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMourning Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)31
64.9%
31
35.1%
Q2 - 7:25CHICurry Layup (2 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)29
62.6%
31
37.4%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
64.9%
29
35.1%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
64.3%
29
35.7%
Q2 - 7:53CHICurry Foul Turnover (P1.T4)27
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMourning Reverse Layup (6 PTS)27
59.8%
29
40.2%
Q2 - 8:36CHIFizer 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)25
57.6%
29
42.4%
Q2 - 8:43CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
59.8%
27
40.2%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot25
60.7%
27
39.3%
Q2 - 9:08CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
62.7%
27
37.3%
Q2 - 9:08CHIFizer 10' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mercer 3 AST)25
65.1%
26
34.9%
Q2 - 9:27MIAStrickland Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
67.1%
24
32.9%
Q2 - 9:33MIAHeat Rebound23
65.1%
24
34.9%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot23
63.2%
24
36.8%
Q2 - 9:56CHIFizer 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mercer 2 AST)23
65.0%
24
35.0%
Q2 - 10:13CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
66.8%
22
33.2%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Gatling 14' Jump Shot23
67.6%
22
32.4%
Q2 - 10:36CHIMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
69.3%
22
30.7%
Q2 - 10:36CHIMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
69.9%
21
30.1%
Q2 - 10:36CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 10:37CHIMISS Ollie Layup23
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 10:43CHICurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
71.1%
20
28.9%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS Stepania 9' Jump Shot23
71.8%
20
28.2%
Q2 - 10:55MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
73.3%
20
26.7%
Q2 - 10:59CHIMISS Hassell Layup23
72.7%
20
27.3%
Q2 - 11:24MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)23
71.2%
20
28.8%
Q2 - 11:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
69.1%
20
30.9%
Q2 - 11:40CHIMISS Curry Layup21
68.5%
20
31.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI21
67.0%
20
33.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound21
67.0%
20
33.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Anthony Layup21
68.5%
20
31.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)21
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0CHIHassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)19
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
62.8%
20
37.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
62.0%
20
38.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
60.0%
20
40.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0CHIMISS Anthony 14' Jump Shot17
59.5%
20
40.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)17
58.3%
20
41.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot17
58.8%
20
41.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHIOakley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)17
60.0%
20
40.0%
Q1 - 1:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)17
62.9%
18
37.1%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Gatling Layup15
58.9%
18
41.1%
Q1 - 1:18MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
60.2%
18
39.8%
Q1 - 1:20CHIMISS Mercer 15' Jump Shot15
59.6%
18
40.4%
Q1 - 1:23CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q1 - 1:26CHIMISS Miller Layup15
59.6%
18
40.4%
Q1 - 1:41MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)15
58.4%
18
41.6%
Q1 - 1:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q1 - 2:00CHIMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 213
55.3%
18
44.7%
Q1 - 2:00CHIMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 213
53.6%
18
46.4%
Q1 - 2:12MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)13
54.0%
18
46.0%
Q1 - 2:31CHIHassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
51.5%
18
48.5%
Q1 - 2:31CHIHassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
52.1%
17
47.9%
Q1 - 2:38CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
54.0%
16
46.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 211
54.3%
16
45.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 3:02CHIAnthony Layup (7 PTS)10
54.6%
16
45.4%
Q1 - 3:19MIAAnthony STEAL (4 STL)10
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 3:28CHIMercer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
59.0%
14
41.0%
Q1 - 3:34MIAAnthony STEAL (3 STL)10
56.5%
14
43.5%
Q1 - 3:42CHIMercer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 3:42CHIMercer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
59.6%
13
40.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)10
61.1%
12
38.9%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)8
59.5%
12
40.5%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot8
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 4:15MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 4:19CHIMISS Mercer Layup8
58.7%
12
41.3%
Q1 - 4:24CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
56.8%
12
43.2%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot8
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot8
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 4:57CHIMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 28
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 4:57CHIAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
57.6%
12
42.4%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMercer STEAL (1 STL)8
59.7%
11
40.3%
Q1 - 5:22CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
61.9%
11
38.1%
Q1 - 5:22CHIMiller Layup (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)8
63.8%
10
36.2%
Q1 - 5:27CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
65.6%
8
34.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Marks Layup8
66.2%
8
33.8%
Q1 - 5:51CHIMercer Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 6:01CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot8
69.7%
6
30.3%
Q1 - 6:24CHIMercer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)8
70.9%
6
29.1%
Q1 - 6:39MIAAnthony STEAL (2 STL)8
72.5%
4
27.5%
Q1 - 6:46CHIHassell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 7:08MIAJones 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)8
72.3%
4
27.7%
Q1 - 7:26CHIAnthony 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
70.9%
4
29.1%
Q1 - 7:32CHIAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
72.3%
2
27.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot6
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
74.0%
2
26.0%
Q1 - 7:48CHIMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot6
73.5%
2
26.5%
Q1 - 8:01CHIBULLS Rebound6
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 8:01CHIMISS Miller Layup6
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 8:06MIAAnthony STEAL (1 STL)6
72.8%
2
27.2%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
74.4%
2
25.6%
Q1 - 8:26CHIMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot6
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 8:30CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot6
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 8:55MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 8:58CHIMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
73.8%
2
26.2%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMourning 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)6
72.5%
2
27.5%
Q1 - 9:37CHIAnthony 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 9:53MIACarter 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 10:11MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
71.2%
0
28.8%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot2
70.0%
0
30.0%
Q1 - 10:45MIAHeat Rebound2
71.2%
0
28.8%
Q1 - 10:46CHIMISS Miller Layup2
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 10:48CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 10:51CHIMISS Mercer Layup2
70.7%
0
29.3%
Q1 - 11:07MIACarter 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
69.6%
0
30.4%
Q1 - 11:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 11:34MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot0
66.9%
0
33.1%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Miller vs. Mourning: Tip to Ellis0
67.9%
0
32.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 42.9%
CHI
0.87 43.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
24
63%
CHI
12
25
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
42
31%
CHI
14
35
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
6
17%
25%
CHI
5
0%
Free Throws
MIA
13
16
81%
CHI
26
39
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1547%7.5 / 16
A. Mourning1372%6.5 / 9
R. Strickland1350%6.5 / 13
A. Carter1050%5.0 / 10
C. Gatling945%4.5 / 10
V. Stepania844%4.0 / 9
L. Ellis467%2.0 / 3
S. Marks0-0.0 / 4
E. House0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Mercer1956%9.5 / 17
T. Hassell1346%6.5 / 14
B. Miller1230%6.0 / 20
G. Anthony1142%5.5 / 13
M. Fizer1150%5.5 / 11
F. Hoiberg583%2.5 / 3
E. Curry450%2.0 / 4
C. Oakley250%1.0 / 2
K. Ollie125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+16
-19
83
CHI
79
+10
-10
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 42.9%
CHI
0.87 43.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
96.0
MIA 83.7
CHI 87.6 +3.9
Pace
89.7
92.7
MIA 78.9
CHI 97.8 +19.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.5
MIA 18.3
CHI 14.7 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.6%
MIA 41.0% +1.0%
CHI 40.0%
TO %
15.5%
15.3%
MIA 21.0%
CHI 12.7% +8.3%
ORB %
26.7%
26.6%
MIA 28.9% +8.9%
CHI 20.0%
FTrt
26.8
30.2
MIA 22.2
CHI 60.0 +37.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
64.6%
MIA 65.5%
CHI 80.8% +15.3%
STL %
7.4%
8.3%
MIA 3.5%
CHI 13.5% +10.0%
BLK %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 10.0% +5.5%
CHI 4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.3%
MIA 42.9%
CHI 43.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%
60.6%
54.3%
MIA 62.5% +14.5%
CHI 48.0%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.0%
MIA 31.0%
CHI 40.0% +9.0%
3P %
34.7%
34.6%
MIA 16.7% +16.7%
CHI 0.0%
FT %
72.4%
72.2%
MIA 81.3% +14.6%
CHI 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
32.0%
MIA 33.3%
CHI 38.5% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
54.6%
MIA 58.3%
CHI 53.8% +4.5%
3P Att. %
14.1%
13.4%
MIA 8.3% +0.6%
CHI 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions8689
Possession Minutes26.221.8
Points7278
Rebounds4335
Assists1921
Steals312
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (5)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)27 (3)
Field Goals29-7226-65
At-the-Rim FG15-2412-25
Midrange FG13-4214-35
2-Point FG28-6626-60
3-Point FG1-60-5
Free Throws13-1626-39
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
45.1
15
47%
3
5
1
0
3
3
1
2
2-3
67%
5-11
45%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
36.9
4
67%
5
2
1
1
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
27.2
10
50%
7
3
1
0
3
3
1
6
2-2
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 250 · 26
19.7
0
0%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
18.4
13
72%
7
0
0
1
4
6
4
3
3-4
75%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
29.4
8
44%
10
1
0
2
0
5
3
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
28.2
13
50%
2
5
0
0
3
3
0
2
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" · 34
25.9
9
45%
5
0
0
1
3
5
1
4
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
9.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" · 32
C · 7'0" 244 · 23
F · 6'8" 205 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
72
43%
43
19
3
6
19
0
11
32
13-16
81%
28-66
42%
1-6
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.