FinalWin Prob.pScore
1136%99
99
1664%104
85
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
107.69292.4
DEN logo DEN
92.49292.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0IND99
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENMISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMISS Bowen Layup99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Bowen Layup99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)97
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDHarrington Reverse Layup (22 PTS) (Tinsley 10 AST)97
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDBowen STEAL (1 STL)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)95
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)94
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0DENJohnson Layup (9 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)93
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 1:01INDPosey STEAL (3 STL)93
99.6%
83
0.4%
Q4 - 1:07DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:07DENMcCloud 6' Hook Shot (18 PTS)93
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 1:08DENPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:08DENMISS Posey Tip Shot93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11DENPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:11DENMISS Posey Layup93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15DENNUGGETS Rebound93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:15DENMISS Posey Layup93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16INDPosey STEAL (2 STL)93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:21DENMcCloud 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 1:25DENBowen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27INDMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50DENPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)93
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 1:57INDMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 293
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 1:57INDMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 293
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00DENMISS LaFrentz 28' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11INDPacers Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#12)93
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 2:20DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24INDLaFrentz BLOCK (5 BLK)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43DENBowen REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47DENBowen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54DENBowen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56DENMISS LaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:10INDRose 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Tinsley 9 AST)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16DENLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29INDHarrington 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bender 2 AST)91
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 3:52DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 3:52DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)89
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 4:07INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 4:07INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 4:07INDRose Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)87
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 4:07INDRose Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)86
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 4:19INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 4:22DENMISS Van Exel 6' Turnaround Jump Shot85
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 4:44INDBender 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)85
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 5:03INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
93.6%
73
6.4%
Q4 - 5:06DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 5:11DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
91.2%
73
8.8%
Q4 - 5:14INDLaFrentz BLOCK (4 BLK)82
92.1%
73
7.9%
Q4 - 5:28DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)82
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q4 - 5:50INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P3.T11)82
91.4%
73
8.6%
Q4 - 6:04INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)82
91.5%
73
8.5%
Q4 - 6:07DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
90.6%
73
9.4%
Q4 - 6:19INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)82
88.5%
73
11.5%
Q4 - 6:53INDPacers Rebound82
91.7%
73
8.3%
Q4 - 6:55DENMISS Posey 21' Jump Shot82
90.9%
73
9.1%
Q4 - 6:59DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)82
88.7%
73
11.3%
Q4 - 7:01DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot82
88.2%
73
11.8%
Q4 - 7:16INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)82
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q4 - 7:36INDMiller Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)80
82.9%
73
17.1%
Q4 - 7:36DENWilliams 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)79
78.6%
73
21.4%
Q4 - 7:36DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
82.3%
71
17.7%
Q4 - 7:40DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
82.4%
71
17.6%
Q4 - 7:40DENMISS Williams Tip Shot79
85.3%
71
14.7%
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Van Exel 7' Running Jump Shot79
85.3%
71
14.7%
Q4 - 7:52DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
82.4%
71
17.6%
Q4 - 7:54INDMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
83.8%
71
16.2%
Q4 - 8:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
83.8%
71
16.2%
Q4 - 8:09DENMISS Posey Dunk79
82.7%
71
17.3%
Q4 - 8:37INDRose 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Bender 1 AST)79
80.1%
71
19.9%
Q4 - 8:50DENVan Exel 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)77
75.9%
71
24.1%
Q4 - 9:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
81.6%
68
18.4%
Q4 - 9:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
80.7%
68
19.3%
Q4 - 9:18DENWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)75
78.0%
68
22.0%
Q4 - 9:21DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
73.4%
68
26.6%
Q4 - 9:23DENMISS Bowen Layup75
76.7%
68
23.3%
Q4 - 9:44INDRose 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)75
73.5%
68
26.5%
Q4 - 9:52INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
68.8%
68
31.2%
Q4 - 9:55DENMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot73
67.2%
68
32.8%
Q4 - 10:17INDHarrington 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)73
61.4%
68
38.6%
Q4 - 10:21INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
56.3%
68
43.7%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup71
54.5%
68
45.5%
Q4 - 10:43INDCroshere Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)71
50.3%
68
49.7%
Q4 - 11:00DENJohnson 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
56.4%
68
43.6%
Q4 - 11:12DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q4 - 11:14INDMISS Croshere 18' Jump Shot71
62.0%
66
38.0%
Q4 - 11:33INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
65.7%
66
34.3%
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
64.1%
66
35.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN71
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound71
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Johnson 55' 3PT Jump Shot71
64.2%
66
35.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDJohnson STEAL (3 STL)71
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENLenard 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)71
63.9%
66
36.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)71
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENVan Exel 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
64.0%
64
36.0%
Q3 - 1:01INDJohnson STEAL (2 STL)69
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 1:11INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
71.0%
62
29.0%
Q3 - 1:14INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
68.1%
62
31.9%
Q3 - 1:26DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)69
71.1%
62
28.9%
Q3 - 1:26DENVan Exel 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
74.9%
61
25.1%
Q3 - 1:35DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
78.3%
59
21.7%
Q3 - 1:43INDMISS Tinsley 2' Layup69
79.4%
59
20.6%
Q3 - 1:46INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 1:50DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot69
80.7%
59
19.3%
Q3 - 2:11INDHarrington 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)69
76.1%
59
23.9%
Q3 - 2:34DENLaFrentz 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)67
73.0%
59
27.0%
Q3 - 3:00INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Tinsley 8 AST)67
76.3%
57
23.7%
Q3 - 3:06DENMcCloud Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)65
71.8%
57
28.2%
Q3 - 3:23DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
67.8%
57
32.2%
Q3 - 3:26INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
71.8%
57
28.2%
Q3 - 3:26INDMISS Harrington Tip Shot65
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 3:29INDLaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)65
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 3:30INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
71.8%
57
28.2%
Q3 - 3:34INDMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot65
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 3:50DENBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)65
71.9%
57
28.1%
Q3 - 3:52DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
67.9%
57
32.1%
Q3 - 3:54DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
70.7%
57
29.3%
Q3 - 3:59DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
67.9%
57
32.1%
Q3 - 4:02DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
69.0%
57
31.0%
Q3 - 4:18INDMiller 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)65
66.1%
57
33.9%
Q3 - 4:20INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
58.6%
57
41.4%
Q3 - 4:25INDLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)62
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 4:40INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
58.7%
57
41.3%
Q3 - 4:44DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
57.2%
57
42.8%
Q3 - 4:48DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
53.8%
57
46.2%
Q3 - 4:52INDMISS Rose 7' Turnaround Jump Shot62
55.3%
57
44.7%
Q3 - 5:15DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McCloud 5 AST)62
57.5%
57
42.5%
Q3 - 5:38INDRose 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)62
65.1%
54
34.9%
Q3 - 5:53DENMcCloud 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)60
61.6%
54
38.4%
Q3 - 5:59DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q3 - 6:01INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot60
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q3 - 6:24DENPosey Layup (11 PTS) (McCloud 4 AST)60
67.6%
52
32.4%
Q3 - 6:38INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)60
70.8%
50
29.2%
Q3 - 6:38INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 259
70.0%
50
30.0%
Q3 - 6:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
71.1%
50
28.9%
Q3 - 6:52DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 259
70.6%
50
29.4%
Q3 - 6:52DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
68.2%
50
31.8%
Q3 - 7:04INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)59
69.2%
49
30.8%
Q3 - 7:15DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
72.9%
49
27.1%
Q3 - 7:15DENMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 259
73.5%
48
26.5%
Q3 - 7:20DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
72.5%
48
27.5%
Q3 - 7:23INDMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot59
73.5%
48
26.5%
Q3 - 7:32INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
75.9%
48
24.1%
Q3 - 7:36DENMISS Posey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot59
74.9%
48
25.1%
Q3 - 7:47DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
72.5%
48
27.5%
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS McCloud 21' Jump Shot59
74.9%
48
25.1%
Q3 - 8:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
71.7%
48
28.3%
Q3 - 8:06INDFoster Reverse Layup (8 PTS)59
71.7%
48
28.3%
Q3 - 8:08INDMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
66.3%
48
33.7%
Q3 - 8:21INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
69.0%
48
31.0%
Q3 - 8:25DENMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot57
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q3 - 8:43INDFoster Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)57
65.2%
48
34.8%
Q3 - 8:47DENWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)55
62.2%
48
37.8%
Q3 - 8:59DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
58.0%
48
42.0%
Q3 - 9:03INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot55
57.9%
48
42.1%
Q3 - 9:20DENPosey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
60.5%
48
39.5%
Q3 - 9:25DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
63.9%
46
36.1%
Q3 - 9:29INDMISS Miller 13' Running Jump Shot55
65.0%
46
35.0%
Q3 - 9:53DENWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)55
67.4%
46
32.6%
Q3 - 10:11INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q3 - 10:11INDFoster Dunk (4 PTS)55
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q3 - 10:15INDMISS Rose 6' Jump Shot53
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q3 - 10:34DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)53
66.2%
44
33.8%
Q3 - 10:34DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q3 - 10:35DENMISS Williams 5' Hook Shot53
65.1%
44
34.9%
Q3 - 10:42DENNUGGETS Rebound53
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q3 - 10:42DENMISS Williams Layup53
65.1%
44
34.9%
Q3 - 10:59INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
62.6%
44
37.4%
Q3 - 10:59INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q3 - 11:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q3 - 11:17DENMISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q3 - 11:21DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
54.9%
44
45.1%
Q3 - 11:24INDMISS Rose Layup51
56.0%
44
44.0%
Q3 - 11:27INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
58.4%
44
41.6%
Q3 - 11:30DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
57.4%
44
42.6%
Q3 - 11:44INDRose 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)51
54.9%
44
45.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND49
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLaFrentz 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)49
51.6%
44
48.4%
Q2 - 0:16.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
54.6%
42
45.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0INDMISS Croshere 7' Jump Shot49
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0DENVan Exel 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McCloud 3 AST)49
56.9%
42
43.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDHarrington 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)49
61.1%
40
38.9%
Q2 - 1:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
55.9%
40
44.1%
Q2 - 1:17DENMISS McCloud 21' Jump Shot47
55.4%
40
44.6%
Q2 - 1:36INDHarrington 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)47
54.3%
40
45.7%
Q2 - 1:55INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
49.5%
40
50.5%
Q2 - 1:59DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
49.0%
40
51.0%
Q2 - 2:12INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)45
46.5%
40
53.5%
Q2 - 2:20DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
49.5%
40
50.5%
Q2 - 2:20DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 245
50.1%
39
49.9%
Q2 - 2:33INDTinsley 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)45
49.7%
39
50.3%
Q2 - 2:52DENMcCloud 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)43
46.3%
39
53.7%
Q2 - 3:16DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
48.3%
37
51.7%
Q2 - 3:19INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
49.4%
37
50.6%
Q2 - 3:47DENMcCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)43
51.8%
37
48.2%
Q2 - 3:49DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
57.3%
34
42.7%
Q2 - 3:53INDLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)43
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 4:02DENMcCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)43
59.0%
34
41.0%
Q2 - 4:08DENNUGGETS Rebound43
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 4:10DENMISS Van Exel 8' Turnaround Jump Shot43
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 4:19DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 4:21DENMISS Johnson 6' Running Hook Shot43
66.3%
31
33.7%
Q2 - 4:33INDPosey STEAL (1 STL)43
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 4:47DENJohnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)43
67.1%
31
32.9%
Q2 - 5:05INDO'Neal 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)43
68.7%
29
31.3%
Q2 - 5:20INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 5:23DENMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot41
65.6%
29
34.4%
Q2 - 5:46INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
63.7%
29
36.3%
Q2 - 5:46INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
63.2%
29
36.8%
Q2 - 5:49DENMcCloud Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)39
61.2%
29
38.8%
Q2 - 6:00DENNUGGETS Rebound39
58.3%
29
41.7%
Q2 - 6:00DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup39
60.3%
29
39.7%
Q2 - 6:20INDMiller 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)39
57.3%
29
42.7%
Q2 - 6:25INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
52.4%
29
47.6%
Q2 - 6:28DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot36
51.4%
29
48.6%
Q2 - 6:49INDTinsley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
49.1%
29
50.9%
Q2 - 6:54INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
46.9%
29
53.1%
Q2 - 6:56DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot34
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 7:07DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 7:13INDMISS O'Neal 7' Turnaround Jump Shot34
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q2 - 7:27INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
46.1%
29
53.9%
Q2 - 7:30DENMISS McCloud Driving Layup34
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q2 - 7:53INDBender 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)34
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q2 - 8:02INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 8:04DENMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot31
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q2 - 8:20DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q2 - 8:23INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot31
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 8:26INDPacers Rebound31
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 8:26INDBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)31
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 8:41INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 8:44INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 8:46INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 8:49INDMISS Croshere 21' Jump Shot31
36.3%
29
63.7%
Q2 - 9:04DENBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)31
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 9:14INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 131
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q2 - 9:14INDO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)31
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q2 - 9:30DENBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)29
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q2 - 9:51INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)29
39.9%
25
60.1%
Q2 - 10:08INDPacers Rebound27
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q2 - 10:11INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
35.9%
25
64.1%
Q2 - 10:38DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
37.7%
25
62.3%
Q2 - 10:38DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
38.2%
24
61.8%
Q2 - 10:56DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q2 - 10:59DENMISS Van Exel 23' Jump Shot27
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q2 - 11:16INDMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)27
39.3%
23
60.7%
Q2 - 11:28INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
37.1%
23
62.9%
Q2 - 11:50DENVan Exel Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)23
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q2 - 11:55INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)23
34.8%
21
65.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND23
37.1%
21
62.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound23
37.1%
21
62.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Brewer 73' 3PT Jump Shot23
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0INDMISS Harrington 15' Fadeaway Jumper23
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
43.3%
18
56.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
43.8%
17
56.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDMISS Rose 6' Running Jump Shot23
46.8%
16
53.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 1:01DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
47.4%
16
52.6%
Q1 - 1:27INDBender 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)23
46.1%
16
53.9%
Q1 - 1:43DENLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
41.0%
16
59.0%
Q1 - 1:59INDBrewer Layup (2 PTS) (Croshere 1 AST)20
43.8%
14
56.2%
Q1 - 2:12INDBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 2:14DENMISS Van Exel Driving Layup18
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 2:21DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 2:26INDMISS Croshere 19' Turnaround Jump Shot18
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 2:35INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 2:37DENMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot18
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 2:43DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
39.0%
14
61.0%
Q1 - 2:46INDMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot18
39.6%
14
60.4%
Q1 - 2:56INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 2:58DENMISS Van Exel 23' Jump Shot18
40.5%
14
59.5%
Q1 - 3:13INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 3:13INDBender Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 3:18INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 3:21DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot16
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 3:40INDRose 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)16
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 3:54DENLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
32.4%
14
67.6%
Q1 - 3:54DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
32.9%
13
67.1%
Q1 - 4:08DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 4:12INDVan Exel BLOCK (1 BLK)14
34.4%
12
65.6%
Q1 - 4:18INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
36.1%
12
63.9%
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 4:45INDHarrington Dunk (8 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)14
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 4:47INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
32.2%
12
67.8%
Q1 - 4:50DENMISS Posey Layup12
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 5:06INDRose 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)12
29.7%
12
70.3%
Q1 - 5:21DENVan Exel 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)10
28.1%
12
71.9%
Q1 - 5:32DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 5:36INDMISS O'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot10
30.3%
10
69.7%
Q1 - 6:00DENPosey 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)10
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 6:15INDHarrington Dunk (6 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)10
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 6:38DENVan Exel 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
31.4%
8
68.6%
Q1 - 6:43DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
33.1%
6
66.9%
Q1 - 6:45INDMISS Miller Layup8
33.6%
6
66.4%
Q1 - 7:00DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
35.0%
6
65.0%
Q1 - 7:17INDVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)8
32.6%
6
67.4%
Q1 - 7:20INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 7:22DENMISS LaFrentz 18' Jump Shot8
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 7:43INDHarrington Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)8
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 7:49INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
31.2%
6
68.8%
Q1 - 7:52DENMISS Van Exel 16' Jump Shot6
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:05INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)6
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 8:06INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 8:09INDMISS Harrington Layup6
29.9%
6
70.1%
Q1 - 8:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 8:17DENMISS LaFrentz 16' Turnaround Jump Shot6
30.6%
6
69.4%
Q1 - 8:37INDHarrington Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)6
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 8:50DENPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T2)4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 9:15INDO'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)4
26.0%
6
74.0%
Q1 - 9:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 9:26DENMISS Van Exel 20' Turnaround Jump Shot2
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 9:47INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)2
23.2%
6
76.8%
Q1 - 10:01INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 10:03DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 10:17DENNUGGETS Rebound0
20.7%
6
79.3%
Q1 - 10:17INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
21.2%
6
78.8%
Q1 - 10:35DENMcCloud 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
22.2%
6
77.8%
Q1 - 10:40DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 10:43INDMcCloud BLOCK (1 BLK)0
23.8%
4
76.2%
Q1 - 10:59DENPosey Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)0
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 11:01DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 11:04INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:19DENLaFrentz Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 11:21DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:24INDMISS O'Neal 15' Turnaround Jump Shot0
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 11:43DENLaFrentz Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:45DENNUGGETS Rebound0
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:47DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. O'Neal: Tip to Van Exel0
29.2%
0
70.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.2%
DEN
0.81 40.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
24
54%
DEN
11
26
42%
Midrange
IND
18
40
45%
DEN
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
DEN
5
7.5
27
19%
28%
Free Throws
IND
19
23
83%
DEN
16
19
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Harrington2273%11.0 / 15
R. Miller1771%8.5 / 12
J. Rose1644%8.0 / 18
J. O'Neal1441%7.0 / 17
J. Bender11110%5.5 / 5
J. Foster990%4.5 / 5
J. Tinsley844%4.0 / 9
J. Brewer250%1.0 / 2
A. Croshere0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel2040%10.0 / 25
G. McCloud1856%9.0 / 16
J. Posey1534%7.5 / 22
R. LaFrentz1350%6.5 / 13
A. Johnson938%4.5 / 12
S. Williams433%2.0 / 6
R. Bowen433%2.0 / 6
V. Lenard250%1.0 / 2
C. Cheaney0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
79
+12
-13
91
DEN
80
+24
-12
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.2%
DEN
0.81 40.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
99.6
IND 107.6
DEN 92.4 +15.2
Pace
94.6
92.1
IND 92.4
DEN 92.4 +0.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
16.0
IND 15.6
DEN 15.6 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
45.5%
IND 51.3% +14.2%
DEN 37.1%
TO %
15.2%
14.9%
IND 14.5%
DEN 11.4% +3.1%
ORB %
27.0%
30.7%
IND 23.1%
DEN 32.7% +9.6%
FTrt
32.8
25.6
IND 29.5 +9.1
DEN 20.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
62.3%
IND 86.5% +11.5%
DEN 75.0%
STL %
8.4%
8.0%
IND 10.9% +1.1%
DEN 9.8%
BLK %
7.8%
8.6%
IND 15.2% +2.7%
DEN 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
47.2%
IND 53.2% +12.7%
DEN 40.5%
Rim FG%
58.6%
55.5%
IND 54.2% +11.9%
DEN 42.3%
Mid FG%
40.1%
36.9%
IND 45.0% +5.0%
DEN 40.0%
3P %
33.9%
32.9%
IND 42.9% +24.4%
DEN 18.5%
FT %
77.2%
74.4%
IND 82.6%
DEN 84.2% +1.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
33.7%
IND 30.8% +2.8%
DEN 28.0%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
47.6%
IND 51.3%
DEN 43.0% +8.3%
3P Att. %
18.2%
18.7%
IND 17.9%
DEN 29.0% +11.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes23.923.9
Points9985
Rebounds4648
Assists3224
Steals109
Blocks108
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)18 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals37-7832-93
At-the-Rim FG13-2411-26
Midrange FG18-4016-40
2-Point FG31-6427-66
3-Point FG6-145-27
Free Throws19-2316-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 195 · 36
40.1
17
71%
5
6
2
0
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 255 · 23
37.2
14
41%
13
2
0
5
1
3
3
10
6-7
86%
4-13
31%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
35.3
16
44%
6
6
1
0
1
3
0
6
2-4
50%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
33.7
8
44%
2
10
5
0
3
4
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 25
14.4
9
90%
4
0
0
2
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 22
29.5
22
73%
7
2
2
1
3
1
3
4
0-0
-
11-15
73%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
25.8
11
110%
7
2
0
2
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
15.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 195 · 21
8.2
2
50%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 22
F-C · 6'11" 232 · 31
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
53%
46
32
10
10
13
0
9
37
19-23
83%
31-64
48%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.