FinalWin Prob.pScore
1656%94
84
2844%92
83
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
91.39291.6
MIA logo MIA
92.29090.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA84
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSPierce Driving Layup (33 PTS)84
94.4%
83
5.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
26.7%
82
73.3%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
85.9%
81
14.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot82
92.5%
81
7.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
62.8%
81
37.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Gatling Tip Shot82
78.1%
81
21.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)82
62.5%
81
37.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup82
77.3%
81
22.7%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)82
61.6%
81
38.4%
Q4 - 0:44.0BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 281
58.0%
81
42.0%
Q4 - 1:00BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)81
62.5%
81
37.5%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
57.2%
81
42.8%
Q4 - 1:24BOSMarks STEAL (2 STL)81
46.9%
81
53.1%
Q4 - 1:43BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
62.1%
81
37.9%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Marks 18' Jump Shot81
58.1%
81
41.9%
Q4 - 2:10BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)81
48.4%
81
51.6%
Q4 - 2:24BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
31.5%
81
68.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot78
27.1%
81
72.9%
Q4 - 2:33MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
18.6%
81
81.4%
Q4 - 2:35BOSMISS Pierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 2:45BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 2:47BOSMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot78
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 2:51BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
31.6%
81
68.4%
Q4 - 2:52BOSMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)78
23.6%
81
76.4%
Q4 - 3:03BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
32.0%
81
68.0%
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Carter 23' Jump Shot78
28.1%
81
71.9%
Q4 - 3:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
20.3%
81
79.7%
Q4 - 3:28BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup78
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q4 - 3:56MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)78
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q4 - 3:56MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
34.8%
80
65.2%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
41.3%
79
58.7%
Q4 - 4:11BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
44.2%
79
55.8%
Q4 - 4:18MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
51.1%
79
48.9%
Q4 - 4:36BOSWalker Layup (24 PTS)78
41.1%
79
58.9%
Q4 - 4:45BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
32.7%
79
67.3%
Q4 - 4:47MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
30.1%
79
69.9%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound76
28.2%
79
71.8%
Q4 - 5:11BOSMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot76
30.4%
79
69.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIAJones Driving Layup (27 PTS)76
35.6%
79
64.4%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
43.2%
77
56.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS House Driving Layup76
49.3%
77
50.7%
Q4 - 5:55BOSEllis STEAL (2 STL)76
43.2%
77
56.8%
Q4 - 6:07BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
53.2%
77
46.8%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot76
50.5%
77
49.5%
Q4 - 6:22BOSPierce Palming Turnover (P6.T16)76
44.4%
77
55.6%
Q4 - 6:32BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
53.1%
77
46.9%
Q4 - 6:34MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
50.4%
77
49.6%
Q4 - 6:54BOSPierce 9' Running Jump Shot (31 PTS)76
44.4%
77
55.6%
Q4 - 6:59BOSCeltics Rebound74
38.0%
77
62.0%
Q4 - 7:01BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
35.4%
77
64.6%
Q4 - 7:14BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
40.3%
77
59.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 274
39.3%
77
60.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
35.5%
77
64.5%
Q4 - 7:31MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
39.4%
76
60.6%
Q4 - 7:33BOSMISS Potapenko 20' Jump Shot74
41.7%
76
58.3%
Q4 - 7:47MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)74
47.0%
76
53.0%
Q4 - 8:06BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)74
59.9%
73
40.1%
Q4 - 8:18BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
47.4%
73
52.6%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 271
46.5%
73
53.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
42.6%
73
57.4%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
47.2%
72
52.8%
Q4 - 8:29BOSEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)71
49.2%
72
50.8%
Q4 - 8:47BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
53.8%
72
46.2%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Strickland 4' Running Jump Shot71
51.8%
72
48.2%
Q4 - 9:10MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
48.1%
72
51.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
52.5%
72
47.5%
Q4 - 9:30MIAHEAT Rebound71
48.1%
72
51.9%
Q4 - 9:31BOSMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q4 - 9:34BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q4 - 9:36BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q4 - 9:53MIAJones 15' Jump Shot (25 PTS)71
54.3%
72
45.7%
Q4 - 10:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q4 - 10:09BOSMISS Walker 8' Jump Shot71
61.3%
70
38.7%
Q4 - 10:22BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
65.3%
70
34.7%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
63.6%
70
36.4%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
59.6%
70
40.4%
Q4 - 10:31BOSMISS Walker 14' Jump Shot71
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q4 - 10:50MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)71
65.3%
70
34.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAJones Driving Layup (22 PTS)71
70.3%
69
29.7%
Q4 - 10:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q4 - 10:59BOSMISS Williams 9' Tip Shot71
75.9%
67
24.1%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)71
77.6%
67
22.4%
Q4 - 11:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q4 - 11:21BOSMISS Palacio 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
74.8%
67
25.2%
Q4 - 11:39BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
77.7%
67
22.3%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot71
76.5%
67
23.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Hamilton 41' 3PT Jump Shot71
76.5%
67
23.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
73.5%
67
26.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0BOSMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
74.4%
67
25.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAStrickland Foul Turnover (P3.T14)71
77.0%
67
23.0%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
73.2%
67
26.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0BOSMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)71
74.4%
67
25.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0BOSPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
77.0%
67
23.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Mourning 10' Hook Shot71
75.9%
67
24.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0BOSWalker 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)71
73.2%
67
26.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
68.7%
67
31.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)69
69.7%
66
30.3%
Q3 - 1:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)69
72.6%
65
27.4%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
75.3%
65
24.7%
Q3 - 1:30BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)69
72.6%
65
27.4%
Q3 - 1:30BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)68
71.8%
65
28.2%
Q3 - 1:48MIAGatling Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)67
68.7%
65
31.3%
Q3 - 2:14BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
71.5%
63
28.5%
Q3 - 2:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)65
68.0%
63
32.0%
Q3 - 2:28MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
63.4%
63
36.6%
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot65
66.6%
63
33.4%
Q3 - 3:01BOSStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)65
63.5%
63
36.5%
Q3 - 3:07BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
55.1%
63
44.9%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Gatling 6' Hook Shot62
53.6%
63
46.4%
Q3 - 3:25MIAHEAT Rebound62
50.3%
63
49.7%
Q3 - 3:29BOSMISS Pierce 20' Jump Shot62
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q3 - 3:53MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)62
55.0%
63
45.0%
Q3 - 4:08BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)62
58.9%
61
41.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAGatling 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)60
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
59.0%
59
41.0%
Q3 - 4:46BOSMISS Pierce Driving Layup60
60.4%
59
39.6%
Q3 - 4:56BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
63.7%
59
36.3%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
62.3%
59
37.7%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
59.2%
59
40.8%
Q3 - 5:17BOSMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 5:40BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
63.4%
59
36.6%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 260
62.9%
59
37.1%
Q3 - 5:41MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
60.7%
59
39.3%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
63.1%
58
36.9%
Q3 - 5:57BOSMISS Pierce 14' Jump Shot60
64.4%
58
35.6%
Q3 - 6:21MIAGatling 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)60
66.9%
58
33.1%
Q3 - 6:28MIAJones Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)60
73.3%
55
26.7%
Q3 - 6:37BOSWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)60
76.4%
54
23.6%
Q3 - 6:55MIAGatling 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)60
79.3%
54
20.7%
Q3 - 7:07BOSPotapenko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T14)60
80.7%
52
19.3%
Q3 - 7:20BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
83.3%
52
16.7%
Q3 - 7:22BOSMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
81.5%
52
18.5%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
83.3%
52
16.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
83.7%
51
16.3%
Q3 - 7:55BOSPierce Out Of Bounds Turnover (P5.T13)60
85.1%
50
14.9%
Q3 - 8:08BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw Technical60
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)60
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 8:23BOSCarter STEAL (2 STL)60
84.8%
50
15.2%
Q3 - 8:30MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)60
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
84.8%
50
15.2%
Q3 - 8:43BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
85.5%
50
14.5%
Q3 - 8:55BOSCeltics Rebound60
86.9%
50
13.1%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
86.3%
50
13.7%
Q3 - 9:13BOSPotapenko 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)60
84.3%
50
15.7%
Q3 - 9:31MIAMarks Illegal Assist Turnover (P2.T10)58
82.4%
50
17.6%
Q3 - 10:02BOSWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)58
79.7%
50
20.3%
Q3 - 10:02BOSWalker 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS)57
77.3%
50
22.7%
Q3 - 10:02BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
75.0%
50
25.0%
Q3 - 10:05BOSMISS Anderson 10' Jump Shot55
72.9%
50
27.1%
Q3 - 10:09MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
75.0%
50
25.0%
Q3 - 10:22BOSWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)55
71.9%
50
28.1%
Q3 - 10:37MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
75.0%
50
25.0%
Q3 - 10:37MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
75.5%
49
24.5%
Q3 - 10:46BOSPierce 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)55
77.3%
48
22.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)52
72.2%
48
27.8%
Q3 - 11:10BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
69.1%
48
30.9%
Q3 - 11:10BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
68.5%
48
31.5%
Q3 - 11:29MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)50
66.2%
48
33.8%
Q3 - 11:47BOSEllis STEAL (1 STL)50
72.0%
45
28.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS50
74.8%
45
25.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound50
74.8%
45
25.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Pierce 17' Jump Shot50
72.9%
45
27.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)50
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)50
74.9%
44
25.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0BOSPierce Layup (15 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)50
77.1%
43
22.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)48
74.0%
43
26.0%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)48
72.1%
43
27.9%
Q2 - 1:03BOSBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
65.1%
43
34.9%
Q2 - 1:05MIAMISS House Driving Layup45
64.6%
43
35.4%
Q2 - 1:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q2 - 1:13BOSMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)45
64.0%
43
36.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)45
65.1%
43
34.9%
Q2 - 1:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
69.3%
41
30.7%
Q2 - 1:35BOSMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot45
69.8%
41
30.2%
Q2 - 1:50MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)45
70.7%
41
29.3%
Q2 - 2:11BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
73.6%
39
26.4%
Q2 - 2:26MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)43
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 2:42BOSPierce 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
76.0%
36
24.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMarks Dunk (4 PTS)41
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 3:00MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
76.0%
34
24.0%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
76.9%
34
23.1%
Q2 - 3:21BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
75.2%
34
24.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
73.2%
34
26.8%
Q2 - 3:54BOSPierce Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)39
75.2%
32
24.8%
Q2 - 4:07MIAJump Ball Marks vs. Blount: Tip to Anderson37
72.7%
32
27.3%
Q2 - 4:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
70.3%
32
29.7%
Q2 - 4:14BOSEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)37
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 4:16BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
72.7%
32
27.3%
Q2 - 4:20BOSJones BLOCK (1 BLK)37
71.1%
32
28.9%
Q2 - 4:29BOSCeltics Rebound37
72.7%
32
27.3%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
72.0%
32
28.0%
Q2 - 4:55BOSWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)37
70.3%
32
29.7%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
72.7%
32
27.3%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
73.1%
31
26.9%
Q2 - 5:16MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
74.6%
30
25.4%
Q2 - 5:18BOSMISS Brown Layup37
75.4%
30
24.6%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 137
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS)37
76.9%
30
23.1%
Q2 - 5:49BOSPierce Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
78.7%
28
21.3%
Q2 - 5:49BOSPierce Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Battie 2 AST)36
76.7%
28
23.3%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
74.7%
28
25.3%
Q2 - 6:01MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 234
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 6:14MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
74.3%
27
25.7%
Q2 - 6:15BOSMISS Strickland Layup34
75.0%
27
25.0%
Q2 - 6:29MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)34
76.7%
27
23.3%
Q2 - 6:34MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
80.1%
24
19.9%
Q2 - 6:36BOSMISS Walker Reverse Layup34
80.7%
24
19.3%
Q2 - 6:42BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
82.1%
24
17.9%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot34
81.5%
24
18.5%
Q2 - 6:51MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
80.1%
24
19.9%
Q2 - 6:53BOSMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot34
80.7%
24
19.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
79.6%
24
20.4%
Q2 - 7:29BOSMISS Strickland 3PT Jump Shot34
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 7:43BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q2 - 7:45BOSMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
80.2%
24
19.8%
Q2 - 7:53BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
81.4%
24
18.6%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Mourning Layup34
80.9%
24
19.1%
Q2 - 8:17BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)34
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 8:37MIAMISS Mourning 10' Jump Shot31
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q2 - 8:46MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)31
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q2 - 8:47MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 131
75.5%
24
24.5%
Q2 - 8:47MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q2 - 9:03BOSMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 131
77.3%
22
22.7%
Q2 - 9:03BOSWalker Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
77.0%
22
23.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)29
75.4%
22
24.6%
Q2 - 9:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
78.8%
19
21.2%
Q2 - 9:44MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot29
80.1%
19
19.9%
Q2 - 10:01BOSStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)29
78.4%
19
21.6%
Q2 - 10:20MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
75.1%
19
24.9%
Q2 - 10:42BOSAnderson 7' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)26
76.7%
17
23.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
74.6%
17
25.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 224
75.0%
16
25.0%
Q2 - 11:20BOSPotapenko 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)24
74.6%
16
25.4%
Q2 - 11:28BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
76.4%
16
23.6%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot24
75.9%
16
24.1%
Q2 - 11:47BOSPalacio Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)24
74.6%
16
25.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS24
76.4%
16
23.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSCeltics Rebound24
76.4%
16
23.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Palacio 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
75.2%
16
24.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)24
75.7%
16
24.3%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0BOSMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot24
74.8%
16
25.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0BOSStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
75.8%
16
24.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Gatling 8' Hook Shot24
75.4%
16
24.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup24
75.4%
16
24.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0BOSMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)24
74.9%
16
25.1%
Q1 - 1:17MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
75.8%
16
24.2%
Q1 - 1:20MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 1:22MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot24
75.3%
16
24.7%
Q1 - 1:37BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)24
74.4%
16
25.6%
Q1 - 1:48BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
70.2%
16
29.8%
Q1 - 1:49MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 221
70.0%
16
30.0%
Q1 - 1:49MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
68.7%
16
31.3%
Q1 - 2:19BOSPotapenko Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)21
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 2:36MIAHouse 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)19
68.5%
15
31.5%
Q1 - 2:55BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
70.6%
13
29.4%
Q1 - 2:55BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
70.2%
13
29.8%
Q1 - 3:01BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot17
67.6%
13
32.4%
Q1 - 3:22BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)17
66.0%
13
34.0%
Q1 - 3:29BOSPotapenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.2%
13
37.8%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Strickland 11' Running Jump Shot14
61.4%
13
38.6%
Q1 - 3:50BOSWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)14
59.8%
13
40.2%
Q1 - 3:57BOSCeltics Rebound12
57.8%
13
42.2%
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q1 - 4:26BOSAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
55.4%
13
44.6%
Q1 - 4:26BOSAnderson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
53.3%
13
46.7%
Q1 - 4:30MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 4:54BOSWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
48.8%
13
51.2%
Q1 - 4:59BOSWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot6
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 5:16BOSMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot6
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 5:26MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 5:31MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.2%
13
56.8%
Q1 - 5:32BOSCarter BLOCK (1 BLK)6
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 5:36BOSWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
45.5%
13
54.5%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot6
44.8%
13
55.2%
Q1 - 5:56BOSWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
43.2%
13
56.8%
Q1 - 5:56BOSWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
42.7%
13
57.3%
Q1 - 6:11BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot4
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 6:30BOSAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)4
39.9%
13
60.1%
Q1 - 6:49MIAJones Finger Roll (3 PTS)4
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 7:08BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)4
44.8%
11
55.2%
Q1 - 7:12BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 7:14BOSMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)4
45.4%
11
54.6%
Q1 - 7:30MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:33BOSCarter STEAL (1 STL)4
48.5%
9
51.5%
Q1 - 7:54MIAEllis 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
50.6%
9
49.4%
Q1 - 8:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 8:17BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 2 of 24
53.1%
7
46.9%
Q1 - 8:17BOSMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 24
54.2%
7
45.8%
Q1 - 8:22BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.9%
7
45.1%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot4
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 8:41BOSPierce Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 8:46BOSBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.9%
7
45.1%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot4
54.3%
7
45.7%
Q1 - 9:13BOSJohnson Dunk (2 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)4
52.5%
7
47.5%
Q1 - 9:22BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
51.1%
7
48.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 9:32MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 9:50BOSPierce 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
50.6%
6
49.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)0
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 10:22BOSMarks STEAL (1 STL)0
50.8%
4
49.2%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 10:57BOSPierce Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 11:05BOSAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 11:24BOSMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot0
55.4%
2
44.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
56.5%
2
43.5%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Battie: Tip to Marks0
58.4%
0
41.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
11
24
46%
MIA
10
17
59%
Midrange
BOS
10
26
38%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
MIA
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
BOS
12
17
71%
MIA
23
31
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Pierce3363%16.5 / 26
A. Walker2854%14.0 / 26
E. Strickland650%3.0 / 6
E. Williams650%3.0 / 6
K. Anderson542%2.5 / 6
V. Potapenko467%2.0 / 3
J. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
T. Battie0-0.0 / 2
M. Palacio0-0.0 / 4
M. Blount0-0.0 / 1
K. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2756%13.5 / 24
C. Gatling1365%6.5 / 10
L. Ellis1179%5.5 / 7
E. House938%4.5 / 12
A. Mourning836%4.0 / 11
A. Carter660%3.0 / 5
S. Marks542%2.5 / 6
R. Strickland422%2.0 / 9
T. Hamilton0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
74
+11
-18
85
MIA
75
+13
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.99 49.4%
MIA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
96.1
BOS 91.3
MIA 92.2 +0.9
Pace
95.1
89.7
BOS 91.6 +1.1
MIA 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.7
BOS 15.7 +0.2
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
46.3%
BOS 49.3% +6.4%
MIA 42.9%
TO %
13.8%
15.5%
BOS 18.3%
MIA 16.1% +2.2%
ORB %
24.1%
26.7%
BOS 21.1%
MIA 25.0% +3.9%
FTrt
29.1
26.8
BOS 23.3
MIA 44.3 +21.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.4%
59.4%
BOS 54.8%
MIA 63.0% +8.2%
STL %
10.1%
7.4%
BOS 9.8% +3.1%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
5.8%
8.7%
BOS 13.7%
MIA 18.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.7%
47.7%
BOS 49.4% +2.8%
MIA 46.6%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.6%
BOS 45.8%
MIA 58.8% +13.0%
Mid FG%
36.6%
38.0%
BOS 38.5% +6.1%
MIA 32.4%
3P %
35.9%
34.7%
BOS 43.5% +11.9%
MIA 31.6%
FT %
76.4%
72.4%
BOS 70.6%
MIA 74.2% +3.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
28.1%
BOS 32.9% +8.6%
MIA 24.3%
Mid Att. %
36.6%
57.8%
BOS 35.6% +13.0%
MIA 48.6%
3P Att. %
28.9%
14.1%
BOS 31.5% +4.4%
MIA 27.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.56 and 2.56.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8483
Rebounds4141
Assists1717
Steals96
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals31-7327-70
At-the-Rim FG11-2410-17
Midrange FG10-2611-34
2-Point FG21-5021-51
3-Point FG10-236-19
Free Throws12-1723-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
45.0
28
54%
3
3
0
2
3
4
1
2
2-4
50%
4-12
33%
6-11
55%
G · 6'1" 168 · 31
32.7
5
42%
6
4
1
0
2
3
1
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 24
30.9
33
63%
4
1
3
2
7
4
1
3
5-6
83%
11-19
58%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 26
20.7
0
0%
5
2
0
2
0
3
2
3
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 20
13.1
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 218 · 28
29.7
6
50%
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 27
22.2
4
67%
7
0
0
0
2
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29
21.1
6
50%
3
3
1
0
2
4
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
15.3
0
0%
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 26
5.1
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 21
4.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 194 · 21
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
49%
41
17
9
7
18
0
8
33
12-17
71%
21-50
42%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.