| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | 78% | 96 | 80 | |
 | 28 | 22% | 86 | 73 | |
| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 95.2 | 84 | 85.4 |
| MIA | 86.9 | 84 | 83.4 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIN
75
+16
-9
91
MIA
68
+16
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIN | MIA |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIN | 80 100% | 73 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:14.0 | MIA | Jones Reverse Layup (12 PTS) | 80 99.9% | 73 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | MIN | Nesterovic Dunk (16 PTS) (Brandon 5 AST) | 80 99.9% | 71 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Stepania Layup (11 PTS) (House 2 AST) | 78 99.7% | 71 0.3% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 78 99.8% | 69 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot | 78 99.8% | 69 0.2% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4) | 78 99.8% | 69 0.2% |
| Q4 - 1:14 | MIN | MISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot | 78 99.7% | 69 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:35 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13) | 78 99.7% | 69 0.3% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | MIA | MISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot | 78 99.6% | 69 0.4% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 78 99.3% | 69 0.7% |
| Q4 - 2:03 | MIN | MISS Peeler 21' Jump Shot | 78 99.4% | 69 0.6% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | MIA | HEAT Turnover: Inbound (T#17) | 78 99.6% | 69 0.4% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | MIN | Brandon Free Throw Technical (19 PTS) | 78 99.3% | 69 0.7% |
| Q4 - 2:24 | MIN | Nesterovic Layup (14 PTS) (Peeler 2 AST) | 77 98.8% | 69 1.2% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | MIN | Brandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 75 98.5% | 69 1.5% |
| Q4 - 2:41 | MIA | MISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot | 75 98.1% | 69 1.9% |
| Q4 - 2:57 | MIN | Szczerbiak 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST) | 75 96.1% | 69 3.9% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | MIA | Stepania Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16) | 72 92.5% | 69 7.5% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 72 87.4% | 69 12.6% |
| Q4 - 3:16 | MIN | MISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot | 72 89.3% | 69 10.7% |
| Q4 - 3:29 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 72 92.7% | 69 7.3% |
| Q4 - 3:30 | MIN | MISS Peeler 3PT Jump Shot | 72 89.4% | 69 10.6% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | MIA | Strickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 72 90.6% | 69 9.4% |
| Q4 - 3:48 | MIA | Strickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 72 91.1% | 68 8.9% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | MIN | Brandon Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 72 93.3% | 67 6.7% |
| Q4 - 4:06 | MIN | Brandon Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 71 93.1% | 67 6.9% |
| Q4 - 4:21 | MIN | Timberwolves Rebound | 70 90.7% | 67 9.3% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | MIA | MISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 2 | 70 90.2% | 67 9.8% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | MIA | MISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 2 | 70 88.2% | 67 11.8% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 70 86.7% | 67 13.3% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | MIN | MISS Smith Reverse Layup | 70 88.0% | 67 12.0% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12) | 70 90.7% | 67 9.3% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIA | MISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 2 | 70 90.2% | 67 9.8% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIA | Stepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 70 88.3% | 67 11.7% |
| Q4 - 4:38 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 70 90.5% | 66 9.5% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | MIN | MISS Brandon 19' Jump Shot | 70 91.5% | 66 8.5% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIA | Stepania Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST) | 70 93.5% | 66 6.5% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 70 95.3% | 64 4.7% |
| Q4 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot | 70 96.4% | 64 3.6% |
| Q4 - 5:10 | MIN | Peeler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST) | 70 94.5% | 64 5.5% |
| Q4 - 5:28 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 68 92.6% | 64 7.4% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | MIA | MISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 2 | 68 92.3% | 64 7.7% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | MIA | MISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 90.8% | 64 9.2% |
| Q4 - 5:32 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 68 89.8% | 64 10.2% |
| Q4 - 5:33 | MIA | MISS Stepania Layup | 68 91.8% | 64 8.2% |
| Q4 - 5:34 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 68 89.8% | 64 10.2% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Jones 10' Jump Shot | 68 91.9% | 64 8.1% |
| Q4 - 5:56 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6) | 68 89.9% | 64 10.1% |
| Q4 - 5:58 | MIN | Jones BLOCK (1 BLK) | 68 90.8% | 64 9.2% |
| Q4 - 6:13 | MIA | House 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 1 AST) | 68 92.2% | 64 7.8% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | MIN | Nesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST) | 68 93.9% | 62 6.1% |
| Q4 - 6:45 | MIN | Timberwolves Rebound | 66 92.2% | 62 7.8% |
| Q4 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot | 66 91.4% | 62 8.6% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 66 89.0% | 62 11.0% |
| Q4 - 7:05 | MIN | MISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot | 66 89.9% | 62 10.1% |
| Q4 - 7:10 | MIN | Timberwolves Rebound | 66 91.7% | 62 8.3% |
| Q4 - 7:11 | MIN | Stepania BLOCK (1 BLK) | 66 89.9% | 62 10.1% |
| Q4 - 7:32 | MIA | House 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST) | 66 91.8% | 62 8.2% |
| Q4 - 7:39 | MIA | Strickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 66 94.9% | 59 5.1% |
| Q4 - 7:41 | MIN | MISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot | 66 95.4% | 59 4.6% |
| Q4 - 8:00 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 66 96.2% | 59 3.8% |
| Q4 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Jones 19' Jump Shot | 66 95.1% | 59 4.9% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | MIN | Szczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) | 66 94.3% | 59 5.7% |
| Q4 - 8:43 | MIA | House 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST) | 64 92.8% | 59 7.2% |
| Q4 - 8:51 | MIN | Billups 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 64 94.3% | 57 5.7% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 62 92.5% | 57 7.5% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | MISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 2 | 62 92.3% | 57 7.7% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIA | Strickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 62 91.0% | 57 9.0% |
| Q4 - 9:11 | MIA | Strickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 62 92.4% | 56 7.6% |
| Q4 - 9:13 | MIA | MISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 62 93.6% | 56 6.4% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | MIA | House Free Throw Technical (10 PTS) | 62 92.4% | 56 7.6% |
| Q4 - 9:41 | MIN | Smith Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 62 93.9% | 55 6.1% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | MIA | Jones 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 62 94.7% | 55 5.3% |
| Q4 - 10:38 | MIN | Garnett Layup (10 PTS) | 62 95.7% | 53 4.3% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 60 94.8% | 53 5.2% |
| Q4 - 10:42 | MIN | MISS Garnett 5' Jump Shot | 60 93.9% | 53 6.1% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | MIN | Timberwolves Rebound | 60 94.8% | 53 5.2% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | MIN | MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot | 60 93.9% | 53 6.1% |
| Q4 - 11:11 | MIA | Marks Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS) | 60 94.1% | 53 5.9% |
| Q4 - 11:13 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5) | 60 95.2% | 51 4.8% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | MIA | MISS House 19' Jump Shot | 60 95.8% | 51 4.2% |
| Q4 - 11:21 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 95.2% | 51 4.8% |
| Q4 - 11:23 | MIN | MISS Billups 19' Jump Shot | 60 95.5% | 51 4.5% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | MIA | Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST) | 60 96.1% | 51 3.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIN | MISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot | 60 97.6% | 48 2.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Jones Traveling Turnover (P5.T15) | 60 97.9% | 48 2.1% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Jones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% |
| Q3 - 0:03.0 | MIN | MISS Billups 18' Jump Shot | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | MIN | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 60 97.7% | 48 2.3% |
| Q3 - 0:28.0 | MIN | MISS Smith 17' Jump Shot | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | MIN | Trent REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 60 97.7% | 48 2.3% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | MIN | MISS Billups 12' Jump Shot | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% |
| Q3 - 1:06 | MIN | Trent REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 60 97.5% | 48 2.5% |
| Q3 - 1:08 | MIA | MISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot | 60 97.4% | 48 2.6% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 60 97.0% | 48 3.0% |
| Q3 - 1:17 | MIN | MISS Trent 12' Jump Shot | 60 97.2% | 48 2.8% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | MIA | Jones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 60 97.5% | 48 2.5% |
| Q3 - 2:01 | MIN | Smith 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 60 97.6% | 46 2.4% |
| Q3 - 2:14 | MIN | Trent REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 58 97.2% | 46 2.8% |
| Q3 - 2:16 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot | 58 96.8% | 46 3.2% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | MIN | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 97.2% | 46 2.8% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | MIA | MISS Marks 5' Jump Shot | 58 97.1% | 46 2.9% |
| Q3 - 2:53 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 58 96.7% | 46 3.3% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | MIN | MISS Trent Free Throw 2 of 2 | 58 96.7% | 46 3.3% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | MIN | MISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 2 | 58 97.1% | 46 2.9% |
| Q3 - 2:59 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14) | 58 97.3% | 46 2.7% |
| Q3 - 3:18 | MIN | Szczerbiak Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 58 96.4% | 46 3.6% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | MIA | Marks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13) | 56 95.8% | 46 4.2% |
| Q3 - 3:39 | MIN | Szczerbiak Driving Layup (15 PTS) | 56 95.0% | 46 5.0% |
| Q3 - 3:44 | MIN | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 54 94.1% | 46 5.9% |
| Q3 - 3:48 | MIA | MISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 93.8% | 46 6.2% |
| Q3 - 4:10 | MIN | Garnett 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 54 92.7% | 46 7.3% |
| Q3 - 4:24 | MIA | Ellis 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 52 91.7% | 46 8.3% |
| Q3 - 4:42 | MIN | Trent Foul Turnover (P2.T8) | 52 92.8% | 44 7.2% |
| Q3 - 4:48 | MIN | Trent REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 94.0% | 44 6.0% |
| Q3 - 4:51 | MIA | MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot | 52 93.6% | 44 6.4% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 52 92.6% | 44 7.4% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | MIN | MISS Trent 4' Jump Shot | 52 92.9% | 44 7.1% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | MIN | Trent REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 52 93.7% | 44 6.3% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | MIN | MISS Brandon 15' Jump Shot | 52 92.9% | 44 7.1% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 52 93.7% | 44 6.3% |
| Q3 - 5:23 | MIA | MISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot | 52 93.4% | 44 6.6% |
| Q3 - 5:40 | MIN | Smith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 52 92.6% | 44 7.4% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | MIA | Stepania 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 50 91.2% | 44 8.8% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | MIN | Brandon Dunk (16 PTS) | 50 92.4% | 42 7.6% |
| Q3 - 6:29 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 48 91.2% | 42 8.8% |
| Q3 - 6:40 | MIN | Trent Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 48 89.8% | 42 10.2% |
| Q3 - 6:45 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9) | 48 91.2% | 42 8.8% |
| Q3 - 6:47 | MIA | MISS Jones 9' Jump Shot | 48 90.8% | 42 9.2% |
| Q3 - 6:54 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 48 89.8% | 42 10.2% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | MIN | MISS Brandon 18' Jump Shot | 48 90.2% | 42 9.8% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | MIN | Timberwolves Rebound | 48 90.9% | 42 9.1% |
| Q3 - 7:17 | MIA | MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot | 48 90.4% | 42 9.6% |
| Q3 - 7:28 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 48 89.3% | 42 10.7% |
| Q3 - 7:30 | MIN | MISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot | 48 89.8% | 42 10.2% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | MIA | Stepania Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 6 AST) | 48 90.9% | 42 9.1% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | MIN | Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) | 48 92.0% | 40 8.0% |
| Q3 - 8:08 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8) | 46 90.9% | 40 9.1% |
| Q3 - 8:10 | MIA | MISS Marks 18' Jump Shot | 46 90.5% | 40 9.5% |
| Q3 - 8:22 | MIN | Szczerbiak 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Smith 1 AST) | 46 89.4% | 40 10.6% |
| Q3 - 8:39 | MIA | Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 5 AST) | 44 88.1% | 40 11.9% |
| Q3 - 8:52 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 44 90.7% | 37 9.3% |
| Q3 - 8:53 | MIA | MISS Marks 18' Jump Shot | 44 91.7% | 37 8.3% |
| Q3 - 9:08 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 44 90.8% | 37 9.2% |
| Q3 - 9:09 | MIN | MISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot | 44 91.2% | 37 8.8% |
| Q3 - 9:19 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 44 92.0% | 37 8.0% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Carter 15' Jump Shot | 44 91.6% | 37 8.4% |
| Q3 - 9:41 | MIN | Nesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 44 90.8% | 37 9.2% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | MIA | Marks 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 44 92.0% | 37 8.0% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIN | Garnett 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 44 93.0% | 35 7.0% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 42 92.1% | 35 7.9% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | MIN | MISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot | 42 91.3% | 35 8.7% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | MIA | Marks Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 42 92.1% | 35 7.9% |
| Q3 - 10:46 | MIA | MISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 2 | 42 92.4% | 34 7.6% |
| Q3 - 10:56 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 42 92.0% | 34 8.0% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | MIN | MISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot | 42 92.3% | 34 7.7% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | MIA | Ellis 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 42 93.1% | 34 6.9% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | MIN | Jones STEAL (1 STL) | 42 93.9% | 32 6.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 42 94.7% | 32 5.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 42 93.9% | 32 6.1% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot | 42 94.2% | 32 5.8% |
| Q2 - 0:21.0 | MIN | Mitchell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 42 94.4% | 32 5.6% |
| Q2 - 0:23.0 | MIN | MISS Garnett 16' Turnaround Jump Shot | 42 94.0% | 32 6.0% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Ellis Layup (10 PTS) | 42 94.4% | 32 5.6% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | MIA | Ellis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 42 95.2% | 30 4.8% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | MIA | MISS Mack 20' Jump Shot | 42 95.5% | 30 4.5% |
| Q2 - 1:07 | MIN | Szczerbiak Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 42 95.1% | 30 4.9% |
| Q2 - 1:23 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 42 95.4% | 30 4.6% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | MIA | MISS House 15' Jump Shot | 42 95.3% | 30 4.7% |
| Q2 - 1:49 | MIN | Smith Layup (4 PTS) (Brandon 4 AST) | 42 95.1% | 30 4.9% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | MIA | MISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 1 | 40 94.0% | 30 6.0% |
| Q2 - 2:04 | MIA | Ellis 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marks 1 AST) | 40 94.0% | 30 6.0% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | MIN | Garnett 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 40 94.8% | 28 5.2% |
| Q2 - 2:39 | MIA | Ellis 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST) | 38 94.0% | 28 6.0% |
| Q2 - 3:02 | MIN | Nesterovic Layup (10 PTS) | 38 94.5% | 26 5.5% |
| Q2 - 3:04 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 36 93.9% | 26 6.1% |
| Q2 - 3:06 | MIN | MISS Brandon Driving Layup | 36 93.4% | 26 6.6% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 36 93.9% | 26 6.1% |
| Q2 - 3:18 | MIA | MISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot | 36 93.7% | 26 6.3% |
| Q2 - 3:27 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 36 93.1% | 26 6.9% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIN | MISS Nesterovic Layup | 36 93.4% | 26 6.6% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | MIA | Marks 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST) | 36 93.9% | 26 6.1% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | MIN | Szczerbiak Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Brandon 3 AST) | 36 94.4% | 24 5.6% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 34 93.8% | 24 6.2% |
| Q2 - 4:13 | MIA | MISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 93.6% | 24 6.4% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | MIN | Szczerbiak 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 34 93.1% | 24 6.9% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | MIN | Peeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 32 92.3% | 24 7.7% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | MIA | MISS Marks Layup | 32 92.0% | 24 8.0% |
| Q2 - 4:53 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 32 91.4% | 24 8.6% |
| Q2 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS Stepania 4' Jump Shot | 32 92.0% | 24 8.0% |
| Q2 - 4:56 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 32 91.4% | 24 8.6% |
| Q2 - 4:58 | MIA | MISS Mack 3PT Jump Shot | 32 92.0% | 24 8.0% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 32 91.4% | 24 8.6% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 91.5% | 24 8.5% |
| Q2 - 5:19 | MIN | Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 32 92.1% | 24 7.9% |
| Q2 - 5:23 | MIA | Strickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 31 91.5% | 24 8.5% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | MIN | Brandon Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 31 90.5% | 24 9.5% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | MIN | Brandon Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 30 90.4% | 24 9.6% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | MIA | Hamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10) | 29 89.5% | 24 10.5% |
| Q2 - 5:57 | MIN | Nesterovic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 29 88.3% | 24 11.7% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | MIN | Peeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 87.4% | 24 12.6% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | MIA | MISS Marks 19' Jump Shot | 27 86.9% | 24 13.1% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | MIN | Nesterovic Dunk (6 PTS) | 27 85.9% | 24 14.1% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 25 84.8% | 24 15.2% |
| Q2 - 6:29 | MIN | MISS Smith 12' Jump Shot | 25 83.5% | 24 16.5% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | MIA | House Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 25 84.7% | 24 15.3% |
| Q2 - 6:58 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 25 83.0% | 24 17.0% |
| Q2 - 7:00 | MIA | MISS House 19' Jump Shot | 25 84.2% | 24 15.8% |
| Q2 - 7:13 | MIN | Nesterovic Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST) | 25 83.2% | 24 16.8% |
| Q2 - 7:20 | MIA | Strickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 23 81.8% | 24 18.2% |
| Q2 - 7:35 | MIN | Smith Traveling Turnover (P1.T3) | 23 80.1% | 24 19.9% |
| Q2 - 7:54 | MIA | Hamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST) | 23 81.8% | 24 18.2% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | MIA | Strickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 83.1% | 22 16.9% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | MIN | MISS Trent Layup | 23 83.6% | 22 16.4% |
| Q2 - 8:19 | MIA | Stepania Tip Shot (2 PTS) | 23 84.7% | 22 15.3% |
| Q2 - 8:22 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 23 85.8% | 20 14.2% |
| Q2 - 8:25 | MIA | MISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot | 23 86.8% | 20 13.2% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 23 85.8% | 20 14.2% |
| Q2 - 8:44 | MIN | MISS Trent 13' Jump Shot | 23 86.2% | 20 13.8% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | MIA | House 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 23 87.2% | 20 12.8% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | MIN | Woods 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2) | 23 88.2% | 18 11.8% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | MIN | Trent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 89.3% | 18 10.7% |
| Q2 - 9:27 | MIA | MISS House 19' Jump Shot | 23 88.9% | 18 11.1% |
| Q2 - 9:34 | MIA | House Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 23 88.1% | 18 11.9% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | MIA | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 89.2% | 17 10.8% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | MIN | MISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot | 23 89.5% | 17 10.5% |
| Q2 - 9:57 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 23 90.2% | 17 9.8% |
| Q2 - 9:59 | MIA | MISS Stepania Layup | 23 89.9% | 17 10.1% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 23 88.9% | 17 11.1% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | MIN | MISS Peeler 18' Jump Shot | 23 89.3% | 17 10.7% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIA | House Driving Layup (6 PTS) | 23 90.0% | 17 10.0% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 23 90.8% | 15 9.2% |
| Q2 - 10:44 | MIN | MISS Trent Layup | 23 91.0% | 15 9.0% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | House Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 23 91.7% | 15 8.3% |
| Q2 - 11:03 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 23 90.8% | 15 9.2% |
| Q2 - 11:04 | MIN | MISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot | 23 91.0% | 15 9.0% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | MIN | Woods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 91.6% | 15 8.4% |
| Q2 - 11:18 | MIA | MISS House 18' Jump Shot | 23 91.3% | 15 8.7% |
| Q2 - 11:33 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 23 90.8% | 15 9.2% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIN | MISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot | 23 91.0% | 15 9.0% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 23 91.6% | 15 8.4% |
| Q2 - 11:40 | MIN | MISS Garnett 11' Jump Shot | 23 91.0% | 15 9.0% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 23 91.6% | 15 8.4% | |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | MIN | Trent Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 23 90.7% | 15 9.3% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | MIN | MISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 90.5% | 15 9.5% |
| Q1 - 0:18.0 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 22 90.5% | 15 9.5% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | MIA | MISS Gatling 2' Jump Shot | 22 90.3% | 15 9.7% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | MIN | Brandon Finger Roll (12 PTS) | 22 89.9% | 15 10.1% |
| Q1 - 0:49.0 | MIA | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 20 88.8% | 15 11.2% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIN | Brandon 9' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 20 88.0% | 15 12.0% |
| Q1 - 1:26 | MIA | House 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST) | 18 86.8% | 15 13.2% |
| Q1 - 1:40 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 18 88.0% | 13 12.0% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | MIN | MISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot | 18 88.3% | 13 11.7% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | MIN | Szczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 88.8% | 13 11.2% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | MISS Marks 19' Jump Shot | 18 88.6% | 13 11.4% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | MIN | Brandon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 18 88.1% | 13 11.9% |
| Q1 - 2:19 | MIA | Gatling Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5) | 16 87.0% | 13 13.0% |
| Q1 - 2:28 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 16 86.0% | 13 14.0% |
| Q1 - 2:30 | MIN | MISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot | 16 86.3% | 13 13.7% |
| Q1 - 2:47 | MIA | House 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 16 87.0% | 13 13.0% |
| Q1 - 3:13 | MIA | MISS House Free Throw Technical | 16 87.9% | 11 12.1% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | MIN | Ellis STEAL (1 STL) | 16 88.0% | 11 12.0% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | MIN | Brandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 16 89.0% | 11 11.0% |
| Q1 - 3:37 | MIA | MISS Gatling 18' Jump Shot | 16 88.7% | 11 11.3% |
| Q1 - 3:50 | MIA | Ellis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 16 88.0% | 11 12.0% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | MIN | MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot | 16 88.3% | 11 11.7% |
| Q1 - 4:10 | MIA | Marks Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 16 89.2% | 11 10.8% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIN | Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 16 89.8% | 9 10.2% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIN | Szczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 15 89.7% | 9 10.3% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 14 89.1% | 9 10.9% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot | 14 88.4% | 9 11.6% |
| Q1 - 4:52 | MIA | Ellis 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 14 89.1% | 9 10.9% |
| Q1 - 4:53 | MIA | Ellis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 89.8% | 7 10.2% |
| Q1 - 4:55 | MIA | MISS Carter 15' Jump Shot | 14 90.4% | 7 9.6% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | MIA | Gatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 89.8% | 7 10.2% |
| Q1 - 5:16 | MIA | MISS Jones 20' Jump Shot | 14 90.4% | 7 9.6% |
| Q1 - 5:31 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 14 89.8% | 7 10.2% |
| Q1 - 5:33 | MIA | MISS Ellis 10' Jump Shot | 14 90.4% | 7 9.6% |
| Q1 - 5:53 | MIN | Brandon Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST) | 14 89.8% | 7 10.2% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | MIA | Gatling Foul Turnover (P1.T4) | 12 88.9% | 7 11.1% |
| Q1 - 6:13 | MIN | Smith 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brandon 2 AST) | 12 88.1% | 7 11.9% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | MIA | Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 10 87.2% | 7 12.8% |
| Q1 - 6:32 | MIA | Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 10 87.4% | 6 12.6% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | MIN | Brandon 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 10 88.1% | 5 11.9% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | MIA | Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 8 87.3% | 5 12.7% |
| Q1 - 7:23 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 8 88.8% | 2 11.2% |
| Q1 - 7:25 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak 17' Jump Shot | 8 89.1% | 2 10.9% |
| Q1 - 7:30 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 89.6% | 2 10.4% |
| Q1 - 7:32 | MIA | MISS Stepania 9' Hook Shot | 8 89.4% | 2 10.6% |
| Q1 - 7:56 | MIN | Szczerbiak Dunk (2 PTS) (Brandon 1 AST) | 8 88.8% | 2 11.2% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | MIN | Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 6 88.1% | 2 11.9% |
| Q1 - 8:02 | MIA | MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot | 6 88.3% | 2 11.7% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | MIN | Nesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST) | 6 87.6% | 2 12.4% |
| Q1 - 8:33 | MIA | Jones Foul Turnover (P2.T3) | 4 86.9% | 2 13.1% |
| Q1 - 8:52 | MIN | Brandon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST) | 4 85.9% | 2 14.1% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | MIN | Brandon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 85.1% | 2 14.9% |
| Q1 - 9:07 | MIA | MISS Ellis 8' Hook Shot | 2 84.7% | 2 15.3% |
| Q1 - 9:12 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 83.8% | 2 16.2% |
| Q1 - 9:14 | MIA | MISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot | 2 84.7% | 2 15.3% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 83.8% | 2 16.2% |
| Q1 - 9:23 | MIN | MISS Brandon 18' Jump Shot | 2 84.2% | 2 15.8% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | MIA | Stepania Foul Turnover (P1.T2) | 2 85.1% | 2 14.9% |
| Q1 - 10:05 | MIA | HEAT Rebound | 2 83.9% | 2 16.1% |
| Q1 - 10:06 | MIN | MISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot | 2 84.3% | 2 15.7% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | MIN | Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 2 85.0% | 2 15.0% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MIN | MISS Brandon 9' Jump Shot | 2 84.2% | 2 15.8% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | MIA | Marks Dunk (2 PTS) | 2 85.0% | 2 15.0% |
| Q1 - 10:35 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 85.8% | 0 14.2% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | MIA | MISS Carter 7' Jump Shot | 2 86.5% | 0 13.5% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | MIN | Garnett Driving Dunk (2 PTS) | 2 85.9% | 0 14.1% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | MIA | Jones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 85.0% | 0 15.0% |
| Q1 - 11:30 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 84.1% | 0 15.9% |
| Q1 - 11:32 | MIN | MISS Nesterovic 8' Jump Shot | 0 84.4% | 0 15.6% |
| Q1 - 11:38 | MIN | Garnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 85.0% | 0 15.0% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | MIA | MISS Marks 20' Jump Shot | 0 84.7% | 0 15.3% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIA | Jump Ball Marks vs. Garnett: Tip to Carter | 0 84.1% | 0 15.9% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIN
17
24
71%
MIA
12
19
63%
Midrange
MIN
17
58
29%
MIA
14
45
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIN
1
1.5
2
50%
75%
MIA
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIN
9
13
69%
MIA
9
18
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Timberwolves| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Szczerbiak | 22 | 61% | 11.0 / 18 | |
| T. Brandon | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| R. Nesterovic | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
| K. Garnett | 10 | 26% | 5.0 / 19 | |
| J. Smith | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| A. Peeler | 2 | 25% | 1.0 / 4 | |
| C. Billups | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| G. Trent | 1 | 7% | 0.5 / 7 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ellis | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| E. House | 17 | 65% | 8.5 / 13 | |
| E. Jones | 12 | 55% | 6.0 / 11 | |
| S. Marks | 11 | 39% | 5.5 / 14 | |
| V. Stepania | 11 | 42% | 5.5 / 13 | |
| R. Strickland | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| T. Hamilton | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| A. Carter | 0 | - | 0.0 / 5 | |
| C. Gatling | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| S. Mack | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIN
75
+16
-9
91
MIA
68
+16
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIN
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.85 42.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 106.6 96.1 | MIN 95.2 +8.3 MIA 86.9 |
| Pace | 92.8 89.7 | MIN 85.4 +1.9 MIA 83.4 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.4 16.7 | MIN 16.9 +0.4 MIA 17.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 49.0% 46.3% | MIN 42.3% MIA 43.2% +0.9% |
| TO % | 14.0% 15.5% | MIN 9.1% +8.1% MIA 17.2% |
| ORB % | 31.3% 26.7% | MIN 32.6% +0.8% MIA 31.8% |
| FTrt | 25.5 26.8 | MIN 15.5 MIA 24.3 +8.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 62.8% 59.4% | MIN 40.0% MIA 53.3% +13.3% |
| STL % | 6.9% 7.4% | MIN 9.5% +7.1% MIA 2.4% |
| BLK % | 8.0% 8.7% | MIN 4.7% +2.3% MIA 2.4% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.9% 47.7% | MIN 44.0% +1.6% MIA 42.4% |
| Rim FG% | 59.4% 60.6% | MIN 70.8% +7.6% MIA 63.2% |
| Mid FG% | 42.1% 38.0% | MIN 29.3% MIA 31.1% +1.8% |
| 3P % | 37.8% 34.7% | MIN 50.0% +10.0% MIA 40.0% |
| FT % | 79.8% 72.4% | MIN 69.2% +19.2% MIA 50.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 26.8% 28.1% | MIN 28.6% +2.9% MIA 25.7% |
| Mid Att. % | 58.0% 57.8% | MIN 69.0% MIA 60.8% +8.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 15.2% 14.1% | MIN 2.4% MIA 13.5% +11.1% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | MIN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 84 | 84 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.6 | 24.2 |
| Points | 80 | 73 |
| Rebounds | 44 | 43 |
| Assists | 14 | 16 |
| Steals | 8 | 2 |
| Blocks | 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 9 (0) | 16 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 14 (2) | 14 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 30 (3) | 29 (6) |
| Field Goals | 35-84 | 30-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 17-24 | 12-19 |
| Midrange FG | 17-58 | 14-45 |
| 2-Point FG | 34-82 | 26-64 |
| 3-Point FG | 1-2 | 4-10 |
| Free Throws | 9-13 | 9-18 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.