FinalWin Prob.pScore
1221%93
98
279%103
104
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
98.0100101.3
DET logo DET
101.0103101.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - 0:00.0IND98
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 296
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)96
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 295
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0INDMISS Tinsley 12' Running Jump Shot95
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)95
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DETMISS Moore Dunk95
1.9%
99
98.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDMISS Rogers Free Throw 2 of 295
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)95
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 294
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDRogers Tip Shot (7 PTS)94
1.1%
98
98.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDRogers REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)92
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDMISS Tinsley Layup92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
1.0%
98
99.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0DETJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)92
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)91
2.1%
96
97.9%
Q4 - 1:03DETPISTONS Rebound90
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q4 - 1:05DETMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot90
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 1:27INDPacers Rebound90
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 1:27INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)90
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 1:27INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 289
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 1:37DETWilliamson 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)89
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 1:58INDTinsley 9' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS)89
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 2:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)87
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 2:13DETMISS Robinson Layup87
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 2:31INDRose Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)87
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 2:50DETWilliamson Layup (12 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)87
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 3:03INDFoster Foul Turnover (P3.T18)87
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 3:10INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
6.1%
92
93.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot87
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 3:32INDTinsley 12' Running Jump Shot (21 PTS)87
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 3:48DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P2.T15)85
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 3:59DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 4:02INDMISS Tinsley Layup85
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 4:13INDPacers Rebound85
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 4:15INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot85
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 4:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)85
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 4:31DETMISS Robinson 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q4 - 4:52INDTinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)85
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 5:07DETJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)82
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 5:28INDRogers Layup (5 PTS)82
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 5:35DETJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)80
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:37DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 5:40INDWilliamson BLOCK (2 BLK)80
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 5:47INDPacers Rebound80
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:48INDMISS Rose 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 5:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)80
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:53INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot80
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 6:07DETRobinson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stackhouse 6 AST)80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 6:27INDMiller Layup (15 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)80
3.4%
87
96.6%
Q4 - 6:41DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 178
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 6:41DETStackhouse Layup (16 PTS)78
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 6:44DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 6:46INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot78
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 7:06DETBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)78
5.4%
85
94.6%
Q4 - 7:23INDMiller Layup (13 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)78
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 7:33DETStackhouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)76
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 7:49INDMiller 17' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 8:13DETJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)74
4.7%
82
95.3%
Q4 - 8:31INDRogers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)74
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q4 - 8:31INDRogers Layup (2 PTS)73
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 8:31INDRogers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 8:33INDMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot71
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q4 - 8:49DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 8:49DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q4 - 8:49DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 8:54INDWilliamson BLOCK (1 BLK)71
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 9:16INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 9:18DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q4 - 9:30DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q4 - 9:56DETBarry Driving Layup (7 PTS)71
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q4 - 10:13INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)71
10.3%
75
89.7%
Q4 - 10:14INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)71
12.7%
75
87.3%
Q4 - 10:15DETMISS Moore Free Throw 2 of 271
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q4 - 10:15DETMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
11.1%
75
88.9%
Q4 - 10:20INDBarry STEAL (1 STL)71
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q4 - 10:24INDRogers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 10:25INDMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot71
13.4%
74
86.6%
Q4 - 10:40DETWilliamson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)71
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q4 - 10:58INDCroshere Layup (9 PTS)71
12.5%
74
87.5%
Q4 - 10:59INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q4 - 11:01INDMISS Rogers Layup69
9.5%
74
90.5%
Q4 - 11:04INDBender REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q4 - 11:09DETMISS Williamson 12' Running Jump Shot69
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q4 - 11:21INDRose 17' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
8.9%
74
91.1%
Q4 - 11:41DETWilliamson 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound67
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Moore Jump Shot67
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMISS Williamson 19' Jump Shot67
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q3 - 0:25.0INDMISS Croshere 19' Jump Shot67
9.8%
72
90.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
11.1%
72
88.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot67
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0INDRose 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
9.2%
72
90.8%
Q3 - 1:15DETWilliamson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)65
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 1:27INDCroshere Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
9.4%
70
90.6%
Q3 - 1:27INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 1:43INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 1:45DETMISS Barros 14' Jump Shot63
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 1:55INDRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 1:55INDRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 2:11DETBarros 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)61
5.8%
70
94.2%
Q3 - 2:22INDBender Foul Turnover (P2.T15)61
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 2:36INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)61
9.7%
67
90.3%
Q3 - 2:38DETMISS Moore Tip Shot61
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 2:39DETMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 2:41DETMISS Stackhouse 15' Jump Shot61
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 2:52DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 2:52INDMISS Croshere Free Throw 2 of 261
8.2%
67
91.8%
Q3 - 2:52INDCroshere Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
9.2%
67
90.8%
Q3 - 2:56INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)60
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 2:58DETMISS Barros 19' Jump Shot60
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 3:11DETPISTONS Rebound60
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 3:13INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot60
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 3:29DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 3:29DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 3:32INDCurry STEAL (1 STL)60
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 3:45DETStackhouse Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)60
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 4:00DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 4:02INDMISS Croshere 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 4:17DETCurry Reverse Layup (2 PTS)60
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 4:35INDCroshere 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS)60
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 4:48DETMoore Foul Turnover (P2.T10)58
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 4:55INDMoore STEAL (2 STL)58
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 4:59INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 5:01DETMISS Barros Layup58
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 5:05DETMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 5:08INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot58
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 5:26DETMISS Moore Free Throw 1 of 158
11.6%
63
88.4%
Q3 - 5:26DETMoore Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)58
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 5:43INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS)58
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 5:59DETStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)56
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 6:08INDRose 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q3 - 6:32DETStackhouse Driving Layup (10 PTS)54
11.9%
59
88.1%
Q3 - 6:42DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
13.5%
57
86.5%
Q3 - 6:44INDMISS Foster 20' Jump Shot54
14.2%
57
85.8%
Q3 - 6:58DETBarros Driving Layup (7 PTS)54
15.7%
57
84.3%
Q3 - 7:20DETPISTONS Rebound54
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q3 - 7:21INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot54
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 7:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 7:47DETMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q3 - 7:53DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q3 - 7:55INDMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot54
18.3%
55
81.7%
Q3 - 8:01DETMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)54
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 8:04INDMoore STEAL (1 STL)54
17.4%
55
82.6%
Q3 - 8:18DETRobinson 12' Driving Layup (8 PTS)54
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q3 - 8:34INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
22.3%
53
77.7%
Q3 - 8:34INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
21.8%
53
78.2%
Q3 - 8:43INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 8:45INDMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot52
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q3 - 8:47INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
20.1%
53
79.9%
Q3 - 8:49INDMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot52
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q3 - 9:12DETMoore Dunk (2 PTS) (Barros 2 AST)52
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q3 - 9:18DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q3 - 9:21INDMISS Foster Layup52
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q3 - 9:24INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
24.3%
51
75.7%
Q3 - 9:26DETMISS Moore Layup52
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q3 - 9:43INDRose 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
21.7%
51
78.3%
Q3 - 9:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q3 - 9:52DETMISS Moore 6' Hook Shot50
18.7%
51
81.3%
Q3 - 10:04DETPISTONS Rebound50
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q3 - 10:06INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot50
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q3 - 10:19DETRebraca Foul Turnover (P3.T8)50
18.9%
51
81.1%
Q3 - 10:32INDRobinson STEAL (2 STL)50
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q3 - 10:49DETRebraca Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)50
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q3 - 11:08INDRose 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)50
16.3%
51
83.7%
Q3 - 11:13INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 11:15DETMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot48
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q3 - 11:24INDFoster Foul Turnover (P2.T10)48
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q3 - 11:26INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 11:29DETMISS Rebraca Layup48
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q3 - 11:44DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q3 - 11:47INDMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot48
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETJones Driving Layup (8 PTS)48
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0DETPISTONS Rebound48
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0DETMISS Barry 8' Running Jump Shot48
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDBrezec Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
16.7%
49
83.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDMISS Brezec Free Throw 1 of 247
16.1%
49
83.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDPacers Rebound47
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMISS Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.3%
49
84.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETBarry 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)47
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 1:04INDStackhouse STEAL (1 STL)47
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q2 - 1:13INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
16.1%
49
83.9%
Q2 - 1:15DETMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 1:31INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
15.2%
49
84.8%
Q2 - 1:31INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 246
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 1:50DETJones 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)46
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 2:10INDBrezec Layup (4 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)46
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 2:17INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 2:19DETMISS Robinson 10' Jump Shot44
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q2 - 2:45INDMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 2:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 2:58DETMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot41
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 3:06INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 3:07INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 3:10DETMISS Barry 28' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 3:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 3:31INDMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot41
11.1%
46
88.9%
Q2 - 3:36INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 3:37DETMISS Barry Layup41
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 3:38DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 3:40DETMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 3:59INDFoster 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)41
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 4:22DETBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
9.6%
46
90.4%
Q2 - 4:26DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
11.9%
43
88.1%
Q2 - 4:28INDMISS Croshere Layup39
12.2%
43
87.8%
Q2 - 4:43DETWilliamson Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)39
13.1%
43
86.9%
Q2 - 5:02INDFoster 14' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
14.3%
41
85.7%
Q2 - 5:30DETJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)37
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 5:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
15.8%
38
84.2%
Q2 - 5:47INDMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot37
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 6:02DETStackhouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:06INDWilliamson STEAL (2 STL)37
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:22DETWilliamson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)37
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 6:43INDBender 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
18.7%
36
81.3%
Q2 - 7:09DETStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)35
17.2%
36
82.8%
Q2 - 7:12INDWilliamson STEAL (1 STL)35
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 7:26INDRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
20.5%
34
79.5%
Q2 - 7:26DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 235
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 7:26DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 235
19.3%
34
80.7%
Q2 - 7:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 7:42INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 235
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 7:42INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q2 - 7:47INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
18.8%
34
81.2%
Q2 - 7:48DETMISS Williamson 13' Jump Shot34
18.3%
34
81.7%
Q2 - 7:56DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 7:58INDMISS Croshere 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 8:08DETRobinson Layup (6 PTS)34
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 8:10DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 8:12DETMISS Williamson Layup34
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 8:32INDTinsley 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)34
20.1%
32
79.9%
Q2 - 8:48DETWilliamson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
18.7%
32
81.3%
Q2 - 9:05INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T5)32
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 9:23INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q2 - 9:25DETMISS Barry 18' Jump Shot32
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q2 - 9:31DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 9:33INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot32
20.4%
30
79.6%
Q2 - 9:48DETBarry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q2 - 10:05INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)32
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q2 - 10:37INDCroshere REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 10:40DETMISS Robinson 12' Running Jump Shot32
24.6%
28
75.4%
Q2 - 10:47DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
23.2%
28
76.8%
Q2 - 10:49INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot32
23.8%
28
76.2%
Q2 - 11:07DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)32
24.4%
28
75.6%
Q2 - 11:09DETPISTONS Rebound32
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q2 - 11:10DETMISS Williamson 12' Jump Shot32
27.6%
26
72.4%
Q2 - 11:21INDBender 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
26.3%
26
73.7%
Q2 - 11:44DETAtkins Layup (2 PTS)30
24.5%
26
75.5%
Q2 - 11:49INDRobinson STEAL (1 STL)30
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET30
28.3%
24
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot30
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 0:08.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETMISS Stackhouse Layup30
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot30
26.5%
24
73.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
27.5%
24
72.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0DETMISS Stackhouse Dunk30
27.1%
24
72.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0DETMISS Rebraca 12' Jump Shot28
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q1 - 1:04INDBender Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 1:04INDMISS Bender Free Throw 1 of 227
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:14DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)27
22.2%
24
77.8%
Q1 - 1:14DETMISS Rebraca Free Throw 1 of 227
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 1:33INDTinsley 15' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 1:44DETRebraca Foul Turnover (P1.T4)25
20.6%
23
79.4%
Q1 - 1:56INDCroshere Driving Dunk (2 PTS)25
19.4%
23
80.6%
Q1 - 2:09INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 2:10INDMISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot23
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 2:27DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 2:27DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 2:34INDHarrington Tip Shot (4 PTS)23
19.2%
21
80.8%
Q1 - 2:35INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 2:38INDMISS Harrington 9' Hook Shot21
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 3:06DETWallace Dunk (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)21
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 3:22INDRose 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)21
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q1 - 3:34DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)19
17.6%
19
82.4%
Q1 - 3:45INDCroshere Foul Turnover (P1.T2)19
16.2%
19
83.8%
Q1 - 3:55DETRobinson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)19
17.6%
19
82.4%
Q1 - 4:09INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T1)19
15.8%
19
84.2%
Q1 - 4:23DETBarros 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)19
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 4:26DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 4:29DETMISS Barros 11' Running Jump Shot19
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 4:48INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 5:04DETRobinson Layup (4 PTS)17
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 5:16INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 5:16INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 5:20INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 5:23DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 5:38DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 5:40INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot15
17.1%
14
82.9%
Q1 - 6:00INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 6:03DETMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot15
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 6:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 6:14INDMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot15
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 6:21INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17.7%
14
82.3%
Q1 - 6:23DETMISS Stackhouse 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
17.3%
14
82.7%
Q1 - 6:41INDFoster Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 6:43INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 6:46INDMISS Harrington Layup13
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 6:47INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 6:49INDMISS Harrington Layup13
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 6:57DETBarros 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
15.5%
14
84.5%
Q1 - 7:11INDRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)13
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 7:27DETStackhouse 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
14.3%
12
85.7%
Q1 - 7:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 7:42INDMISS Tinsley 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
15.5%
10
84.5%
Q1 - 7:55DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
16.3%
10
83.7%
Q1 - 7:55DETWallace Layup (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)10
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 8:07INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)10
18.1%
7
81.9%
Q1 - 8:30DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:47INDTinsley Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
15.9%
7
84.1%
Q1 - 8:55DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
15.1%
7
84.9%
Q1 - 8:55DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
15.2%
6
84.8%
Q1 - 9:19INDTinsley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
15.7%
5
84.3%
Q1 - 9:23INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.0%
5
85.0%
Q1 - 9:24DETMISS Barros 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 9:28DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 9:30DETMISS Robinson 11' Jump Shot4
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 9:45INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 9:59DETRobinson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
13.2%
5
86.8%
Q1 - 10:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.8%
3
86.2%
Q1 - 10:23INDMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot2
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:31INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.9%
3
85.1%
Q1 - 10:33DETMISS Barros 18' Jump Shot2
14.5%
3
85.5%
Q1 - 10:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.8%
3
86.2%
Q1 - 10:36INDMISS Brezec Layup2
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:38INDBrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
14.9%
3
85.1%
Q1 - 10:43INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
14.1%
3
85.9%
Q1 - 10:56DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
14.9%
3
85.1%
Q1 - 10:56DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 22
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:19INDBrezec Layup (2 PTS)2
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:41DETWallace 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Barros 1 AST)0
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Foster: Tip to Curry0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.5%
DET
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
23
57%
DET
17
28
61%
Midrange
IND
21
49
43%
DET
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
DET
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
IND
21
29
72%
DET
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tinsley2861%14.0 / 23
J. Rose1740%8.5 / 21
R. Miller1563%7.5 / 12
A. Croshere950%4.5 / 9
C. Rogers867%4.0 / 6
J. Foster758%3.5 / 6
P. Brezec550%2.5 / 5
J. Bender563%2.5 / 4
A. Harrington420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse1853%9.0 / 17
D. Jones1689%8.0 / 9
C. Williamson1454%7.0 / 13
J. Barry1464%7.0 / 11
C. Robinson1142%5.5 / 13
D. Barros1050%5.0 / 10
B. Wallace867%4.0 / 6
M. Moore528%2.5 / 9
C. Atkins4100%2.0 / 2
M. Curry350%1.5 / 3
Z. Rebraca117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
82
+16
-18
98
DET
87
+11
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.99 49.5%
DET
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.3
102.0
IND 98.0 +3.0
DET 101.0
Pace
94.6
92.6
IND 101.3
DET 101.7 +0.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.7
IND 14.2
DET 14.2 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
49.7%
IND 47.5%
DET 52.5% +5.0%
TO %
15.2%
15.0%
IND 16.8%
DET 14.7% +2.1%
ORB %
27.0%
24.5%
IND 31.0% +14.7%
DET 16.3%
FTrt
32.8
31.0
IND 35.8
DET 36.3 +0.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.2%
62.0%
IND 27.0%
DET 50.0% +23.0%
STL %
8.4%
8.5%
IND 6.0%
DET 8.7% +2.7%
BLK %
7.8%
10.2%
IND 4.8% +0.6%
DET 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
51.3%
IND 49.5%
DET 53.1% +3.6%
Rim FG%
58.6%
59.4%
IND 56.5%
DET 60.7% +4.2%
Mid FG%
40.1%
39.1%
IND 42.9% +4.7%
DET 38.2%
3P %
33.9%
37.6%
IND 33.3%
DET 44.4% +11.1%
FT %
77.2%
75.6%
IND 72.4% +3.4%
DET 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.5%
31.6%
IND 28.4%
DET 35.0% +6.6%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
44.4%
IND 60.5%
DET 42.5% +18.0%
3P Att. %
18.2%
23.9%
IND 11.1%
DET 22.5% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions100103
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points98104
Rebounds4936
Assists1019
Steals69
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)29 (3)
Field Goals37-8138-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2317-28
Midrange FG21-4913-34
2-Point FG34-7230-62
3-Point FG3-98-18
Free Throws21-2920-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
42.0
17
40%
3
2
2
1
2
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-18
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 188 · 24
41.9
28
61%
13
4
1
0
5
3
2
11
9-12
75%
8-14
57%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 195 · 36
38.2
15
63%
4
3
0
0
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 25
28.5
7
58%
13
1
0
1
3
5
4
9
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 7'1" 255 · 22
6.2
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 22
23.9
4
20%
4
0
0
0
3
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 230 · 21
23.3
5
63%
1
0
2
1
2
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
22.0
9
50%
7
0
0
0
1
3
1
6
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 232 · 31
14.1
8
67%
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
2-3
67%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23
G · 6'4" 195 · 21
C · 7'2" 260 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
50%
49
10
6
3
18
0
13
36
21-29
72%
34-72
47%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.