FinalWin Prob.pScore
2356%91
96
2744%89
87
ORTG#PossPace
CHH
102.19497.9
MIA logo MIA
96.79089.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)96
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0CHHMISS Brown 5' Jump Shot96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Gatling 12' Jump Shot96
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19MIAHEAT Rebound96
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 1:20CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot96
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 1:39CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)96
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 1:40MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 1:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 1:48CHHMISS Davis Driving Layup96
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 1:57CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup96
99.7%
85
0.3%
Q4 - 2:17CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)96
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 2:17CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 1 of 295
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 2:31CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 2:33CHHMISS Mashburn Layup95
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 2:39MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)95
99.5%
85
0.5%
Q4 - 2:50CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)95
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 2:50CHHMashburn Layup (10 PTS)94
98.4%
85
1.6%
Q4 - 2:57CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
97.0%
85
3.0%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Gatling 20' Jump Shot92
96.5%
85
3.5%
Q4 - 3:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
94.9%
85
5.1%
Q4 - 3:13CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
95.8%
85
4.2%
Q4 - 3:36MIAGatling Layup (16 PTS)92
95.1%
85
4.9%
Q4 - 3:38MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
96.5%
83
3.5%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot92
97.3%
83
2.7%
Q4 - 3:45CHHCarter STEAL (1 STL)92
96.6%
83
3.4%
Q4 - 4:03CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Gatling 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.5%
83
2.5%
Q4 - 4:27CHHDavis 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)92
96.8%
83
3.2%
Q4 - 4:42Hornets Rebound90
95.5%
83
4.5%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Stepania 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
95.0%
83
5.0%
Q4 - 5:03CHHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)90
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 5:23CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
85.1%
83
14.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot87
83.7%
83
16.3%
Q4 - 5:46CHHCampbell 10' Jump Shot (18 PTS)87
80.2%
83
19.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
73.5%
83
26.5%
Q4 - 6:05MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
74.7%
82
25.3%
Q4 - 6:25MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
78.2%
81
21.8%
Q4 - 6:27CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
80.0%
81
20.0%
Q4 - 6:46CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
83.6%
81
16.4%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot85
82.1%
81
17.9%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
78.3%
81
21.7%
Q4 - 6:58CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot85
80.1%
81
19.9%
Q4 - 7:13CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
82.2%
81
17.8%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot85
80.7%
81
19.3%
Q4 - 7:32CHHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
77.2%
81
22.8%
Q4 - 7:32CHHWesley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
76.1%
81
23.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)83
72.7%
81
27.3%
Q4 - 8:03CHHWesley 13' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)83
65.5%
81
34.5%
Q4 - 8:24MIAGatling 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)81
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q4 - 8:39CHHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)81
65.5%
79
34.5%
Q4 - 8:52MIAStepania 8' Running Hook Shot (19 PTS)78
53.4%
79
46.6%
Q4 - 9:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
59.6%
77
40.4%
Q4 - 9:05CHHMISS Traylor 13' Jump Shot78
61.4%
77
38.6%
Q4 - 9:34MIAStepania Layup (17 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)78
65.5%
77
34.5%
Q4 - 9:51MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
70.5%
75
29.5%
Q4 - 9:53CHHStepania BLOCK (7 BLK)78
72.1%
75
27.9%
Q4 - 10:02CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)78
74.4%
75
25.6%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Gatling 11' Jump Shot78
73.0%
75
27.0%
Q4 - 10:19CHHMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 178
70.2%
75
29.8%
Q4 - 10:19CHHCampbell Layup (16 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)78
69.5%
75
30.5%
Q4 - 10:30CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
65.0%
75
35.0%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS House 8' Jump Shot76
63.2%
75
36.8%
Q4 - 10:54CHHMashburn 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)76
59.2%
75
40.8%
Q4 - 11:16MIAGatling 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
53.6%
75
46.4%
Q4 - 11:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
58.7%
73
41.3%
Q4 - 11:37CHHMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 274
59.5%
73
40.5%
Q4 - 11:37CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
62.8%
73
37.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
59.0%
73
41.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
53.4%
73
46.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot73
55.1%
73
44.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
59.1%
73
40.9%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
57.6%
73
42.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
54.0%
73
46.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)70
38.8%
73
61.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)69
34.0%
73
66.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 268
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
30.8%
73
69.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHEAT Rebound68
34.0%
72
66.0%
Q3 - 0:51.0CHHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot68
35.4%
72
64.6%
Q3 - 1:12MIAStepania 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
40.0%
72
60.0%
Q3 - 1:36CHHBullard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)68
44.6%
70
55.4%
Q3 - 1:48CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 265
34.7%
70
65.3%
Q3 - 1:50MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
32.3%
70
67.7%
Q3 - 1:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)65
35.2%
69
64.8%
Q3 - 1:50MIAJones Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)65
39.8%
68
60.2%
Q3 - 1:50MIAHEAT Rebound65
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 1:51CHHEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)65
46.1%
67
53.9%
Q3 - 1:59CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)65
49.6%
67
50.4%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)64
45.1%
67
54.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones Driving Layup (19 PTS)64
49.8%
66
50.2%
Q3 - 2:34CHHDavis 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)64
54.0%
64
46.0%
Q3 - 2:54CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
49.8%
64
50.2%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 262
49.1%
64
50.9%
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 262
46.5%
64
53.5%
Q3 - 3:21CHHWesley 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)62
45.4%
64
54.6%
Q3 - 3:40CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
41.3%
64
58.7%
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Carter Layup60
39.9%
64
60.1%
Q3 - 4:02CHHMashburn 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
37.3%
64
62.7%
Q3 - 4:21MIAEllis Tip Shot (8 PTS)58
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 4:22MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Ellis Layup58
40.6%
62
59.4%
Q3 - 4:37MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 4:39CHHMISS Wesley 11' Jump Shot58
38.7%
62
61.3%
Q3 - 4:58MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)58
42.0%
62
58.0%
Q3 - 5:17CHHCampbell Layup (14 PTS)58
46.3%
60
53.7%
Q3 - 5:39MIACarter Layup (10 PTS) (House 3 AST)56
42.5%
60
57.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
46.3%
58
53.7%
Q3 - 5:44CHHStepania BLOCK (6 BLK)56
47.7%
58
52.3%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound56
54.8%
56
45.2%
Q3 - 6:18CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot56
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 6:37MIAStepania Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)56
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 6:57CHHCampbell Layup (12 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)56
62.6%
54
37.4%
Q3 - 7:14MIAHouse 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)54
58.7%
54
41.3%
Q3 - 7:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
61.9%
52
38.1%
Q3 - 7:23CHHMISS Campbell Layup54
63.1%
52
36.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIAEllis 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)54
66.0%
52
34.0%
Q3 - 7:53CHHWesley Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
68.9%
50
31.1%
Q3 - 8:09MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)52
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 8:23CHHDavis 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
62.1%
50
37.9%
Q3 - 8:30CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
57.7%
50
42.3%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
54.7%
50
45.3%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot50
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q3 - 8:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
54.7%
50
45.3%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot50
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q3 - 8:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
54.7%
50
45.3%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot50
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q3 - 9:06CHHDavis 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
55.0%
50
45.0%
Q3 - 9:20MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)48
51.5%
50
48.5%
Q3 - 9:20MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
52.6%
49
47.4%
Q3 - 9:39CHHBrown Layup (6 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)48
55.0%
48
45.0%
Q3 - 9:43MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)46
51.5%
48
48.5%
Q3 - 10:02CHHBrown 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)46
48.2%
48
51.8%
Q3 - 10:23MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)44
45.0%
48
55.0%
Q3 - 10:33MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
48.1%
46
51.9%
Q3 - 10:35CHHMISS Campbell 7' Jump Shot44
49.3%
46
50.7%
Q3 - 10:53MIACarter 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
52.1%
46
47.9%
Q3 - 11:08CHHWesley 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
55.8%
44
44.2%
Q3 - 11:30CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
52.5%
44
47.5%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS House 4' Running Finger Roll42
51.4%
44
48.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)42
48.9%
44
51.1%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot42
51.4%
44
48.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
48.9%
44
51.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound42
48.9%
44
51.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Carter 41' 3PT Jump Shot42
51.4%
44
48.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
50.1%
44
49.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHHMISS Bullard 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
50.8%
44
49.2%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMack Backcourt Turnover (P1.T6)42
52.3%
44
47.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0CHHWesley Foul Turnover (P1.T8)42
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)42
52.3%
44
47.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0CHHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)42
59.8%
41
40.2%
Q2 - 1:02CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Stepania Layup42
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q2 - 1:11MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q2 - 1:15CHHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
60.6%
41
39.4%
Q2 - 1:43MIAGatling 12' Hook Shot (8 PTS)42
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 2:09MIAHEAT Rebound42
65.2%
39
34.8%
Q2 - 2:09CHHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot42
66.0%
39
34.0%
Q2 - 2:33MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)42
67.8%
39
32.2%
Q2 - 2:55CHHWesley 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)42
73.3%
36
26.7%
Q2 - 3:06CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)40
70.4%
36
29.6%
Q2 - 3:16MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
67.8%
36
32.2%
Q2 - 3:30CHHMashburn Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 3:44CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
62.4%
36
37.6%
Q2 - 3:46MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot37
61.4%
36
38.6%
Q2 - 3:59CHHNailon Foul Turnover (P2.T6)37
59.2%
36
40.8%
Q2 - 4:02CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
61.3%
36
38.7%
Q2 - 4:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 4:15CHHMISS Magloire 9' Jump Shot37
60.3%
36
39.7%
Q2 - 4:18CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 4:20CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot37
60.3%
36
39.7%
Q2 - 4:39MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)37
62.2%
36
37.8%
Q2 - 5:00CHHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 5:00CHHMISS Nailon Free Throw 1 of 236
64.2%
34
35.8%
Q2 - 5:10MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
65.0%
34
35.0%
Q2 - 5:21MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
62.1%
34
37.9%
Q2 - 5:23CHHMISS Nailon Alley Oop Layup36
63.0%
34
37.0%
Q2 - 5:39MIAStepania 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
65.0%
34
35.0%
Q2 - 5:43MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMISS Stepania 7' Jump Shot36
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 5:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 5:56CHHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot36
68.1%
32
31.9%
Q2 - 6:15CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Stepania 20' Jump Shot36
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 6:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 6:37CHHMISS Nailon 8' Jump Shot36
67.9%
32
32.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
69.9%
32
30.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
70.4%
31
29.6%
Q2 - 7:07CHHNailon 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
71.5%
30
28.5%
Q2 - 7:31MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 2 AST)34
69.5%
30
30.5%
Q2 - 7:44CHHNailon Layup (4 PTS) (Drew 1 AST)34
71.5%
28
28.5%
Q2 - 7:52CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
69.5%
28
30.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMISS Mack 21' Jump Shot32
68.7%
28
31.3%
Q2 - 8:08MIAMISS House Free Throw Technical32
66.6%
28
33.4%
Q2 - 8:09CHHTraylor Dunk (2 PTS)32
66.6%
28
33.4%
Q2 - 8:30MIAGatling Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
64.6%
28
35.4%
Q2 - 8:45CHHCampbell Layup (10 PTS)30
66.7%
26
33.3%
Q2 - 8:47CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
64.6%
26
35.4%
Q2 - 8:51CHHStepania BLOCK (5 BLK)28
62.8%
26
37.2%
Q2 - 9:08CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 9:26CHHCampbell Layup (8 PTS)28
61.8%
26
38.2%
Q2 - 9:42MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (5 PTS)26
59.7%
26
40.3%
Q2 - 9:57CHHNailon 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 10:09Hornets Rebound24
59.5%
24
40.5%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot24
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q2 - 10:26CHHDrew Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)24
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q2 - 10:47MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 1 AST)24
59.5%
24
40.5%
Q2 - 10:53CHHHouse STEAL (1 STL)24
61.6%
22
38.4%
Q2 - 11:05Hornets Rebound24
63.9%
22
36.1%
Q2 - 11:06CHHStepania BLOCK (4 BLK)24
62.3%
22
37.7%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMack Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
63.9%
22
36.1%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Mack Free Throw 1 of 224
64.5%
21
35.5%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
63.9%
21
36.1%
Q2 - 11:30CHHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)24
64.6%
21
35.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAGatling Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
66.1%
21
33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
68.2%
19
31.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0CHHMISS Bullard 19' Jump Shot24
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
69.7%
19
30.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 224
69.5%
19
30.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0CHHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)24
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0Hornets Rebound21
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 221
65.4%
18
34.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 221
64.1%
18
35.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0CHHMISS Magloire Tip Shot21
64.4%
18
35.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot21
64.4%
18
35.6%
Q1 - 1:12Hornets Rebound21
65.6%
18
34.4%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot21
65.1%
18
34.9%
Q1 - 1:33CHHWesley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
63.9%
18
36.1%
Q1 - 1:35CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
61.2%
18
38.8%
Q1 - 1:37CHHMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot19
60.0%
18
40.0%
Q1 - 1:53CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
61.2%
18
38.8%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Gatling 9' Jump Shot19
60.7%
18
39.3%
Q1 - 2:05CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
59.5%
18
40.5%
Q1 - 2:05CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
59.0%
18
41.0%
Q1 - 2:08CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
57.1%
18
42.9%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Gatling 16' Jump Shot17
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 2:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
55.0%
18
45.0%
Q1 - 2:18CHHMISS Mashburn Layup17
55.6%
18
44.4%
Q1 - 2:25CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
57.1%
18
42.9%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot17
56.5%
18
43.5%
Q1 - 2:41CHHMagloire Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)17
54.9%
18
45.1%
Q1 - 2:49CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot15
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 3:10CHHGatling STEAL (1 STL)15
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 3:15CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
52.9%
18
47.1%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Gatling 15' Jump Shot15
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 3:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot15
52.1%
18
47.9%
Q1 - 3:34MIAHouse Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 3:36CHHJones STEAL (2 STL)15
52.6%
17
47.4%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 115
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 3:52MIACarter 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
55.1%
17
44.9%
Q1 - 3:57MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 3:59CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot15
57.8%
15
42.2%
Q1 - 4:09MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q1 - 4:29MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 4:31CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot15
57.9%
15
42.1%
Q1 - 4:53CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot15
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 5:25CHHDavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q1 - 5:25CHHDavis Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
55.3%
15
44.7%
Q1 - 5:31CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
53.4%
15
46.6%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot12
52.7%
15
47.3%
Q1 - 5:46MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
51.0%
15
49.0%
Q1 - 5:48CHHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
51.8%
15
48.2%
Q1 - 6:11MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
53.4%
15
46.6%
Q1 - 6:18MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
57.3%
12
42.7%
Q1 - 6:20CHHMISS Magloire 6' Jump Shot12
58.0%
12
42.0%
Q1 - 6:39MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
59.4%
12
40.6%
Q1 - 6:44CHHJones STEAL (1 STL)12
61.2%
10
38.8%
Q1 - 6:49CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
63.2%
10
36.8%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot12
62.6%
10
37.4%
Q1 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound12
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 7:10CHHStepania BLOCK (3 BLK)12
61.7%
10
38.3%
Q1 - 7:28MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
63.1%
10
36.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
63.6%
9
36.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIAHEAT Rebound12
64.7%
8
35.3%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup12
66.0%
8
34.0%
Q1 - 7:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
64.7%
8
35.3%
Q1 - 7:56CHHMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot12
65.3%
8
34.7%
Q1 - 8:06Hornets Rebound12
67.0%
8
33.0%
Q1 - 8:09CHHStepania BLOCK (2 BLK)12
65.6%
8
34.4%
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
66.9%
8
33.1%
Q1 - 8:30CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
68.4%
6
31.6%
Q1 - 8:30CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 8:46MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)10
66.9%
6
33.1%
Q1 - 8:51CHHCampbell Dunk (6 PTS)10
65.0%
6
35.0%
Q1 - 8:54CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
63.5%
6
36.5%
Q1 - 8:56CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot8
62.1%
6
37.9%
Q1 - 9:14MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)8
63.5%
6
36.5%
Q1 - 9:34CHHCampbell Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)8
64.8%
4
35.2%
Q1 - 9:49Hornets Rebound6
63.5%
4
36.5%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot6
62.8%
4
37.2%
Q1 - 10:10CHHDavis Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 10:11CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 10:13CHHStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)4
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:23MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 10:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.7%
4
42.3%
Q1 - 10:27CHHMISS Brown Tip Shot4
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:28CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 10:29CHHMISS Campbell 4' Hook Shot4
58.3%
4
41.7%
Q1 - 10:50MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)4
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 11:18CHHMashburn 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:32MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.5%
2
40.5%
Q1 - 11:48CHHCampbell 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)2
61.4%
0
38.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Campbell: Tip to Davis0
59.6%
0
40.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHH
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHH
19
36
53%
MIA
10
18
56%
Midrange
CHH
15
37
41%
MIA
21
45
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHH
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
MIA
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
Free Throws
CHH
16
20
80%
MIA
16
26
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2372%11.5 / 16
D. Wesley2162%10.5 / 17
E. Campbell1860%9.0 / 15
J. Mashburn1235%6.0 / 17
L. Nailon758%3.5 / 6
P. Brown638%3.0 / 8
J. Magloire429%2.0 / 7
M. Bullard350%1.5 / 3
R. Traylor225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2269%11.0 / 16
V. Stepania1948%9.5 / 20
C. Gatling1653%8.0 / 15
E. House1137%5.5 / 15
A. Carter1045%5.0 / 11
L. Ellis844%4.0 / 9
S. Mack125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHH
85
+8
-9
93
MIA
80
+10
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHH
1.03 51.6%
MIA
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
CHH 102.1
MIA 96.7 +5.5
Pace
94.4
89.7
CHH 97.9 +8.1
MIA 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
CHH 14.7 +1.3
MIA 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.6%
46.3%
CHH 48.2% +1.5%
MIA 46.7%
TO %
14.4%
15.5%
CHH 8.9% +1.4%
MIA 10.3%
ORB %
30.6%
26.7%
CHH 21.1% +1.1%
MIA 20.0%
FTrt
32.0
26.8
CHH 24.1
MIA 34.2 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.8%
59.4%
CHH 31.6%
MIA 38.2% +6.6%
STL %
8.7%
7.4%
CHH 5.3%
MIA 5.6% +0.3%
BLK %
8.4%
8.7%
CHH 4.8%
MIA 12.3% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
CHH 51.6% +4.3%
MIA 47.3%
Rim FG%
55.4%
60.6%
CHH 52.8%
MIA 55.6% +2.8%
Mid FG%
39.2%
38.0%
CHH 40.5%
MIA 46.7% +6.2%
3P %
34.8%
34.7%
CHH 40.0% +16.9%
MIA 23.1%
FT %
74.5%
72.4%
CHH 80.0% +18.5%
MIA 61.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
28.1%
CHH 43.4% +19.7%
MIA 23.7%
Mid Att. %
51.4%
57.8%
CHH 44.6% +14.6%
MIA 59.2%
3P Att. %
15.1%
14.1%
CHH 12.0%
MIA 17.1% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHHMIA
Possessions9490
Possession Minutes23.124.1
Points9687
Rebounds4038
Assists1213
Steals55
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)30 (7)
Field Goals38-8334-76
At-the-Rim FG19-3610-18
Midrange FG15-3721-45
2-Point FG34-7331-63
3-Point FG4-103-13
Free Throws16-2016-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 203 · 31
43.9
21
62%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
6-6
100%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 212 · 23
40.7
23
72%
6
4
1
0
1
2
3
3
3-4
75%
7-9
78%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 247 · 29
37.8
12
35%
5
1
2
0
3
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 279 · 33
31.9
18
60%
10
1
0
2
0
4
1
9
0-1
0%
9-14
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 239 · 32
30.3
6
38%
3
2
1
0
1
5
1
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
14.4
4
29%
8
0
0
1
0
4
2
6
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 27
14.3
7
58%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 25
10.8
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 229 · 34
10.8
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 184 · 27
5.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 33
G · 6'3" · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
52%
40
12
5
3
9
0
8
32
16-20
80%
34-73
47%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.