FinalWin Prob.pScore
841%102
101
1459%105
82
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
112.29092.4
DEN logo DEN
91.19087.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL101
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLMagic Rebound101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLScott STEAL (1 STL)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Lenard 6' Jump Shot101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLReid 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)99
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03DENBowen Layup (13 PTS)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03ORLBowen STEAL (2 STL)99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07DENMISS Scott 11' Hook Shot99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21ORLReid 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40DENMISS Scott Layup97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42DENScott REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45DENMISS Lenard 17' Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57DENNUGGETS Rebound97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57DENMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03DENScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05ORLMISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24DENPosey 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34ORLLenard STEAL (1 STL)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53ORLHill 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03DENMISS Lenard 5' Jump Shot95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31ORLMiller 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hill 4 AST)95
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45DENScott REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45DENScott Layup (4 PTS)93
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:50DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:55DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08ORLReid REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:10DENMISS Lenard 14' Jump Shot93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35ORLHill Layup (21 PTS) (Ewing 1 AST)93
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55DENLenard 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)91
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)91
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 5:34DENVan Exel 5' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)88
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 5:44ORLGarrity 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)88
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 6:12DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)86
99.5%
68
0.5%
Q4 - 6:28ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)86
99.7%
65
0.3%
Q4 - 6:47ORLHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)84
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 6:50DENMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot84
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 7:23ORLHill 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q4 - 7:37ORLMagic Rebound82
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 7:39DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup82
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q4 - 7:53ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q4 - 7:53ORLEwing Dunk (6 PTS)82
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q4 - 7:56ORLMISS Hudson Driving Layup80
97.7%
65
2.3%
Q4 - 8:03ORLHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 8:08ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup80
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q4 - 8:19ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
97.4%
65
2.6%
Q4 - 8:23DENMISS LaFrentz Driving Layup80
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 8:26DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 8:28DENMISS LaFrentz 17' Jump Shot80
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 8:34DENNUGGETS Rebound80
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 8:34DENMISS LaFrentz Driving Layup80
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q4 - 8:51ORLHill 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 9:07ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
94.8%
65
5.2%
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
94.4%
65
5.6%
Q4 - 9:23ORLHill 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
93.5%
65
6.5%
Q4 - 9:43ORLMagic Rebound76
91.9%
65
8.1%
Q4 - 9:43DENMISS Bowen Layup76
91.4%
65
8.6%
Q4 - 9:57DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
89.9%
65
10.1%
Q4 - 9:59ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot76
90.6%
65
9.4%
Q4 - 10:18DENScott Foul Turnover (P1.T9)76
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q4 - 10:20DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
88.4%
65
11.6%
Q4 - 10:23ORLMISS Ewing Reverse Layup76
89.1%
65
10.9%
Q4 - 10:42DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q4 - 10:42DENMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 276
91.3%
64
8.7%
Q4 - 10:58DENScott REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)76
90.6%
64
9.4%
Q4 - 11:00DENMISS Rider 21' Jump Shot76
91.9%
64
8.1%
Q4 - 11:08DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
89.4%
64
10.6%
Q4 - 11:10ORLMISS Ewing 18' Jump Shot76
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q4 - 11:25ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q4 - 11:28DENMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot76
90.8%
64
9.2%
Q4 - 11:46DENNUGGETS Rebound76
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q4 - 11:46ORLMISS Garrity 17' Jump Shot76
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL76
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound76
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Garrity Layup76
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
90.1%
64
9.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENMISS Bowen 7' Hook Shot76
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
88.2%
64
11.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Garrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
88.8%
64
11.2%
Q3 - 0:43.0DENMcCloud 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)76
90.2%
64
9.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw Technical76
91.9%
62
8.1%
Q3 - 1:01DENNUGGETS Rebound76
90.6%
62
9.4%
Q3 - 1:03ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot76
91.1%
62
8.9%
Q3 - 1:15DENRider Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 1:15DENRider Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
92.5%
61
7.5%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
93.5%
60
6.5%
Q3 - 1:33ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
93.2%
60
6.8%
Q3 - 1:45DENScott Layup (2 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)74
92.3%
60
7.7%
Q3 - 1:49DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)74
93.5%
58
6.5%
Q3 - 1:53DENMISS Rider 17' Jump Shot74
94.3%
58
5.7%
Q3 - 2:19ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
92.3%
58
7.7%
Q3 - 2:19ORLHill Tip Shot (11 PTS)74
92.3%
58
7.7%
Q3 - 2:21ORLMISS Armstrong 15' Jump Shot72
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 2:30ORLGarrity Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (7 PTS)72
91.1%
58
8.9%
Q3 - 2:30ORLGarrity Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
90.7%
58
9.3%
Q3 - 2:30ORLMISS Armstrong Free Throw Technical70
87.6%
58
12.4%
Q3 - 2:39ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
87.6%
58
12.4%
Q3 - 2:41DENMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot70
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q3 - 3:02ORLGarrity 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)70
84.2%
58
15.8%
Q3 - 3:14ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
81.9%
58
18.1%
Q3 - 3:16ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot68
79.8%
58
20.2%
Q3 - 3:33ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
81.9%
58
18.1%
Q3 - 3:34DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 2 of 268
81.5%
58
18.5%
Q3 - 3:34DENMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 268
79.5%
58
20.5%
Q3 - 3:41DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
78.9%
58
21.1%
Q3 - 3:44DENMISS McCloud 10' Jump Shot68
81.0%
58
19.0%
Q3 - 4:06ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
77.3%
58
22.7%
Q3 - 4:26DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)66
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 4:26DENLaFrentz Layup (9 PTS)66
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 4:28DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
77.4%
56
22.6%
Q3 - 4:28DENMISS LaFrentz Tip Shot66
79.7%
56
20.3%
Q3 - 4:31DENMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot66
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q3 - 4:52ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)66
77.5%
56
22.5%
Q3 - 4:55ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
71.4%
56
28.6%
Q3 - 5:00ORLLaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)63
68.5%
56
31.5%
Q3 - 5:07ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
70.2%
56
29.8%
Q3 - 5:09DENMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot63
69.0%
56
31.0%
Q3 - 5:31ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
66.3%
56
33.7%
Q3 - 5:40ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
62.8%
56
37.2%
Q3 - 5:43DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 21' Jump Shot61
61.5%
56
38.5%
Q3 - 6:03ORLMcGrady 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
57.5%
56
42.5%
Q3 - 6:16DENVan Exel 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)59
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 6:41ORLGrant 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)59
57.6%
54
42.4%
Q3 - 7:06DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)57
53.2%
54
46.8%
Q3 - 7:14DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 7:18ORLMISS Hill Layup57
50.1%
54
49.9%
Q3 - 7:23DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
53.2%
54
46.8%
Q3 - 7:41ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 7:41ORLGrant Tip Shot (8 PTS)57
48.8%
54
51.2%
Q3 - 7:47ORLMISS Hill Running Layup55
42.4%
54
57.6%
Q3 - 8:04DENPosey Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Abdul-Wahad 1 AST)55
45.4%
54
54.6%
Q3 - 8:05DENNUGGETS Rebound55
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q3 - 8:06DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot55
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q3 - 8:25DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q3 - 8:28ORLMISS McGrady 19' Turnaround Jump Shot55
49.9%
52
50.1%
Q3 - 8:35ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
52.9%
52
47.1%
Q3 - 8:38ORLMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot55
49.9%
52
50.1%
Q3 - 8:43ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
52.9%
52
47.1%
Q3 - 8:46DENMISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
51.6%
52
48.4%
Q3 - 8:50DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
48.6%
52
51.4%
Q3 - 8:54ORLMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot55
49.9%
52
50.1%
Q3 - 9:07DENJump Ball Abdul-Wahad vs. Hunter: Tip to Grant55
51.8%
52
48.2%
Q3 - 9:07DENMISS LaFrentz 19' Jump Shot55
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 9:24DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
48.1%
52
51.9%
Q3 - 9:26ORLMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot55
49.2%
52
50.8%
Q3 - 9:37DENVan Exel 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)55
51.9%
52
48.1%
Q3 - 10:02DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot55
55.7%
50
44.3%
Q3 - 10:12ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q3 - 10:15DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 19' Jump Shot55
57.3%
50
42.7%
Q3 - 10:27DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
54.6%
50
45.4%
Q3 - 10:29ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot55
55.8%
50
44.2%
Q3 - 10:43DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)55
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q3 - 10:43DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
59.1%
49
40.9%
Q3 - 10:58ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
61.5%
48
38.5%
Q3 - 10:58ORLMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 254
60.9%
48
39.1%
Q3 - 11:00ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
61.9%
48
38.1%
Q3 - 11:03DENMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot54
59.9%
48
40.1%
Q3 - 11:19ORLHunter 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)54
57.5%
48
42.5%
Q3 - 11:41DENMcCloud 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)52
54.3%
48
45.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL52
57.5%
46
42.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound52
61.1%
46
38.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS McGrady 74' 3PT Running Jump Shot52
58.6%
46
41.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DENLaFrentz Tip Shot (7 PTS)52
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot52
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)52
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)50
59.7%
44
40.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENNUGGETS Rebound50
57.4%
44
42.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
59.0%
44
41.0%
Q2 - 1:06ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T5)50
57.2%
44
42.8%
Q2 - 1:10ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot50
58.3%
44
41.7%
Q2 - 1:30DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
57.2%
44
42.8%
Q2 - 1:34ORLLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)50
57.7%
44
42.3%
Q2 - 1:38DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 1:38DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
59.8%
43
40.2%
Q2 - 1:50DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
63.4%
42
36.6%
Q2 - 1:53ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 250
63.6%
42
36.4%
Q2 - 1:53ORLOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)50
65.3%
42
34.7%
Q2 - 1:53ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)49
61.9%
42
38.1%
Q2 - 2:00DENJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)48
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q2 - 2:23DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
62.0%
40
38.0%
Q2 - 2:25ORLMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot48
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 2:39DENAbdul-Wahad Foul Turnover (P1.T5)48
64.6%
40
35.4%
Q2 - 2:39ORLAbdul-Wahad STEAL (1 STL)48
62.0%
40
38.0%
Q2 - 2:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
64.6%
40
35.4%
Q2 - 2:43ORLMISS Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 248
62.4%
40
37.6%
Q2 - 2:43ORLOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
64.0%
40
36.0%
Q2 - 2:54ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
61.7%
40
38.3%
Q2 - 2:55DENMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot47
60.9%
40
39.1%
Q2 - 3:02DENNUGGETS Rebound47
57.6%
40
42.4%
Q2 - 3:03DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 21' Jump Shot47
59.8%
40
40.2%
Q2 - 3:24ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
57.6%
40
42.4%
Q2 - 3:24ORLHill Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)46
54.7%
40
45.3%
Q2 - 3:31ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
52.1%
40
47.9%
Q2 - 3:33DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 5' Jump Shot44
51.1%
40
48.9%
Q2 - 3:52ORLMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)44
48.8%
40
51.2%
Q2 - 4:12DENVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)42
45.4%
40
54.6%
Q2 - 4:29DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
51.2%
37
48.8%
Q2 - 4:33ORLLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)42
52.1%
37
47.9%
Q2 - 4:52DENAbdul-Wahad Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
54.1%
37
45.9%
Q2 - 4:52DENAbdul-Wahad Layup (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)42
57.0%
36
43.0%
Q2 - 5:13ORLGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
59.1%
34
40.9%
Q2 - 5:13ORLGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
58.4%
34
41.6%
Q2 - 5:14ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
56.6%
34
43.4%
Q2 - 5:15ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot40
54.5%
34
45.5%
Q2 - 5:23ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
56.6%
34
43.4%
Q2 - 5:26DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
55.7%
34
44.3%
Q2 - 5:45ORLArmstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)40
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q2 - 6:01DENRider Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
48.0%
34
52.0%
Q2 - 6:18ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)37
44.7%
34
55.3%
Q2 - 6:35DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)35
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)35
39.5%
34
60.5%
Q2 - 7:17DENWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)33
37.2%
34
62.8%
Q2 - 7:34ORLMiller Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
39.5%
32
60.5%
Q2 - 7:50ORLMagic Rebound31
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 7:51ORLMISS Hudson Layup31
35.4%
32
64.6%
Q2 - 7:58ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
37.2%
32
62.8%
Q2 - 8:00DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q2 - 8:16ORLGarrity 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)31
34.4%
32
65.6%
Q2 - 8:20ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 8:26DENMISS Johnson Finger Roll28
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 8:38DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 8:40DENMISS McCloud 18' Jump Shot28
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 8:57DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 8:59ORLMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot28
28.5%
32
71.5%
Q2 - 9:24DENRider 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
30.2%
32
69.8%
Q2 - 9:39ORLOutlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
34.4%
29
65.6%
Q2 - 9:50DENMcCloud 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)28
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 9:54DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 9:58ORLMISS Ewing 17' Turnaround Jump Shot28
39.9%
27
60.1%
Q2 - 10:16ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
41.7%
27
58.3%
Q2 - 10:17DENMISS Rider Free Throw 2 of 228
41.3%
27
58.7%
Q2 - 10:17DENRider Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 10:35ORLEwing Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q2 - 10:35ORLEwing Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 10:56DENJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
39.3%
26
60.7%
Q2 - 11:00DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
41.4%
24
58.6%
Q2 - 11:03ORLMISS Hudson 12' Jump Shot26
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 11:18DENMcCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)26
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q2 - 11:24DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q2 - 11:27ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
49.1%
21
50.9%
Q2 - 11:41ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
50.8%
21
49.2%
Q2 - 11:43DENMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot26
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound26
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Williams 54' 3PT Jump Shot26
50.1%
21
49.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
48.4%
21
51.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)26
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
50.0%
21
50.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)26
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENRider Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)26
54.8%
19
45.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLBowen STEAL (1 STL)26
57.7%
17
42.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)26
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot26
58.9%
17
41.1%
Q1 - 1:21ORLEwing 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)26
57.6%
17
42.4%
Q1 - 1:27DENMcCloud Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q1 - 1:30DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
52.9%
17
47.1%
Q1 - 1:33DENMISS Bowen 13' Jump Shot24
54.2%
17
45.8%
Q1 - 1:51ORLHill Layup (6 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)24
52.9%
17
47.1%
Q1 - 1:54ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
50.0%
17
50.0%
Q1 - 1:56DENMISS Rider 21' Jump Shot22
49.4%
17
50.6%
Q1 - 2:07ORLMcGrady 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
48.0%
17
52.0%
Q1 - 2:17DENBowen Layup (6 PTS) (Rider 2 AST)20
45.5%
17
54.5%
Q1 - 2:39ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
48.0%
15
52.0%
Q1 - 2:39ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
47.5%
15
52.5%
Q1 - 2:50DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q1 - 2:52DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 2:55ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 3:12DENLaFrentz Layup (5 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)18
45.2%
15
54.8%
Q1 - 3:16DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 3:19ORLMISS Armstrong Layup18
47.9%
13
52.1%
Q1 - 3:40DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 3:40DENWilliams Tip Shot (2 PTS)18
49.7%
13
50.3%
Q1 - 3:42DENMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot18
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 3:46DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 3:48DENMISS Van Exel 15' Jump Shot18
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 3:51DENNUGGETS Rebound18
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Rider 12' Jump Shot18
53.5%
11
46.5%
Q1 - 4:10DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
51.1%
11
48.9%
Q1 - 4:16ORLMISS Hill Driving Layup18
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 4:32DENBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Rider 1 AST)18
53.8%
11
46.2%
Q1 - 4:35DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
55.5%
9
44.5%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Hunter 16' Jump Shot18
56.3%
9
43.7%
Q1 - 4:47DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 4:47DENBowen Layup (2 PTS)18
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 4:49DENMISS Bowen Layup18
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 5:06DENNUGGETS Rebound18
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 5:06ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 5:11ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
60.8%
7
39.2%
Q1 - 5:13DENMISS Van Exel 3PT Jump Shot18
60.1%
7
39.9%
Q1 - 5:16DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
58.6%
7
41.4%
Q1 - 5:20DENMISS Van Exel 6' Hook Shot18
60.2%
7
39.8%
Q1 - 5:34ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
58.6%
7
41.4%
Q1 - 5:34ORLHunter Layup (4 PTS)18
58.6%
7
41.4%
Q1 - 5:39ORLMISS Hunter Layup16
55.2%
7
44.8%
Q1 - 5:53DENVan Exel 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 6:05DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
57.6%
5
42.4%
Q1 - 6:07DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 8' Jump Shot16
59.0%
5
41.0%
Q1 - 6:24ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
57.6%
5
42.4%
Q1 - 6:24ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
57.3%
5
42.7%
Q1 - 6:27ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
55.7%
5
44.3%
Q1 - 6:29DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
55.1%
5
44.9%
Q1 - 6:37DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
53.6%
5
46.4%
Q1 - 6:39ORLMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot14
54.3%
5
45.7%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
55.7%
5
44.3%
Q1 - 6:55DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
55.1%
5
44.9%
Q1 - 7:08DENNUGGETS Rebound14
52.3%
5
47.7%
Q1 - 7:08ORLMISS Hill 7' Running Finger Roll14
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 7:22ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
54.5%
5
45.5%
Q1 - 7:24DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
53.9%
5
46.1%
Q1 - 7:38DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
52.4%
5
47.6%
Q1 - 7:40DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 8' Jump Shot14
53.9%
5
46.1%
Q1 - 8:00ORLHill 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)14
52.5%
5
47.5%
Q1 - 8:16ORLMagic Rebound12
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 8:18DENMISS Van Exel 17' Jump Shot12
50.1%
5
49.9%
Q1 - 8:29DENNUGGETS Rebound12
48.6%
5
51.4%
Q1 - 8:29ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot12
49.2%
5
50.8%
Q1 - 8:34ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Abdul-Wahad Free Throw 2 of 212
50.4%
5
49.6%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Abdul-Wahad Free Throw 1 of 212
49.1%
5
50.9%
Q1 - 8:36DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
48.6%
5
51.4%
Q1 - 8:39DENMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot12
50.0%
5
50.0%
Q1 - 9:08ORLArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)12
48.2%
5
51.8%
Q1 - 9:12ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 9:14DENMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot10
46.1%
5
53.9%
Q1 - 9:30ORLGrant 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
44.5%
5
55.5%
Q1 - 9:40ORLMagic Rebound8
43.1%
5
56.9%
Q1 - 9:43DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 19' Jump Shot8
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 9:49DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
40.8%
5
59.2%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot8
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 10:09DENLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 10:09DENLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS)8
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 10:09DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 10:13DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 20' Jump Shot8
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 10:26ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
46.3%
2
53.7%
Q1 - 10:26ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
45.9%
2
54.1%
Q1 - 10:44DENVan Exel 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 10:58ORLMcGrady 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:03ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
0
55.8%
Q1 - 11:06DENMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot4
43.7%
0
56.3%
Q1 - 11:22ORLGrant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)4
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:27ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.7%
0
59.3%
Q1 - 11:29DENMISS McCloud 17' Jump Shot2
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:42ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:42ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
38.5%
0
61.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Hunter: Tip to McGrady0
37.2%
0
62.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.05 52.6%
DEN
0.75 37.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
9
23
39%
DEN
17
27
63%
Midrange
ORL
25
47
53%
DEN
9
50
18%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
DEN
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
ORL
21
25
84%
DEN
15
22
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2355%11.5 / 21
T. McGrady2056%10.0 / 18
D. Armstrong1275%6.0 / 8
P. Garrity1255%6.0 / 11
H. Grant1063%5.0 / 8
S. Hunter650%3.0 / 6
M. Miller660%3.0 / 5
P. Ewing650%3.0 / 6
D. Reid4100%2.0 / 2
B. Outlaw233%1.0 / 3
T. Hudson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Bowen1454%7.0 / 13
N. Van Exel1333%6.5 / 20
R. LaFrentz1243%6.0 / 14
G. McCloud950%4.5 / 9
I. Rider836%4.0 / 11
J. Posey638%3.0 / 8
A. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
S. Williams433%2.0 / 6
S. Scott450%2.0 / 4
T. Abdul-Wahad314%1.5 / 11
V. Lenard330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
82
+14
-8
96
DEN
83
+26
-7
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.05 52.6%
DEN
0.75 37.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
99.6
ORL 112.2
DEN 91.1 +21.1
Pace
95.6
92.1
ORL 92.4 +4.6
DEN 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.0
ORL 15.6 +0.8
DEN 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
45.5%
ORL 48.8% +13.5%
DEN 35.3%
TO %
13.7%
14.9%
ORL 7.9%
DEN 7.9%
ORB %
26.4%
30.7%
ORL 28.9%
DEN 35.2% +6.3%
FTrt
27.8
25.6
ORL 30.5 +7.3
DEN 23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
62.3%
ORL 52.6%
DEN 61.3% +8.7%
STL %
8.4%
8.0%
ORL 3.3%
DEN 6.7% +3.4%
BLK %
6.8%
8.6%
ORL 6.5% +0.8%
DEN 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
47.2%
ORL 52.6% +15.3%
DEN 37.3%
Rim FG%
57.9%
55.5%
ORL 39.1%
DEN 63.0% +23.9%
Mid FG%
38.6%
36.9%
ORL 53.2% +35.2%
DEN 18.0%
3P %
37.3%
32.9%
ORL 33.3% +5.5%
DEN 27.8%
FT %
75.4%
74.4%
ORL 84.0% +15.8%
DEN 68.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
33.7%
ORL 28.0%
DEN 28.4% +0.4%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
47.6%
ORL 57.3%
DEN 52.6% +4.7%
3P Att. %
24.1%
18.7%
ORL 14.6%
DEN 18.9% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points10182
Rebounds4646
Assists2019
Steals36
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)19 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (6)27 (5)
Field Goals38-8231-95
At-the-Rim FG9-2317-27
Midrange FG25-479-50
2-Point FG34-7026-77
3-Point FG4-125-18
Free Throws21-2515-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 29
39.1
23
55%
11
4
1
0
2
0
3
8
3-3
100%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 33
30.7
12
75%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
2-3
67%
G · 6'8" 225 · 22
30.0
20
56%
7
3
0
1
1
3
1
6
4-4
100%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 36
24.3
10
63%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
14.2
6
50%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 25
28.2
12
55%
6
1
1
0
1
3
3
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-6
33%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 22
24.1
6
60%
3
4
1
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 39
19.9
6
50%
3
1
0
2
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 26
17.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
7.6
2
33%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
4.5
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
53%
46
20
3
5
8
0
11
35
21-25
84%
34-70
49%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.