FinalWin Prob.pScore
1921%97
91
779%107
105
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
102.28994.5
DAL logo DAL
111.79488.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL91
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DENRider Driving Layup (19 PTS)91
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot89
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENRider Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENRider Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALNajera Slam Dunk (9 PTS)87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0DALMISS Manning 7' Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DENMISS Hamilton Layup87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18DENMISS Rider 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Nash 12 AST)87
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00DENMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (33 PTS)87
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39DENVan Exel Layup (13 PTS)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALMISS Najera Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22DALMISS Manning Free Throw 1 of 185
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22DALManning Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:43DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup85
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)85
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 3:54DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:05DALManning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:08DENManning BLOCK (4 BLK)85
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 4:20DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 4:22DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot85
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 4:32DENRider Foul Turnover (P2.T9)85
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 4:39DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 4:41DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot85
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:01DALNajera REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:04DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot85
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 5:25DENVan Exel Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)85
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:42DALManning 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 6 AST)83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 6:06DENRider 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 6:30DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 6:49DALBradley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 6:50DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot81
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 7:00DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 7:01DENMISS LaFrentz Layup81
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 7:02DENRider REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 7:06DENNajera BLOCK (2 BLK)81
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 7:27DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)81
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 7:27DALBradley Dunk (4 PTS)81
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 7:28DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 7:29DALMISS Bradley Layup81
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 7:30DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 7:31DALMISS Bradley Layup81
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 7:56DENJohnson 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rider 2 AST)81
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 8:01DENRider REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 8:04DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 8:31DENRider 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)79
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 8:52DALNajera REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 8:52DALNajera Layup (7 PTS)76
1.7%
88
98.3%
Q4 - 8:53DALMISS Najera Layup76
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 8:54DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 8:57DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot76
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q4 - 9:00DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 9:03DALMISS Bradley 4' Jump Shot76
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 9:04DALMAVERICKS Rebound76
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 9:04DALMISS Najera Layup76
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 9:25DENRider Slam Dunk (10 PTS)76
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 9:42DALNowitzki 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)74
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 9:54DALNash Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)74
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q4 - 9:54DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 9:56DENMISS McCloud 14' Jump Shot74
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 10:09DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 10:10DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot74
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 10:24DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 10:31DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 10:34DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 10:40DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
3.5%
83
96.5%
Q4 - 10:42DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup74
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 10:57DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)74
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 10:58DENMISS Rider Layup74
3.7%
83
96.3%
Q4 - 10:59DENRider REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 11:01DENBradley BLOCK (3 BLK)74
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 11:22DALNash 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)74
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q4 - 11:37DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot74
6.3%
81
93.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL74
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Hardaway 38' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.8%
81
93.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0DENJohnson Driving Layup (8 PTS)74
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 272
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0DENMISS Bowen Layup72
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)72
6.2%
80
93.8%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 272
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q3 - 1:00DENRider 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 1:12DALHardaway Backcourt Turnover (P1.T12)70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 1:24DENHamilton Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)70
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 1:40DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 1:40DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 1:43DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 1:45DENNajera BLOCK (1 BLK)70
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q3 - 2:02DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
8.0%
77
92.0%
Q3 - 2:19DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
9.4%
75
90.6%
Q3 - 2:19DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
9.1%
75
90.9%
Q3 - 2:19DENRider Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)68
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 2:33DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)67
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 2:33DALNajera Layup (4 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)67
8.0%
74
92.0%
Q3 - 2:50DENAbdul-Wahad Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)67
9.4%
72
90.6%
Q3 - 2:50DENAbdul-Wahad Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)66
7.9%
72
92.1%
Q3 - 2:55DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q3 - 2:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)64
5.6%
72
94.4%
Q3 - 2:59DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 3:02DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 3:22DENMISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot64
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 3:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)64
7.0%
72
93.0%
Q3 - 3:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)64
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 3:36DENMcCloud Driving Layup (7 PTS)64
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 3:45DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 3:48DALMISS Nash Driving Layup62
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 4:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)62
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 4:08DENMISS Rider 6' Jump Shot62
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 4:36DALFinley Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)62
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 4:41DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
8.2%
68
91.8%
Q3 - 4:42DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)62
9.9%
68
90.1%
Q3 - 4:42DENMISS Abdul-Wahad Layup62
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 4:44DENMISS Van Exel Driving Layup62
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 5:02DALManning 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)62
10.0%
68
90.0%
Q3 - 5:13DALNash Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)62
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 5:17DENVan Exel 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
13.3%
65
86.7%
Q3 - 5:20DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
11.6%
65
88.4%
Q3 - 5:23DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot60
11.1%
65
88.9%
Q3 - 5:36DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 5:37DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
11.1%
65
88.9%
Q3 - 5:51DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 5:51DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 6:08DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 6:08DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
9.0%
64
91.0%
Q3 - 6:15DALManning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 6:19DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot58
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 6:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
10.0%
63
90.0%
Q3 - 6:32DENMISS Van Exel 7' Jump Shot58
10.5%
63
89.5%
Q3 - 6:57DALManning 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)58
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 7:10DENWilliams Layup (6 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)58
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 7:13DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 7:15DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 7:41DALFinley Layup (9 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)56
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 7:53DENLaFrentz Dunk (9 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)56
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 8:08DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)54
11.8%
59
88.2%
Q3 - 8:12DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 8:14DALMISS Manning 13' Jump Shot54
14.7%
57
85.3%
Q3 - 8:41DENVan Exel 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
13.3%
57
86.7%
Q3 - 9:00DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
11.8%
57
88.2%
Q3 - 9:02DALMISS Howard Layup52
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q3 - 9:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
10.1%
57
89.9%
Q3 - 9:18DENMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot52
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 9:39DALFinley Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)52
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q3 - 9:47DENHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)52
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 10:09DALNash 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)52
14.7%
55
85.3%
Q3 - 10:30DENLaFrentz Layup (7 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)52
16.3%
53
83.7%
Q3 - 10:35DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q3 - 10:38DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot50
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q3 - 10:54DENPosey 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 11:04DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
11.2%
53
88.8%
Q3 - 11:08DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot48
10.8%
53
89.2%
Q3 - 11:27DENLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)48
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 11:43DALManning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL46
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENVan Exel 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)46
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALNash Driving Layup (7 PTS)43
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q2 - 0:15.0DENVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)43
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENRider Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)41
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALHardaway Driving Layup (2 PTS)40
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENManning STEAL (2 STL)40
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 1:10DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 1:12DENManning BLOCK (3 BLK)40
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 1:13DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 1:15DENMISS McCloud 3PT Jump Shot40
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 1:39DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)40
9.0%
47
91.0%
Q2 - 2:03DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
11.7%
44
88.3%
Q2 - 2:03DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
11.5%
44
88.5%
Q2 - 2:30DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)38
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 2:39DENNajera STEAL (1 STL)38
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 2:43DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 2:45DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 2:50DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)38
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 2:54DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 2:56DENFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)38
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 3:13DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
14.5%
41
85.5%
Q2 - 3:13DALNajera Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 3:18DALHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 3:20DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup38
16.4%
39
83.6%
Q2 - 3:27DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
17.7%
39
82.3%
Q2 - 3:29DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot38
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 3:31DALHarvey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
15.8%
39
84.2%
Q2 - 3:33DALMISS Harvey Layup38
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 3:35DALHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 3:36DALMISS Harvey Layup38
17.1%
39
82.9%
Q2 - 3:53DENHamilton Layup (3 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)38
15.9%
39
84.1%
Q2 - 4:16DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
14.2%
39
85.8%
Q2 - 4:16DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 4:39DENJohnson Reverse Layup (6 PTS)36
17.3%
36
82.7%
Q2 - 4:55DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
15.7%
36
84.3%
Q2 - 4:55DALMISS Manning Free Throw 2 of 234
15.5%
36
84.5%
Q2 - 4:55DALManning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 5:19DENPosey 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rider 1 AST)34
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 5:40DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 5:41DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot32
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 6:00DENWilliams 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)32
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 6:09DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
11.7%
35
88.3%
Q2 - 6:10DALMISS Bradley Driving Layup30
11.3%
35
88.7%
Q2 - 6:23DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 6:25DENMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot30
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 6:39DALBradley Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)30
11.7%
35
88.3%
Q2 - 6:53DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
10.4%
35
89.6%
Q2 - 6:53DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
10.2%
35
89.8%
Q2 - 6:55DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
9.6%
35
90.4%
Q2 - 6:57DALMISS Howard Layup28
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 7:07DENBowen 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)28
8.8%
35
91.2%
Q2 - 7:19DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T7)26
8.1%
35
91.9%
Q2 - 7:23DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 7:25DENMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot26
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 7:38DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)26
8.0%
35
92.0%
Q2 - 8:03DENWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 8:06DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 8:08DALMISS Finley 23' Jump Shot24
7.9%
33
92.1%
Q2 - 8:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
7.3%
33
92.7%
Q2 - 8:20DENMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot24
7.5%
33
92.5%
Q2 - 8:35DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
8.1%
33
91.9%
Q2 - 8:35DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
8.3%
32
91.7%
Q2 - 8:47DENBowen Layup (4 PTS)24
8.8%
31
91.2%
Q2 - 8:48DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 8:50DENMISS Bowen Layup22
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q2 - 9:03DALFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)22
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 9:08DALHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 9:10DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot22
7.6%
31
92.4%
Q2 - 9:34DALHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)22
8.2%
31
91.8%
Q2 - 9:38DENRider Layup (4 PTS)22
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q2 - 9:40DENRider REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q2 - 9:42DENMISS Bowen Layup20
7.6%
29
92.4%
Q2 - 9:58DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q2 - 9:59DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot20
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 10:17DENRider Foul Turnover (P1.T5)20
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 10:36DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)20
8.3%
29
91.7%
Q2 - 10:53DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q2 - 11:09DALBradley Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)20
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q2 - 11:32DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q2 - 11:37DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q2 - 11:39DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot17
7.3%
27
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN17
6.9%
27
93.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALNowitzki Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)17
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
8.4%
25
91.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
8.2%
25
91.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
7.5%
25
92.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot15
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 0:39.0DENMcCloud 14' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)15
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
6.3%
25
93.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
6.1%
25
93.9%
Q1 - 1:07DENRider 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)13
5.9%
25
94.1%
Q1 - 1:12DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 1:14DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot11
5.2%
25
94.8%
Q1 - 1:35DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q1 - 1:35DENBowen Tip Shot (2 PTS)11
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q1 - 1:38DENBradley BLOCK (2 BLK)9
4.2%
25
95.8%
Q1 - 1:44DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
4.4%
25
95.6%
Q1 - 1:46DALMISS Bradley 7' Jump Shot9
4.3%
25
95.7%
Q1 - 1:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound9
4.1%
25
95.9%
Q1 - 2:00DENManning BLOCK (2 BLK)9
4.2%
25
95.8%
Q1 - 2:19DALHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
4.5%
25
95.5%
Q1 - 2:19DALMISS Harvey Free Throw 1 of 29
4.6%
24
95.4%
Q1 - 2:21DALHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
4.5%
24
95.5%
Q1 - 2:25DENManning BLOCK (1 BLK)9
4.6%
24
95.4%
Q1 - 2:28DALHarvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)9
4.9%
24
95.1%
Q1 - 2:43DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
4.5%
24
95.5%
Q1 - 2:45DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 21' Jump Shot9
4.6%
24
95.4%
Q1 - 3:06DALBradley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)9
5.1%
24
94.9%
Q1 - 3:27DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
5.5%
22
94.5%
Q1 - 3:27DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 28
5.4%
22
94.6%
Q1 - 3:52DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)8
5.6%
22
94.4%
Q1 - 4:00DALHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6.0%
20
94.0%
Q1 - 4:02DENBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)8
6.2%
20
93.8%
Q1 - 4:20DALNowitzki Driving Layup (12 PTS)8
6.6%
20
93.4%
Q1 - 4:36DENAbdul-Wahad Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 4:36DENMISS Abdul-Wahad Free Throw 1 of 27
7.0%
18
93.0%
Q1 - 4:48DALNowitzki Driving Layup (10 PTS)7
7.2%
18
92.8%
Q1 - 5:01DENAbdul-Wahad Foul Turnover (P2.T3)7
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 5:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)7
8.4%
16
91.6%
Q1 - 5:13DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)7
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 5:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound7
9.0%
14
91.0%
Q1 - 5:33DENHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)7
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 5:36DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)7
9.8%
14
90.2%
Q1 - 5:37DENMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot7
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 5:52DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9.8%
14
90.2%
Q1 - 5:55DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot7
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 6:16DENAbdul-Wahad Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)7
9.2%
14
90.8%
Q1 - 6:31DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
8.5%
14
91.5%
Q1 - 6:31DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
8.7%
13
91.3%
Q1 - 6:43DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:43DENMISS McCloud Free Throw 1 of 24
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 6:55DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.2%
12
90.8%
Q1 - 6:58DALMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
9.0%
12
91.0%
Q1 - 7:12DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
8.7%
12
91.3%
Q1 - 7:13DENMISS McCloud Driving Layup4
8.9%
12
91.1%
Q1 - 7:18DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
9.3%
12
90.7%
Q1 - 7:19DENMISS McCloud 21' Jump Shot4
8.9%
12
91.1%
Q1 - 7:46DALManning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
9.3%
12
90.7%
Q1 - 7:46DALManning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 7:46DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 7:48DALMISS Howard Layup4
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 7:59DALManning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
9.9%
10
90.1%
Q1 - 8:00DALMISS Howard 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
10.5%
10
89.5%
Q1 - 8:12DALManning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.8%
10
90.2%
Q1 - 8:14DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 7' Jump Shot4
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 8:35DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 8:38DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.8%
10
90.2%
Q1 - 8:40DENMISS Posey 16' Jump Shot4
10.0%
10
90.0%
Q1 - 8:53DALManning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
10.6%
10
89.4%
Q1 - 9:02DENPosey 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
9.6%
10
90.4%
Q1 - 9:28DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)2
9.2%
10
90.8%
Q1 - 9:36DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.3%
7
89.7%
Q1 - 9:39DENMISS Van Exel 14' Jump Shot2
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 9:59DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)2
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 10:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 10:07DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 10:11DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 10:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 10:17DENMISS LaFrentz Layup2
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 10:19DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 10:21DENMISS LaFrentz 7' Jump Shot2
12.1%
5
87.9%
Q1 - 10:37DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)2
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 10:49DENPosey Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 11:01DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:03DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot2
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 11:10DENManning STEAL (1 STL)2
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 11:24DALManning 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
15.3%
2
84.7%
Q1 - 11:39DENPosey 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)2
16.3%
0
83.7%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Howard vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Van Exel0
15.3%
0
84.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.96 47.9%
DAL
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
42
43%
DAL
15
27
56%
Midrange
DEN
14
34
41%
DAL
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
DAL
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
DEN
18
21
86%
DAL
29
36
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Rider1968%9.5 / 14
N. Van Exel1350%6.5 / 13
J. Posey1063%5.0 / 8
A. Johnson1045%5.0 / 11
R. LaFrentz945%4.5 / 10
G. McCloud950%4.5 / 9
T. Abdul-Wahad630%3.0 / 10
S. Williams643%3.0 / 7
R. Bowen643%3.0 / 7
Z. Hamilton330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3363%16.5 / 26
M. Finley1850%9.0 / 18
S. Nash1365%6.5 / 10
D. Manning1365%6.5 / 10
J. Howard1142%5.5 / 13
E. Najera964%4.5 / 7
S. Bradley531%2.5 / 8
T. Hardaway250%1.0 / 2
D. Harvey117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
79
+14
-10
93
DAL
82
+18
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.96 47.9%
DAL
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
109.4
DEN 102.2
DAL 111.7 +9.5
Pace
92.1
95.4
DEN 94.5 +5.7
DAL 88.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
DEN 15.2 +1.0
DAL 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
50.7%
DEN 43.5%
DAL 48.1% +4.6%
TO %
14.9%
12.1%
DEN 9.7% +1.5%
DAL 11.2%
ORB %
30.7%
26.2%
DEN 29.8%
DAL 36.4% +6.6%
FTrt
25.6
28.8
DEN 25.0
DAL 45.6 +20.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
56.6%
DEN 54.3%
DAL 61.1% +6.8%
STL %
8.0%
7.4%
DEN 5.6% +1.3%
DAL 4.3%
BLK %
8.6%
7.1%
DEN 10.3%
DAL 17.1% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
53.0%
DEN 47.9%
DAL 52.0% +4.1%
Rim FG%
55.5%
58.9%
DEN 42.9%
DAL 55.6% +12.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
42.0%
DEN 41.2%
DAL 41.5% +0.3%
3P %
32.9%
37.8%
DEN 37.5% +1.1%
DAL 36.4%
FT %
74.4%
80.6%
DEN 85.7% +5.1%
DAL 80.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
30.7%
DEN 50.0% +15.8%
DAL 34.2%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
45.6%
DEN 40.5% +11.4%
DAL 51.9%
3P Att. %
18.7%
23.7%
DEN 9.5%
DAL 13.9% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions8994
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points91105
Rebounds4249
Assists1922
Steals54
Blocks713
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (0)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)33 (2)
Field Goals35-8436-79
At-the-Rim FG18-4215-27
Midrange FG14-3417-41
2-Point FG32-7632-68
3-Point FG3-84-11
Free Throws18-2129-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
35.0
13
50%
2
7
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
23.6
9
45%
9
1
0
3
0
6
2
7
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
22.6
10
63%
0
1
2
0
1
6
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
20.4
6
30%
3
0
0
0
2
4
3
0
2-3
67%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 260 · 34
18.3
6
43%
4
0
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
30.5
10
45%
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 34
30.3
9
50%
5
2
1
0
1
4
0
5
5-6
83%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" · 31
27.6
19
68%
5
2
0
1
2
4
3
2
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
16.1
3
30%
6
0
0
1
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
15.8
6
43%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
C · 6'11" · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
42
19
5
7
10
0
14
28
18-21
86%
32-76
42%
3-8
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.