FinalWin Prob.pScore
2712%88
82
188%102
86
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
90.19182.2
MIL logo MIL
89.696108.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL82
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)82
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)82
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 282
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0MILBUCKS Rebound82
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup82
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MILCassell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)82
22.3%
83
77.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
11.1%
83
88.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)81
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
7.9%
83
92.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q4 - 1:17MIAStrickland Layup (13 PTS) (Carter 11 AST)80
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q4 - 1:21MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
2.9%
83
97.1%
Q4 - 1:23MILMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot78
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Carter 10 AST)78
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 1:54MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 1:54MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 276
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 2:04MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot76
1.5%
82
98.5%
Q4 - 2:12MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 2:14MILMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot76
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 2:27MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 275
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q4 - 2:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 2:50MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 2:52MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot75
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 3:16MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q4 - 3:16MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 275
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 3:16MILCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 3:17MILMISS Mason 8' Hook Shot75
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 3:32MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 3:32MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 3:46MILAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)73
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 3:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 273
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 3:59MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 3:59MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 4:02MIAMISS Ellis 11' Jump Shot72
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 4:28MILCassell 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)72
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 4:45MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Jones Layup72
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 4:55MILRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T15)72
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 5:01MIACaffey STEAL (1 STL)72
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 5:07MILCaffey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)72
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 5:19MILAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
2.9%
78
97.1%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Carter 14' Running Jump Shot72
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 5:54MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)72
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q4 - 5:54MILRobinson Layup (25 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)72
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 6:04MILBUCKS Rebound72
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 6:04MILMISS Caffey Layup72
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q4 - 6:09MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot72
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q4 - 6:30MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q4 - 6:32MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q4 - 6:39MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
7.7%
75
92.3%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Carter Running Jump Shot72
8.4%
75
91.6%
Q4 - 6:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q4 - 6:53MILMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.6%
75
90.4%
Q4 - 7:07MILAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q4 - 7:09MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)72
8.7%
75
91.3%
Q4 - 7:13MILJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)72
10.6%
75
89.4%
Q4 - 7:13MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q4 - 7:13MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
7.5%
75
92.5%
Q4 - 7:28MILCaffey Layup (14 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)70
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q4 - 7:48MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q4 - 7:51MIAMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot70
8.7%
73
91.3%
Q4 - 8:12MIAHeat Rebound70
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q4 - 8:12MIAMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot70
9.3%
73
90.7%
Q4 - 8:33MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q4 - 8:35MILMISS Thomas 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
10.2%
73
89.8%
Q4 - 9:01MIAStepania 10' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)70
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q4 - 9:35MILCaffey Layup (12 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)68
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q4 - 9:40MILAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
8.7%
71
91.3%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot68
9.3%
71
90.7%
Q4 - 10:05MILThomas 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)68
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q4 - 10:11MILAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
13.3%
69
86.7%
Q4 - 10:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot68
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Stepania Layup68
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 10:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 10:18MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot68
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot68
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q4 - 10:46MILAllen Driving Layup (22 PTS)68
16.4%
69
83.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stepania 2 AST)68
19.8%
67
80.2%
Q4 - 11:13MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
16.7%
67
83.3%
Q4 - 11:15MILMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot66
15.8%
67
84.2%
Q4 - 11:38MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot66
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL66
16.7%
67
83.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones 28' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)66
13.8%
67
86.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0MILMISS Pope 16' Jump Shot63
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHamilton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)63
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot61
6.1%
67
93.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)61
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
4.6%
67
95.4%
Q3 - 1:05MILMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot59
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 1:21MIAJones 5' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)59
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q3 - 1:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
3.1%
67
96.9%
Q3 - 1:29MILMISS Thomas Layup57
2.9%
67
97.1%
Q3 - 1:51MIAHamilton Dunk (2 PTS)57
2.6%
67
97.4%
Q3 - 1:54MILCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)55
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 2:01MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Stepania 12' Jump Shot55
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 2:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q3 - 2:21MILMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 255
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 2:21MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)55
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 2:21MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 2:22MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 2:28MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
2.2%
66
97.8%
Q3 - 2:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 2:41MIAJones Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)55
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 3:10MILCassell 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pope 1 AST)54
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q3 - 3:21MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS)54
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 3:39MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)52
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 3:39MILRobinson Driving Layup (21 PTS)52
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 3:48MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot52
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q3 - 4:16MILAllen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Cassell 9 AST)52
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 4:22MIARobinson STEAL (2 STL)52
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 4:29MILMISS Robinson 8' Jump Shot52
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMarks 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)52
5.7%
58
94.3%
Q3 - 5:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot50
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q3 - 5:29MILRobinson 9' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)50
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q3 - 5:49MIAJones 11' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)50
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q3 - 6:11MILRobinson 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)48
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 6:19MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Ellis 8' Hook Shot48
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q3 - 6:34MILMason 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q3 - 6:36MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q3 - 6:38MILMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot48
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q3 - 6:53MIAJones 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q3 - 7:10MIAHeat Rebound46
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q3 - 7:12MILMISS Mason Layup46
6.7%
52
93.3%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMarks Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)46
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q3 - 7:41MILRobinson 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)46
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q3 - 7:53MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Grant 10' Jump Shot46
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q3 - 8:22MILAllen 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
9.3%
50
90.7%
Q3 - 8:32MILAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)46
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot46
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
11.0%
48
89.0%
Q3 - 8:59MILRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
12.3%
48
87.7%
Q3 - 8:59MILRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)46
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q3 - 9:16MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)46
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q3 - 9:22MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot44
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q3 - 9:40MILBUCKS Rebound44
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Marks 15' Jump Shot44
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q3 - 10:04MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q3 - 10:06MILMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMarks 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q3 - 10:44MILMason 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)42
8.8%
46
91.2%
Q3 - 10:57MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot42
10.3%
44
89.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q3 - 11:22MILMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot42
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q3 - 11:30MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones Layup42
10.0%
44
90.0%
Q3 - 11:51MILCassell 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL42
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound42
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Ellis 28' 3PT Jump Shot42
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILAllen Running Dunk (15 PTS)42
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAEllis 3' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)42
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0MILMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 240
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)40
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 1:08MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)37
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 1:08MILAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)37
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 1:11MILMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot37
10.4%
39
89.6%
Q2 - 1:36MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)37
10.0%
39
90.0%
Q2 - 1:43MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
7.5%
39
92.5%
Q2 - 1:45MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot34
7.3%
39
92.7%
Q2 - 1:55MIAJones Layup (9 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)34
7.0%
39
93.0%
Q2 - 1:57MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 2:00MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 2:05MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 2:07MILMISS Mason Tip Shot32
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 2:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 2:10MILAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 2:10MILMISS Allen Tip Shot32
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 2:12MILMISS Allen Layup32
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 2:13MILAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 2:15MILMISS Robinson 8' Jump Shot32
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 2:36MIAAllen STEAL (1 STL)32
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 2:59MILRobinson 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 3:18MILBUCKS Rebound32
6.8%
37
93.2%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Carter Layup32
7.1%
37
92.9%
Q2 - 3:47MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)32
7.7%
37
92.3%
Q2 - 4:00MIACarter Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)32
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 4:20MILMISS Caffey Free Throw 2 of 230
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 4:20MILCaffey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)30
7.0%
35
93.0%
Q2 - 4:30MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
7.6%
34
92.4%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot30
7.8%
34
92.2%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
8.4%
34
91.6%
Q2 - 4:48MILMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot30
8.2%
34
91.8%
Q2 - 5:01MILThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q2 - 5:03MILMISS Cassell 13' Jump Shot30
8.1%
34
91.9%
Q2 - 5:15MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
7.5%
34
92.5%
Q2 - 5:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 5:22MIAThomas BLOCK (2 BLK)28
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 5:40MILCaffey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 5:40MILCaffey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 6:03MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)28
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 6:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
6.8%
32
93.2%
Q2 - 6:14MILMISS Cassell 11' Jump Shot26
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q2 - 6:23MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)26
6.0%
32
94.0%
Q2 - 6:29MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)24
5.5%
32
94.5%
Q2 - 6:42MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
4.9%
32
95.1%
Q2 - 6:46MIAThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)24
5.1%
32
94.9%
Q2 - 7:05MILCaffey 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)24
5.6%
32
94.4%
Q2 - 7:10MIAStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)24
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 7:17MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)24
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 7:25MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 7:27MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot24
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 7:38MILThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)24
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 7:50MILAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 7:52MILMISS Caffey 9' Jump Shot24
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q2 - 7:56MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 7:58MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q2 - 8:22MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)24
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 8:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 8:27MILMISS Alston 14' Jump Shot24
6.7%
30
93.3%
Q2 - 8:31MILAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 8:35MIAMISS Mack Layup24
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 8:46MILRobinson 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)24
6.9%
30
93.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
7.5%
28
92.5%
Q2 - 9:21MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
8.3%
28
91.7%
Q2 - 9:21MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)24
8.4%
27
91.6%
Q2 - 9:32MILCaffey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q2 - 9:45MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q2 - 9:48MILMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMarks 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)24
9.1%
26
90.9%
Q2 - 10:27MILCaffey 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q2 - 10:36MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 221
8.9%
24
91.1%
Q2 - 10:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q2 - 10:58MILMISS Caffey Free Throw 2 of 221
9.1%
24
90.9%
Q2 - 10:58MILCaffey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
8.5%
24
91.5%
Q2 - 11:16MIAStrickland Layup (4 PTS)21
8.9%
23
91.1%
Q2 - 11:24MILAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T7)19
8.1%
23
91.9%
Q2 - 11:32MILAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
7.4%
23
92.6%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot19
7.7%
23
92.3%
Q2 - 11:48MILCaffey 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)19
8.2%
23
91.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
8.9%
21
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)19
9.7%
21
90.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)19
9.0%
21
91.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
8.0%
21
92.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)17
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 1:02MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
9.5%
19
90.5%
Q1 - 1:04MILMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot17
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:20MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot17
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 1:32MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 1:35MILMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot17
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 1:50MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 1:50MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 216
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 2:20MILAlston 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)16
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 2:38MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)16
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 2:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 2:48MILMISS Mason 10' Jump Shot14
8.6%
17
91.4%
Q1 - 3:05MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
8.0%
17
92.0%
Q1 - 3:08MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot14
8.2%
17
91.8%
Q1 - 3:25MILRobinson 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)14
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 3:41MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)14
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 3:50MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)12
8.8%
15
91.2%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)12
8.0%
15
92.0%
Q1 - 4:14MILAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 4:20MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
7.8%
15
92.2%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
8.0%
15
92.0%
Q1 - 4:45MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8.6%
15
91.4%
Q1 - 4:47MILMISS Cassell 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
8.3%
15
91.7%
Q1 - 5:09MIAGrant 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
7.6%
15
92.4%
Q1 - 5:36MILAllen 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)10
7.1%
15
92.9%
Q1 - 5:53MIACarter 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)10
7.7%
13
92.3%
Q1 - 6:11MILRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
7.1%
13
92.9%
Q1 - 6:15MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
6.6%
13
93.4%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Carter 9' Running Jump Shot8
6.7%
13
93.3%
Q1 - 6:34MILMason Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)8
7.1%
13
92.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIAEllis 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)8
7.6%
11
92.4%
Q1 - 7:04MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)6
7.1%
11
92.9%
Q1 - 7:04MILAllen Layup (5 PTS)6
7.6%
10
92.4%
Q1 - 7:13MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)6
8.1%
8
91.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7.6%
8
92.4%
Q1 - 7:30MILMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.4%
8
92.6%
Q1 - 7:44MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
7.0%
8
93.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.2%
8
92.8%
Q1 - 8:07MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
7.4%
8
92.6%
Q1 - 8:07MILAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)4
8.0%
7
92.0%
Q1 - 8:11MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)4
8.5%
5
91.5%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
9.2%
5
90.8%
Q1 - 8:18MILMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot4
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 8:30MIACarter 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)4
8.5%
5
91.5%
Q1 - 8:51MILRobinson 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)2
8.0%
5
92.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIACarter Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
8.3%
3
91.7%
Q1 - 9:16MILAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
7.9%
3
92.1%
Q1 - 9:21MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
7.3%
3
92.7%
Q1 - 9:22MILMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot0
7.7%
3
92.3%
Q1 - 9:27MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
7.3%
3
92.7%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot0
7.5%
3
92.5%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
7.9%
3
92.1%
Q1 - 9:51MILMISS Cassell Jump Shot0
7.7%
3
92.3%
Q1 - 9:55MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.3%
3
92.7%
Q1 - 9:59MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot0
7.5%
3
92.5%
Q1 - 10:10MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.9%
3
92.1%
Q1 - 10:13MILMISS Cassell 15' Jump Shot0
7.7%
3
92.3%
Q1 - 10:19MIARobinson STEAL (1 STL)0
7.3%
3
92.7%
Q1 - 10:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.9%
3
92.1%
Q1 - 10:27MILMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot0
7.7%
3
92.3%
Q1 - 10:49MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
7.3%
3
92.7%
Q1 - 11:06MILRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)0
7.8%
3
92.2%
Q1 - 11:12MILRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
0
91.1%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Ellis 3' Jump Shot0
9.1%
0
90.9%
Q1 - 11:31MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
9.5%
0
90.5%
Q1 - 11:42MILPope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.9%
0
91.1%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Grant Dunk0
9.1%
0
90.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Pope vs. Marks: Tip to Carter0
9.5%
0
90.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
MIL
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
26
54%
MIL
10
18
56%
Midrange
MIA
17
44
39%
MIL
18
41
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
MIL
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
MIA
11
15
73%
MIL
21
28
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2956%14.5 / 26
R. Strickland1350%6.5 / 13
A. Carter1155%5.5 / 10
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
S. Marks660%3.0 / 5
V. Stepania633%3.0 / 9
T. Hamilton675%3.0 / 4
L. Ellis521%2.5 / 12
S. Mack0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Robinson2665%13.0 / 20
R. Allen2244%11.0 / 25
J. Caffey1470%7.0 / 10
S. Cassell1134%5.5 / 16
A. Mason844%4.0 / 9
T. Thomas330%1.5 / 5
R. Alston233%1.0 / 3
M. Pope0-0.0 / 1
E. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
79
+10
-12
89
MIL
80
+13
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
MIL
0.91 45.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
104.4
MIA 90.1 +0.5
MIL 89.6
Pace
89.7
92.5
MIA 82.2
MIL 108.5 +26.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.4
MIA 17.5
MIL 13.3 +4.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.7%
MIA 43.3%
MIL 43.3%
TO %
15.5%
14.5%
MIA 12.8% +3.5%
MIL 16.3%
ORB %
26.7%
25.6%
MIA 20.5%
MIL 26.7% +6.2%
FTrt
26.8
26.9
MIA 18.3
MIL 37.3 +19.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
60.7%
MIA 76.5% +8.8%
MIL 67.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.8%
MIA 12.1% +3.8%
MIL 8.3%
BLK %
8.7%
7.1%
MIA 13.6% +9.3%
MIL 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
51.7%
MIA 45.1%
MIL 45.3% +0.2%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.1%
MIA 53.8%
MIL 55.6% +1.8%
Mid FG%
38.0%
45.1%
MIA 38.6%
MIL 43.9% +5.3%
3P %
34.7%
37.5%
MIA 25.0% +6.2%
MIL 18.8%
FT %
72.4%
74.8%
MIA 73.3%
MIL 75.0% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
27.2%
MIA 31.7% +7.7%
MIL 24.0%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
48.8%
MIA 53.7% +1.0%
MIL 54.7%
3P Att. %
14.1%
24.1%
MIA 14.6%
MIL 21.3% +6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.93 and 2.93.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions9196
Possession Minutes26.621.2
Points8286
Rebounds4247
Assists2621
Steals118
Blocks83
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)35 (4)
Field Goals34-8231-75
At-the-Rim FG14-2610-18
Midrange FG17-4418-41
2-Point FG31-7028-59
3-Point FG3-123-16
Free Throws11-1521-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
41.6
29
56%
4
3
2
5
1
3
1
3
2-3
67%
9-16
56%
3-9
33%
G · 6'1" 190 · 26
36.3
11
55%
3
11
3
0
4
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
32.8
5
21%
9
1
0
0
1
3
3
6
1-2
50%
2-10
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
30.8
6
43%
4
2
0
1
3
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 26
22.2
6
60%
7
0
0
0
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 35
27.0
13
50%
4
5
3
0
2
5
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
23.0
6
33%
8
2
0
2
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 205 · 23
17.3
6
75%
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" · 31
8.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 216 · 33
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
G · 6'1" 190 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
45%
42
26
11
8
12
0
9
33
11-15
73%
31-70
44%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.