FinalWin Prob.pScore
858%102
105
2242%100
95
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
110.59595.1
CHH
105.69092.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASCHH
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS105
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CHHMISS Davis 33' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0SASPorter Driving Layup (11 PTS)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)103
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
99.6%
95
0.4%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)102
99.5%
95
0.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)101
98.7%
95
1.3%
Q4 - 1:00CHHMISS Wesley Layup101
98.3%
95
1.7%
Q4 - 1:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)101
96.5%
95
3.5%
Q4 - 1:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)100
96.0%
95
4.0%
Q4 - 1:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)99
93.7%
95
6.3%
Q4 - 1:31CHHMISS Campbell Layup99
92.2%
95
7.8%
Q4 - 1:45SASDuncan Dunk (31 PTS) (Porter 5 AST)99
87.8%
95
12.2%
Q4 - 2:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
83.0%
95
17.0%
Q4 - 2:09CHHMISS Mashburn 6' Jump Shot97
80.2%
95
19.8%
Q4 - 2:35SASParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)97
71.7%
95
28.3%
Q4 - 2:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
55.6%
95
44.4%
Q4 - 2:45CHHMISS Mashburn Layup94
50.3%
95
49.7%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Layup (29 PTS)94
39.2%
95
60.8%
Q4 - 3:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
33.6%
95
66.4%
Q4 - 3:18CHHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
29.5%
95
70.5%
Q4 - 3:23CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)92
21.3%
95
78.7%
Q4 - 3:27SASBrown BLOCK (2 BLK)92
24.7%
95
75.3%
Q4 - 3:48CHHWesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mashburn 8 AST)92
34.8%
95
65.2%
Q4 - 4:02CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
52.2%
92
47.8%
Q4 - 4:06SASCampbell BLOCK (1 BLK)92
55.2%
92
44.8%
Q4 - 4:26CHHCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)92
61.9%
92
38.1%
Q4 - 4:26CHHMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 292
63.9%
91
36.1%
Q4 - 4:26HORNETS Rebound92
70.3%
91
29.7%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot92
64.2%
91
35.8%
Q4 - 4:46CHHBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T7)92
70.4%
91
29.6%
Q4 - 5:02SASBowen Layup (4 PTS)92
61.4%
91
38.6%
Q4 - 5:14CHHMashburn 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)90
53.6%
91
46.4%
Q4 - 5:41SASMashburn STEAL (1 STL)90
61.4%
89
38.6%
Q4 - 6:01CHHMashburn 16' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)90
69.0%
89
31.0%
Q4 - 6:30SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)90
74.3%
87
25.7%
Q4 - 6:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)88
69.0%
87
31.0%
Q4 - 6:44CHHMISS Brown Layup88
66.7%
87
33.3%
Q4 - 6:51CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)88
61.1%
87
38.9%
Q4 - 6:54SASMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot88
63.6%
87
36.4%
Q4 - 6:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
69.0%
87
31.0%
Q4 - 7:01CHHMISS Campbell 8' Jump Shot88
66.6%
87
33.4%
Q4 - 7:20SASDaniels 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 5 AST)88
61.6%
87
38.4%
Q4 - 7:31SASSpurs Rebound86
55.8%
87
44.2%
Q4 - 7:33SASMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot86
50.4%
87
49.6%
Q4 - 7:55CHHDavis 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)86
55.8%
87
44.2%
Q4 - 8:15SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)86
61.6%
85
38.4%
Q4 - 8:21SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
55.5%
85
44.5%
Q4 - 8:24CHHMISS Campbell 7' Jump Shot84
53.6%
85
46.4%
Q4 - 8:41CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
49.0%
85
51.0%
Q4 - 8:44SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot84
51.0%
85
49.0%
Q4 - 8:49SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
55.6%
85
44.4%
Q4 - 8:51CHHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot84
53.6%
85
46.4%
Q4 - 8:54CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
49.0%
85
51.0%
Q4 - 8:59SASMISS Daniels Layup84
51.0%
85
49.0%
Q4 - 9:14SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
56.2%
85
43.8%
Q4 - 9:16CHHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 2 of 284
55.4%
85
44.6%
Q4 - 9:16CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
51.4%
85
48.6%
Q4 - 9:23CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
55.9%
84
44.1%
Q4 - 9:25CHHMISS Drew 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
60.2%
84
39.8%
Q4 - 9:49SASDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Porter 4 AST)84
55.9%
84
44.1%
Q4 - 10:09CHHNailon 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Campbell 2 AST)81
45.0%
84
55.0%
Q4 - 10:38SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)81
50.2%
82
49.8%
Q4 - 10:38SASDuncan Layup (22 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)80
44.5%
82
55.5%
Q4 - 10:45SASSpurs Rebound78
39.4%
82
60.6%
Q4 - 10:45SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot78
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
39.4%
82
60.6%
Q4 - 10:57CHHMISS Nailon 7' Jump Shot78
37.6%
82
62.4%
Q4 - 11:05CHHDrew REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
34.5%
82
65.5%
Q4 - 11:07SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot78
36.0%
82
64.0%
Q4 - 11:22CHHNailon Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)78
39.7%
82
60.3%
Q4 - 11:22CHHNailon Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
41.2%
81
58.8%
Q4 - 11:22CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 11:27CHHMISS Wesley 15' Jump Shot78
48.7%
80
51.3%
Q4 - 11:39CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
44.8%
80
55.2%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Duncan Layup78
46.5%
80
53.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS78
50.5%
80
49.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHHMashburn 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
51.3%
80
48.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASDuncan Layup (20 PTS)78
56.4%
78
43.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0CHHDavis Reverse Layup (16 PTS)76
51.2%
78
48.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0CHHNailon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
56.3%
76
43.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Porter 18' Jump Shot76
57.8%
76
42.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0CHHBrown 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)76
61.3%
76
38.7%
Q3 - 1:21SASPorter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)76
66.0%
74
34.0%
Q3 - 1:28SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
56.9%
74
43.1%
Q3 - 1:30CHHMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot73
55.3%
74
44.7%
Q3 - 1:35CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
51.8%
74
48.2%
Q3 - 1:37SASMISS Porter 21' Jump Shot73
53.4%
74
46.6%
Q3 - 1:59CHHDavis 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
56.8%
74
43.2%
Q3 - 2:09SASDuncan Layup (18 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)73
60.9%
72
39.1%
Q3 - 2:24CHHNailon 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)71
56.8%
72
43.2%
Q3 - 2:28CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
60.9%
70
39.1%
Q3 - 2:30SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot71
62.4%
70
37.6%
Q3 - 2:50CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
65.6%
70
34.4%
Q3 - 2:50CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
66.5%
69
33.5%
Q3 - 2:53CHHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
69.4%
68
30.6%
Q3 - 2:55SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
70.7%
68
29.3%
Q3 - 3:04SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
73.1%
68
26.9%
Q3 - 3:06CHHMISS Traylor Layup71
72.0%
68
28.0%
Q3 - 3:15SASParker Layup (17 PTS)71
69.3%
68
30.7%
Q3 - 3:37CHHTraylor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)69
65.5%
68
34.5%
Q3 - 3:43SASWesley STEAL (2 STL)69
61.1%
68
38.9%
Q3 - 4:01CHHMashburn 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wesley 5 AST)69
65.6%
68
34.4%
Q3 - 4:16HORNETS Rebound69
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q3 - 4:18SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot69
70.1%
66
29.9%
Q3 - 4:32CHHTraylor Driving Layup (8 PTS)69
72.9%
66
27.1%
Q3 - 4:48SASParker Driving Layup (15 PTS)69
75.7%
64
24.3%
Q3 - 4:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
72.9%
64
27.1%
Q3 - 4:55CHHMISS Mashburn 16' Jump Shot67
71.7%
64
28.3%
Q3 - 5:14SASWesley STEAL (1 STL)67
68.7%
64
31.3%
Q3 - 5:24CHHMashburn 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)67
72.4%
64
27.6%
Q3 - 5:38SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q3 - 5:38SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 266
74.6%
62
25.4%
Q3 - 5:47SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
75.7%
62
24.3%
Q3 - 5:49CHHMISS Magloire 8' Jump Shot66
74.6%
62
25.4%
Q3 - 6:01CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q3 - 6:03SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot66
72.8%
62
27.2%
Q3 - 6:29CHHDavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wesley 4 AST)66
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 6:45SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
80.5%
59
19.5%
Q3 - 6:45SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 265
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 6:51CHHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)65
80.7%
59
19.3%
Q3 - 7:01CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)65
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 7:05CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot65
79.0%
59
21.0%
Q3 - 7:12CHHWesley Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)65
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 7:24SASParker 29' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)65
79.6%
58
20.4%
Q3 - 7:48CHHBrown 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)62
74.5%
58
25.5%
Q3 - 8:06SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)62
76.9%
56
23.1%
Q3 - 8:29CHHDavis Driving Layup (9 PTS)60
74.5%
56
25.5%
Q3 - 8:32CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
76.9%
54
23.1%
Q3 - 8:36SASMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)60
77.8%
54
22.2%
Q3 - 8:50CHHBrown 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)60
79.8%
54
20.2%
Q3 - 9:13SASDuncan 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)60
81.4%
52
18.6%
Q3 - 9:32CHHMagloire 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)58
79.2%
52
20.8%
Q3 - 9:46SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 158
81.8%
50
18.2%
Q3 - 9:46SASRobinson Layup (9 PTS)58
81.5%
50
18.5%
Q3 - 9:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
79.3%
50
20.7%
Q3 - 9:56CHHMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot56
78.5%
50
21.5%
Q3 - 10:05CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
76.3%
50
23.7%
Q3 - 10:07SASMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot56
77.2%
50
22.8%
Q3 - 10:22CHHCampbell Foul Turnover (P2.T4)56
79.1%
50
20.9%
Q3 - 10:40SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)56
76.4%
50
23.6%
Q3 - 10:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)54
74.0%
50
26.0%
Q3 - 10:47CHHMISS Campbell Layup54
73.1%
50
26.9%
Q3 - 11:00CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
70.8%
50
29.2%
Q3 - 11:03CHHMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 254
73.6%
50
26.4%
Q3 - 11:03CHHCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
71.8%
50
28.2%
Q3 - 11:17CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q3 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 254
74.2%
49
25.8%
Q3 - 11:19SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 254
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 11:39SASSpurs Rebound54
76.5%
49
23.5%
Q3 - 11:39CHHMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot54
75.7%
49
24.3%
Q3 - 11:42CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q3 - 11:44CHHMISS Campbell Layup54
75.7%
49
24.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHH54
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
73.8%
49
26.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Porter 17' Jump Shot54
74.7%
49
25.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
76.2%
48
23.8%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)54
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
78.1%
47
21.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0CHHBrown 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)52
75.7%
47
24.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASPorter 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)52
73.9%
47
26.1%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
67.7%
47
32.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0CHHMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot49
67.0%
47
33.0%
Q2 - 1:18SASPorter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)49
65.7%
47
34.3%
Q2 - 1:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)46
58.2%
47
41.8%
Q2 - 1:32CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot46
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 1:47SASRose Foul Turnover (P2.T6)46
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q2 - 1:57SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
58.2%
47
41.8%
Q2 - 2:00CHHMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot46
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q2 - 2:15CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
56.1%
47
43.9%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 246
56.5%
47
43.5%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 246
58.4%
47
41.6%
Q2 - 2:16SASSpurs Rebound46
58.9%
47
41.1%
Q2 - 2:16SASBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)46
56.9%
47
43.1%
Q2 - 2:37CHHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)46
58.9%
47
41.1%
Q2 - 2:37CHHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)46
59.6%
46
40.4%
Q2 - 2:44CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
62.2%
45
37.8%
Q2 - 2:46SASMISS Bowen 29' 3PT Jump Shot46
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q2 - 3:03CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
65.1%
45
34.9%
Q2 - 3:03CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
65.7%
44
34.3%
Q2 - 3:21SASDuncan Layup (10 PTS)46
67.4%
43
32.6%
Q2 - 3:58CHHMagloire Layup (8 PTS) (Nailon 1 AST)44
65.0%
43
35.0%
Q2 - 4:09SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q2 - 4:09SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
66.8%
41
33.2%
Q2 - 4:25CHHDrew 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
64.9%
41
35.1%
Q2 - 4:32SASDrew STEAL (1 STL)42
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 4:48SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 4:50CHHMISS Drew Layup42
69.2%
39
30.8%
Q2 - 5:19SASSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
67.4%
39
32.6%
Q2 - 5:43CHHDrew 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)40
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q2 - 5:57CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
69.8%
36
30.2%
Q2 - 5:59SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
70.6%
36
29.4%
Q2 - 6:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 6:12SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot40
70.5%
36
29.5%
Q2 - 6:28CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 6:28CHHTraylor Layup (6 PTS)40
72.4%
36
27.6%
Q2 - 6:31CHHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot40
75.8%
34
24.2%
Q2 - 6:53CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
74.1%
34
25.9%
Q2 - 6:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 240
74.4%
34
25.6%
Q2 - 6:55SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 240
75.7%
34
24.3%
Q2 - 7:09SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
76.0%
34
24.0%
Q2 - 7:10CHHMISS Drew Free Throw 2 of 240
75.7%
34
24.3%
Q2 - 7:10CHHDrew Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)40
74.3%
34
25.7%
Q2 - 7:14CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 7:17SASNailon BLOCK (1 BLK)40
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 7:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 7:24CHHMISS Nailon 17' Jump Shot40
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 7:48SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)40
75.9%
33
24.1%
Q2 - 7:48SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 7:49SASTraylor BLOCK (1 BLK)40
76.5%
33
23.5%
Q2 - 7:58SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 8:00CHHMISS Mashburn Layup40
77.3%
33
22.7%
Q2 - 8:05CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
75.4%
33
24.6%
Q2 - 8:07SASMISS Daniels Layup40
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 8:25CHHTraylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
77.6%
33
22.4%
Q2 - 8:25CHHTraylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
78.0%
32
22.0%
Q2 - 8:26CHHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
79.1%
31
20.9%
Q2 - 8:28CHHMISS Campbell 19' Jump Shot40
80.4%
31
19.6%
Q2 - 8:45CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
79.1%
31
20.9%
Q2 - 8:47SASMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
79.7%
31
20.3%
Q2 - 9:00CHHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
81.0%
31
19.0%
Q2 - 9:00CHHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
81.3%
30
18.7%
Q2 - 9:17SASRose Layup (11 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)40
81.9%
29
18.1%
Q2 - 9:27CHHDavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)38
80.6%
29
19.4%
Q2 - 9:48SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)38
83.4%
26
16.6%
Q2 - 9:48SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
83.1%
26
16.9%
Q2 - 10:03CHHNailon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)36
81.8%
26
18.2%
Q2 - 10:20SASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q2 - 10:38CHHTraylor Layup (2 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)36
84.6%
24
15.4%
Q2 - 10:57SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
85.7%
22
14.3%
Q2 - 10:57SASRose Layup (6 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)35
84.4%
22
15.6%
Q2 - 11:07CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
82.7%
22
17.3%
Q2 - 11:07CHHMagloire Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
82.7%
22
17.3%
Q2 - 11:10CHHMISS Davis 8' Jump Shot33
85.0%
20
15.0%
Q2 - 11:21SASFerry 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)33
84.1%
20
15.9%
Q2 - 11:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)31
82.8%
20
17.2%
Q2 - 11:37CHHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot31
82.3%
20
17.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS31
81.3%
20
18.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)31
82.8%
20
17.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot31
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)31
82.2%
20
17.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0CHHMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot31
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASSmith 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
81.1%
20
18.9%
Q1 - 0:53.0CHHDavis Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)29
79.2%
20
20.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
81.1%
18
18.9%
Q1 - 1:00SASMISS Duncan Layup29
81.4%
18
18.6%
Q1 - 1:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
82.1%
18
17.9%
Q1 - 1:13CHHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot29
81.8%
18
18.2%
Q1 - 1:23SASParker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)29
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 1:37CHHMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)26
77.6%
18
22.4%
Q1 - 1:52SASRose 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)26
79.5%
16
20.5%
Q1 - 2:09CHHMashburn Layup (4 PTS)24
77.8%
16
22.2%
Q1 - 2:28SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
79.5%
14
20.5%
Q1 - 2:40CHHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
80.8%
14
19.2%
Q1 - 2:40CHHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
81.2%
13
18.8%
Q1 - 2:40CHHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 2:41CHHMISS Brown Layup24
83.2%
12
16.8%
Q1 - 2:54SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)24
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q1 - 3:07SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
80.4%
12
19.6%
Q1 - 3:10CHHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot22
79.9%
12
20.1%
Q1 - 3:25SASRose 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)22
78.8%
12
21.2%
Q1 - 3:47CHHBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)20
77.4%
12
22.6%
Q1 - 3:57HORNETS Rebound20
80.4%
10
19.6%
Q1 - 3:58CHHMISS Mashburn Layup20
79.9%
10
20.1%
Q1 - 4:17SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)20
78.5%
10
21.5%
Q1 - 4:25SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 4:27CHHMISS Mashburn 19' Jump Shot18
76.7%
10
23.3%
Q1 - 4:49SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 4:49SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
75.1%
10
24.9%
Q1 - 5:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 5:01SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 116
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 5:01SASRobinson Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)16
71.7%
10
28.3%
Q1 - 5:25CHHCampbell Layup (2 PTS)14
70.1%
10
29.9%
Q1 - 5:42SASSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
71.7%
8
28.3%
Q1 - 5:51CHHWesley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
73.6%
8
26.4%
Q1 - 6:11CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 6:14CHHMISS Mashburn Layup14
72.5%
8
27.5%
Q1 - 6:26CHHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 6:28SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot14
71.8%
8
28.2%
Q1 - 6:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
73.0%
8
27.0%
Q1 - 6:34CHHMISS Wesley 15' Jump Shot14
72.5%
8
27.5%
Q1 - 6:51SASParker Layup (7 PTS)14
71.3%
8
28.7%
Q1 - 6:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 6:56CHHMISS Davis Layup12
69.2%
8
30.8%
Q1 - 7:06SASDuncan Layup (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)12
67.6%
8
32.4%
Q1 - 7:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
66.1%
8
33.9%
Q1 - 7:17CHHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot10
65.5%
8
34.5%
Q1 - 7:28SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)10
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 7:52CHHWesley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)7
60.8%
8
39.2%
Q1 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 8:09SASDuncan Tip Shot (2 PTS)7
62.9%
6
37.1%
Q1 - 8:12SASMISS Parker Layup5
59.9%
6
40.1%
Q1 - 8:32CHHDavis Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)5
61.3%
6
38.7%
Q1 - 8:44SASRobinson Dunk (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 9:07CHHMashburn 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)3
61.3%
4
38.7%
Q1 - 9:15CHHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 9:17SASMISS Parker Layup3
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:21SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 9:24CHHMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot3
64.1%
2
35.9%
Q1 - 9:31CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 9:34SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot3
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:56CHHWesley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
64.8%
2
35.2%
Q1 - 10:09CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot3
66.7%
0
33.3%
Q1 - 10:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 10:22SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
66.7%
0
33.3%
Q1 - 10:42CHHCampbell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 11:02CHHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 23
66.4%
0
33.6%
Q1 - 11:03SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 11:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 11:13CHHMISS Wesley 17' Jump Shot2
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:18CHHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 11:21SASMISS Smith Layup2
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 11:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.1%
0
33.9%
Q1 - 11:35CHHMISS Campbell Layup2
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:49SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 12:00CHHJump Ball Campbell vs. Robinson: Tip to Bowen0
62.7%
0
37.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
CHH
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
22
33
67%
CHH
13
27
48%
Midrange
SAS
10
29
34%
CHH
18
46
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
CHH
4
6.0
8
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAS
17
28
61%
CHH
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3359%16.5 / 28
T. Parker2265%11.0 / 17
D. Robinson1155%5.5 / 10
T. Porter1179%5.5 / 7
M. Rose1155%5.5 / 10
S. Smith650%3.0 / 6
A. Daniels531%2.5 / 8
B. Bowen440%2.0 / 5
D. Ferry2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2144%10.5 / 24
B. Davis1856%9.0 / 16
J. Magloire1286%6.0 / 7
P. Brown1063%5.0 / 8
D. Wesley836%4.0 / 11
L. Nailon867%4.0 / 6
R. Traylor880%4.0 / 5
B. Drew660%3.0 / 5
E. Campbell420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+9
-9
95
CHH
83
+10
-7
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.3%
CHH
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
100.1
SAS 110.5 +5.0
CHH 105.6
Pace
92.4
94.4
SAS 95.1 +3.1
CHH 92.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.2
SAS 15.1 +0.5
CHH 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
46.6%
SAS 57.9% +12.2%
CHH 45.7%
TO %
14.8%
14.4%
SAS 9.2%
CHH 7.1% +2.1%
ORB %
27.2%
30.6%
SAS 16.2%
CHH 21.3% +5.1%
FTrt
35.3
32.0
SAS 36.8 +5.9
CHH 30.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
60.8%
SAS 67.5% +10.4%
CHH 57.1%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
SAS 2.1%
CHH 4.4% +2.3%
BLK %
9.5%
8.4%
SAS 6.8%
CHH 9.7% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
49.2%
SAS 55.3% +4.8%
CHH 50.5%
Rim FG%
60.3%
55.4%
SAS 66.7% +18.6%
CHH 48.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.2%
SAS 34.5%
CHH 39.1% +4.6%
3P %
36.2%
34.8%
SAS 57.1% +7.1%
CHH 50.0%
FT %
74.2%
74.5%
SAS 60.7%
CHH 84.0% +23.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
33.5%
SAS 43.4% +10.1%
CHH 33.3%
Mid Att. %
43.8%
51.4%
SAS 38.2% +18.6%
CHH 56.8%
3P Att. %
19.0%
15.1%
SAS 18.4% +8.5%
CHH 9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASCHH
Possessions9590
Possession Minutes24.023.5
Points10595
Rebounds4341
Assists2720
Steals24
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals40-7635-81
At-the-Rim FG22-3313-27
Midrange FG10-2918-46
2-Point FG32-6231-73
3-Point FG8-144-8
Free Throws17-2821-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 26
45.4
33
59%
16
3
0
0
2
2
4
12
5-9
56%
14-23
61%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 19
37.8
22
65%
4
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
4-7
57%
F · 6'7" 200 · 30
34.2
4
40%
4
5
1
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 36
26.0
11
55%
5
0
1
1
2
5
1
4
5-10
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 221 · 33
23.1
6
50%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 39
21.6
11
79%
5
5
0
3
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-3
100%
F · 6'7" 255 · 27
21.5
11
55%
6
2
0
0
2
4
1
5
3-5
60%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 27
17.4
5
31%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 35
12.7
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 235 · 28
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
55%
43
27
2
5
9
0
6
37
17-28
61%
32-62
52%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.