FinalWin Prob.pScore
1536%96
93
1764%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
103.39093.8
HOU logo HOU
113.88783.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU93
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUNorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENLaFrentz Layup (18 PTS)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUTorres Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T14)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)89
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 2 of 289
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENVan Exel Driving Layup (25 PTS)89
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)87
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:01DENVan Exel Driving Layup (23 PTS)87
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 1:07HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)85
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 1:27HOUMISS Torres 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 1:46DENVan Exel Foul Turnover (P4.T12)85
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 1:56DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 1:58HOUMISS Norris 19' Jump Shot85
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 2:26DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)85
1.1%
93
98.9%
Q4 - 2:37DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 2:39HOUMISS Willis 7' Hook Shot83
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 2:59DENNorris STEAL (2 STL)83
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 3:14HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 3:33DENMcCloud 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)83
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 3:47HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 3:47HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 281
2.9%
89
97.1%
Q4 - 3:51DENNorris STEAL (1 STL)81
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 4:03HOUFrancis 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)81
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q4 - 4:18HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 4:20HOUMISS Torres 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q4 - 4:33DENLaFrentz Foul Turnover (P2.T9)81
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 4:53HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 4:53HOUMobley Layup (16 PTS)81
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 4:56HOUMISS Willis 4' Running Jump Shot81
13.2%
85
86.8%
Q4 - 5:18DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
12.0%
85
88.0%
Q4 - 5:18DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
11.5%
85
88.5%
Q4 - 5:29DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 5:31HOUMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
8.2%
85
91.8%
Q4 - 5:45DENVan Exel Foul Turnover (P2.T8)79
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q4 - 5:59HOUNorris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)79
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 6:04HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 6:06DENMISS LaFrentz Layup79
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMobley Layup (14 PTS) (Torres 1 AST)79
10.4%
85
89.6%
Q4 - 6:43DENRider Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)79
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 6:57HOUWillis Layup (12 PTS)79
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q4 - 6:59HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q4 - 7:02HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot79
26.7%
81
73.3%
Q4 - 7:26HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)79
22.7%
81
77.3%
Q4 - 7:28DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
24.4%
81
75.6%
Q4 - 7:53HOUNorris Layup (6 PTS)79
28.6%
81
71.4%
Q4 - 8:11HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)79
34.2%
79
65.8%
Q4 - 8:13DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
36.0%
79
64.0%
Q4 - 8:20DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)79
40.3%
79
59.7%
Q4 - 8:22DENMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot79
36.0%
79
64.0%
Q4 - 8:35DENBowen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)79
40.3%
79
59.7%
Q4 - 8:37DENMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot79
36.0%
79
64.0%
Q4 - 8:54HOUTorres 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 8 AST)79
40.3%
79
59.7%
Q4 - 9:14DENWilliams 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)79
45.4%
77
54.6%
Q4 - 9:32HOUMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)77
39.8%
77
60.2%
Q4 - 9:48DENRider 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)77
34.0%
77
66.0%
Q4 - 10:03DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)75
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q4 - 10:05DENMISS Van Exel 6' Running Jump Shot75
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 10:11DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q4 - 10:13DENMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot75
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 10:27HOUROCKETS Rebound75
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q4 - 10:27HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)75
29.3%
77
70.7%
Q4 - 10:28HOUMISS Willis 6' Jump Shot75
27.8%
77
72.2%
Q4 - 10:30HOUROCKETS Rebound75
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q4 - 10:31HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot75
27.8%
77
72.2%
Q4 - 10:52DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)75
24.5%
77
75.5%
Q4 - 10:52DENJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q4 - 10:56DENNuggets Rebound72
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q4 - 10:57DENWillis BLOCK (2 BLK)72
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 11:11DENRider REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMISS Mobley Layup72
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q4 - 11:42DENJohnson Layup (11 PTS)72
14.8%
77
85.2%
Q4 - 11:47HOUThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)70
12.4%
77
87.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN70
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMobley 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
13.1%
77
86.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0HOURice REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0DENMISS Rider Layup70
16.5%
75
83.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
18.5%
75
81.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0DENMISS Rider Layup70
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)70
18.5%
75
81.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
17.6%
75
82.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
15.6%
75
84.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)70
18.5%
75
81.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0DENMISS LaFrentz Layup70
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Posey 4' Hook Shot70
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 1:11HOUThomas Tip Shot (14 PTS)70
19.1%
75
80.9%
Q3 - 1:13HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q3 - 1:16HOUMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot70
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q3 - 1:23DENFrancis STEAL (1 STL)70
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q3 - 1:35DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
25.8%
73
74.2%
Q3 - 1:37HOUMISS Mobley Layup70
24.6%
73
75.4%
Q3 - 2:06DENPosey 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)70
22.1%
73
77.9%
Q3 - 2:25HOUThomas 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS)68
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q3 - 2:46DENPosey Foul Turnover (P1.T5)68
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q3 - 2:50DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 2:52HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
24.7%
71
75.3%
Q3 - 3:12DENThomas STEAL (1 STL)68
22.7%
71
77.3%
Q3 - 3:32HOUThomas Driving Layup (10 PTS)68
26.2%
71
73.8%
Q3 - 3:51DENMcCloud Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)68
29.5%
69
70.5%
Q3 - 4:11DENNuggets Rebound66
26.2%
69
73.8%
Q3 - 4:12HOUMISS Thomas Layup66
25.1%
69
74.9%
Q3 - 4:31DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)66
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q3 - 4:35DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
17.5%
69
82.5%
Q3 - 4:38DENMobley BLOCK (3 BLK)63
15.6%
69
84.4%
Q3 - 4:55HOUWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
17.5%
69
82.5%
Q3 - 4:59HOUROCKETS Rebound63
14.8%
69
85.2%
Q3 - 5:00HOUMISS Francis Layup63
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 5:20DENLaFrentz Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Rider 2 AST)63
15.4%
69
84.6%
Q3 - 5:28DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 5:30HOUMISS Mobley Layup61
12.8%
69
87.2%
Q3 - 5:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q3 - 5:36DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
12.0%
69
88.0%
Q3 - 5:52HOUFrancis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)61
13.4%
69
86.6%
Q3 - 6:22DENVan Exel Driving Layup (19 PTS)61
18.0%
66
82.0%
Q3 - 6:41HOUFrancis 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)59
15.9%
66
84.1%
Q3 - 6:48HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 6:50HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
19.8%
64
80.2%
Q3 - 6:56HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 17' Jump Shot59
18.7%
64
81.3%
Q3 - 7:03DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
20.9%
64
79.1%
Q3 - 7:05HOUMISS Rice 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
20.0%
64
80.0%
Q3 - 7:17DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)59
18.1%
64
81.9%
Q3 - 7:17DENVan Exel Layup (16 PTS)58
15.9%
64
84.1%
Q3 - 7:22DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
14.2%
64
85.8%
Q3 - 7:24HOUMISS Francis Layup56
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q3 - 7:30HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 7:33HOUMISS Cato Dunk56
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q3 - 7:43HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 7:45DENMISS McCloud 19' Jump Shot56
12.8%
64
87.2%
Q3 - 7:55HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)56
14.2%
64
85.8%
Q3 - 8:07DENMcCloud Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)56
12.5%
64
87.5%
Q3 - 8:07DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)55
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 8:11DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 8:13HOUMISS Thomas 10' Hook Shot54
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q3 - 8:34DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 8:34DENLaFrentz Tip Shot (11 PTS)54
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 8:38DENMISS LaFrentz Jump Shot52
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 8:46DENAbdul-Wahad REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
8.5%
64
91.5%
Q3 - 8:48HOUMISS Francis 10' Running Jump Shot52
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q3 - 8:53HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)52
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 8:55DENMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 9:14HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
8.7%
64
91.3%
Q3 - 9:14HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 252
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 9:28HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
8.6%
63
91.4%
Q3 - 9:30DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 18' Jump Shot52
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 9:45HOURice 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)52
9.9%
63
90.1%
Q3 - 10:09DENAbdul-Wahad 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)52
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 10:25HOUCato 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)50
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q3 - 10:35HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
13.0%
58
87.0%
Q3 - 10:37DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot50
13.5%
58
86.5%
Q3 - 10:48DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
14.9%
58
85.1%
Q3 - 10:50HOUMISS Thomas 19' Jump Shot50
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q3 - 11:01HOUROCKETS Rebound50
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 11:05HOUMISS Rice 7' Fadeaway Jumper50
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 11:20HOUROCKETS Rebound50
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 11:20HOUMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 11:48DENVan Exel 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUFrancis Backcourt Turnover (P2.T6)48
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)48
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Norris 14' Jump Shot46
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENVan Exel Layup (12 PTS)46
8.8%
58
91.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Posey Layup44
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q2 - 1:05DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
7.8%
58
92.2%
Q2 - 1:07HOUMISS Rice 20' Jump Shot44
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q2 - 1:27DENMISS Bowen Jump Shot44
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q2 - 1:34DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q2 - 1:34DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 144
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q2 - 1:34DENLaFrentz Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)44
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q2 - 1:53HOUWillis Reverse Layup (10 PTS)42
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 2:10DENJohnson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 2:19HOURice Foul Turnover (P3.T5)40
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q2 - 2:24HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
6.0%
56
94.0%
Q2 - 2:26DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q2 - 2:34HOUFrancis Running Layup (9 PTS)40
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q2 - 2:46HOUNorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
7.5%
54
92.5%
Q2 - 2:48DENMobley BLOCK (2 BLK)40
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q2 - 3:09HOUFrancis Running Layup (7 PTS)40
9.0%
54
91.0%
Q2 - 3:36DENVan Exel Driving Layup (10 PTS)40
9.8%
52
90.2%
Q2 - 3:50HOUNorris Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
8.9%
52
91.1%
Q2 - 3:50HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 4:10DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 4:10DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 237
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q2 - 4:15DENVan Exel Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)37
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 4:30HOUWillis Layup (8 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)36
9.2%
50
90.8%
Q2 - 4:38HOUTorres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 4:40DENMISS LaFrentz 18' Jump Shot36
10.6%
48
89.4%
Q2 - 4:45HOUWillis Layup (6 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)36
11.4%
48
88.6%
Q2 - 4:59HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 5:00HOUMISS Francis 12' Jump Shot36
13.5%
46
86.5%
Q2 - 5:05HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 5:07HOUMISS Norris 16' Jump Shot36
13.7%
46
86.3%
Q2 - 5:25DENJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 5:34DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 5:34HOUMISS Williams Layup34
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 5:35HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 5:45DENWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)34
10.8%
46
89.2%
Q2 - 5:55DENNuggets Rebound34
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 5:56HOUMISS Willis 17' Jump Shot34
11.2%
46
88.8%
Q2 - 6:18DENLenard 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 6:34HOUNorris Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
9.9%
46
90.1%
Q2 - 6:50DENRider Layup (6 PTS)32
10.7%
44
89.3%
Q2 - 6:53DENRider REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 6:55DENMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot30
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 7:12HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 7:12HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 7:22HOUROCKETS Rebound30
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 7:23HOUMISS Torres 14' Jump Shot30
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 7:26HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)30
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 7:28HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 8:04DENJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)30
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 8:25HOUMobley 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 8:45DENWilliams 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
11.4%
40
88.6%
Q2 - 8:57DENMISS Williams Free Throw Technical26
10.5%
40
89.5%
Q2 - 9:07HOUTorres Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 9:11DENTorres STEAL (1 STL)26
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 9:25HOUWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Norris 2 AST)26
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 9:38DENRider Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)26
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 9:55HOUWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
14.1%
37
85.9%
Q2 - 9:55HOUWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
14.4%
36
85.6%
Q2 - 10:01HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)26
15.4%
35
84.6%
Q2 - 10:03DENMISS Rider 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
15.8%
35
84.2%
Q2 - 10:16HOUMobley 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)26
16.9%
35
83.1%
Q2 - 10:40DENRider 3' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
18.2%
33
81.8%
Q2 - 10:49HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 10:49HOUWillis Layup (2 PTS)24
16.9%
33
83.1%
Q2 - 10:51HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 10:51HOUMISS Willis Layup24
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 10:54HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 10:54HOUMISS Willis Jump Shot24
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 11:00HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 11:05HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 11:07DENMISS Rider 2' Layup24
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 11:29HOUWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)24
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 11:43HOUWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.0%
28
77.0%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Van Exel 18' Jump Shot24
23.6%
28
76.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU24
24.8%
28
75.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENVan Exel 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rider 1 AST)24
23.3%
28
76.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENNuggets Rebound22
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)22
20.4%
28
79.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q1 - 0:08.0HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0DENVan Exel Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
18.5%
28
81.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0HOUMobley Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q1 - 1:07DENRider Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)19
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q1 - 1:27HOUWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q1 - 1:27HOUMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 217
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 1:27HOUWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 1:29HOUMISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 1:34HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 1:36DENMISS Rider 15' Turnaround Jump Shot17
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 1:58HOUFrancis Dunk (5 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)17
18.3%
25
81.7%
Q1 - 2:15DENLaFrentz 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)17
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 2:34HOUFrancis Running Layup (3 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)15
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 2:39DENMobley STEAL (1 STL)15
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 2:50DENRider REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 2:52HOUMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot15
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 3:06HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
20.2%
21
79.8%
Q1 - 3:08DENMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 3:33HOUThomas 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)15
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q1 - 3:47HOUMISS Rice Free Throw Technical15
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 3:53HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.2%
19
76.8%
Q1 - 3:55DENMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot15
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 4:17HOUThomas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)15
25.0%
19
75.0%
Q1 - 4:30HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 4:32DENMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot15
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 4:40HOUThomas 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)15
28.5%
17
71.5%
Q1 - 4:53HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 4:55DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 11' Jump Shot15
30.6%
15
69.4%
Q1 - 5:05DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 5:07HOUMISS Rice 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 5:19HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 5:21HOUMISS Mobley 14' Jump Shot15
31.1%
15
68.9%
Q1 - 5:41DENWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)15
29.8%
15
70.2%
Q1 - 5:53HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 5:53HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 213
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 6:14DENAbdul-Wahad 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 6:24DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 6:26HOUMISS Mobley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot11
26.0%
14
74.0%
Q1 - 6:50DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)11
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 7:11HOUMobley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 7:24DENLaFrentz 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)8
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 7:40HOURice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)6
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 7:50HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 7:52DENMISS Abdul-Wahad 16' Jump Shot6
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:00HOURice Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)6
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 8:21HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 8:23DENMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot6
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:38HOURice Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)6
26.5%
9
73.5%
Q1 - 8:38HOURice Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)6
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 8:38HOURice Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)6
27.3%
7
72.7%
Q1 - 9:02DENVan Exel 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Abdul-Wahad 1 AST)6
29.1%
6
70.9%
Q1 - 9:06HOURice Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 9:09HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 9:12DENMISS Van Exel Layup4
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 9:15HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 9:17HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 9:23DENMISS Van Exel 6' Jump Shot4
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 9:31DENWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 9:33HOUMISS Francis Jump Shot4
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 9:49DENAbdul-Wahad Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)4
26.1%
6
73.9%
Q1 - 10:07HOUCato Layup (4 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)2
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 10:24DENWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)2
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 10:45HOUThomas Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 10:55HOUCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:57DENMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:18DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot0
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 11:27HOUThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:29DENMISS Van Exel 10' Turnaround Jump Shot0
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 11:46HOUCato Dunk (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)0
27.6%
2
72.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Cato vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Francis0
29.2%
0
70.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
HOU
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
21
34
62%
HOU
20
32
63%
Midrange
DEN
18
39
46%
HOU
12
30
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
HOU
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
Free Throws
DEN
9
12
75%
HOU
17
23
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel2550%12.5 / 25
R. LaFrentz1864%9.0 / 14
A. Johnson1875%9.0 / 12
S. Williams850%4.0 / 8
I. Rider833%4.0 / 12
T. Abdul-Wahad643%3.0 / 7
G. McCloud643%3.0 / 7
J. Posey225%1.0 / 4
V. Lenard250%1.0 / 2
R. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2252%11.0 / 21
C. Mobley1745%8.5 / 19
K. Thomas1464%7.0 / 11
K. Willis1250%6.0 / 12
G. Rice956%4.5 / 8
M. Norris956%4.5 / 8
K. Cato770%3.5 / 5
W. Williams770%3.5 / 5
O. Torres225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+14
-12
92
HOU
74
+21
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.99 49.5%
HOU
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.6
100.7
DEN 103.3
HOU 113.8 +10.5
Pace
92.1
90.5
DEN 93.8 +10.3
HOU 83.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
DEN 15.3 +1.9
HOU 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.5%
46.5%
DEN 49.4%
HOU 49.4%
TO %
14.9%
14.3%
DEN 11.7% +1.4%
HOU 13.1%
ORB %
30.7%
29.0%
DEN 27.9%
HOU 39.5% +11.6%
FTrt
25.6
28.6
DEN 14.1
HOU 27.7 +13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
52.2%
DEN 51.2% +9.1%
HOU 42.1%
STL %
8.0%
7.1%
DEN 5.6%
HOU 6.9% +1.3%
BLK %
8.6%
7.6%
DEN 6.5%
HOU 6.8% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.2%
48.2%
DEN 49.5%
HOU 51.6% +2.1%
Rim FG%
55.5%
56.6%
DEN 61.8%
HOU 62.5% +0.7%
Mid FG%
36.9%
37.6%
DEN 46.2% +6.2%
HOU 40.0%
3P %
32.9%
33.5%
DEN 16.7%
HOU 28.6% +11.9%
FT %
74.4%
74.1%
DEN 75.0% +1.1%
HOU 73.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
32.3%
DEN 40.0% +1.4%
HOU 38.6%
Mid Att. %
47.6%
45.4%
DEN 45.9%
HOU 36.1% +9.7%
3P Att. %
18.7%
22.3%
DEN 14.1%
HOU 25.3% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions9087
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points9399
Rebounds3546
Assists2116
Steals56
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)15 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)31 (0)
Field Goals41-8538-83
At-the-Rim FG21-3420-32
Midrange FG18-3912-30
2-Point FG39-7332-62
3-Point FG2-126-21
Free Throws9-1217-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
43.6
25
50%
4
7
1
0
4
3
2
2
5-5
100%
10-16
63%
0-6
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
40.2
18
64%
14
1
0
2
2
3
4
10
0-1
0%
6-11
55%
2-2
100%
G · 6'8" 217 · 25
28.7
2
25%
4
3
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 260 · 34
18.8
8
50%
1
0
1
2
0
4
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
15.5
6
43%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" · 31
26.4
8
33%
4
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 230 · 34
26.2
6
43%
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 37
21.9
18
75%
0
5
1
0
1
4
0
0
2-3
67%
8-10
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 26
10.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 28
7.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" · 29
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
50%
35
21
5
4
12
0
12
23
9-12
75%
39-73
53%
2-12
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.