FinalWin Prob.pScore
235%101
89
1065%105
104
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
93.79595.5
SAS logo SAS
111.89392.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL89
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0SASMcCaskill 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ferry 2 AST)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLWilliams 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hudson 6 AST)87
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12SASMcCaskill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12SASMISS McCaskill Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15SASMcCaskill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17SASMISS Parker 2' Layup85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22ORLParker STEAL (2 STL)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30ORLReid REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33ORLMISS Hudson 9' Jump Shot85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46SASMISS McCaskill Free Throw 2 of 285
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46SASMcCaskill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59ORLHunter Foul Turnover (P1.T15)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12SASMcCaskill Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T18)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31SASSPURS Rebound85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33ORLMISS Williams 1' Layup85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 185
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52ORLHunter 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 5 AST)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ORLMagic Rebound83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ORLMISS Hunter 6' Jump Shot83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26SASRose 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ferry 1 AST)83
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:46ORLMISS Hunter 9' Jump Shot83
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:58SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)83
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 4:17ORLHudson 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 4:25ORLReid REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:35SASSPURS Rebound81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Rose 2' Layup81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 4:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)81
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 4:41SASMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 5:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:08ORLMISS Armstrong 4' Jump Shot81
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:25SASDuncan 2' Layup (26 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)81
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:47ORLWilliams 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)81
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 5:52ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 5:54SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot79
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:10ORLHill Foul Turnover (P5.T14)79
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 6:39ORLMagic Rebound79
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 6:39ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:39ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw 1 of 278
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 6:50ORLMagic Rebound78
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:51SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 2 of 278
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 6:51SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 7:06SASSPURS Rebound78
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 7:11ORLHill REBOUND (Off:8 Def:8)78
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 7:15SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMISS Hill 1' Layup78
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMISS Hill 2' Layup78
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 7:23ORLHill REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)78
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 7:23ORLMISS Hill 4' Jump Shot78
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 7:23SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 7:45SASRose 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)78
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 8:06ORLHudson 3' Layup (12 PTS)78
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 8:17SASBowen 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 8:39ORLHudson 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)76
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q4 - 8:44ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)74
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 8:46ORLMISS Hudson 13' Jump Shot74
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 9:03SASDaniels 1' Finger Roll (7 PTS) (Porter 5 AST)74
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 9:08ORLPorter STEAL (1 STL)74
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 9:20ORLHill REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)74
5.6%
84
94.4%
Q4 - 9:21ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 274
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q4 - 9:21ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)74
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 9:33SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 173
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 9:33SASRose 3' Layup (11 PTS)73
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 9:43SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot73
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 9:59SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T16)73
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 9:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)73
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 10:01SASMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot73
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 10:20ORLEwing Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
6.1%
82
93.9%
Q4 - 10:20ORLEwing Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 10:21SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)71
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 10:24ORLRose STEAL (2 STL)71
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 10:39ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 10:40SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 271
4.9%
82
95.1%
Q4 - 10:40SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)71
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 11:04ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)71
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 11:16SASDaniels Layup (5 PTS) (Porter 4 AST)68
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 11:19SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 11:21ORLMISS Ewing 14' Jump Shot68
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q4 - 11:35SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)68
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q4 - 11:35SASSPURS Rebound68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 11:36SASMISS Porter 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)68
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Ewing 2' Tip Shot68
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot68
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLEwing REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
6.1%
79
93.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0SASMISS Porter 15' Jump Shot68
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLEwing 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)68
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q3 - 1:07ORLEwing 1' Layup (8 PTS)66
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 1:11ORLMagic Rebound64
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 1:11ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)64
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 1:26SASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)64
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 1:26SASMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 264
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:45ORLMcGrady 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 1:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)62
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 2:13SASPorter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 2:16ORLMISS Hudson 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 2:32SASBowen Foul Turnover (P3.T12)62
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 2:49ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)62
3.5%
76
96.5%
Q3 - 2:49ORLArmstrong 5' Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 3:02SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Porter 3 AST)59
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 3:14ORLHudson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)59
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMagic Rebound59
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:22ORLPorter BLOCK (1 BLK)59
3.4%
74
96.6%
Q3 - 3:30SASDuncan Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)59
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 3:49ORLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)59
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 3:53SASRose 2' Layup (8 PTS)59
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 4:14ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)59
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 4:14ORLHill Layup (16 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)58
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 4:19ORLMagic Rebound56
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 4:20ORLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)56
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 4:26SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q3 - 4:26SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 4:30ORLBowen STEAL (1 STL)56
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 4:43ORLHill REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)56
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 4:46SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 4:59ORLHill Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)56
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 5:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)56
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 5:19SASParker 2' Layup (9 PTS)56
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 5:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 5:25ORLMISS Armstrong 2' Layup56
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 5:36ORLReid REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot56
8.1%
67
91.9%
Q3 - 5:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)56
7.2%
67
92.8%
Q3 - 5:57ORLMISS McGrady 3PT Jump Shot56
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 5:59ORLHill REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)56
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 6:01ORLMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 6:09SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)56
9.0%
67
91.0%
Q3 - 6:14SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
7.7%
67
92.3%
Q3 - 6:17ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot56
8.0%
67
92.0%
Q3 - 6:46SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)56
8.9%
67
91.1%
Q3 - 7:09ORLHill 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 7:22SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)54
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 7:40ORLArmstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
12.0%
62
88.0%
Q3 - 7:40ORLArmstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)53
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 8:00SASSmith Layup (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)52
10.7%
62
89.3%
Q3 - 8:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 8:05ORLMISS Hill 1' Layup52
13.0%
60
87.0%
Q3 - 8:24SASDuncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)52
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q3 - 8:47ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
16.0%
58
84.0%
Q3 - 8:47ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q3 - 9:07SASRobinson 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS)50
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q3 - 9:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot50
16.9%
56
83.1%
Q3 - 9:26SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 9:41ORLDeClercq 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)50
16.3%
56
83.7%
Q3 - 10:00ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 10:02SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot50
18.0%
56
82.0%
Q3 - 10:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 10:30ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot50
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q3 - 10:44ORLMagic Rebound50
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 10:45SASMISS Parker 1' Layup50
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q3 - 10:59ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)50
16.4%
56
83.6%
Q3 - 11:12SASDuncan 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)50
18.7%
56
81.3%
Q3 - 11:37ORLHill 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
20.8%
54
79.2%
Q3 - 11:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)48
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q3 - 11:42ORLRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)48
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL48
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound48
18.7%
54
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
17.2%
54
82.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0SASRose 1' Layup (6 PTS)48
18.8%
54
81.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)48
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0SASMISS Rose 3' Layup48
22.7%
52
77.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMcGrady 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)48
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot46
18.4%
52
81.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Hudson Free Throw 1 of 245
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)45
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0ORLMISS Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
17.1%
52
82.9%
Q2 - 1:17SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 245
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q2 - 1:17SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 1:23ORLGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
18.0%
51
82.0%
Q2 - 1:23ORLMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 244
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q2 - 1:39SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)44
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 1:39SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 244
17.7%
50
82.3%
Q2 - 1:45SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
18.0%
50
82.0%
Q2 - 1:46ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot44
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 1:58ORLReid REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q2 - 2:00ORLMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot44
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 2:11ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 2:15SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 244
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q2 - 2:15SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q2 - 2:35ORLMcGrady 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 2:42ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 2:45SASMISS Daniels 2' Layup42
17.2%
49
82.8%
Q2 - 2:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Hudson 22' Jump Shot42
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 3:06SASRobinson Layup (13 PTS)42
18.3%
49
81.7%
Q2 - 3:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)42
19.9%
47
80.1%
Q2 - 3:19ORLMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot42
20.6%
47
79.4%
Q2 - 3:33SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
22.1%
47
77.9%
Q2 - 3:33SASRobinson 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)42
24.3%
46
75.7%
Q2 - 3:54ORLHudson 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)42
26.3%
44
73.7%
Q2 - 4:01SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)40
24.1%
44
75.9%
Q2 - 4:13ORLMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)40
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 4:20ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 4:23ORLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)37
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 4:31SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)37
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 4:48ORLMcGrady 1' Layup (7 PTS)37
16.7%
44
83.3%
Q2 - 4:50ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 235
13.9%
44
86.1%
Q2 - 4:59ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
14.8%
44
85.2%
Q2 - 5:14SASRobinson 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)34
14.0%
44
86.0%
Q2 - 5:30ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
15.3%
42
84.7%
Q2 - 5:30ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
15.0%
42
85.0%
Q2 - 5:35ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
14.0%
42
86.0%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot32
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 6:00ORLHudson 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 6:25SASDaniels 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
11.9%
42
88.1%
Q2 - 6:43SASSPURS Rebound30
12.8%
40
87.2%
Q2 - 6:46ORLDaniels BLOCK (1 BLK)30
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 7:05SASRobinson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)30
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 7:18SASSPURS Rebound30
16.1%
38
83.9%
Q2 - 7:20ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot30
16.6%
38
83.4%
Q2 - 7:32SASFerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 7:32SASFerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)30
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 7:38SASSPURS Rebound30
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 7:40SASMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot30
20.4%
36
79.6%
Q2 - 7:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)30
19.1%
36
80.9%
Q2 - 7:43SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 230
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:43SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)30
19.6%
36
80.4%
Q2 - 7:43SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 7:45SASMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot30
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 7:46SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 7:49SASMISS Porter 15' Jump Shot30
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 8:06ORLHill 1' Layup (8 PTS)30
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 8:11SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 8:26ORLRobinson STEAL (2 STL)28
17.6%
35
82.4%
Q2 - 8:41SASRose 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Porter 2 AST)28
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 8:59ORLEwing 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)28
20.9%
33
79.1%
Q2 - 9:11ORLHill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)26
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 9:12ORLMISS Ewing 12' Jump Shot26
18.3%
33
81.7%
Q2 - 9:14ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 9:19ORLRose BLOCK (2 BLK)26
18.3%
33
81.7%
Q2 - 9:34SASRobinson 2' Dunk (4 PTS)26
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 9:48ORLEwing Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
20.9%
31
79.1%
Q2 - 9:48ORLEwing Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
20.5%
31
79.5%
Q2 - 9:50ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)24
19.5%
31
80.5%
Q2 - 9:53ORLMISS Hudson 22' Jump Shot24
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 10:11SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)24
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 10:21ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
22.8%
28
77.2%
Q2 - 10:21ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q2 - 10:27SASFerry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Porter 1 AST)22
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q2 - 10:40ORLWilliams 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q2 - 10:53SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)20
23.0%
25
77.0%
Q2 - 11:10SASSPURS Rebound20
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q2 - 11:10ORLMISS Hill 11' Jump Shot20
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q2 - 11:30SASDuncan 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)20
26.4%
23
73.6%
Q2 - 11:45ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
28.3%
21
71.7%
Q2 - 11:45ORLHudson Layup (2 PTS)19
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL17
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound17
24.6%
21
75.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Hudson 6' Jump Shot17
23.3%
21
76.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
24.3%
21
75.7%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 217
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLMISS Ewing 13' Jump Shot17
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot17
25.7%
20
74.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLRose STEAL (1 STL)17
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 0:59.0ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 1:04ORLRose BLOCK (1 BLK)17
25.2%
20
74.8%
Q1 - 1:19SASPorter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 1:36ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 1:36ORLOutlaw 1' Layup (2 PTS)17
24.8%
20
75.2%
Q1 - 1:38ORLMISS Hill 5' Jump Shot15
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 2:01SASPorter 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)15
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 2:11SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 2:13SASMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 2:30SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.5%
17
73.5%
Q1 - 2:31ORLMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot15
27.0%
17
73.0%
Q1 - 2:48ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)15
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 2:50SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot15
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 3:03ORLEwing 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)15
26.3%
17
73.7%
Q1 - 3:15ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 3:19ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot13
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 3:34ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
24.8%
17
75.2%
Q1 - 3:35SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 3:35SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 213
26.3%
16
73.7%
Q1 - 3:42ORLMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)13
24.6%
16
75.4%
Q1 - 4:00SASRobinson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
23.2%
16
76.8%
Q1 - 4:16ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)11
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 4:37SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 211
26.8%
13
73.2%
Q1 - 4:49ORLHill 2' Layup (4 PTS)11
26.1%
13
73.9%
Q1 - 4:55SASSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)9
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 5:13ORLReid 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)9
23.0%
13
77.0%
Q1 - 5:35SASDuncan 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)7
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 5:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 5:46SASMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot7
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 5:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 5:54ORLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)7
23.5%
11
76.5%
Q1 - 6:15SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 6:31SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 6:35ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot7
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 6:50SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 17
29.2%
8
70.8%
Q1 - 6:50SASDuncan 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)7
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 7:01ORLReid Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
30.7%
6
69.3%
Q1 - 7:01ORLReid Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 7:04ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 7:07SASMISS Robinson 2' Layup5
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)5
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 7:19ORLMISS Reid 2' Layup5
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 7:26ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 7:45ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 7:57ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 7:59SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot5
28.8%
6
71.2%
Q1 - 8:18ORLHill 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)5
27.6%
6
72.4%
Q1 - 8:27ORLArmstrong Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
26.2%
6
73.8%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)2
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 8:36SASDuncan 1' Layup (3 PTS)2
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 8:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup2
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 8:42SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot2
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 8:46SASMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot2
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 8:53ORLRobinson STEAL (1 STL)2
26.1%
4
73.9%
Q1 - 8:59SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)2
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 8:59SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 22
28.1%
3
71.9%
Q1 - 9:05SASSmith Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
27.2%
3
72.8%
Q1 - 9:05SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 9:07ORLParker BLOCK (1 BLK)2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:10ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 9:13ORLMISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:24ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 9:26ORLMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:39ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 9:41ORLMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:44ORLMagic Rebound2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 9:45ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:52ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 22
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 9:54SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 22
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 10:17ORLGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)2
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 10:26ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:30SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:37SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 10:40ORLMISS Armstrong 17' Jump Shot0
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 10:47SASDuncan Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 10:58SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.8%
2
74.2%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMISS McGrady 4' Jump Shot0
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
27.3%
2
72.7%
Q1 - 11:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
27.7%
1
72.3%
Q1 - 11:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:24ORLMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:26ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:29ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:49SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. DeClercq: Tip to Parker0
28.9%
0
71.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.81 40.5%
SAS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
35
51%
SAS
21
33
64%
Midrange
ORL
11
44
25%
SAS
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
2
3.0
10
20%
30%
SAS
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
Free Throws
ORL
25
31
81%
SAS
24
41
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2042%10.0 / 24
G. Hill1740%8.5 / 21
T. Hudson1538%7.5 / 20
P. Ewing1260%6.0 / 10
M. Williams867%4.0 / 6
D. Armstrong638%3.0 / 8
D. Reid467%2.0 / 3
H. Grant325%1.5 / 6
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
S. Hunter220%1.0 / 5
A. DeClercq0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2662%13.0 / 21
D. Robinson1765%8.5 / 13
M. Rose1550%7.5 / 15
T. Parker1243%6.0 / 14
D. Ferry11138%5.5 / 4
A. Daniels750%3.5 / 7
B. Bowen650%3.0 / 6
A. McCaskill467%2.0 / 3
S. Smith350%1.5 / 3
T. Porter338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
79
+28
-16
107
SAS
75
+15
-18
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.81 40.5%
SAS
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.4
103.9
ORL 93.7 +18.1
SAS 111.8
Pace
95.6
92.4
ORL 95.5 +3.0
SAS 92.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.5
ORL 15.1 +0.5
SAS 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.3%
49.2%
ORL 36.0%
SAS 58.8% +22.8%
TO %
13.7%
14.8%
ORL 13.5% +4.6%
SAS 18.1%
ORB %
26.4%
27.2%
ORL 42.6% +9.3%
SAS 33.3%
FTrt
27.8
35.3
ORL 34.8
SAS 60.3 +25.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.4%
56.4%
ORL 45.2%
SAS 62.2% +17.0%
STL %
8.4%
8.2%
ORL 9.5%
SAS 9.7% +0.2%
BLK %
6.8%
9.5%
ORL 9.3%
SAS 12.7% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
51.2%
ORL 40.5%
SAS 57.1% +16.6%
Rim FG%
57.9%
60.3%
ORL 51.4%
SAS 63.6% +12.2%
Mid FG%
38.6%
37.6%
ORL 25.0%
SAS 47.6% +22.6%
3P %
37.3%
36.2%
ORL 20.0%
SAS 42.9% +22.9%
FT %
75.4%
74.2%
ORL 80.6% +22.1%
SAS 58.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
37.2%
ORL 39.3%
SAS 48.5% +9.2%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
43.8%
ORL 49.4%
SAS 30.9% +18.6%
3P Att. %
24.1%
19.0%
ORL 11.2%
SAS 20.6% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9593
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points89104
Rebounds4439
Assists1423
Steals99
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (8)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (3)27 (5)
Field Goals31-8937-68
At-the-Rim FG18-3521-33
Midrange FG11-4410-21
2-Point FG29-7931-54
3-Point FG2-106-14
Free Throws25-3124-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 225 · 22
37.4
20
42%
7
2
2
0
3
1
4
3
4-6
67%
5-18
28%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 180 · 33
33.8
6
38%
3
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 29
28.5
17
40%
16
1
0
0
5
6
8
8
5-5
100%
6-17
35%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 36
27.0
3
25%
3
0
2
4
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 255 · 29
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 178 · 26
32.9
15
38%
3
6
2
0
3
0
2
1
3-5
60%
6-13
46%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 30
18.1
8
67%
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 250 · 28
16.7
4
67%
6
0
1
0
0
5
3
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 31
15.6
2
100%
1
0
1
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 39
13.3
12
60%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
6.8
2
20%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
41%
44
14
9
5
16
0
20
24
25-31
81%
29-79
37%
2-10
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.