FinalWin Prob.pScore
2919%92
90
2181%103
83
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
102.38894.8
MIA logo MIA
93.38983.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE90
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)90
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
98.9%
83
1.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 290
99.0%
83
1.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0CLEMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 290
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 0:51.0CLEDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
98.5%
83
1.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot90
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
96.4%
83
3.6%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
95.8%
83
4.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
93.9%
83
6.1%
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
92.1%
83
7.9%
Q4 - 1:13CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)88
84.8%
83
15.2%
Q4 - 1:13CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
83.6%
83
16.4%
Q4 - 1:13CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)86
77.4%
83
22.6%
Q4 - 1:14CLEHouse BLOCK (1 BLK)86
68.2%
83
31.8%
Q4 - 1:15CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
76.8%
83
23.2%
Q4 - 1:17CLEMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)86
67.3%
83
32.7%
Q4 - 1:35CLEDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
71.4%
83
28.6%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Mack 19' Jump Shot86
67.3%
83
32.7%
Q4 - 1:44CLEHouse STEAL (3 STL)86
57.5%
83
42.5%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)86
68.7%
83
31.3%
Q4 - 2:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
73.6%
81
26.4%
Q4 - 2:23CLEMISS Miller 10' Hook Shot86
77.5%
81
22.5%
Q4 - 2:46CLECavaliers Rebound86
84.9%
81
15.1%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot86
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 2:57CLEJones STEAL (1 STL)86
71.0%
81
29.0%
Q4 - 3:21MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)86
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 3:34CLEHouse STEAL (2 STL)86
79.6%
79
20.4%
Q4 - 3:50CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
85.9%
79
14.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot86
84.4%
79
15.6%
Q4 - 4:05CLEMiller 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS)86
81.0%
79
19.0%
Q4 - 4:21CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
75.3%
79
24.7%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot84
73.0%
79
27.0%
Q4 - 4:40CLEMihm 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 12 AST)84
67.5%
79
32.5%
Q4 - 5:00MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
59.4%
79
40.6%
Q4 - 5:00MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
61.4%
78
38.6%
Q4 - 5:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
60.6%
77
39.4%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Mourning Layup82
66.3%
77
33.7%
Q4 - 5:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
60.8%
77
39.2%
Q4 - 5:14CLEMISS Person 18' Jump Shot82
63.4%
77
36.6%
Q4 - 5:33MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
69.0%
77
31.0%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 282
70.5%
76
29.5%
Q4 - 5:52MIAJones Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)82
68.8%
76
31.2%
Q4 - 5:52CLEMihm Traveling Turnover (P4.T17)82
75.5%
75
24.5%
Q4 - 5:52CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
81.4%
75
18.6%
Q4 - 5:55CLEMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot82
77.5%
75
22.5%
Q4 - 6:23MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)82
76.3%
75
23.7%
Q4 - 6:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
85.0%
72
15.0%
Q4 - 6:36CLEMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot82
86.3%
72
13.7%
Q4 - 7:06MIAGrant Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (House 4 AST)82
85.1%
72
14.9%
Q4 - 7:26CLEMiller 17' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)82
88.0%
70
12.0%
Q4 - 7:50MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)80
85.4%
70
14.6%
Q4 - 7:50MIAGrant 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)80
88.5%
69
11.5%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
88.2%
67
11.8%
Q4 - 8:03CLEMISS Stith 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
89.0%
67
11.0%
Q4 - 8:16CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)80
90.7%
67
9.3%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot80
90.0%
67
10.0%
Q4 - 8:28MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
88.3%
67
11.7%
Q4 - 8:30CLEMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot80
89.1%
67
10.9%
Q4 - 8:48CLEDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
90.1%
67
9.9%
Q4 - 9:10CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)80
85.6%
67
14.4%
Q4 - 9:10CLEMiller Driving Layup (23 PTS)79
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q4 - 9:16CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
78.9%
67
21.1%
Q4 - 9:18MIAMISS Mack 20' Jump Shot77
77.6%
67
22.4%
Q4 - 9:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
74.5%
67
25.5%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
77.7%
67
22.3%
Q4 - 9:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
74.6%
67
25.4%
Q4 - 9:37CLEMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot77
76.0%
67
24.0%
Q4 - 9:55CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
79.1%
67
20.9%
Q4 - 9:57CLEMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot77
76.1%
67
23.9%
Q4 - 10:17MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (House 3 AST)77
76.4%
67
23.6%
Q4 - 10:32CLEMiller 6' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
80.1%
65
19.9%
Q4 - 10:57MIAEllis 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)75
76.6%
65
23.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q4 - 11:07CLEMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot75
79.4%
63
20.6%
Q4 - 11:21CLECavaliers Rebound75
81.9%
63
18.1%
Q4 - 11:22CLEEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)75
79.5%
63
20.5%
Q4 - 11:35CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot75
81.0%
63
19.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLE75
78.4%
63
21.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)75
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEJones 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)75
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)73
71.6%
63
28.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
75.7%
61
24.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0CLEJones BLOCK (2 BLK)73
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)73
79.4%
61
20.6%
Q3 - 1:13CLEStith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)73
82.7%
58
17.3%
Q3 - 1:13CLEMISS Stith Free Throw 1 of 272
82.1%
58
17.9%
Q3 - 1:29MIAMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)72
82.8%
58
17.2%
Q3 - 1:45CLEPerson 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
79.8%
58
20.2%
Q3 - 1:52MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS)70
76.6%
58
23.4%
Q3 - 1:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
79.9%
56
20.1%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMISS Grant Layup70
82.0%
56
18.0%
Q3 - 2:14CLEMihm Foul Turnover (P3.T16)70
76.8%
56
23.2%
Q3 - 2:25MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)70
80.3%
56
19.7%
Q3 - 2:32MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
77.0%
56
23.0%
Q3 - 2:34CLEMISS Stith 11' Jump Shot70
78.1%
56
21.9%
Q3 - 2:46CLEStith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
80.4%
56
19.6%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
77.0%
56
23.0%
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Marks Tip Shot70
79.4%
56
20.6%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Jones Layup70
79.5%
56
20.5%
Q3 - 3:01CLEJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)70
75.2%
56
24.8%
Q3 - 3:13MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)70
78.6%
56
21.4%
Q3 - 3:44CLEMihm Driving Finger Roll (14 PTS)70
75.3%
56
24.7%
Q3 - 4:07MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)68
69.5%
56
30.5%
Q3 - 4:19CLEJones Foul Turnover (P2.T14)68
75.9%
53
24.1%
Q3 - 4:24CLEStith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
79.4%
53
20.6%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS House Layup68
78.4%
53
21.6%
Q3 - 4:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
76.0%
53
24.0%
Q3 - 4:34CLEGill BLOCK (1 BLK)68
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHouse Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)68
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 4:51MIAMISS Ellis Layup68
78.5%
53
21.5%
Q3 - 5:09CLEMiller Driving Layup (19 PTS)68
74.2%
53
25.8%
Q3 - 5:13CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
71.1%
53
28.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot66
70.0%
53
30.0%
Q3 - 5:31CLEMihm 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)66
67.4%
53
32.6%
Q3 - 5:45MIAEllis Layup (4 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)64
64.0%
53
36.0%
Q3 - 6:02CLEMihm Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Miller 11 AST)64
64.8%
51
35.2%
Q3 - 6:10CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
61.4%
51
38.6%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot62
60.2%
51
39.8%
Q3 - 6:28CLEMihm Foul Turnover (P2.T13)62
57.4%
51
42.6%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)62
61.6%
51
38.4%
Q3 - 6:38MIAMourning Driving Dunk (14 PTS)62
65.3%
50
34.7%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)62
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 7:01CLEMISS Mihm 13' Jump Shot62
67.6%
48
32.4%
Q3 - 7:16CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
70.3%
48
29.7%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot62
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)62
66.6%
48
33.4%
Q3 - 7:38CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 262
67.1%
48
32.9%
Q3 - 7:38CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 1 of 262
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q3 - 7:41CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
70.4%
48
29.6%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Carter 15' Jump Shot62
69.3%
48
30.7%
Q3 - 8:07CLEPerson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)62
65.1%
48
34.9%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
58.5%
48
41.5%
Q3 - 8:53CLEGrant STEAL (1 STL)59
61.7%
46
38.3%
Q3 - 9:12MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)59
62.9%
46
37.1%
Q3 - 9:26CLEMihm 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)59
59.4%
46
40.6%
Q3 - 9:49CLECavaliers Rebound57
56.0%
46
44.0%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot57
54.9%
46
45.1%
Q3 - 10:08CLEMiller 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
49.8%
46
50.2%
Q3 - 10:13CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
46.8%
46
53.2%
Q3 - 10:16MIAMISS Grant Jump Shot55
45.6%
46
54.4%
Q3 - 10:36CLEMihm 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
42.9%
46
57.1%
Q3 - 10:55MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)53
39.9%
46
60.1%
Q3 - 11:07CLEPerson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
41.2%
44
58.8%
Q3 - 11:07CLEPerson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
40.4%
44
59.6%
Q3 - 11:10CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
38.1%
44
61.9%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot51
37.0%
44
63.0%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)51
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q3 - 11:38CLEMISS Person 17' Jump Shot51
35.8%
44
64.2%
Q3 - 11:40CLECavaliers Rebound51
38.2%
44
61.8%
Q3 - 11:40CLEMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)51
35.8%
44
64.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0CLE51
38.2%
44
61.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAEllis 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)51
38.2%
44
61.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
40.6%
42
59.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
40.0%
42
60.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot49
35.9%
42
64.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
34.4%
42
65.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0CLEMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 248
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q2 - 1:02MIAHEAT Rebound48
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 1:03CLEMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 1:14MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)48
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 1:35CLEPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)48
43.3%
38
56.7%
Q2 - 1:41CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot45
35.2%
38
64.8%
Q2 - 2:12CLEJones Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)45
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 2:24MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)43
29.8%
38
70.2%
Q2 - 2:43CLEMiller 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)43
27.5%
38
72.5%
Q2 - 3:05CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
24.2%
38
75.8%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.5%
38
76.5%
Q2 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 3:24CLEEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)41
22.6%
38
77.4%
Q2 - 3:42MIAEllis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)41
24.3%
38
75.7%
Q2 - 3:54CLEPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)41
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 4:13MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)38
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 4:20CLESkinner Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T11)38
19.5%
36
80.5%
Q2 - 4:25MIAJones 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
21.3%
36
78.7%
Q2 - 4:44CLEMiller 9' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)38
23.4%
34
76.6%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMourning Layup (10 PTS)36
21.1%
34
78.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot36
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Grant Dunk36
24.4%
32
75.6%
Q2 - 5:40CLEMiller 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 6:18CLEStith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)34
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q2 - 6:43MIACarter Layup (8 PTS)31
19.1%
30
80.9%
Q2 - 6:48MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
20.5%
28
79.5%
Q2 - 6:50CLEMISS Stith 13' Jump Shot31
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMourning Driving Dunk (6 PTS)31
22.2%
28
77.8%
Q2 - 7:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Grant 7' Hook Shot31
25.4%
26
74.6%
Q2 - 7:48CLEStith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)31
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q2 - 8:02CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot28
19.7%
26
80.3%
Q2 - 8:18CLEMihm 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stith 1 AST)28
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q2 - 8:27CLEMISS Miller Free Throw Technical26
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)26
17.1%
26
82.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
18.5%
24
81.5%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Ellis 13' Jump Shot26
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q2 - 9:05MIAHEAT Rebound26
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q2 - 9:09CLEMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot26
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 9:11CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 9:13CLEMISS Jones Tip Shot26
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 9:15CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 9:17CLEMISS Mihm 17' Jump Shot26
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q2 - 9:34MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T5)26
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 9:42CLEMISS Davis Free Throw Technical26
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 9:47CLESkinner 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)26
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 10:05MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 10:05MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
20.2%
23
79.8%
Q2 - 10:08CLEMack STEAL (1 STL)26
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q2 - 10:26CLEColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q2 - 10:28MIAMISS House Driving Layup26
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q2 - 10:44CLEDavis Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)26
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMourning 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q2 - 11:22CLEMihm Foul Turnover (P1.T7)26
24.2%
20
75.8%
Q2 - 11:27CLEColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q2 - 11:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q2 - 11:45CLEHouse STEAL (1 STL)26
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
26.1%
20
73.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound26
24.3%
20
75.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0CLEMISS Stith 20' Jump Shot26
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)26
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 0:33.0CLEMISS Skinner 9' Hook Shot26
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 0:38.0CLEMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot26
24.4%
20
75.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot26
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 1:13CLEStith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 1:13CLEStith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 1:24MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 1:41CLESkinner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
20.7%
20
79.3%
Q1 - 1:56CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot24
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 2:09CLEMihm 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMack 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (House 1 AST)22
18.9%
20
81.1%
Q1 - 2:46CLEDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
22.0%
17
78.0%
Q1 - 2:46CLEDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
21.7%
17
78.3%
Q1 - 3:01CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot20
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 3:18CLEMiller Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)20
18.4%
17
81.6%
Q1 - 3:22CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Jones Jump Shot20
19.5%
17
80.5%
Q1 - 3:37MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
18.5%
17
81.5%
Q1 - 3:39CLEMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot20
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 3:41CLECavaliers Rebound20
20.0%
17
80.0%
Q1 - 3:44CLEMISS Mihm 17' Fadeaway Jumper20
18.9%
17
81.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
19.6%
17
80.4%
Q1 - 4:15MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
19.8%
16
80.2%
Q1 - 4:19CLEGill STEAL (1 STL)20
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 4:24CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.9%
15
78.1%
Q1 - 4:37CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
20.7%
15
79.3%
Q1 - 4:37CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 4:53MIAMarks 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
19.6%
15
80.4%
Q1 - 5:20CLEPerson Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)18
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)16
18.8%
13
81.2%
Q1 - 5:59CLEJones Dunk (6 PTS)16
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 6:05CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot14
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 6:28MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 6:29CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 2 of 214
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 6:29CLEMISS Mihm Free Throw 1 of 214
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 6:39CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.6%
10
80.4%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS Carter 3' Jump Shot14
19.2%
10
80.8%
Q1 - 6:56CLEMiller Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
18.3%
10
81.7%
Q1 - 7:01CLEDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot12
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 7:18CLECarter STEAL (2 STL)12
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
16.7%
10
83.3%
Q1 - 7:33CLEDoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)12
15.6%
10
84.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
14.7%
10
85.3%
Q1 - 8:01CLEJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)10
15.3%
8
84.7%
Q1 - 8:08CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Gill 13' Running Jump Shot8
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHEAT Rebound8
13.5%
8
86.5%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.2%
8
85.8%
Q1 - 8:42CLEDoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
13.5%
8
86.5%
Q1 - 8:42CLEDoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
13.3%
8
86.7%
Q1 - 8:48CLECavaliers Rebound6
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 8:49CLECarter BLOCK (1 BLK)6
12.1%
8
87.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIACarter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
12.7%
8
87.3%
Q1 - 9:14CLEMiller 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:25CLEDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot4
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 9:45CLEDoleac 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 9:59MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
11.1%
6
88.9%
Q1 - 10:17MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.7%
4
88.3%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot2
12.3%
4
87.7%
Q1 - 10:33CLEJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Person 1 AST)2
11.6%
4
88.4%
Q1 - 10:36CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 10:38CLEJones BLOCK (1 BLK)0
10.4%
4
89.6%
Q1 - 10:53MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
11.0%
4
89.0%
Q1 - 10:59CLECarter STEAL (1 STL)0
11.6%
2
88.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 11:19MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 11:20CLEMISS Mihm 20' Jump Shot0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:45MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
12.4%
2
87.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mihm: Tip to Carter0
13.3%
0
86.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.10 54.9%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
7
13
54%
MIA
11
23
48%
Midrange
CLE
21
44
48%
MIA
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
MIA
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
CLE
19
29
66%
MIA
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Miller3065%15.0 / 23
W. Person1777%8.5 / 11
C. Mihm1650%8.0 / 16
J. Jones1042%5.0 / 12
B. Stith950%4.5 / 9
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
R. Davis250%1.0 / 2
B. Skinner0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning1750%8.5 / 17
B. Grant1653%8.0 / 15
A. Carter1255%6.0 / 11
E. House1155%5.5 / 10
E. Jones1031%5.0 / 16
L. Ellis850%4.0 / 8
K. Gill450%2.0 / 4
S. Mack338%1.5 / 4
S. Marks250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
68
+12
-20
80
MIA
75
+12
-14
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
1.10 54.9%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.3
96.1
CLE 102.3
MIA 93.3 +9.0
Pace
92.4
89.7
CLE 94.8 +10.9
MIA 83.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.7
CLE 15.2 +2.0
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.7%
46.3%
CLE 54.6% +10.2%
MIA 44.4%
TO %
14.8%
15.5%
CLE 20.5%
MIA 14.0% +6.5%
ORB %
29.0%
26.7%
CLE 27.6% +4.3%
MIA 23.3%
FTrt
30.1
26.8
CLE 44.6 +28.3
MIA 16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.1%
59.4%
CLE 48.5%
MIA 54.5% +6.0%
STL %
7.5%
7.4%
CLE 6.8%
MIA 10.1% +3.3%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
CLE 7.5%
MIA 15.8% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.9%
47.7%
CLE 54.9% +7.7%
MIA 47.2%
Rim FG%
53.9%
60.6%
CLE 53.8% +6.0%
MIA 47.8%
Mid FG%
41.9%
38.0%
CLE 47.7% +9.1%
MIA 38.6%
3P %
37.7%
34.7%
CLE 62.5% +24.0%
MIA 38.5%
FT %
77.2%
72.4%
CLE 65.5%
MIA 92.3% +26.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.5%
28.1%
CLE 20.0%
MIA 28.7% +8.7%
Mid Att. %
54.9%
57.8%
CLE 67.7%
MIA 55.0% +12.7%
3P Att. %
15.6%
14.1%
CLE 12.3%
MIA 16.3% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes22.325.4
Points9083
Rebounds4131
Assists1618
Steals69
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)21 (2)
Field Goals33-6533-80
At-the-Rim FG7-1311-23
Midrange FG21-4417-44
2-Point FG28-5728-67
3-Point FG5-85-13
Free Throws19-2912-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
40.7
30
65%
10
12
1
0
6
2
2
8
8-12
67%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
39.3
10
42%
10
2
0
0
3
3
1
9
0-0
-
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
37.3
17
77%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
F · 7'0" 265 · 22
32.1
16
50%
3
0
1
4
4
5
1
2
0-4
0%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 24
25.9
6
75%
5
0
1
0
1
4
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 31
23.0
9
50%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 25
21.0
0
0%
4
0
0
1
3
3
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 182 · 34
13.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 22
7.2
2
50%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 235 · 29
· 6'3" · 25
C · 7'0" 280 · 20
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
55%
41
16
6
5
20
0
8
33
19-29
66%
28-57
49%
5-8
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.