FinalWin Prob.pScore
2821%91
92
2279%101
97
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
96.895103.2
MIA logo MIA
102.19588.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0TORMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)92
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 292
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)91
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)90
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORMISS Olajuwon 18' Jump Shot90
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 0:13.0TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)90
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORJones BLOCK (1 BLK)90
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)90
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORMISS Olajuwon Free Throw 2 of 287
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORMISS Olajuwon Free Throw 1 of 287
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)87
2.2%
91
97.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORMISS Olajuwon Free Throw 1 of 187
2.5%
91
97.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0TOROlajuwon 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 0:47.0TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)85
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 0:49.0TORMISS Peterson Layup85
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P5.T18)85
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 1:22TOREllis STEAL (2 STL)85
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (25 PTS)85
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 2:02TORPeterson Driving Layup (19 PTS)85
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 2:07TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Jones 4' Jump Shot83
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 2:10MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 2:11MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot83
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 2:35TORWilliams 22' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)83
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 2:42TORRaptors Rebound81
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 2:43TORMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)81
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 3:00MIAGrant 9' Hook Shot (20 PTS)81
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 3:28TORCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)81
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 3:39TORRaptors Rebound78
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Jones Layup78
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 3:53TORCarter Double Dribble Turnover (P5.T15)78
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMarks Foul Turnover (P3.T17)78
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 4:20MIACarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 278
1.5%
87
98.5%
Q4 - 4:21MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)78
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q4 - 4:21MIAJones Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)78
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 4:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)78
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 4:28TORMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot78
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 4:40TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)78
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q4 - 4:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot78
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 4:53TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 4:53TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 277
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 5:07MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)77
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 5:22TORMarks STEAL (1 STL)77
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIACarter 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
7.7%
82
92.3%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
10.3%
80
89.7%
Q4 - 5:51TORDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)77
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q4 - 5:51TORMISS Davis Tip Shot77
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 5:54TORMISS Olajuwon 13' Jump Shot77
11.3%
80
88.7%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)77
14.4%
80
85.6%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)77
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 277
13.8%
80
86.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)77
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q4 - 6:21MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)77
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 6:23TORMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot77
15.1%
79
84.9%
Q4 - 6:28TORCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
15.1%
79
84.9%
Q4 - 6:36TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot77
17.0%
79
83.0%
Q4 - 6:59TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 7:06MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)74
9.1%
79
90.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Grant 9' Hook Shot74
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 7:34TORChilds Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)74
6.8%
79
93.2%
Q4 - 7:38TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q4 - 7:40MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot74
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q4 - 7:52TORWilliams 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q4 - 8:11MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)72
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q4 - 8:21TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)72
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q4 - 8:21TORPeterson 4' Hook Shot (15 PTS)71
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q4 - 8:21TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 8:24TORMISS Olajuwon Layup69
4.0%
77
96.0%
Q4 - 8:40TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)69
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 269
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q4 - 8:41MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q4 - 8:48MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q4 - 8:50TORMarks BLOCK (4 BLK)69
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q4 - 8:58TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot69
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q4 - 9:22TORMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)69
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 9:35TORRaptors Rebound69
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q4 - 9:36TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot69
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q4 - 10:02MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)69
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAGill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)69
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Jones Layup69
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMourning Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (22 PTS)69
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 269
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q4 - 10:16MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical69
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 10:36TORPeterson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)69
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 10:41MIAGill Layup (4 PTS)69
12.7%
73
87.3%
Q4 - 10:44MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot69
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q4 - 11:12TORChilds 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)69
15.9%
71
84.1%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMarks Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)66
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Mack 19' Jump Shot66
10.3%
71
89.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR66
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)66
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 266
11.6%
70
88.4%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
11.2%
70
88.8%
Q3 - 0:20.0TORMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)66
13.4%
70
86.6%
Q3 - 0:54.0TORChilds Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)66
16.0%
68
84.0%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
18.9%
68
81.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
19.8%
67
80.2%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAHEAT Rebound66
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0TORMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot66
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
25.4%
66
74.6%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 266
26.2%
65
73.8%
Q3 - 1:19TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)66
25.3%
65
74.7%
Q3 - 1:19TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
24.4%
65
75.6%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)64
21.9%
65
78.1%
Q3 - 1:25MIAMourning Dunk (16 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)64
25.4%
64
74.6%
Q3 - 1:35TORDavis Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)64
29.2%
62
70.8%
Q3 - 1:53TORClark Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)64
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 1:53TORClark Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
32.2%
62
67.8%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T13)62
25.4%
62
74.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)62
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 2:07TORMarks BLOCK (3 BLK)62
22.2%
62
77.8%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T12)62
24.7%
62
75.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
21.1%
62
78.9%
Q3 - 2:31TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 262
21.6%
62
78.4%
Q3 - 2:31TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
23.6%
62
76.4%
Q3 - 2:43MIAGill Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)61
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 3:04TORClark Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
18.4%
62
81.6%
Q3 - 3:04TORClark Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
17.7%
62
82.3%
Q3 - 3:08TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)59
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot59
15.2%
62
84.8%
Q3 - 3:33TORWilliams 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
13.6%
62
86.4%
Q3 - 3:42TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)57
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot57
11.1%
62
88.9%
Q3 - 4:09MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
9.8%
62
90.2%
Q3 - 4:11TORMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot57
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 4:36MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)57
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 4:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q3 - 4:57TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 257
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q3 - 4:57TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 5:09MIAEllis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)56
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 5:25TORCarter Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)56
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMarks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)56
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
13.6%
59
86.4%
Q3 - 5:41TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 256
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q3 - 5:41TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q3 - 6:00TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 255
13.4%
59
86.6%
Q3 - 6:01MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
12.3%
59
87.7%
Q3 - 6:15TORMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)55
14.2%
58
85.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Olajuwon: Tip to Grant55
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q3 - 6:41MIAGrant Dunk (18 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)55
15.7%
58
84.3%
Q3 - 6:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 6:47TORMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)55
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 6:48TORCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
20.4%
56
79.6%
Q3 - 6:51TORMISS Peterson 18' Jump Shot55
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 6:54TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
20.4%
56
79.6%
Q3 - 6:56TORMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot55
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)55
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot55
24.8%
54
75.2%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)55
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 8:02TORMISS Carter 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 8:19TORRaptors Rebound55
25.4%
54
74.6%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Gill 22' Jump Shot55
24.4%
54
75.6%
Q3 - 8:37TORCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 8:37TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q3 - 8:37TORMISS Carter Free Throw Technical53
20.1%
54
79.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)53
20.1%
54
79.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
17.1%
54
82.9%
Q3 - 9:04TORMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot53
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 9:22MIACarter Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 9:35TORDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)53
21.7%
52
78.3%
Q3 - 9:49MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 9:49MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q3 - 10:09TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q3 - 10:09TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
25.5%
50
74.5%
Q3 - 10:23TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot51
22.9%
50
77.1%
Q3 - 10:44TORPeterson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)51
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q3 - 10:48TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup49
18.3%
50
81.7%
Q3 - 11:08TORDavis Layup (10 PTS)49
16.4%
50
83.6%
Q3 - 11:09TORDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q3 - 11:12TORMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot47
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q3 - 11:32TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot47
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q3 - 11:41TORGrant STEAL (1 STL)47
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR47
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORClark REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Childs 56' 3PT Jump Shot47
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)47
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)47
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 0:50.0TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
13.7%
50
86.3%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
14.5%
50
85.5%
Q2 - 1:15MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 1:25TORDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 1:26TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
18.0%
48
82.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot47
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 1:39TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)47
17.0%
48
83.0%
Q2 - 1:39TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 246
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 1:56MIACarter Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)46
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 2:06MIAJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)46
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 2:28TORClark Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Childs 5 AST)46
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 2:33TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot44
14.4%
47
85.6%
Q2 - 2:51TORWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childs 4 AST)44
13.4%
47
86.6%
Q2 - 3:05MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHEAT Rebound42
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
14.8%
45
85.2%
Q2 - 3:36TORWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Childs 3 AST)42
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 3:55MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)40
12.0%
45
88.0%
Q2 - 4:04MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
13.2%
43
86.8%
Q2 - 4:06TORMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot40
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 4:24MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
14.5%
43
85.5%
Q2 - 4:24MIACarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 4:28TORMISS Olajuwon 14' Jump Shot40
16.5%
41
83.5%
Q2 - 4:44MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
17.6%
41
82.4%
Q2 - 4:44MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)40
18.0%
40
82.0%
Q2 - 5:02MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
19.0%
39
81.0%
Q2 - 5:04TORMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 240
19.3%
39
80.7%
Q2 - 5:04TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
20.5%
39
79.5%
Q2 - 5:16MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 239
19.6%
38
80.4%
Q2 - 5:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
19.0%
38
81.0%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot39
20.4%
38
79.6%
Q2 - 5:33TORCarter Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)39
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 5:33TORCarter 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Childs 2 AST)38
17.4%
38
82.6%
Q2 - 5:47TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
15.9%
38
84.1%
Q2 - 5:49MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot36
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 6:02TORCarter 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childs 1 AST)36
14.2%
38
85.8%
Q2 - 6:13MIAGrant Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)34
13.2%
38
86.8%
Q2 - 6:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup34
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 6:34TORChilds 15' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 7:01MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)32
13.2%
36
86.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 7:06TORMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot32
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 7:21TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot32
15.4%
34
84.6%
Q2 - 7:40MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
14.4%
34
85.6%
Q2 - 7:41TORMISS Davis Reverse Layup32
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 132
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 8:06MIAStrickland Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 8:21TORDavis Tip Shot (8 PTS)32
17.1%
32
82.9%
Q2 - 8:23TORDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 8:26TORMISS Peterson 13' Running Jump Shot30
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 8:50MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)30
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 9:04TORChilds Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 9:10TORChilds REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Mourning 9' Hook Shot28
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 9:29TORClark Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
14.2%
30
85.8%
Q2 - 9:38MIAJones Driving Layup (6 PTS)28
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 10:00TORClark Dunk (2 PTS)28
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMourning 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)26
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 10:27TOREllis STEAL (1 STL)26
16.9%
26
83.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)26
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 10:56TORWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)26
19.9%
24
80.1%
Q2 - 10:59MIAMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
18.6%
24
81.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
16.6%
24
83.4%
Q2 - 11:04TORMISS Peterson 4' Jump Shot24
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 11:06TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q2 - 11:08TORMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.1%
24
82.9%
Q2 - 11:30MIAMarks Layup (2 PTS)24
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q2 - 11:31MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot24
20.6%
22
79.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q2 - 11:48TORMISS Carter 11' Running Jump Shot24
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19.6%
22
80.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMarks BLOCK (2 BLK)24
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORClark REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)24
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0TORClark REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0TORMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
19.9%
22
80.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)24
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 1:03TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 1:03TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 223
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:11TORClark REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 1:13MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot23
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 1:26TORPeterson 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 1:52MIAEllis 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)21
19.2%
20
80.8%
Q1 - 2:07MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 2:09TORMISS Clark 17' Jump Shot21
21.2%
18
78.8%
Q1 - 2:26TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot21
21.8%
18
78.2%
Q1 - 2:48TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)21
20.8%
18
79.2%
Q1 - 2:48TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 220
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 3:00MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)20
20.7%
18
79.3%
Q1 - 3:08TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 3:08TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 219
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 3:20TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
19.0%
18
81.0%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot19
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 3:37TORPeterson Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)19
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 3:49TORRaptors Rebound17
16.4%
18
83.6%
Q1 - 3:50MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot17
16.0%
18
84.0%
Q1 - 4:06TOROlajuwon Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)17
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS)15
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 4:48TORCarter 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
14.7%
16
85.3%
Q1 - 5:04MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)13
13.6%
16
86.4%
Q1 - 5:26TOROlajuwon Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)13
12.5%
16
87.5%
Q1 - 5:41TORRaptors Rebound11
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot11
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 5:52TORPeterson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 5:56TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10.1%
16
89.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot9
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 6:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 6:17TORMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 29
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 6:17TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 29
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 6:33MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)9
10.2%
16
89.8%
Q1 - 6:44TORCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 6:48TORCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Grant Layup9
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 7:08TORDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 7:08TORMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 28
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 7:19TORRaptors Rebound8
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 7:20TORMISS Olajuwon 18' Jump Shot8
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 7:31TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot8
10.7%
14
89.3%
Q1 - 7:41MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.2%
14
89.8%
Q1 - 7:43TORMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot8
10.4%
14
89.6%
Q1 - 8:00MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)8
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 8:20TORDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)8
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)6
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMourning Layup (3 PTS)6
11.6%
11
88.4%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)6
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:33MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot6
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)6
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Mourning 3' Hook Shot6
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 8:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot6
13.0%
9
87.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 26
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 8:59TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)6
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 9:14MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
12.4%
8
87.6%
Q1 - 9:14MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
12.5%
7
87.5%
Q1 - 9:28TOROlajuwon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 9:28TOROlajuwon Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)4
13.0%
6
87.0%
Q1 - 9:31TORMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot2
11.7%
6
88.3%
Q1 - 9:52MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
12.4%
6
87.6%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:02TORMISS Carter 12' Jump Shot2
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:16MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)2
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 10:28TORCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 10:36TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.0%
2
86.0%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Mourning 20' Jump Shot0
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 10:53TORCarter Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 11:25MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)0
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:32TORMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 11:43TORDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.7%
0
84.3%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Davis: Tip to Grant0
14.8%
0
85.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.93 46.5%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
26
54%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
TOR
14
39
36%
MIA
16
46
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
MIA
3
4.5
3
100%
150%
Free Throws
TOR
24
40
60%
MIA
30
42
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Carter2045%10.0 / 22
M. Peterson1959%9.5 / 16
A. Williams1847%9.0 / 19
A. Davis1036%5.0 / 14
H. Olajuwon833%4.0 / 12
K. Clark857%4.0 / 7
C. Childs770%3.5 / 5
J. Williams2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning2554%12.5 / 23
E. Jones2059%10.0 / 17
B. Grant2059%10.0 / 17
A. Carter1169%5.5 / 8
L. Ellis867%4.0 / 6
K. Gill536%2.5 / 7
S. Marks583%2.5 / 3
R. Strickland321%1.5 / 7
S. Mack0-0.0 / 1
E. House0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
79
+19
-16
98
MIA
78
+15
-17
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.93 46.5%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
TOR 96.8 +5.3
MIA 102.1
Pace
91.1
89.7
TOR 103.2 +15.1
MIA 88.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.7
TOR 14.0 +2.4
MIA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
46.3%
TOR 44.2%
MIA 47.2% +3.0%
TO %
14.8%
15.5%
TOR 14.5% +2.2%
MIA 16.7%
ORB %
31.4%
26.7%
TOR 34.0%
MIA 36.6% +2.6%
FTrt
25.5
26.8
TOR 51.9
MIA 59.2 +7.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
59.4%
TOR 46.9%
MIA 56.3% +9.4%
STL %
9.1%
7.4%
TOR 6.3% +2.1%
MIA 4.2%
BLK %
8.6%
8.7%
TOR 2.9%
MIA 13.8% +10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.8%
47.7%
TOR 46.5%
MIA 51.6% +5.1%
Rim FG%
55.9%
60.6%
TOR 53.8%
MIA 59.1% +5.3%
Mid FG%
38.7%
38.0%
TOR 35.9% +1.1%
MIA 34.8%
3P %
34.9%
34.7%
TOR 33.3%
MIA 100.0% +66.7%
FT %
73.9%
72.4%
TOR 60.0%
MIA 71.4% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.9%
28.1%
TOR 33.8% +2.8%
MIA 31.0%
Mid Att. %
52.6%
57.8%
TOR 50.6% +14.1%
MIA 64.8%
3P Att. %
16.5%
14.1%
TOR 15.6% +11.4%
MIA 4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points9297
Rebounds4246
Assists1518
Steals64
Blocks29
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)15 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)31 (2)
Field Goals32-7732-71
At-the-Rim FG14-2613-22
Midrange FG14-3916-46
2-Point FG28-6529-68
3-Point FG4-123-3
Free Throws24-4030-42
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
43.5
19
59%
5
1
0
0
2
2
2
3
7-9
78%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 195 · 27
40.9
18
47%
4
2
3
0
0
3
1
3
3-6
50%
6-11
55%
1-5
20%
G · 6'6" 220 · 25
40.3
20
45%
4
7
1
0
5
3
2
2
6-8
75%
4-13
31%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
35.6
10
36%
15
0
0
0
4
6
3
12
4-10
40%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 39
31.9
8
33%
8
0
1
2
1
5
5
3
0-3
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
19.3
7
70%
2
5
1
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 27
17.6
8
57%
4
0
0
0
1
6
3
1
4-4
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 270 · 30
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 23
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 28
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 230 · 30
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
47%
42
15
6
2
16
0
16
26
24-40
60%
28-65
43%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.