FinalWin Prob.pScore
1843%98
87
1857%100
94
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
97.88987.1
DAL logo DAL
103.39193.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL87
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETRobinson Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Barros 3 AST)87
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot85
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (21 PTS)85
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALNowitzki Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)85
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)84
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)83
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 1:17DETStackhouse 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Barros 2 AST)83
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 1:36DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
1.1%
90
98.9%
Q4 - 1:39DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot81
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q4 - 2:00DETWallace Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 6 AST)81
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 2:21DALHardaway 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)79
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 2:36DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)79
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 2:36DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)78
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 2:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 2:46DETMISS Stackhouse 10' Turnaround Jump Shot77
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 3:05DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)77
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 3:21DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 3:21DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 276
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 3:21DETStackhouse Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)76
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 3:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 3:28DALMISS Nowitzki Reverse Layup75
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 3:46DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P5.T19)75
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 3:54DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 3:54DALMISS Nash 9' Jump Shot75
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 4:10DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 4:13DETMISS Curry 18' Jump Shot75
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 4:15DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)75
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 4:17DETMISS Wallace Layup75
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 4:35DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Hardaway 8 AST)75
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 4:50DETCurry 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)75
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 5:05DALFinley 12' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Hardaway 7 AST)73
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 5:20DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Stackhouse: Tip to Nowitzki73
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 5:20DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 5:20DETMISS Stackhouse Layup73
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 5:21DETMISS Atkins Driving Layup73
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 5:36DETPistons Rebound73
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:36DETMISS Wallace Layup73
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 5:37DETMISS Atkins 12' Jump Shot73
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 5:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 5:52DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot73
2.1%
84
97.9%
Q4 - 6:14DETAtkins Driving Layup (6 PTS)73
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 6:20DETPistons Rebound71
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 6:22DETMISS Barry Layup71
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 6:44DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)71
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 6:49DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q4 - 6:51DETBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)71
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q4 - 7:04DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)71
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q4 - 7:04DALBradley Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 11 AST)71
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q4 - 7:26DETRebraca 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
8.9%
78
91.1%
Q4 - 7:33DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)69
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q4 - 7:34DETMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q4 - 7:34DETMISS Moore Layup69
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 7:35DETMISS Barry Layup69
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 7:42DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
7.1%
78
92.9%
Q4 - 7:44DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
5.8%
78
94.2%
Q4 - 8:03DETMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
8.2%
78
91.8%
Q4 - 8:05DALMISS Nash Layup69
7.7%
78
92.3%
Q4 - 8:22DETBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)69
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 8:41DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)66
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 8:47DETNowitzki STEAL (2 STL)66
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q4 - 9:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q4 - 9:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q4 - 9:16DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)66
11.3%
73
88.7%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Atkins Driving Layup66
12.1%
73
87.9%
Q4 - 9:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
14.0%
73
86.0%
Q4 - 9:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
14.8%
72
85.2%
Q4 - 9:53DETAtkins Traveling Turnover (P2.T17)66
17.0%
71
83.0%
Q4 - 10:13DALNowitzki Driving Layup (12 PTS)66
21.9%
71
78.1%
Q4 - 10:26DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)66
25.6%
69
74.4%
Q4 - 10:28DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q4 - 10:43DALManning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)66
30.6%
69
69.4%
Q4 - 11:01DETMoore Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)66
26.3%
69
73.7%
Q4 - 11:06DALHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)64
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q4 - 11:18DETRebraca Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)64
18.8%
69
81.2%
Q4 - 11:36DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
22.5%
69
77.5%
Q4 - 11:38DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot64
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL64
18.7%
69
81.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound64
18.7%
69
81.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 70' 3PT Jump Shot64
21.3%
69
78.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETManning STEAL (1 STL)64
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALHoward Layup (10 PTS) (Hardaway 6 AST)64
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETHoward STEAL (2 STL)64
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
31.4%
67
68.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALMISS Finley 5' Jump Shot64
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETRebraca Foul Turnover (P2.T13)64
27.1%
67
72.9%
Q3 - 1:04DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)64
32.0%
67
68.0%
Q3 - 1:11DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 1:11DETStackhouse Tip Shot (20 PTS)64
40.8%
64
59.2%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Stackhouse Layup62
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 1:17DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 1:19DETMISS Stackhouse Layup62
33.2%
64
66.8%
Q3 - 1:34DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 1:36DALMISS Finley 6' Jump Shot62
34.9%
64
65.1%
Q3 - 1:38DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
31.8%
64
68.2%
Q3 - 1:41DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot62
34.9%
64
65.1%
Q3 - 1:56DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)62
31.8%
64
68.2%
Q3 - 1:56DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
31.0%
64
69.0%
Q3 - 2:12DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 2:14DALMISS Nash 18' Jump Shot60
26.9%
64
73.1%
Q3 - 2:33DETRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rebraca 1 AST)60
24.2%
64
75.8%
Q3 - 2:36DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 2:38DETMISS Robinson 21' Jump Shot57
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 2:46DALManning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)57
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 2:49DALManning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)57
15.4%
64
84.6%
Q3 - 2:51DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot57
17.4%
64
82.6%
Q3 - 3:02DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
16.3%
64
83.7%
Q3 - 3:03DETManning BLOCK (2 BLK)57
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 3:31DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)57
19.0%
64
81.0%
Q3 - 3:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q3 - 3:43DETMISS Rebraca 12' Jump Shot57
26.0%
61
74.0%
Q3 - 4:06DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
29.1%
61
70.9%
Q3 - 4:06DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
29.8%
60
70.2%
Q3 - 4:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)57
32.2%
59
67.8%
Q3 - 4:17DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 257
32.7%
59
67.3%
Q3 - 4:17DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
35.3%
59
64.7%
Q3 - 4:30DALManning 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)56
32.7%
59
67.3%
Q3 - 4:43DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
36.1%
57
63.9%
Q3 - 4:46DETMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot56
37.5%
57
62.5%
Q3 - 5:13DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)56
40.7%
57
59.3%
Q3 - 5:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
48.6%
54
51.4%
Q3 - 5:20DETMISS Wallace Reverse Layup56
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 5:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
53.1%
54
46.9%
Q3 - 5:28DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 5:53DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)56
53.1%
54
46.9%
Q3 - 6:13DETCurry 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
56.1%
52
43.9%
Q3 - 6:33DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)54
52.4%
52
47.6%
Q3 - 6:48DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
60.1%
49
39.9%
Q3 - 6:50DETMISS Curry 21' Jump Shot54
61.3%
49
38.7%
Q3 - 7:04DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)54
63.1%
49
36.9%
Q3 - 7:22DETRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)54
66.2%
47
33.8%
Q3 - 7:22DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)54
70.0%
47
30.0%
Q3 - 7:22DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
66.2%
47
33.8%
Q3 - 7:22DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
65.5%
47
34.5%
Q3 - 7:27DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
63.2%
47
36.8%
Q3 - 7:29DALMISS Howard Layup52
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q3 - 7:31DALHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)52
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q3 - 7:33DALMISS Howard 5' Hook Shot52
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q3 - 7:49DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q3 - 7:51DALMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot52
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q3 - 8:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
58.7%
47
41.3%
Q3 - 8:03DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot52
61.5%
47
38.5%
Q3 - 8:12DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)52
58.6%
47
41.4%
Q3 - 8:17DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
61.5%
47
38.5%
Q3 - 8:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
58.6%
47
41.4%
Q3 - 8:23DETMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot52
59.9%
47
40.1%
Q3 - 8:35DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)52
62.8%
47
37.2%
Q3 - 8:47DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
65.8%
45
34.2%
Q3 - 8:47DETCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)51
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q3 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
61.5%
45
38.5%
Q3 - 9:05DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot50
60.4%
45
39.6%
Q3 - 9:19DETBarros Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)50
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q3 - 9:29DALNash Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)48
54.5%
45
45.5%
Q3 - 9:43DETWallace Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)48
50.7%
45
49.3%
Q3 - 9:57DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (21 PTS)46
47.2%
45
52.8%
Q3 - 10:05DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)46
50.1%
43
49.9%
Q3 - 10:13DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q3 - 10:15DALMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot44
45.8%
43
54.2%
Q3 - 10:28DETStackhouse Foul Turnover (P1.T11)44
43.1%
43
56.9%
Q3 - 10:37DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q3 - 10:39DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
45.8%
43
54.2%
Q3 - 10:45DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
43.1%
43
56.9%
Q3 - 10:47DETMISS Curry 21' Jump Shot44
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q3 - 11:07DALFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)44
46.7%
43
53.3%
Q3 - 11:21DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
53.4%
40
46.6%
Q3 - 11:23DETFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)44
54.5%
40
45.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET44
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
57.1%
40
42.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot44
55.2%
40
44.8%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
53.6%
40
46.4%
Q2 - 0:15.0DETMISS Stackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot44
54.3%
40
45.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALNash Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
55.9%
40
44.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETNash STEAL (1 STL)44
60.1%
38
39.9%
Q2 - 1:00DETPistons Rebound44
62.4%
38
37.6%
Q2 - 1:01DALMISS Finley Driving Layup44
61.0%
38
39.0%
Q2 - 1:08DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
59.9%
38
40.1%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot44
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 1:24DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
61.5%
38
38.5%
Q2 - 1:26DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot44
61.0%
38
39.0%
Q2 - 1:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
59.9%
38
40.1%
Q2 - 1:39DETMISS Rebraca 15' Jump Shot44
60.4%
38
39.6%
Q2 - 1:55DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
61.5%
38
38.5%
Q2 - 1:59DETAtkins 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
59.9%
38
40.1%
Q2 - 2:25DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
55.4%
38
44.6%
Q2 - 2:44DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
61.7%
35
38.3%
Q2 - 2:44DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
61.1%
35
38.9%
Q2 - 2:58DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
58.4%
35
41.6%
Q2 - 3:00DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
57.6%
35
42.4%
Q2 - 3:15DETAtkins 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)40
54.5%
35
45.5%
Q2 - 3:29DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 3:32DALMISS Finley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot38
50.9%
35
49.1%
Q2 - 3:49DETBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)38
48.6%
35
51.4%
Q2 - 3:59DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
43.0%
35
57.0%
Q2 - 4:01DALMISS Finley 14' Jump Shot35
41.7%
35
58.3%
Q2 - 4:06DETFinley STEAL (1 STL)35
39.8%
35
60.2%
Q2 - 4:11DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (16 PTS)35
42.6%
35
57.4%
Q2 - 4:32DETRebraca Layup (4 PTS)35
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q2 - 4:46DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 4:47DETMISS Barry 21' Jump Shot33
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 5:07DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
42.7%
33
57.3%
Q2 - 5:07DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
43.3%
32
56.7%
Q2 - 5:17DETHoward STEAL (1 STL)33
45.2%
31
54.8%
Q2 - 5:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
48.3%
31
51.7%
Q2 - 5:35DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 5:40DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
45.2%
31
54.8%
Q2 - 5:42DETMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot33
46.1%
31
53.9%
Q2 - 6:02DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 6:04DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot33
47.2%
31
52.8%
Q2 - 6:18DETRebraca Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)33
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 6:18DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 6:19DETMISS Rebraca Layup33
45.9%
31
54.1%
Q2 - 6:34DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 6:34DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)33
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 6:47DETRebraca 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
50.4%
29
49.6%
Q2 - 7:01DALHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)31
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 7:10DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
45.0%
29
55.0%
Q2 - 7:10DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 7:12DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 7:14DALMISS Bradley Layup29
41.7%
29
58.3%
Q2 - 7:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)29
39.8%
29
60.2%
Q2 - 7:28DETMISS Atkins 21' Jump Shot29
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q2 - 7:49DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)29
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q2 - 8:02DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)29
44.6%
27
55.4%
Q2 - 8:30DALFinley Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)29
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q2 - 8:33DETHardaway STEAL (1 STL)29
49.9%
25
50.1%
Q2 - 8:50DALFinley 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)29
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q2 - 9:05DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
54.5%
23
45.5%
Q2 - 9:07DETMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
55.4%
23
44.6%
Q2 - 9:12DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q2 - 9:15DALMISS Howard 9' Jump Shot29
56.4%
23
43.6%
Q2 - 9:16DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)29
54.5%
23
45.5%
Q2 - 9:18DALMISS Finley 9' Jump Shot29
56.4%
23
43.6%
Q2 - 9:29DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
54.5%
23
45.5%
Q2 - 9:31DETMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot29
55.4%
23
44.6%
Q2 - 9:44DALFinley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)29
57.3%
23
42.7%
Q2 - 9:50DETBradley STEAL (1 STL)29
59.5%
21
40.5%
Q2 - 9:56DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw Technical29
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q2 - 10:07DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)29
61.8%
21
38.2%
Q2 - 10:23DETMoore Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)29
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q2 - 10:24DETMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q2 - 10:27DETMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot27
55.1%
21
44.9%
Q2 - 10:45DALBradley 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q2 - 10:56DETMoore 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)27
59.1%
19
40.9%
Q2 - 11:10DALFinley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)25
56.2%
19
43.8%
Q2 - 11:22DALMISS Hardaway Free Throw Technical25
58.6%
17
41.4%
Q2 - 11:34DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
58.6%
17
41.4%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot25
59.3%
17
40.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET25
61.0%
17
39.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALHarvey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
60.0%
17
40.0%
Q1 - 0:22.0DETBarros 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)25
58.3%
17
41.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)22
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)22
51.3%
17
48.7%
Q1 - 1:05DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)22
53.1%
17
46.9%
Q1 - 1:21DETStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)22
55.9%
15
44.1%
Q1 - 1:26DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 1:26DETManning BLOCK (1 BLK)19
49.4%
15
50.6%
Q1 - 1:54DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
50.7%
15
49.3%
Q1 - 1:56DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot19
50.1%
15
49.9%
Q1 - 2:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 2:11DETMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
49.4%
15
50.6%
Q1 - 2:18DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 2:20DALMISS Buckner Layup19
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 2:22DALManning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 2:24DALMISS Hardaway 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 2:29DALManning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 2:31DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 2:52DETStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 3:13DALManning Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)17
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 3:28DETStackhouse 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barros 1 AST)17
48.0%
13
52.0%
Q1 - 3:40DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 3:53DETRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 3:53DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 4:12DALNash 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)13
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 4:30DETCurry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)13
43.2%
11
56.8%
Q1 - 4:52DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)10
39.4%
11
60.6%
Q1 - 4:52DALHoward Layup (4 PTS)10
39.4%
11
60.6%
Q1 - 4:54DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup10
42.9%
9
57.1%
Q1 - 5:03DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
40.9%
9
59.1%
Q1 - 5:06DETMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot10
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 5:29DALHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)10
43.2%
9
56.8%
Q1 - 5:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 5:43DETMISS Barros 22' Jump Shot10
45.8%
7
54.2%
Q1 - 6:00DALBuckner Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)10
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 6:10DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 6:13DETMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot10
49.4%
5
50.6%
Q1 - 6:16DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
50.9%
5
49.1%
Q1 - 6:19DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
50.2%
5
49.8%
Q1 - 6:43DETStackhouse 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 6:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
46.8%
5
53.2%
Q1 - 6:53DALMISS Nash 3PT Jump Shot8
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 6:57DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 6:58DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 6:58DALMISS Howard Layup8
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 7:00DALMISS Nash Driving Layup8
46.2%
5
53.8%
Q1 - 7:10DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)8
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 7:32DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
46.4%
5
53.6%
Q1 - 7:35DALMISS Buckner 20' Jump Shot8
45.7%
5
54.3%
Q1 - 7:50DETCurry Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)8
44.3%
5
55.7%
Q1 - 7:56DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 7:57DALMISS Buckner 16' Jump Shot6
42.0%
5
58.0%
Q1 - 8:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 8:04DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot6
42.1%
5
57.9%
Q1 - 8:19DETBarros 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)6
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 8:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.1%
5
60.9%
Q1 - 8:37DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 24
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 8:37DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
37.7%
5
62.3%
Q1 - 8:48DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 8:51DETMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot4
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:15DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:15DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
41.2%
3
58.8%
Q1 - 9:34DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 9:35DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 9:35DETMISS Robinson Layup4
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 9:36DETMISS Robinson Layup4
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 9:56DALHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)4
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 10:10DETMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot4
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 10:18DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
44.2%
2
55.8%
Q1 - 10:19DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot4
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 10:28DETStackhouse 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)4
42.2%
2
57.8%
Q1 - 10:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 10:42DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot2
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 10:54DETBarros Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 10:54DETBarros Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 11:09DALNash 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:19DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
38.7%
0
61.3%
Q1 - 11:20DETPistons Rebound0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:20DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot0
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:44DETPistons Rebound0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 11:46DALMISS Nash 22' Jump Shot0
39.9%
0
60.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Wallace: Tip to Nash0
38.7%
0
61.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.3%
DAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
11
28
39%
DAL
8
19
42%
Midrange
DET
13
33
39%
DAL
18
44
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
DAL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
DET
21
24
88%
DAL
18
20
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2754%13.5 / 25
M. Curry1267%6.0 / 9
D. Barros990%4.5 / 5
J. Barry844%4.0 / 9
C. Robinson735%3.5 / 10
B. Wallace638%3.0 / 8
C. Atkins627%3.0 / 11
Z. Rebraca650%3.0 / 6
M. Moore650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley3459%17.0 / 29
D. Nowitzki2155%10.5 / 19
S. Nash1444%7.0 / 16
J. Howard1042%5.0 / 12
S. Bradley758%3.5 / 6
D. Manning4100%2.0 / 2
G. Buckner225%1.0 / 4
T. Hardaway233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+19
-16
92
DAL
78
+14
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.93 46.3%
DAL
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
109.4
DET 97.8 +5.5
DAL 103.3
Pace
92.6
95.4
DET 87.1
DAL 93.1 +6.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.9
DET 16.5
DAL 15.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
50.7%
DET 42.3%
DAL 46.3% +4.0%
TO %
15.0%
12.1%
DET 17.7%
DAL 12.5% +5.2%
ORB %
24.5%
26.2%
DET 34.8% +8.1%
DAL 26.7%
FTrt
31.0
28.8
DET 30.8 +6.4
DAL 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
56.6%
DET 66.7%
DAL 70.6% +3.9%
STL %
8.5%
7.4%
DET 6.7%
DAL 9.9% +3.2%
BLK %
10.2%
7.1%
DET 6.3%
DAL 6.6% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
53.0%
DET 46.3%
DAL 50.5% +4.2%
Rim FG%
59.4%
58.9%
DET 39.3%
DAL 42.1% +2.8%
Mid FG%
39.1%
42.0%
DET 39.4%
DAL 40.9% +1.5%
3P %
37.6%
37.8%
DET 35.3%
DAL 42.1% +6.8%
FT %
75.6%
80.6%
DET 87.5%
DAL 90.0% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
30.7%
DET 35.9% +12.7%
DAL 23.2%
Mid Att. %
44.4%
45.6%
DET 42.3% +11.4%
DAL 53.7%
3P Att. %
23.9%
23.7%
DET 21.8%
DAL 23.2% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points8794
Rebounds4942
Assists2024
Steals69
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)16 (3)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)30 (0)
Field Goals30-7834-82
At-the-Rim FG11-288-19
Midrange FG13-3318-44
2-Point FG24-6126-63
3-Point FG6-178-19
Free Throws21-2418-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 218 · 27
44.4
27
54%
8
6
0
0
5
4
3
5
12-14
86%
6-15
40%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 245 · 35
35.5
7
35%
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
0
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
C · 6'9" 240 · 27
32.1
6
38%
12
0
1
3
2
2
3
9
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 210 · 33
27.3
12
67%
2
3
1
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 165 · 35
26.8
9
90%
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 32
22.1
8
44%
4
3
1
0
3
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
2-5
40%
G · 5'11" 185 · 27
21.3
6
27%
1
4
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
16.6
6
50%
10
1
0
1
3
3
5
5
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 26
14.1
6
50%
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 28
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
F · 6'10" 265 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
46%
49
20
6
4
16
0
16
33
21-24
88%
24-61
39%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.