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All Games Thursday, January 23, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Spurs
37%113
140
10
Pacers
63%118
110
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
134.610491.2
IND logo IND
104.8105122.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASIND
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.140
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:02.8SpursSpurs turnover (shot clock violation)140
100%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.2SpursZach Collins defensive rebound140
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.9PacersBen Sheppard misses three point pullup jump shot140
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.1SpursSidy Cissoko makes two point running finger roll layup (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)140
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.7PacersJarace Walker turnover (lost ball) (Blake Wesley steals)138
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.6PacersRayJ Dennis offensive rebound138
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.7PacersJarace Walker misses three point stepback jump shot138
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0SpursSandro Mamukelashvili makes two point running dunk (Blake Wesley assists)138
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00PacersRayJ Dennis turnover (bad pass) (Sidy Cissoko steals)136
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11SpursSidy Cissoko turnover (out of bounds bad pass)136
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22PacersBen Sheppard makes two point driving layup136
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31SpursSandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)136
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41SpursZach Collins makes two point cutting layup (Blake Wesley assists)136
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55PacersJohnny Furphy personal foul (Take) (Malaki Branham draws the foul)134
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03PacersObi Toppin makes two point layup (Jarace Walker assists)134
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26SpursMalaki Branham makes three point running jump shot (Blake Wesley assists)134
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34PacersJarace Walker turnover (bad pass) (Sandro Mamukelashvili steals)131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48SpursBlake Wesley misses two point pullup jump shot131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59SpursSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01PacersBen Sheppard misses three point stepback jump shot131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07PacersJohnny Furphy defensive rebound131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08SpursSandro Mamukelashvili misses two point running layup131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14SpursSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16PacersObi Toppin misses two point driving floating jump shot131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30SpursSandro Mamukelashvili makes two point cutting layup (Zach Collins assists)131
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:48PacersThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)129
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05PacersJohnny Furphy defensive rebound129
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08SpursSidy Cissoko misses two point driving floating bank jump shot129
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17PacersThomas Bryant makes two point tip layup129
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound129
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20PacersJarace Walker misses two point pullup jump shot129
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32SpursSandro Mamukelashvili makes two point driving dunk (Harrison Barnes assists)129
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (bad pass) (Harrison Barnes steals)127
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound127
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38SpursStephon Castle misses three point jump shot127
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:51SpursTre Jones defensive rebound127
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 4:52PacersSandro Mamukelashvili blocks Aaron Nesmith's three point pullup jump shot127
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:11SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point running dunk127
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (bad pass) (Harrison Barnes steals)125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21SpursStephon Castle misses two point pullup jump shot125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:27SpursSandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28SpursPascal Siakam blocks Stephon Castle's two point driving floating jump shot125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36SpursSandro Mamukelashvili defensive rebound125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:37SpursHarrison Barnes shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54SpursStephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)125
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 6:07PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point driving finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)122
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 6:20SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point putback dunk122
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 6:21SpursHarrison Barnes offensive rebound120
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 6:22SpursStephon Castle misses two point driving layup120
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36PacersPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Victor Wembanyama steals)120
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 6:44SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)120
99.6%
99
0.4%
Q4 - 7:10PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Jarace Walker assists)117
98.8%
99
1.2%
Q4 - 7:16SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)117
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 7:26PacersJarace Walker makes two point running finger roll layup117
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 7:30SpursTre Jones turnover (bad pass) (Jarace Walker steals)117
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 7:44PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)117
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 8:03SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point putback layup117
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 8:04SpursHarrison Barnes offensive rebound115
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 8:05SpursBennedict Mathurin blocks Harrison Barnes's two point reverse layup115
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 8:10SpursHarrison Barnes offensive rebound115
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 8:14SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point stepback jump shot115
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 8:28PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)115
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 8:37PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound115
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:40PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot115
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 8:45SpursDevin Vassell personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)115
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 9:03SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)115
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 9:13PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)113
99.5%
89
0.5%
Q4 - 9:24SpursStephon Castle makes two point driving floating bank jump shot113
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 9:33SpursJulian Champagnie defensive rebound111
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 9:36PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point pullup jump shot111
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 9:38PacersBennedict Mathurin offensive rebound111
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 9:40PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot111
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 9:51SpursJulian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 9:51SpursJulian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 9:51PacersBennedict Mathurin shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)109
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 9:57SpursChris Paul defensive rebound109
99.2%
87
0.8%
Q4 - 10:00PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot109
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 10:11SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point dunk109
98.5%
87
1.5%
Q4 - 10:16SpursJulian Champagnie offensive rebound107
98.2%
87
1.8%
Q4 - 10:19SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot107
97.9%
87
2.1%
Q4 - 10:32PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point cutting dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)107
98.2%
87
1.8%
Q4 - 10:34SpursJulian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Nembhard steals)107
98.5%
85
1.5%
Q4 - 10:35SpursSpurs defensive rebound107
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 10:39PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot107
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 10:44SpursJulian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Bennedict Mathurin steals)107
98.5%
85
1.5%
Q4 - 10:53PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)107
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 11:06SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot107
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 11:24PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)105
98.8%
82
1.2%
Q4 - 11:44SpursStephon Castle turnover (lost ball) (Myles Turner steals)105
99.0%
80
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.105
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point tip layup105
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q3 - 0:00.4SpursVictor Wembanyama offensive rebound103
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q3 - 0:01.9SpursJulian Champagnie misses two point driving layup103
98.2%
80
1.8%
Q3 - 0:04.5PacersJarace Walker personal foul (Take) (Chris Paul draws the foul)103
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q3 - 0:12.6SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound103
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q3 - 0:15.7PacersJarace Walker misses three point jump shot103
98.3%
80
1.7%
Q3 - 0:28.7SpursJulian Champagnie makes two point tip layup103
98.1%
80
1.9%
Q3 - 0:29.3SpursJulian Champagnie offensive rebound101
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q3 - 0:31.4SpursChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot101
97.4%
80
2.6%
Q3 - 0:46.7PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup101
97.7%
80
2.3%
Q3 - 0:57.6SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jeremy Sochan assists)101
98.1%
78
1.9%
Q3 - 1:07SpursChris Paul defensive rebound99
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q3 - 1:08PacersVictor Wembanyama blocks Aaron Nesmith's two point driving layup99
96.9%
78
3.1%
Q3 - 1:23SpursJulian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)99
96.5%
78
3.5%
Q3 - 1:34SpursJulian Champagnie defensive rebound96
95.1%
78
4.9%
Q3 - 1:35PacersVictor Wembanyama blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving finger roll layup96
94.8%
78
5.2%
Q3 - 2:01SpursJeremy Sochan makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Victor Wembanyama assists)96
92.9%
78
7.1%
Q3 - 2:06SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound94
91.8%
78
8.2%
Q3 - 2:07PacersVictor Wembanyama blocks Ben Sheppard's two point driving layup94
91.4%
78
8.6%
Q3 - 2:25SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (out of bounds lost ball)94
90.4%
78
9.6%
Q3 - 2:43PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 294
91.9%
78
8.1%
Q3 - 2:43PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 294
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q3 - 2:43SpursTre Jones shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)94
92.5%
76
7.5%
Q3 - 2:52SpursJeremy Sochan turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)94
93.0%
76
7.0%
Q3 - 2:54SpursJeremy Sochan offensive rebound94
94.2%
76
5.8%
Q3 - 2:56SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point stepback jump shot94
93.4%
76
6.6%
Q3 - 3:11PacersPascal Siakam makes two point putback layup94
93.5%
76
6.5%
Q3 - 3:12PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound94
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q3 - 3:14PacersJarace Walker misses three point jump shot94
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q3 - 3:22SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 294
94.3%
74
5.7%
Q3 - 3:22SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 293
94.1%
74
5.9%
Q3 - 3:22PacersBen Sheppard shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)92
93.9%
74
6.1%
Q3 - 3:25PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)92
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q3 - 3:32SpursTre Jones makes two point driving finger roll layup92
92.2%
74
7.8%
Q3 - 3:56PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 190
91.2%
74
8.8%
Q3 - 3:56SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)90
91.4%
73
8.6%
Q3 - 4:12SpursDevin Vassell makes three point running jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)90
92.4%
71
7.6%
Q3 - 4:18SpursJeremy Sochan defensive rebound87
89.9%
71
10.1%
Q3 - 4:20PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point jump shot87
89.5%
71
10.5%
Q3 - 4:35SpursJeremy Sochan makes two point dunk (Devin Vassell assists)87
88.3%
71
11.7%
Q3 - 4:48SpursJulian Champagnie defensive rebound85
86.8%
71
13.2%
Q3 - 4:50PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot85
86.1%
71
13.9%
Q3 - 5:02SpursKeldon Johnson makes three point running jump shot (Tre Jones assists)85
83.4%
71
16.6%
Q3 - 5:09SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound82
78.9%
71
21.1%
Q3 - 5:11PacersDevin Vassell blocks Tyrese Haliburton's two point pullup jump shot82
78.0%
71
22.0%
Q3 - 5:37SpursTre Jones makes two point running finger roll layup82
76.0%
71
24.0%
Q3 - 5:42PacersAndrew Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Tre Jones steals)80
73.4%
71
26.6%
Q3 - 5:57SpursDevin Vassell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
70.0%
71
30.0%
Q3 - 6:14PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point driving reverse layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)80
72.1%
71
27.9%
Q3 - 6:27PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound80
74.7%
69
25.3%
Q3 - 6:28SpursJeremy Sochan misses two point pullup jump shot80
75.6%
69
24.4%
Q3 - 6:49PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point cutting dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)80
77.7%
69
22.3%
Q3 - 7:11SpursChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
78.4%
67
21.6%
Q3 - 7:15SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound80
80.9%
67
19.1%
Q3 - 7:16PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup80
80.2%
67
19.8%
Q3 - 7:31SpursHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)80
78.4%
67
21.6%
Q3 - 7:53PacersBennedict Mathurin makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)77
73.6%
67
26.4%
Q3 - 8:06SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Chris Paul assists)77
77.2%
64
22.8%
Q3 - 8:20SpursChris Paul offensive rebound75
75.2%
64
24.8%
Q3 - 8:23SpursDevin Vassell misses two point pullup jump shot75
73.0%
64
27.0%
Q3 - 8:34SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound75
75.3%
64
24.7%
Q3 - 8:35PacersVictor Wembanyama blocks Myles Turner's two point layup75
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q3 - 8:46SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)75
72.0%
64
28.0%
Q3 - 8:55SpursChris Paul defensive rebound72
66.8%
64
33.2%
Q3 - 8:57PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving layup72
65.6%
64
34.4%
Q3 - 9:15SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point tip layup72
62.0%
64
38.0%
Q3 - 9:15SpursHarrison Barnes offensive rebound70
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 9:17SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot70
56.7%
64
43.3%
Q3 - 9:28SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound70
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 9:29PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 170
59.0%
64
41.0%
Q3 - 9:29SpursHarrison Barnes shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)70
56.8%
64
43.2%
Q3 - 9:38PacersPacers offensive rebound70
62.0%
62
38.0%
Q3 - 9:40PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround jump shot70
64.7%
62
35.3%
Q3 - 9:50SpursStephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 270
62.0%
62
38.0%
Q3 - 9:50SpursStephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 269
61.3%
62
38.7%
Q3 - 9:50PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)68
60.4%
62
39.6%
Q3 - 10:06SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound68
58.6%
62
41.4%
Q3 - 10:09PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point jump shot68
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q3 - 10:10PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound68
54.7%
62
45.3%
Q3 - 10:11PacersDevin Vassell blocks Pascal Siakam's two point turnaround jump shot68
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q3 - 10:21SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point driving finger roll layup (Chris Paul assists)68
54.7%
62
45.3%
Q3 - 10:46PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 266
52.2%
62
47.8%
Q3 - 10:46PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 266
52.9%
61
47.1%
Q3 - 10:46SpursChris Paul shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)66
53.6%
60
46.4%
Q3 - 10:55SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)66
54.8%
60
45.2%
Q3 - 11:12PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)63
48.1%
60
51.9%
Q3 - 11:28SpursHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)63
54.2%
57
45.8%
Q3 - 11:43SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound60
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 11:46PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot60
47.1%
57
52.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
44.7%
57
55.3%
Q2 - 0:00.6SpursDevin Vassell makes two point driving floating jump shot60
44.5%
57
55.5%
Q2 - 0:25.5SpursJeremy Sochan defensive rebound58
41.3%
57
58.7%
Q2 - 0:28.9PacersMyles Turner misses three point running jump shot58
40.5%
57
59.5%
Q2 - 0:34.6PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound58
38.5%
57
61.5%
Q2 - 0:36.2SpursTre Jones misses two point driving finger roll layup58
39.4%
57
60.6%
Q2 - 0:51.3PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot58
41.4%
57
58.6%
Q2 - 0:58.5SpursJeremy Sochan makes two point alley-oop layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)58
44.5%
55
55.5%
Q2 - 1:16PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)56
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q2 - 1:22SpursKeldon Johnson turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Nembhard steals)56
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q2 - 1:44SpursJeremy Sochan defensive rebound56
47.2%
53
52.8%
Q2 - 1:46PacersPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot56
46.3%
53
53.7%
Q2 - 1:58SpursDevin Vassell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
44.4%
53
55.6%
Q2 - 2:02SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound56
46.9%
53
53.1%
Q2 - 2:03PacersMyles Turner misses two point cutting dunk56
45.9%
53
54.1%
Q2 - 2:16SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point tip layup56
43.6%
53
56.4%
Q2 - 2:16SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound54
41.1%
53
58.9%
Q2 - 2:17SpursJeremy Sochan misses two point tip layup54
38.9%
53
61.1%
Q2 - 2:17SpursJeremy Sochan offensive rebound54
41.1%
53
58.9%
Q2 - 2:19SpursDevin Vassell misses two point driving finger roll layup54
38.9%
53
61.1%
Q2 - 2:46PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot54
41.2%
53
58.8%
Q2 - 2:56SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot54
46.5%
50
53.5%
Q2 - 3:09SpursJeremy Sochan defensive rebound52
43.7%
50
56.3%
Q2 - 3:11PacersThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot52
42.6%
50
57.4%
Q2 - 3:28SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving layup (Tre Jones assists)52
40.3%
50
59.7%
Q2 - 3:42PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 250
38.2%
50
61.8%
Q2 - 3:42PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 250
38.7%
49
61.3%
Q2 - 3:42SpursTre Jones shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)50
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q2 - 3:51SpursTre Jones makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)50
40.3%
48
59.7%
Q2 - 4:12PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point running pullup jump shot47
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q2 - 4:18PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound47
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q2 - 4:21SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot47
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q2 - 4:31PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot47
40.5%
46
59.5%
Q2 - 4:47SpursDevin Vassell makes three point running jump shot (Tre Jones assists)47
45.5%
43
54.5%
Q2 - 4:53SpursTre Jones defensive rebound44
40.5%
43
59.5%
Q2 - 4:55PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point jump shot44
39.6%
43
60.4%
Q2 - 4:59PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound44
37.5%
43
62.5%
Q2 - 5:01PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot44
39.3%
43
60.7%
Q2 - 5:17SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point cutting dunk (Tre Jones assists)44
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 5:31SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound42
35.2%
43
64.8%
Q2 - 5:34PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot42
34.3%
43
65.7%
Q2 - 5:44SpursTre Jones makes two point driving layup (Keldon Johnson assists)42
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 5:59PacersAaron Nesmith personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)40
30.5%
43
69.5%
Q2 - 6:20PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 6:28SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (bad pass) (Ben Sheppard steals)40
27.7%
43
72.3%
Q2 - 6:44PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point pullup jump shot40
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 6:59SpursChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)40
32.2%
41
67.8%
Q2 - 7:20PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running layup (T.J. McConnell assists)37
28.2%
41
71.8%
Q2 - 7:28PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound37
30.1%
39
69.9%
Q2 - 7:29SpursSandro Mamukelashvili misses two point driving floating jump shot37
30.8%
39
69.2%
Q2 - 7:44SpursChris Paul defensive rebound37
32.5%
39
67.5%
Q2 - 7:47PacersPascal Siakam misses two point turnaround jump shot37
31.8%
39
68.2%
Q2 - 8:01SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)37
30.0%
39
70.0%
Q2 - 8:10PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)34
26.2%
39
73.8%
Q2 - 8:33SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point cutting dunk (Stephon Castle assists)34
28.0%
37
72.0%
Q2 - 8:40PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Pascal Siakam assists)32
26.2%
37
73.8%
Q2 - 8:53SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)32
28.0%
35
72.0%
Q2 - 9:04PacersMyles Turner personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)30
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 9:21PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point running dunk (Pascal Siakam assists)30
26.2%
35
73.8%
Q2 - 9:26SpursStephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)30
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 9:44PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)30
30.3%
33
69.7%
Q2 - 9:47PacersPacers offensive rebound30
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 9:50PacersBen Sheppard misses three point running jump shot30
33.9%
31
66.1%
Q2 - 9:59SpursStephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Bennedict Mathurin steals)30
32.3%
31
67.7%
Q2 - 10:07PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)30
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 10:20PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Pascal Siakam assists)30
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 10:28SpursStephon Castle personal foul (Loose ball) (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)30
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 10:28SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (bad pass)30
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 10:37PacersPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)30
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 10:47PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound30
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 10:49SpursChris Paul misses three point jump shot30
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 10:52SpursSandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound30
39.2%
29
60.8%
Q2 - 10:54SpursStephon Castle misses three point jump shot30
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 11:03SpursJulian Champagnie defensive rebound30
38.8%
29
61.2%
Q2 - 11:06PacersBen Sheppard misses three point running jump shot30
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 11:12PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound30
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q2 - 11:14SpursSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot30
37.2%
29
62.8%
Q2 - 11:31SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound30
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q2 - 11:33PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot30
38.2%
29
61.8%
Q2 - 11:43SpursJulian Champagnie personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)30
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q2 - 11:48SpursJulian Champagnie personal foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)30
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.1SpursSpurs offensive rebound30
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.3SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point pullup jump shot30
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q1 - 0:02.7PacersThomas Bryant makes two point putback layup30
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 0:03.8PacersThomas Bryant offensive rebound30
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 0:05.9PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot30
42.2%
27
57.8%
Q1 - 0:23.4SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point running jump shot (Jeremy Sochan assists)30
40.6%
27
59.4%
Q1 - 0:30.1SpursJeremy Sochan defensive rebound27
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q1 - 0:32.3PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point pullup jump shot27
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 0:41.8PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound27
34.0%
27
66.0%
Q1 - 0:44.2SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point stepback jump shot27
34.7%
27
65.3%
Q1 - 0:51.2SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound27
36.2%
27
63.8%
Q1 - 0:53.4PacersObi Toppin misses three point jump shot27
35.6%
27
64.4%
Q1 - 1:07SpursJeremy Sochan makes two point cutting layup (Tre Jones assists)27
34.1%
27
65.9%
Q1 - 1:22PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)25
32.0%
27
68.0%
Q1 - 1:30SpursJeremy Sochan makes three point jump shot (Tre Jones assists)25
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 1:46PacersObi Toppin makes regular free throw 2 of 222
32.0%
24
68.0%
Q1 - 1:46PacersObi Toppin makes regular free throw 1 of 222
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 1:46SpursKeldon Johnson shooting foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)22
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q1 - 1:53PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound22
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q1 - 1:56SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot22
34.7%
22
65.3%
Q1 - 2:10SpursSpurs defensive rebound22
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q1 - 2:11PacersKeldon Johnson blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving reverse layup22
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 2:19SpursTre Jones turnover (out of bounds bad pass)22
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 2:32SpursJeremy Sochan defensive rebound22
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q1 - 2:36PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point jump shot22
35.5%
22
64.5%
Q1 - 2:43PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound22
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 2:45SpursJulian Champagnie misses three point jump shot22
34.6%
22
65.4%
Q1 - 2:58PacersObi Toppin makes three point stepback jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)22
36.2%
22
63.8%
Q1 - 3:14SpursJeremy Sochan makes two point driving dunk (Julian Champagnie assists)22
39.8%
19
60.2%
Q1 - 3:25PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)20
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 3:39SpursTre Jones makes two point tip layup20
41.9%
16
58.1%
Q1 - 3:40SpursTre Jones offensive rebound18
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 3:41SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup18
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 3:48SpursTre Jones defensive rebound18
40.3%
16
59.7%
Q1 - 3:49PacersTre Jones blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving layup18
39.5%
16
60.5%
Q1 - 3:53SpursDevin Vassell personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)18
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 3:58PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound18
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 4:00SpursJeremy Sochan misses two point tip layup18
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 4:00SpursJeremy Sochan offensive rebound18
40.1%
16
59.9%
Q1 - 4:02SpursChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot18
38.1%
16
61.9%
Q1 - 4:12PacersTyrese Haliburton makes two point pullup jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)18
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 4:26SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)18
41.1%
14
58.9%
Q1 - 4:41PacersThomas Bryant makes two point jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)15
37.8%
14
62.2%
Q1 - 4:48PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound15
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 4:51SpursDevin Vassell misses two point jump shot15
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 5:13SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound15
40.9%
12
59.1%
Q1 - 5:15PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot15
40.3%
12
59.7%
Q1 - 5:26PacersAndrew Nembhard offensive rebound15
39.0%
12
61.0%
Q1 - 5:28PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point turnaround jump shot15
40.3%
12
59.7%
Q1 - 5:37PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound15
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 5:38SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point running finger roll layup15
39.5%
12
60.5%
Q1 - 5:42SpursChris Paul defensive rebound15
40.8%
12
59.2%
Q1 - 5:44PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot15
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 6:05SpursStephon Castle makes two point running finger roll layup (Victor Wembanyama assists)15
38.7%
12
61.3%
Q1 - 6:12PacersBennedict Mathurin turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)13
37.2%
12
62.8%
Q1 - 6:28SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point cutting dunk (Devin Vassell assists)13
35.6%
12
64.4%
Q1 - 6:35SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound11
34.2%
12
65.8%
Q1 - 6:37PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot11
33.8%
12
66.2%
Q1 - 6:47SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point running jump shot (Chris Paul assists)11
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 6:53SpursChris Paul defensive rebound8
30.2%
12
69.8%
Q1 - 6:55PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point cutting layup8
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 7:05PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound8
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 7:06SpursStephon Castle misses two point stepback jump shot8
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 7:25PacersPascal Siakam makes three point pullup jump shot (Andrew Nembhard assists)8
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 7:35SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)8
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 7:54PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)6
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 7:57PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)6
32.1%
9
67.9%
Q1 - 8:08PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound6
33.3%
7
66.7%
Q1 - 8:10SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point stepback jump shot6
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 8:16PacersBennedict Mathurin makes two point cutting layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)6
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 8:28PacersBennedict Mathurin defensive rebound6
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 8:30SpursChris Paul misses three point jump shot6
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 8:39SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound6
37.1%
5
62.9%
Q1 - 8:42PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot6
36.7%
5
63.3%
Q1 - 8:49PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound6
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 8:52SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot6
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 9:05PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot6
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 9:21SpursStephon Castle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)6
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:30SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound6
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 9:32PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point stepback jump shot6
39.6%
2
60.4%
Q1 - 9:49SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)6
38.7%
2
61.3%
Q1 - 10:03SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 10:06PacersBennedict Mathurin misses three point stepback jump shot4
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 10:20SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point running reverse layup (Chris Paul assists)4
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:26SpursChris Paul defensive rebound2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 10:27PacersVictor Wembanyama blocks Myles Turner's two point driving dunk2
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 10:43SpursStephon Castle turnover (out of bounds step)2
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 10:48SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound2
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:50PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point pullup jump shot2
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 11:10SpursDevin Vassell makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)2
36.3%
2
63.7%
Q1 - 11:30PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup0
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 11:42PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:44SpursVictor Wembanyama misses two point finger roll layup0
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 12:00Victor Wembanyama vs. Myles Turner (Harrison Barnes gains possession)0
37.3%
0
62.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.39 69.3%
IND
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
26
30
87%
IND
13
19
68%
Midrange
SAS
14
30
47%
IND
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
18
27.0
36
50%
75%
IND
13
19.5
43
30%
45%
Free Throws
SAS
6
6
100%
IND
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama3071%15.0 / 21
D. Vassell2589%12.5 / 14
H. Barnes20100%10.0 / 10
J. Sochan1372%6.5 / 9
T. Jones1192%5.5 / 6
S. Castle945%4.5 / 10
K. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
J. Champagnie770%3.5 / 5
S. Mamukelashvili650%3.0 / 6
C. Paul330%1.5 / 5
M. Branham3150%1.5 / 1
Z. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
S. Cissoko250%1.0 / 2
B. Wesley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Mathurin2486%12.0 / 14
P. Siakam1875%9.0 / 12
M. Turner1439%7.0 / 18
T. Haliburton1359%6.5 / 11
O. Toppin1381%6.5 / 8
T. Bryant990%4.5 / 5
A. Nembhard844%4.0 / 9
T. McConnell422%2.0 / 9
A. Nesmith330%1.5 / 5
B. Sheppard217%1.0 / 6
J. Walker220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
85
+16
-19
101
IND
94
+11
-11
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.39 69.3%
IND
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
115.3
SAS 134.6 +29.9
IND 104.8
Pace
100.1
100.9
SAS 91.2
IND 122.1 +30.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.0
SAS 15.8
IND 11.8 +4.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
56.2%
SAS 69.8% +17.7%
IND 52.1%
TO %
13.2%
12.0%
SAS 16.9%
IND 9.7% +7.2%
ORB %
24.3%
21.3%
SAS 40.5% +22.9%
IND 17.6%
FTrt
23.4
24.1
SAS 6.3
IND 12.4 +6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
68.5%
67.1%
SAS 74.1% +3.6%
IND 70.5%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
SAS 9.6% +0.1%
IND 9.5%
BLK %
10.5%
10.2%
SAS 18.5% +15.2%
IND 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
57.6%
SAS 69.3% +16.9%
IND 52.4%
Rim FG%
63.9%
66.7%
SAS 86.7% +18.3%
IND 68.4%
Mid FG%
41.8%
45.8%
SAS 46.7%
IND 51.4% +4.7%
3P %
35.7%
36.8%
SAS 50.0% +19.8%
IND 30.2%
FT %
77.4%
78.9%
SAS 100.0% +25.0%
IND 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
31.4%
SAS 31.3% +11.7%
IND 19.6%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
28.6%
SAS 31.3% +4.8%
IND 36.1%
3P Att. %
44.1%
40.0%
SAS 37.5%
IND 44.3% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASIND
Possessions104105
Possession Minutes27.420.6
Points140110
Rebounds5731
Assists4331
Steals1010
Blocks102
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)11 (0)
Fouls139
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (2)22 (0)
Field Goals58-9644-97
At-the-Rim FG26-3013-19
Midrange FG14-3018-35
2-Point FG40-6031-54
3-Point FG18-3613-43
Free Throws6-69-12
Fast Break Pts3410
2nd Chance Pts1813
Points in Paint6654
Pts off Turnovers2124
Bench Points5333
Biggest Lead305

BOXSCORE

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20 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Victor Wembanyama
#1 · C · 7'3" 235 · 21
32.4
30
71%
11
6
1
5
4
0
1
10
0-0
-
9-10
90%
4-11
36%
Devin Vassell
#24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
30.8
25
89%
3
4
2
2
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
5-6
83%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 33
26.0
20
100%
7
3
2
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
7-8
88%
2-2
100%
Chris Paul
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40
24.4
3
30%
8
7
1
0
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-5
20%
Stephon Castle
#5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20
23.9
9
45%
0
3
0
0
5
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
Keldon Johnson
#0 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 25
20.4
9
56%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
Tre Jones
#33 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 25
17.9
11
92%
4
8
1
1
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Sochan
#10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
17.8
13
72%
9
3
0
0
1
0
3
6
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-1
100%
Julian Champagnie
#30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24
17.0
7
70%
6
1
0
0
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Sandro Mamukelashvili
#54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26
11.3
6
50%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
Zach Collins
#23 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 27
4.5
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Blake Wesley
#14 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 22
4.5
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
#22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22
4.5
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Sidy Cissoko
#25 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21
4.5
2
50%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Charles Bassey
#28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Harrison Ingram
#55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
David Duke Jr.
#7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Riley Minix
#27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
140
69%
57
43
10
10
19
13
15
42
6-6
100%
40-60
67%
18-36
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.