for complete access.
All Games Sunday, January 19, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Spurs
44%110
107
16
Heat
56%112
128
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
107.0100102.2
MIA logo MIA
128.010097.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:13.6SpursSidy Cissoko makes two point running dunk (Blake Wesley assists)107
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:14.3SpursBlake Wesley defensive rebound105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:17.8HeatJosh Christopher misses two point driving finger roll layup105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:28.2SpursBlake Wesley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:37.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:37.3SpursSandro Mamukelashvili personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:37.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:42.4HeatPelle Larsson misses three point jump shot105
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:54.9SpursBlake Wesley makes two point running dunk (Zach Collins assists)105
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.7HeatKeshad Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Zach Collins steals)103
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 1:15SpursBlake Wesley turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)103
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25HeatPelle Larsson makes two point running layup (Keshad Johnson assists)103
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27HeatKeshad Johnson defensive rebound103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31SpursSandro Mamukelashvili misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37SpursSidy Cissoko defensive rebound103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HeatJosh Christopher misses two point running layup103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47SpursMalaki Branham misses two point driving floating bank jump shot103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Terry Rozier assists)103
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12SpursSidy Cissoko makes two point driving layup (Blake Wesley assists)103
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point putback dunk101
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50SpursVictor Wembanyama offensive rebound99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SpursVictor Wembanyama misses two point driving finger roll layup99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:23SpursHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25SpursStephon Castle offensive rebound99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28SpursChris Paul misses three point stepback jump shot99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound99
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving hook shot99
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52SpursStephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 299
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52SpursStephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 298
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32SpursStephon Castle makes two point driving layup (Chris Paul assists)97
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:40HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)95
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Terry Rozier assists)92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23SpursSandro Mamukelashvili turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)92
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)92
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 5:59SpursChris Paul makes three point stepback jump shot92
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)89
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 6:27HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound89
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 6:31SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot89
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 6:33SpursSandro Mamukelashvili offensive rebound89
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36SpursSandro Mamukelashvili misses regular free throw 2 of 289
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 6:36SpursSandro Mamukelashvili makes regular free throw 1 of 289
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 6:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Sandro Mamukelashvili draws the foul)88
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 6:49HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 288
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 6:49HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 288
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 6:49SpursVictor Wembanyama shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)88
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 6:59SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk88
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating bank jump shot86
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 7:43SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (out of bounds bad pass)86
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot86
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 8:24SpursChris Paul makes three point stepback jump shot86
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q4 - 8:32SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound83
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 8:36HeatNikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot83
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 8:49SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)83
1.1%
100
98.9%
Q4 - 9:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)80
0.9%
100
99.1%
Q4 - 9:30SpursHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)80
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 9:32SpursChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 177
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 9:32HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Away from play) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)76
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 9:49HeatKel'el Ware makes two point hook shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)76
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 9:51HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound76
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 9:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup76
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 10:14SpursSandro Mamukelashvili makes three point running jump shot (Chris Paul assists)76
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 10:20SpursChris Paul defensive rebound73
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 10:22HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup73
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:32SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point reverse layup (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)73
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:46SpursChris Paul defensive rebound71
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:49HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot71
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 11:09SpursChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists)71
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 11:25HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)68
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 11:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound68
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:46SpursVictor Wembanyama misses two point fadeaway jump shot68
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 268
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 268
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.8SpursZach Collins shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)68
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q3 - 0:16.9SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point tip layup68
1.0%
90
99.0%
Q3 - 0:16.9SpursKeldon Johnson offensive rebound66
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:19.9SpursJulian Champagnie misses three point pullup jump shot66
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q3 - 0:31.3HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)66
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q3 - 0:34.4SpursJulian Champagnie turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)66
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0SpursZach Collins offensive rebound66
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 0:39.3SpursDevin Vassell misses three point pullup jump shot66
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 0:49.6HeatTerry Rozier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 1:06SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point running layup (Julian Champagnie assists)66
1.3%
88
98.7%
Q3 - 1:10SpursZach Collins defensive rebound64
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 1:13HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup64
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 1:25HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound64
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:28SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot64
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:29SpursJulian Champagnie offensive rebound64
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 1:33SpursKel'el Ware blocks Keldon Johnson's two point layup64
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 1:46HeatTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot64
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q3 - 1:57SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup jump shot (Zach Collins assists)64
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 2:13HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)62
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 2:35SpursTre Jones makes two point driving dunk62
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 2:49SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound60
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 2:51HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot60
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 3:08SpursZach Collins makes two point putback layup60
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 3:10SpursZach Collins offensive rebound58
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 3:13SpursDevin Vassell misses two point turnaround jump shot58
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q3 - 3:26HeatNikola Jovic makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)58
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 3:33HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound58
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q3 - 3:36SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point running pullup jump shot58
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q3 - 3:40SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound58
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot58
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q3 - 4:04SpursDevin Vassell makes three point running jump shot (Tre Jones assists)58
2.5%
79
97.5%
Q3 - 4:07SpursTre Jones defensive rebound55
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 4:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup55
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 4:16SpursZach Collins personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 4:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q3 - 4:26SpursJulian Champagnie misses three point jump shot55
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 4:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q3 - 4:45SpursDevin Vassell personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)55
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 4:52SpursKeldon Johnson misses two point driving floating jump shot55
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)55
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 5:07SpursSpurs turnover (5-second violation)55
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 5:07HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Charles Bassey draws the foul)55
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 5:07SpursSpurs offensive rebound55
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 5:07SpursDevin Vassell misses two point fadeaway jump shot55
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q3 - 5:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)55
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q3 - 5:33SpursDevin Vassell makes three point stepback jump shot (Tre Jones assists)55
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 5:45HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound52
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 5:53SpursTre Jones misses three point jump shot52
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 6:01HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)52
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)52
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 6:26HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound52
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 6:30SpursJimmy Butler blocks Devin Vassell's two point driving layup52
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 6:43HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)52
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 6:50SpursHarrison Barnes misses two point turnaround jump shot52
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 7:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)52
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 7:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound52
14.8%
62
85.2%
Q3 - 7:32SpursHarrison Barnes misses regular free throw 2 of 252
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 7:32SpursHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 252
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q3 - 7:32HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)51
16.0%
62
84.0%
Q3 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point running reverse layup51
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 7:47SpursStephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)51
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q3 - 8:00HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)51
19.0%
60
81.0%
Q3 - 8:22SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point driving finger roll layup51
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Devin Vassell steals)49
19.5%
58
80.5%
Q3 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound49
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 8:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot49
18.7%
58
81.3%
Q3 - 8:57SpursVictor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 249
17.0%
58
83.0%
Q3 - 8:57SpursVictor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 248
16.7%
58
83.3%
Q3 - 8:57HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)48
18.4%
58
81.6%
Q3 - 9:09HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)48
17.9%
58
82.1%
Q3 - 9:23SpursStephon Castle makes two point pullup jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)48
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q3 - 9:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
17.9%
56
82.1%
Q3 - 9:53HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q3 - 9:59SpursChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot46
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 10:08HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
25.1%
53
74.9%
Q3 - 10:33SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (traveling)46
27.0%
51
73.0%
Q3 - 10:43HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 246
30.3%
51
69.7%
Q3 - 10:43HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 246
30.6%
50
69.4%
Q3 - 10:43SpursDevin Vassell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)46
30.9%
49
69.1%
Q3 - 10:48SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point running layup (Chris Paul assists)46
32.4%
49
67.6%
Q3 - 10:49SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound44
30.3%
49
69.7%
Q3 - 10:53HeatKel'el Ware misses two point hook shot44
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q3 - 10:56HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound44
27.0%
49
73.0%
Q3 - 10:58HeatKel'el Ware misses two point running layup44
29.2%
49
70.8%
Q3 - 11:01HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
27.3%
49
72.7%
Q3 - 11:05SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point pullup jump shot44
28.2%
49
71.8%
Q3 - 11:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)44
30.2%
49
69.8%
Q3 - 11:28SpursDevin Vassell makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)44
35.5%
46
64.5%
Q3 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)41
30.2%
46
69.8%
Q3 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)41
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.41
27.3%
46
72.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound41
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot41
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 0:15.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
27.9%
46
72.1%
Q2 - 0:18.8SpursVictor Wembanyama misses two point driving finger roll layup41
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 0:32.4SpursHarrison Barnes offensive rebound41
30.3%
46
69.7%
Q2 - 0:36.6SpursDevin Vassell misses three point jump shot41
28.6%
46
71.4%
Q2 - 0:52.8SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound41
30.3%
46
69.7%
Q2 - 0:55.4HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot41
29.6%
46
70.4%
Q2 - 1:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q2 - 1:08SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot41
29.1%
46
70.9%
Q2 - 1:15SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound41
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 1:18HeatChris Paul blocks Kel'el Ware's two point layup41
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 1:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound41
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q2 - 1:38SpursVictor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 241
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q2 - 1:38SpursVictor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 241
30.5%
46
69.5%
Q2 - 1:38HeatKel'el Ware shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)41
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q2 - 1:46SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound41
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 1:48HeatTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 2:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
28.4%
46
71.6%
Q2 - 2:08SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot41
29.3%
46
70.7%
Q2 - 2:10HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)41
31.3%
46
68.8%
Q2 - 2:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot41
31.2%
46
68.8%
Q2 - 2:38HeatHeat defensive rebound41
36.1%
43
63.9%
Q2 - 2:38SpursJimmy Butler blocks Devin Vassell's two point driving layup41
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q2 - 2:56HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)41
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 3:04HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound41
36.2%
43
63.8%
Q2 - 3:07SpursVictor Wembanyama misses two point pullup jump shot41
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 3:20HeatTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot41
39.4%
43
60.6%
Q2 - 3:27HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound41
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 3:30SpursHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot41
45.3%
40
54.7%
Q2 - 3:45HeatKel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk41
47.8%
40
52.2%
Q2 - 3:45HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound41
49.9%
38
50.1%
Q2 - 3:47HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup41
52.3%
38
47.7%
Q2 - 3:55HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound41
49.9%
38
50.1%
Q2 - 3:58SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot41
51.0%
38
49.0%
Q2 - 4:20HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)41
52.9%
38
47.1%
Q2 - 4:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound41
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 4:34SpursBam Adebayo blocks Harrison Barnes's two point driving layup41
58.8%
35
41.2%
Q2 - 4:42SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound41
61.0%
35
39.0%
Q2 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup41
60.0%
35
40.0%
Q2 - 5:07SpursDevin Vassell makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)41
57.4%
35
42.6%
Q2 - 5:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)39
55.4%
35
44.6%
Q2 - 5:32HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound39
60.1%
32
39.9%
Q2 - 5:34SpursVictor Wembanyama misses two point stepback jump shot39
61.0%
32
39.0%
Q2 - 5:41SpursJulian Champagnie defensive rebound39
63.2%
32
36.8%
Q2 - 5:45HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot39
62.3%
32
37.7%
Q2 - 6:03SpursTre Jones turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)39
59.6%
32
40.4%
Q2 - 6:12SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound39
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 6:16HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot39
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 6:33SpursVictor Wembanyama turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 6:33SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound39
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 6:37HeatVictor Wembanyama blocks Kel'el Ware's two point layup39
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 6:38HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound39
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 6:41HeatKel'el Ware misses two point layup39
61.8%
32
38.2%
Q2 - 6:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 6:55SpursJulian Champagnie misses two point floating jump shot39
60.6%
32
39.4%
Q2 - 7:20HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup39
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 7:24HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound39
64.2%
30
35.8%
Q2 - 7:26SpursTre Jones misses two point driving bank jump shot39
65.0%
30
35.0%
Q2 - 7:46SpursCharles Bassey defensive rebound39
66.8%
30
33.2%
Q2 - 7:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot39
66.0%
30
34.0%
Q2 - 7:59HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound39
64.2%
30
35.8%
Q2 - 8:03SpursJulian Champagnie misses three point pullup jump shot39
64.5%
30
35.5%
Q2 - 8:06SpursCharles Bassey offensive rebound39
66.3%
30
33.7%
Q2 - 8:09SpursCharles Bassey misses two point floating jump shot39
64.5%
30
35.5%
Q2 - 8:23HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup39
66.3%
30
33.7%
Q2 - 8:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound39
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 8:29SpursStephon Castle misses two point pullup bank jump shot39
69.0%
28
31.0%
Q2 - 8:45HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Terry Rozier assists)39
70.7%
28
29.3%
Q2 - 8:56SpursTre Jones makes three point jump shot (Julian Champagnie assists)39
72.5%
26
27.5%
Q2 - 8:57SpursStephon Castle offensive rebound36
68.6%
26
31.4%
Q2 - 9:00SpursJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Stephon Castle's two point layup36
66.8%
26
33.2%
Q2 - 9:06SpursStephon Castle offensive rebound36
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q2 - 9:06SpursKel'el Ware blocks Keldon Johnson's two point running layup36
66.4%
26
33.6%
Q2 - 9:07SpursKeldon Johnson defensive rebound36
68.0%
26
32.0%
Q2 - 9:10HeatKeldon Johnson blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup36
67.3%
26
32.7%
Q2 - 9:30SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point running layup36
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 9:34HeatTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Charles Bassey steals)34
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 9:41SpursKeldon Johnson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tre Jones assists)34
61.1%
26
38.9%
Q2 - 9:47SpursTre Jones defensive rebound32
58.8%
26
41.2%
Q2 - 9:53HeatTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating bank jump shot32
58.0%
26
42.0%
Q2 - 10:03SpursStephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)32
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 10:13HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds step)32
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 10:16HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
56.1%
26
43.9%
Q2 - 10:19SpursJulian Champagnie misses three point pullup jump shot32
56.9%
26
43.1%
Q2 - 10:24SpursStephon Castle offensive rebound32
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 10:29SpursKeldon Johnson misses three point jump shot32
56.9%
26
43.1%
Q2 - 10:43HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jovic assists)32
58.6%
26
41.4%
Q2 - 10:51SpursStephon Castle personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)32
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q2 - 11:00SpursCharles Bassey makes two point layup (Stephon Castle assists)32
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q2 - 11:18HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot30
58.0%
24
42.0%
Q2 - 11:21HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound30
60.1%
22
39.9%
Q2 - 11:25SpursJulian Champagnie misses three point jump shot30
60.9%
22
39.1%
Q2 - 11:42HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 230
62.5%
22
37.5%
Q2 - 11:42HeatKel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 230
63.1%
21
36.9%
Q2 - 11:42SpursCharles Bassey shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)30
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
64.6%
20
35.4%
Q1 - 0:00.7SpursSpurs offensive rebound30
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 0:00.7SpursDevin Vassell misses three point stepback jump shot30
64.7%
20
35.3%
Q1 - 0:14.4SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound30
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 0:18.7HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot30
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q1 - 0:29.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound30
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q1 - 0:32.3SpursStephon Castle misses two point driving floating jump shot30
64.7%
20
35.3%
Q1 - 0:41.4HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup (Tyler Herro assists)30
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q1 - 0:44.8SpursStephon Castle turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)30
68.2%
18
31.8%
Q1 - 0:48.6SpursCharles Bassey defensive rebound30
70.2%
18
29.8%
Q1 - 0:53.2HeatNikola Jovic misses two point running layup30
69.6%
18
30.4%
Q1 - 0:59.7SpursCharles Bassey turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)30
68.2%
18
31.8%
Q1 - 1:08SpursCharles Bassey defensive rebound30
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q1 - 1:08HeatDevin Vassell blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving finger roll layup30
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q1 - 1:13SpursJulian Champagnie makes two point tip dunk30
67.9%
18
32.1%
Q1 - 1:13SpursJulian Champagnie offensive rebound28
65.8%
18
34.2%
Q1 - 1:20SpursDevin Vassell misses two point running layup28
64.4%
18
35.6%
Q1 - 1:25HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Charles Bassey steals)28
65.8%
18
34.2%
Q1 - 1:45SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 3 of 328
63.8%
18
36.2%
Q1 - 1:45SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 2 of 327
63.4%
18
36.6%
Q1 - 1:45SpursDevin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 326
63.0%
18
37.0%
Q1 - 1:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Devin Vassell draws the foul)25
62.5%
18
37.5%
Q1 - 1:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank hook shot (Kel'el Ware assists)25
59.4%
18
40.6%
Q1 - 2:12SpursDevin Vassell makes two point stepback jump shot25
60.8%
16
39.2%
Q1 - 2:34HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)23
59.0%
16
41.0%
Q1 - 2:49SpursJulian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)23
60.9%
14
39.1%
Q1 - 3:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point hook shot20
56.6%
14
43.4%
Q1 - 3:33SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point jump shot20
58.3%
12
41.7%
Q1 - 3:44SpursChris Paul defensive rebound17
54.4%
12
45.6%
Q1 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 3:50HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound17
51.8%
12
48.2%
Q1 - 3:54HeatDevin Vassell blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point pullup jump shot17
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 4:21SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point driving dunk (Chris Paul assists)17
50.6%
12
49.4%
Q1 - 4:28SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound15
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 4:33HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot15
48.3%
12
51.7%
Q1 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
46.8%
12
53.2%
Q1 - 4:40SpursHarrison Barnes misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
47.5%
12
52.5%
Q1 - 4:46SpursDevin Vassell defensive rebound15
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 4:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
48.3%
12
51.7%
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
46.6%
12
53.4%
Q1 - 5:09SpursVictor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot15
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 5:17SpursHarrison Barnes defensive rebound15
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot15
47.9%
12
52.1%
Q1 - 5:25HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
46.5%
12
53.5%
Q1 - 5:29SpursDevin Vassell misses two point driving layup15
47.1%
12
52.9%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup15
48.5%
12
51.5%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound15
50.0%
10
50.0%
Q1 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup15
51.4%
10
48.6%
Q1 - 5:50HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound15
50.0%
10
50.0%
Q1 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot15
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 6:04SpursStephon Castle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
49.7%
10
50.3%
Q1 - 6:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)15
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 6:22HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound15
52.9%
8
47.1%
Q1 - 6:24SpursDevin Vassell misses three point running jump shot15
53.4%
8
46.6%
Q1 - 6:29SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound15
54.5%
8
45.5%
Q1 - 6:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot15
54.0%
8
46.0%
Q1 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound15
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 6:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot15
53.9%
8
46.1%
Q1 - 6:39HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound15
52.7%
8
47.3%
Q1 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot15
53.9%
8
46.1%
Q1 - 7:10SpursDevin Vassell makes two point fadeaway jump shot15
52.1%
8
47.9%
Q1 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup13
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 7:37SpursVictor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 213
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 7:37SpursVictor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 212
51.5%
6
48.5%
Q1 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)12
52.8%
6
47.2%
Q1 - 7:52SpursSpurs defensive rebound12
51.7%
6
48.3%
Q1 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot12
51.2%
6
48.8%
Q1 - 8:15SpursVictor Wembanyama makes three point stepback jump shot (Chris Paul assists)12
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 8:19SpursChris Paul defensive rebound9
47.2%
6
52.8%
Q1 - 8:24HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving floating jump shot9
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 8:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 8:43SpursChris Paul misses three point stepback jump shot9
46.0%
6
54.0%
Q1 - 8:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)9
46.9%
6
53.1%
Q1 - 9:10SpursStephon Castle makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)9
47.4%
4
52.6%
Q1 - 9:18SpursVictor Wembanyama defensive rebound6
45.3%
4
54.7%
Q1 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot6
44.9%
4
55.1%
Q1 - 9:38SpursStephon Castle makes two point driving layup (Harrison Barnes assists)6
44.1%
4
55.9%
Q1 - 9:50HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds step)4
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:05SpursHarrison Barnes makes two point driving layup (Devin Vassell assists)4
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 10:19HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 22
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 10:19HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 22
41.9%
3
58.1%
Q1 - 10:19SpursVictor Wembanyama shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)2
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 10:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
42.4%
2
57.6%
Q1 - 10:32SpursStephon Castle misses two point floating jump shot2
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 10:43HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds step)2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 11:04SpursDevin Vassell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving finger roll layup2
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:49SpursVictor Wembanyama makes two point driving layup (Chris Paul assists)2
43.5%
0
56.5%
Q1 - 12:00Victor Wembanyama vs. Bam Adebayo (Harrison Barnes gains possession)0
43.5%
0
56.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.0%
MIA
1.25 62.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
29
66%
MIA
25
43
58%
Midrange
SAS
7
22
32%
MIA
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
15
22.5
40
38%
56%
MIA
18
27.0
33
55%
82%
Free Throws
SAS
10
16
63%
MIA
10
10
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Vassell2355%11.5 / 21
V. Wembanyama2150%10.5 / 21
S. Castle1161%5.5 / 9
H. Barnes1050%5.0 / 10
C. Paul1083%5.0 / 6
K. Johnson844%4.0 / 9
J. Champagnie531%2.5 / 8
T. Jones563%2.5 / 4
S. Mamukelashvili467%2.0 / 3
S. Cissoko4100%2.0 / 2
C. Bassey250%1.0 / 2
Z. Collins2100%1.0 / 1
B. Wesley2100%1.0 / 1
M. Branham0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Ware2560%12.5 / 21
D. Robinson2188%10.5 / 12
T. Rozier2067%10.0 / 15
T. Herro1869%9.0 / 13
N. Jović1488%7.0 / 8
J. Jaquez1286%6.0 / 7
J. Butler850%4.0 / 8
B. Adebayo633%3.0 / 9
H. Highsmith233%1.0 / 3
P. Larsson250%1.0 / 2
J. Christopher0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
86
+15
-14
101
MIA
89
+13
-11
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.06 53.0%
MIA
1.25 62.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.5
112.4
SAS 107.0
MIA 128.0 +21.0
Pace
100.1
97.2
SAS 102.2 +4.3
MIA 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
14.9
SAS 14.1 +0.6
MIA 14.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
54.4%
SAS 53.3%
MIA 62.1% +8.8%
TO %
13.2%
12.8%
SAS 13.3%
MIA 10.0% +3.3%
ORB %
24.3%
22.3%
SAS 26.0%
MIA 27.9% +1.9%
FTrt
23.4
23.2
SAS 17.6 +7.1
MIA 10.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
68.5%
65.3%
SAS 68.3%
MIA 70.0% +1.7%
STL %
8.2%
8.3%
SAS 4.0%
MIA 8.0% +4.0%
BLK %
10.5%
7.6%
SAS 8.1%
MIA 11.8% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.3%
56.0%
SAS 53.0%
MIA 62.7% +9.7%
Rim FG%
63.9%
62.5%
SAS 65.5% +7.4%
MIA 58.1%
Mid FG%
41.8%
44.4%
SAS 31.8%
MIA 36.8% +5.0%
3P %
35.7%
36.7%
SAS 37.5%
MIA 54.5% +17.0%
FT %
77.4%
79.1%
SAS 62.5%
MIA 100.0% +37.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.7%
29.6%
SAS 31.9%
MIA 45.3% +13.4%
Mid Att. %
22.2%
27.5%
SAS 24.2%
MIA 20.0% +4.2%
3P Att. %
44.1%
42.9%
SAS 44.0% +9.2%
MIA 34.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points107128
Rebounds4449
Assists2835
Steals48
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (0)
Fouls912
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals41-9150-95
At-the-Rim FG19-2925-43
Midrange FG7-227-19
2-Point FG26-5132-62
3-Point FG15-4018-33
Free Throws10-1610-10
Fast Break Pts2118
2nd Chance Pts118
Points in Paint4260
Pts off Turnovers1316
Bench Points3273
Biggest Lead1327

BOXSCORE

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17 San Antonio Spurs
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Devin Vassell
#24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 24
34.6
23
55%
3
2
1
2
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
4-10
40%
Harrison Barnes
#40 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 33
31.4
10
50%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
Victor Wembanyama
#1 · C · 7'3" 235 · 21
30.1
21
50%
10
3
0
1
3
2
1
9
2-6
33%
5-10
50%
3-8
38%
Chris Paul
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 40
27.9
10
83%
4
9
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
0-0
-
3-6
50%
Stephon Castle
#5 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 20
27.2
11
61%
4
1
0
0
4
1
4
0
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
Julian Champagnie
#30 · SF · 6'7" 217 · 24
22.1
5
31%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
Keldon Johnson
#0 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 25
18.0
8
44%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
Tre Jones
#33 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 25
16.0
5
63%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
Charles Bassey
#28 · C · 6'10" 230 · 24
9.4
2
50%
4
0
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
Sandro Mamukelashvili
#54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 26
9.1
4
67%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
Zach Collins
#23 · PF · 6'11" 250 · 27
7.1
2
100%
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Blake Wesley
#14 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 22
2.4
2
100%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Malaki Branham
#22 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Sidy Cissoko
#25 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21
2.4
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Riley Minix
#27 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Harrison Ingram
#55 · SF · 6'5" 230 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jeremy Sochan
#10 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Bilateral Lumbar Spine; Bone Bruise
David Duke Jr.
#7 · SG · 6'4" 204 · 25
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
53%
44
28
4
5
14
9
13
31
10-16
63%
26-51
51%
15-40
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.