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All Games Friday, January 17, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Nuggets
54%114
133
17
Heat
46%113
113
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
135.79896.7
MIA logo MIA
113.0100101.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.133
100%
113
0%
Q4 - 0:14.9NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)133
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.7HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)133
99.9%
113
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.2NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point stepback jump shot (PJ Hall assists)133
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound130
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot130
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12NuggetsHunter Tyson makes three point pullup jump shot130
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17HeatKeshad Johnson personal foul (Jalen Pickett draws the foul)127
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup127
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36NuggetsJalen Pickett misses three point jump shot127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44NuggetsPJ Hall defensive rebound127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47HeatPelle Larsson misses two point driving layup127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05NuggetsPJ Hall turnover (traveling)127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2127
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2127
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19NuggetsPJ Hall shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)127
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating jump shot127
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)125
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (DeAndre Jordan assists)125
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25HeatTerry Rozier makes two point running finger roll layup122
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 3:30HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point layup122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:58HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14NuggetsPeyton Watson personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot120
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00HeatHeat offensive rebound120
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00HeatJamal Murray blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup120
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound120
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 5:08NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot120
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)120
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2119
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 5:41HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)118
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound118
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot118
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 6:13NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes two point putback layup118
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 6:15NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound116
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 6:17NuggetsJulian Strawther misses two point driving layup116
99.4%
98
0.6%
Q4 - 6:35HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 3 of 3116
99.5%
98
0.5%
Q4 - 6:35HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 3116
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 6:35HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 3116
99.5%
96
0.5%
Q4 - 6:35NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)116
99.6%
95
0.4%
Q4 - 6:49NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving layup116
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 7:04HeatTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)114
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 7:20NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Gordon assists)114
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 7:26NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound112
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 7:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point running finger roll layup112
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 7:34HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound112
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 7:37NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot112
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 7:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound112
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 7:48HeatKel'el Ware misses two point floating jump shot112
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 8:10NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)112
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 8:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)109
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 8:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound109
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 8:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point layup109
99.1%
90
0.9%
Q4 - 8:50HeatKel'el Ware makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)109
99.2%
90
0.8%
Q4 - 8:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)109
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 9:05HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Murray steals)109
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 9:18NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)109
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 9:27HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)106
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 9:43NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes two point dunk (Jamal Murray assists)106
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 9:43NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound104
98.0%
88
2.0%
Q4 - 9:44NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot104
97.6%
88
2.4%
Q4 - 10:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound104
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 10:03HeatKel'el Ware misses two point jump shot104
97.3%
88
2.7%
Q4 - 10:13HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound104
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 10:18NuggetsJulian Strawther misses regular free throw 1 of 1104
96.9%
88
3.1%
Q4 - 10:18HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)104
97.4%
88
2.6%
Q4 - 10:29NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound102
96.2%
88
3.8%
Q4 - 10:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot102
96.0%
88
4.0%
Q4 - 10:36HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound102
95.3%
88
4.7%
Q4 - 10:38NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot102
95.6%
88
4.4%
Q4 - 11:00HeatKel'el Ware makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)102
96.3%
88
3.7%
Q4 - 11:12NuggetsDeAndre Jordan makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)102
96.3%
86
3.7%
Q4 - 11:19NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound100
95.6%
86
4.4%
Q4 - 11:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving bank jump shot100
95.3%
86
4.7%
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
94.6%
86
5.4%
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 299
94.3%
86
5.7%
Q4 - 11:29HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)98
94.0%
86
6.0%
Q4 - 11:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound98
93.5%
86
6.5%
Q4 - 11:40HeatKel'el Ware misses two point tip dunk98
93.1%
86
6.9%
Q4 - 11:42HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound98
92.1%
86
7.9%
Q4 - 11:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot98
93.1%
86
6.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.98
92.1%
86
7.9%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound98
91.3%
86
8.7%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatTerry Rozier misses three point pullup jump shot98
92.3%
86
7.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)98
91.3%
86
8.7%
Q3 - 0:17.4NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound95
87.7%
86
12.3%
Q3 - 0:18.5HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot95
87.0%
86
13.0%
Q3 - 0:36.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
85.5%
86
14.5%
Q3 - 0:39.7NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot95
86.2%
86
13.8%
Q3 - 1:00HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup95
87.7%
86
12.3%
Q3 - 1:22NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point running dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)95
88.5%
84
11.5%
Q3 - 1:25NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound93
86.6%
84
13.4%
Q3 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup93
85.9%
84
14.1%
Q3 - 1:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound93
84.3%
84
15.7%
Q3 - 1:36NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point bank jump shot93
85.0%
84
15.0%
Q3 - 1:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)93
86.7%
84
13.3%
Q3 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
87.4%
82
12.6%
Q3 - 2:09NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot93
88.0%
82
12.0%
Q3 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
89.3%
82
10.7%
Q3 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 293
89.6%
81
10.4%
Q3 - 2:23NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q3 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound93
90.8%
80
9.2%
Q3 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk93
91.8%
80
8.2%
Q3 - 2:31HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound93
90.8%
80
9.2%
Q3 - 2:32NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point alley-oop dunk93
91.2%
80
8.8%
Q3 - 2:40NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound93
92.2%
80
7.8%
Q3 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot93
91.8%
80
8.2%
Q3 - 3:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 293
90.0%
80
10.0%
Q3 - 3:07NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 292
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q3 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)91
89.5%
80
10.5%
Q3 - 3:19HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 291
88.8%
80
11.2%
Q3 - 3:19HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 291
89.0%
79
11.0%
Q3 - 3:19NuggetsJulian Strawther shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)91
89.3%
78
10.7%
Q3 - 3:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound91
90.1%
78
9.9%
Q3 - 3:29NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot91
90.6%
78
9.4%
Q3 - 3:57HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
91.7%
78
8.3%
Q3 - 4:10NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point running pullup jump shot91
93.1%
75
6.9%
Q3 - 4:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)88
90.9%
75
9.1%
Q3 - 4:26NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup (Julian Strawther assists)88
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q3 - 4:39HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds step)86
88.0%
75
12.0%
Q3 - 5:05NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point layup (Russell Westbrook assists)86
85.2%
75
14.8%
Q3 - 5:08NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound84
83.3%
75
16.7%
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup84
82.6%
75
17.4%
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound84
80.9%
75
19.1%
Q3 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot84
82.6%
75
17.4%
Q3 - 5:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound84
80.9%
75
19.1%
Q3 - 5:29NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point layup84
81.7%
75
18.3%
Q3 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point layup84
83.4%
75
16.6%
Q3 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound84
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q3 - 5:52NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot84
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q3 - 5:56NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound84
87.2%
73
12.8%
Q3 - 5:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot84
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q3 - 6:21HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)84
86.6%
73
13.4%
Q3 - 6:35NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 184
89.5%
70
10.5%
Q3 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)83
89.3%
70
10.7%
Q3 - 6:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point running finger roll layup81
86.6%
70
13.4%
Q3 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
88.1%
68
11.9%
Q3 - 6:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running pullup jump shot81
88.6%
68
11.4%
Q3 - 7:04NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound81
88.8%
68
11.2%
Q3 - 7:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot81
88.3%
68
11.7%
Q3 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound81
87.2%
68
12.8%
Q3 - 7:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot81
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q3 - 7:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)81
88.9%
68
11.1%
Q3 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound81
90.1%
66
9.9%
Q3 - 7:46NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point floating jump shot81
90.5%
66
9.5%
Q3 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup81
91.4%
66
8.6%
Q3 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound81
92.4%
64
7.6%
Q3 - 8:01HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot81
92.7%
64
7.3%
Q3 - 8:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot81
91.8%
64
8.2%
Q3 - 8:25HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)78
89.8%
64
10.2%
Q3 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)78
89.8%
64
10.2%
Q3 - 8:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)78
90.7%
62
9.3%
Q3 - 8:53NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound75
88.4%
62
11.6%
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
87.9%
62
12.1%
Q3 - 9:10NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 275
86.1%
62
13.9%
Q3 - 9:10NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 274
85.8%
62
14.2%
Q3 - 9:10HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)73
85.5%
62
14.5%
Q3 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup73
84.8%
62
15.2%
Q3 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound73
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 9:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot73
87.4%
60
12.6%
Q3 - 9:45HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound73
86.1%
60
13.9%
Q3 - 9:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot73
86.7%
60
13.3%
Q3 - 9:55HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)73
88.0%
60
12.0%
Q3 - 10:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot73
87.3%
60
12.7%
Q3 - 10:28NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup73
88.4%
58
11.6%
Q3 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)71
87.4%
58
12.6%
Q3 - 11:01NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)71
89.3%
55
10.7%
Q3 - 11:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound69
88.2%
55
11.8%
Q3 - 11:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot69
87.7%
55
12.3%
Q3 - 11:20HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound69
86.7%
55
13.3%
Q3 - 11:22HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot69
87.7%
55
12.3%
Q3 - 11:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 269
86.7%
55
13.3%
Q3 - 11:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 268
86.3%
55
13.7%
Q3 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)67
85.9%
55
14.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.67
85.3%
55
14.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound67
83.3%
55
16.7%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67
84.4%
55
15.6%
Q2 - 0:02.3NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)67
83.3%
55
16.7%
Q2 - 0:05.3HeatHeat defensive rebound67
83.3%
55
16.7%
Q2 - 0:06.6NuggetsPeyton Watson misses regular free throw 2 of 267
83.5%
55
16.5%
Q2 - 0:06.6NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 267
84.6%
55
15.4%
Q2 - 0:06.6HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)66
84.2%
55
15.8%
Q2 - 0:07.4NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
83.2%
55
16.8%
Q2 - 0:09.7HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup66
82.7%
55
17.3%
Q2 - 0:31.6NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot66
81.5%
55
18.5%
Q2 - 0:47.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot64
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q2 - 0:55.8NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Peyton Watson assists)64
81.5%
53
18.5%
Q2 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)62
79.2%
53
20.8%
Q2 - 1:17NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point cutting dunk (Jamal Murray assists)62
81.3%
51
18.7%
Q2 - 1:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jovic assists)60
79.2%
51
20.8%
Q2 - 1:47HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound60
81.3%
49
18.7%
Q2 - 1:52NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point running layup60
81.8%
49
18.2%
Q2 - 1:57HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)60
82.9%
49
17.1%
Q2 - 2:08NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup60
80.3%
49
19.7%
Q2 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 258
78.8%
49
21.2%
Q2 - 2:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 258
79.0%
48
21.0%
Q2 - 2:28NuggetsRussell Westbrook shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)58
79.3%
47
20.7%
Q2 - 2:39NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot58
80.4%
47
19.6%
Q2 - 2:54HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)56
78.8%
47
21.2%
Q2 - 3:16NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)56
79.7%
45
20.3%
Q2 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)53
76.3%
45
23.7%
Q2 - 3:43NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)53
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 3:54NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)53
79.7%
42
20.3%
Q2 - 4:05NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound51
77.7%
42
22.3%
Q2 - 4:09HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot51
77.1%
42
22.9%
Q2 - 4:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
75.5%
42
24.5%
Q2 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)49
73.8%
42
26.2%
Q2 - 4:46NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)49
75.5%
40
24.5%
Q2 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)49
77.7%
40
22.3%
Q2 - 5:19NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running layup (Russell Westbrook assists)49
79.1%
38
20.9%
Q2 - 5:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound47
77.7%
38
22.3%
Q2 - 5:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot47
77.0%
38
23.0%
Q2 - 5:32HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound47
75.3%
38
24.7%
Q2 - 5:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot47
76.0%
38
24.0%
Q2 - 5:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)47
77.7%
38
22.3%
Q2 - 6:01HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound47
80.4%
35
19.6%
Q2 - 6:07NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving layup47
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 6:19NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound47
82.4%
35
17.6%
Q2 - 6:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup47
81.8%
35
18.2%
Q2 - 6:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 247
80.5%
35
19.5%
Q2 - 6:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 246
80.0%
35
20.0%
Q2 - 6:39HeatTerry Rozier shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)45
79.5%
35
20.5%
Q2 - 6:43NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound45
79.2%
35
20.8%
Q2 - 6:48HeatTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot45
78.5%
35
21.5%
Q2 - 7:07NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point floating jump shot45
76.6%
35
23.4%
Q2 - 7:18NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound43
74.9%
35
25.1%
Q2 - 7:22HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot43
74.3%
35
25.7%
Q2 - 7:28HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound43
72.7%
35
27.3%
Q2 - 7:31NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point running jump shot43
73.4%
35
26.6%
Q2 - 7:35NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound43
74.9%
35
25.1%
Q2 - 7:38HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot43
74.3%
35
25.7%
Q2 - 7:54NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)43
72.8%
35
27.2%
Q2 - 8:17HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot (Terry Rozier assists)41
70.6%
35
29.4%
Q2 - 8:31NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)41
72.4%
33
27.6%
Q2 - 8:49HeatTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 139
70.6%
33
29.4%
Q2 - 8:49NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)39
70.9%
32
29.1%
Q2 - 8:54HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound39
74.4%
30
25.6%
Q2 - 8:57NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot39
75.0%
30
25.0%
Q2 - 9:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound39
76.0%
30
24.0%
Q2 - 9:06HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot39
75.4%
30
24.6%
Q2 - 9:16HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound39
74.1%
30
25.9%
Q2 - 9:19NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point jump shot39
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 9:37HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Kel'el Ware assists)39
76.0%
30
24.0%
Q2 - 9:52HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound39
77.7%
28
22.3%
Q2 - 9:54NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot39
78.3%
28
21.7%
Q2 - 10:00NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound39
79.5%
28
20.5%
Q2 - 10:02NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point stepback jump shot39
78.0%
28
22.0%
Q2 - 10:11HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)39
79.3%
28
20.7%
Q2 - 10:11NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound39
79.3%
28
20.7%
Q2 - 10:17HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot39
78.7%
28
21.3%
Q2 - 10:38NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point pullup jump shot39
77.5%
28
22.5%
Q2 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)36
74.0%
28
26.0%
Q2 - 11:03NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 136
75.2%
26
24.8%
Q2 - 11:03HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)35
74.7%
26
25.3%
Q2 - 11:19HeatKel'el Ware makes two point cutting layup (Terry Rozier assists)33
71.6%
26
28.4%
Q2 - 11:45NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)33
73.5%
24
26.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
69.7%
24
30.3%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound30
67.3%
24
32.7%
Q1 - 0:00.1NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot30
67.9%
24
32.1%
Q1 - 0:14.0HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup30
69.3%
24
30.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound30
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q1 - 0:30.2NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot30
71.8%
22
28.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0HeatNikola Jovic makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
73.2%
22
26.8%
Q1 - 0:42.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound30
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q1 - 0:45.6NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot30
77.2%
19
22.8%
Q1 - 1:00NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound30
78.3%
19
21.7%
Q1 - 1:02HeatNikola Jovic misses two point floating jump shot30
77.6%
19
22.4%
Q1 - 1:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Peyton Watson assists)30
76.5%
19
23.5%
Q1 - 1:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound28
74.7%
19
25.3%
Q1 - 1:25HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot28
74.2%
19
25.8%
Q1 - 1:29HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound28
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q1 - 1:35NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point driving layup28
73.6%
19
26.4%
Q1 - 1:40HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Peyton Watson steals)28
74.7%
19
25.3%
Q1 - 1:48NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)28
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q1 - 2:00NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound25
69.2%
19
30.8%
Q1 - 2:00HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running pullup jump shot25
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 2:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 2:07NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot25
67.5%
19
32.5%
Q1 - 2:10NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound25
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 2:13NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses three point running jump shot25
67.5%
19
32.5%
Q1 - 2:17NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound25
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup25
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 2:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Russell Westbrook assists)25
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 2:50NuggetsJulian Strawther defensive rebound23
65.1%
19
34.9%
Q1 - 2:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot23
64.4%
19
35.6%
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
62.4%
19
37.6%
Q1 - 3:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)23
64.9%
19
35.1%
Q1 - 3:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Russell Westbrook assists)23
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 4:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)21
63.7%
17
36.3%
Q1 - 4:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
65.1%
15
34.9%
Q1 - 4:18NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point jump shot21
65.7%
15
34.3%
Q1 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 221
67.0%
15
33.0%
Q1 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 221
67.3%
14
32.7%
Q1 - 4:33NuggetsJulian Strawther shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)21
67.7%
13
32.3%
Q1 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 4:38NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point driving layup21
68.9%
13
31.1%
Q1 - 4:49HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
70.1%
13
29.9%
Q1 - 4:49HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound21
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 4:52NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup21
68.8%
13
31.2%
Q1 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot21
69.4%
13
30.6%
Q1 - 5:22NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)21
70.6%
11
29.4%
Q1 - 5:44HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)19
69.0%
11
31.0%
Q1 - 6:03NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes two point driving layup19
71.1%
8
28.9%
Q1 - 6:12NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound17
69.8%
8
30.2%
Q1 - 6:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot17
69.3%
8
30.7%
Q1 - 6:29NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)17
68.1%
8
31.9%
Q1 - 6:29NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound14
65.4%
8
34.6%
Q1 - 6:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point putback layup14
64.3%
8
35.7%
Q1 - 6:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound14
65.3%
8
34.7%
Q1 - 6:36NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point pullup jump shot14
64.2%
8
35.8%
Q1 - 6:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound14
65.2%
8
34.8%
Q1 - 6:46HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot14
64.7%
8
35.3%
Q1 - 7:10NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
63.3%
8
36.7%
Q1 - 7:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup14
64.8%
8
35.2%
Q1 - 7:32NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point cutting dunk (Russell Westbrook assists)14
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 7:40HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)12
64.3%
6
35.7%
Q1 - 7:56NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)12
62.6%
6
37.4%
Q1 - 8:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)10
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 8:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)10
61.9%
4
38.1%
Q1 - 8:34NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound7
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot7
59.3%
4
40.7%
Q1 - 8:51NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup (Russell Westbrook assists)7
58.1%
4
41.9%
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound5
57.1%
4
42.9%
Q1 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot5
56.7%
4
43.3%
Q1 - 9:17HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound5
55.6%
4
44.4%
Q1 - 9:20NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot5
56.0%
4
44.0%
Q1 - 9:32NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound5
56.6%
4
43.4%
Q1 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot5
56.3%
4
43.7%
Q1 - 9:49NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 25
55.4%
4
44.6%
Q1 - 9:49NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 24
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 9:49HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)3
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot3
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:22NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)3
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)0
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:59NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:13NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound0
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:13NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:33NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround bank jump shot0
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
54.0%
0
46.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.32 65.8%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
26
38
68%
MIA
25
34
74%
Midrange
DEN
8
21
38%
MIA
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
16
24.0
33
48%
73%
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
Free Throws
DEN
17
19
89%
MIA
14
14
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray3058%15.0 / 26
N. Jokić2486%12.0 / 14
A. Gordon1680%8.0 / 10
M. Porter1450%7.0 / 14
J. Strawther1478%7.0 / 9
C. Braun1260%6.0 / 10
R. Westbrook1179%5.5 / 7
D. Jordan6100%3.0 / 3
P. Watson330%1.5 / 5
H. Tyson3150%1.5 / 1
J. Pickett0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2265%11.0 / 17
J. Butler1853%9.0 / 17
B. Adebayo1650%8.0 / 16
N. Jović1662%8.0 / 13
T. Rozier1381%6.5 / 8
J. Jaquez964%4.5 / 7
K. Ware950%4.5 / 9
D. Robinson880%4.0 / 5
H. Highsmith233%1.0 / 3
P. Larsson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
93
+8
-5
101
MIA
92
+9
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.32 65.8%
MIA
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.9
112.4
DEN 135.7 +22.7
MIA 113.0
Pace
100.6
97.2
DEN 96.7
MIA 101.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
14.9
DEN 14.9
MIA 14.2 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.3%
54.4%
DEN 63.0% +8.6%
MIA 54.4%
TO %
13.3%
12.8%
DEN 5.6% +2.0%
MIA 7.6%
ORB %
26.7%
22.3%
DEN 16.7% +1.7%
MIA 15.0%
FTrt
25.9
23.2
DEN 20.7 +5.3
MIA 15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
68.3%
65.3%
DEN 70.0% +3.3%
MIA 66.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
DEN 5.1% +3.1%
MIA 2.0%
BLK %
9.0%
7.6%
DEN 1.7% +1.7%
MIA 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.8%
56.0%
DEN 65.8% +9.9%
MIA 55.9%
Rim FG%
66.2%
62.5%
DEN 68.4%
MIA 73.5% +5.1%
Mid FG%
45.5%
44.4%
DEN 38.1%
MIA 45.8% +7.7%
3P %
37.6%
36.7%
DEN 48.5% +21.2%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
77.0%
79.1%
DEN 89.5%
MIA 100.0% +10.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
29.6%
DEN 41.3% +3.9%
MIA 37.4%
Mid Att. %
26.1%
27.5%
DEN 22.8% +3.5%
MIA 26.4%
3P Att. %
35.6%
42.9%
DEN 35.9%
MIA 36.3% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions98100
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points133113
Rebounds4141
Assists3530
Steals52
Blocks10
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)8 (0)
Fouls1015
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)35 (1)
Field Goals50-9245-91
At-the-Rim FG26-3825-34
Midrange FG8-2111-24
2-Point FG34-5936-58
3-Point FG16-339-33
Free Throws17-1914-14
Fast Break Pts1717
2nd Chance Pts78
Points in Paint5862
Pts off Turnovers104
Bench Points4247
Biggest Lead232

BOXSCORE

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11 Denver Nuggets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jamal Murray
#27 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
37.5
30
58%
7
8
3
1
0
0
2
5
4-4
100%
10-17
59%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jokić
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30
30.6
24
86%
12
10
1
0
2
1
2
10
5-5
100%
8-10
80%
1-2
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
#1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 27
28.6
14
50%
9
2
0
0
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
0-6
0%
4-7
57%
Christian Braun
#0 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 24
26.8
12
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
#4 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 36
26.3
11
79%
0
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
Julian Strawther
#3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23
25.7
14
78%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
Aaron Gordon
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29
22.1
16
80%
6
3
0
0
1
2
0
6
5-5
100%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
Peyton Watson
#8 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22
17.9
3
30%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
14.9
6
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
#24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Hunter Tyson
#5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25
2.4
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Zeke Nnaji
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PJ Hall
#13 · C · 6'10" 245 · 23
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dario Šarić
#9 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
Trey Alexander
#23 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 22
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Vlatko Čančar
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery Rehabilitation
DaRon Holmes II
#14 · PF · 6'10" 225 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
Spencer Jones
#21 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
133
66%
41
35
5
1
5
10
7
34
17-19
89%
34-59
58%
16-33
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.