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All Games Wednesday, January 15, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
16
Heat
49%109
108
15
Lakers
51%110
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.79591.8
LAL logo LAL
123.29598.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:18.4LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.4LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.4HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot108
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 0:49.8LakersMax Christie makes two point driving layup (Austin Reaves assists)108
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)108
1.4%
115
98.6%
Q4 - 1:21HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound106
1.2%
115
98.8%
Q4 - 1:24LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot106
1.0%
115
99.0%
Q4 - 1:35HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)106
0.9%
115
99.1%
Q4 - 1:48LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound106
1.1%
115
98.9%
Q4 - 1:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point fadeaway jump shot106
1.3%
115
98.7%
Q4 - 1:52LakersLeBron James makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot106
1.9%
115
98.1%
Q4 - 2:13LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound106
2.3%
113
97.7%
Q4 - 2:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot106
2.7%
113
97.3%
Q4 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound106
4.1%
113
95.9%
Q4 - 2:22LakersLeBron James misses two point driving floating bank jump shot106
3.4%
113
96.6%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)106
2.2%
113
97.8%
Q4 - 2:49LakersLeBron James makes two point fadeaway jump shot106
4.0%
113
96.0%
Q4 - 3:05LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound106
7.7%
111
92.3%
Q4 - 3:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot106
8.8%
111
91.2%
Q4 - 3:25LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)106
12.1%
111
87.9%
Q4 - 3:51HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)106
27.6%
108
72.4%
Q4 - 4:16LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Austin Reaves assists)103
15.9%
108
84.1%
Q4 - 4:34HeatAlec Burks makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)103
20.6%
106
79.4%
Q4 - 4:53LakersRui Hachimura makes three point stepback jump shot101
15.7%
106
84.3%
Q4 - 5:19HeatNikola Jovic makes two point turnaround bank jump shot101
29.8%
103
70.2%
Q4 - 5:30LakersRui Hachimura makes two point cutting layup (LeBron James assists)99
24.2%
103
75.8%
Q4 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)99
29.7%
101
70.3%
Q4 - 6:03LakersGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot97
26.9%
101
73.1%
Q4 - 6:19LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound97
31.6%
99
68.4%
Q4 - 6:22HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot97
33.8%
99
66.2%
Q4 - 6:28HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound97
39.2%
99
60.8%
Q4 - 6:31LakersGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot97
36.8%
99
63.2%
Q4 - 6:39HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)97
31.5%
99
68.5%
Q4 - 6:55LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 294
21.5%
99
78.5%
Q4 - 6:55LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 294
22.4%
98
77.6%
Q4 - 6:55HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)94
23.5%
97
76.5%
Q4 - 7:06LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound94
27.5%
97
72.5%
Q4 - 7:08HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot94
29.5%
97
70.5%
Q4 - 7:18HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound94
34.3%
97
65.7%
Q4 - 7:19LakersAnthony Davis misses two point floating jump shot94
32.1%
97
67.9%
Q4 - 7:31HeatAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)94
27.4%
97
72.6%
Q4 - 7:55LakersMax Christie makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)94
34.2%
97
65.8%
Q4 - 8:13HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jovic assists)94
45.7%
94
54.3%
Q4 - 8:19HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound92
40.5%
94
59.5%
Q4 - 8:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot92
36.0%
94
64.0%
Q4 - 8:36LakersGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)92
40.5%
94
59.5%
Q4 - 8:52HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)92
45.7%
92
54.3%
Q4 - 9:10HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound89
35.6%
92
64.4%
Q4 - 9:11LakersKel'el Ware blocks Max Christie's two point pullup jump shot89
33.8%
92
66.2%
Q4 - 9:24LakersLeBron James defensive rebound89
29.8%
92
70.2%
Q4 - 9:26HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot89
31.5%
92
68.5%
Q4 - 9:33HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound89
35.5%
92
64.5%
Q4 - 9:35LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot89
33.7%
92
66.3%
Q4 - 9:51HeatTerry Rozier makes two point stepback jump shot89
29.7%
92
70.3%
Q4 - 10:08LakersLeBron James makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Austin Reaves assists)87
27.1%
92
72.9%
Q4 - 10:13HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Austin Reaves steals)87
30.9%
90
69.1%
Q4 - 10:28LakersJaxson Hayes makes two point running dunk (Austin Reaves assists)87
36.3%
90
63.7%
Q4 - 10:35HeatTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Jaxson Hayes steals)87
40.7%
88
59.3%
Q4 - 10:47LakersGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)87
46.7%
88
53.3%
Q4 - 10:59LakersMax Christie defensive rebound87
56.8%
85
43.2%
Q4 - 11:00HeatNikola Jovic misses two point cutting layup87
58.6%
85
41.4%
Q4 - 11:12LakersAustin Reaves makes two point pullup jump shot87
61.7%
85
38.3%
Q4 - 11:21HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)87
66.3%
83
33.7%
Q4 - 11:43HeatTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot87
66.3%
83
33.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
61.8%
83
38.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1LakersLakers offensive rebound85
56.4%
83
43.6%
Q3 - 0:00.5LakersDalton Knecht misses three point pullup jump shot85
59.7%
83
40.3%
Q3 - 0:01.9HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)85
56.4%
83
43.6%
Q3 - 0:02.2LakersDalton Knecht makes regular free throw 2 of 285
61.1%
83
38.9%
Q3 - 0:02.2LakersDalton Knecht makes regular free throw 1 of 285
62.0%
82
38.0%
Q3 - 0:02.2HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Dalton Knecht draws the foul)85
63.0%
81
37.0%
Q3 - 0:07.6LakersDalton Knecht defensive rebound85
65.6%
81
34.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point alley-oop layup85
67.0%
81
33.0%
Q3 - 0:26.1HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound85
69.9%
81
30.1%
Q3 - 0:28.1LakersLeBron James misses two point pullup jump shot85
68.6%
81
31.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)85
65.7%
81
34.3%
Q3 - 1:03LakersJaxson Hayes makes two point alley-oop dunk (LeBron James assists)85
68.8%
81
31.2%
Q3 - 1:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot85
72.6%
79
27.4%
Q3 - 1:47LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting finger roll layup (LeBron James assists)83
68.9%
79
31.1%
Q3 - 1:59LakersLeBron James defensive rebound83
72.6%
77
27.4%
Q3 - 2:01HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot83
72.4%
77
27.6%
Q3 - 2:17LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot83
75.0%
77
25.0%
Q3 - 2:36HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
77.9%
75
22.1%
Q3 - 2:45LakersJaxson Hayes personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)83
81.0%
75
19.0%
Q3 - 2:45LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass)83
81.0%
75
19.0%
Q3 - 3:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)83
76.9%
75
23.1%
Q3 - 3:28LakersGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup (Anthony Davis assists)83
80.3%
75
19.7%
Q3 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)83
82.4%
73
17.6%
Q3 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
80.3%
73
19.7%
Q3 - 3:54LakersDalton Knecht misses three point jump shot81
79.4%
73
20.6%
Q3 - 4:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
76.2%
73
23.8%
Q3 - 4:09HeatHeat offensive rebound79
73.4%
73
26.6%
Q3 - 4:10HeatGabe Vincent blocks Nikola Jovic's two point turnaround jump shot79
71.0%
73
29.0%
Q3 - 4:25HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound79
73.5%
73
26.5%
Q3 - 4:28LakersMax Christie misses three point jump shot79
72.4%
73
27.6%
Q3 - 4:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)79
70.0%
73
30.0%
Q3 - 4:52LakersMax Christie makes regular free throw 2 of 276
63.2%
73
36.8%
Q3 - 4:52LakersMax Christie misses regular free throw 1 of 276
63.7%
72
36.3%
Q3 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Max Christie draws the foul)76
60.5%
72
39.5%
Q3 - 5:12HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)76
62.3%
72
37.7%
Q3 - 5:39LakersRui Hachimura makes two point dunk (Anthony Davis assists)73
55.2%
72
44.8%
Q3 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)73
58.7%
70
41.3%
Q3 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (LeBron James draws the foul)73
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 6:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
62.2%
70
37.8%
Q3 - 6:04LakersMax Christie misses three point jump shot73
61.1%
70
38.9%
Q3 - 6:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup73
58.3%
70
41.7%
Q3 - 6:40LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)71
55.1%
70
44.9%
Q3 - 6:50LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound71
61.9%
67
38.1%
Q3 - 6:53HeatAnthony Davis blocks Terry Rozier's two point pullup jump shot71
63.1%
67
36.9%
Q3 - 7:03LakersAustin Reaves personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)71
65.0%
67
35.0%
Q3 - 7:22LakersLeBron James makes three point running jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)71
65.0%
67
35.0%
Q3 - 7:28LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound71
70.8%
64
29.2%
Q3 - 7:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot71
71.8%
64
28.2%
Q3 - 7:51LakersAustin Reaves makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)71
74.1%
64
25.9%
Q3 - 8:03LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound71
78.0%
61
22.0%
Q3 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot71
78.9%
61
21.1%
Q3 - 8:12HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound71
80.8%
61
19.2%
Q3 - 8:14LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving hook shot71
80.0%
61
20.0%
Q3 - 8:16LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound71
78.0%
61
22.0%
Q3 - 8:18LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot71
80.0%
61
20.0%
Q3 - 8:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)71
78.1%
61
21.9%
Q3 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
76.1%
61
23.9%
Q3 - 8:43LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot69
75.2%
61
24.8%
Q3 - 8:52LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound69
73.0%
61
27.0%
Q3 - 8:53HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point driving layup69
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 9:05LakersRui Hachimura personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 9:05HeatHeat offensive rebound69
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 9:08HeatTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot69
73.4%
61
26.6%
Q3 - 9:14HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound69
75.5%
61
24.5%
Q3 - 9:17LakersMax Christie misses three point jump shot69
74.6%
61
25.4%
Q3 - 9:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)69
72.4%
61
27.6%
Q3 - 9:37HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound66
67.4%
61
32.6%
Q3 - 9:39LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot66
66.3%
61
33.7%
Q3 - 9:46HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
63.7%
61
36.3%
Q3 - 9:57LakersAnthony Davis makes two point running layup (Austin Reaves assists)66
67.4%
61
32.6%
Q3 - 10:01HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Austin Reaves steals)66
69.0%
59
31.0%
Q3 - 10:26LakersMax Christie makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)66
72.4%
59
27.6%
Q3 - 10:37LakersLakers defensive rebound66
76.8%
56
23.2%
Q3 - 10:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot66
77.6%
56
22.4%
Q3 - 11:04LakersRui Hachimura makes two point driving dunk (LeBron James assists)66
78.7%
56
21.3%
Q3 - 11:24LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound66
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q3 - 11:27HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround hook shot66
81.3%
54
18.7%
Q3 - 11:44HeatHeat defensive rebound66
82.7%
54
17.3%
Q3 - 11:46LakersRui Hachimura misses two point cutting layup66
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.66
80.6%
54
19.4%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound66
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatAnthony Davis blocks Kel'el Ware's two point tip layup66
80.9%
54
19.1%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound66
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q2 - 0:01.9HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot66
80.9%
54
19.1%
Q2 - 0:16.6LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)66
82.1%
54
17.9%
Q2 - 0:31.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 266
84.0%
52
16.0%
Q2 - 0:31.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 265
83.6%
52
16.4%
Q2 - 0:31.1LakersRui Hachimura shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)64
83.3%
52
16.7%
Q2 - 0:37.3HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound64
82.2%
52
17.8%
Q2 - 0:39.4LakersGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot64
81.6%
52
18.4%
Q2 - 0:59.2LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound64
80.3%
52
19.7%
Q2 - 1:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot64
80.5%
52
19.5%
Q2 - 1:14LakersMax Christie makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)64
81.7%
52
18.3%
Q2 - 1:34HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)64
83.6%
50
16.4%
Q2 - 1:58LakersRui Hachimura turnover (traveling)64
85.1%
50
14.9%
Q2 - 2:12HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot64
82.6%
50
17.4%
Q2 - 2:39LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup61
79.3%
50
20.7%
Q2 - 2:54LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound61
80.9%
48
19.1%
Q2 - 2:57HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot61
81.5%
48
18.5%
Q2 - 3:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound61
82.1%
48
17.9%
Q2 - 3:17LakersGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot61
81.5%
48
18.5%
Q2 - 3:33HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)61
80.0%
48
20.0%
Q2 - 3:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound58
76.6%
48
23.4%
Q2 - 3:42LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot58
75.8%
48
24.2%
Q2 - 3:56HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 158
74.0%
48
26.0%
Q2 - 3:56LakersAustin Reaves shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)57
73.8%
48
26.2%
Q2 - 4:02LakersAustin Reaves turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)55
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q2 - 4:08HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Anthony Davis steals)55
66.6%
48
33.4%
Q2 - 4:16LakersAustin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 155
69.4%
48
30.6%
Q2 - 4:16HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)55
69.7%
47
30.3%
Q2 - 4:24HeatAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
73.5%
45
26.5%
Q2 - 4:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
75.9%
45
24.1%
Q2 - 4:31LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot55
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q2 - 4:49LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound55
73.5%
45
26.5%
Q2 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 255
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 255
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q2 - 4:50LakersGabe Vincent shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
74.7%
45
25.3%
Q2 - 4:56LakersAustin Reaves personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)54
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q2 - 5:11LakersAnthony Davis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)54
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q2 - 5:16LakersAustin Reaves defensive rebound54
71.0%
45
29.0%
Q2 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot54
71.8%
45
28.2%
Q2 - 5:35LakersGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)54
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q2 - 5:39HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Loose ball) (Anthony Davis draws the foul)54
77.2%
42
22.8%
Q2 - 5:39LakersLakers offensive rebound54
77.2%
42
22.8%
Q2 - 5:41LakersAustin Reaves misses two point driving bank jump shot54
78.8%
42
21.2%
Q2 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Max Christie steals)54
77.2%
42
22.8%
Q2 - 6:04HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound54
78.9%
42
21.1%
Q2 - 6:07LakersRui Hachimura misses two point driving reverse layup54
78.3%
42
21.7%
Q2 - 6:10LakersLakers offensive rebound54
76.7%
42
23.3%
Q2 - 6:13LakersMax Christie misses three point jump shot54
78.3%
42
21.7%
Q2 - 6:30HeatKel'el Ware makes two point layup54
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q2 - 6:43HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound52
75.3%
42
24.7%
Q2 - 6:44LakersRui Hachimura misses regular free throw 2 of 252
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q2 - 6:44LakersRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 252
73.6%
42
26.4%
Q2 - 6:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)52
74.1%
41
25.9%
Q2 - 6:48HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Rui Hachimura steals)52
74.8%
41
25.2%
Q2 - 7:01HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound52
76.4%
41
23.6%
Q2 - 7:03LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving hook shot52
75.8%
41
24.2%
Q2 - 7:16HeatKel'el Ware makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)52
74.4%
41
25.6%
Q2 - 7:34LakersRui Hachimura makes two point cutting layup (LeBron James assists)50
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q2 - 7:45HeatNikola Jovic makes three point stepback jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)50
74.4%
39
25.6%
Q2 - 8:02HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound47
70.1%
39
29.9%
Q2 - 8:04LakersAnthony Davis misses two point jump shot47
69.4%
39
30.6%
Q2 - 8:16HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jovic assists)47
67.7%
39
32.3%
Q2 - 8:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound45
65.8%
39
34.2%
Q2 - 8:29LakersAustin Reaves misses three point pullup jump shot45
65.0%
39
35.0%
Q2 - 8:40HeatTerry Rozier personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)45
63.1%
39
36.9%
Q2 - 8:44LakersLeBron James defensive rebound45
63.1%
39
36.9%
Q2 - 8:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup45
64.0%
39
36.0%
Q2 - 9:03HeatAlec Burks defensive rebound45
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q2 - 9:04LakersDuncan Robinson blocks Austin Reaves's two point running layup45
64.5%
39
35.5%
Q2 - 9:08LakersLeBron James defensive rebound45
62.9%
39
37.1%
Q2 - 9:10HeatKel'el Ware misses two point floating jump shot45
63.6%
39
36.4%
Q2 - 9:19HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound45
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q2 - 9:22LakersLeBron James misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 9:40HeatNikola Jovic makes two point jump shot45
62.9%
39
37.1%
Q2 - 9:53HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound43
60.7%
39
39.3%
Q2 - 9:57LakersDalton Knecht misses three point jump shot43
59.9%
39
40.1%
Q2 - 10:01LakersLeBron James offensive rebound43
58.1%
39
41.9%
Q2 - 10:04LakersShake Milton misses three point jump shot43
59.9%
39
40.1%
Q2 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 343
58.1%
39
41.9%
Q2 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 342
57.9%
39
42.1%
Q2 - 10:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 341
57.5%
39
42.5%
Q2 - 10:16LakersShake Milton shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)40
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 10:38HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound40
53.4%
39
46.6%
Q2 - 10:40LakersDalton Knecht misses three point jump shot40
52.7%
39
47.3%
Q2 - 10:47LakersDalton Knecht defensive rebound40
50.9%
39
49.1%
Q2 - 10:50HeatTerry Rozier misses three point stepback jump shot40
51.7%
39
48.3%
Q2 - 11:15LakersAustin Reaves makes three point pullup jump shot40
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 11:33HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 240
57.8%
36
42.2%
Q2 - 11:33HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 239
57.4%
36
42.6%
Q2 - 11:33LakersDalton Knecht shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)38
57.0%
36
43.0%
Q2 - 11:49LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup38
55.6%
36
44.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.38
57.8%
34
42.2%
Q1 - 0:07.4HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jovic assists)38
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q1 - 0:28.9HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound36
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q1 - 0:30.7LakersShake Milton misses two point driving floating jump shot36
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q1 - 0:43.4LakersGabe Vincent defensive rebound36
52.9%
34
47.1%
Q1 - 0:45.5HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot36
53.6%
34
46.4%
Q1 - 0:51.2HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound36
55.3%
34
44.7%
Q1 - 0:52.6LakersJaxson Hayes misses two point driving hook shot36
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q1 - 1:00LakersJaxson Hayes offensive rebound36
52.9%
34
47.1%
Q1 - 1:02LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot36
54.6%
34
45.4%
Q1 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot36
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q1 - 1:31LakersGabe Vincent makes two point reverse layup (LeBron James assists)33
48.4%
34
51.6%
Q1 - 1:58HeatAlec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)33
50.7%
32
49.3%
Q1 - 2:13HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound30
46.5%
32
53.5%
Q1 - 2:15LakersKel'el Ware blocks Anthony Davis's two point turnaround hook shot30
45.7%
32
54.3%
Q1 - 2:21LakersLakers offensive rebound30
43.9%
32
56.1%
Q1 - 2:22LakersNikola Jovic blocks Max Christie's two point running layup30
45.7%
32
54.3%
Q1 - 2:28LakersMax Christie defensive rebound30
43.9%
32
56.1%
Q1 - 2:30HeatMax Christie blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup30
44.7%
32
55.3%
Q1 - 2:41LakersAnthony Davis makes two point cutting layup (Dalton Knecht assists)30
46.4%
32
53.6%
Q1 - 2:58LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound30
48.3%
30
51.7%
Q1 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot30
49.1%
30
50.9%
Q1 - 3:16LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 230
50.7%
30
49.3%
Q1 - 3:16LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 230
51.1%
29
48.9%
Q1 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)30
49.3%
29
50.7%
Q1 - 3:24LakersRui Hachimura defensive rebound30
50.3%
29
49.7%
Q1 - 3:26HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot30
51.1%
29
48.9%
Q1 - 3:40LakersAnthony Davis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)30
52.9%
29
47.1%
Q1 - 3:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 130
54.6%
27
45.4%
Q1 - 3:54LakersGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)29
54.2%
27
45.8%
Q1 - 4:11LakersRui Hachimura makes two point running layup (Austin Reaves assists)27
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q1 - 4:18LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound27
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q1 - 4:20HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot27
52.8%
25
47.2%
Q1 - 4:34LakersRui Hachimura turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)27
54.3%
25
45.7%
Q1 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Austin Reaves steals)27
52.1%
25
47.9%
Q1 - 4:54LakersAnthony Davis makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)27
54.3%
25
45.7%
Q1 - 5:11HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup27
57.4%
22
42.6%
Q1 - 5:15HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound25
55.8%
22
44.2%
Q1 - 5:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot25
54.4%
22
45.6%
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
55.7%
22
44.3%
Q1 - 5:35LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving layup25
55.1%
22
44.9%
Q1 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 225
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q1 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
53.4%
22
46.6%
Q1 - 5:47LakersGabe Vincent shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)23
53.0%
22
47.0%
Q1 - 5:52HeatTerry Rozier defensive rebound23
52.2%
22
47.8%
Q1 - 5:53LakersHaywood Highsmith blocks Austin Reaves's two point driving floating jump shot23
51.6%
22
48.4%
Q1 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)23
50.3%
22
49.7%
Q1 - 6:29LakersAnthony Davis makes two point running dunk20
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q1 - 6:33HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)20
48.6%
20
51.4%
Q1 - 6:47LakersRui Hachimura makes two point tip layup20
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q1 - 6:47LakersRui Hachimura offensive rebound20
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 6:48LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating jump shot20
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 6:59HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)20
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 7:20LakersRui Hachimura makes two point running dunk (LeBron James assists)17
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 7:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)17
50.2%
16
49.8%
Q1 - 7:40LakersMax Christie makes two point driving layup17
51.8%
16
48.2%
Q1 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 217
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 7:55HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 216
52.8%
14
47.2%
Q1 - 7:55LakersAustin Reaves shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)15
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 8:14LakersRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)15
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 8:27HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot15
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 8:32LakersLeBron James turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)12
51.7%
11
48.3%
Q1 - 8:47HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)12
50.1%
11
49.9%
Q1 - 9:00LakersLeBron James makes two point layup (Anthony Davis assists)12
51.5%
11
48.5%
Q1 - 9:10HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)12
52.2%
9
47.8%
Q1 - 9:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound10
51.2%
9
48.8%
Q1 - 9:22LakersAnthony Davis misses two point putback layup10
50.8%
9
49.2%
Q1 - 9:23LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound10
50.0%
9
50.0%
Q1 - 9:25LakersRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot10
50.8%
9
49.2%
Q1 - 9:43HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)10
50.0%
9
50.0%
Q1 - 9:59LakersAustin Reaves makes regular free throw 1 of 17
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 9:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Austin Reaves draws the foul)7
48.4%
8
51.6%
Q1 - 10:08HeatTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)7
49.7%
6
50.3%
Q1 - 10:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound5
49.1%
6
50.9%
Q1 - 10:16LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 25
49.0%
6
51.0%
Q1 - 10:16LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 25
48.5%
6
51.5%
Q1 - 10:16HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)5
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 10:21LakersRui Hachimura offensive rebound5
49.0%
5
51.0%
Q1 - 10:23LakersHaywood Highsmith blocks Rui Hachimura's two point driving layup5
49.6%
5
50.4%
Q1 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot5
49.1%
5
50.9%
Q1 - 10:57LakersMax Christie makes three point jump shot (Austin Reaves assists)3
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 11:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 11:26LakersAnthony Davis makes two point driving layup (LeBron James assists)0
49.0%
2
51.0%
Q1 - 11:40LakersMax Christie defensive rebound0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:42HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Anthony Davis (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
49.3%
0
50.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.32 65.9%
LAL
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
4
9
44%
LAL
17
23
74%
Midrange
MIA
19
28
68%
LAL
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
36
44%
67%
LAL
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
14
15
93%
LAL
10
14
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3489%17.0 / 19
H. Highsmith1260%6.0 / 10
N. Jović1275%6.0 / 8
J. Jaquez1169%5.5 / 8
B. Adebayo1056%5.0 / 9
A. Burks8133%4.0 / 3
K. Ware857%4.0 / 7
D. Robinson744%3.5 / 8
T. Rozier643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hachimura2368%11.5 / 17
L. James2269%11.0 / 16
A. Davis2250%11.0 / 22
M. Christie1662%8.0 / 13
A. Reaves1478%7.0 / 9
G. Vincent1478%7.0 / 9
J. Hayes467%2.0 / 3
D. Knecht220%1.0 / 5
S. Milton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+6
-19
82
LAL
89
+10
-6
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.32 65.9%
LAL
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.4
114.9
MIA 113.7
LAL 123.2 +9.5
Pace
97.2
98.4
MIA 91.8
LAL 98.5 +6.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.0
MIA 15.7
LAL 14.6 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.4%
55.7%
MIA 64.4% +5.0%
LAL 59.4%
TO %
12.8%
13.3%
MIA 20.1%
LAL 6.8% +13.3%
ORB %
22.3%
23.3%
MIA 9.7%
LAL 15.0% +5.3%
FTrt
23.2
27.1
MIA 20.5 +4.9
LAL 15.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.3%
63.5%
MIA 64.1%
LAL 70.2% +6.1%
STL %
8.3%
7.8%
MIA 3.2%
LAL 12.6% +9.4%
BLK %
7.6%
8.7%
MIA 10.7%
LAL 10.8% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
57.6%
MIA 65.9% +6.8%
LAL 59.1%
Rim FG%
62.5%
68.0%
MIA 44.4%
LAL 73.9% +29.5%
Mid FG%
44.4%
42.1%
MIA 67.9% +16.4%
LAL 51.5%
3P %
36.7%
36.6%
MIA 44.4% +6.2%
LAL 38.2%
FT %
79.1%
78.5%
MIA 93.3% +21.9%
LAL 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
31.4%
MIA 12.3%
LAL 25.6% +13.2%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
26.1%
MIA 38.4%
LAL 36.7% +1.7%
3P Att. %
42.9%
42.5%
MIA 49.3% +11.5%
LAL 37.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points108117
Rebounds3734
Assists2533
Steals312
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)6 (1)
Fouls1312
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (3)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)28 (1)
Field Goals39-7347-90
At-the-Rim FG4-917-23
Midrange FG19-2817-33
2-Point FG23-3734-56
3-Point FG16-3613-34
Free Throws14-1510-14
Fast Break Pts1518
2nd Chance Pts66
Points in Paint3860
Pts off Turnovers723
Bench Points3520
Biggest Lead149

BOXSCORE

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16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 25
38.3
34
89%
4
3
1
0
7
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-6
83%
7-12
58%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
31.0
10
56%
4
5
1
0
3
3
0
4
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
29.3
12
60%
3
1
0
2
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · PF · 6'6" 225 · 24
24.6
11
69%
5
3
1
0
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
2-4
50%
Terry Rozier
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
24.4
6
43%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jović
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
32.3
12
75%
4
8
0
1
2
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
22.0
7
44%
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
Alec Burks
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 33
20.6
8
133%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Kel'el Ware
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
17.5
8
57%
11
2
0
2
0
0
1
10
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
Pelle Larsson
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Stevens
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Keshad Johnson
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Christopher
#8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
NWT - Team Suspension
Dru Smith
#12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Surgery
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Heel; Inflammation
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
66%
37
25
3
6
19
13
3
34
14-15
93%
23-37
62%
16-36
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.