for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 15, 2025
FinalWin Prob.pScore
5
Rockets
65%114
128
21
Nuggets
35%109
108
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
137.69392.5
DEN logo DEN
114.99494.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:05.4RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.8RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.1NuggetsHunter Tyson misses regular free throw 2 of 2128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.1NuggetsHunter Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2128
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.1RocketsAaron Holiday shooting foul (Hunter Tyson draws the foul)128
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.1NuggetsHunter Tyson offensive rebound128
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.1NuggetsTrey Alexander misses two point driving reverse layup128
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.3NuggetsTrey Alexander defensive rebound128
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.3RocketsJae'Sean Tate misses three point jump shot128
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.7NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point jump shot (Trey Alexander assists)128
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00NuggetsZeke Nnaji defensive rebound128
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04RocketsReed Sheppard misses three point running pullup jump shot128
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:07RocketsReed Sheppard defensive rebound128
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11NuggetsTrey Alexander misses three point pullup jump shot128
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23RocketsNate Williams makes two point running layup128
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25NuggetsJulian Strawther turnover (bad pass) (Nate Williams steals)126
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42NuggetsHunter Tyson defensive rebound126
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45RocketsReed Sheppard misses two point driving bank jump shot126
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54NuggetsTrey Alexander personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)126
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00NuggetsZeke Nnaji makes two point driving layup (Jalen Pickett assists)126
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point cutting layup (Nate Williams assists)126
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21RocketsJae'Sean Tate defensive rebound124
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point jump shot124
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44RocketsNate Williams makes two point running layup (Aaron Holiday assists)124
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49NuggetsJulian Strawther turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Holiday steals)122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01RocketsNate Williams makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)122
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21RocketsJeff Green defensive rebound119
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point jump shot119
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound119
99.7%
102
0.3%
Q4 - 3:31NuggetsJeff Green blocks Hunter Tyson's two point layup119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 3:38NuggetsJulian Strawther defensive rebound119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 3:40RocketsCam Whitmore misses two point driving floating jump shot119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 3:56RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 4:00NuggetsHunter Tyson misses three point running jump shot119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 4:04RocketsReed Sheppard turnover (bad pass) (Trey Alexander steals)119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 4:18RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound119
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20NuggetsTrey Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 4:29RocketsNate Williams personal foul (Trey Alexander draws the foul)119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 4:41RocketsNate Williams makes two point driving layup (Aaron Holiday assists)119
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 5:01NuggetsHunter Tyson makes three point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)117
99.4%
102
0.6%
Q4 - 5:13RocketsCam Whitmore turnover (traveling)117
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 5:37NuggetsTrey Alexander makes three point jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)117
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 5:50RocketsAmen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2117
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50RocketsAmen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50NuggetsHunter Tyson shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:51RocketsReed Sheppard misses three point jump shot116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:53RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive rebound116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56RocketsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 6:05RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound116
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08NuggetsJalen Pickett misses three point jump shot116
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 6:15RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)116
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 6:15RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive rebound116
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 6:16RocketsPeyton Watson blocks Jae'Sean Tate's two point driving finger roll layup116
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 6:42NuggetsDario Saric makes two point hook shot116
99.8%
96
0.2%
Q4 - 7:04RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point driving finger roll layup116
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 7:27NuggetsDario Saric makes two point layup (Jalen Pickett assists)114
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 7:30NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound114
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 7:30NuggetsAmen Thompson blocks Peyton Watson's two point running layup114
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 7:34NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound114
99.7%
92
0.3%
Q4 - 7:37RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot114
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 7:40RocketsCam Whitmore offensive rebound114
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 7:42RocketsCam Whitmore misses two point running pullup jump shot114
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 7:47RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound114
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 7:51NuggetsChristian Braun misses three point jump shot114
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 8:04RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point driving floating jump shot114
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 8:18NuggetsDario Saric makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 8:18NuggetsDario Saric makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 8:18RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Dario Saric draws the foul)112
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 8:38RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot112
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 8:45RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound109
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 8:49RocketsJeff Green misses three point jump shot109
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 9:15NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point layup (Dario Saric assists)109
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 9:32RocketsJeff Green makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot109
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 9:53NuggetsJulian Strawther makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 9:53NuggetsJulian Strawther makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 9:53RocketsJae'Sean Tate shooting foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)107
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 10:08RocketsAmen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:08RocketsAmen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:08NuggetsJulian Strawther shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)106
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 10:16RocketsFred VanVleet defensive rebound106
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:20NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point pullup jump shot106
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:26RocketsCam Whitmore personal foul (Julian Strawther draws the foul)106
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 10:33RocketsRockets turnover (5-second violation)106
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 10:35RocketsRockets offensive rebound106
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:35RocketsPeyton Watson blocks Amen Thompson's two point running layup106
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 10:38RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound106
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:40NuggetsJulian Strawther misses two point driving bank jump shot106
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 10:51RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point reverse layup (Fred VanVleet assists)106
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 11:11NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point cutting dunk (Julian Strawther assists)104
98.6%
86
1.4%
Q4 - 11:22RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point driving layup (Cam Whitmore assists)104
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 11:49NuggetsJulian Strawther makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Pickett assists)102
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.102
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q3 - 0:00.2RocketsRockets offensive rebound102
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q3 - 0:01.2RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot102
98.9%
81
1.1%
Q3 - 0:12.5NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point pullup jump shot102
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q3 - 0:28.2RocketsJalen Green makes three point running jump shot (Jae'Sean Tate assists)102
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q3 - 0:32.9NuggetsPeyton Watson turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)99
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0NuggetsJalen Pickett defensive rebound99
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q3 - 0:49.7RocketsCam Whitmore misses three point jump shot99
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q3 - 1:01NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point jump shot (Dario Saric assists)99
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q3 - 1:15RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point running reverse dunk99
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q3 - 1:18NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Cam Whitmore steals)97
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q3 - 1:32RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point driving layup (Jalen Green assists)97
98.6%
76
1.4%
Q3 - 1:56NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point cutting dunk (Dario Saric assists)95
98.3%
76
1.7%
Q3 - 2:14NuggetsDario Saric defensive rebound95
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q3 - 2:16RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot95
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q3 - 2:29NuggetsDario Saric makes two point layup (Julian Strawther assists)95
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q3 - 2:45RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving dunk95
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q3 - 2:58NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 293
98.6%
72
1.4%
Q3 - 2:58NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 293
98.6%
71
1.4%
Q3 - 2:58RocketsJalen Green personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)93
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q3 - 3:09RocketsJeff Green personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)93
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q3 - 3:14RocketsJae'Sean Tate personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)93
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q3 - 3:28RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving layup93
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q3 - 3:38NuggetsJulian Strawther personal foul (Jae'Sean Tate draws the foul)91
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q3 - 3:38RocketsJae'Sean Tate offensive rebound91
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q3 - 3:38RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point cutting layup91
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q3 - 3:59NuggetsPeyton Watson makes three point jump shot (Dario Saric assists)91
98.4%
70
1.6%
Q3 - 4:14RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 291
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q3 - 4:14RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 290
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q3 - 4:14NuggetsRussell Westbrook shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)89
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q3 - 4:16NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)89
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q3 - 4:33RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point fadeaway jump shot89
98.1%
67
1.9%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Julian Strawther assists)87
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 5:05RocketsJalen Green makes three point running jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)87
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 5:11NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Fred VanVleet steals)84
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q3 - 5:28NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound84
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q3 - 5:30RocketsDillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot84
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q3 - 5:38RocketsAmen Thompson offensive rebound84
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q3 - 5:41RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point driving floating jump shot84
96.9%
65
3.1%
Q3 - 5:57RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound84
97.2%
65
2.8%
Q3 - 6:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot84
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q3 - 6:18RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)84
96.4%
65
3.6%
Q3 - 6:28RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound82
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q3 - 6:31NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point pullup jump shot82
95.7%
65
4.3%
Q3 - 6:39NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound82
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q3 - 6:39NuggetsAmen Thompson blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving floating jump shot82
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q3 - 6:47NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound82
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q3 - 6:49RocketsFred VanVleet misses two point pullup jump shot82
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q3 - 7:15NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point running finger roll layup82
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q3 - 7:21NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound82
96.0%
63
4.0%
Q3 - 7:24RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point stepback jump shot82
96.2%
63
3.8%
Q3 - 7:45NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot82
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 8:00RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)82
97.4%
60
2.6%
Q3 - 8:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 379
96.4%
60
3.6%
Q3 - 8:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 379
96.5%
59
3.5%
Q3 - 8:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 379
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 8:22RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)79
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 8:39RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)79
97.2%
57
2.8%
Q3 - 8:54RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound77
96.9%
57
3.1%
Q3 - 8:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 177
96.8%
57
3.2%
Q3 - 8:56RocketsAlperen Sengun shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)77
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q3 - 9:04NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound77
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 9:07RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot77
97.1%
55
2.9%
Q3 - 9:13RocketsRockets defensive rebound77
97.4%
55
2.6%
Q3 - 9:14NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot77
97.3%
55
2.7%
Q3 - 9:26RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)77
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 9:33NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point tip layup74
96.2%
55
3.8%
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound74
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point tip layup74
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 9:34NuggetsRussell Westbrook offensive rebound74
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 9:41NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point driving bank jump shot74
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 9:48NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound74
96.6%
53
3.4%
Q3 - 9:51RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point jump shot74
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 9:55RocketsRockets offensive rebound74
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 9:55RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving finger roll layup74
96.7%
53
3.3%
Q3 - 10:03NuggetsRussell Westbrook personal foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)74
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 10:11NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point stepback jump shot74
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 10:34RocketsJalen Green makes three point running jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)74
97.5%
50
2.5%
Q3 - 10:38NuggetsDeAndre Jordan turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)71
96.8%
50
3.2%
Q3 - 10:41RocketsJalen Green turnover (bad pass) (DeAndre Jordan steals)71
96.3%
50
3.7%
Q3 - 10:52NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)71
96.8%
50
3.2%
Q3 - 11:21RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point jump shot (Jalen Green assists)71
96.1%
50
3.9%
Q3 - 11:34NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes two point running layup69
95.7%
50
4.3%
Q3 - 11:39NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound69
96.1%
48
3.9%
Q3 - 11:41RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot69
96.3%
48
3.7%
Q3 - 11:48NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)69
96.6%
48
3.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.69
96.6%
48
3.4%
Q2 - 0:00.9NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound69
96.0%
48
4.0%
Q2 - 0:03.6RocketsJeff Green misses three point jump shot69
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point driving dunk69
96.5%
48
3.5%
Q2 - 0:36.2RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 169
96.9%
46
3.1%
Q2 - 0:36.2NuggetsRussell Westbrook shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)68
96.8%
46
3.2%
Q2 - 0:43.4NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes two point putback layup66
96.0%
46
4.0%
Q2 - 0:43.4NuggetsRussell Westbrook offensive rebound66
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q2 - 0:44.9NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point cutting layup66
96.8%
44
3.2%
Q2 - 1:01RocketsJalen Green makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)66
96.4%
44
3.6%
Q2 - 1:10NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)63
95.4%
44
4.6%
Q2 - 1:24RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point floating jump shot (Jalen Green assists)63
94.9%
44
5.1%
Q2 - 1:33NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point stepback jump shot61
94.2%
44
5.8%
Q2 - 1:52RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 261
94.9%
42
5.1%
Q2 - 1:52RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 260
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q2 - 1:52NuggetsChristian Braun shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)59
94.7%
42
5.3%
Q2 - 1:56RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound59
94.2%
42
5.8%
Q2 - 2:00NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot59
94.0%
42
6.0%
Q2 - 2:15RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 259
93.0%
42
7.0%
Q2 - 2:15RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 258
92.9%
42
7.1%
Q2 - 2:15NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)57
92.8%
42
7.2%
Q2 - 2:24NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot57
92.4%
42
7.6%
Q2 - 2:37RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point putback layup57
93.1%
40
6.9%
Q2 - 2:38RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound55
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q2 - 2:43RocketsJeff Green misses three point jump shot55
91.7%
40
8.3%
Q2 - 3:05NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point pullup jump shot55
92.0%
40
8.0%
Q2 - 3:23RocketsJalen Green makes two point driving floating jump shot55
93.4%
37
6.6%
Q2 - 3:39NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)53
92.8%
37
7.2%
Q2 - 4:05RocketsJalen Green makes three point pullup jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)53
93.8%
34
6.2%
Q2 - 4:14RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound50
92.5%
34
7.5%
Q2 - 4:16NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses three point jump shot50
92.3%
34
7.7%
Q2 - 4:34RocketsJeff Green makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)50
91.6%
34
8.4%
Q2 - 4:54NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 247
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q2 - 4:54NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes regular free throw 1 of 247
90.2%
33
9.8%
Q2 - 4:54RocketsJeff Green personal foul (Russell Westbrook draws the foul)47
90.4%
32
9.6%
Q2 - 4:54NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound47
90.8%
32
9.2%
Q2 - 4:55RocketsMichael Porter Jr. blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving layup47
91.1%
32
8.9%
Q2 - 5:04RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound47
91.7%
32
8.3%
Q2 - 5:07NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot47
91.4%
32
8.6%
Q2 - 5:18NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound47
90.7%
32
9.3%
Q2 - 5:21RocketsAmen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 147
90.8%
32
9.2%
Q2 - 5:21NuggetsChristian Braun shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)47
91.3%
32
8.7%
Q2 - 5:24NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (lost ball) (Amen Thompson steals)45
89.9%
32
10.1%
Q2 - 5:36RocketsJeff Green personal foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)45
88.7%
32
11.3%
Q2 - 5:52RocketsDillon Brooks makes three point running jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)45
88.7%
32
11.3%
Q2 - 5:56NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)42
86.6%
32
13.4%
Q2 - 6:04RocketsCam Whitmore makes two point putback dunk42
84.9%
32
15.1%
Q2 - 6:04RocketsCam Whitmore offensive rebound40
83.8%
32
16.2%
Q2 - 6:10RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point layup40
82.5%
32
17.5%
Q2 - 6:32NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes two point fadeaway jump shot40
83.8%
32
16.2%
Q2 - 6:49NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound40
84.9%
30
15.1%
Q2 - 6:50RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point tip layup40
85.4%
30
14.6%
Q2 - 6:50RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound40
86.5%
30
13.5%
Q2 - 6:52RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point hook shot40
85.4%
30
14.6%
Q2 - 7:17NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Russell Westbrook assists)40
86.1%
30
13.9%
Q2 - 7:29RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point floating jump shot40
88.3%
27
11.7%
Q2 - 7:42RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound38
87.3%
27
12.7%
Q2 - 7:44NuggetsDario Saric misses regular free throw 2 of 238
87.1%
27
12.9%
Q2 - 7:44NuggetsDario Saric misses regular free throw 1 of 238
86.3%
27
13.7%
Q2 - 7:44RocketsAmen Thompson shooting foul (Dario Saric draws the foul)38
85.2%
27
14.8%
Q2 - 7:51NuggetsDario Saric defensive rebound38
86.0%
27
14.0%
Q2 - 7:53RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point running layup38
86.4%
27
13.6%
Q2 - 7:57RocketsSteven Adams defensive rebound38
87.3%
27
12.7%
Q2 - 7:59NuggetsSteven Adams blocks Russell Westbrook's two point driving layup38
86.9%
27
13.1%
Q2 - 8:17RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point cutting dunk (Steven Adams assists)38
85.7%
27
14.3%
Q2 - 8:45NuggetsPeyton Watson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Russell Westbrook assists)36
84.6%
27
15.4%
Q2 - 8:47NuggetsRussell Westbrook offensive rebound36
85.7%
25
14.3%
Q2 - 8:51NuggetsPeyton Watson misses three point jump shot36
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 8:53NuggetsDario Saric offensive rebound36
85.7%
25
14.3%
Q2 - 8:56NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot36
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 9:16RocketsSteven Adams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
85.4%
25
14.6%
Q2 - 9:19RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound36
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 9:23RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot36
85.8%
25
14.2%
Q2 - 9:27RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound36
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 9:30NuggetsDario Saric misses two point jump shot36
86.3%
25
13.7%
Q2 - 9:47RocketsJeff Green makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)36
85.5%
25
14.5%
Q2 - 9:57NuggetsDario Saric personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)33
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 9:57RocketsSteven Adams offensive rebound33
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 9:59RocketsCam Whitmore misses three point stepback jump shot33
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q2 - 10:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)33
82.8%
25
17.2%
Q2 - 10:26NuggetsDario Saric defensive rebound33
81.3%
25
18.7%
Q2 - 10:31RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point pullup jump shot33
81.8%
25
18.2%
Q2 - 10:43RocketsJeff Green defensive rebound33
82.8%
25
17.2%
Q2 - 10:46NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 133
82.6%
25
17.4%
Q2 - 10:46RocketsAmen Thompson shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)33
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 11:07RocketsCam Whitmore makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)33
83.8%
23
16.2%
Q2 - 11:14RocketsCam Whitmore defensive rebound30
81.2%
23
18.8%
Q2 - 11:17NuggetsPeyton Watson misses two point stepback jump shot30
80.7%
23
19.3%
Q2 - 11:30RocketsJeff Green personal foul (Dario Saric draws the foul)30
79.6%
23
20.4%
Q2 - 11:42RocketsFred VanVleet makes two point pullup jump shot30
79.6%
23
20.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
78.1%
23
21.9%
Q1 - 0:03.6RocketsAmen Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Russell Westbrook steals)28
76.3%
23
23.7%
Q1 - 0:22.6NuggetsChristian Braun makes three point stepback jump shot28
78.0%
23
22.0%
Q1 - 0:27.8NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound28
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q1 - 0:33.6NuggetsJalen Pickett misses two point floating jump shot28
82.0%
20
18.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0RocketsJae'Sean Tate makes two point driving finger roll layup28
81.0%
20
19.0%
Q1 - 1:12NuggetsJalen Pickett makes two point running layup26
79.5%
20
20.5%
Q1 - 1:16RocketsAmen Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Pickett steals)26
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 1:23NuggetsJulian Strawther turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)26
82.3%
18
17.7%
Q1 - 1:27NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound26
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 1:27NuggetsCam Whitmore blocks Julian Strawther's two point driving layup26
81.9%
18
18.1%
Q1 - 1:34RocketsJae'Sean Tate personal foul (Dario Saric draws the foul)26
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 1:49RocketsCam Whitmore makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Green assists)26
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 2:04RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound23
77.9%
18
22.1%
Q1 - 2:08NuggetsJulian Strawther misses three point pullup jump shot23
77.4%
18
22.6%
Q1 - 2:23RocketsDillon Brooks turnover (traveling)23
76.1%
18
23.9%
Q1 - 2:34NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point cutting layup (Jamal Murray assists)23
77.9%
18
22.1%
Q1 - 2:50RocketsSteven Adams makes two point layup (Fred VanVleet assists)23
79.2%
16
20.8%
Q1 - 3:00RocketsRockets offensive rebound21
77.9%
16
22.1%
Q1 - 3:00RocketsJalen Green misses two point driving layup21
76.7%
16
23.3%
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsPeyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 221
77.7%
16
22.3%
Q1 - 3:12NuggetsPeyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 221
78.0%
15
22.0%
Q1 - 3:12RocketsJalen Green shooting foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)21
76.8%
15
23.2%
Q1 - 3:16NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound21
77.4%
15
22.6%
Q1 - 3:19RocketsDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot21
77.9%
15
22.1%
Q1 - 3:41NuggetsJulian Strawther makes two point driving floating jump shot21
79.2%
15
20.8%
Q1 - 3:57RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 221
80.3%
13
19.7%
Q1 - 3:57RocketsAlperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 220
80.0%
13
20.0%
Q1 - 3:57NuggetsDeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)19
79.6%
13
20.4%
Q1 - 4:06RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound19
77.9%
13
22.1%
Q1 - 4:12NuggetsJalen Green blocks Jamal Murray's two point layup19
77.4%
13
22.6%
Q1 - 4:35RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point pullup jump shot19
76.2%
13
23.8%
Q1 - 4:53NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)16
73.6%
13
26.4%
Q1 - 5:08NuggetsPeyton Watson defensive rebound16
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 5:11RocketsJalen Green misses three point jump shot16
75.1%
11
24.9%
Q1 - 5:18RocketsRockets offensive rebound16
76.0%
11
24.0%
Q1 - 5:18RocketsPeyton Watson blocks Alperen Sengun's two point running layup16
75.0%
11
25.0%
Q1 - 5:24NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)16
76.0%
11
24.0%
Q1 - 5:31NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound16
74.5%
11
25.5%
Q1 - 5:34RocketsJalen Green misses three point stepback jump shot16
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 5:36RocketsJalen Green offensive rebound16
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 5:39RocketsDeAndre Jordan blocks Fred VanVleet's two point layup16
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 5:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Loose ball) (Amen Thompson draws the foul)16
75.8%
11
24.2%
Q1 - 5:50RocketsRockets offensive rebound16
75.8%
11
24.2%
Q1 - 5:50RocketsAmen Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 216
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 5:50RocketsAmen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 216
75.3%
11
24.7%
Q1 - 5:50NuggetsDeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)15
74.9%
11
25.1%
Q1 - 5:50NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Amen Thompson steals)15
76.4%
11
23.6%
Q1 - 5:57NuggetsRussell Westbrook defensive rebound15
73.0%
11
27.0%
Q1 - 5:57RocketsDeAndre Jordan blocks Alperen Sengun's two point putback layup15
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 5:58RocketsAlperen Sengun offensive rebound15
74.4%
11
25.6%
Q1 - 6:02RocketsDeAndre Jordan blocks Alperen Sengun's two point driving hook shot15
73.5%
11
26.5%
Q1 - 6:18RocketsAlperen Sengun defensive rebound15
74.2%
11
25.8%
Q1 - 6:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 215
74.1%
11
25.9%
Q1 - 6:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 215
73.3%
11
26.7%
Q1 - 6:20RocketsFred VanVleet shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)15
73.6%
10
26.4%
Q1 - 6:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound15
74.2%
10
25.8%
Q1 - 6:21NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses two point driving finger roll layup15
75.0%
10
25.0%
Q1 - 6:35RocketsAlperen Sengun turnover (traveling)15
74.0%
10
26.0%
Q1 - 6:46NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)15
75.1%
10
24.9%
Q1 - 7:12RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point driving layup15
73.7%
10
26.3%
Q1 - 7:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup13
72.5%
10
27.5%
Q1 - 7:33NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound13
73.4%
8
26.6%
Q1 - 7:34RocketsAlperen Sengun misses two point floating jump shot13
73.7%
8
26.3%
Q1 - 7:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
74.2%
8
25.8%
Q1 - 7:59NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound13
73.0%
8
27.0%
Q1 - 8:00RocketsAmen Thompson misses two point running layup13
73.3%
8
26.7%
Q1 - 8:02RocketsDillon Brooks defensive rebound13
74.2%
8
25.8%
Q1 - 8:08NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
73.8%
8
26.2%
Q1 - 8:28RocketsJalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 113
72.6%
8
27.4%
Q1 - 8:28NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jalen Green draws the foul)12
72.5%
8
27.5%
Q1 - 8:40NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)9
69.7%
8
30.3%
Q1 - 8:57RocketsAlperen Sengun makes two point driving reverse layup9
70.2%
6
29.8%
Q1 - 9:16NuggetsRussell Westbrook makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)7
69.1%
6
30.9%
Q1 - 9:37RocketsAmen Thompson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)7
70.2%
3
29.8%
Q1 - 9:46NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (out of bounds step)5
69.4%
3
30.6%
Q1 - 9:50NuggetsDeAndre Jordan defensive rebound5
68.4%
3
31.6%
Q1 - 9:52RocketsAlperen Sengun misses three point running jump shot5
68.7%
3
31.3%
Q1 - 9:57RocketsAmen Thompson defensive rebound5
69.1%
3
30.9%
Q1 - 10:01NuggetsRussell Westbrook misses three point jump shot5
68.7%
3
31.3%
Q1 - 10:23RocketsJalen Green makes two point pullup jump shot5
67.7%
3
32.3%
Q1 - 10:41NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot3
66.9%
3
33.1%
Q1 - 10:55NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound3
67.4%
0
32.6%
Q1 - 10:58RocketsFred VanVleet misses three point running jump shot3
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:01NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)3
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 11:09RocketsDillon Brooks personal foul (DeAndre Jordan draws the foul)3
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:09NuggetsDeAndre Jordan offensive rebound3
67.0%
0
33.0%
Q1 - 11:10NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot3
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 11:30RocketsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Alperen Sengun assists)3
66.2%
0
33.8%
Q1 - 11:48NuggetsRussell Westbrook turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
65.4%
0
34.6%
Q1 - 12:00Alperen Sengun vs. DeAndre Jordan (Michael Porter Jr. gains possession)0
65.0%
0
35.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.22 61.0%
DEN
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
20
31
65%
DEN
18
28
64%
Midrange
HOU
12
25
48%
DEN
8
18
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
17
25.5
38
45%
67%
DEN
14
21.0
29
48%
72%
Free Throws
HOU
13
17
76%
DEN
14
21
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Green3489%17.0 / 19
A. Sengun2045%10.0 / 22
F. VanVleet1662%8.0 / 13
C. Whitmore1673%8.0 / 11
A. Thompson1150%5.5 / 11
N. Williams9113%4.5 / 4
J. Green867%4.0 / 6
D. Brooks660%3.0 / 5
J. Tate660%3.0 / 5
S. Adams2100%1.0 / 1
A. Holiday0-0.0 / 1
R. Sheppard0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Braun22100%11.0 / 11
J. Murray2273%11.0 / 15
R. Westbrook1757%8.5 / 15
J. Strawther1050%5.0 / 10
P. Watson1056%5.0 / 9
M. Porter867%4.0 / 6
D. Šarić867%4.0 / 6
H. Tyson450%2.0 / 4
T. Alexander338%1.5 / 4
J. Pickett233%1.0 / 3
Z. Nnaji2100%1.0 / 1
D. Jordan0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
85
+20
-8
105
DEN
76
+13
-18
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.22 61.0%
DEN
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.9
118.9
HOU 137.6 +22.7
DEN 114.9
Pace
99.0
100.6
HOU 92.5
DEN 94.5 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.2
HOU 15.6
DEN 15.2 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.3%
57.3%
HOU 61.2%
DEN 62.7% +1.5%
TO %
13.1%
13.3%
HOU 9.8% +9.4%
DEN 19.2%
ORB %
31.7%
26.7%
HOU 34.1% +8.4%
DEN 25.7%
FTrt
24.2
25.9
HOU 18.1
DEN 28.0 +9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.9%
68.3%
HOU 57.1% +2.1%
DEN 55.0%
STL %
8.4%
7.9%
HOU 15.1% +10.8%
DEN 4.3%
BLK %
9.3%
9.0%
HOU 13.0% +0.5%
DEN 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
58.8%
HOU 61.0% +0.3%
DEN 60.7%
Rim FG%
61.5%
66.2%
HOU 64.5% +0.2%
DEN 64.3%
Mid FG%
40.4%
45.5%
HOU 48.0% +3.6%
DEN 44.4%
3P %
35.3%
37.6%
HOU 44.7%
DEN 48.3% +3.6%
FT %
73.8%
77.0%
HOU 76.5% +9.8%
DEN 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
38.3%
HOU 33.0%
DEN 37.3% +4.4%
Mid Att. %
28.3%
26.1%
HOU 26.6%
DEN 24.0% +2.6%
3P Att. %
38.4%
35.6%
HOU 40.4% +1.8%
DEN 38.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points128108
Rebounds4036
Assists2822
Steals144
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)8 (3)18 (2)
Fouls1916
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (6)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)27 (0)
Field Goals49-9440-75
At-the-Rim FG20-3118-28
Midrange FG12-258-18
2-Point FG32-5626-46
3-Point FG17-3814-29
Free Throws13-1714-21
Fast Break Pts257
2nd Chance Pts1513
Points in Paint5646
Pts off Turnovers348
Bench Points4139
Biggest Lead240

BOXSCORES

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5 Houston Rockets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Fred VanVleet
#5 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 31
35.1
16
62%
1
8
3
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
Amen Thompson
#1 · PF · 6'7" 200 · 22
34.7
11
50%
9
0
4
2
2
2
3
6
3-7
43%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Jalen Green
#4 · SG · 6'4" 186 · 23
29.6
34
89%
1
5
0
1
1
2
1
0
8-8
100%
4-6
67%
6-10
60%
Dillon Brooks
#9 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 29
26.2
6
60%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
Alperen Sengun
#28 · C · 6'11" 243 · 22
25.6
20
45%
9
8
2
0
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
9-20
45%
0-1
0%
Cam Whitmore
#7 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 21
23.9
16
73%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
Jeff Green
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 38
20.6
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
Jae'Sean Tate
#8 · SF · 6'4" 230 · 29
17.6
6
60%
4
1
0
0
0
3
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
Aaron Holiday
#0 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 28
7.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Steven Adams
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 31
7.1
2
100%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Reed Sheppard
#15 · SG · 6'2" 185 · 21
6.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Nate Williams
#19 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26
5.8
9
113%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
Tari Eason
#17 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 24
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Lower Leg; Injury Management
Jock Landale
#2 · C · 6'11" 255 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
Jabari Smith Jr.
#10 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 22
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Metacarpal; Fracture
N'Faly Dante
#3 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Jack McVeigh
#58 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
61%
40
28
14
6
8
19
14
26
13-17
76%
32-56
57%
17-38
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.