Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Kings	48%	114	115	115.0	100	107.8
	12	Bucks	52%	115	130	128.7	101	94.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAC

+13

-9

104

MIL

+17

-7

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.11 55.3%

MIL

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

7 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	37.5	20	43%	11	6	0	2	4	1	0	11	0-0	-	7-15	47%	2-8	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	36.3	11	50%	7	1	0	0	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	36.1	16	73%	10	9	1	0	3	4	2	8	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	36.0	28	64%	6	4	1	0	0	2	0	6	8-9	89%	7-14	50%	2-4	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	30.7	18	75%	4	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	5-8	63%

Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	18.1	7	44%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	14.1	3	21%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	11.8	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	9.3	2	50%	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	2.5	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	2.5	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	45	25	4	5	9	16	9	36	14-18	78%	25-53	47%	17-42	40%

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7 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
De'Aaron Fox #5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 27	37.5	20	43%	11	6	0	2	4	1	0	11	0-0	-	7-15	47%	2-8	25%
Keegan Murray #13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 24	36.3	11	50%	7	1	0	0	0	2	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-8	38%
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 29	36.1	16	73%	10	9	1	0	3	4	2	8	2-4	50%	4-7	57%	2-2	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 35	36.0	28	64%	6	4	1	0	0	2	0	6	8-9	89%	7-14	50%	2-4	50%
Keon Ellis #23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 25	30.7	18	75%	4	1	1	0	0	3	3	1	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	5-8	63%

Kevin Huerter #9 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 26	18.1	7	44%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%
Devin Carter #22 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 23	14.1	3	21%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 29	11.8	5	63%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Alex Len #25 · C · 7'0" 250 · 32	9.3	2	50%	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 35	2.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #3 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 29	2.5	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Colby Jones #20 · SG · 6'6" 207 · 23	2.5	2	100%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Isaac Jones #17 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Jones #15 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 26	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Crawford #24 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Malik Monk #0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Groin; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	55%	45	25	4	5	9	16	9	36	14-18	78%	25-53	47%	17-42	40%

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12 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 30	36.6	33	63%	11	13	0	2	3	3	1	10	5-7	71%	14-21	67%	0-2	0%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 35	35.1	24	75%	5	7	0	1	2	2	0	5	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	5-8	63%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 37	33.4	21	66%	5	2	1	0	0	3	0	5	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	3-7	43%
Taurean Prince #12 · SF · 6'6" 218 · 31	22.9	9	113%	5	3	0	0	0	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 23	14.1	2	50%	3	0	0	0	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	30.1	16	57%	4	1	0	0	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	4-12	33%
Bobby Portis #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 30	20.9	8	44%	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	7	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Ryan Rollins #13 · PG · 6'3" 180 · 23	19.3	10	56%	3	0	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 32	17.5	5	83%	3	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	2.5	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Liam Robbins #15 · C · 7'0" 250 · 26	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Stanley Umude #17 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 26	2.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	2.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Delon Wright #55 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 33	DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Smith #21 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
AJ Johnson #77 · SG · 6'5" 160 · 20	Inactive - G League - On Assignment
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Bilateral Ankle; Injury Management
Gary Trent Jr. #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Hip; Flexor Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	130	59%	52	32	2	4	7	21	11	41	15-18	83%	32-54	59%	17-45	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.11 55.3%

MIL

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

46%

MIL

72%

Midrange

SAC

48%

MIL

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

25.5

40%

61%

MIL

25.5

38%

57%

Free Throws

SAC

78%

MIL

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	28	64%	14.0 / 22
D. Fox	20	43%	10.0 / 23
K. Ellis	18	75%	9.0 / 12
D. Sabonis	16	73%	8.0 / 11
K. Murray	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Huerter	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Lyles	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. Carter	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. McLaughlin	3	150%	1.5 / 1
A. Len	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Jones	2	100%	1.0 / 1
I. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo	33	63%	16.5 / 26
D. Lillard	24	75%	12.0 / 16
B. Lopez	21	66%	10.5 / 16
A. Green	16	57%	8.0 / 14
R. Rollins	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Prince	9	113%	4.5 / 4
B. Portis	8	44%	4.0 / 9
P. Connaughton	5	83%	2.5 / 3
A. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Beauchamp	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Robbins	0	-	0.0 / 1
S. Umude	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 115.9 10 115.2	SAC 115.0 MIL 128.7 +13.7
Pace	19 98.9 14 99.9	SAC 107.8 +13.6 MIL 94.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.4 14 14.6	SAC 13.4 −1.9 MIL 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.8% 3 56.8%	SAC 53.2% MIL 58.1% +4.9%
TO %	6 12.6% 7 12.7%	SAC 8.0% MIL 7.8% −0.2%
ORB %	16 25.4% 30 19.3%	SAC 18.0% MIL 23.4% +5.4%
FTrt	21 23.5 3 26.8	SAC 18.9 +0.7 MIL 18.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 61.5% 23 60.7%	SAC 59.5% MIL 65.3% +5.8%
STL %	23 7.6% 27 7.3%	SAC 4.0% +2.0% MIL 2.0%
BLK %	23 8.8% 20 9.1%	SAC 9.3% +1.8% MIL 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 56.8% 3 58.6%	SAC 55.3% MIL 58.6% +3.3%
Rim FG%	2 67.6% 5 66.9%	SAC 45.8% MIL 72.4% +26.6%
Mid FG%	4 46.0% 13 44.1%	SAC 48.3% +4.3% MIL 44.0%
3P %	19 35.7% 1 38.7%	SAC 40.5% +2.7% MIL 37.8%
FT %	4 80.6% 28 75.0%	SAC 77.8% MIL 83.3% +5.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 26.8% 24 30.0%	SAC 25.3% MIL 29.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	29 34.1% 21 27.5%	SAC 30.5% MIL 25.3% −5.3%
3P Att. %	23 39.1% 15 42.4%	SAC 44.2% MIL 45.5% +1.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	SAC	MIL
Possessions	100	101
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	115	130
Rebounds	45	52
Assists	25	32
Steals	4	2
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	7 (2)
Fouls	16	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (0)	41 (0)
Field Goals	42-95	49-99
At-the-Rim FG	11-24	21-29
Midrange FG	14-29	11-25
2-Point FG	25-53	32-54
3-Point FG	17-42	17-45
Free Throws	14-18	15-18
Fast Break Pts	7	5
2nd Chance Pts	11	12
Points in Paint	36	48
Pts off Turnovers	14	9
Bench Points	22	41
Biggest Lead	0	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg